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I hope they take this seriously - an unmanned rendevous in Martian orbit is nearly impossible with what we got now. I'm sure even DARPA's renowned lil satellite duo actually did much of their work with human support on the ground.
Zubrin's been screeching about this for years, and sooner or later someone has to demonstrate in-situ fuel production; a MSR sounds like an ideal candidate especially since it needs to cut on the mass.
Nice idea but the true cost of launching pretty much deals with Earth's gravity and, sadly, there's nothing even a Star Trek-esque orbiting shipyard can do to mitigate that.
When we got something setup on the Moon the possibility will come for something stationed at L5 and L4...I'd even encourage it. However until scramjet and/or space elevator technology matures enough don't hold your breath.
It sounds like they're gearing the MSO for one of three senerios: plan A: Atmospheric Science; plan P: Polar Studies; plan G: Geological Science. Add to that the potential lander package...which of the 3 plans plan A favors a lander the least...largely due to competition with a radar sounder and various instruments.
If a lander's sent there sounds like there's huge interest in including a seismometer with it:
There was considerable discussion about how to best use the payload mass likely to be landed
as a drop-off package from MSO. This resulted in a clear prioritization
of the geophysics package instruments as follows: Seismometer, ranging for geodynamics,
heat flow experiment. [The case for the seismic measurements was further discussed above in
11.1.4.] Prioritization between this geophysics package and an integrated meteorological
package was more difficult. Comprehensive meteorological studies require data acquired from
multiple stations dispersed over a wide variety of terrains. However, given the lack of detailed
boundary layer measurements from anywhere on Mars, a single station would still provide a
key data set for validating atmospheric models and their treatment (or resolution) of critical
boundary layer phenomena. Such a station could also provide ground-level atmospheric truth
for remote sensing observations. The geophysics
package gained a preference in that it begins to fill an enormous gap in our knowledge about
Mars and its results are likely to have a more profound effect on a future landed network.
Apart from what little data can be squeezed from the orbiters, such as the discovery of a possible molten Martian core via analysis ofOdessey's orbit, the only way we could understand the Martian interior is sending some seismic equiptment. People seem to be highly in favor of "oh let's find the water" but without knowing much about the geothermal properties of either modern or ancient Mars (and considering the sun was actually dimmer a few billion years back) you're missing a huge part of the equation. I wonder if something Pathfinder-style with a few mini-probes could establish a network.
NASA ponders human mission to Phobos and Deimos.
http://www.livescience.com/blogs/author/leonarddavid
Russia is noted for spearheading with Phobos-Grunt. I can't help but notice a constant bias for Phobos; sure its the larger moon with some unique features but Deimos seems favorable to me due to its near-syncronus orbit and its higher orbit - favorable for incoming spacecraft.
Regardless of which moon its good NASA is at least peaking at the possibility.
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the Orion's "butterfly" shaped solar panels are original and beautiful
Hardly original. They're obviously modeled after the Phoenix lander's own solar arrays.
More NASA banging here but slightly less negative than the smut we've been dealt: http://www.spaceref.com/news/viewnews.html?id=1210
The only thing I think that could effect the VSE will be the views of the next President and how long our overseas wars will drag out.
I think it could best be summed up by the following: "limited benefit."
Carrying enough fuel to brake the ship back into Earth orbit will decrease the benefits a bit, as will the need for an additional launch to bring up a booster for the Orion to reach the vehicle. Assembly, ANY assembly, is not acceptable. If the vehicle cannot be reasonably assembled by docking, then this is a serious drawback. And if it can be assembled by docking, then this means each piece must be powered and maneuverable. How many pieces are there going to be?
Sadly many bad points GCNR points out. Those ISS-sized structures have less than a snowball's chance of getting assembled on schedule especially w/o the STS in service; the Ares V could assemble chunks but it would require assembly more akin to Russia's modules with some autonomy involved.
Aerobraking wouldn't be bad to try out, but SEP or NEP will be another matter, especially the later of the two due to politics and fact we haven't flown a full-up nuclear reactor into space (those isotope batteries on space probes don't count). The only time I see where SEP might be benificial is on the cargo side and on perhaps the return leg of a Martian crewed mission - possibly the transfer SEP module used on the cargo could be reused on the crew's return trip but that's debateable as opposed to a in situ chemically-fueled escape.
I would like to see more SEP myself but don't hold your breath for it in manned exploration.
Now THAT is what I call an engine alright!
Orion doesn't need a drop more fuel to leave a polar Lunar orbit nor the LSAM need much more to enter Lunar orbit. You don't know anything about orbital mechanics. You don't need to start in equatorial orbit to get to polar orbit either, you can enter polar orbit directly from Earth with only a small fuel penalty. Right now, the LSAM should be powerful enough to go directly to the Lunar poles, no problem.
That sounds good. Given the LSAM's capability do you think it could be a counterpart to the Progress since the Orion cargo-block has been eliminated?
A rare find but a very intruiging possibility!
Why not think: the Moon is to the International Space Station as the ISS is to the Earth. Think of LEO as analogous to a conditioning base camp on the way up Everest. Makes sense to me.
Perhaps not for the astronauts themselves, but for the whole agency of NASA. The Moon is a worthwhile place to visit anyway too.
Agreed. Even if its a dead world geologists find 'fossils' good ways to explore the past.
So is begging the Russians for a Progress and could be even better than an Orion cargo craft.
in to-day's globalized and competitive market only the (low) PRICE counts... that's why we buy nearly ALL (much more "industry strategic") computers from China...
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Nah we only buy stuff from China since they have extremely low wages companies like Wal-mart use to avoid unions in the USA as evil as they are. :twisted:
Getting back to Orion I hope if not this year then next Congress approves funding to accelerate its progress.
Another option remains and may be better than converting the Orion: the Ares V and LSAM.
true, it's possible, but too expensive (and available only after 2020)
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So is begging the Russians for a Progress and could be even better than an Orion cargo craft.
Why not aquaculture? Maybe you'd only have a few town sized environments, but you could likely have a lot of stations crewed by a dozen or so folks. Raise aquatic plants that need some substrate out in the open ocean with a structure permanently subrmegered a few meters down. The same concept could be applied to fish farms with sharks providing perhaps the best return at least in the near future given the high price of shark fins on the world market. Even with speices that aren't dangerous to humans I can imagine announcing you're going to raise sharks in your fish farm would destroy any such operation's chances of success near to shore as outraged locals would demand the government shut it down, but in the open ocean the only folks you'd possibly get complaining are environmentalists.
That may not be a bad idea as long as they keep it eco-friendly; it may even relieve pressure off over-fishing.
A hard decision for him to make, but yeah in the end the Orion is a crew vehicle through and through.
Another option remains and may be better than converting the Orion: the Ares V and LSAM.
Since the Ares V and LSAM are already specificed for cargo capability, and the LSAM has the capacity to be a heavy-duty cargo-fearing machine it might be easier to modify it as a disposable orbital vehicle...since it is already designed to be just that...with legs.
Question would be whether or not its worthwhile to use it for faring stuff to the space station; obviously it'll be expensive...on the other hand a single launch could likely keep the ISS supplied for a full year which saves cost on multiple disposable mini-trips ala Progress.
Can anyone crunch some numbers on this?
I do have to agree with Griffen. As I'm sure I stated before somewhere the lander is either going straight into the ice or to the targeted landing zone, both with their merits and level of importance.
=http://www.spaceblogger.com/reports/Go … ce Clipper from Space Blogger, aka Europa sample return ala Deep Impact.
This sounds like an interesting concept daring enough to work. Given the fiasco of JIMO and the Europa Orbiter a sample return mission would seem unspeakable, at least at first glance.
How much merit does this concept have? Given how Lunar Prospector tried this same trick at the expense of the whole craft and yielding nadda...would a probe going even faster on a world whose crust is ironically pure ice have any better luck? Thanks to Deep Impact whose tech seems to be the basis of this concept we now know it IS possible to blow chunks of comets into orbit but what of something planetary mass?
I think its worth a study at the very least, and the mission itself would be complex.
Looks like there's some trouble over NASA's lunar lander: http://www.space.com/businesstechnology … onday.html
'Lawmakers' apparently are upset that NASA has deemed the probe unessicary and attempted to scratch it off the budget.
The current technology for solar sailing is not good enough, and even hypothetical future technology would be firmly relegated to the "slow" category of technologies. Therefore it is entirely reasonable to reject this technology right now today this minute.
I agree there, and coupled with that I still can't help but think of solar sails as giant tissue paper in the face of meteors; heck the solar wind (and yes I'm aware solar sails have nothing to do with it) or radiation might have an effect on the plastic material.
I don't think it'd hurt to test the idea, after all we did that with ion engines, but like its xeon-powered counterpart I imagine even at best solar sails will only have a use for lightweight probes.
Yes Atlas V would be the vehicle of choice as it were for an EELV launcher and when compared to the numbers on the proposed Ares I the only stage that reduces chance for failure in any real great amount is the SRB. .
Lest we forget Dreamchaser is also being looked at as well to ride atop Atlas V as well.
I hope that goes well, but as previously stated I don't think an Atlas V would work well for NASA's Orion spacecraft, but if commercial spacecraft can fit something that can accomidate it by all means...the only worry in that case is validating its safe for humans which is a matter between Lockheed and Dreamchaser.
I agree Cyclops. NASA is going to be very very tight for a long while - it is supporting two manned spaceflight programs right now between the STS and Constellation, three if you count the ISS. Coupled with a war causing Congress and the White House to focus their attentions elsewhere what can you honestly expect?
I think things may improve comes 2010 once STS' budget becomes channeled straight to Constellation.
...now if I can just download the damn Real Player to watch it.
Real Alternative works well on windows systems and it's crapware free.
Yay crapware free! It works finally.
They are using the LSAM because of the higher efficency of its LO2/H2 decent stage. Its just a matter of chosing the best SPI for the job, and even if they were using the LO2/Methane option it has a lower SPI than hydrogen despite any fueling advantages from Mars.
Considering how each mission is likely to be dominated by one specific landing site I don't see why this is a problem, and given the advantages Shakelton crater is offering NASA won't idly delete the polar orbit capability. If anyone squawks for a 'hopper' mission well that's more likely to be a modified lander that'd be sent and operated w/o a CEV - purely a side-option that'd be available only after at least LO2 production is established.
The CEV is basically an orbital vehicle brought along for the ride - it'll be versatile but its only true importance is the Earth return. I'm not going to waste my breath (or text) flailing around about it. Wake me when they're starting the specifications for LSAM...THEN we have issues to debate.
...now if I can just download the damn Real Player to watch it. :evil:
Hopefully June will come soon for its launch.
Regarding that H2O evaporation...likely as it is no one has actually gathered concrete evidence if it really happens. Yes UV light splits water up but theory and proof can be worlds apart.
MAVEN and MARVEL, the Discovery Program projects NASA is funding and will chose for the next Mars Scout mission will both focus on the Martian atmosphere. Depending on what they kind...and also what New Horizon finds about Pluto's atmosphere and its even flimbsier atmosphere, we can make better deductions about what became of the Martian vapors.
Given the Martian physical features and comparing them to Earth with its ocean floor...yeah I agree the Northern Hemisphere must have once been drenched in water once. Given that water flows to the lowest spot...hey where else will it drain to aside from Hellas in the south?