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Seems like this design might have advantages on Mars where there is a lot of ambient reflected light. Increased cost would not be a deal breaker on Mars, especially if the manufacturing can be robotised.
The less Mark Zuckerberg has to do with Mars, the better.
This article dealing with radiation risks makes the following reference to:
"an ~3-year Mars mission (transit and surface stay)"
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41526-020-00124-6
This has always been my understanding.
If we take an average transit time of 14 months (2 x 7 months each way) that would equate to a surface stay duration of 22 months - and that has always been my understanding of what is a pretty standard surface stay duration time.
22 months is about 670 days. I always remember the duration being in that range.
So 365 days is an absurdly low figure and can be put to one side.
I think in the past, on the principle of margins of safety, I have thought you should plan for maybe a period of 500 sols to produce your required rocket fuel. This allows for an unexpected malfunction of 100 sols or more. Of course a solar powered facility would have to factor in dust storm risk as part of its overall architecture. Malfunction refers more to an unexpected breakdown in the facility operation.
Anyway I think we can junk the 365 days nonsense.
It's not about your health. If it was, CDC and the UK authorities would be permitting use of Ivermectin (just look at how effective it's been in Japan and India).
This latest scariant is just part of the propaganda narrative.
Digital currency has what to do with covid? Plus its nonsense that we are passing the disease around on currency.
All files that must be captured to be able to out live a paper copy is digital and that is not new.
So not knowing anything about a new disease or variant is perfectly fine, sounds like an osterage sticking the head in the sand...
So what do we know yet next to nothing other than https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FFDX5XyXIAQd8Q-?format=jpg&name=small
just how quickly the D variant was displaced by this new oneWow just the mere mention and Oil prices drop more than 10% as virus variant threatens blow to demand
You need to educate yourself.
The call for programmable Central Bank Digital Currencies was slipped into the COP 26 climate change declaration. Nothing to do with Covid. You might wonder why it was included in the Climate Change nonsense as it has piss-all to do with carbon emissions (bar a very small contribution). So why do you think it was listed as one of the four main planks of climate change policy? Because it's part of the WEF (Davos) plan!
Once everyone is assigned a Digital ID that can be linked to programmable Central Bank Digital Currency that will mean you can be easily denied access to your own funds for whatever reason. It means the central state can instantly apply rationing to individuals and households for things such as alcohol, driving, meat consumption etc.
Thankfully because of your strong (de facto as well as de jure) federal structure in the USA it is not easy for Washington to introduce these measures. But in Europe and elsewhere these policies are already being implemented. VaxID control of lives is already a reality in several European countries.
VaxID will merge into general Digital ID which will gradually be extended further and further. The contract the UK Government put out for VaxID allows for extension to many other areas including all your personal health records.
If you think this is all about your health you are totally deluded. The Covid pandemic, such as it is, is being used to implement the WEF-Davos agenda. Why all our leaders hang out with the WEF looney tunes is not for me to answer. In case you need reminding it was WEF who told us "In the future you won't own anything but you'll be happy." By "you" I think we can safely assume they didn't mean Bill Gates, George Soros and Mark Zuckerberg.
Digital currency has what to do with covid? Plus its nonsense that we are passing the disease around on currency.
All files that must be captured to be able to out live a paper copy is digital and that is not new.
So not knowing anything about a new disease or variant is perfectly fine, sounds like an osterage sticking the head in the sand...
So what do we know yet next to nothing other than https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FFDX5XyXIAQd8Q-?format=jpg&name=small
just how quickly the D variant was displaced by this new oneWow just the mere mention and Oil prices drop more than 10% as virus variant threatens blow to demand
Good video (if not the robot voice) on Tesla-Space X and why the Biden Administration hate them (doesn't have a unionised workforce). You can ignore the first 80% of it...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CgNXCFKtZ0Q
We have to remember that the Biden Administration is a Vendetta Government. Not recognising the UAW will be enough to put Musk on the vendetta list.
Mars One were never a very accurate source of information about anything! I think a lot depends on how densely packed material is.
Living Underground on Mars – The 9 Drilling Challenges
of the equipment use and duration to actual bore them as well as energy required.8 rads/year on Mars is quite a bit
According to Mars one, we’ll need 16-feet of Martian soil to cover us. This should provide us with the same protection we get from Earth’s Atmosphere.
0.62 rads/year
Which is a lot of mars soil to move to cover a habitat.
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2012.09604.pdf
Health threat from cosmic radiation during manned missions to Marshttps://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com … 19JE006246
Subsurface Radiation Environment of Mars and Its Implication for Shielding Protection of Future Habitats
It wasn't "clever" to "split" the USSR and China.
1. They were already split, very bitterly. It was principally an ideological split (the Soviet Union's abandonment of Stalinism, Mao being an ideological fan of Stalin) but one that quickly developed nationalistic overtones.
2. By normalising China we allowed a huge Trojan Horse into our world economy. The consequences of that are being seen now as China outplays us all over the globe. They have a President in their pay in the White House. They managed to dislodge NZ from the "Five Eyes".
They continue to steal IP at will. They have state policies in place to dominate all economic sectors.
As I said, it was one of the worst strategic decisions taken by anyone over the last 100 years.
Had we waited, pursuing the tried and tested policy of containment, China might well have democratised as did South Korea and as did Taiwan. There was certainly a thirst for democracy and legal rights, as we saw in Tianamen Square.
I'm not American but I guess I follow some US politics because if the US economy stumbles then most of the Western world will see its economic power fall and I understand the internal Nixon scandals but also think Nixon gets a lot of flak, sometimes he was wrong, he did have flaws, gutted space and ended Apollo, he is heavily criticized, however China Taiwan policy was part of a fallout from Chinese Nationalists vs Chinese Communists a power play that continued post WW2 up until 1949., the old school Taiwan Nationalists used to view the Communists as hijackers that stole their China unhappy when they lost the Civil War but Nationalists from the same group and heritage and language peoples flee to Taiwan, Nixon was clever enough to spilt the Russians and Chinese, this Sino-Soviet split politics would continue for many years while other admin perhaps made mistakes and have seen the Russians and Chinese grow closer. Nixon probably supported the 'One-China' policy not because he knew the entire history of wars in Asia but because it allowed him to eventually play China and Russia against each other.
The Daily Express has a news article ... maybe take with a pinch of salt
'Biden hits back! US shows off deadly technology as tensions soar with Russia and China'
https://www.express.co.uk/news/science/ … space-newsand now maybe some think Opec or something will help the Oil Gasoline Market?
Those are flight durations not mission durations.
For SpaceNut re #130
Many thanks for finding the charts showing Mars launch dates and mission durations
SearchTerm:Launch dates for Mars Missions
SearchTerm:Duration of Mars missions chart(th)
Didn't an American President say "The only thing we have to fear is fear itself."
This is co-oridinated fear - a pyschological assault on the minds of people in the world's democracies.
The purpose is clear: to introduce Digital ID (beginning with VaxID) and then Digital Currency. Then every individual can be controlled by the state.
In case you don't know, plans for programmable Central Bank Digital Currencies are far advanced and were put in the formal policy outcome for COP26 on the absurd grounds that not printing money will somehow save the planet.
South African scientists detected more than 30 mutations to the variant's spike protein. The spike proteins on the surface of the virus enable it to attach to human cells, infecting them and allowing the virus to replicate through the body.
The mutations of the virus may increase its contagiousness or make it capable of bypassing vaccines and any immunity from prior infections, the WHO said in a briefing.
Some of the mutations are so new that scientists have never seen them until now. As a result, medical experts aren't yet sure how the mutations may affect the variant's transmission or symptoms.
"All fiat currencies eventually nosedive into oblivion". No real evidence for that. The dollar and sterling give the lie to that. Currencies more often than not fail because of war or politicians trying to get a free lunch.
All that's required to keep a currency going whether it's seashells, gold coins, fiat paper money or a digital currency is confidence.
Senile Biden is testing the public's confidence in the dollar with his policies, his personal conduct and his personal decline.
Mars_B4_Moon,
What's so wrong with the magic coin idea?
If they're going to suspend the laws of economics in favor of unlimited spending, then I say they mint at least 100 of those new trillion dollar coins, and then we can re-power the world with their solar panels and wind turbines, at least until we run out of fossil fuels to make them.
All fiat currencies eventually nosedive into oblivion, but since we convinced 80+ million people that an old man with Dementia was fit to lead America, then maybe we can convince everyone else that America can simply print our way out of debt, right?
That plan was working for Bernie Madoff, at least until the Feds arrested him and all his investors / suckers lost their life savings.
It's not a crime when the Federal Reserve sets up the Ponzi scheme, right?
Trump knew the importance of renewing the USA's infrastructure but the Democrats did their level best to prevent him getting any legislation through Congress to do anything about it.
Trump's economic policies made a lot of sense. He was prepared to confront Cheating China - a nation that benefits from the rules of world trade but refuses to itself abide by those rules.
The Nixon China policy was probably the worst strategic mistake since maybe France and Britain's failure to stop the remilitarisation of the Rhineland in 1936.
I believe orbital and lunar tourism will be a big growth area for Space X, using its Starships. I think the industry will quickly accelerate from millions, to hundreds of millions to billions (of dollars) per annum. It will be such a status symbol to have been into space that just about every multi-milliionaire on the planet will want to say they've been there...especially the younger generation I think. Also businesses will use space travel to attract staff by giving them an opportunity to go into space. Probably every big business on the planet will have its own small space programme where a few staff go into orbit or to the Moon every year.
I'm not really a dreamer - it's Musk who dreams he can find a million people within 30 years who can happily emigrate to Mars!!
But there is no doubt in mind a multi-billion dollar economy will develop on Mars very quickly.
The dream in another thread?
http://newmars.com/forums/viewtopic.php?id=7030
Mars - a multi-billion dollar economy within 5 yearsAdding some related discussion here
http://newmars.com/forums/viewtopic.php?id=10075
SpaceNut wrote:The white paper indicates a need for a first landing of cargo is a trial 2024 to say we have a proof of landing concept if successful on the landing to give a boot strap of 2 rockets with a max payload to the surface upward of 300mT. That paper also concludes that a pre-prepared landing site is needed is required for sustainability.
There is no indication that the ship count per each mission launch window will increase in this white paper. Its first human mission starts with a crew of 10 - 20 but is not indicated when that should happen or how large each successive crew sizing will increase. That leaves 7 missions remaining after the first few to do the build up.
That leaves a priority of the above list for buildup with the most critical being required.
I believe these are the top priorities...
2. Agriculture - A full range of food crops will be produced: salad vegetables, grains, fruit, beans, pulses etc. No animal farming will yet be undertaken (meat is imported).
5. Construction - Using ISRU bricks, basalt, cement, concrete, glass, 3D printing techniques, Mars dust-sourced “rubber” and steel frames, the Mars settlement is able to construct its own habs for accommodation, farming and industry.
9. Energy - Mars now has a well developed energy sector based on PV power systems, solar reflectors,, chemical batteries, differential heat engines and methane/hydrogen production Virtually all elements of the energy system can now be produced with ISRU on Mars, although PV film is still being imported from Earth.
8. Electrical - The settlement is producing a range of chemical batteries, some of which are being used to power the Base Zone rovers and to even out power over a sol. The settlement is now able to produce cable – plastic covered copper wiring. Most copper wiring is being produced from recycled materials but some is being sourced from meteorites on the surface of Mars.
10. Food processing – Food processing is becoming a more important activity. Some chilled meals and prepared salads are being produced. Nearly all food processing is automated. Food is refrigerated, turned into powder form, and frozen.
11. Life Support - Life support (water, air and temperature control) is a key industry that generates income e.g. through sale to Universities, TV companies and space agencies.
15. Transport - Mars is now able to produce its own rovers rather than having to import them. Small pressurised Rovers are used to transfer from one hab to another with ease (it taking only five minutes to exit through air lock chambers. The vehicles are kept small in order that airlocks can be on a small scale as well. Longer range rovers use methane and oxygen as their power systems.
16. Water - Water is mined at large glaciers or ice deposits and transported in robot rovers to the Base where it is stored in shaded and regolith covered storage pits. Water recycling is a feature of nearly all processes.
Of course the remaining are the next tier of growth in that second 20 year as you continue to build up non returning crews.
1. Aerospace - Rocket hoppers and orbital rockets are now being produced. The base will have a dedicated Spaceport. A range of rocket fuels, such as LOX and methane will be produced.
3. Chemical industry – The community’s ability to process and manipulate a wide range of materials will be in place. The settlement can produce Mars ISRU feedstock for plastics. Very pure silicon can be produced for electronics, computers and PV panels.
4. Computers - The settlement is now able to produce basic computers which it is applying to life support systems.
6. Domestic goods - The settlement is able to produce refrigerators, freezers, ovens, cookers, hobs, plumbing parts, kitchen utensils, cooking ware, basic furniture, hygiene products (such as soap and toothpaste).
7. Education and research - An Earth-based University has established a Research Centre on Mars which is part of the base and forms an important part of the economy.
8. Electrical - The settlement is producing a range of chemical batteries, some of which are being used to power the Base Zone rovers and to even out power over a sol. The settlement is now able to produce cable – plastic covered copper wiring. Most copper wiring is being produced from recycled materials but some is being sourced from meteorites on the surface of Mars.
9. Energy - Mars now has a well developed energy sector based on PV power systems, solar reflectors,, chemical batteries, differential heat engines and methane/hydrogen production Virtually all elements of the energy system can now be produced with ISRU on Mars, although PV film is still being imported from Earth.
12. Metal industry - This is an important sector, producing steel supports for construction, steel tools for farming, steel bars and suspension springs for rovers. Steel is used to produce gas cylinders and gas tanks. Aluminium is used in construction of airlocks and pressure cabins.
13. Pharmaceuticals - This industry is at quite a primitive level. The community is only just beginning to produce basic medicines and other health products such as paracetamol, some vitamins and minerals.
14. Textiles - Basic clothing – cotton T shirts and trousers - are being produced. Plans are in place for production of Mars ISRU space suits.
and
50 years after...
http://newmars.com/forums/viewtopic.php?id=6180By Louis
My original post was written before the Starship concept was made public and so has been overtaken by events. However, there is plenty of relevant stuff in there.
Yep that picture you have in your head of a cell, from your biology class when you were 15 - a simple, still thing - is all wrong. Better to think of a furiously boiling pan of minestrone soup.
Seems we are using AI to see how our brains work.
Shock AI Discovery Suggests We've Not Even Discovered Half of What's Inside Our CellsInside every cell of the human body is a constellation of proteins, millions of them. They're all jostling about, being speedily assembled, folded, packaged, shipped, cut and recycled in a hive of activity that works at a feverish pace to keep us alive and ticking.
Microscopes, powerful as they are, allow scientists to peer inside single cells, down to the level of organelles such as mitochondria, the power packs of cells, and ribosomes, the protein factories. We can even add fluorescent dyes to easily tag and track proteins.
https://img-s-msn-com.akamaized.net/ten … &h=530&m=6
Classic view of a Eukaryote cross section. (Mariana Ruiz/LadyofHats/Wikimedia)
Fusing image data from a library called the Human Protein Atlas and existing maps of protein interactions, the machine learning algorithm was tasked with computing the distances between protein pairs.
The goal was to identify communities of proteins, called assemblies, that co-exist in cells at different scales, from the very small (less than 50 nm) to the very 'large' (more than 1 μm).
One shy of 70 protein communities were classified by the algorithm, which was trained using a reference library of proteins with known or estimated diameters, and validated with further experiments.
Around half of the protein components identified are seemingly unknown to science, never documented in the published literature, the researchers suggest.
No wonder we are behind the ball on Covid....
OK but this is about the minimum period for a stay on Mars by humans on a return mission that allows for Starship refuelling.
Your links don't address that. I have always understood it to be something like 18 months to 2.5 years.
Part of the issues is the mission times change with payload mass going to Mars and back. Some of the choices come back to human stay time and cargo delivery expectations in between what we want for cycles.
https://marspedia.org/Mars_mission_durationHow Long Does It Take To Get To Mars?https://miro.medium.com/max/700/0*9RC7GkSPljVlZuQI
Notice the duration spent getting there can vary.
Before I accept your claim that humans will be on Mars for only 18 months I need a citation from you. This has always been closer to my understanding:
"To produce the power for one load in 26 months would require just under one megawatt of continuous electric power."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SpaceX_Mars_program
A period of something like 2 years has always been my understanding of how long humans will need to be on the surface before they return.
Maybe I've got this wrong but we need to bottom it out since there are swings and roundabouts to a shorter or longer period.
For Louis....
The mission planner needs to be sure the tanks are full before the manned mission takes off from Earth
Assuming a two year cycle (I understand the actual interval is not exactly two years) ...
The ship to make fuel departs and takes 6 months to reach Mars.
The next launch window is two years from the launch above.
But the crew vessel needs months to prepare for launch.
If the fuel/oxidizer manufacturing process is complete after one year, then the crewed vessel has six months of worry free time to prepare.
If the fuel/oxidizer process takes the 500 days you seem to think acceptable, then the crewed mission has just 50 days to be sure the fuel is ready.
It seems to me wiser (more prudent) to plan to complete the fuel/oxidizer manufacture in less time rather than more time, in this situation.
Here are the numbers:
730 days (two year interval assumed)
180 days flight time for fuel manufacturing system to land on Mars (that is an optimistic number)
365 days for the manufacturing to complete
185 days for the crewed mission to prepare for launchIn your scenario:
730
180
500
50 days for crew to complete preparations180-50 >> 130 days are wasted if the mission has to be terminated because the fuel is not ready.
In both cases, I'm assuming a minimum of six months are needed to prepare for a human mission.
Mission planners are likely to want the fuel/oxidizer reader sooner rather than later.
(th)
Apologies for misnomenclature!
As I understand it, there is a particular concern about effects on the brain in particular.
I have always been confident we can guard against the negative health effects but I am looking for solutions which allow the people of Mars to enjoy natural light and it seems this (using reflectors) does offer that possibility. The idea of a troglodyte existence on Mars holds no appeal for me and won't for potential colonists. We need to connect people to the planet. Ensuring connection with the day-night cycle is one way. Using rovers to get out and about on the surface will be important (I recall the lunar explorers used to have great fun riding about on their moon buggies). Occasional EVAs will help. In summer you might even be able to take off an outer glove and feel the surface with hand covered in a light mesh inner glove. Having observation towers where people can see into the distance will be helpful. We might be able to design swimming/diving facilities where you can scuba or snorkel dive outside the main leisure centre into a glass covered dome which is gives the feel of being part of the landscape.
Galactic cosmic rays and coronal mass ejection events do not deliver enough flux to cause radiation sickness on the surface of Mars. It is more a concern about long-term health effects. You could build a house under a dome on Mars and so long as you spent no more than 8 hours a day under the Martian sky, the health risks would be no higher than air pollution does for the average person here on Earth. But it is a health risk none the less. But keep in mind that in mitigating any risk, there are limits to what it is reasonable to pay. The right solutions are about achieving the correct balance between risk and cost.
Happy Thanksgiving to all the US posters. Also for Canadians as well but I have a feeling you might choose a different day...bit like your Canadian Football...some subtle rule changes to make sure no one mistakes Canadians for their Southern (and North Western) neighbours!
Thanks for the helpful answers guys - it sounds like those are very positive answers in the sense that as long as you are directing reflected light into your habs you won't be creating a (dangerous) radiation risk.
Something to bear in mind when it comes to constructing habs. I am quite taken with the idea of creating large "gallery spaces" with natural lighting at the top. So if one could place over the high arch window (at the top of the gallery) a protective suspended (maybe by steel frame) layer of regolith with reflectors underneath then those underside reflectors could receive light from a system of reflectors beyond the protective/reflective structure. More than that, you can increase the amount of light going into the gallery above and beyond the natural insolation. So, maybe you have 4 x the natural insolation level, meaning inside the gallery it feels like it's a realy bright sunny day outside.
It would help with heating and allow a lot of devices in the gallery interior to be solar powered for convenience e.g. garden lights.
It would be quite a complicated engineering job but on the plus side people could stand in natural light with no fear of developing radiation sickness and the high arch windows could be made of any glass that can deal with the pressure requirements.
When you put up a solar reflector on Mars will the reflected light include reflected cosmic and other radiation? Or is there a way of screening out the radiation and keeping the natural light spectrum?
If the latter, then that could be very helpful as you might be able to illuminate living spaces without risk of creating a radiation burden.
Has he properly assessed the radiation risk? I doubt it...
I mean you might be able to have a smal dome with heavy, very thick glass panels but I doubt you could have a large one supporting such a mass, although I guess it will be a lot easier on Mars with its much lower G.
I think the gallery idea (proposed by someone here a while back) is probably better where you create a large space, maybe something like 40-60 foot deep with a well protected narrow glass roof would be better. (It's similar to my pressurised gorge idea for creating quasi-natural leisure spaces - Earth-like Environments.) The idea is you would then build houses, shops, offices, small parks and exercise areas and so on within the gallery space. This would mean there was extra protection against radiation. But there would be space to grow indoor trees, grass and so on. Supplementary artificial lighting would be required.
Musk, as has been well established, wants to realize his dream of making humans a multiplanetary species and build the first colony on Mars by 2050. To make the Red Planet habitable for life,
This isn’t the first time Musk has mentioned using glass domes as habitats on the Red Planet. In a 2016 Reddit AMA, Musk said glass panes with carbon fiber frames could be used to build geodesic domes on the Martian surface, while mining droids could build pressurized caves underground for industrial operations.
A company like Axiom could be a useful revenue earner for Space X on Mars, conducting all sorts of experiments.
A lot of those 1000 visitors will be on Mars in a few years' time.