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Which leads us to another question: Will they be called potato chips or potato crisps on Mars?!
--Cindy
I haven't heard of fried slices of potatoes being referred to as crisps very often. Is it more common in Britain to call them potato crisps rather than potato chips? Maybe it's common in the Midwest to call them potato crisps?
Nuclear fission power is zero emmision and works well in the large scale, something few other low or zero emission power souces can claim. And I have seen the geology behind sites like Yucca Mountain, if it needs to be disposed of, it can be done safely.
This is one reason I'm very much in favor of Earthbased nuclear power plants. People are always afraid of the radioactive "waste" but they fail to realize that the crap being pumped into the atmosphere from coalburning plants releases significant amounts of radiation into the environment itself because of the uranium that is naturally mixed in with the coal. A nuclear powerplant is designed so that there is very little release of radiation into the environment outside of the reactor containment whereas a coal burning plants takes no measures to stop release of radiatio. And additionally, nuclear waste is far easier to deal with in a sanitary manner than trying to deal with billions of tons of coal ash that is often radioactive itself for reasons already mentioned. A handful of uranium will generate as much power as whole traincar load of coal. Now tell me which produces less waste? I should add to that unlike oil, uranium could keep us powered for thousands of years at current power usages if we were to employ breeder reactors to make more fissionables.
Waste is not an issue for space travel. The notion of polluting interplanetary space is comparable to polluting the ocean by dumping salty water into it.
lol, I like that analogy even though I think Soph was more worried about what to do with the actual physical waste rather than the radiation itself (which space is full of of course.)
Just how dumb does one have to be not to realize that science and technological progress is one of the most important driving forces in history? And this idiot is a prof.
To be honest this doesn't really surprise me. From my personal experience, it seems that a lot of professors view progress soley in terms of how we are from a social and arts standpoint. And I'm sure there are plenty more professors who think high technology is a curse and will only lead to the further ruin of the planet. They don't realize that creating technology is just as much a mode of human expression and a driver of change as is creating works of art or political systems. And some professors are just plain narrow minded and don't think at all outside of their fields. They're good in their specialty but nothing else.
PHOBOS!!!
CONGRATULATIONS ON BREAKING THE 1000 POST BARRIER!
If I'm correct, you're the first person to do it, right?
Thanx! I guess I'm a certified babbling lunatic now.
the beauty of expanding to multiple planets or extraterrestrial bodies is that if, say earth, were to become a planet of cyborgs, other human havens could be sufficiently isolated to stay human. people could become many different things. eating different foods may well be a huge catalyst for evolution. we take in different quantities of proteins, amino acids, etc., our bodies would adapt to fit our diet.
Isolating groups of people from each other would definately accelerate evolution. I've read about a number of biologists who think that human biological evolution might not progress much further on this planet because the gene pool is too large and there aren't many groups that exist in isolation long enough for any significant biological change to really take root. At least I think that's the way the reasoning goes.
to play devils advocate, nanotech IS dangerous. it could be used for assasinations, infiltrations, spying, and any number of evil things. you cant stop progress, but how do you stop the bad parts of it?
Wish I knew. I'm optimistic though we'll find the answers. Maybe we'll be able to create somekind of detection net that would warn us about strange or malicious nanomachines in the environment even though it would seem easy to defeat such a scheme. Maybe our immune systems could be augmented with nanotech that catalogs the chemical signatures of nanomachines that are considered friendly and immediately moves to destroy those that don't fit its "catalog" descriptions even though you could just engineer nanobots to defeat those schemes in the same way AIDS virii can escape killer T-cells. I guess time will tell if we'll be able to defend ourselves or not against malicious uses of nanotech.
Photons (2): Emitted by luminous objects in space, they are capable of forming images on sensititive (CCD) arrays without distortion from any distance, in spite of having taken up to billions of years to arrive in the case of most distant observable objects. My gut interpretation of this is that, since they propagate at the "speed of light," to a photon regardless of frequency (energy), distance has no meaning and therefore no time exists for distortions to intervene. But I can't find anything in the literature that deals with astronomical image sharpness in terms of the medium (photons).
Could you explain further what you mean when you say the light doesn't arrive distorted? I can think of an image being distorted from it's original form due to things like the influence of gravity on the light before it reaches the ccd, but I think that's not the type of thing your talking about. Anyways, about the relativity thing, for us the observers, we would be able to observe possible distortions because we don't exist in "frozen time" like the light itself does. It would take infinity for the light to realize it has been messed with somehow but not for us. I'm not sure though if were both on the same page.
We are taking another look at nuclear energy. A technology with huge potential which keeps getting shelved despite an excellent safety record.
Very true. Even though we should use alternative sources of power if their practicle to use we shouldn't just outright ban or shun nuclear power. Everything has its place.
Relativity would make it mathematically impossible to exceed lightspeed, so according to current understanding it appears improbable that we could exceed that limit. However, I believe that warp drive just folds space, or basically compresses the distance, so it might be possible to traverse huge distances without actually needing to exceed the speed of light. I know one thing though something like that will never happen until we can generate so much energy that the sun looks like a 9 volt battery in comparison.
I don't know if this 'lifespan' applies to intelligent species, though, since they should have the sense to avoid many of the extinction traps a non-sentient species tends to fall into.
And perhaps an intelligent species consciously resists evolution by using technology to control genetic mutations which, though possibly advantageous, are seen as socially unacceptable.
Maybe I'm misunderstanding people when they mention that a civilization can't last longer than X amount of time. Just because an intelligent species might change form I don't think that will necessarily spell the end of civilization, the civilization rather could just evolve with the changes. Certainly an intelligent species wouldn't just discard all of its technology and other knowledge and go back to the jungle just to start over again unless some outside influence were to force such a change. Personally I think in a thousand years we'll be more machine than human. Oh well, I better stop before I start going on a long transhumanist rant.
The thing that we need is a simple escape vehicle for the ISS, not some over-complex-brimming-with-new-technology Dyna-Soar revival ship. In my opinion, the best thing would be something like a six-person Voskhod.
I couldn't agree more. I think we should just buy Soyuz capsules from Russia or buy a license to produce them. It seems a lot easier and cheaper than totally reinventing the wheel. I wonder how these new return ships will be lifted to the station. If we use the space shuttle for the task we could definately save money just hiring Russia to launch Soyuz capsules using their own launchers.
the only computer on the apollo mission was a glorified calculator.
My TI-80 is probably a supercomputer compared to the comp on the Apollo spacecrafts.
Thy name is Oil.
Of course it's about oil. Just imagine the impact it would have on the world if some madman, namely Saddam Hussein, decided to conquer all of his neighbors and became the sole owner of most of the world's oil. I think people are forgetting that Saddam actually took it upon himself to invade and occupy a sovereign country and it would be lunacy and idiocy to let that psychopath run free and do as he wishes. I have no love for Saddam Hussein. Even though I'm not really jumping on the bandwagon in support of going to war, I really won't lose sleep at night if someone manages to use Saddam's head as a soccer ball.
why cant civilizations exist for millions of years?
I often ask this question myself. A lot of people out there seem to jump to the conclusion that there's some undiscovered law of the universe that will automatically terminate the existence of a civilization after a few thousand years. Of course many of the people who spout such cynicism are the very ones who oppose human civilization moving out into space and oppose its technological advances so perhaps it'll be a self-fulfilling prophesy as far as human civilization is concerned.
I'm imagining sending out a few nanobots, designed to attack and destroy, say, anthrax microbes. These nanobots self-replicate, creating trillions of copies of themselves, and dutifully kill all the anthrax bugs. For some reason, though, they fail to differentiate between anthrax and E.Coli. So they go on killing until all the E.Coli on Earth are dead ... including the ones in all human digestive systems, on which we depend for our digestive processes!
Humanity then dies from terrible indigestion followed by malnutrition!!
Is any of this remotely possible?
Is this the kind of thing Jeremy Rifkin is worried about?
Jeremy Rifkin and his ilk aren't worried so much about the unintended consequences that could arise due to nanotech but rather the intentional use of it as a weapon and for other negative uses. Personally I think we'll be able to solve most of these issues and there's no putting the genie back in the bottle once it's let out. You can try to ban it all you want but it'll eventually surface. It's just too promising and personally I think we should work on it. I think the neo-luddites see nanotech and everything else for that matter with the same eyes that the original luddites spied the mechanized weaving machines. They just don't realize the enormous beneficial uses that nanomachines could be used for. Uses which outweight the negative aspects in my opinion. But then again maybe your right, the law of unintended consequences may do us in and cause us all to die from horrible indigestion.
Is a Segway thingy one of those contraptions like a two-wheeled pogo-stick?
A $4500 two wheeled pogo-stick. I don't know about their use on Mars, I think it would be better for the astronauts to walk around using their two legs to keep themselves in physical shape. We don't want to make it too easy on 'em.
If you mean "completely safe" as in absolutely 100% certain that no failure could ever occur the answer would have to be no. But I think the risk can be brought acceptably low. RTGs for instance are highly durable and have a lot of redundancy as far as safety goes. Not only is the shell harder than hell to crack but the fuel itself is encapsulated in such a way that if the plutonium were released to the environment it would fall in large, insoluable chunks that wouldn't pose a grave respiratory threat and would make cleaning up the released plutonium a lot easier. But of course nothing is fail safe. It just depends on how much risk you can tolerate. Nuclear fuel that isn't intended for immediate use could probably be stored in a fashion similiar to that of plutonium in RTGs.
F) low cost access to LEO will lead to space observatories operated by consortiums of large universities-building those observatories will be profitable for the builders
Perhaps the reason some of these launchers are having a hard time finding employment is because of the high launch costs themselves. I believe there would be a lot done in space if the launch prices were to come down very dramatically, like $100 a kg as opposed to $5000-$25000 per kg. I think Bill White is correct in the sense that launchers as they exist now could use more business but I believe the reason is price and not necessarily because there is a true lack of demand out there. For instance if automobiles were priced at a million dollars each it'd be easy to deduce there is no demand for them when in reality there's plenty of demand for them but the price exceeds the limits.
I wonder whether there's any possibility of bacteria developing an immunity (i.e. some kind of defence system) against nano-machines sent to break them down?
It would be an interesting contest. Defences honed by billions of years of savage competition for survival, versus machines created by the most fiendishly ingenious brains that Earthly evolution has yet produced!
Interesting question. Since nano-machines could be as small as a few carbon molecules in length/width it's possible organisms might develop defenses against them but I'm betting on the fiendishly ingenious brains to win out. I just hope nobody falls in the septic tank. No telling what those little bugs might do to you. You'd have to have a good containment system that would destroy the nanotech if they get released from their environment. Not sure how you'd go about doing that. Just another sticky problem that might lead to the end of mankind as we know it.
Shaun: I just got interested enough to read your original offering...but your "six months" were up long ago. Shouldn't you delete the damn thing, and get back to serious proposals?
Shaun shouldn't delete his messages. The last thing we need around here are people telling other people not to delete or not post their ideas. Personally I enjoy this speculation on wild technologies whether they ultimately pan out or not.
Just suppose that while we're all examining rocket capabilities, both chemical and nuclear, or even surmising about space elevators, the real action is happening in research labs.
Call me a dreamer if you will (I've been called worse! ), but wouldn't it be stunning if the gravito-magnetic effect were just about to make all our arguments moot?!!
I certainly won't be the one to argue against the possibility that radical new technologies could come along and totally make our discussions about elevators and rockets seem outdated and primitive. Personally I hope it happens! Who knows, Shaun might be rubbing our faces in it when that first anti-grav ship glides easily and quietly out past the atmosphere and toward Mars.
This all depends on the price of a pound orbit coming down to well under $1000. What's your idea??? Some original thought would be appreciated.
I'm pinning my hopes on the space elevator. I have no idea if Highlift will ultimately pull it off or not but it would certainly bring launch costs below a $1000 and since it's being operated by a private company it's possible it'll open space access that much more to organizations who could never afford to launch payloads using the traditional government subsidized system. I'm beginning to subscribe to the RaW idea, rockets are wrong.
The Russian plan does have the great advantage of a reusable spacecraft. The plan as posted has the problem that it calls for the spacecraft to spend 3 months spiralling out from low Earth orbit to escape velocity.
To solve the slow spiralling problem we could just use a simpler version of the Earth return vehicle that would dock with cycler in orbit and just shoot the crew back to Earth once the cycler begins it orbital maneuvers around Earth. Instead of outfitting the ERV with six months of suppliies it would only need enough to keep the astronauts alive for the time it takes to get back from the cycler to Earth. Additional ERV's could be hooked up the cycler that would also act as landing craft that would carry inflatable habs to be set up at the landing site.
I loved it when I recently read about some politician complaining about how the foresight institute people act like they won't get regulated by the government.
I think we should strive to regulate the more negative uses of nanotech, but I get your point, it's guaranteed that the government will over stretch it's heavy hand even though it still won't reach far enough. Look at human cloning research. It's been banned in the USA and a few other places but it just got shifted to countries like Italy and Israel. The same will happen to nanotech if X government tries to ban it.
Which government? If we don't like your current policies, we'll move to another country! Or off this planet!
It would certainly be a lot easier to live off planet with advanced nanotech. Living in a closed life support system would be cinch since you could just break down wastes into their constituent elements and recombine them into more useful forms and store the excess in their pure elemental state for future use. It would even break down microbes and viruses so disease itself wouldn't likely breed well in the loop. It would be a crime against humanity if two bit dictator wanna-bes like Jeremy Rifkin decide nanotech is "immoral" and thus retard it's development. God knows it would be stupid not to develop nanotech just so we have some defense should someone else try to deploy it as a weapon.
I share your sentiment that nanotechnology will be truly revolutionary. I think instead of us fighting over this rock advanced nanotechnology could instead create such an abundance of goods that we will see no need to fight over resources. Once we understand how to put things together atom by atom we could literally use nanotech to assemble much of what we need from food to tools. Of course we'll need a lot of computing power to do that but if we refine the art of quantum computers we could construct computers that would use the atoms in the devices themselves as informational and computing resources that would far exceed the computing power of anything we have today. Nanotech especially has promise for medical applications. It might become possible in the future to use nanotech to build artificial organs such as livers and stomachs. If Ray Kurzweil's visions come to pass we could even create intelligent AI "fogs" that could polymorph into anything at will. There's even speculation that if we are being visited by extraterrestrials that they may not be coming here in large spaceships but rather could be sending dust sized or smaller probes that utilize nanotech to Earth that would just mix in with the millions of tons of dust that fall to Earth annually and escape our detection.
Awww ... C'mon Phobos!!
Put away that Ginsu knife and turn off the oven ... I was just foolin' with ya!And please ... don't deny a man a little 'plumage preening'. At my age, the opportunities are few and far between!!
OK Shaun, I'll spare you the ravages of the Ginsu this once.
*Hmmmm. I think I'll stick one of those tiny birthday candles into a Fig Newton, light the candle and then sing "Oh, I don't like math and it doesn't like me, so I will end this little homily!" then blow out the candle and exclaim "Happy Newtonmass!"... I'll send Sir Isaac greeting cards to family and friends...I'll invite those family and friends over for a "Drop An Apple On Your Noodle" contest...
How's that for a celebration?
--Cindy
LOL! I wish I would have had that homily a long time ago. I used to have this strange ritual where I'd go into an empty classroom before I had a class and write weird and bizarre poems and fictional anecdotes on a chalkboard. Since nobody knew I was the author it was entertaining to see how people reacted to them. Anyways I think I'm coming to your house next Thanksgiving. After reading that list of food you made I find myself suddenly hungry!
Their plan was to *TEST* the spacecraft by replacing the lander with robotic rovers. After the interplanetary spacecraft made it to Mars and back safely, the second mission would have humans onboard. This approach to testing seams quite practical considering the number of Mars probes that have been lost.
It appears my memory failed me. I like the idea of a recyclable Mars ship that could be outfitted with new rovers and the like for on going missions to Mars. If we used inflatable habs I doubt it would be difficult to build up a Mars base using these recyclable ships and it would be considerably cheaper than launching whole tuna cans into space each time. I think a combination of Mars Direct (i.e. in situ fuel production) and the use of these recyclable ships might be a good. I'm warming up to the Russians ideas. It appears the "cycler" might not be so far off into the future after all.