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Pretty much confirms my oft stated opinion that the Far Left Dems hate Musk and Space X and will do everything they can to halt the Mars Mission.
https://spacenews.com/house-hearing-reh … on-issues/
commercial space transportation lies in the jurisdiction of the House Science Committee.
I think 1 MwE constant or constant equivalent is a reasonable guesstimate for the power requirement on Mars. That might mean you need something that can generate something like 34,000 KwHs per sol.
The massive amounts of solar panels on the ISS are collecting 215 kws of power and yet we are not growing any food and need to supplement both water, air for the crew of typically less than 7...
ISS has an internal pressurized volume of 32,333 cubic feetEach of the eight solar arrays is 112 feet long by 39 feet wide.
The four sets of arrays can generate 84 to 120 kilowatts of electricity
They get hit with 1300 watts for each meter square.That said we are going to need even more power than the station for any mars settlements or crewed landings.
This isn't something I've researched but if, for your orbiting satellite, you have a cylinder surfaced with PV panels (with the cylinder perpendicular to the orbital plane) then it will be picking up PV power at all times until it is behind the Earth. My intuition says if it is say 36 K miles out in orbit it will be getting maximum insolation probably 80% of the time. Happy to see what others think.
For Louis and SpaceNut ... thank you ** both ** for giving this new topic a rolling start!
SpaceNut .... may I give you a homework assignment ????
Can you research and report on how NASA deals with the intake of energy by solar panels in space.
The issues you raised sound important (to me for sure) and worth our understanding.
Also for SpaceNut .... For many years, Earthly intelligence agencies, and lately commercial data suppliers, have (apparently) solved the problem of how to keep a camera pointed precisely at a location on the surface of the Earth while moving in X, Y and Z at significant velocity.
It would be helpful to know how that is done, so that solar energy supply systems can be designed to perform as well as the optical ones.
***
For all ... where I would like to go with this new topic is toward a collective understanding of how MUCH energy is available to be harvested from the massive flow from the Sun, and a few of the ways to increase the amount we are presently collecting.There is ** another ** issue to address ...
I saw a report recently indicating the the Earth Energy Budget is out of balance. Apparently, the Earth is taking in more energy from the Sun than it is radiating to Space. The net effect is accumulation of thermal energy in the Earth. This is not the same thing as causing heating of the Earth due to contamination of the atmosphere with gases that should not be there, although the two may be related.
(th)
I was simply referencing the fact that with orbiting satellites - as far out as 10s of thousands of miles, the area of insolation you can draw on is much greater than just the Earth surface.
orbital solar is higher but you are constantly trying to aim the panels while zipping around which means you are not getting all of the energy when collected to beam to earth....
1300 watts in space versus the 1100 on earths surface... with the same panels now seeing high levels of heat which drops the effectiveness of the energy captured.
That's just the Earth. If you think in terms of PV satellites it will be vastly more as you go into outer Earth orbit.
I am absolutely confident that in the next 100 years we will find ways of capturing that vast flow of energy and be able to beam it back to Earth.
However, until that technology becomes mature, back on our planet we can improve PV technology in numerous way and also develop energy storage technology. I think we can't be more than 20 years away from viable PV plus storage energy systems that meet all our needs - and very cheaply as well.
The human race is (hopefully) very early in its development.
At present, some members of the population perceive a poverty of energy, and claim that whatever energy is available is being consumed faster than it is being captured.
I was curious to see if Google might be able to provide some facts to work with.
Inquiry regarding energy passing Earth
Google ... how much energy does the sun produce?
About 337,000,000 results (0.83 seconds)
The sun releases energy at a mass–energy conversion rate of 4.26 million metric tons per second, which produces the equivalent of 384.6 septillion watts (3.846×1026 W).Dec 14, 2015How does the sun produce energy? - Phys.org
Google ... how much energy does the earth receive from the sun
A total of 173,000 terawatts (trillions of watts) of solar energy strikes the Earth continuously. That's more than 10,000 times the world's total energy use. And that energy is completely renewable — at least, for the lifetime of the sun.Oct 26, 2011
Shining brightly | MIT News | Massachusetts Institute of ...https://news.mit.edu › energy-scale-part3-1026
It seems to me the human race is in the midst of a torrent of available energy, more than sufficient to meet every conceivable need for every conceivable purpose, but only a tiny fraction of the population have the dimmest understanding of how to go about meeting the totality of the need.
This forum ** may ** contain members who can look at the big picture (on behalf of the population) and see ways of proceeding that will result in elimination of energy poverty.l
(th)
What's it made out of? Marshmallow?
Long time since we heard from Martian Colonist.
This is a good recap of events since the start of the Starship programme and an overview of the programme include key future developments - plus lunar colonistation.
Thanks for that link MarsB4Moon - I wasn't aware of that rather powerful pledge from Musk.
Elon Musk says he plans on selling his last remaining home in California after vowing to sell off all his possessions to fund a Mars colony.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/worl … 65777.html
In some cases claims about what astronauts saw are exaggerated or distorted. It would be best if you gave a link to one of the claims.
Some astronauts have certainly seen UAPs. But in this case it turned out to be Russian urine:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=47ahpZWKHF0
One of the best pieces of evidence for a UAP phenomenon was video taken from orbit showing something appearing to rise up from the Puerto Rica region at incredible speed. See this from about 02:00
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LxDsVe64rq4
I only just became aware that several astronauts involved in the lunar landings as well as some Russian cosmonauts of the past have claimed that they saw UFOs. Some of the most senior US astronauts have also said that there was possibly "Aliens" observing the Lunar landings.
I want to clearly state that I am not a UFO enthusiast and I would normally dismiss UFO claims without any consideration, but it's the quality of the people reporting this, that surprises me.
Astronauts themselves, had a lot to lose by making these types of statements (their entire professional credibility).
Seems that there'd be no motivation for them to publically speak about any possible UFO experiences, except that they genuinely believe it to be true and want the truth to be told.
Perhaps I'm missing some obvious motivation, or perhaps these people are either mentally unstable, or were the victims of some kind of illusion on temporary hallucination.
Finally from the perspective of any potential alien (....with that not said I am a UFO fanatic..) it makes sense that mankind's first space flight might be something they'd be interested in observing...
Just curious to hear other people's take on it....
Felix's latest...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QK9EB48_2Go
Includes reference to Musk's latest tweet indicating SN16 might be used in a hypersonic speed test.
By definition of what fossil fuel is, it must be being depleted. But we have at least 40 years of natural gas reserves available for electricity and heating. The only argument for nuclear power is energy independence (if you don't have natural gas reserves). New nuclear costs are prohibitive. At least 9 cents per KwHe. However, from a national security point of view nuclear power stations are vulnerable to both physical and cyber attack.
It makes much more sense to develop green energy systems in combination with use of natural gas until that can be phased out in maybe 20 years or so time.
SpaceNut wrote:So what makes the steam nuclear plant need such high regulation and what is that reasoning?
People are frightened of it, rightly or wrongly (probably wrongly). They have an over-inflated view of the real risk, which is smaller than just about any other means of producing energy. The truth of the matter is, that living in the most heavily contaminated areas in the Chernobyl exclusion zone, would result in about the same risk to human health as living in the air pollution in a city centre. Not a good thing certainly, but not exactly the end of the world. And a nuclear accident is something that might happen if we are careless or unlucky. Fossil fuel depletion is definitely happening, is definitely ruining a lot of lives and will prematurely end a lot of lives if we don't collectively get our arses into gear. We are in the position where we desperately need nuclear energy to come to the rescue, but it cannot, because anyone attempting to develop, build and commission a new nuclear reactor, has to cut through about a light-year of red tape.
Indeed but there was a suggestion Mars Colonisation would be too expensive a proposition and so Near Earth colonisation would be a sort of first step. I've no problem with both things being done but Mars colonisation needs to take precedence.
For Calliban re promising new topic!
For Louis ... there is surely room enough for ** both ** your visions .... The Solar System has a ** lot ** of real estate to explore and (for those so inclined) to develop.
(th)
There is nothing wrong with advancing the green energy economy which is where the future lies. There is everything wrong in stopping hard working people having a holiday abroad or owning a car. The World Economic Forum (Davos) explicitly want to stop people owning cars or travelling in jets for holidays.
Calliban,
I didn't say his political opinions were valid or invalid, rather, if you think the governments are trying to control everything and they're pushing this "green energy" agenda despite an apparent lack of results, then why continue to support it?
I like the idea of powering everything with the Sun. It's a fine idea. The major problem, as you noted, is that the math doesn't work.
BLP have been making this claims for ages now. I became very disillusioned with the claims of LENR researchers having previously followed them closely. If BLP have finally come up with something well that's great. But the record in this area has been bad. I still think there's something "there". IIRC BLP experiments involve tiny amounts of energy so are not very indicative of anything.
What's everyone's thoughts on Brilliant Light Power's (BLP), formerly Black Light Power, Hydrino energy extraction system?
If we can extract roughly 25,000 times more energy from Hydrinos than by burning Hydrogen or anything else, by transforming Hydrogen into what they call Hydrinos, would that provide enough energy to replace fossil fuels?
It uses TPVs, and that's a type of PV, so does it qualify for "green magic" status?
According to Dr. Randell Mills, 1 liter of water contains enough energy from Hydrinos to drive a Tesla approximately 2,200 miles, so you don't need much in the way of battery power. 5% of the energy is used to continue the reaction and the other 95% is available for use. It doesn't produce any long-lived radioactivity, although it does produce extreme amounts of heat and EUV light, enough to liquefy many kilograms of Tungsten in mere seconds if the reaction isn't controlled, apparently. This thing has been tested by professors from at least a dozen big name science and engineering universities across America and Europe. All of them say that it works as advertised and they've done short duration and endurance testing to measure exactly how much energy in vs energy out that they were getting, six ways to Sunday. If he's truly selling snake oil, then he's fooled an awful lot of supposed experts at this point from most of the developed world.
BLPs reactor vessel does use Gallium metal to help facilitate the reaction, but very little, it doesn't get "used up" in any way, and the reactor vessel is made from Inconel or Tungsten or Carbon, with TPVs surrounding it, or Silver plasma-based for their MHD apparatus. Their 250kWe unit cost them around $5,500 USD to build. That's about what used 300hp to 400hp LS engines in junkyards go for, so that seems pretty reasonable. He's claiming that a capital investment of around $210B could replace just about every power source in the world except for batteries used in portable electronics.
I have no idea how true any of this is, but I'm always on the lookout for new energy technology and thought I'd throw this out there since we're just "throwing stuff at the wall" to see if anything sticks. If it does work, then maybe we can come up with enough surplus energy for The Green New Steal.
The Bolsheviks were very keen on electrification of the villages...doesn't mean they weren't oppressors and manipulators. Likewise the
NSs in Germany pushed autobahns, very state of the art for motor transport. But their principal concern was not the betterment of the nation, rather they were on a power trip.
If you trust people like Karl Schwab, Bill Gates, George Soros and Mark Zuckerberg with your future you deserve all you get!
Louis,
If the elitists are the ones pushing green energy, then how will that lead to prosperity, presuming you believe the rest of what you stated?
Interesting ideas but I wouldn't want that to become a diversion from the main Mars colonisation effort.
I think what many people coming at this from engineering or science backgrounds forget is the commercial dimension. People will be prepared to may large sums of money for commercial projects on Mars. Take just one example: how much do you think Ford or Toyota would pay to send one of their vehicles to be the first vehicle (assuming Tesla doesn't get a free ride!). These companies have annual advertising and sales budgets in the billions. I think they could easily allocate 25% of their annual budget (maybe over a three year payment period - so maybe allocate 8% to the Mars campaign) to fund a car being taken to Mars and videoed/photographed on the surface.
Toyota spent $1.5 billion on advertising in US and Canada alone in 2019 and $4.3 billion worldwide! I think it would be worth $1 billion for them to have the first car on the surface of Mars, featuring in so many news broadcasts and then available as part of the brand's image for several years. As indicated they wouldn't have to pay it all up front - $333 million per annum for three years would be OK.
There are many such commercial opportunities on Mars.
Wasn't sure what else to call it. But this topic follows on from KBD512's comment in this thread.
http://newmars.com/forums/viewtopic.php?id=8268
If Elon Musk is successful in his efforts to reduce the cost of a Starship launch to Low Earth Orbit to $2million, then it opens opportunities that mission planners and payload engineers are unprepared for. For sixty years, commercial access to space has been a reality, but the high cost of launch vehicle operations has limited ambitions and has pushed the satellite industry in the direction on incurring large costs and novel engineering solutions to reduce payload weight. The high cost of launch services, result in expensive payloads, in an effort to minimise total mission cost. If launch costs are reduced from $20,000/kg to $20/kg, the design criteria for space payloads changes suddenly. The engineering solutions that are appropriate for minimum cost design, are entirely different to those that have developed in the previous sixty years. Primary capital cost becomes the dominant cost driver.
It also opens possibilities that were inconceivable before. The assumption until 2000, was that space colonisation was something that would have to be government led because of the enormous costs involved. Musk's Mars colonisation plans and the development of reduced cost privately developed launch vehicles, opened the possibility that big business might be a possible contender as well. But costs were still too high for most business groups or individuals to even contemplate starting such an effort. If launch costs are reduced to $20/kg, then launching a 100 tonne space payload is within reach of a huge number of individuals or groups of citizens. Manned missions become possible through individual or corporate funding. The type of engineering appropriate to this sort of programme is clearly very different to anything contemplated before. Mass is far less important than overall system reliability and low development and capital costs. Choosing an appropriate target is also important. To small groups, manned missions to Mars are not very practical, because of the high system cost involved in developing solutions for safe landing, surface survival and return to Earth. For smaller Near Earth Objects as targets, the difficulty is reduced, as the entire journey from LEO to asteroid surface can be carried out using low thrust propulsion, probably in the form of solar powered arcjet.
My proposed reference mission is as follows: To colonise and develop space manufacturing industry on and around a NEA, with the goal of manufacturing satellites and space hardware for use in Earth Orbit. My proposed candidate is asteroid Bennu, for the following reasons: (1) The demonstrated presence of water and ammonia, two important volatile substances, for both life support and industrial manufacturing; (2) apogee and perigee not too far from 1AU, which means ample sunlight all year round and minimal delta-v to reach; (3) Small diameter (500m) makes landing or takeoff easy - a space factory in orbit around Bennu can mine materials from its surface using manipulator arms; (4) A total mass of 73million tonnes, which justifies making it the focal point of investment for a space manufacturing effort.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/101955_BennuMy plan would be to launch space payloads, both manned and unmanned equipment deliveries, in individual Starship launches. Each payload would be equipped with a solar powered arcjet engine, which would carry it to Bennu. At Bennu, individual factory and habitat modules would be anchored to an equatorial cable running around the crater, with each module located above the stationary orbit point, such that the cable in kept in tension. New modules can be added incrementally, with care taken to maintain centre of mass with the centre of Bennu. Transport between modules would be via cable car.
All power will be solar PV. In zero-g, panels can be extremely slender and light by Earth standards and can be kept sun facing 100% of time - no storage needed. The same panels that power the arcjet tugs can provide initial power for the manufacturing colony. Electrical power should therefore be cheap at Bennu and whole system ERoEI will be good enough to allow rapid manufacturing growth.
Living units will need to be shielded and will rotate to produce gravity. Greenhouse units will be partially shielded and will rotate more slowly, reducing structural mass burdens.
When the initial colony is established, it should be possible to gain corporate sponsorship from a large number of private companies, who will also contribute both equipment and intellectual property, in exchange for a share in profit from any manufactured goods. Small satellites and space station modules, can be delivered back to Earth orbit using the same arcjet thrusters that were used to deliver people and materials to Bennu. Larger payloads will need dedicated propulsion systems. Solar power satellites are likely to be a big source of revenue, provided that funding can be secured for construction of rectenna on Earth.
Anyway, that is a starter for discussion.
I've always thought something like this was on the cards. The local environmental impact must be huge. Apparently Texans have some state constitutional right to access beaches as well. They've also been pissing off the authorities by having their security people act like police officers, stopping traffic and so on - not acceptable.
Don't discount the possible entry of politics into this. I have long predicted the Biden administration could well move to frustrate the Starship programme and the Mars Mission. Both offend Far Leftists, Woke Greens, rival billionaire globalists and the CCP - so a powerful coalition.
I disagree with GW on one thing: "Bear in mind that one successful flight to orbit demonstrates very little of what is really needed to have a reliable orbital transport,"
That wasn't the Apollo approach. Apollo went from first (uncrewed) orbital flight to lunar landing in just over a year and a half and they went from first crewed orbital flight to lunar landing in 9 months.
So I think a successful first orbital will demonstrate a lot.
Will an ocean launch kill marine life?
Some interesting developments in Redox battery technology - moving towards cheaper readily available, safe water-based materials.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YyzQsVzKylE
The scalability and low cost means they might become an important part of the energy storage picture.
Missing July is neither here not there. Getting into orbit by say October would be incredible and signal great things ahead. Space X have the money and the wherewithal to really accelerate things once they get a launch right.
The company intends to launch Starship atop the Super Heavy rocket booster from its South Texas facilities before the booster separates and comes back in for a splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico about eight minutes later. Super Heavy booster could have nearly 30, giving the rocket more than 16 million pounds of thrust.
The upper Starship spacecraft will continue through orbit, burning its engines for roughly nine minutes. About an hour and a half after that, it would dive back into the Earth's atmosphere and make a splashdown in the Pacific, about 60 miles from the Hawaiian island of Kauai. Starship spacecraft is expected to contain six rocket engines
Details for calculating engine and mass performance for sure...
First thing I'd do if I was a Dane is put up some wind turbines and invite Greta Thunberg over to give a speech on the island. Won't look good when Canada tries to dismantle the wind turbines.
louis wrote:That's interesting about Hans Island. Who would win a war between Canada and Denmark? A sneak attack up the St Lawrence can't be ruled out. The UK has Rockall - got to be one of the biggest territorial claims proportionate to the amount of land (Rockall could be renamed "F***all").
Unfortunately there are government civil servants who are so imbued with propaganda that they actively interfere or destroy Canadian covert programs. The Chalk River Nuclear Research Facility was built as part of Canada's participation in the Manhattan Project during World War 2. Plutonium for the UK's first nuclear bomb came from there. After WW2 it was converted to produce medical isotopes. Canada invented medical isotopes. Those medical isotopes were produced in such a way that personnel would actively practice the skills they would need to manufacture nuclear weapons. That facility has been undermined by federal civil servants, last I read the reactor used to make bomb-grade plutonium wasn't operational, but that doesn't change the fact Canada is a nuclear capable country.
Denmark is a NATO ally. We don't want to get into a major conflict. But let's be clear, Denmark without Greenland has as much land area as the state of Virginia. Canada has more land area than all of the USA; in terms of land area Canada is second only to Russia. Denmark has a population of 5.84 million people, Canada has 38.0 million. We don't pick fights with little guys. Certainly not a little guy who's an ally.
What do you all think about the example of Florida. Open for months - and no disaster despite its elderly vulnerable population.
BS. Unless you are going to "weld" your people into their homes then millions of people continue to mix in supermarkets and gas stations and doctors' surgeries and all the rest, wearing their ineffective masks. The virus is still circulating but at a slightly slower pace, which gives time for variants to develop. If you let people mix (obviously while encouraging the vulnerable to stay at home) you achieve herd immunity much more quickly at which point the virus cannot mutate into new variants so easily.
The virus variants are born out of rapid infections and not isolation as the timeline for the body to render it not an issue is around 2 weeks..
So not going about ones business and staying home does work its those that did not stay home which increased its spread during that period by acting as if nothing was working...
I presumed it was Doge as in leader of Venice but it's Dog E Coin pronounced Doggie Coin is it?
Gee we would need to remove them all from all of the lunar landing sites.....
Probably his Dogie coin symbol....
https://d.newsweek.com/en/full/1779093/ … c0b434956a
or maybe
I think Robert's right in the sense that historically and legally it has long been recognised as a claim to ownership although clearly that was not the case with the USA and the lunar landings. OK you're both right!
RobertDyck wrote:The United States is a signatory to the Outer Space Treaty. That treaty prohibits any nation from claiming any territory on any celestial body. So it would be inappropriate to plan the US flag.
Canada has an ongoing dispute over Hans Island in the arctic. Greenland is a territory of Denmark, Ellesmere Island is Canadian. Hans Island is an island half-way between Ellesmere and Greenland. Both nations claim it based on claims from the 1800s. If you use an equidistant line between Ellesmere & Greenland, the border would be right down the middle of Hans Island. It's a half-acre piece of rock that doesn't even has grass or weeds. But whoever controls that island, controls the shipping channel. Periodically the Denmark navy or Canadian navy arrives, takes down the flag of the other country, and puts up their own flag. That's what a flag means: territorial claim.
Ps. At one point the Danish minister for Greenland had sailors leave a bottle of fine Danish Cognac with a note welcoming the Canadian soldiers to Danish territory. Of course Canadian sailors drank it. Since then Canada has left a bottle of Crown Royal, the premium brand of Canadian Rye Whisky.
Robert,
Sticking a flag in the ground is not equivalent to claiming ownership. It's more like a sign that we were there. Notice how I said that other nations who decide to make the trip will also put their flags in the ground to demonstrate that they were there?
Remember the little speech Neil gave when he set foot on the moon?
He spoke about humanity, not America or America "owning" the moon. The explorers who went there risked their lives to increase humanity's knowledge of other worlds. And yes, it was a point of national pride that President Kennedy's challenge "to go to the moon" was met. We've made no attempt whatsoever to prevent anyone else from going to the moon. If memory serves, the last American on the moon issued a challenge to explorers from other nations to follow in his footsteps. That doesn't sound much like claiming ownership of anything.
Thanks for that walk-through kbd.
Re the marketability of Starship, it has a head start because Space X intend to use it for Starlink (which most analysts seem to think will be hugely profitable) and for the Mars colonisation project*. Space X also think it can be used for ISS supply though NASA and the Russians may have other views - the idea of such a monster approaching the ISS may make them nervous.
If Starship works technically then it is going to be cheap, so it probably will corner a large part of the satellite launch market (especially if it's as dependable as the Falcon 9).
I am a bit more sceptical of E2E transport rivalling airlines, but I think it will be used on a few select routes.
* Obviously a lot of people can't see how Space X could make any money from that whereas I think - if we set aside the sunk development costs for Starship - there will be huge profits from the get-go.