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#277 Re: Not So Free Chat » What is the soul and/or conscious, really? - a free and open debate wanted here :) » 2004-04-07 00:13:34

Thank you. So functionalism gives the Turing test the thumbs up? Hmmm... I never understood why everybody was so hung-ho with that test, I think it is flawed, but who am I?

That's Searle's point--not that strong AI is impossible (he leaves that open), but that the Turing test is flawed, and therefore so is functionalism (since the validity of the Turing test follows directly from functionalist ideas).

The Chinese room; OTOH, i think is ridiculously easy to debunk, and it has been done over and over again...

Hardly, unless there's a conclusive proof that I'm not aware of (if that's the case, please inform me).  This is all very recent philosophy (<25 years), and none of the counter arguments I've seen so far have been convincing (for me at least).  In any case, this isn't directly related to mind uploading, only to the validity of functionalism (from which some methods of immortality through mind uploading are dependant), so here's an argument that's slightly more on topic:

Suppose you build a machine that takes apart your body and records its composition and structure.  You use this device on yourself, and then have a friend load this data into a computer program that simulates the neuron interactions in your brain that form your mind.  The result of course is that you end up with a computer program that responds and behaves just like you would, and has all of your memories.  According to functionalism, this computer program would more than just resemble you, it is you.  The program is not a copy of you, but the same "you" that sat in the transfer device a moment ago.  You would have blacked out when the machine started operation and then woken up moments later in a computer.  This is what all those mind uploading immortalists (and a lot of AI people I've talked to) would have you believe.

But now let's extend the thought experiment:  what would happen if after loading your mind into a computer your friend went on to load it into six more computers?  The result would be that there are now seven separate but identical copies of you, all with the same initial personality, memories, and wants that you had.  They'll all act like you, but which one is you?  Are you one of them?  All of them?  What's more, what if the scanning process wasn't destructive?  What if you still existed in the flesh and blood over in that machine?  Functionalism breaks down here (it would identify each machine individually as you)

The only answer that makes any sense is that consciousness is not defined solely by memories and personality (the basic tenet of functionalism), and is non transferable.  Those computer versions of yourself were not you, but merely copies or cones of you.  You would have ceased to exist (died--reincarnated, gone to heaven, whatever) the moment that machine destroyed your body (and your brain with it).

...There's no limit to what we can understand if only we can think of it. A thinking machine need not be conscious, anymore than an ant, say. But, if we ever figure out how to give machines self-conscious imaginations--whoa, look out!

But therein lies the difficulty...  It's nice to talk about computers 'thinking' (especially when they're slow like mine), but it's really just an expression and nothing more.  Computers are entirely deterministic--they just run program.  People on the other hand are not.  Nerve firings, for example, are known in some cases to be severly influenced or even initiated by physically random events.  Is it even possible to write imagination into a computer program?

That's the million dollar question I guess.

#278 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » ISS:  "Strange Sound" Again » 2004-04-04 19:37:36

I'd buy that if the ISS were an old house or something.  However, I'm pretty sure that teh baning noises are not coming from window shutters flapping in the wind.  If I hear lound, unexplained baning noises from my CAR, I  pull over and try to figure out what's going on.  This is much more serious.

Obviously, with something this highly engineered, loud, unexplained noises shouldn't happen.

I'd bet money (if I had any smile ) that this noise is nothing more than it sounds like--flexing sheet metal.  A small pressure difference gets built up between an instrument and a bulkhead, causing the sheet metal between them to flex which makes the banging noise as they described (just like wiggling poster board).  Could have been cuased by a number of things, but more than likely the pressure difference is within normal bounds and just no one thought of the acoustic effects flexing metal would have.

You guys are overreacting.  A lot of thought went into the design of the ISS, but it was never flight tested.  So what can you expect?  Of course unexpected things have happened.  Things like this have always happened in the space program.  The fact that the ISS works at all in it's first flight is a testament to the amazing engineering work that NASA and company have done to get it right the first time.

I suppose we could ask James Lovell about "mysterious bangs."

Lovell may have used the same word, but you can't compare apples and oranges.  For one thing this sound is transient, it doesn't seem to have any effect on the operation of the station.  But for another, the sound is distinct and seems to be well identified as coming from a harmless source (I trust Kaleri's word that it's flexing sheet metal, a very distinctive noise).  You're also forgetting all the bangs and other noises that were heard on the other successful Apollo flights, Mercury, Gemini, Skylab, Shuttle flights, and Mir.

#279 Re: Not So Free Chat » What is the soul and/or conscious, really? - a free and open debate wanted here :) » 2004-04-04 18:49:18

Huh? Functionalism? Care to elaborate?

Functionalism is the idea in philosophy that mental states (thoughts, experiances, consciousness) are defined by their effects.  If you could write a computer program that imitated a human being so well that someone talking to it would never be able to tell it apart from a real conscious person, then a functionalist will say that that computer program is a real person, and has all the qualities of thought that we associate with real people (mind, consciousness, soul).  This is also called Strong AI.

Searle debunks this with his Chinese room example.  As usual, wikipedia is much more eloquent than me:

[http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_room]http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_room

(although I disagree with the author's conclusion: AI researchers may ignore Searle's Chinese room, with good reason as it would make most research meaningless, but there's really an even 50-50 split between philosophers.  the counter-points he provides are by no means convincing.  but i digress)

#280 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » ISS:  "Strange Sound" Again » 2004-04-04 01:16:10

Jeez people, these things happen.  I bet it's nothing.

#281 Re: Not So Free Chat » What is the soul and/or conscious, really? - a free and open debate wanted here :) » 2004-04-04 01:09:13

If "consciousness" was ever found to consist simply of mathematical algorithims and data flow, which we could measure as a measure of the brain's function, then could a person's "soul" be transferred into computer databases or some other form of artifical storage as a way of achieving immortality?

I think what you're refering to is called "uploading".  It's something cryonists and other immortalists talk about a lot.  If you type "mind uploading" into google you should get some pages..  If you believe in Functionalism (a la Alan Turing), which I'd be happy to debunk, then mind uploading should follow.  Even if functionalism is incorrect, it should be possible to slowly transition from biological to electronic form, achieving your immortality.

The problem I have personally with the idea of the soul being merely the result of chemical/biological processes is that this line of thinking has a way of stripping the "value" of life that we (the human race) hold dear to us.

I don't think it's any more humbling than the realization that we're just one planet among billions in a practically infinite universe.  Because we're all space geeks we're used to and accept the latter, but remember how people reacted to Copernicus and Galileo?  In any case, Cobra Commander is correct; removal of the soul only makes life more precious.

#282 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Singularity - Black Holes, Gamma Rays, Magnetars, etc » 2004-03-31 20:15:41

The important thing is that we don't know if singularities can exist.  The singularity is what gives us all sorts of thing like wormhole sand time travel - it's also the source for all sorts of problems like entropy preservation and spacetime breakdown.  Personally, I think that a lot of physicists would love to be able to get rid of the things.

Yeah.  You're original point (which I misinterpreted) was that black holes might have ordinary structure and need not be a singularity.  I agree completely and hope that this is the case.  It'd certainly make the physicists I know sleep better at night smile

I notice particularly how that one star enters in from the upper left-hand corner (top image), seems to hit something and then seems to bounce backwards. 

Hopefully I'll find the explanation in the article itself.

If you look very closely, I think you'll see that it does loop around object (the red cross).  The reason why it looks like it switches direction (I'm guessing here, but I'm pretty sure) is because we're looking at its orbit edge on.  It's really a curved orbit like all the others, but we just can't see that from the angle we're looking at.

#283 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Singularity - Black Holes, Gamma Rays, Magnetars, etc » 2004-03-31 06:38:41

I'd like to see the reference for this observation of Hawing radiation from a black hole.  The observable radiation from such a process is so small that it sould be unobservable unless you have a black hole in a laboratory.  There is no way that a standard solar mass black hole would have hawking radiation observable to a telescope.  A black hole of that amount of mass has Hawking radiation cooler than the cosmic background radiation.  Heck, even if you had the black hole sitting right in front of you in a laboratory, it's unlikely that you could detect the Hawking radiation coming off of it.

You're absolutly right.  The article I was thinking of I read a few years back in discover magazine, but clearly I must be remembering wrong.  You are correct about Hawking radiation.

As for general relativity and black holes, yes, relativity does explain what happens to mass as it goes to a singularity - somwhat.  Relativity breaks down at the point of a singularity and therefore can't be said to explain what happens there.

Furthermore, relativity says *nothing* about the matter involved in the formation of a black hole.  Things like the Pauli exclusion principle are purely a subset of quantum mechanics.  We know that normal matter is kept from collapsing by the repulsion of electrons of the same quantum state.  In neutron stars, nucleon degeneracy does the same task.  Preesent theory assumes that at higher levels of pressure, matter then completely collapses into a black hole.  This is not known for certain.  It's the most likely explanation and the one I believe in but there is no proof for it. 

For all we know, a star of > 3.5 solar masses collapses into another state of matter such as a quark soup or other more exotic things.  Such a material would warp light, create a violent accretion disc and deflect nearby star trajectories just like a black hole.  From the distances we are observing these objects, they would look just like black holes.

Remember, noone's actually gotten close enough to a black hole to observe an event horizon.  We just see large gravitational masses that appear to be a point source.  According to current theory, the matter in such an astronomical body must be a black hole since it 'must' have collapsed into a singularity.  We do not know that with certainty.

You are right that we do not know what the internal structure of a black hole is (if it has any).  But we have observed event horizons.

Here's how: Accretion matter falling into a neutron star heats up.  When it strikes the surface it's gained so much momentum that a thermonuclear explosion results.  We see this as a large x-ray burst.  Once neutron stars exceed a certain size we still see the heating, but not the burst.  The conclusion is that the star has become so massive that its gravity traps the light of the explosion.  This cut-off point in size is about what we'd expect for the transition to a black hole.  Therefore what we're observing is the event horizon of a black hole.

There have been other experiments to show the existance of black holes, I'm sure.  This is the one I'm the most familiar with.  My point is that black holes, objects so massive that they possess an event horizon, do exist, and are not a matter of belief or untested theory.  But I think we're really in agreement over this aren't we?

I apologize for hijacking the thread over such a nitpicky point.  I guess given the title of the thread I should have realized you were talking about singularities and not black holes in general.   smile

#284 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Singularity - Black Holes, Gamma Rays, Magnetars, etc » 2004-03-30 21:18:24

SBird: Of course, black holes are not a proven thing.  The standard model posits no forces that can hold up matter at the densities found in a black hole.  However, we know that the Standard model is broken.  Therefore, 'black holes' could actually be some form of very compact degenerate matter that has such high gravitational density that it looks like a black hole from here.  Until we can actually observe a black hole from up close, they remain conjectural objects.

They're effects (which are plenty) have been observed on numerous occations.  Recently they've even been observed directly via Hawking radiation.  Black Holes are certainly real 'proven' things.

As for the standard model (which, for the laypersons here, is the name given to the current state of quantum theory), it is 'broken' because it does not include the force of gravity.  Yes, the standard model can't explain black holes, but general relativity can.  And in some cases, general relativity and the standard model can be used together to describe the properties Black Holes have, with great success.  This is what Hawking has done.

Cindy: I have an unfortunate tendency to interpret things literally.

Just remember that all these metaphors we use are metaphors, and they can be misleading.  My best advice is to be very careful when you interpret these metaphors.  Look for the underlying truth behind it, and don't push the analogy too far.

But most of all, ask questions!  big_smile

dicktice: Here's a sample layperson question, that comes to mind after reading SBird's posts: If black holes are spaced between stars, as are the visible stars, with no visible acretion disc to observe (if such can be posited, i.e., not observable from any distance until it's too late to avoid being swallowed up) I'd think of that literally as a threat to interstellar voyaging.

You needn't worry.  If nothing else the gravitational effects of the black hole would be very visible.  But black holes do have acretion disks as a result of how they are usually formed, and can maintain them even interstellar space (remember, space isn't totally empty).  Black Holes are also directly observable via Hawking radiation, so they're actually pretty easy to spot these days.

#285 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Zero energy trajectories - a thread to discuss this topic » 2004-03-30 01:43:12

This makes sense to me. Zero extra energy. Thank You.

So, my original point stands.  :;):  Spending computational resources to better understand these routes around the hills is a worthwhile endeavor.

Glad I could help!   cool

#286 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Zero energy trajectories - a thread to discuss this topic » 2004-03-29 07:43:42

It's roughly analagous to a chemical reaction where you have two similar energy states seperated by a high energy activation barrier.  This system seems to act as a catalyst that lowers that energy barrier, making it eaiser to get between the 2 equivalent energy states but I'm a bit unclear on HOW.  I can easily understand how lunar L1 can easily feed to Earth L1 but Lunar L1 to MArs L1 just seems almost too good to be true.

It is.  The analogy you use (lowering the activation barrier) is a little flawed.  Think of getting from Earth to Mars as getting from one side of a hill to the other.  Rather than go over it the "zero energy" trajectory will have you go around the hill.  But if there's a fundamental difference in elevation with the hill (i.e. we're at 2,000km and we need to get to a place at 4,000km on the other side) you still have to move up or down by that amount to get to your destination (+2,000km in our case).  Moving from L1 to L2 in the Earth-Moon system is "free" because the L points lie more or less at the same "elevation" (they have very close gravitational potential energies).  On the other hand, there's still a fundamental delta-v involved if you want to go from the Earth to Mars.

The standard Hohmann trajectory would have you waste precious energy to get to the top of the sun-earth-mars gravity well and then give you back that gravitational potential energy as kinetic energy--speed--- as you approach Mars.  Thus when you get to mars you'll be going something like twice the orbital speed you want and you'll need to slow down (hence the aerobrake).  All that extra energy you have to get rid of is unnecessary.

The "zero energy" trajectories are not really zero energy in this case, but "zero extra energy".  They'd go around any "gravitational hills" to conserve energy, but there's still a fundamental delta-v involved (which is very large in comparison, you'd probibly lower the delta-v requirement by less than 1km/s in the best realistic circumstances).  In addition, these trajectories are very hard to calculate, and like gravity assists, they might be available very infrequently and are likely to add years or even decades to travel time.

Hope that helps.

#287 Re: Not So Free Chat » 102,004 A.D. - where will we be 100,000 years from now? » 2004-03-29 06:30:56

I voted #3 because FLT does not exist and will never exist (although you wouldn't need it to colonize the galaxy).

But like Grad Student says, 100k years is a looong time.  I would say 1,000 to 2,000 years is all it'll take to fully colonize the solar system.  Isn't that what Marshall Savage predicted?

#288 Re: Life on Mars » Methane on Mars - Proof for life on Mars? » 2004-03-29 06:09:51

http://news.independent.co.uk/world/sci … ory=505454

Is the methane in Mars' atmosphere really at that high a concentration if it hasn't been detected by now?

10 to 10.5 parts per billion.  That's a very low concentation in a very thin atmosphere.  And like Cairan said, there shouldn't be any methane in the martian atmosphere.

#289 Re: Not So Free Chat » SPAM PMs - Anyone else getting these? » 2003-11-02 16:01:04

Adrian: I just received the same message as an email sent from this board:

Email Generated by Ikonboard

Mark Friedenbach,

This email has been sent from amadu via Ikonboard.

(http://www.newmars.com/cgi-bin/ikonboard/ikonboard.cgi)

-------------------------------------------------

MR AMADU ABUDULAHI.


EMAIL: amadu245@voila.fr

DAKAR SENEGAL

ATTN: THE DIRECTOR/CEO STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL

<snip>

Best regards,

AMADU ABUDULAHI

Can't something be done about this?

#290 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Relativity of light - light at light speed » 2003-10-23 17:59:31

And light is a duality partical in most theories.

In quantum theories, yes.  To the best of my knowledge, light is considered a wave in general relativity.  Obviously it's not, but there's no unified theory yet.

#291 Re: Human missions » Space Exploration Act of 2003 - How can we help? » 2003-10-14 13:07:00

No, it doesn't.  It includes the moon, mars, and asteroids.

For more information:
www.SpaceExplorationAct.org

#292 Re: Not So Free Chat » A "What If" scenario... - what if we only had a 100 years left? » 2003-10-12 18:28:54

But....let's suppose that after a few years' of study, it was determined that this "supervolcano" would go off in approximately a hundred year's time, bringing an end to all of human civilization, and unlike diverting an Earth-crossing asteroid, there wouldn't be a darned thing we could do about it.

Well, I wouldn't say that.  There are very few things that we can do *nothing* about.  In this case a much easier solution would be to construct a release valve to ease off pressure from the mantle.  Of course, this isn't the optimal scenario, as it would require turning Yellowstone, a highly treasured national park, into a man-made volcano.  But it's certainly preferable to evacuating the Earth.

#293 Re: Not So Free Chat » Republicans sack California - How on Earth? » 2003-10-08 15:01:27

But this description of Bill's sexuality goes further than I realised and paints a chilling picture of his predatory behaviour with women. Is this a true and fair summary of the habits and misdeeds of the former president?

No.  The Clinton-Lewinsky affair was 100% consentual, and started by Monica Lewinsky (as cindy said).  They had a bad breakup and Monica, in her infinite wisdom, decided to get revenge.  Yes, he did lie about it at first but the actual act wasn't a crime.  As for all the other wannabe scandals, there was never any evidence to make a case (Paula Jones got a settlement because she would not let the story die, even after having the case thrown out of the courts).

#294 Re: Space Policy » Space Exploration Act of 2003 - Petition Congress to Support H.R. 3057 » 2003-10-08 02:38:28

Thanks TJohn, I just fixed it.  The signatures are stored in a database (MySQL) on the site's server, but of course they'll be printed out for actual copies of the petition.  What's done with the petition largely depends on what's done with the bill.  Right now the SEA is in the Space and Aeronautics Subcommittee, so you can expect copies to be given out to them (when there's a significant number of signatures).  Did that answer your question?

#295 Re: Not So Free Chat » Republicans sack California - How on Earth? » 2003-10-08 01:56:04

California always seemed like a very progressive state.  How disappointing that it recalled the governor and put a Republican in the office.

Not to mention that hasn't stated his position on any issues.  And what little he has said is undeniably and verifiably wrong.  And I mean in the 2 + 2 = 5 sense.  Jezus, what's wrong with this state? :angry:

-A confused californian.

PS: 50% vote for arnold?  Good lord!  how can that many people be so stupid?

:EDIT: sorry, just had to vent some steam sad :EDIT:

#298 Re: Space Policy » Space Exploration Act of 2003 - Petition Congress to Support H.R. 3057 » 2003-09-27 18:48:37

Hi all!  I'm moving this over from the thread in the Human Missions folder.

I've created an online petition to support the Space Exploration Act (www.SpaceExplorationAct.org).  The petition is written, but the rest of the site hasn't been finished (so you can't actually sign it yet).

What do you guys think?  I haven't shown the petition to anyone else yet, so I'm open to suggestions for rewording it if you guys have any!  Also, if anyone wants to help out, it'd be nice to have some images on the site (I'm a terrible artist).

#299 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Using the shuttle's external tanks as spacecraft » 2003-09-26 14:28:46

They built a shuttle launch base in southern California and trashed it after blowing billions on it.  Can't these guys make up their minds and stick with something!

Hmm, If I remember correctly, Vandenburg AFB was around before the shuttle, and is still in very good shape, and the STS launches would have only been a small part of the mission there.

I think most of the facilities they built are still there, but Vandenburg was meant for military flights, not civilian flights (for a higher polar orbit).  Since the Air Force doesn't want the shuttle anymore, there's no need to launch from Vandenburg.

Vandenburg would be useless for anything other than polor orbit launches, for safety reasons.  If there was an accident like Challenger, toxic substances would be sprayed all over California, Nevada, Utah, Colorado, Arizona, New Mexico, and I'm sure a few other states.  A polar launch would take it along the coast line and over the ocean, however.  In addition, I remember there being some safty issues with the launch itself (like sound waves bouncing off the near-by hills, and stuff like that).

#300 Re: Human missions » Space Exploration Act of 2003 - How can we help? » 2003-09-11 02:15:20

The Mars Society
P.O. Box 273
Indian Hills, Colorado
80454, USA
Email: brianf5070@aol.com
(Brian Frankie - head of the Political and Public Outreach Task Force)

National Space Society
600 Pennsylvania Avenue, S.E.
Suite 201
Washington, DC 20003
Phone: (202) 543-1900
Fax: (202) 546-4189
nsshq@nss.org

The Planetary Society
65 North Catalina Avenue
Pasadena, California 91106-2301
Phone: (626) 793-5100
Fax: (626) 793-5528
E-Mail: tps@planetary.org

Space Frontier Foundation
16 First Avenue
Nyack, NY 10960
Phone: (800) 787-7223

--

hrm.  I just realized there's a political outreach forum on this board.  Maybe this thread should have been there.  Sorry for posting in the section sad

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