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#51 Re: Human missions » I give up.... - Manned mission to Mars. » 2002-06-27 09:51:39

GOM

I'm feeling slightly more optimistic today.

If Zubrin can really do it for 3 to 5 billion, or even for 10 billion dollars, we still have a chance....

#52 Re: Human missions » This might be a dumb question, but did Zubrin say - Mars Direct » 2002-06-27 09:47:16

GOM

I think they were talking about billions instead of millions... wink

hahaha

Thanks for the correction!

#53 Re: Human missions » This might be a dumb question, but did Zubrin say - Mars Direct » 2002-06-26 10:55:28

GOM

the Mars Direct price tag would be only $10,000,000.00?!

If that's the case, what are we waiting for?

I heard him on the radio last night with Richard Hoagland.  It was a great show, but that number is bothering me.  I know NASA's budget for a Mars trip was grossly over-inflated at something like $400 million, but $10 million seems pretty cheap.

Any help on this would be appreciated.

Thanks.

#54 Re: Human missions » Listen Tuesday night to Hoagland and Zubrin! - Coast To Coast radio show » 2002-06-26 10:47:16

GOM

I thought it was very good.

I agree.  One of the best I've ever heard.  Hoagland seems to have new clout and increased confidence now that he's got his movie deal.

#55 Re: Human missions » I give up.... - Manned mission to Mars. » 2002-06-24 11:29:14

GOM

While I agree with all the sentiments expressed here, let's look at it from the point of the US govt. and NASA (not that I necessarily agree with them):

o Humans to Mars is expensive. We could use the money on countless other things.

o It's dangerous. What happens if someone dies? The public will hate us.

o Robots are nice and cheap and people won't care too much if they crash. Plus, they actually do produce good scientific results, and they seem to keep most people happy.

o Space exploration is not in favour right now, and NASA can't do anything right. Just look at how they handled the ISS - if that can't do that, how are they supposed to handle a Mars mission?

o The public isn't that bothered about going.

So for them, there's no real urge to go. I can think of rebuttals for each of the points above, but even so they all have an element of truth in them, which is why the US government still believes in them.

Hey!  Wait a minute!!

I thought you were in favor of sending humans to Mars....

Right?  Or did I misunderstand?

Given the points you make, what would change the equation, in your opinion?

1.  Water on Mars?

2.  Life on Mars?

3.  Signs of previous intelligent life on Mars?

4.  Other?

#56 Re: Human missions » Listen Tuesday night to Hoagland and Zubrin! - Coast To Coast radio show » 2002-06-24 11:14:08

GOM

Well....

Hoagland goes over the top sometimes.  He's a bit of an entertainer, imo.  It does not help his standing with the "mainstream".  He's kind of like the VW Bug was back in the 60's.  Some people love him.  Some people hate him.  Not too many are neutral.

He is the most visible person associated with the Face on Mars.  Has written at least one book on the topic.  His hypothesis is that we are the Martians.  He thinks the early Martians built the Face but had to leave their planet a long time ago and head for Earth due to a major disaster.

He was a mainstream person, worked with Cronkite in the past, but got shoved into the fringe due to his interest in the Face.  At least that is how I see it.  Now he is coming back into the mainstream and has been hired (I don't know the exact capacity or title) by a big studio to do a movie based on Mars and his theories.  I think it's supposed to be out in 2003, but I might be wrong on that point.

He is very enthusiastic about Mars.  I don't know what the format of the show will be, but with Hoagland on it will be interesting and probably also informative.

#57 Re: Human missions » I give up.... - Manned mission to Mars. » 2002-06-24 10:48:55

GOM

The Mars Society, with its three Mars habitats, is probably doing more work in support of a humans-to-Mars initiative than NASA is.

You could easily be right.  NASA only seems interested in sending robots to Mars.  Not that sending humans will be easy, but it's way past time to get serious about it.

#58 Re: Human missions » Listen Tuesday night to Hoagland and Zubrin! - Coast To Coast radio show » 2002-06-24 10:24:28

GOM

06/25/02 - Tue/Wed
Host: George Noory
Guest: Richard Hoagland

1) Richard C. Hoagland, is the founder of The Enterprise Mission, recipient of the Angstrom Medal, former science advisor to CBS News and Walter Cronkite, author of "The Monuments of Mars", co-creator of the "Pioneer Plaque", originator of the "Europa Proposal", and principal investigator of The Enterprise Mission...

Book: The Monuments of Mars: A City on the Edge of Forever
Website: www.enterprisemission.com

Guest: Dr. Robert Zubrin
Dr. Robert Zubrin, Pioneer Astronautics, Astronautical Engineer, USA, Commander. Mars Society President Dr. Robert Zubrin has been selected as the winner of the Robert A. Heinlein Memorial Award for "lifetime achievement in promoting the goal of a free spacefaring civilization." The previous 8 winners of the award were Dr. Gerard K. O'Neill, Sir Arthur Clarke, Dr. Werner Von Braun, Gene Roddenberry, Dr. Robert Goddard, Dr. Buzz Aldrin, Dr. Carl Sagan, and Neil Armstrong. Zubrin is the 9th person to win the award.

Book: The Case for Mars: The Plan to Settle the Red Planet
Book: Entering Space: Creating a Space-Faring Civilization
Book: Islands in the Sky: Bold New Ideas for Colonizing Space
Website: www.marssociety.org


http://artbell.com/schedule.html

#59 Re: Human missions » I give up.... - Manned mission to Mars. » 2002-06-21 10:12:21

GOM

Yesterday I read the news that there might be a lunar base established by 2020.  Obviously Mars will be years after that, if we ever send a manned mission to Mars.

I seriously doubt I will live long enough to see it happen.

sad

Based on how poorly the ISS has been handled, I don't even think my kids will get to see a person on Mars.  I hope I'm wrong.

#60 Re: Intelligent Alien Life » The Drake Equation - useful? » 2002-06-19 11:56:30

GOM

It seems so wide open that it makes sense of anything and I don't know how you could ever reliably estimate half of the variables.

You're right.  It is wide open.  You can reach any conclusion you want with it.  It is part of what I see as a conditioning program that is designed to get the public to accept "aliens".  Recent polls show that over half of American adults believe in intelligent aliens.  I conclude that the conditioning is working.

#61 Re: Intelligent Alien Life » The Drake Equation - useful? » 2002-06-19 11:50:41

GOM

The "impact theory" posits that the missing Terran crust orbits over our head and is our moon - formed when a Mars sized planet gave Terra a glancing blow, stripping off the material that became our moon.

Does that seem likely to you?  I thought the Moon was of a different chemical composition from Earth.

#62 Re: Intelligent Alien Life » The purpose of this forum » 2002-06-19 11:41:27

GOM

Maybe you should rename this thread "The Lunatic Fringe"

hahaha

How ironic.

#63 Re: Water on Mars » Duck n Cover - Water but no jubilee and still hiding » 2002-06-10 12:09:08

GOM

Duck n Cover



Here is a PRIME image of the famous D & M pyramid and the Cydonia Face and in further study and homework we learn that a full five color visible image AND a 9 spectrum infrared image is available ON THE SENSORS at the SAME TIME as this Odyssey space craft is flying over the most interesting landscape on the planet, in near-perfect lighting, and ONLY ONE (1) , repeat ONLY  1 ( ONE ) sensor bank was 'commanded' to be 'read' by the onboard computer???

C'MON ! ! !

I will only 'presume' that IF, and HOPEFULLY, ALL the bands were commanded to be read, AS IS POSSIBLE, for this image; that the withholding of this information is 'political'.  If that is the case, then we should do all we can do to peacefully change this political conundrum.  Because if ALL the bands were NOT commanded to be read, then that is one wasted wonderful opportunity to really show us all out here the FULL capabilities of this instrument in a landscape that has attracted more of humanity's attention on Mars than any other.  THAT would be a shame.  Sort of like letting George gut the White House for an indoor baseball field.  Or like watching the hearings now concerning the failures of our intelligence agencies to handle the data they acquire in a manner that is accurate or timely.  NASA seems to be having the same problems concerning ANYTHING about Cydonia on Mars!  The very FIRST Cydonia Face image they had with the MGS MOC was distorted so bad that it has earned the nickname the 'Catbox' image.  And the latest image has only ONE band of sensors operating???

People say I and others calling for the IMMEDIATE release of the raw data from these spacecraft should just wait.  We've BEEN waiting.  When data is finally released, in the last Mars Face MOC case it was THIRTEEN months when they are only 'allowed' SIX months, not only is it late, it is actually been distorted when presented to the public. 

http://www.vgl.org/webfiles/mars/stereo … esults.htm

Only the raw data remains pure.  And THAT continues to be withheld beyond allowable limits, and ALL that raw data is possibly NOT being acquired by the THEMIS team!  Should we wait and wait to find out that the THEMIS team 'blew it' like our intelligence agencies did?  That the NASA bureaucracy is just as 'overwhelmed' to undertake it's task properly as is other branches of our government?  Our intelligence agencies are beginning to ask for the American Public's help in defending the homeland, maybe its time NASA started asking for the help of the image analysts out here with processing all that raw data they are sitting on.  We can at least do better than this very FIRST presentation of the Cydonia Face to the public back in 1998 after a quarter century of a lack of data, and the FIRST try out, located on the left in the image below,

http://www.enterprisemission.com/images/facecomp.jpg

was a complete 'Catbox' effort.  Sadly, some of the efforts regarding Cydonia haven't gotten much better by them.  If they aren't going to do their jobs and do HONEST science with this raw data, at least they should let us out here do it for them.  Or at least also live up their already made promises, and to only hang on to that raw data they want for 'egotistical publishing' purposes for the 6 months they are allowed, instead of DOCUMENTED 13 months.  That is just plain dishonesty out in the open where the Principle Investigator knows there will be no penalty for flaunting the rules in our CYDONIAN FACES.  So why should the University of Arizona act any different?  They haven't yet.  There STILL has been NO pre-announcement of imaging of Cydonia, and NO releasing of the raw data.  Our government tax dollars hard at work, but not for us.

Amazing....

They must really be afraid of something.

#65 Re: Water on Mars » "Mars is hiding something amazing". One man's view - What does he know??? » 2002-06-03 10:04:06

GOM

hmmm

Does anyone here remember a recent story about Mars warming up?

It was within the past few months, as I recall.  I don't remember the amount of warming that had been measured.  Earth is also warming.  I think the two are connected.  There's no SUVs running around on Mars causing global warming.  At least as far as I know! 

wink

#66 Re: Water on Mars » "Mars is hiding something amazing". One man's view - What does he know??? » 2002-05-31 12:27:24

GOM

http://space.com/science....30.html


Breaking the Surface: How Scientists Could Use Mars' Water-Ice

By Leonard David
Senior Space Writer
posted: 09:15 am ET
30 May 2002   


On Mars, water ice may be both biological buried treasure and a rich resource for future Mars explorers.


NASA's 2001 Mars Odyssey spacecraft has found enormous quantities of subsurface water ice. Scientists using the spacecraft's gamma ray spectrometer instrument have detected hydrogen in the upper three feet (one-meter) of soil. That hydrogen is believed likely to be in the form of water ice.

The spacecraft spotted enough Mars water ice to fill Lake Michigan twice over in what may be a "splash" of data, with the deluge yet to come.

Odyssey scientists were ready to report their findings on Thursday at a NASA Space Science Update briefing in Washington, D.C. However, over eager reporters hijacked the announcement, breaking embargoed information, thereby forcing the space agency to cancel the briefing.

More than a month ago, one early science result from Odyssey was a tantalizing detection of frozen water on Mars, surrounding the planet's south pole. The signature of buried hydrogen has also been found in the north, but not in the areas close to the pole.

"What's important now is that we don't have use terms like 'gobs' and 'whopping huge' amounts of subsurface water ice," said William Boynton, principal investigator for Odyssey's gamma ray spectrometer suite at the University of Arizona, Tucson.

"I'd have to give the instrument an A-plus. It's doing everything we expected, and more so," Boynton told SPACE.com.

Researchers have concluded the hydrogen detected is not distributed uniformly over the upper 3 feet (one-meter). Rather, it is much more concentrated in a lower layer beneath the top-most surface.

Boynton said that the amount of hydrogen detected indicates 20 to 50 percent ice by mass in the lower layer. Because rock has a greater density than ice, this amount is more than 50 percent water ice by volume.

Heating a full bucket of this ice-rich polar soil would yield more than half a bucket of water, Boynton said.

"There's really an awful lot of water that's in there when you melt it," he said.

Priming the pump

Boynton said there's much more work needed before dispatching astronauts to the red planet. But knowing an ample supply of underground water ice exists on Mars ahead of time clearly primes the pump, so to speak, he said.

"There's enough water there that astronauts don't have to worry about bringing water along with them," Boynton said.

"All you have to do is heat it up and the water is going to run out. You just put it through a filter?nothing any more elaborate than the kind of filter you'd use on your coffee pot," Boynton said. "My guess is that it would be clean enough to drink right like that," he said.

Boynton added, however, that astronauts would have to be on their guard not to drink contaminated water. "If you melted the ice and you found too much bacteria?.well, actually that would be great news. It means you've got life on Mars," he said.

"They could always boil the water and not have to worry about bacteria. My guess is, based on everything we know at Mars is that water would be pretty pure, with no organic matter in it at all," Boynton said.

Designing a future Mars lander to dig down and sample the ice layer, heat it up, and measure its organic content would be a straightforward experiment, Boynton said. "Obviously, it would be very useful to bring some of this ice back to Earth labs and study it in detail," he said.

Climate story

Bruce Jakosky, an astrobiologist at the University of Colorado in Boulder, said the Odyssey data points to a climate story, rather than a biology tale. "The big thing is that the water ice detected in the regolith [the top layer of Mars] appears to be most consistent with it being deposited via vapor exchange with the atmosphere," he said.

Odyssey is "telling us more about climate and climate history than about biology, Jakosky said. "At present, there is no way to warm this water ice enough to get even trace amounts of liquid. The ice is in equilibrium with atmospheric vapor," he said.

Given Mars temperature, this is way below the melting point under any reasonable or realistic conditions, Jakosky said. The new Mars data is spelling out an important climate story, he said.

"It tells us about the atmospheric water cycle and, by implication, the polar water cycle and the history of climate over the last few hundred thousand or million years. It's one more very important piece of the puzzle that we are putting together on how water behaves on all time-scales and what the nature of the climate is," he said.

Unseen planet

"Mars never fails to surprise," said Jim Garvin, Mars Program Scientist at NASA Headquarters in Washington, D.C.

Odyssey's observations show the strength of NASA's Mars strategy of "follow the water," Garvin said. "Our 'science catch phrase' has proven amazingly resilient and has maintained its relevance. Finding gobs of hydrogen-bearing stuff, which Boynton and team are interpreting as water ice, in new places and at new concentrations?bolsters our approach," he said.

Garvin said that Odyssey also shows that as measurement perspectives on Mars change -- from imaging to the infrared and now neutrons and the like -- "we see yet more of the 'previously unseen' planet," he said.

Finding water ice in abundance today on Mars means that follow-up spacecraft are going to be busy.

For instance, a U.S.-Italian-built radar onboard the European Space Agency's Mars Express will look deep below Mars' surface. Mars Express is now being readied for a June 2003 liftoff.

In addition, NASA's Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter, to be rocketed toward the red planet in 2005, totes along a subsurface sounding radar to probe at shallow depths and a high-tech hyperspectral imager too.

Something amazing

"It's my own view that the Odyssey findings that Boynton and team have given us further strengthens the possibilities that Mars is hiding something amazing," Garvin said.

"I'll bet that we have not seen anything yet.... and just wait till those Mars Exploration Rovers start ambling around in early 2004," Garvin said.

Odyssey's revelations, Garvin said, will not alter NASA's step-by-step plan to explore Mars.

Garvin said that NASA's Mars Exploration Program strategy is both vindicated and re-affirmed with Odyssey's results. Moreover, the probe has much more to offer in months to come.

"Mars will not let us down," Garvin concluded.

#67 Re: Water on Mars » Huge water ice reservoirs found on Mars! » 2002-05-30 10:43:22

GOM

Josh - Space.com reports as follows:

Odyssey scientists were ready to report their findings on Thursday at a NASA Space Science Update briefing in Washington, D.C. However, over eager reporters hijacked the announcement, breaking embargoed information, thereby forcing the space agency to cancel the briefing.

"Why" this was a valid reason to cancel the press conference remains unclear me.

"Forcing"?

Give me a break.

Are they really that childish???

What a weird twist to an important story....

sad

#68 Re: Water on Mars » Richard Hoagland claims finding water on Mars.... - Water into fuel. » 2002-05-29 13:01:01

GOM

Richard Hoagland claims finding all this water/ice on Mars will greatly reduce the cost of a round trip manned mission.  We can now break down the water over there and refuel.

How much of a savings will that bring?

Will this discovery of water speed up a manned mission?  I don't feel like waiting another 20 years!

#69 Re: Water on Mars » Lakes on Mars today?! - What could they be? » 2002-05-29 12:21:54

GOM

Could such a lake persist on the surface, alternately freezing and thawing, with surface evaporation being replaced by underground seepage of water into the lake basin?

It could.  NASA used to claim it was impossible.  Now they have had to change their tune.

Or maybe they knew it all along, but this is just another small step in the conditioning process we are being put through.

#70 Re: Water on Mars » Lakes on Mars today?! - What could they be? » 2002-05-29 12:18:21

GOM

I read an article once (don't remember where) that claimed that these areas carved out by water might have been carved out by flowing silicate-like material.  The theory sounded a little far fetched,

Yes, it sounds mare than a little far fetched.  And it doesn't meet the Occam's Razor test that skeptics like to trot out whenever it suits their purposes.

#71 Re: Water on Mars » Huge water ice reservoirs found on Mars! » 2002-05-28 10:59:58

GOM

Now we have a "flood" of information coming out....

wink


* * * * *
Tuesday, 28 May, 2002, 15:56 GMT 16:56 UK
Mars ice could flood planet

 
 
By Dr David Whitehouse
BBC News Online science editor 


Scientists have revealed the full technical details of their discovery of vast reservoirs of ice beneath the Martian surface.

So much ice has been found in the polar regions that if it were to melt it would deluge the planet.

The ice may stretch far underground to regions where it is warm, raising the possibility of warm caverns of meltwater in which scientists hesitantly speculate conditions could be suitable for life.

But they caution that we may never know until we have rock and ice samples returned to Earth by an unmanned probe for analysis.


Dr William Boynton 
He regards the sensational findings of ice below the surface of Mars as third time lucky.

"Twice I was close to this," he told BBC News Online. "We detected the subsurface ice using an instrument on Mars Odyssey that was also on the Mars Observer spacecraft.

"That probe reached Mars 10 years ago, but blew up when it got there - so, we could have found [the ice] then."

Quick start

And Dr Boynton could also have found it with the ill-fated Mars Polar Lander spacecraft. It crashed into the planet's polar regions in 1999.

"It would have landed on precisely the place where we now see the ice. Polar Lander had a scoop that would have been able to dig and reach the ice so just think what we could have seen if that mission had been a success."

Fortunately, Mars Odyssey has been a resounding success.

"We started seeing the signal from the ice within a few days of starting our survey of the planet," he said.

"We saw ice where we had expected to. The signal was so strong it just knocked us over."

Lost oceans

The Gamma-Ray Spectrometer, one of several sensors on board Mars Odyssey able to find evidence of ice reserves, is only able to look about a metre (three feet) beneath the surface.

Mars water facts 
Ice crystals less than one metre (three feet) below Mars surface
Located south of 60 degrees latitude
Melted, would create planet-wide ocean 500 metres deep
Nasa may commit to landing in less than 20 years 
"We can see an awful lot of water there," said Dr Boynton, "but why should it stop there? It may go down 10 metres, a 100 metres or even kilometres."

The underground ice solves one of the deepest and longstanding mysteries about the Red Planet: where did the water go?

All over its surface there is evidence that in the distant past copious amounts of water flowed. We can see dried up river lakes, ancient shorelines, and vast, empty canyons.

Now, scientists know where all this water has gone - it is frozen deep underground.

"This is where the lost oceans have gone," Dr Boynton told BBC News Online.

It has been found exactly where it was predicted - Poleward of 60 degrees south, where the average temperature and soil properties would allow ice to form.

Possibility for life

If Mars were to become much warmer for some reason and the ice melted, it would drench the planet to an average depth of between half and one kilometre.

But what of life?

Boynton: Impressed with results

"Well, it's a little hard to say," speculated Dr Boynton. "If the ice is deep enough, there could be regions where it gets warm enough to melt and that would mean pockets of warm water underground.

"That would be very exciting - but we will not know for sure until we bring back a sample for analysis."

And the Mars Odyssey data has provided another ironic twist in the history of exploring the Red Planet.

In 1976, two sophisticated American spacecraft, Vikings 1 and 2, landed on the planet. They scooped up some soil and looked for life. Most scientists believe they found none. But Viking 2 may have come close.

"Our findings indicate that perhaps just a metre below Viking 2, there may have been a lot of ice. It may have got so far yet so close to finding ice on Mars," said Dr Boynton.

And the scientist who endured two failed missions and 17 years to solve one of the greatest planetary mysteries chuckles to himself.

#72 Re: Water on Mars » Huge water ice reservoirs found on Mars! » 2002-05-28 10:51:56

GOM

Especially since raw PDS data is, well, almost impossible to ?fake.? If you could do it I would be very impressed.

I guess you won't be impressed then.

I can't do anything with raw PDS data, but it would surprise me a little to hear that nobody has that capability....

#73 Re: Water on Mars » Huge water ice reservoirs found on Mars! » 2002-05-27 14:31:29

GOM

Will we have to wait ANOTHER THRITEEN ( 13 ! ! ! ) months to receive the ancillary data from the April 2002 Odyssey Cydonia image like we had to wait for the April 2001 Cydonia Mars Gloabal Surveyor MOC data???!!! There is only a 6 month LEGAL 'embargo' period contracted with these 'private principle investigators', so why the extra delay?

Why indeed.

Perhaps they need a little extra time to "clean up" a few of the more troublesome pix....

#74 Re: Human missions » If we start a crash program today.... - Earth to Mars timeframe? » 2002-05-27 13:57:48

GOM

The only difference between us when it comes to the question of life on Mars is that I put the prospect as "almost certainly" rather than "probably".

Okay.

#75 Re: Human missions » If we start a crash program today.... - Earth to Mars timeframe? » 2002-05-27 13:52:00

GOM

But then again I'm curious to know how Martian life would function and it would answer definitively that life has developed elsewhere.

We're all curious about that.  However it does not answer any questions about life developing elsewhere, the abiogenesis hypothesis that is constantly pushed by the evolutionists.  If we do find life on Mars, I expect it will be DNA-based and will have been transported from Earth to Mars.

Of course, Richard Hoagland will possibly claim the reverse.  He thinks humans are Martians that came to this planet a long time ago.  At least I think that's his current belief.

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