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I doubt it. Primitive societies aren't guaranteed to be exact among one another just like current societies aren't. If sometime in the future we found evidence of the Nazis, wouldn't we be somewhat foolish to assume that all industrial humans were blood-thirsty weak-minded bastards?
Good point. Since ww1 Communism has killed 50 million people in democide, the killing of their own populations. This sum is incredibly greater if you consider chinas "birth control" methoods which involve killing the baby as it emerges from the mother. The state now has control over the lives of its populations. I believe in democratic nations such as america and to a large degree, britain and her commonweals, citizens have a larger say in what happens to themselves. But the fallancy is that if we removed all inhabitions to human freedom then the question is what to do? And since there is no true answer to that, the only thing I can say is nothing. In absence of a state, no man has any control over even himself. With nothing to aspire to (notice that the state tends to be idealistic) what does man aspire to be or do? Only himself, and in doing so negates his own freedom.
Without structure, there is no niche to join.
With one structure, there is only one thing to join.
With many, man can find his little niche.
"Men are not perfect angels"
Jefferson, directly prior to the consitution.
Nate W.
Oh as for MRE I came up with another intrepation of it. . . .
here goes!
MRE: Meals Rejected by the Enemy
How about potatoes? I think they have little or no roots and are very nutritoius. I don't know if they have made them with hydroponics but it is the number one vegatable that americans eat! Don't forget the Irish subsited on potatoes for quite a while. Hail, Potatoe!
What about a crew of 20-30? There needs to be more than 8 people at least as small groups can quickly get very confrontational. I know this from experience as a city council man at BBS. There needs to be more varity of people.
Wouldn't that be stronger? I know it does stratify and that only a certain amount of it is ever poured at one time.
Name some then. Most people call them 'cranks', not exiles.
Most are considered cranks when they do go into exile.
Let's see, Taiwan, threatened by China, decides to ignore the threat by developing space... that's a bit like building a new barn while the old one is still burning.
Taiwan is a little island with few raw materials that is being threatened by the largest (population wise) nation in the world. If they want to expand, they cannot do so without risking getting nuked. The two options they have is to go into diplomatic negotaitions and pray for peace or they could expand by developing space. Better two barns than one.
Nate, I will gladly agree with your final assessment, however, you are getting ahead of yourself- you are asumming that the catalyst will occur. I am pointing out that what you need to start this whole party is unrealistic. How can it be made realisitic?
People said rome would never fall, communist russua would last forever, germany for 1000 years. I am not saying when but I am offering possible scenarios how and why. Present reality is never constant, but history has quite an tendancy to repeat itself.
Qubec seperatists, wanting to speak their own language, decide to go to space to achieve their goals? LOL!
Basque seperatists, tired of bombing, decide to use their explosize talents, and build rockets to go to space? Ridiculous!
Anti-government groups, sitting in space, high above the oppressive government, surrounded by their ordinance? Cute.
Religious cults? Maybe, afterall, some religious cults commit suicide depending on which comet is streaking by Earth. A bright future indeed for a trailbalzing space faring species!
Desperate rich men? Yeah, we see a lot of those, don't we.
All the descriptions can be used to label historical groups that migrate. look a little closer at history and many will find the purtians were religious to the degree of culthood. On of the primary reasons china cut contact with the outlying colonys of her empire was the fear that they would not support their new government in power. All of them were made possible only by rich and desparate men.
You assume. If no 'real definitive research' has been done in the last 30 years in the field of rocketry, then 'modern te4chnology' can't be all that modern, now can it? What modern technology will solve all the problems? WHat is the magic cure? It dosen't exsist, and you assume soemhow it does.
It hardly needs to be said great advances in the fields of material sciences have been made since then. It is not as if there has been an impetus to make serroius advances as the space race was concluded. Without impetus there are no advances at all. A last ditch stand by a group facing anhillation is one hell of an impetus to make seroius advances.
Minor as in 'geologicaly' minor. In human terms, the ore on earth is VAST. We're also getting better at digging deeper.
Yes, that is true, but only to an degree. Many deposits are not mined at all simply because it is too diffucult to even bother with the extraction and transport.
And the government pays for that stuff with Joe Everyone's tax money. As of now, Joe Everyone would have to understand and agree that spending umpteen billions in space is worthwhile to them. How does building a space highway or whatever else in space help the average tax payer?
It might ensure their survival.
The nations of europe had to colonize the new world and beat their neighbors lest they be destroyed off the map. Destruction of an establishment is hell for anyone concerned. Just look at what happened to russia after her revolution, the kulaks, the peasant landowning class was anhillated in collectivation. Or the catholics of germany during the unification. My great great great grandfather was one of them who fled to the USA.
Most exiles then carve their own unique niche and gather power to unseat whoever upsurped them.
Hmmm, last I checked, NORAD and the NRO track everything in space. Something that can support people will inevitably be very very large, and very very shiny. You defintely cannot hide in space.
Sure. But last I checked, nuke missles can't catch anyone up there. Besides, stealth technolgy is cheap if you understand the principles. the F-117 was developed with a cost of 25 million dollars. compare that to most development costs, and it will be clear that stealth is easier than it looks and cheaper than what the government is admitting. The B-2 is really the largest pork barrel I have ever seen, just look at the gigantic list of sub-contractors.
Okay, but why would abyone spend the time and resources to make the infrastructure when they could use that same time and resources for something else with less risk, and more profit?
Only desperate exiles. Who else?
Has anyone seen Patton? It made me proud to be a patriot. The flag scene, I shall never forget, moreso after I read the UNCENSORED version of his speech. Personally I equate it with propaganda but it is very excellent propaganda (some of the scenes are fictious according to some writters)
How about spartucus? That movie made me cry.
While you've been busy reading Shakespeare and the Potter books, I've just finished Project Orion, The True Story of The Atomic Spaceship, by George Dyson and it was a truly great read. Can recommend it to everyone who's interested in the future of space propulsion.
I've read it myself recently too, but I still doubt it is the future of space propulsion, as there are still major shortcomings in the design, most notably in the event a bomb fails to detonate or how to "turn it off" to speak. The shock absorbers are a little too good. . . .but it is more than worth it to research and go for it espically as its high ISP will facillate asteroid shipping in earth orbit. Better to explode them there than here (NIMBY) but I am all for it.
Has anyone read Robert Caro's Master of Senate or The Means of Ascent?
Robert Caro is very good at this sort of thing. I like meaniful verbosity.
How about Truman by david cullulogh? I thought it was ok.
What about concreate?
Sounds unrealistic. I don't see how it can work.
Three Mile Island did melt down.
Yes, I suppose that could be considered a major accident dispite the very limited amount of radiation released. It was a accident, not an diaster as cherynobl was.
hmm? I appreciate your explaination but I still don't understand what I am seeing here.
spacepsi, I have read some of your other threads. I would love it if you sent me a link or some information (hard facts) about asteroid mining as I cannot find much information that is objective and first party.
I was only defending idustrial society compared to primative society. My arguement was not agianst anarchism nor for it. read it carefully to see what it is about. If you are not refering to what I wrote, I'll remove foot from my mouth.
I was protesting against reactionary ideas.
I believe that America is already anarchist to a degree, for the better of the country.
Maybe, but I thought that millions of degree, not thousands, were required for hydrogen to undergo nuclear fusion. But I don't know about other exotic elements that could be presents in the meteor, like more unstable isotopes. After all, these elements don't have to fusion straight, we can imagine that some unstable elements, like U235, due to the huge pressure, undergo fission first, which in turn could trigger a fusion.
Good point! But, then again, the metor could have been traveling incredibally fast, way faster than human reentrys. In short, it could have been traveling at high velocitys, enough to produce that sort of pressure.
I don't mean to be an party pooper but how was three mile island a major acident? no one died as an direct or indirect cause of the accident.
A nuclear accident, rare as they are (2 major accidents in 50+ years),
If one was cherynobl, then what was the other? I vaguely recall a accident in the 1950s at an miltary experimental reactor.
The exiles of the new world were primarily poor, uneducated, unwanted, or condemned criminals. It dosen't apply to space, unless you imagine it filled with uneducated and unwanted people.
They were unwanted rich exiles, not poor people. Sir Walter Raleigh founded the Roanake Island conoly in the middle of a brewing civil war in england. After the war, he left to check on it, but it had disappeared. When he returned from his check, he was thrown into the tower of london by order of the reigning monarch at the time. Doesn't sound like Raleigh was uneducated, his poetry is still published in books. Poltics was the primary factor for the Roanake Island conoly, and the failure to make it resulted in Raleighs death by beheading. Also, paterson, who I mentioned in the other precedent, knew Daneil Defoe, and Defoe had blessed the scottish enterprise. It would be an incredible strech to claim these people to be uneducated. I can make a list of smart and wealthy exiles that started cononlys, but I have no time for that.
Do the math. There isn't any. You also need to take into account realisitic constraints of 'Return of Investment'. Any capital available for space development is also available to other opportunities- Space has to compete with more economicaly viable, and speedier investments. It can't compete, which is why people only talk about tourism at most for space.
If someone is willing to make the infrastructure, the idea of using it for profit is not far behind. Businesses don't pay for the roads and the sewer, the government does. Initail cost of infrastructure is allways high, but it can last for a very long time. If a business is to make money, the people that want to make money have to plan on staying, for a long time. It is not a short term investment, but a long term investment. Tourism is impratical, despite all the interest in it. Only heavy industry remains, which makes sense since infrastructure needs heavy industry to make it. Once the infrastructure is done, it is logical to focus then only on heavy industry as it is easier to continue that than to go in an untried way. If business is to go there, the infrastructure must be pernement. If the infrastructure is pernement, then the business can think of it in those terms, hence heavy industry to fill the dual role of builder and business. There are people willing to go and create an infrastructure not for money, but for power, aka exiles. There are plenty of exiles that are rich or can raise tremendous amounts of money.
ex. quebec separtist groups, nationalist chinese, basque separtists, domestic anti-government groups, religous cults and desperate rich men.
Right now, today, this very minute, we, as a WORLD, struggle to keep TWO people in space.
nope. less than 1% of the world GDP is being used to support anyone in space. In the middle of a famine, scotland lost 25% of their liquid capital to fund the so called scottish hypermarket. People are willing to spend much more on exploration and exploitation than 1%.
Rich politcal exiles going to the stars? One, if their rich, wouldn't they more than liekly be part of the 'establishment'? Two, if they are rich, couldn't they go somewhere else on the globe, some place friendly, rather than space?
The world is a small place. There are still hiding places, but pressure can be put on governments. The world has government on every square inch of the globe. There is no place for the very, very rich if they are unwanted. Money has an impact on visablity, something that can be hidden from the common people, but not the government. Hypothecially, if china were to rachet up the tension with taiwan considerably, then taiwan really has nothing to do but wait. . . .or go to space and expand.
Wrong. Earth is filled with material. Key word is "ore-grade". Mining outfits mine high grade ore first becuase it is more profitable given the costs of extraction and refininement. as high grade ore is used up, lesser grade ore is then extracted- for less proft...until there is simply no more ore.
Thing is, there is plenty of ore, and technology only increases the efecceincy of extraction, and creates new opportunities to make low grade ore more profitable.
The heavy stuff sinks into the core, only minor deposits of the heavy materail remains. And it is not easy to get to. Asteroids don't need any extraction, they are giant piles of ore/gravel.
Yes, economy of scale will lower costs, but it is a matter of approaching the proper economy of scale- which usually requires larger upfront capital expenditures- so now we need people with trillions. Wrong direction Nate.
No real definative reasearch has been done in 30 years in the field of rocketery. A private venture could easily cut costs with application of modern techology to these rockets. It is not like oxygen and hydrogen is expensive, there is plenty of room to cut on production costs. Remember, the government buys and doesn't build them. there is an markup for the buyer not for those building it. A builder would have it in his interest to keep it cheap.
A change in the power structure equilivent to the french revolution, the russian revolution and the protestant/catholic holy wars in europe. It can happen, and if it happens a lot of people are going to want out. It is not unconcievable that a group of rich exiles will band together to get off the planet and damn anyone left behind.
Sure, it's conceivable, anything is. But it's damn bloody likely that it's not going to happen.
Have you been reading the newspaper? Russia is always tottering, china is in turmoil, europe is about to lynch the american president and North Korea has nukes while south korea wants the USA out.
The world is not a kind or forgiving place, even for those lucky to have power or money. Just look at Saddams sons.
What advantage does Sapce currently have over Earth?
It has no government, no infrastructure. And it is very hard to find anyone up there, if they chose to go.
And the realist's children will have the last laugh.
Sure.
Have you read "The Origin And Design Of Government" By Thomas Paine? I'm sure he would probably agree if he was alive today.
Nope, but thanks for the suggestion, I'll order it from the library if I can.
Visited by moderator 2022/01/28
Is that the only way you see us going into space? Isn't there another way that avoids the cycles?
Well, there is the profit motive, but you claim there isn't any. I did offer an alternate with the possiblity of poltical exiles (rich ones) going to the stars to esacape persectuation. Don't pretend that there isn't any persectuation.
The origianal question of the thread was what scienaros would initate space exploitation/exploration.
What would be so dire that people decide that leaving Earth is a better option than staying? An asteroid? We're better off developing the means to destroy such threats, not colonizing vacum. The sun burning out? Wake me in 2 billion years- that should leave me another billion or so to figure things out.
A change in the power structure equilivent to the french revolution, the russian revolution and the protestant/catholic holy wars in europe. It can happen, and if it happens a lot of people are going to want out. It is not unconcievable that a group of rich exiles will band together to get off the planet and damn anyone left behind. Poltics are stopping any real colonization, but poltics can spear head it too.
Don't kid yourself, nasty stuff can happen in Pax Americania.
advances in science andtechnology will help that day along, but launch costs and power costs in space effectively kill any economic opportunity one might try for in space.
Then the materials remain. Earth is devoid in materials and it takes considerable effort to extract them. If exiles do leave, they do have to make a living. So they will go to what industry needs, raw material. As for launch costs, there are ways to bring them down, as mass production brought the cost of cars down. First, you claim advancing technology makes it silly to go to space. Then you assume technology won't advance, and ensure launch costs will remain the same. That is not realistic.
Put on the imagination hat: imagine a space colony of 10,000 people and children. Now, how do you deal with unemployment? What happens if someone can't pay their electric bill? Space them? Send them to the asteroid mines? What if they refuse to work? Ship them back to Earth? What if they can't go back becuase they can't handle the gravity on Earth? Euthanize them? How do you handle a workers strike where you rely on them for production of water or power? How do you deal with the reality that one individual can destroy everyone else by simply disabling the power, computers, or air systems?
One person can open the seacocks on a ocean going ship, but that doesn't stop anyone from merchant shipping. One person (in the right place) can destroy the internet, but no one is going to advocate stopping the spread of the internet on that. It is akin to claiming one person could completly destroy the world in nuclear war. Nuclear war initiation is not reliant on a single person, despite what you have seen on TV. Besides, that is an overgeneralization. There will be a management of some sort, and the workers will be invaluble. They work together or they die, and they will know it. That should be enough to make them work together. Management can't do it without work, and work can't do it without managment.
No need to answer them, just think about it. Space is nothing more than a prison.
Then what is earth? A perfect eden? I doubt it. Each has its own advantages and disadvantages. The advantages of space will outweigh the advantage of earth when the community will make life unbearable.
It's not evidence, it's an anology, and it dosen't apply well.
Very well, it is a analogy, but it is also precedent, and it backs up my statement that times will be pretty nasty to force exiles to industrilize space. Yes, it is not edvidence, and I used a improper word.
Why do you have to worry about this? Becuase none of it is free! None of it exsisits on it's own. the Air in the new world was free. the Water, free. You didn't need to worry about 'power', you just needed wood for kindiling. You needed a set of basic tools, that could be repaired easily.
Space, you're computer breaks, and you're SOL.
Not really. The settlers had no control over the weather in the new world, crops were uncertain as the oil market is today. Too much grain and the price would go down, too little and everyone starves. The same agruement that I see here could be used to stop settlers from colonizing america on the grounds that nothing is certain when it comes to agriculture. But they did come to escape the poltical reality of europe. At least hydroponics are more reliable. . . . .and raw materials markets are more stable.
If your computer breaks in space, it can be fixed if there is time. It is not like it is impossible to fix, it is just a lot of people don't have mechanical appitude for that stuff. If you are a farmer in a drought, you are truely SOL as they can't fix a drought. More variables are controled in space than on the planet, and there is more control over the specifics of the enterprise.
You make colonization of the americas sound like a boy scout camp, it was not like that at all. Many failures occured before success, I suggest you read about the Jamestown colony's early years. Cannabilism occured there due to failed crops. It wasn't fun. People suffered and died to escape europe, with its "enlightened" rulers.
I fully agree that man will take his problems with him to space. It is exactly this reason that I think colonizing space is a bad idea.
What authority save God declares man "bad" and prohibits spreading the "diasese" of man elsewhere? Man is bad to himself and God only. God doesn't dicate that we can't do this, so why not? There is no one but ourselves to hurt up there. We can't hurt rocks, they don't think. It is time to rape the asteroid belt!
I do believe man does have total depravity (I am calvinist) but it shouldn't stop him from leaving.
When people came to the new world, at the very least they could plant some crops, hunt some game, and build a shelter from trees. That's all they needed to survive.
They needed good weather, the most they could do was plant and pray, and if it didn't rain, or rained too much they died. Of course, they also had the problem of constant warfare and malria.
What if we merely incorporate the desire for space exploration and exploitation into the establishment? You will probably be taking Civics next year, if you haven't already, I suggest you ask your teachers about Politcal Action Committe's (PAC's).
If a PAC is needed, then there is some forcing, if it rises out of the private realm. If a private business can't do it (space treatys, remember?) then PACs are necessary. But those with the law in their own hands will have a better time of it when it comes time to write law. The estabishment is not one solid block, it is made up of regional powerhouses. (remember the south, do you?) So there is always someone to oppose, and if PACs are necessary, it only demostrates the resitance present. PACs are made to overcome resistance or to compermise. Space industrilization is not a compermise, I do not see how a compermise could be made.
You can't just 'buy a ride' and start a new life in a new world. There is no 'New World". There is NOTHING there. It is VACUM. It is DEATH.
Then all the better, no one to offend when the asteroid belts are exploited. The asteroids are there. asteroids are made up of matter, which would highly suggest that it is something. If there really was nothing up there, then there would be nothing to die, so if something does die, then there is something up there to die.
Besides, death is a rather bit extreme when it comes to comparisions. It sounds like fearmongering.
And a personal word. . . .
Why not? If one was willing to take the risk, why stop him? If it does work, then it benefits everyone as a whole. There is no law that requires anyone to go into space. If the optimists fail, let em try and die. But the pessimists will never suceed if they don't try. :;):
With idealism, it is oboius that hyprocites are around, but ideals are the highest to adhere to. Why not shoot after them?
Without idealism, what is the ultimate goal of man? His own self gratification? or his neighboors self gratification?
Ideals must be reconized as impossible, but we must have our ideals or we risk losing our lives as we know it.
I suppose no ideals would be apt to anarchy. . . .
On the gounds that ideals tend to mobilize and organize man into hierarchys. And organization is just another word for the sub-establishments. In the end, there is no absolute ruler, there is only a collection of sub-establishments with ties and a general agreement on how things should be done, thus creating the government aka state.
As hard as one might, there is no true single ruler. Even in homogonous cultures there are subsets of the culture in itself, which sow the seeds of the sub-establishment, which is only a consenting member of the establishment at large.
without fail, every human civilization has had its own sub divisions within the estabishment. Each one has had different ideals, ideals that set them appart from the establishment at large.
The establishment goes after these ideals primarily without really regarding other ideals
ex. special interest groups.
ex. Nobility.
ex. religion.
The question is who created the ideals, and who controls this creation?
we'll have mastered AIDS, and the like, automated detection.
I don't know about that, but I sure hope they do!
(a) not to attempt any remotely sample-returns to LEO, the ISS or Earth(!) and (b) plan on a no-return Mars-First expedition, if cause of whatever cause of illness and/or demise cannot be purged from their return vehicle. On the other hand, if animals survive, and even thrive, in the first instance--it's a GO next time, with humans as well as other animals aboard!
I think the russians did that with a dog, if I am not mistaken. It couldn't hurt, IMHO.
What 'reason' is there to colonize space, that draws on a historical precedent Nate?
I am agrueing that it takes some pretty drasic and dismal times to provide the impetus to go into space. I do not pretend to know exactly what. Right now, I don't see a event drasic enough to force industrailization. I am offering a educated guess to what the impetus may be. In any case, it must be extreme enough to force establishment members to seek a release form the event, whatever it may be.
The script I am quoting here comes from Simon Schama's "A History of Britain, VII The Wars of the British, 1603-1776.
"In the years after Glencoe, both Scotlands (but especially the south) endured the misery of what became known as the 'ill years'. For several summers in a row the sun refused to appear. Torrential rain deluged the country and continued into the autumn, turning the stunted crops of barley and wheat into sodden slurry and making any kind of harvest impossible. Occasional years of respite suffered from the seed deficts of their predecessors. Cattle and sheep developed murrain and footrot. The first (and mercifully last) great famine in living memory dug its talons into Scotland. At least 5 per cent of Scotland's one and a quarter million population died of hunger. Patrick Walker, a pedlar in the Highlands, claimed to have seen women in ditress after all the meal had been sold, 'clapping their hands and tearing the clothes off their heads crying, "How shall we go home and see our children die in hunger?"' Sir Robert Sibbald, the first Professor of Medicine at the University of Edinburgh and author of Provision for the Poor in the Time of Death and Scarcity (1699) catalouged the wild herbs and grasses that might be digestable and recommended that cats be eaten if there were no other kinds of meat. The highways were full of destitute, disbanded soldiers, vagrants of all kinds. Plainly, it was a time to steal or starve.
In all this darkness, though, there were some Scots who believed they could see the light. It shone from a plan they were convinced woould raise Scotland virtually overnight from impotence and misery into a global power, rich beyond the dreams of any Glasgow counting-house. A New Caledonia was to be planted across the Atlantic athwart the trading routes of the world at the isthmus of Darien, just south of Panama. There amid the palms, fortunes would be made that would seed a Scottish prosperity the like of which had never been seen.
The scheme was not as lunatic as it might at first sound. The 'free port' was to be crested about 150 miles (240 km) away from where the Panama Canal now cuts between the Pacific and the Atlantic, with very much the same commerical logic behind it. Its most eloquent advocate, William Peterson, a Scot who had made money in the West Indies and had been a founder of the Bank of England, agrued persuasively that what was holding back the expansion of Asian-European trade was the ruinously lenghty and dangerous choice of journeys, around either the African Cape of Good Hope, or the South American Cape Horn. If the Company of Scotland could realize its dream, all this would change. Ships from China and Japan could sail east at New Edinburgh exchange cargoes with ships sailing west from Europe. With freight costs slashed, the goods thus shipped would become more cheaply availble in their respective domestic markets. Demand would soar correspondingly, and the volume of trade increase exponentially. And sitting on top of the worlds newest and most prosperous exchange and mart would the Scots, taking portage, marketing and banking charges off the top and waiting for the next great fleets to sail in from the Pacific and the Atlantic.
The Darien projectors were not, in fact, proposing anything more outlandish than the kinds of services that had been offered for centuries in Amsterdam. This may, indeed, have been the very reason why the circle of Dutch money men around William III felt so threatened by the scheme. But the project also struck at the reigning economic othodoxy of the time, which concieved of international trade as a zero-sum game, playing for the shares of a fixed amount of goods and gold. To maximize that share meant using the power of the state -- miltarily if necessary -- to lock up exculsive sources of colonial supply, and to enforce a monopoly of shipment and marketing for the home country's vessels and ports. Pepper, tea, or silk were to be carried only in the ships of offically licensed and chartered companies.
But Paterson's 'Company of Scotland Trading to Africa and the Indies' was something else again: a shameless commercial maverick disrupting orderly procedures of mercantilsim. Its first - its only - great project would be the creation of a tropical free zone, where sellers and buyers from who knows where could come together on the little neck of ocean to haggle and clinch deals at mutually agreed prices. No wonder everyone in London - other than Paterson's circles of Scots and well wishers like Daniel Defoe - wanted it to fail. Lobbying hard against it in the English Parliment, the Royal African Company predicted that if this unregulated monstrosity were allowed to establish itself, there would be a mass migration of England's merchants and seamen across the Tweed and 'our commerance will be utterly lost.' In one week the stock of the other pillar of English colonial trade, the East India Company, fell from 72 to 50 pence.
If the reaction in London to a Scottish American hypermart verged on the hysterical, the Scots themselves made no secret of the fact that they thought of the Darien venture as a break-out from the economic stranglehold of English power. "
script from pgs 330-333, Simon Schama's "A History of Britain" VII The Wars of the British.
Here is the edvidence that times will be dire during the industrialization of space. Times of prosperity tend to have the investors focus on easy, safe investments, where as in drastic times, drastic and dangerous investments occur.
As for the scots colony, it never got anywhere.
It was feasiable, people were absolutly willing to take the risk, but in the end, the problem was that the establishment of britain made it fail.
That is why I believe only members of the establishment that are in dire straits will commit the act of industrialization, to continue their own power.
I admit there is no dire straits right now, but you believe that china will be impetus enough to build a moon base.
We will just have to wait and see, the people in charge do not want threats, and only if the establishment splinters do I see a window to space industrization.
Who will come? To do what? For whom? Brave lads and gals who want to be on the bleeding edge of Humanities reach? Why? To raise a family? Raise a family in a high radiation environment surrounded by vacum, where a failure in man generated power results in death.
Only those interested, like exiles. Plenty of people died of malaria in the new world, but it did not stop many from coming. . . . . .don't forget many also had to fight wars with their neighboring colonies, too. The motive has to be very dire in order to convince people to get moving.
To build a Utopia? Go buy an island or a cruise ship for a fraction of the cost of a Mars settlement and go build 'Utopia'.
There is not a utopia that can be built, I am not advocating a utopia, and utopias are for fools. Space will bring most of the problems of man with him, and I will speculate not on which ones will follow.
Economic benefit? Dubious at best. The technology just isn't there yet to realize the neccessary economic profit.
Economic benefit is a side effect of the exiles work if they chose it to be so. Heavy industry can grow exponantly if it focuses on itself, and once it reaches breakeven point it can focus on trade with sources outside of itself. These people will leave because they are desperate, not to make money. They want a way out, then they can worry about profit.
You might as well call for opening up Anarctica for exploitation and colonization. It would be easier and cheaper.
They already have. Note that a lot of unregulated fishing goes on. Also note that there are bases of all sorts and a tourism industry.economy of the south pole
As for specifics on asteroid mining, go to Asteroid Mining
Let us cross the rubricron. . . . . . . . .and damn the poltics.
Hopelessly optimistic, Nate W.
Seriously though, why would anyone in their right mind want to settle Mars or space?
Why not the bottom of the ocean? Why not the middle of the Sahara? Why not some frozen ice-berg floating in the North Sea?
Exactly. Those are all possible sites, but they don't offer the same oppoputurnity that settling space does.
for the record, I doubt a mars investment will be practical, but I rather think asteroid mining holds a lot of potentail that could be used to fuel the settlement of mars proper.
I can make up reasons. You can make up reasons. But the problem is that they are made-up reasons. Nothing real (I believe some of your thoughts are plausible though Bill, but that is a far cry from 'realisitic')
How is it not realistic?
Space requires a high level of pre-exsisting man made infrastructure. The New World required you to get out of a boat, cut some trees, and build a log cabin. Space requires life support systems, bio-regenerative systems, radiation protection, greenhouses, emergency escape systems, etc.
So what? I never said it would be a piece of cake. It is the making of this infrastructure that the actual profit will be, with the development of industry to provide for these people, then that same effort could focus on other things. build it and they will come is true when it comes to colonization. There are always plenty of exiles, and always plenty of damn-fool rich ones at that, too.
-nate , just another damn-fool idealist with improbable dreams. . . . . .
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Space will be indusrialised and colonised, but the potential benefits (financial or otherwise) arent as large, as needed or as obvious as they were in the case of the new world. If mars had a breathable atmosphere and fertile lands, then this would be a very dfferent matter.
This is true with mars itself. However, it does not apply to asteroid mining were the lack of gravity is a boon, not a drag on operations. Last I saw, the asteroids have better ores that are easier to mine than deposits on earth when it comes to transportation and extraction. And, as I said, transportation and extraction are the most absolute difficult part of raw materials fabrication. Nothing else remotely comes close to the difficultys faced here, and a lack of gravity makes it infinately easier.
(Gennaro Posted on July 22 2003, 07:04 )After all, I'm only a representative for the interested public.
Are you a senator or poltician?