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I'm not glad, of course, that these people suffered from the maladies they did. I'm not promoting ill health or stasis in regards to human development. I am pointing out, though, that some of the world's greatest and most notable people preservered and triumphed over great physical obstacles. Perhaps it was these very obstacles which prompted them to try harder to overcome them, and inadvertently enabled their brilliance to shine even brighter.
I agree. We have to be careful that we don't end up creating some kind of social situation where classes of people are created based on their genetic engineering. God forbid if you start seeing things like universities demanding that you be able to prove you've been genetically modified or whatever before they admit you. I think that kind of thing could turn into a reality real quick. Anyways, since we're on the topic of sick geniuses, I think my favorite example would have to be Svrinivasa Ramanujan. He was a clerk in an Indian shipping office who didn't even have a high school education but became recognized as one of the greatest mathematicians to have ever lived. Many consider him the greatest. One of the professors at Oxford claimed that Ramanujan in one produced more mathematical discoveries in one year than most great mathematicians do in their life time. Unfortunately Ramanujan died young, but it's interesting to note that a lot of the equations written by this "stupid" high school dropout are corner stones of string theory.
*Yeah; a probe or another Voyager maybe. Does alpha Centauri have any planets orbiting it that we know of? I can't recall...
Even if we sent a probe to the nearest extra-solar planet, it could take upwards to a century to reach it, if not more...but then there's the issue, I suppose, of the probe being able to function that long in order to transmit data back, provided it doesn't get knocked for a loop by space debris, etc.
The last I read they haven't found planets around Alpha Centauri yet but not to long ago I read this article claiming that it might be possible for life to develop there even though its a multiple star system. The author was debating against the claim that it would be impossible for an Earth-like planet to exist in something like a binary star system, so I hope if they do find some planets there they'll be Earth-like. As for the probe, even if we did successfully send one on a hundred year trip, I wonder if people on Earth would still be interested in it once it started beaming back the data. It wouldn't surprise me if some politician decided to cut the funding that maintains the program 20 years before the probe arrives or whatever.
I once did an interview with someone at ESA responsible for the Darwin Planet Finder. It's a couple of years old now but the information is still generally correct. I'm told that now there are plans to merge the ESA Darwin and NASA Terrestrial Planet Finder, which on the whole is probably a good idea.
It's a big jump going from only being able to detect massive Jupiter sized planets to ones with only a few Earth masses. I'm no optics expert, but I wonder if we could get enough resolving power to image details on these planets if we were to space these telescopes very distant from each other, say a fleet of telescopes that are seperated by millions of kilometers in space?
I don't see much use in mining an NEO when I can mine Mars and benefit from the moonlets, sell materials to colonists in Earth-Moon space, make cash and colonize Mars.
If you have the technology to successfully mine Mars and it's moons you might as well go for the gusto and target NEOs as well. Some of those NEOs after all are very rich in valuable materials and you'd only need the same type of equipment you mine the Martian moons with.
Once humans have established a continuous presence on Mars, complete with families raising new generation of "martian" kids, etc, what do you think the role of biotechnology will play in having children on Mars? I'm going on the assumption that the technology to perform genetic engineering and control over biological development of children will be present and widely and/or universally available. Should parents on Mars have the right to "program" their child to have a maximum level of intelligence (extremely important in Mars' high-tech society?) How about altering the physical attributes of children, (making them taller, for instance) so that they will grow up better able to withstand the long-term effects of low gee?
I've overcome my fear of genetic engineering on a scale that could alter people's intelligence, etc, but I think we have to be careful that we don't jump in and introduce blunders into our genetic line that become difficult to fix because so many people/generations have developed X defect before it's discovered. Accidently creating genetic diseases might become a possibility. After all you might create a group of carriers who decide to have non-genetically altered children who could suffer from an unseen side-effect of the parent's genetic engineering. Anyow, I'm willing to bet genetic engineering will be acceptable on Mars because it would be a way of accelerating our evolution and survivability in an environment completely not meant for us.
As with any new technology, there's the potential for abuse to consider...like the idea of parents attempting to outdo each other in the "programming" of their babies...who wouldn't want a child that's smarter, stronger, or prettier than his or her peers?
I think this will become a big problem if genetic engineering can totally deliver to you a custom made baby. People have no shortage of vanity and they'd be willing to pay big bucks to have children that are the smartest, most athletic, etc. But on the other hand they can't brag that such children really came of their own blood lines so that kind of argument might put people's vanity in check. In any case, I find the possibility of having a future filled with legions of genetically engineered cookie-cutter people depressing. It'll be boring if there's no stupid people around or if everyone has similiar personalities.
I just think the moral argument is clear, ?the needs of the many, outweigh the needs of the few.? And Ithink that the only way this argument can be changed, is if you show, scientifically, that the needs of the many preclude terraformation.
That's the type of thinking that was advocated in Nazi Germany and Stalinist Russia and we saw how many people were deliberately tortured and starved to death. Any state that seeks to destroy the rights of the individual in the name of the "greater" good will certainly see no problem with stampeding all over the individual. Yep, you'll drag them into your wars against their will or "force" them to volunteer because you, the political elite, automatically declare your right to determine was is in the interest of the greater good. Of course you'll come out and say the government of your utopia will only look out for the welfare of the little guy, but show me a government in history, Marxist or otherwise that hasn't eventually come to concern itself more with protecting the interests of those in power whether they be commissars or big business. Governments of any type have a tendency to become more oppressive and controlling of people, and such tendencies really take off in governments that have no respect for individual rights.
*Speaking in terms of on a national level, I agree. Supposing Chinese settlers to Mars don't want to terraform the entire planet, and EuroAmerican parties do. Who's going to have *the say* whether or not Mars is terraformed?
I'm a proponent of the idea that many types of governments will develop on Mars. I think we could see everything from Libertarian to Marxist governments develop there and in my opinion that's great, freedom of choice, live under the government you want. I just find it ironic though how all of these people say that Mars belongs to everyone then in the same breath declare that all of Mars will should placed under X type of world governance. If Mars turns into one Giant North Korea or Cuba, I sure as hell won't be going there. Anyhow there's nothing evil about allowing people the economic freedom to start up their own enterprises and trade as they please. And I also don't buy into the argument that because Mars is so inhospitable that it will require that everyone be placed under totalitarian dictatorship that does everything from force abortions on women in the name of population control to suppressing free speech for the good of the state (all of which have been advocated on this board! ) If that's how Mars develops, no one will have to worry about population control because I doubt if you'll find many people there in the first place!
It's definately cheap as far as small payloads go but I don't know if it would be economical for a mission with a lot of tonnage. If that thing can only lift three tonnes to LEO you'd need 30+ launches just to put a modest 100 ton Mars Direct type infrastructure into orbit.
*A Jupiter-sized planet found orbiting a nearby star:
http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tm....anet_dc
--Cindy
I wish we had the technology to view some of these extra-solar planets directly. The more I read about all of these discoveries the more amicable I become to the thought of other life existing out there. Even though most of these planets we've detected so far are Jupiter sized, I bet once we fine tune our technology we'll being seeing evidence of a lot more Earth sized planets as well. Maybe the OWL telescope will help in detecting smaller planets and perhaps image some of the Jupiter sized ones directly.
I'm the first to admit it, which probably makes me seem a bit wack, but that's okay. Private property sucks. It's non-workable in space. Well, it's workable, but it's dangerous (for lack of a better word). But I'm not going to get into that (unless you want to, I just don't want the crux of this discussion to be about private property, especially since people can still inhabit the lower regions without acknowledging private property in the sense that you use it). That said...
I disagree. We don't have the technology right now to really massively engineer habitats in space but in the far future it might be as easily and safe to construct a house on Mars as it is on Earth. If you kill private property I doubt if there will be much incentive for people to develop economically. Command economies are ineffective, they're no match for a free market which requires private property rights to exist.
If I had the opportunity, I would show those people my plans for Destiny Hall and I would suggest that they adopt those plans or similar plans for a set of rituals that transcend their own national cultures and that thereby unite them with each other and with would-be Martians worldwide. For humans, this sort of planning and adoption is "natural."
People who go to Mars won't need a set of rituals to keep them united. The very nature of the hostile environment itself and its distance from Earth will be more than enough to
bond the community together. Martians will need special survival skills and training, at least early on, but I don't think we need to brainwash them with cultish rituals. They'll automatically develop their own culture as time goes on.
Well at least your not writing about Plutonian Eskimos. It's a start I guess.
Without Mars, man could not have colonized the Moon and Earth orbital space. Our cutting edge technology made it happen.
I think that's the first time I've heard someone claim that the Moon couldn't have been colonized without going to Mars first. Hey man are you taking resumes? Need a hotshot mining engineer to crawl down those caves on Deimos and set off some charges?
There's one certainty about Mars, and that's that we will always have something to do. Always. From keeping the hydroponic garden in shape, to watching Phobos painted sunrises; I simply cannot imagine being bored on Mars without wanting to be bored.
I think it depends on the type of person who ends up on Mars. People who are creative and have the ability to find pleasure in the nuances of things will probably fare a lot better on Mars than people without those qualities. But I agree that Mars won't be a prison and it would be a truly spectacular experience living on an alien world. Come to think of it you'd probably have a lot more work than usual on Mars keeping things ship shape which would probably drain away a lot of potential for boredom in itself.
"It requires ages to destroy a popular opinion." -- Voltaire
And I don't think even that is often enough time! I bet all of the moon hoax nuts out there will take it as proof positive that Aldrin never went to the Moon because he refused to swear on the Bible. No doubt the nut that provoked Aldrin will make a pretty penny off the publicity when he starts selling videotapes that claim the encounter as "proof" that we never went to the moon. Since when does making people swear to anything constitute proof anyway? We know of all the liars in court who freely swear to tell the whole truth and nothing but the truth with their hands firmly planted on the good book. I think Aldrin saw this guy for what he was, a charlatan that was out to make a buck and on top of that, one that was willing to exploit Aldrin's religious beliefs in the process. If I was Aldrin I would have punched the idiot's lights out to.
*OMG, Phobos! You're right! What in tarnation was I thinking?! Geesh, maybe I'd better start putting the metal helmet on UNDERNEATH my powdered wig!
The NASA waves are :::powerful:::!! Arrrghh!
Voltaire, SAAAAAAAVE ME!!!
--Cindy
Might be hard to keep all of those antennae from poking up through the wig. Actually I'm thinking this booster might be an artifact that proves NASA sent Free Masons to Mars in the 1960s. Just seems a little fishy doesn't it that NASA would send an Apollo part past the moon!! Maybe we should write a book and bring the truth to the masses and fatten our bank accounts!
Usually I don't watch programs like these, but it caught my interest. They mentioned [it's hard for me to describe some of these matters, so please bear with me] that it will be built by making building an enclosed area first, and that everything will be built beneath this enclosed area, rising with the understructures...at the end of the project, this first enclosed area will be the "roof" of the Tower.
I don't quite envision how this works. Are they going to "jack up" the building as they construct it so that the first floor they build ends up being the highest floor when it's done? I think what's really screwing me up is how you said everything is going to be built beneath the enclosed area. What exactly is the enclosed area? Is it the exterior frames that are braced together and then filled in? Please elaborate.
But, unlike Antarctica in winter, I'm hoping Mars will be far more amenable to frequent field-trips out on the surface. I'm hoping there will be lots of absorbing and challenging things to do, almost all the time.
Maybe in that sense, the claustrophobia-induced manias that plague Antarctic researchers won't be as much of a problem(? )
I'm beginning to wonder myself if Mars will really be all that much worse than Antartica. After all, as long as you live near the equatorial regions you'll still have 24 hour days and the ability to roam around on the surface hopefully in suits that aren't overly complicated or bulky. Personally, I get the feeling that the Antartic winter will make Mars look attractive in comparison. I sometimes wonder though if boredom might not become the evil factor that creates Martian axe murderers. How can you stay in one place for a year or more and still keep yourself constantly occupied or keep from getting into a rut? I guess for some people the constant anticipation that a Martian T-Rex is buried in the next crater might be enough to keep them occupied but some people would probably have to get creative with their spare time. I wonder what kinds of hobbies you could develop on Mars. Perhaps become something of a fossil hunter or perhaps try to grow very small gardens with water you extracted from the regolith? Trying to get to the water and utilize it with crude instruments might be an interesting challenge.
*Earth's "new moon" is space junk [my sister sent this article to me]. I thought everything from the 1960s missions would've decayed in orbit and burned up by now!
http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/em/fr/-/2/hi/s … 253385.stm
--Cindy
Cindy, how can that "moon" be an Apollo rocket booster when we clearly never went to the Moon? I suspect this is another NASA hoax to throw us off the track of their dastardly deeds. Remember to wear the metal hat and keep those evil NASA brain washing waves at bay!
They said, among other things, that this gargantuan building would require all the steel Japan could produce in a year...and as that's impossible [they need steel for other purposes], this will essentially be a global project. They mentioned the massive amounts of concrete which will need to be used, but I can't recall the analogy used for that.
Is the base of that building something like a kilometer in area? I remember someone telling me a few months ago about an extremely massive building being proposed in Japan with elevators that travel not just vertically but horizontally as well. Something like that would definately take lakes of concrete to construct, especially if all of the floors are concrete. Similiar types of buildings could probably be constructed on Mars as a means of housing thousands upon thousands of people in the far future.
Incidentally, I don't think the US will try a Manhattan Project for nanotech - they don't have to, because while you can't (legally) sell nuclear bombs, you can certainly sell nanotech assemblers, and hence despite their large research funding most practical development will be funded via the private sector. Certainly in this market driven era I don't envisage a Manhattan type project. For comparison, look at the Human Genome Project - biologists were predicting that it would take decades to record the entire human genome and it would take Manhattan amounts of funding. We now know that it was finished early, under budget and was (somewhat controversially) aided by private sector funding.
I think another reason why the US isn't likely to go the Manhattan Project route with nano-technology is because there's no pressing military threat demanding that such a course be taken. I think at the moment the gov't is more concerned with things like missile defense and detecting the whereabouts of terrorists. I know nano-tech could be used in those applications but there are easier ways in the short term of achieving those goals.
As I've indicated elsewhere here, the reason civilization has overcome Malthus's exponential growth is because of science and technological growth allowing us to grow ever bigger. Ultimaitelly, I think humanity has gotten on a runaway effect towards the stars and humanity surviving adolescence. It's hard to believe without seeing all these insights, but humanity will be one of the few intelligent species to reach the stars; i wonder how many others will make it?
I agree 100%. Like Carl Sagan said, any species that fails to reach for the stars is doomed to extinction and I don't think a lot of radical environmentalists really grasp that concept. I sometimes wonder if there have been e.t. civilizations that collapsed and became extinct because they also had these anti-technology "environmentalist" types who eventually convinced the masses to forgo spaceflight and stop developing better sources of energy or whatever. God knows if we stay Earthbound in five billion years it's going to be over for us and all other life on Earth should we manage to even survive that long. The Sun turning into a red giant will be an ecological catastrophe if there ever was one, so why not strive to spread life throughout the galaxy and the universe as long as we can do it without harming ecological systems that we might come across as we travel the stars?
Which news channel did you see it on? Was it a national broadcast? I'd like to see how they portrayed their story on the moon hoax. Did they show both sides of the debate or did they just let the conspiracy theorists rant on without challenge? I hope they gave a balanced view because a lot of people tend to believe everything they hear on TV. I just finished reading "Entering Space" by Zubrin and he mentioned the work of some psychologists who claimed that ideas undergo a kind of evolutionary process similiar to that in biology. Some ideas just seem to have staying power in the population as a whole and seem to catch on even if they're irrational while others die off. They claimed that bad ideas which have staying power could be just as destructive to civilization as nuclear war. The rapid fire way in which these moon hoax ideas are gaining acceptance among people makes me wonder if those psychologists Zubrin mentioned might be right.
And to all of you, don't care about what you now or not know, every one has to give to a Mars project, even if you just know how to do good food, you are usefull. I'd not like to go to Mars and eat synthtic food for 3 years...
CC
I think people who are skilled at preparing food and growing it will be virtual gods on Mars. I remember reading about how people who stay for long periods in Anartica develop a fanatical interest in food. They go crazy over obscene little details that people normally don't think about. And I wouldn't want to subsist on three years of freeze dried food either. I think agricultural experiments should play a significant role in missions to Mars because nothing will boost morale like biting into a fresh, juicy, vine-ripened tomato after living for a year on freeze dried rations.
Because all the modules sent to the Mars surface will be pushed from Earth with some rocket. These one will probably have solar panel, tanks... So just have to add an hab module and connect it to all these power suppliers and get a permanent space station. It could be helpfull for moons exploitation and space fuel services.
I hope that if they do put a spacestation in orbit around Mars its for the reasons you mentioned and not because people will need the 1g. If we have to go to a spacestation because our bodies can't withstand the low-g environment for long periods of time I think Mars colonization will be out of the question. Of course the spinning spacestation might still prove beneficial just to keep people acclimated to Earth's gravity even if it turns out possible for people to live in .38g indefinately.
I agree that if anybody's likely to develop something like an "assembler" it would be Japan. But I think we put too much emphasis on the idea that government has to develop everything. It'll probably be some high-tech upstart company that develops such technology. Considering the profitable uses nano-technology could be put to I doubt if you'd have a hard time finding investors.
However one of the biggest hurdles to be jumped in the development of an "artificial" body will be the self repairing aspects.
If we develop nano-technology to a high enough level we could probably design bodies with self-repair mechanisms that would have the ability to repair itself or be replaced in the same manner that biological cells do. At the minimum I'd imagine that the AI would have the ability to re-arrange damaged areas with materials (using nano-technology) the way our own bodies use nutrients for those functions. I think the AI bodies of the future will be more analogous to our own bodies in their texture and operation.
Phobos, your idea of scanning the human brain with such precision that every last neural connection could be duplicated in a machine, thus endowing the machine with the intellect of the individual so copied, might not work. As far as I know, the brain stores memories in chemical form as well as in inter-neural connections. The connections tend to give us the reflexes and the everyday skills we need to balance while we walk, run, catch a ball etc., while the chemical storage system gives us memories of things like a nice day at the beach when we were kids. To complicate things, the storage of either or both types of memory is apparently holistic.
I don't think the holographic memory aspects of human memory would necessarily be a challenge to copy and implement in a machine but your right about the chemical state of the brain being as important in its functions as the arrangement of the nuerons and that that might make it impossible to "download" a brain. If we can't develop some kind of technology for taking a "snapshot" of the brain in all of it's functions, chemical and otherwise, brain downloading might be just a pipe-dream. I always thought transferring your mental state to some kind of computer would be a sure thing but I'm not so sure anymore.