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Third parties are more of a threat than you imagine.
To our chagrin, I would have to agree with you. Here in Canada we have 3 parties, and look where it's gotten us...
We're so stymied politically we couldn't make an effective decision if our lives depended on it. But then, all we have to do is react to what the U.S. does or doesn't do, and somehow that passes for good decision making. Our weak and flimsy policies are quite flimsy, indeed, despite what our media and yours believes. ???
Scariest of all? Green tentacles in Marineris Sauce -- but very tasty.
Ya, wha...? sorry, it's better deep fried, with a little HP.
In the interest of my race's survival, I am a firm supporter of stepping out into the Cosmos both well-armed & dangerous.
I agree. I recently attended a forum on the subject of the weaponization of space. Aside from being predominantly left-wing and biased, many good points were conveniently left out of the discussion in support of the idea. Hostile alien life seems like a reasonable possibility to be prepared for. Forget the 'appear to be passive' approach of pop sci-fi, that could work against us just as much as it could work for us; after all, a passive target can be an inviting and attractive lunch...
This is a Darwinist universe, after all. ???
Hm, wasn't there another episode of Star Trek where Kirk was forced to fight Spock to the death?
It was called 'Amok Time'. Beginning of the 2nd season.
Does anyone know the name of the actor who plays Scotty,
James Doohan
I'm an ole' trekker from way back... :;):
Here's another good link for info Cassini related.
[http://ciclops.lpl.arizona.edu/]CICLOPS
Enjoy! :up:
Unless we send a landing party right up to the Face, drill into it and find nothing but rock, it will be nigh on impossible to convince the 'believers' that it's just a mesa.
I'm sure it will end up a future tourist attraction anyway. " ...and up ahead on the left is the infamous 'face'. A strangely shaped mesa which, back in the late 20th Century, created a controversy that...."
I wouldn't be so much scared as shocked. If we are the only ones, to quote the lovely astronomer in the film Contact, "It would be an aweful waste of space...". What would that say for the Drake Equation? The odds are staggeringly small, I would think. On the other hand, we would have a tremendous amount of planetary space to colonize and ooodles of resources all to ourselves. But I suspect this very, very, VERY unlikely.
...the prospect of beings far advanced than us humans, who may be circulating in our midst at this very moment in some yet-to-be-discovered dimension or whatever isn't pretty danged scary in of itself.
If the beings were far more advanced then perhaps they could 'see into' our dimension - assuming we're not talking parallel universes - but if we're talking parallel universes, then they would be no more aware of us then we are of them. In fact most of those 'entities' within the universes closest to us would be 'us'. At least according to Deutsch. That's of couse if you take any stock in David Deutsche's multiverse theory.
Hey JC,
I was joking. I burst out laughing when I read your name. That's all. ???
(I like that alternate theory... )
That sounds like a bad metaphysical pseudo scientific essay, sorry.
Hey DB,
It sounds like you've worked very long and hard to reconcile your beliefs with science, and vice versa. I suspect many would agree with you on the pseudo-scientific point. I can't comment on your personal ideas here as you seem to dearly want to believe them in spite of what the scientific community might judge of them.
Carl Sagan wrote an excellent book called the 'Demon Haunted World'. In it he describes a Baloney Detection Kit which ironically enough states that: "Arguments from authority carry little weight (in science there are no "authorities")." There may be something missing from this though...and that is the rest of what constitutes valid scientific arguement, the points of which are listed here: [http://www1.tpgi.com.au/users/tps-seti/baloney.html]BDK While your pet-theory seems to take this single idea literally, stripped of its other complimentary points, it is a mistake to assume there is no collective, validated body of empirical knowledge which cannot be relied upon and should be treated with distrust. Sure, we are just beginning to learn about Quantum phenomena, and there's so much that we are discovering daily which appears, at first glance, to turn science on its ear. Yet every new discovery has the potential to, and has, turned science on its ear, for the moment. Eventually, though, and consistantly as with all new ground-breaking discoveries, with diligence and patience, reason has triumphed, and a whole new chapter of knowledge has been opened for everyone to benefit from.
To be more upfront with you; you seem to want to reject scientific knowledge for a more personal compatible version.
This is entirely up to you. I can only hope that you can at least see the possibility that this idea is antithetical to both the scientific understanding and religion itself. You may find you are just mentally tying yourself up in knots. Ultimately, your idea here is not consistant with the universe as we know it.
Geeze whiz!
I really opened up a great and Holy can o' worms here, eh?:D
...that's what I get for opening my big mouth...
Hey Dickbill,
..that's a dangerous position, If everything is symbolistic in the bible then...what is true finally?
What is truth? Now there's a loaded question. Without getting to deeply into a theological arguement, suffice to say that I think truth is what is verifiable and actual. Truth is a tough word to define in any case. I'd hope that the bible was not the only guide post or tool a person had for truth. Symbols and metaphors are devices used in literature to reveal the various forms of philosophic and moral truths pertaining to their protagonist's circumstances. The moral truth of a man who was believed to have sacrificed himself for the sake of others is a powerful one - it doesn't require any science to verify that.
People being ressurrected from the dead, born of virgin birth, walking on water, etc, if taken seriously and literally must come face to face with what knowledge and experience has proven as possible or impossible. Works of fiction, whether based on real people that actually existed in history or not, can still 'move mountains', as it were. It's called inspiration and it's an awesome motivator, but science and factual knowledge can inspire and motivate too, profoundly! I'm not saying get rid of the stories. I'm saying lets put them into clear perspective. Love still exists. Sacrifice for the greater good still exists. The religions of this world do not have a monopoly on Morality, and neither does a single book of poignant stories. I do not and will never discount the emotional, moral, and philosophic power of any type of historic literature. It is indeed vitally important and has its own right to exist, after all, we owe some degree of gratitude to it's attempt to bring civilization and the trauma of everyday life to a manageable, bearable level. In my opinion we needed it to reassure ourselves when dealing with the 'unknown' and to deal with our mortality. But today, the situation is substantially different. Science is clearing a path through the unknown in ways the stone age peoples of years past would consider godlike. We have grown up considerably since those desperate times and are continueing to grow every day. There is no need to throw away morality or discount it. Indeed, if we lose our humility, I suspect we will perish as a species, and the universe will go on, unaffected by its loss.
If it's symbolistic, then well, the whole edifice collapses... It's not what you say that matters but what you do.
Great point. You learned that message well. If it were proven that Jesus did not exist, irrefutably, why should that fact change your faith toward humanity? You now have the gift of understanding an important lesson of life! Should his existence make any difference? The hero, in fiction has not suffered in vain IF, the reader has appreciated and embraced respectfully that character's burden. No writer writes from a blank slate! Where does all the great written material come from? It is copied from, life! We should relish that awesome, creative gift of imagination to get across an important point to any who will listen. We don't have to jump off a cliff to know what will happen in reality. We don't have to nail ourselves to a cross to understand the passion. Jesus doesn't have to be made real, in the flesh, physically, for his message to be meaningful or any less real, any more than he would have to be born of virgin or walk on water. You, will take care of the real stuff, the meaningful, humanistic stuff, in the here and now, because you care and you are actually here. Why have a crutch?
It's a fake argument to say 'it don't matter your faith, it's allright to be a scientist and choose whatever fits your belief at your convenience because science study the laws of science and God has its own laws that don't matter for us'. It's a fundamental and very deep problem of philosophy and science. I very deeply believe that Jesus Christ was submitted to the same gravitational law of attraction than you and me and so, he could not possibly walk on the water, etc. But I still believe he did, without special physical laws (otherwise called magie). So ?
It is important. Your absolutely right, dickbill. What do you say? Do you think that if we go on discussing this long enough, that we will build a bridge of understanding between religion and science? :;): Some of what I said above pertains to what you said here. When all is said and done it is ultimately your personal choice how you want to live your life and think about life. I don't have a solution for you or an answer. I've done my best only to examine more closely some problems inherent in the Faith versus Skeptical Inquiry debate. I can only say with certainty that we as humans do what we must to get through this life. Everyone is different and is entitled to their way of life and opinion of what it means and is. I can do no more.
There is a deeper issue here though, to do with the nature of science and evidence and where you draw the line when you say, 'I don't know'.
Hi Adrian,
I just love your Sagan analogy. Wonderful!
Just a brief addition; In retrospect the person would realize he waisted an incredible amount of time and effort trying to prove the existance/or not, of the dragon. Especially if he had been led down this road before by other pseudo hoaxes. It wasn't a waste ofcourse if this was his first attempt.
But at some point we must move on - our energies and time are too precious to entertain yet another 'likely' possibility of something unprovable.
( ...personally I think that Shaun was just wanting to set me straight using my own criteria...but of course, I can't prove that... :;):
No offense Shaun, your the greatest! :up:
Thanks for that one Julius Caesar!!!
...perhaps you could find out for us what Herod had to say 'bout all this?! :;):
But seriously, the original question was the concern of religious perception or backlash with regard to finding life on Mars. The digressions come from an insistance to rationalize the compatibility of religion to scientific findings as a result of my focusing on a choice of words used by RG concerning the supposed 'faith of scientists' which I believe is a missapplication when used from within a religious context. This is a very simple, little, some think harmless, misrepresentation of the science community, as commonly refered to as... 'light hearted humour' is used to gloss over something that makes folks feel discomfort... after all, its annoying that a significant, factual detail should intrude on the comfy feelings of a feeling group of harmless, well-intentioned faithful. But this doesn't diminish, in my view anyway, the importance of it.
The innate tendency to ignore or brush off, or misinterpret, evidence and the methods used to obtain it by the religious because of the discomfort it creates within the 'spiritual' mind-set is palpable. The logical, rational part of that mind-set is forced to deal with actual results and forms of proof which counter the faith impulse to trust in traditional thought and ideas. "Don't question," they say,"Have faith in God! Jesus...(or whoever) will reveal the answers..."
There a number of states in the U.S. that feel the teaching of evolution, or the teaching of it without creationism as a 'balance', is unfair. Apparently the two subjects are considered on equal par. Either 'could' equally be true. I find this disturbing, especially if the creationist agenda is taught as if it were true. If that's the case then remove biology, geology, chemistry...any and all the sciences and lets go back to a predominately religious education system. Hell, while were at it, why not dissolve the separation of church and state?
Hi Dickbill,
What about Occam's Razor? The simplist explanation?
Maybe miracles are just that, manipulation of probability instead of forces. If you could control the entropic content of physical system without touching the temperature and volume of the system, that means you could control the probabilities associated with the description of that system. We don't know how to do that of course, but maybe Jesus Christ knew.
...or maybe they were metaphors used to comfort a superstitious population that desperately needed other-worldly comfort in a time which admittedly must have been torturous. Don't get me wrong, it's a great story, but it's just that - a great story. They didn't have special effects in those days, so miracles of fiction had to suffice.
Pheww!!.. Now, having said all that. This whole diatribe was intended only as a point I wanted to make with regard to RG's innocent enough comment and word usage. I apologize for rocking the boat here. I felt a need to express something and I did, that's what forums are for after all. It's still a free country where religion and science can live, at least with civility, if not in marriage.
If life is found on Mars, and its proven to be Martian in origin, things are gonna change... gradually, over time...
Thanks for your patience.
Hi RG,
Your comments indicate you're still accepting by faith
I'm glad you didn't perceive me as bashing you. It's not personal. But, to continue, I'm not clear on your definition of faith.
To me 'having faith' is equivalent to 'acceptance without question'. Inquiry implys questioning. Inquiry also implys examination, thought, and reason - explanation. Inquiry implys also an impetus to seek out knowledge; the active distrust of, or compulsion to go beyond, traditional assumptions of reality and knowledge. To know the unknown. To turn darkness into light, as it were. There are clearly different usages and meanings that are applicable to faith dependant upon context;
1) A strong belief in a supernatural power or powers that control human destiny.
2) Complete confidence in a person or plan etc.
3) Institution to express belief in a divine power.
4) Loyalty or allegiance to a cause or a person.
These definitions are weak, but hopefully that covers the word generally.
...you're still accepting by faith (within the english language meaning of the word) what NASA says without any backup except their implied position that they are telling the truth...
Implied position they are truthful? My education confirms it. (Which admittedly wasn't the greatest)
My life experience backs up my education. (with the exception of world politics and english literature)
I have reason - understanding - a foundation which bolsters my confidence in science and it's results.
Of course, if I were to test every hypothesis and theory, for myself, that has ever been postulated in the history of science - and that would be true to my convictions of questioning everything, I would not have enough life left to enjoy my personally verified findings. (This is a great way to understand science but at some point one must delegate the task!)There is a very real chain of reasoning and verification which has been worked hard for over the centuries. Probability is, that if what little of that admittedly huge edifice of knowledge I have absorbed through schooling has made any sense to me, then I am going to hazard a bet that the resulting logical chain of evidence to support the rest of the 'structure' is worthy of my trust.
...their implied position that they are telling the truth; something that neither you nor I probably have the scientifically verifiable means to determine unless given the unbiased data...
Why would they not be telling the truth? If you mean they speculate, and then could be proven wrong, well, yes. That's the scientific method. That's what happens. We test and validate and test again. If our results tell us we are wrong, we rewrite our textbooks. In science being wrong is a part of the process. Without that failure and error, questioning and testing, verifying and evaluating, we would not be practicing science, the search for fact and truth. If Nasa is bias, they will be rudely awakened for their stubborness by the scientific method itself and our human propensity for accepting nothing but the truth; what is actual - not wished or hoped, or assumed to be true...
Make no mistake, Nasa and all other scientific organizations have been wrong MOST of the time, during their process of investigations. Their success a mere pittance as compared to the vast list of their misguided, though innocent, failures. Just like MOST humans, throughout evolutionary history and time, were NOT selected for by nature; only a few were fruitful and multiplied, by analogy.
As for Isaac Newton, I don't know much about his personal life (with the exception that I've heard he was a merciless and nasty so n' so later in life, but that's just rumor.)
There are many scientists out there today who have no problem 'compartmentalizing', somehow, their religious faith. (though I suspect they are in a very small minority) I personally do not understand this. There's something scary about it and I'm highly skeptical of their depth of understanding, or perhaps purposeful ignorance, of what they practice, both professionally, in their scientific milieu and their personal religious lives. There's something suspiciously schizophrenic about the whole thing... I can't comment really because I just cannot comprehend the two notions 'living together' compatibly within the same brain. Very strange. I'm not a dualist, so I find it difficult to reconcile duality (a supernatural other-world, outside of what is understood or understandable... in the knowable universe we inhabit, which for me is all.) but then, ofcourse, we don't know eveything yet, do we? :;):
Wow! I go away for a bit and I'm way behind you guys! Love the responses.
Hi Rxke,
...but don't underestimate gene-tech in the 'shorter' future to 'upgrade' humans...
I don't know... I just have a tough time feeling very 'secure or comfortable' with where this biotechnology is going. There are so many potentially chaotic/random variables which can't be accounted for when dealing with such inherent complexity and 'what-results-down-the-road' emergence issues.
Even without all our genetic tinkering I've long suspected that our species could be at a disturbingly close demise just through a possible genetic deterioration - weakness (es) - we may be unaware of just through the longevity issue you bring up. Perhaps there's just some 'roof' we will hit in the code itself, a termination point where more complexity can be no more, or better yeat a genetic flaw which, through sheer chance, dooms our species within the next few millenia or so. Never mind what our intentional manipulations might produce in the long term. I'm certainly not an optimistic futurist when pondering about the fragility of our proud and determined species from a genetic standpoint. Where genetic tinkering can benifit in the 'short term' with crops and stemcells, etc, we have so little data on the longterm/outcome those effects will have. I guess its the 'predictability' of the technology as compared with 'physical, non-biological mechanism' yet imitative of biology, that I would feel more confident/comfortable with. But perhaps I underestimate the advances, the 'control over' - or lack thereof - for which we predetermine a desired outcome. I admit I have a very poor understanding of present day biotech. I often wonder if it has confidence in itself or if its just on an economic 'fast track' to prove itself?
Hi Sbird,
Instead, tiny mechanical versions of us or even binary encodings of our minds in radio message will be how we travel from star to star.
However it manifests itself the idea is definitely similar. I like this idea. Tiny nano-mechanisms dispersed through the cosmos... or even sophisticated photonic holograms, or some such devices, as probes, say,... the light barrier and time are our only real issues for hopping between other star systems. Yes, the mind reels!
Hi Cobra,
...but to completely discard our biological faults simply to be more efficient would be a great loss. Such a future is a horrifying prospect.
I whole heartedly empathize. That's why I feel we almost have to include all those traits in our machinations which preserve what makes us uniquely human, though it may appear a false veneer over time. Kind of like eating veggy burgers to give the feeling that we are still eating a burger without the actual meat! But then all this speculation on my part is very 21st century human-centric. Tomorrows humans will sympathize and care little of our concerns for the comforts and pleasures of flesh, I suspect.
Just think! All that we consider 'important' now, will one day be considered so trivial... it staggers the mind! I guess that's why I love good science fiction - when done well it's like a slap in the face, waking us up not to just what might be, but to what is really, truly important about our existence.
There's a big jump from augmenting the body with technology and augmenting the mind. I suspect that many people who would replace a lost limb with an equal or superior bionic one would not be so enthusiastic to add microprocessors into their brains or be encoded as data to reside entirely in a machine.
Yes, the notion of 'plugging into' a machine, perhaps implanting/encoding ones neural processes digitally is a fascinating one in sci-fi. Both disturbing yet beautiful in a morbidly fascinating way...
...Despite the desire for immortality, I think we need that...(death)...Eternal life will almost certainly breed cowardice, why take a risk? ....
It's so hard to say what eternal life would be like. It's a hell of a long time. I wonder if having the 'choice' to vanish into eternity would be considered a positive, much like we may empathize with the terminally ill who wish to be 'turned off' out of mercy. Presently our minds cannot conceive of the immense periods of time taken by evolution that resulted in us. But eternity!... (I need a drink).
Matbe though we will just 'adapt' to the immensity of time? We'll certainly have to keep ourselves busy!
...If you would be able to live, say 10000 years, you wouldn't dare to even cross the street anymore, statistics would prove the chances to get killed are too high,...
I'd hope that with our sophistication by that time we would be very careful about such things. In other words our ability to prevent will grow exponentially with our statistical odds of getting run over when crossing a galactic asteroid field. :;):
I like Mad Grads last statement:
Right now, humanity's next step is clear. Fix the planet. Stop this mass extinction. Go to Mars. Go to the rest of the solar system. Go to Alpha Centauri. Go to other star systems. Develop some cool new technology. That should keep us busy for the next 20,000 years or so, but what after that? At least we won't have to deal with that for a while.
I have to go to bed now...
...Why couldn't an alien civilisation have left just one enormous artifact behind them to tell us they'd been there?...
...cause that would just be too Kubrick! (ian?) (or was it Arthur C?)
Hi Shaun,
Your point concerning the hastiness of judgement on the face... is taken.
I most humbley stand corrected. Thanks for that one. :;):
:;):
Hi Gen,
Actually its a Mariner 9 shot I believe. In my book 'A Travellers Guide...' there are better close up shots, and your right, those walls are 3 kilometers on a side. And yes, that's an 86 kilometer eroded impact crater it sits upon, partially buried under sediments. There's a fascinating explanation in the book; "...radial and concentric fractures produce these patterns of rectalinear ridges... a partial exhumation of a previously buried structure...(crater)" , similar examples of which can be found on our moon.
It's a great red herring though, don't you think? I think it beats 'the face' any day!
:laugh:
We all know that 'evolution', when understood properly, has no direction, no purpose, is not goal oriented. It is a process of developmental change through ever increasing levels of complexity (or not), via natural selection. Given humanity's ever-expanding knowledge base and technological sophistication I can't help but wonder if one day humans will forsake their carbon-based, biological shells for highly sophisticated mechnisms allowing us to live practically forever, repair ourselves if damaged, and still be able to incorporate all the 'human' emotions and qualities that appear to 'make us human' and experience life at a higher (whatever that means) level of being. This would not be the 'Borg', by any means. One could, if one were inclined, claim this as the next significant step in mankind's evolution - though this would be a 'directed' implementation rather than 'selected for' naturally... you could argue that since man was selected for, so his creation/extension having merged with biology would result in an (excuse me for the Borg reference) artificial, though still natural selection - an assimilation - of sorts.
It is also entirely possible that we may encounter another alien species that has made this transition. This could be our ticket to immortality and the stars.
Comments? Ideas? Feelings?
Excellent question Byron!
In the beginning I would suspect that there would be an incredible wave of skepticism, from, ironically, the religious right.
Dependant on the kind of evidence I'd say, if it were in microbial form, there would be all kinds of naysayers no matter what technology was brought to bare. It could have begun on Earth, after all.
If it were in fossil form, again there would be doubts and rationalizations of reinterpretation of scriptures the world over, a sort of collective revisionism of interpretation of scriptures in every culture.
If we found a tiny alien animal or insect, someone would say it was orchestrated by some mad geneticist in South America and imported to the then existant Mars colony.
If we were visited by an actual alien intelligence, the religious communities most likely would unanimously agree that they were hostile Satanic minions and should be eradicated from the face of the Earth.
Or they would revise their personal interpretations of scripture ...
Or an enthusiastic group of missionaries would request to be taken to their homeworld where they would begin the business of conversion, pronto! :;):
...or we'd be eaten. And we wouldn't have to worry about such things.
However there are 'religious' or 'faith' aspects to some of the opinions which NASA presents as fact before they provide the data to back them up.
I can't help myself.. May the powers that be, at New Mars, forgive me for what I'm about to say. I can't help myself.
RG, I apologize in advance for I must really take issue with your choice of words here. There is a popular tendency amoung the religiously inclined to mix drinks when discussing science and religion. I don't want to offend or pretend take your right to belief away from you, but, spirituality and scientific investigation are, by definition and practice, diametrically opposed. It is important to the integrity of science that this is so - science cannot exist otherwise. Faith in holy doctrine and spiritual belief are not the same as a scientist's axioms which originated from the examination of hard factual evidence through scientific questioning and the seeking of reason leading progressively to the knowledge we humans have so determinedly struggled for since the very beginnings of mans evolution.
Faith in religious doctrine and 'assumption' based on empirical evidence are two very different forms of 'spirit'.
A Nasa scientist can hardly be accused of 'having faith', in the religious context your implying, for an educated speculation based on a tested hypothesis.
There also seems to be a more vehement evangelism amoung those who refuse to believe in a force smarter, stronger, and functioning adroitly in more dimensions than we do, than amoung most of those who seem to agree with me in these areas, perhaps to my shame. I've come to this conclusion partly by reading the posts within the New Mars forum.
Again your using religious terminology to describe those who's efforts are not definable within a religious context.
To be honest, I have to admit that I do not know, one way or the other, of a supreme being (in the religious sense and not the 'advanced alien being' sense). I'm quite convinced there are forces smarter, stronger, and perhaps even functioning in multidimensions... but I think that entity(s) such as these will be explainable and examinable, quantifiable, and understandable. But likely we may mistaken them for godliness, who knows? Call me a blockheaded fanatical skeptical rationalist if you want.(Thanks for that one ecrasez.) I can't help myself.
But one thing, RG, there must never be 'shame' no matter what our persuasions. We are united in our humanity and in love despite our systems of belief. There is no contradiction in this.
I do believe that overall, as we progress throughout the solar system and the stars, that many of the religiously dominant cultures on our planet will be introspectively re-examining their most cherished beliefs. Some will move on, others will dig in their heels. But I suspect that the big 4 - Islam, Christianity, Judaism and Buddhism - will be with us for centuries to come, but most likely in a form unrecognizable to us now. And who knows? Perhaps there will be an alien religion brought to Earth which will convert us all with its power...
...but I suspect that's unlikely.
No offense, but there is a book called, 'A Travellers guide to Mars' by William K. Hartmann. At Chapter 32, page #336 there is a marvellous narrative concerning the whole 'myth' of Cydonia and its infamous 'face'. Give it a read just for fun. There isn't enough space here for me to comment on what is said but suffice to say the controversy seems to be laid to rest, at least for most of the scientific community. I suppose though that will make little difference to the faithful.
Thanks for that Rxke,
Haven't been there for a while. Interesting forum. Very little mincing with words, I like it. :up:
Here, Here! I second that Stu! It's wonderful, and we should consider ourselves lucky that each of us live in countries where the spirit of skeptical inquiry is held at such high regard and we aren't criticized for our ability to criticize. Let's have a love in! *hug*, *hug*, *kissy*, *kiss*. :laugh:
It seems to me that they're almost trying to prepare us for the possibility of identifiable fossils being found; a subject which, as Rxke quite correctly points out, would have been treated with a smugly superior kind of gentle derision by scientists and journalists only a few months ago.
Yes, I got a real gut feeling Tuesday night, listening to the press briefing, that Steve Squyres et al were quietly preparing us, and the media, for the possible discovery of fossils at Endurance in the weeks ahead, leading everyone gently away from "there's no way we'll find anything biological; we're just looking for traces of water, honest" towards "well, now we know Mars used to be wet here then it's not that huge a surprise that we've found a fossil..."
I honestly think they're smelling fossils over there in Endurance now. I seriously believe that they are preparing themselves - and us - for at least the possibility of finding something amazing in there.
Far be it from me to poop on anyones party. I too am carried away with the speculation and possibilities. With all due respect, there's nothing wrong with dreaming, hell, it keeps many of us going through life. On the other hand, I believe we need to keep in mind the possibility of there being NO fossils at Endurance. Perhaps a few extra spherules. Maybe we will just see more of the same as we've seen at Eagle crater. It's entirely possible. I thought we would see something remarkable at Bonneville (well, it was remarkable in and of itself, very pretty, but we do seem to be heading for the hills now...)
I don't want anyone here to hate me for saying this. I just don't like the 'big' letdowns which seem inherent when building up too much expectation and anticipation toward an upcoming event. I'd hazard a guess that many scientists are reserved for that very reason - they've been disappointed far too often in the past. I guess I'm just saying that it is possible that 'we' are reading far too much into the press conferences. Steve Squyres may be secretly harbouring exciting information none of us are aware of, Nasa may be covetously withholding some prime speculation just waiting for the right moment to spring it on its unsuspecting public, I don't know and I couldn't say. But if asked directly, I'm sure Dr. Squyres would flat out deny the possibility of fossils at Endurance until he was absolutely sure.
Speculation is such a double edged sword. ???
(I'm not claiming it isn't fun though...) :;):
... I wonder whether it may have been a good PR exercise for NASA to employ a full-time geologist/front-man to prepare daily discussions of the MER findings?...
I suspect, at least initially, that's what the almost daily press conferences were for, amoung other considerations, considering that the mission news was so fresh at that time. The now weekly press conferences have been providing a thorough overview of what JPL/Nasa feels is necessary - anymore than that is probably considered 'overkill hypothisizing'. They are reporting the facts as they see them, as they are discovered. The rest of the world can take those facts and expound on them, or leave them. I'm not sure they have much time to concern themselves with the wild speculations. The careful conservative evaluations are as they should be - rigorous and scientific. No more, no less. The last thing any scientist wants to do in front of the cameras and the world's scientific community is have their reputations tarnished by jumping-the-gun on some half-baked educated guess or imaginative hunch, suspicion, gut instinct, etc.
(I mean, what would we, the speculating public have to do?!!)
...If we find another shape just like it, on the other hand, that will change the situation markedly...
Indeed! From what I'm given to understand, many 'commands' are issued at once and then executed by the rover team. It could be that the ratting of the 'crinoid-like' feature was accidental due to the timing between the upload/discovery of the object in the picture and the ratting execution. The idea that the whole of the Nasa/JPL/Mer leadership conspired to 'drill' the evidence out of public view is outrageously absurd. What are they going to do when, at Endurance crater, they find a three meter high outcrop with a few dozen similar formations sticking out of it? They gonna break the arm trying to drill these annoyances out of view? Or maybe they'll subject all the pictures to photoshop before releasing them to the public? After all, Universal Darwinism is a threat to the Bush administration...:;):
Sure it was unfortunate that this strange feature was ratted. But there must be others where that came from. Surely that wasn't the only one. Hoagland and the other 'cover-up fanatics' will continue to make their money with 'new findings'. Probability dictates that sooner or later a legitamate photo of a real fossil will turn up in these peoples hands, and I will wager anything that they will pounce on the opportunity to rub the emulsion off into Nasa's face, screaming "I told you so, I told you so!! I discovered it first!! I tried to tell them but they wouldn't listen to me!!". ...bullocks.
If the 'crinoid-like' feature was a legitimate fossil, and their are others, you can be rest assured that Nasa will do everything in their power to varify that discovery with solid, factual, scientifically irrefutable evidence.... and they won't make wild, outrageous assertions before a panel of the worlds best scientists are convinced beyond a shadow of a doubt.
Here it is folks! Is this the final word on the Martian blueberry spherules?
[http://www.space.com/missionlaunches/ma … 40317.html]Hematite's the word!
There are figures for the daily radiation dosage in the four moons in Zubrin's book about exploring the solar system. Callisto is outside the belts and okay. Ganymede radiation is 7 or 8 rems a day, I think; that would kill someone outside in about a month. Europa is much higher, Io even higher,
But I bet those figures don't take into account the fact that Europa and Ganymede both have weak magnetic fields of their own. The radiation should be diverted to their poles and the equatorial areas would be relatively less bombarded. Maybe Ganymede would be habitable at the equator. The other moons will be visited only robotically, I suspect.
-- RobS
I could be wrong on this but I seem to remember reading recently about Europa being protected from solar and cosmic radiation by Jupiters magnetic field which envelopes the watery moon completely. I'll try to find where I read that...
[=http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/mars_fossils_040316.html]Fossils on Mars?
It's so easy for this (me) arm chair fossil hunter and professional backseat observer to come to these snap conclusions based on observation of photos alone. For me anyway, it's too tempting to fall into the 'Hoagland trap' of biasly looking for and projecting my desires onto inanimate things. (albeit, Hoagland seems to make his living from this delusional practice, to the dismay of many in the scientific community.) Having said that though, it can be fun to speculate, I suppose, as long as the speculation remains 'fun'.
(now... what are those damnable blueberries made of?!!) :bars: