Peter Zeihan again: and also other thinkers:

RobertDyck · 2025-02-05 15:14:28

Tuesday Trump announced a 30 day pause in the Tariffs for both Canada and Mexico. Both countries made promises, but what both countries promised was what they had already committed to over 2 months before the Tariffs. Canada did commit to creating a "Fentanyl Czar", which is a meaningless title. The word "Czar" refers to the head of the Russian government before the communist revolution, aka Tzar. The word Czar is based on the Roman word Caesar. Canada has Ministers and Deputy Ministers, the title Czar is meaningless. Other than the Fentanyl Czar, Canada promised what it had promised over 2 months ago. Does this mean Trump backed down? He will make it sound as if he won.

Will Trump create more trouble in 30 days? Or is it over?

Canada cannot commit more money to anything unless they pass a bill through Parliament. And it's currently prorogued. Liberals will select a new leader on March 9, who should become Prime Minister either later the same day, or the next. Parliament will resume March 24. The first business will be a throne speech, which sets objectives for the next session. Parliament must vote on the speech. If it's voted down, that's a non-confidence motion. That forces Parliament to dissolve, start a new election. All opposition partiea have said they will note non-confidence the first chance they get. In a press conference, the leader of the NDP equivocted, so one of his.party slapped him upside the head. They had enough.

Calliban · 2025-02-05 16:40:34

UK defence budget is about US$70bn. Canada is US$25bn. Australia will spend $36.8bn between 2024 and 2025. Collectively, this is small compared to the US Defence Department budget of $850bn. But pooling resources gives us a better chance of developing things like next generation fighters, modern frigates and aircraft carriers. The US is telling us in no uncertain terms that it is no longer willing to foot the bill for policing the world or extend the rest of the world favourable trade arrangements. It is time for Canada, UK, Australia and NZ to form a closer military and economic alliance, start pooling resources and preparing for a more chaotic world.

Canada and the UK have a lot of collective naval and nuclear engineering experience between us. Canada and Australia have a large fraction of the worlds uranium resource. The UK has large quantities of DU, separated plutonium and a domestic uranium enrichment capability. Collectively, we could build a large nuclear navy capable of unlimited global reach. This befits a group of nations that depend upon global trade and safe sea lanes.

Last edited by Calliban (2025-02-05 16:42:39)

RobertDyck · 2025-02-05 20:17:03

Mostly we talked about Trump's 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico. Trump backed down, put a 30 day pause on the tariffs. Both Canada and Mexico promised what they had committed to months ago. In Canada's case, the only addition was appointment of a "Fentanyl Czar". The term "Czar" means nothing in Canada. George W. Bush started using it. It's an alternate spelling for Tzar, king of the Russian Empire, and is based on the Roman title Caesar. Canada has Ministers and Deputy Ministers. But Ok, Trump wants it.

Canada has political issues right now. Parliament has been prorogued, which is a break, Parliament is not sitting. All bills that were in process are cancelled. If Politicians really want those bills they'll have to be resubmitted, started over. Some bills in process were very bad, it's good they're killed. But most relevant, government cannot authorize any new spending without a bill through Parliament. All opposition parties have said they will vote non-confidence their first opportunity, and since Canada has a minority government now, that would trigger an election. Voting down any money bill is considered a non-confidence vote, so no spending bill will pass. Trudeau has announced his resignation. Normally that means he would be gone, caucus of the governing party would select an interim leader during a leadership contest, however Trudeau asked to remain as interim leader until a new leader is selected. The Liberal Party will vote for their new leader March 9; the new leader will be appointed Prime Minister later that same day. Parliament will resume March 24. Whenever Parliament resumes from prorogation there must be a throne speech in which the government announced the priorities it will work on. Parliament must vote on that throne speech, and if it's voted down that's a non-confidence vote. We expect all opposition partiea to vote non-confidence because they want an election NOW. NDP is the 4th party in the House of Commons, but has been supporting the Liberal government. In a recent press conference, the NDP leader equivocted whether they would vote non-confidence so a caucus member of that party literally slapped him upside the head. All this means no new money can be allocated until after the election.

In case you wonder why, polls show Liberals will lose dramatically.

Void · Yesterday 20:27:46

I like George Friedmans materials: https://www.bing.com/videos/riverview/r … 94fd9729a6
Quote:

Trump's Master Plan: How Russia Lost Everything | George Friedman
YouTube
Mauldin Economics
930 views
8 hours ago

I actually don't think Russia Lost Everything. Rather they have to accept a deal, I think, and it is not necessarily a bad deal for them.

If the three Oil powers are outputting, then that may cut inflation, eventually.

If Canada elects to have free trade between their provinces and to make pipelines to the pacific, then they do become more like the USA. Canadians claim to pride themselves as being not like the USA. Oil from Canada to the pacific could sell to California and Japan and South Korea, which could be useful to us.

If the Danes put more military into Greenland, and maybe offer the USA more bases, then we keep Greenland away from China. (Not that we would tolerate that at all). A deal with Russia, also displaces China out of the Arctic.

It appears that the stupid idea that the west Europeans had of shattering Russia to exploit its resources, will not happen. Sadly, we had a lot of Roman-Wanna-Bees in the USA also, but they are also pushed back.

With North America, Russia, and the Nordics having almost all that is to say about the Arctic, then the possible shipping routes will be dominated by those 3.

The USA having a Market, we can wave tariffs at several nations that do not have that, to get concessions from them.

Yes, Trump and Company are Aquisitioners.

Thank God! Warlords like to slaughter, Priests like to make us wear hairshirts, Intellectuals can be useful to Aquisitioners.

Ending Pending

Last edited by Void (Yesterday 20:40:22)

New Mars Forums

Announcement

#226 2025-02-05 15:14:28

Re: Peter Zeihan again: and also other thinkers:

#227 2025-02-05 16:40:34

Re: Peter Zeihan again: and also other thinkers:

#228 2025-02-05 20:17:03

Re: Peter Zeihan again: and also other thinkers:

#229 Yesterday 20:27:46

Re: Peter Zeihan again: and also other thinkers:

Board footer