You are not logged in.
Just a couple thoughts here. First, I am wary of conclusions drawn about 400,000 years of history based on data "teased from samples of ancient ice." What I call the 7-11 factor comes into play here. In short, we don't know with certainty who robbed the 7-11 last Friday night, despite witnesses and cameras, so how can we be so sure about anything that happened before recorded history? Something to keep in mind when some academic is spewing his findings as though they are undeniable truth.
But more on the subject, well said Cindy. But I can never leave well enough alone, so... of course humans have added CO2 to the enviroment, we exhale the stuff. All animate life kicks out CO2. The question is whether human activity contributed to such an extent as to "avert a cooling trend."
A trend predicted based on unproven models fed with incomplete data, I might add. It's possible, though I don't recall seeing much evidence of Neanderthals burning down forests on a large scale or doing much of anything that would have a greater impact than the activity of any other large mammal. This strikes me as a study based more on pre-conceived ideas of what certain people would like to prove rather than actual scientific data. Still, maybe...
But is it terraforming? I would give an emphatic no. At least to me, terraforming requires intent, the conscious decision to alter the enviroment on a large scale. Not only that but it must be a change that makes the enviroment more conducive to life. We can change the climate significantly by dropping a few nukes, but is that terraforming?
To be real nitpicky, you can't terraform Earth because it's already Terra. The form one tries to copy, but we'll let that one go...
In short, I'm of the opinion ... that the entire premise of man-made "global warming" is at best unsubstantiated theory.
*And I suppose aerosols had nothing to do with the increasing size of the ozone hole?
Emissions (pollution) do affect the environment; to deny so is akin to saying smoking does not affect the lungs.
I agree that pollution affects the environment, but affecting the environment and being the primary or sole factor altering it are very different things. It's easy to look at short-term temperature increases (we've only been recording the data for a couple centuries) and ozone irregularities and conclude that we, as the center of creation are the cause of it; but the conclusive link just isn't there. Maybe human activity is the one and only reason for the climate change we've recorded, but one could just as credibly blame it on release of CO2 from the oceans, decomposing trees, cow farts or invisible flying super-monkeys. I'm not claiming that the premise is absurd and unworthy of consideration, but merely pointing out that the evidence is circumstantial at best.
Global warming is fact, citing assumptions about past history doesn't change this. CO2 acts as an insulator, and humans are emitting CO2. There is no leap of logic for one to conclude that the emissions of CO2 are causing a given level of temperature change.
Josh, is CO2 the only insulator? Are humans the only source of it on the planet? No, so isn't more data needed before decided that humans are causing global warming and making policy on that premise? Should we just go ahead and cripple our industry based on such faulty intelligence?
So unless someone can prove that temperature changes in the past were due to fossil fuel emissions, there can be no correlation.
Which is my whole and entire point. If temperature change has repeatedly occured in the absence of fossil fuel emissions then how can we be so certain that this time those very emissions are causing it?
Who are we at war with? Iraq? Afghanistan? Terroism in general? When do hostilites ever end?
This "War on Terror" is going to have some similarities to the "War on Drugs" and "War on Poverty", which is to say they will never really be over. However this one has a crucial difference, it's actually a war. Because of that, we can continually make progress toward winning even though we never actually can because one nut with a car-bomb slipping through negates total victory. The trick is going to be making this war less destructive to the country than it predecessors (Drugs and Poverty).
Many of the more objectionable aspects of recent anti-terrorism legislation have already been on the books for years as part of drug enforcement laws. Warrantless searches are already permitted under certain conditions, property and assets can already be seized absent a conviction. The much-maligned PATRIOT Act continues these trends but did not originate them. The War on Poverty has cost the taxpayers trillions of dollars and the results have been negligable at best. At least in the War on Terror we have positive, measurable results.
Our civil liberties have been eroding for decades in many forms. I fear that much of the country has become so accustomed to it that if a bolder move were ever made, "justified" by a massive terrorist attack, most people would accept it and be suspicious and hostile of those who do not. In that case, I suspect that an attempt would be made to... how to say this without triggering too much unwanted attention... refresh the tree of liberty
I'm pleasantly surprised, Byron. As soon as I saw the thread posted I half expected a rant against Russia and the US.
I don't know why anyone even considered the Kyoto protocol in the first place, compare the smog in Beijing with any city in the US and you really have to wonder why China gets looser restrictions than we do. It seems almost like it's more about punishing the dominant nations than helping the enviroment.
Do we even know with any certainty that human activity is the primary reason for global temperature increases? I often have people telling me that temperatures have increased (by about 1 degree) over the last century, but so what? Go back 10,000 years and global temperatures have skyrocketed. From where I'm sitting they've decreased by 50 degrees since August! Oh the horror! Global climate has always fluctuated, and unless someone wants to start blaming dinosaur industry the notion that we are causing it lack credibility. Contributing maybe, but causing?
Damn T. Rex with their SUV's...
In short, I'm of the opinion that not only is the Kyoto protocol a worthless piece of extreme-leftist trash that any reasonable government would reject, but that the entire premise of man-made "global warming" is at best unsubstantiated theory.
Now on Mars... The biggest 'pro' arguments for capital punishment is "letting 'em live is too costly or too dangerous, sending 'em back also too costly or impractical"
But a 'lunatic' is at least as costly and dangerous...
What to do in such a case?
A violent lunatic is dangerous, unpredicable and incapable of being deterred. Elimination is the clearest, safest course. Harsh, but true.
Interesting thing about the psychological profile of a criminal- they never think about the punishment associated with the crime, they think about the chances of being caught. A very subtle difference, but a very profound one. If you can understand this viewpoint, then the death penalty has no effect on the crime rate- which multiple studies conclude.
For premeditated crimes the death penalty has been documented in some studies to have a small effect on violent crime. But many such crimes are spur-of-the-moment crimes. Crimes of passion or opportunity which cannot be deterred because there is little or no reasoned thought process behind them, almost a sort of momentary insanity. One who meticulously plans a murder and is caught can be convinced not to repeat it, one who acts solely out of rage or base instinct can't be deterred. With the choice between execution or life in prison, execution seems the more rational and expedient option.
The death penalty dosen't make sense becuase it dosen't reduce crime, and it dosen't disuade people from certain crimes. It creates more problems that it solves.
Again, this same argument could be made for drug laws, gun laws, speed limits and a host of other things. What's the point of any of it?
That anarchy thing is starting to look real good
I just borrowed a tape of it. Comments will follow I'm sure.
Any Mars settlement that needs the threat of execution to deter harmful anti-social behavior will already be in big trouble. If we need to the death penalty to keep young girls safe we have already failed miserably at forming a stable healthy functional society. Thus, the widespread use of capital punishment is a confession of weakness.
The same point could be made for police, or even laws for that matter. Any human society will have murderes, rapists, thieves and other assorted trash. Their numbers can be minimized but not entirely prevented. If we can prove conclusively the guilt of the person in question then execution is a more practical and efficient method of keeping the offender away from the general population.
Cobra - did you ever watch the movie Minority Report? or read Phillip Dick's original book? In the hands of less than trustworthy people, this power you speak of is capable of serious abuse. IMHO, the criminal justice system can be too easily perverted to a tool of social domination with critics dismissed as "bleeding heart" cry-babies.
Of course the system can be abused, but does this mean we shouldn't have it? If the law can be perverted should it be discarded? Any law can be twisted and abused by those in power, should we then make all punishments so minor that the abuse isn't so destructive?
If the law is simple and clear and the burden of proof is met, the distinction between prison time, execution or massive fines is really academic and a matter of personal preference. Maybe the penalty for murder should be a $1,000,000 fine. No, why not? It would destroy most lives just as well as a decade in prison. Is either of these punishments more just than death, and if so isn't the implication that the victim's life has less value than that of the offender?
We don't need to relish our execution of criminals, we should be troubled that such a course is needed, but that does not mean the course should be avoided. Not to say that an excution should be painless and humane, assuming again that the crime warrants such treatment and guilt has been proven without question.
I would prefer a world in which we never have the sorts of crime that would warrant excution, but when a heinous crime is committed I would happily subject the offender to pain the likes of which even God has not concieved. Sometimes directed brutality is beneficial to society.
If you wrong someone, you can't really undo it. yeah, the point isn't lost. but you kill someone, well, they're dead. it's never right.
Sometimes it is, at least in my view. Sometimes killing people is the right and moral thing to do.
we have them at a point in time where we don't have to kill them. we do it as a matter of expediancy and as a demonstration... but that just dosen't make any sense, at least not morally.
We never actually have to kill anyone. When some thug attacks you on the street you could shoot him in both knees and elbows to completely incapacitate him... Well, I don't suppose you can in California, but that's a whole other issue Following this logic, it is never moral to kill anyone. Many people subscribe to this and if it works for them, fine. But it seems to me that if executing one murderer or rapist prevents just one murder or rape, either through deterence or guaranteeing that this individual can never repeat his crime; it's worth it.
I have empathy for my fellow U.S. citizens who haven't been so fortunate...Bush seems not to care. Maybe I'm wrong, but it's definitely the impression I have.
The day I believe a politician actually cares about my misfortunes is the day I'll have truly lost my mind.
CC: "This isn't a reflex defense either, I'm actually rather annoyed with Bush and the Republican party at the moment over that damned Medicare bill."
*May I ask precisely how? Just curious. I believe our senior citizens should get help with their prescription medications.
Both the general distaste for calling in government every time someone has a problem and the more specific objection that this new entitlement is projected at $400 billion. These things always go way over the projections, some have estimated the true cost to be almost a trillion dollars. The entire federal budget barely tops 2 trillion now, this will be a huge expense. And for what? It doesn't really help anyone, in fact alot of seniors could get royally screwed on this. We created an entitlement that no one wants and that we may not be able to afford, and as soon as it's in place we'll have a hell of a time killing it. It has a few glimmers of hope in it, but I'd be a fool to count on them.
Republicans creating massive entitlements, Democrats acting like they care about how much it's going to cost, I've crossed over into Bizzaro world!
CC: "Having a sort of Gollum reaction to them. My wife has grown a bit irate over my wandering the house muttering "filthy Republicans. Tricksy. False. Betrayed us!..."
*Ha ha.
My husband and I are always damning the Republicans together. And here's hoping Bush will lose his Precious in 2004.
Not that I've given up damning Democrats! I'm an equal-opportunity damner. Bi-partisan damnation is the only answer left, it seems.
Recently have seen/heard/read that we'll be in Iraq until at least 2006. And I suppose Bush will get re-elected, now that the economy seems to be picking up again (let's just forget endless months and months of massive layoffs and unemployment -- job figures still are sluggish at best -- and the economy in the toilet).
And I suppose layoffs were Bush's fault? He personally caused the economy to tank (or accelerated it, it was already starting before he took office). The fact is that there isn't a whole lot a sitting President can do to the economy either way. I know not many people believe that, but it's true. Bill Clinton didn't cause the economic boom he was credited with and Bush didn't cause the "recession" that followed. The tax cut helped in the current recovery, but many other factors are at work.
This isn't a reflex defense either, I'm actually rather annoyed with Bush and the Republican party at the moment over that damned Medicare bill. Having a sort of Gollum reaction to them. My wife has grown a bit irate over my wandering the house muttering "filthy Republicans. Tricksy. False. Betrayed us!..."
Yeah, the more I think about it the more I miss the days when it was one big enemy ready to turn us to hot glass and Republicans actually stood for smaller government. The Red Menace was not without its uses. Besides, all that defense work was good for the economy
Earthfirst, I'm going to use my free speech to ask:
"What the hell are you blathering about?"
Most agree that humanity, and our institutions, are fallible. If so, it behooves us all to allow for a way to undo anything that our institutions or we do.
You kill someone, it's done. You can't undo that. We can't undo the wrong we might commit. So why do it?
Okay. Let's assume for a moment that it is possible to infallibly determine guilt or innocence in all cases. Any objections then? Just curious.
As for the possibility of undoing a wrong, it doesn't really hold up. If I were falsely accused of a capital crime, sent to prison for five, ten, fifteen years; then released after the error was discovered... I'd be a dangerous and very angry individual. I can only assume that I'm not the only one who would react this way. Convicting the innocent is horrible whatever the penalty, pretending that it can be undone is fantasy and overlooks the true horror of the event.
Not that capital punishment need be a mandatory sentence for anything, but the option should exist. If done periodically and publicly it is a deterrent for premeditated crimes.
Glad someone else mentioned the fasces idea, I rather like that one, bad assosciations aside. The members of the community bound together and all that, really quite fitting.
Hey, that hand idea is actually rather good! Only people won't start thinking strictly about the hand of Saruman!
Hah! Imagine the whining outcry if we planted a flag with a big white hand on it! It's worth doing just for the entertainment value of it.
I have often seen U.S. flags that have fringes made of gold tassels. That gave me an idea for dressing up my phi-proportioned, tricolor design. I revised the specification for the flag to include a gold border that is one fortieth of the flag height.
No offense intended Scott, but gold fringe just makes it even more unattractive. The symbolism of that flag is good in theory, but in practice it just doesn't work.
How about a dark blue field, with an eight point gold-yellow star located in the upper left corner of the flag (nearest the flag pole), and centered within the flag are two rings joined (think olympic rings), one ring is burgandy-red (on the right side of union), the other is a dark forest green ring (on the left side of union).
One sun, two worlds, linked.
I kinda like this one. More of a flag for a Sol Confederation or something than colonial Mars, but not bad.
Slap a big white hand holding fasces on there and you've really got something!
Or perhaps an outline of a human hand. And to avoid any whining about the color of the hand favoring a certain race, make it green. It's for Martians, after all...
Do you want humans to move into space with higher ideals and goals -- and acting upon them -- or behaving like slobbering lunatics grasping at anything they can get their hands on for profits and exploitation? I prefer the former.
Yes, but I expect we'll need a bit of the latter first.
And just what's wrong with my "shared privilege" ideal versus the "it's mine/ours -- you stay off" mentality? Huh? HUH?
Nothing is inherently wrong with it, unless one wants to colonize space. This grand, celestial communism results in the same problems as the more mundane terrestrial variant, namely that no one expends much effort or expense to develop anything new or maintain what is already there because they have nothing to gain from doing so. If Mars is to be our "shared privilege" it will always be a dead, frozen rock devoid of life. Humans are generally not selfless beings out to better conditions for their fellow man, unless they have something to gain. So in short, sometimes realism must prevail over idealism.
I did admit my hopes in this regard are probably futile (some credit, please?).
But we can't have you encouraging Free Spirit with all this hands-off talk, now can we?
It's nice to think of our Solar System as being free...no portions of it "belonging" to any one person or groups of people. When it's no one's, it's everyone's.
And conversely, when it belongs to everyone, it belongs to no one. Property rights are essential if we are ever to spread off-world. No one is going to put up billions of dollars to develop a shared heritage of mankind celestial body that they can never derive any profit from. No development, no colonization. And if we are never going to do anything in space why even bother studying it?
Many thanks, Alt2War!
That was an interesting interview.
I don't know if what they say about President Bush being a religious nut is true, but I very much doubt he's quite as stupid as the media want us to believe. Even if you assign to him no more than a certain low cunning, that in itself is a form of intelligence, and it may be just the kind of intelligence we need right now as we face global terrorism.Thanks again, Alt. I never thought I'd see the day when you would draw attention to an article which tends to paint George Dubya in a favourable light. It just goes to show ... you never can tell .. !!
![]()
:laugh:
I think we took different things away from this article when reading it.
Alt2War, it seems to me that you are assuming, without real evidence, that Bush is the cause of the erosion of civil liberties. Don't focus to closely on one figure, there are plenty of people moving in from the other side. Keep the right flank covered, but reinforce the left.
I've always liked the term "Planet Lord" myself. Yes, salute the Planet Lord. The rigid digit is acceptable.
That's what I expect to be the true Martian salute, at least as it pertains to Earth.
We haven't even set foot on the planet and already we've got a monarch to overthrow!
I hereby proclaim that I am commander of the Martian Peoples' Liberation Army. Man the airlocks! Free Mars!
To address Free Spirit's points:
If Earth remains the only home of humanity, we can insure that resources will be preserved for all time.
No, we can't. Earth's resources are finite, conservation is insufficient. Eventually we will need more, or we perish.
I understand your position regarding not taking the risks associated with population growth, space travel, nuclear energy etc. I think they are completely off base, but to each his own. But consider this hypothetical scenario...
Let's say we have two habitable planets, each essentially identical. On each planet essentially identical races of sentient beings evolve at the same time. Both civilizations develop much as ours did, until we reach roughly our current point in history.
On one world, I am in charge. Through a coup, probably but we needed to make some changes to get back on the right track. Our recent armed conflicts have left us with a great deal of technology that we can now apply to other areas. We begin to look longingly at the stars.
On the other planet Free Spirit has become ruler, or guru or something. Probably some giant committee had a group hug and decided to preserve the planet for all the cute little fuzzy creatures that call it home. That world's advancing technology scared enough people into listening to his back-to-nature philosophy and staying on their planet, content with what they have.
Meanwhile, I have begun to launch ships into the far reaches of that solar system. I avoid Free Spirit's planet because I'm such a nice guy and wouldn't want to impose.
After a while the resources of both planets become stretched. I can get what I need from the uninhabitable rocks throughout the solar system, but Free Spirit must make do with a constantly shrinking supply of the essentials. He tries to control population growth, but not having the stomach to sterilize people or dispose of unwanted children the strain becomes unbearable. His people begin to starve, solar and wind power is woefully insufficient to supply the needed electricity. Civilization breaks down.
Meanwhile, my people have developed a problem. There's too many. We have plenty of food, fuel and whatnot but we're running out of room to live in the conditions to which we've grown accustomed. So we go to Free Spirit's planet and settle it. We find all sorts of good stuff in it that its previous occupants were loathe to mine, but we have no reservations about it. As the centuries pass we remember them fondly, not for who they were but for their misguided policies which delivered their world to us and their courtesy in leaving so much for us.
Fanciful? Yes, but hopefully it serves to illustrate a point.
Moving on...
About antimatter drive, as of now that stuff's really expensive and cumbersome/dangerous to use. M2P2 drive seemed like something we know is cheap and could be made reliable, but in a few hundred years antimatter technology could get there. Fission did that in only two decades, but that was because of the Manhattan Project. Worth it?
The real question is would it have been funded any other way? It certainly would not have happened as early as it did. Anti-matter bombs anyone?
Well, I don't think many of us were focused on the moral question of going to Mars, but rather what we believed what what the historical likelihood would be. If there were 'savages' on Mars you can bet your a$$ I would be against colonizing it.
The moral question of going to Mars under these hypothetical circumstances is part of the historical what-if. I was not saying that Martian natives would be savages, nor that any native people were savages. Many were looked on as such during Europe's colonial period, and I was simply saying that another area open for colonization without all the hassle would be readily exploited.
Of course even if Mars was populated by primitive natives I would still support colonization. We don't have to kill them, but leaving them the entire planet just because we feel guilty about the actions of people that lived centuries ago seems like a terrible waste.
I don't see what the big deal is about colonizing space anyway. Imagine how miserable it would be to be cooped up in a metal can most of your life. Not something I'd do, thankyou very much. Unmanned craft are the obvious best way to explore the solar system.
And that is the fundamental difference in how we view the universe. I would embrace the opportunity to further the reach of civilization, even if it means hardship for me. I'd rather spend a year in a metal can travelling to a new world than spend a comfortable lifetime in a city. Those who believe that way explore, tame, and settle frontiers until they become too civilized and ordered, forcing us to move on. Those who think as you do not only would never expand their range, but require us and the work we have done. To rail against the evils of something yet partake in the bounty it provides is hypocrisy. Unmanned craft may be best for exploring the solar system, but without actually going to these worlds there's no point.
But than again will he do a good repairjob ? I seriously doubt that.
That is one reason I'm opposed to using criminals for forced labor, the work usually has to be redone anyway.
The other, more important reason is this: If we use convicted criminals as a source of cheap labor, we create an economic incentive to convict a certain number of people. Speed limits are a case in point, local police departments are so dependant on the revenue generated from issuing tickets that they have quotas which must be met, even if the circumstances don't warrant it. Just as a set minimum number of speeding tickets must be issued, so to would a set number of people need to be convicted. It practically begs the system to become corrupt, and governments need no encouraging in that regard.
I know what you mean. I've been having that feeling myself for awhile.
Usually I'm not wrong about this sort of thing, and historically speaking we're due for major league turd. Let's just stay focused on the root problems and not focus too much on scapegoats, even when they really are part of the problem.
We live in a time where our leaders undo the Bill of Rights in something called a PATRIOT act.
There are parts of the PATRIOT act which I have serious objections to, but overall it is not nearly the Big Brother-creating piece of legislation its opponents paint it as. I would not have voted for it, but I have to be fair to what it says. I actually read it, it mainly streamlines the processes that are already in place rather than creating anything new. It has a few points that could be intepreted in such a way as to make almost anyone a terrorist if someone really wanted to stretch it, and that is my main objection to it.
Besides, our leaders have been undoing the Bill of Rights for years.
WMD's were a pretext, and now double-speak is the language of the day. Old is New, Conservative is Compassion, Liberal is Backward, and Empire is now the Republic.
WMD's were overblown, both by the Administration and the opposition. I wouldn't say they were a pretext, I think the instigators believed that Saddam had those weapons and they had valid reasons for this. Don't be too surprised if something turns up.
Oh, Liberalism is backward
I still can't help but feel like a German in the 1930's. How can we know that our leaders are making the right decisions if we can't trust them to begin with?
These comparisons to Nazi Germany really need to be kept in check. It not only makes the climate more shrill than it needs to be, but you can only cry Nazi so many times before no one listens.
As a Fascist I probably shouldn't have pointed that out ??? but as a freedom-loving American I'm obligated to.
Sadly, I don't think it would take a whole hell of a lot. They probably could have pulled it off after 9/11 if they'd tried. Now it would probably require a nuclear or biological attack. A smallpox outbreak or radiological bomb in New York would probably suffice to make most people accept it, at least for a few days.
I, of course would be digging up the hidden stash of firearms and passing them out to the blackshirt goons. Why do you ask?