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Hi Byron!
Methinks thou knowest not what thou hast done!
You may have unwittingly opened a very large can of worms here, Byron. People like Josh are anarchists, others are Marxists, and they believe all property is theft; not just on the Moon or Mars but here on Earth too. They question the very existence of 'property'. They object to ownership of anything!
In a very theoretical way, the North American indians had it right. No man owns the land he stands upon; it owns him. In the world of hunter gatherers that may well be true, but obviously in today's world it has long passed into the annals of quaint philosophy in the face of economic practicalities.
Not, however, to the romantic anarchists among us! And the disenfranchised left-wingers will probably have plenty to say also.
Fair enough, Dennis Hope and Mr. Pop may ultimately be found to be charlatans and rogues, but there are many here who will question anybody's right to sell land on any celestial body at any time. Not so much out of any ethical constraints but because they object politically to the concept of ownership itself and to the concept of sovereign ownership in general.
This is potentially the most contentious thread outside of the Iraq war topic.
I think romance is very much part of this exercise ... YES!!
My mother's grandfather was a sailor on the very clipper ships you base your futuristic romance upon. I'm quite sure he would approve!
I don't just envy him his creative mind, I envy him the time he lived in (in some ways) because there was so much freedom and scope for innovation.
What an incredible human being!
Yeah, if we're getting so good with air-bag landings within tight landing ellipses on Mars, maybe we could dump lots of equipment there before sending the crew!
Not just the bare minimum, I mean a let's-do-it-in-style kind of effort as Michael hinted at here. We could stockpile large interconnecting inflatable habitats (including a spacious recreation hab with a swimming pool - to be filled with purified martian water), a large pressurised rover, large earthmover (mars mover! ), nuclear reactors, etc. We could drop off everything necessary for a serious martian village before sending the people if you really wanted to avoid the flags-and-footprints routine.
The crewed lander could carry a lighter open rover in case the cargo landers didn't all land as close to their target as desirable. The crew could drive over to the marsmover, deploy it and use it to drag the other components to a suitable site for connection and inflation.
The marsmover would then be useful for covering the habs with regolith for radiation protection and for other construction and heavy-lifting requirements.
I know, I know!! It does sound like I've been drinking again! :laugh:
But if anyone here is prepared to humour me for a moment, is there a practical limit to how heavy an airbag assisted landing can be?
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I know Rutan's cool and probably one of the most capable mavericks in the aero-space industry today, but there's a yawning gap between lifting three people to an altitude of 100 km and propelling them to LEO. The latter task is much more difficult.
However brilliant Rutan may be, and I think he is brilliant, anything he comes up with will be subject to the same laws of physics as other people's ideas. Getting to LEO is simply a pig of a job!
I don't think even Rutan will be able to perform magic in that arena.
For what it's worth, I think space tourism is a great idea and may eventually help to get us all into space - not just the rich people. But I'm still hopeful that progress in this direction will get a boost along the way by the emergence of practical space elevator technology in about 15 years.
Apart from the possibility of SSTO technology finally getting off the drawing board, perhaps with the help of super-composites for fuel tanks and hypersonic scramjet engine development, it may be that the space elevator is the only viable way routinely to get large payloads out of this oh-so-deep gravity well of ours.
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[Unless Dicktice's rail gun up the side of Kilimanjaro ever proves practicable, that is!]
I'm with Byron!
I gotta hand it to you, Cindy. When you take an interest in something, you really take an interest!! I admire your energy and enthusiasm.
So much stellar violence going on out there!
It makes me appreciate our sedate, steady, calm and reassuring star. Long may it radiate with its usual unflappable consistency!
It wasn't actually the sand in the spokes per se that worried me. It was the thought of the wheel rims and tyres sinking into the regolith and making pedalling so hard.
Maybe we could make the tyres fatter to decrease the force per unit area(?). Perhaps, together with the lower martian gravity, that would be sufficient to solve the problem(?).
This whole question of mobility on Mars is certainly an interesting one. Experiments have shown that while the human form under terrestrial gravity of 1g is most efficient in a walking mode (i.e. more kilometres per gram of sweat ... miles per ounce for our American cousins! ), in 0.38g on Mars a loping run is easiest.
A bicycle ride on Earth certainly beats trying to run at a similar pace, assuming the ground is smooth enough, but is that necessarily the case on Mars? Might the lesser difference in energy expenditure there between loping and pedalling make the bicycle redundant?
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It's hard to argue with someone as famous and knowledgable [and Lovell(able)! :laugh: ] as Jim Lovell but I still agree with Dr. Zubrin that the Moon is not a necessary step on the way to Mars.
I know I may sometimes sound like I support President Bush's initiative but all I'm really doing is trying to make the best of a bad job. At the same time, I'm hoping the plan can be 'subverted' as we go along, so as to shift the emphasis away from Luna and toward Mars. Dr. Z's comments encourage me in this because his logic is inescapable and it must surely become clear to everyone eventually that very little of what we learn on the Moon will be of any use on Mars. The two environments are just too different; the problems are different and the resources available are different. (I have grave doubts about the availability of water in polar craters on the Moon. The Clementine results seem more consistent with ice crystals spread out thinly over a huge area than with a 'lake' of readily accessible solid ice. But I could be wrong, I suppose.)
The logic of going to the Moon first honestly escapes me but, when I realise people of the calibre of Jim Lovell think it's a good idea, I worry that I must be missing something. Unless he's also thinking we can 'subvert' the initiative and get to Mars before 2020!!
Forgive me if this is a dumb question but I haven't studied the situation in northern Iraq in any great detail. (All I know is that Turkey doesn't want an independent Kurdistan; on the contrary, as I understand it they have designs on Kurdish territory. ... I think! )
The last part of the report by that journalist Bill likes says:-
"The Kurdish leaders immediately pledged in Salahuddin to support Iraq's unity and territorial integrity -- but neither agreed to go along to the United States to discuss Iraq's future directly with Kofi Annan or George W. Bush."
This was the Kurds' response to the 'get in or get out' message from the Iraqi Governing Council.
I don't understand this reply. Are they 'getting in' or 'getting out'?
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Which crater was the heat shield supposed to have landed in? Do you have any links to that, with photos?
It seems there's not much point in stressing over the ethical implications of introducing terrestrial life into the martian air and soil and thus destroying indigenous life forms. It's probably much too late for should we or shouldn't we? and it's looking more and more likely that we already have!
I came across an article from The Atlanta Journal-Constitution called "Space probes let earthly germs make themselves at home on Mars."
For the full story, take a look at [http://www.ajc.com/opinion/content/opin … sbugs.html]THIS SITE.
But some of the main points are:-
NASA guidelines permit up to 300 bacterial spores per square metre of a spacecraft's surface - cleaner than most surgical instruments. But many more organisms go along for the ride inside electronic components which, under ordinary circumstances, would never escape into the Martian environment.
When a spacecraft crashes, however, the chances of contamination go up. NASA engineers say the crash of its 1999 lander somewhere near Mars' South Pole could have released up to 700 million terrestrial spores.
700,000,000 terrestrial spores!! And that's on a craft deliberately and carefully 'sterilised' by U.S. scientists in 1999.
What of the Soviet-era probes which crashed on Mars in the 1960s and which weren't 'sterilised' at all? ???
Any apocalyptic battle for survival between terrestrial bacteria and truly indigenous martian bacteria, if such a battle were ever to be, must surely have occurred already! It may well have been raging for 40 years.
Naahhh!!! Just kidding. The above article and its scenario ignore impact transfer completely, as do most of them. The chances of Mars having remained quarantined from Earth, and vice versa, for 4.5 billion years are effectively zero. The frequent mass transfer of viable spores in both directions by impact ejecta has surely seen to that.
Any life found on Mars will be built from the same basic building blocks as you and me. The only question will be: Did it start here and go there, or did it start there and come here?
What daring photo-probe mission into Mariner Valley?
What have I been missing and why wasn't I informed?
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Nice link to Huygens' instruments. Thanks Cindy!
Sorry 1smlstp, all I know about the 'leaf-like' object is that it appears in one of the shots from the Opportunity site on Sol 2.
I still think it's junk off the lander that's fallen off onto the sand at some stage. (The Enterprise Mission people have probably already identified it as the twisted handle of a martian phaser weapon! :laugh: )
When I was a kid, we would ride bikes on roads and paved paths and we'd even ride on grass if need be. But we'd never ride on sand because the wheels would sink in and the effort of pedalling would become too great.
I'm trying to imagine cycling on Mars but all I can see is dust and sand and bicycle wheels bogged down to the spokes.
We may need to characterise the nature of the martian surface a little better before sending bikes and, even then, I think we'd need to consider things like much wider tyres to decrease the force per unit area and prevent bogging.
But I'm not saying it won't work.
I agree with you, Stephen.
It seems presumptuous and illogical to assume there's no green on Mars and then make it a self-fulfilling prophecy by using filters which prevent you detecting it!
Hi SaorsaDaonnan!
That was quite a first post you graced us with, and laden with worldly wisdom and political savvy, too!
I tend to agree with you (perhaps because I want to) that there is a 'crazy like a fox' element to President Bush's initiative. Considering that this is 2004 and we possess 21st century technology and we're talking about not getting back to the Moon before 2015, which is 11 years hence, while our forebears gave themselves 7 years (possibly 8) to get to the Moon with mid-20th century technology ... there must be as much political input into the timetable as technical! (Though I admit Kennedy didn't have to worry about commitments involving an international space station!)
As I've outlined elsewhere, I'm hoping that once this plan gets rolling we'll see shortenings of the timeline and modifications of the sequence of events as practicalities assume precedence over politics.
As a best-case scenario, I'm hoping the crewed lunar flights will begin a couple of years earlier than planned, around 2012, and that they will blend into, rather than precede, the Mars missions. I don't see any fundamental impediment to staging the construction of a large lunar outpost between 2012 and 2020, while beginning human Mars missions by 2018 at the latest.
If NASA gets just a 5% annual increase in funding, it will be on roughly $24 billion p.a. by 2012, with no shuttle and no ISS obligations.
I feel confident Dr. Zubrin could achieve all manner of human Mars missions with just a fraction of that sort of money and it doesn't come close to the kinds of outrageous figures quoted by politically motivated journalists these days.
Ah well. I suppose we'll just have to wait and see.
I know your response was addressed to Cindy, Robert, but I'm sure she won't mind me saying I think it was a brilliantly detailed reply.
Again I have to say I can rarely find any reason to disagree with Robert's views and Bill's ideas are so enthusiastic and forward-looking they warm my heart! I've noted how Bill has championed the cause of Shuttle Derived Vehicles in recent weeks and the logic of it seems irresistible. In fact someone gave a link to an article which suggested that even the people at NASA may be starting to see the light in this regard ... <Gasp! .. No .. you can't be serious?!! :;): >
So that's Bill, Robert, Jadeheart (nice post, too! ) and I, all attempting to bring Cindy around to the idea of space tourism! Gosh ... will she or won't she?! The tension is unbearable! Can Cindy be persuaded that private investment in private space access can be ultimately beneficial for all space endeavours and need have no effect on the government funded exploration missions we all know and love?
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But I agree with her entirely that too much government money is wasted on pigs with their snouts in the trough and Jadeheart's insistence that private and public money be strictly separated is obviously the answer.
Edit :: A quick re-reading of my comments above leads me to
think they could be misinterpreted as making fun of
Cindy. That was never the intention. I was just amused
that so many people were trying to change one
person's mind; almost like the script of a comedy movie.
I see your point, Cindy, it would certainly be a 'rich man's diversion' for quite a while.
But then air travel was the same for a while after it was pioneered but now most people in the western world have travelled by air at least once in their lives.
I think the ideas Bill outlined might work and I think they could lead ultimately to more and more ordinary people getting a chance to fly in space - if not in the near term, then in few decades from now.
You have to start somewhere.
Wow, it really is a crater!
A few posts ago I queried whether maybe Opportunity was just in a dip in the generally undulating sand. But that computer model of the topography is irrefutable ... YUP, it's a crater all right!!
I can't believe how versatile the instrumentation is on these MERs! They can even use their data to make brilliant 3-D maps of the ground around them. Fantastic!!
I agree with Byron to a large extent but I don't see why we shouldn't start terraforming Mars while we're still learning how to manage our home planet. I think we can do both simultaneously.
The industrial revolution began in the late 18th century and world levels of pollution arguably reached their maximum in the 1970s and 80s. Since then, despite an increase in the human population of about 2 billion, the burgeoning conservation movement and a greater awareness of the fragility of our planetary environment have brought about improvements. (If you don't believe me, read some of "The Skeptical Environmentalist" by Bjorn Lomborg, a book whose author has been lambasted by doomsayers but whose guardedly optimistic message remains unrefuted by objective observers.)
While Cindy is certainly quite right, of course, to watch with dismay the numbers of certain familiar species such as orangutans dwindling towards extinction, we have moved forward in as much as we're now knowledgeable in such things. 30 or 40 years ago, nobody would have been aware of such a scenario but at least today our collective consciousness has risen to a critical level at which we can bring pressure to bear and hopefully avoid such disasters.
I don't say all is well with the world, far from it, but the wheels are turning and the human race has never been more aware of its effect on the world around it. I'm hopeful that it's not too late to improve things and I think technological progress will help enormously over the next fifty years. (Yes, Cindy, I realise such a timeline may be no use to species like the orangutan and that would be tragic. )
As far as recycling goes, yes we do sort our rubbish into two separate wheely-bins; one for the recyclables. And our Cairns City Council has been very forward looking in building a state-of the-art waste disposal facility, where the non-recyclable garbage is sorted, compacted, and otherwise processed in order to minimise the final volume and toxicity of the waste.
But I believe some European countries are probably among the most advanced recyclers and the most environmentally sensitive of peoples. I seem to remember one European country (was it Sweden?), where even flashlight batteries had their own special collection system to avoid dumping them as landfill and having their heavy metals leak into the ecosystem.
Terraforming Mars is going to take a long time, maybe centuries. The initial phase involves a 'simple' warming process to bring the average surface temperatures and pressure up to a level at which liquid water is stable. Doing that much is a bare minimum and will take anything from 50 to 150 years, depending on which books you read. By then, we'll either have solved our environmental problems here on Earth or we'll be in urgent need of Mars as a lifeboat!!
In any event, I think we should begin the terraforming process on Mars as soon as we can.
Those marks look typical of the thousands of dark 'stains' found by the MGS, often originating from the walls of craters and valleys and usually from a specific layer a short distance (perhaps tens of metres) below the surface of the surrounding plains.
Repeat photos of the same stains some time after the first shots have shown that they fade gradually over short time spans (days or weeks, I can't remember).
As I understand it, the consensus is that it's almost certainly water, or rather brine. I remember NASA scientist Chris McKay speculating in an article somewhere on the net that the dark colouration might even be some form of life responding to the sudden appearance of a stream of salty water and 'blooming' while the blooming was good!
I assume he wondered about such a possibility because the stains are dark and tend to last longer than you might expect a simple wet brine-stain to last(?). Also, wouldn't a drying brine stain tend to leave a streak of some kind of salt, and wouldn't such a streak be pale or even white, rather than dark?
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Where is that 'leaf-like' thing supposed to be, on the dirt at Spirit's feet?
Won't it be a scrap of something off the lander?
Those speckles are probably magnification artifacts in the image, I would guess.
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Clever people, us Australians!
Even our dogs have proven to be capable research assistants in the realms of microbiology and planetary science!!
:laugh: