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#326 Re: Human missions » Nasa Shuttle, ISS Woes & To-Mars » 2006-10-26 11:17:53

There appears to be a problem in the progress latching onto the ISS.

Apparently an Antenna has not folded away as it is designed to do, so it cannot lock onto the docking port.

ISS supply ship fails to lock on

#327 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Machine intelligence » 2006-10-22 06:29:51

The point where Computer intelligence reaches equality of Humans is called singularity and it is thought to arrive about 2029.

This is called Moores law and it basically states that for every 24 months a computers intelligence doubles.

#328 Re: Civilization and Culture » War on Mars » 2006-10-22 06:21:56

Im not exactly sure that we can call war a civilising act or even a culture still it is something that has to be thought about.

As long as Mars is as it is and the atmosphere is almost nonexistent then Marsian soldiers will be tied to a place to resupply there air and to get out of there suits. Though with the reduced gravity a Marsian soldier can carry a lot more equipment and of course larger weapons they will need that base to function.

Armoured warfare will be important to Mars where soldiers tied to APCs where they can resupply and to having armed vehicles to defend these APCs.

With the increased capability of robots, mars may well have armies of automated soldiers certainly they have distinct advantages over humans.

#329 Re: Not So Free Chat » North Korea Blew the NUKE !!! DPRK tests the bomb ? » 2006-10-21 16:50:39

I am not concerned about the North Koreans posessing nuclear weapons only that they will sell them and the technology. But what does concern me is that North Korea has other WMDs and the capacity to deliver them.

They even have the capacity to deliver them to the US. But most suredly they do have to deliver such evil to local allies like South Korea and Japan.

we are talking Wmds in the form of nerve and biological agents.

#330 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » What Type Of Government Should Mars Have?? - Mars Government » 2006-10-16 15:54:14

The question of government will be answered by who colonizes Mars.  If it is a governmental enterprise, I would expect those governements to want to retain control until such time as the "Martains" feel they are self suficient enough to declare their indpendance.  Hopefully, there wont be enough military power on Earth to project that far. 

If Mars is colonized by private companies, it is very much in the air as to what will happen.  Those companies will see Mars as a large captial investment that they will not easily surrender. 

As far as the Form of government, I would hope they opt for a "Planetary" government.  This would decrease the chances for conflict since they are all under the same rule.  Hopefully they well choose a form of representative government. 

That government will have very different responsabilities such as controlling resources, population growth management, and educating thier population in a far more technical manner then we do here on Earth.

Welcome to new Mars KeithConto, Failte.

I agree that it is frankly impossible to decide the goverment of Mars as it does depend on who does colonise it. Still I do hope it is a western power who does at least they will bring democracy and a reasonably fair system with them. And those multinationals just by operating in space will have to say which country there home belongs too and as such be subservient to.

#331 Re: Not So Free Chat » Canada / U.S. relations » 2006-10-16 15:24:21

Greenland is a Danish protectorate and it has to be noted becoming more independent each year. It also used to have a large US base there, but this is due to close soon.

It is also gaining from the reducing ice and also has a claim on the potential North West passage.

Still annoying a neighbour especially a smaller and one that has been a close friend even to the point of Joint military units. (NORAAD) is not a good idea. Both sides have a lot to lose especially when trade is involved and a barrier will be an impediement to trade. A lot of people will lose there jobs over this as Canada is being forced into putting trade barriers into place. Since the US will not remove there's as treaty insisted.

#332 Re: Not So Free Chat » North Korea Blew the NUKE !!! DPRK tests the bomb ? » 2006-10-13 03:05:36

The difference is that North Korea can actually roll those tanks over south Korea. Do we honestly want to see Seoul destroyed cause that is what will happen in the first barrage of the North Koreans they have that many artillery pieces aimed at the south. Ask the soldiers what they call all those border fortresses they guard. There nickname is the speedbump for them and for a very good reason too.

At this point, I'm just wondering were it ends. I don't see this regime going down peacefully. I don't want to see Seoul destroyed, but I don't want to see Tokyo, Okinowa, Pearl Harbor, or LA destroyed either. IF we wait, and he gets a deliverable nuke, then our only defense is MAD. The longer we wait the fewer choices we have.

As for the tactical situation, I don't think the North Koreans would get all that far if they crossed the border. They rely on mass waves of easily destroyed equipment. Our Abrams will clog the roads with dead NK tanks before they can get a shot off. NKs only hope is to saturate an area with artillery in hope that we'll pull back. Once were out of range of their pre placed guns, the battle swings massively in our favor. Give the Air Force a week or 2 to clean them out and the battle is over.

They do not rely on mass waves of equipment they rely on mass waves of people and the terrain favours that approach. The KPA has 700,000 soldiers and 8000 artillery systems and 2000 tanks for rear cover threatening Seoul alone. Most of this force is based in underground bunkers. It is an indication of just how messed up North Korea is that all this effort while over a million people have starved to death in the last decade.

Korean People's Army - Introduction

North Korea runs a principle of Army first and that means the army gets to eat while the population starves but North Korea also has an elite which may not be too happy to have there country so seperated from there allies the Chinese and under such a threat. They also live a very lavish lifestyle which needs funding and that is how North Korea can be affected as this money only comes from two main ways that of selling weapons worldwide and illegal means. Hammer these and North Korea runs out of money.

#333 Re: Not So Free Chat » North Korea Blew the NUKE !!! DPRK tests the bomb ? » 2006-10-12 18:22:08

LO
Now, ask the question: would had been North Korea so eager to get nukes if it hadn't been listed on the "Axis of Evil", watching what are the results of war at Iraq,
would Iran too ?

I still think that the bunch of chimps leading at White House have done the worst job any american presidency has ever done

Please, US citizen, get rid of him as soon as possible

Oh please. Leisure Suit Kimmy was trying to get the bomb more than a decade ago. For the same reasons. Clinton nearly went to war over it in 1993, then backed off and gave NK reactors, oil, food, and god knows what else, on the promise that the UN would watch and make sure there was no funny business. They failed. They are failing in Iran. And you know why, cause Saddam was able get away with stuff for twelve years. And now because the rest of the world fought so hard to not inforce it's own rules in Iraq, forcing us to do all of it, the madmen in NK and Iran think they can get away with murder.

I know Continental Europe hates it when Bush calls a spade a spade. I guess when you folks assume that if you can't see the tanks ready to roll over you, the world is all puppies and butterflies.

The difference is that North Korea can actually roll those tanks over south Korea. Do we honestly want to see Seoul destroyed cause that is what will happen in the first barrage of the North Koreans they have that many artillery pieces aimed at the south. Ask the soldiers what they call all those border fortresses they guard. There nickname is the speedbump for them and for a very good reason too.

And it is not the west that is giving the Norks there Oil or Food that is the Chinese and for good reason too. They have no wish for the North Korean regime to collapse its potential for regional catastrophe is far too high. Even south Korea gives lip service to the idea of a reunified Korea the cost would bankrupt the south. The North is so devestated it would make the German reunification look like a meeting of old friends

#334 Re: Space Policy » US public opposed to spending money on human Mars missions » 2006-10-11 18:00:41

Im not American but it would not surprise me if the reason the American people do not support NASA and space exploration is down to they believe it spends a lot of money for nothing more than prestige and they only see the ISS and the shuttle as white elephants. Cash goes in and nothing comes out and they are not connected to what happens. And with a lot of people looking to keep themselves clothed and fed and bills increasing they really believe the US goverment should not be wasting money like this.

So to get them back into supporting space exploration it needs for it to appear to be actually achieving something and the belief that it will lead to a better life for there children and there country.

#335 Re: Human missions » TPS and RLV » 2006-10-11 17:52:55

Tom the problem is that there is no incentive to create a TSTO reusable space system and that is simply down to the economic equation. Space has a lot of satelites but they last a long time and so the launch market as is meets the need for the satelite owners. The RLV programmes have all been either paper exercises or if prototypes actually built research projects with no real intention to build the things. There is also no incentive to build a space elevator what would it service?

No private company will build something unless there appears to be a need and that would have to come from goverment. And currently the goverment does not have that need.

If we could change this by either finding a financial benefit that improves radically with cheap access to the point it makes sense then private companies will spend there profits to design and build RLVs.

Until then we are reliant on Goverment and there plans and it is politics that matter there.

#336 Re: Not So Free Chat » North Korea Blew the NUKE !!! DPRK tests the bomb ? » 2006-10-11 17:41:47

North Korea has the small man syndrome and to add to there woes there country is falling apart. North Korea cannot feed itself and there principle of army first means that come winter time a lot of people starve to death. Economically they have nothing to sell there traditional industries have collapsed and so to get the money they need to keep North Koreas political elite in the style they expect they sell weapons and illegal items like counterfeit money, stamps and of course drugs.

The average North Korean does not see that so graft is commonplace and state control is failing. North Korean soldiers are raiding there own warehouses to sell there fuel and food to the civilians and when they have nothing to sell they commit serious crimes like sell of there weapons. China has found North Korean troops coming across the border to commit bank robberies and to steal things.

Why is North Korea so intent on stirring the pot. Easy if it does not the illustrious leader loses his hold on power. He needs money and with the FBI and other similar agencies slowly cutting back on the illegal side of his fundraiseing he has ran out of money to keep the elite sweet. He needs to be seen to be a big dog and at the moment with not only his missile test a failure but likely the nuclear one a partial failure as well he may not be too comfortable.

Still his discomfort is a problem. China does not want the regime to collapse and in some ways neither does South Korea. If it collapses a lot of people will die and there is a good chance warlordism will ensue with these new North Korean warlords armed with biological and chemical weapons at the least. North Korea would bankrupt the South if they merge and try to get things sorted up north and China truly does not want a very friendly to the US state sitting on its southern border. Sanctions could collapse North Korea if they stop the illegal trade and the legal one of selling weapons and North Korea would fall apart. But im doubtful if China will allow this as it could cause a lot of problems for them. And with the North Korean border guards treatment of returned refugees even the Chinese PLA is angry at North Korea. I would not be surprised if the dear leader has a heart attack and his son who is currently in China (after falling out with his father, usually a very fatal occurence) takes over and North Korea moves to a lot more friendlier nature. Either that or the defences at the parallel which the US soldiers there call the Speed bump get to be tried out.

#337 Re: Not So Free Chat » I'll take malaprops for *5* Bob - Apropos of Nothing continues. . . » 2006-09-25 14:31:23

Probabily due to it being below the epedermis layer and as such cell growth haapens above the marks and as such the marks remain

#338 Re: Human missions » Ares and Ares » 2006-09-17 15:41:54

Most asteroids probably don't rotate fast enough to have an outward centrifugal force at its equator. Asteroids are like giant mountains in space, I'm not sure that they wouldn't just fall apart and break up into chunks if rotated too fast. I think a solid metal asteroid with no faults and fissures could rotate quite fast. I've even heard proposals that you could make a space colony out of that, you simply focus the sun's rays on one of the poles and you melt a cavity in the center of the asteroid, and later on you add atmosphere, water and dirt, and you have a rotating asteroid colony. But I kind of doubt that most asteroids are one solid chunk of metal, I think they are in part at least held together by their own feeble gravity, the large ones anyway.[/quote]

Most asteroids will be found to be stony/Irons or C type. This means they will be easy to work on. Pure metal solid asteroids apart from there immense potential wealth are rare.

Still rotation of asteroids can be solved. If we use the engineering principle of Yo-Yo's then spin can be stopped by mass changes and long strings.

#339 Re: Human missions » Ares and Ares » 2006-09-16 15:15:59

In some ways I really should have said a robotic worm like the article below.

Robot Worm

They would heat there way through the volatiles leaving a cable behind in which we could put heat through and collect the melted volatiles. These would be the tendrils and some of these robotic worms could be designed to drill there way along from the miner and to make further anchor points for more miners or to create a place for automated tankers to collect melted volatiles and unrefined minerals.

By "miner" I presume you mean a robotic, remote-presence machine operated in shifts by the crew of a prospecting vehicle situated near the asteroid in queastion, eh?

Certainly we will need to have surveyed the asteroid but it does not make sense to use Human crews. It does make sense to have as much automated as possible and telepresence is quite possible as mining will be a slow process and constant attention to the devices will not be needed.

#340 Re: Human missions » Ares and Ares » 2006-09-16 08:35:19

Assuming you are wanting volatiles then the asteroid of choice will be the NEA class of asteroid. These are believed to be 40% by class ex comets. They will still have substantial volatiles but with a crust to stop there distinctive tails forming.

To mine would be a case of attaching to the asteroid maybe with the use of a corkscrew device with an initial push to enter the crust and the screw to then dig in. From there it will be possible to snake out tendrils to heat the volatiles which will be collected and allow the tendrils to dig in further.

From there the miner will keep heating the surrounding area to create a cavern collecting the volatiles which can be collected. There will also be rock and metals in suspension inside the NEA and these can also be collected for processing elsewhere.

Some of these tendrils will ark back out and these can form further anchoring points and these will also provide tanker points where robotic tankers can collect the volatiles away to where they are wanted.

Another substantial class of asteroids is silicates and these will also be an option to be mined the same way though they will have less volatiles and more minerals in the form of nickel-irons.

#341 Re: Human missions » The First to Mars - Who will it be? » 2006-09-01 02:50:39

Direct Democracy is the most stable form of government on the small scale, it is hard to be a dictator of three people unless you got a gun pointed at them at all times and you still got to sleep sometimes. if you piss off enough people in a small colony, they may shove you through the airlock just to get rid of you. The first colonies will likely be direct democracies. NASA will probably see in as in their interest not to impose tyrants on people on Mars. Mars is a lonely place, the people their are all alone, and it will be in their interest to get along as best as possible. The type of government on Mars will likely depend on who NASA selects for the mission.

If China sends a bunch of Communist Party Cadres, then the local government will likely follow the communist form of government, but on such an underpopulated planet where survival is at stake, anything that would make the colony more succesful would likely be preferred. If someone imposes himself as "maximo leader" of a group of 10 people, he's likely to soon be breathing Martian air.

You really do expect that this Colony will not be a friendly place do you. But it will not be an instant democracy it will be a goverment programme and they will have the final say and they will design the mission in the most effective way. This means like Antartic bases there are designated leaders and people are given there posts. These are not necassarily civilians we are sending and even if we do they will be under discipline just like NASA's Astronauts are.

Democracy will happen but only when there is a substantial population on the planet. Until then it will be a Goverment base or bases and leaders will be designated from Earth.

#342 Re: Human missions » Ares and Ares » 2006-08-30 05:41:45

There is two problems that come from China trying an Orion project approach.

1) China would have to invest heavily on the research needed to create such a vehicle and it would be politically and financially expensive. They would have to research the use of small nuclear devices and this would not be that popular in there goverment. Especially when this would have to come from there military build up.

2) What would it gain them to make such a vehicle they cannot access the riches of the solar system since they do not have the skills to utilise the materials nor have an economical way to return to Earth with these. They cannot claim ownership of any of the bodies they land on and they would have a lot of research to do just to survive out there. In short they are far from being able to do what you have stated.

#343 Re: Human missions » The First to Mars - Who will it be? » 2006-08-30 05:32:11

The first Martian base and hopefully colony will likely be the result of a goverment or series of goverments space program. This means even if from a democratic background it will have an imposed leader and probabily a second in command. But this base will be a collection of some of the greastest go getters ever to be collected in one place. There will be the official command structure but also the interpersonal structure network that Humans always create. It will be a village though a very professional one.

Further than that we have to see what happens in technology that will determine the future of Mars. Currently it is too expensive to send lots of people to Mars the first to create reasonably cheap access to Mars will have the chance to dominate the planet. Whichever organisation or collection of Goverments can start sending a population to Mars will likely find the collective culture and the prefered political setup comes from this.

I of course coming from a western background certainly believe that western democracy would be perfect but then again im sure the Chinese, Russians and the rest of the world have there own ideas.

#345 Re: Mars Rovers / University Rover Challenge » Pressurized Rover Designs - How far away are we? » 2006-08-25 15:10:48

Tom it comes down to weight and sheer grunt. A fuel burning engine ways a lot less and promotes a lot more torque than that of a nuclear electric.

#346 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Methods to Lunar Orbit » 2006-08-25 15:08:24

Grypd,
Would the tether be spinning or just grabing the cargo and acellerating it quickly and then hauling it up?

it would be spinning that way momentum would do the job any other method would rely on the tug to have to lift the whole cable and weight of cargo into space on its own. It would be only as effective as a chemical rocket.

#347 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Methods to Lunar Orbit » 2006-08-25 08:46:32

There is one more method of getting objects off the Moon. Tethers.

By having a tether that is long enough it could pick up an object at a reasonable height off the lunar surface (propelled by mechanical spring) and using momentum exchange the cargo is then propelled elsewhere depending on your calculations. Nasa calls this a MXER tether.

It will require a very long cable and a source of fuel to increase the height and keep the spin but it should be a very efficient system to operate.

#348 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Methods to Lunar Orbit » 2006-08-24 14:25:44

There are several possible problem I see with this approach, firstly the frictional limits on the speed. The moons escape velocity is some ~2.4km/s, which may be to fast for a rail-track to sustain without damage. In comparision, the fastest bullets travel at ~1.5km/s, though I am not sure if this is the upper limit of possible velocities. Trains and Cars obviously travel much slower. Friction from the track may also create a limit of the velocity the rocket can achive as well

It is this problem that has more or less meant that the only real effective method would be to create a magnetic levitation system for use on the Moon. The benefits of magnetic levitation are that there is little friction with the ground. Control of the object to be propelled is easier and that the only energy source needed is electricity which with ample sunlight is very available. The creation of such a system uses a very high majority local material so insitu works and there is also the fact that there is little or no working parts so wear and tear are kept to the minimum, which is very useful when considering the enviroment.

Problems are that the system will direct cargo's to only a very limited area and the system will need construction.

While Uranium is certianly present in the moon, I doubt we would need to go to the incredible expense of minning or refining it their to use a NTR. Depending upon the design of the NTR its radioactive core could be good for years to decades. A NTR generaly reacts at a higher rate (and uses more enriched fuel as well) then a conventioal reactor, but it is also functional for a DRASTICLY shorter period of time, a matter of hours each month at most. So I think importing the cores from Earth and deploying native fuel could be a praticle approach

It certainly is present, we found that the mineral KReeP contains what we need and it appears to be reasonably common.

#349 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Ares I (CLV) - status » 2006-08-23 07:29:52

gaetanomarano economically China has a lot more to spend its money on than just the space industry. As China gains in power and wealth there will be increased demands that will hinder this growth and China will have to make a lot of trade-offs to actually get these to operate and if that means cutting back on the space side then they will do it. Prestige is what the space industry gives China now and they really have no need to go further than earth orbit.

#350 Re: Human missions » The First to Mars - Who will it be? » 2006-08-23 07:26:51

Robs I agree that after the initial flavouring of the missions to Mars and the beginning of a long term population there is likely to be a case where the population of Mars will be closer to other settlers on Mars than from there technically home countries.

Then again it depends on future considerations and rampant nationalism can lead to other changes the least could be a suspicion and distrust of the other bases.

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