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#76 Re: Meta New Mars » kbd512 Postings » 2025-07-03 02:05:19

Using electric motors for marine propulsion has "battle heritage" with the US Navy:
NavWeaps - History and Technology - Turboelectric Drive in American Capital Ships, by Joseph Czarnecki

From the article:

...
Turboelectric drive offers several advantages:

1. There is no mechanical connection between the turbogenerator shaft and the propeller shaft, allowing both to turn at their disparate efficient speeds. This reduces propeller rotation speeds and increases fuel efficiency.
2. The motor rooms can be placed nearer the stern than can reduction-geared turbines, eliminating the need to lead the propeller shafts farther forward in the ship.
3. The machinery components are more easily segregated into multiple compartments, and require fewer steam line penetrations of watertight bulkheads.
4. The turbo-electric drive consumes less beam, allowing more hull breadth to be devoted to the torpedo defense system.
5. The propeller shafts can be immediately reversed by simply switching the direction of the electric motors without the need to reroute steam to a separate reversing turbine.
6. Equal power (but not speed) is available for ahead or astern steaming. Astern steaming can also be maintained indefinitely.
7. The machinery is more easily cross-connected in the event of battle damage through the switching of electrical loads between different turbogenerators and motors, and the elimination of propulsive steam lines.
8. More steam is available at all power levels for the ship's service turbogenerators (SSTGs), making more power available for ancillary systems (including main battery elevation and training) and electronics.
9. Most major electrical components are reparable by the ship's company at sea.

The turboelectric drive also has several inherent negatives:
1. It is heavier and more expensive than a direct drive or reduction geared turbine installation.
2. It is susceptible to turbogenerator room damage.
3. It is susceptible to damage to the main control compartment containing the bus bar system.
4. It is susceptible to shorting out from shock damage to the bus bar system.

Turboelectric drive ships realized fuel economies of as much as 20% compared to comparable turbine ships, according to Freedman's report of the difference in fuel consumption between USS New Mexico (BB-40) and her two direct drive turbine sister ships USS Mississippi (BB-41) and USS Idaho (BB-42).

In compartmentation, the turboelectric drive was typically twice as segregated as a direct drive plant and four times as segregated as later reduction geared turbine plants in US service. The machinery in the direct drive turbine USS Idaho (BB-42) was divided into eight main spaces, while the machinery in the turboelectric USS Tennessee (BB-43) was divided into fifteen main spaces. This increase in compartmentalization meant that there would be less flooding in the ship in case of battle damage such as from a torpedo. The later reduction geared USS North Carolina (BB-55) had only four main spaces and required each propeller shaft to be led progressively farther forward in the hull.

Turboelectric machinery also permitted more rapid development of accelerating and decelerating power on the shafts. It made the last ditch maneuver of "twisting" a ship out of a torpedo's path by backing down one side's shafts while running the opposite side full ahead and applying full rudder toward the backing side more effective. It also permitted extended periods of backing. After suffering a torpedo hit in the extreme bow while at anchor off Saipan in 1944, USS Maryland (BB-46) backed to Pearl Harbor at 10 knots so as not to strain the collision bulkhead forward.

The same ship also escaped two collisions in a matter of minutes during a close order fleet maneuvering exercise between the wars. When USS Oklahoma (BB-37) sheered out of column to avoid running down an errant destroyer, she intruded on the next column of ships, crossing the Maryland's bow. The Maryland performed an immediate "crash back" to avoid the Oklahoma, decelerating and letting the other battleship pass ahead, only to be confronted with the direct drive turbine USS Arizona (BB-39) vainly trying to back down behind her. Maryland's electric motors were immediately thrown back to flank speed ahead and the turboelectric ship accelerated ahead of the less responsive Arizona.

The Maryland also escaped an aerial torpedo at Leyte Gulf by "twisting" the ship out of the torpedo's path. When the order was given to put the helm over to evade the torpedo, the steering gear shorted out, leaving the rudder amidships. The captain then directed maneuvering by the motors while a damage control team attempted to restore the helm. The ability to maneuver effectively prior to the restoration of helm control saved the ship from being hit. Helm control was restored prior to the weapon crossing Maryland's track and placing the helm hard over near the end of the maneuver may have assisted in moving the ship's stern out of the path of the weapon which passed close aboard. Had the ship not commenced its maneuver under motor control prior to recovering helm control the ship would have been hit.
...

Wartime experience fighting the Imperial Japanese Navy showed that their survivability was well above that of purely steam powered warships, and their implementation by the US Navy dates back to just before WWI.  The only reason they were not more widely implemented during the interwar years was the Treaty Era ship size / mass constraints imposed by all the signatories to the treaties.

If we had modern 40kW/kg electric motors and 8kW/kg kerosene or diesel burning Solid Oxide Fuel Cells, then we would definitely want said motors and fuel cells powering all of our warships, because they would maximize range and mitigate battle damage if ship and fleet tonnage restrictions were still in place.  In modern times, economy dictates fleet size and tonnage, but the restriction still exists, regardless of treaties.

I think our readers might be interested in your extrapolation of the mass of fuel cells that would be needed to power just one 10 MW motor for an hour of flight.

Let's use the Kuznetsov NK-12 turboprops from the 1950s Tupolev Tu-95 "Bear" bomber as our "airliner-like" example:
Each NK-12 weighs 2,900kg, the Tu-95 has 4 of them for 11,600kg of power plant mass, each one generates 11,000kW of output, so 44,000kW of takeoff power.  Overall power-to-weight ratio is 3.79:1- not great by modern standards but acceptable for an airliner.

State-of-the-art PEMFCs created for Toyota Hydrogen-fueled hybrids can achieve up to 5kW/kg, so a 44MW fuel cell would weigh 8,800kg.  If each 11,000kW PMSM weighed in at 440kg (at 25kW/kg for takeoff power), then we can achieve 10,560kg for the installed power plant weight.  To this weight, we must either add compressed Hydrogen tanks or cryogenic liquid Hydrogen fuel tanks.  That will rapidly increase our installed mass to achieve the same payload-to-distance because Hydrogen has such absurdly low density, despite the fact that its very low mass makes Hydrogen an ideal fuel from a power-to-weight perspective.  Regardless, we can "just beat out" 1950s Soviet gas turbines that were installed in numerous military and civil aircraft, by about 1,000kg, for a vehicle with a MTOW of 188,000kg.  If we're reverting back to 1950s aircraft performance, then this may be an acceptable trade.  I would argue that nobody would willingly "time travel" back to the 1950s, as it relates to aircraft power plant performance, unless the "competitive advantage" was greatly reduced per-flight-hour operating cost.  For a variety of reasons, Hydrogen fuel cells and superconducting electric motors make that a highly unlikely outcome.

Modern high-output gas turbines such as the Rolls-Royce T406 turboshaft engine installed in numerous V-22 Ospreys will serve as an example of how far we've come since the early gas turbines of the 1950s.  T406's takeoff power is 4,586kW and it weighs 440kg (at 10.4kW/kg), so 880kg and 9,172kW (close enough to the 10MW airliner example you asked about) of takeoff power for both engines.  An equivalent pair of electric motors only weighs 367kg at 25kW/kg- a spectacular mass reduction over the T406.  However, our 5kW/kg PEMFC is a hefty 1,834.4kg, so 2,201kg is our final power plant mass.  At 40kW/kg, our electric motors now weigh 229kg, which reduces our total power plant mass to 2,064kg.  This is still a major fundamental technology problem.  We cannot double the power plant mass of a V-22 without severely cutting into its payload-to-distance capability.  Internal fuel capacity between the variants ranges between 1,450 gallons and 2,025 gallons, and 1,184kg equates to 384 gallons of jet fuel.  T406 thermal efficiency at cruise is only around 32%, however, so an 8kW/kg SOFC, with thermal-to-electrical efficiency of up to 85%, might make that trade worthwhile, with the understanding that as vehicle dry mass increases, so does cost.  Each V-22 costs about as much as the F-35 stealth fighter, which is why production ended.

Hydrogen is much lighter than Jet-A, but we're also carrying far less of it unless we dramatically increase the internal volume of the V-22, which is not practical to do.  Even moving the engines inboard and using pairs of generators and flight motors to eliminate the mass of the cross-connect shafting and gearboxes doesn't really solve our total installed power plant mass problem, because the weight of a gas-turbine-to-generator-to-motor setup still doubles total power plant mass with 40kW/kg electric motors.  This is why featherweight electric motors don't really solve any existing modern aircraft design problems.  The electric motor mass is not the primary design problem and hasn't been for at least a decade now, since the widespread adoption of axial flux PMSMs.  The issue is solely related to the mass of whatever generates the electricity, which is either a gas turbine with an attached generator, a fuel cell, or electro-chemical batteries.  None of those setups have total lower installed mass than gas turbines alone, but this is what matters for practical electrically-powered flight applications.  The only correct answer is to dramatically reduce the mass of the fuel cell or batteries.

To illustrate how acute the electric power generation vs power delivery problem is:
880kg - 229kg (pair of 40kW/kg motors) = 651kg
9,172,000 / 651 = 14,089W/kg

14kW/kg would be the required power density of whatever provides the electricity, when combined with 40kW/kg electric motors, for equal mass when compared with hydrocarbon fueled gas turbine power delivery solutions.  All the claims about "the future" and all the tantrums thrown by our "green energy" advocates over our use of gas turbines as the preferred power delivery solutions for commercial and military aircraft will never make electric aircraft a practical solution to any aviation problem beyond infrequently used very short range personal aircraft.  Personal aircraft are owner-operator aircraft taken out every weekend or two for what amounts to minimal currency training.  No kind of "working aircraft", which generates 90%+ of all aviation-related CO2 emissions, will ever be powered by something that roughly doubles the total installed power plant mass over present day gas turbine engines.

Anyone who thinks they can arbitrarily "hang" an extra 500kg worth of fuel cell off each engine nacelle, simply because we can burn less fuel when consumed by a more efficient fuel cell, doesn't know a thing about aircraft design.  The wing doesn't magically become any stronger than it already is.  CG changes won't improve stability in flight.  The pivoting nacelles could be replaced with pivoting rotor heads and electric motors only, as in the new Bell V-280.  However, that design uses similarly light yet powerful (10kW/kg) gas turbine engines.  The V-22's fuel is stored in its wings and in sponson tanks located on either side of the fuselage.  The "wing" of the V-22 had to be specially designed to make it much stronger than either a conventional aircraft wing or "stub wings" that large attack and transport helicopters use to both carry heavy ordnance and "unload" their main rotor during high speed forward flight, specifically to deal with the weight of the T406 engines, which rotate between horizontal and vertical positions, cross-connect shafting and gearboxes, in addition to the massive torques generated by its helicopter-length rotor blades.  Doubling the mass hanging off the tip of each wing is a non-starter.  Maybe we can make the wing stronger for the same weight maybe we can make the massive engine pivot bearings even stronger without increasing airframe weight too much, but I doubt it.  Every moving part of a V-22 operates perilously close to clearly defined materials limits- engines, shafting, gearboxes, rotors, and major airframe structures like the wing box.  If you exceed the specified operating hours between maintenance cycles on a V-22, something you can usually get away with on a conventional transport helicopter like a Blackhawk or Chinook, a V-22 stands a better than average chance of literally "falling out of the sky" when one or more of its highly stressed power plant and/or airframe parts fails catastrophically.  If the maintenance manual says, "replace this shaft after 2,000 flight hours", that's exactly what it means, no exceptions, no waivers, no additional service life margin remaining.  The Marines learned that the hard way, more than once.

If not directly behind the electric motors in the nacelles that previously housed the gas turbines, someone tell me where exactly we can fit roughly 1.223m^3 (at ~8kW/L) worth of SOFCs inside this thing:
eyJidWNrZXQiOiJjb250ZW50Lmhzd3N0YXRpYy5jb20iLCJrZXkiOiJnaWZcL29zcHJleS01LmpwZyIsImVkaXRzIjp7InJlc2l6ZSI6eyJ3aWR0aCI6MjI3fX19

A locomotive might be able to carry fuel cells in the quantity your calculations may reveal are needed.

A locomotive could readily be adapted to carry a fuel cell that burns low-Sulfur diesel fuel.  The fuel cell would be much lighter and more compact than a locomotive's diesel engine for equivalent electrical power output and requires no electric generator, so this application would benefit from a fuel cell installation.  Virtually all trains already burn diesel fuel and use electric traction motors.  Using superconducting motors would add quite a bit of pointless cost and complexity for a minor improvement in energy efficiency, but a diesel-burning SOFC is already significantly more efficient than the most diesel engine and electric generator combination, so why bother?

There are plenty of ways to reduce conductor mass and volume in an electric motor:
Radical electric motor runs without metal coils

Electric Motor Engineering - From nanomaterials to the new generation of electric motors

Carbon Nanotubes as an Alternative to Copper Wires in Electrical Machines: A Review

Enhanced Copper-Carbon Nanotube Hybrid Conductors with Titanium Adhesion Layer

#77 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Electric flight » 2025-07-02 15:54:54

I predict that this technology goes nowhere, if applied to aviation, until such time as 15kW/kg fuel cells become reality- roughly double the highest fuel cell gravimetric power density figure achieved to date.  However, a 40kW/kg electric motor would be a major improvement for ship and power plant operators.  I wish these MSN propaganda articles would quit indulging the "green fantasies" of their readers and instead focus on solvable problems that newer or more refined technology like this superconducting electric motor could realistically solve.

If I was an investor, I would demand to see a working prototype of a 15kW/kg fuel cell or electro-chemical battery cell before giving money to anyone purporting to develop superconducting electric motors for aviation.  I would tell them that if they change their target market to ship and power plant operators, cease and desist with all claims that they're doing anything remotely useful for aviation, and sell the product on the basis of its absolute efficiency and improved transportability by truck or rail, then doing all of those things would cause me to take them seriously as people who were working towards a practical design goal by creating a more efficient motor design solution to an existing real world problem that plagues all ships and power plants.  The issue is that they're not doing those things.  They're either knowingly or ignorantly asserting that their motor design will somehow become the enabler for electric aviation that it never will be, absent a 15kW/kg fuel cell, which combined with 40kW/kg electric motors, would then produce equal output for equal mass, when compared with a modern 10kW/kg gas turbine engine.

It's a little disheartening that so much time and effort is wasted on pointless pursuits when there's so much good that would be done by catering to markets where a new motor technology, all by itself, actually can "turn a page" on ship and power plant efficiency.  I guess they don't do that because they don't want to compete with the likes of Siemens and General Electric, but those are the exact two marine and power plant solutions providers which should be taken down a peg or two if they fail to innovate by bringing new technologies to bear on markets that are screaming out for major changes that have a significant impact on fuel economy.

Sharrow upended the propeller market with a markedly more efficient propeller design for boats and ships that minimizes cavitation.  20% to 30% power reduction to achieve a given rpm, especially at high speeds where fuel consumption becomes considerable, is nothing to sneeze at.

Speed-of-Air Pistons created pistons that deliver 20% to 30% more power at a given engine rpm by optimizing air-fuel mixing prior to ignition.  The result is that the engine can be throttled back by that amount for better fuel economy at the same output level, and emissions are dramatically reduced due to more complete combustion across the entire rpm range.

NASA's 3D SOFC, at 8kW/kg and up to 85% efficiency, is a serious contender for continuous power generation for ships and commercial electric power plants that burn natural gas, kerosene, or diesel fuels, provided that they have low Sulfur content to avoid damage to the cells.

Hinetics could be a serious contender for compact / lightweight marine propulsion systems and frequency stabilizers for electric grids that no longer rely on massive chunks of steam-powered spinning metal.  Spain and Portugal recently had their "come to Jesus" moment on grid stability using photovoltaics and wind turbines.  What they did should have theoretically worked, but it didn't work in the real world.  The monetary cost of that very brief event was measured in billions of dollars, to say nothing of the human cost in terms of lives lost.

Whatever its other faults may be, Bloom Energy actually sells real world commercial SOFCs to companies to generate their own onsite electric power using a natural gas line.  Their fuel cells, which are not the same as the ones NASA developed, are about 52% efficient at converting natural gas into electricity, which is still well above the average efficiency of simple cycle gas turbines intended to handle variable load from things like server farms and cities.  When you need 300MW+ gas turbines that power entire cities, then you might see an efficiency figure like that from a gas turbine while it's running at full output.  Unfortunately, thermal efficiency takes a nosedive at reduced load, because that's the nature of continuous combustion engines.  Their product is expensive at $4/W of output, but even with maintenance costs a company using their tech still saves about $100K per 200kW unit per year in total delivered energy cost vs purchasing power from a city running a gas turbine.  Breakeven point is about 8.6 years, but companies running server farms are going to need electricity to run them forever.  People shipping cargo by sea are going to run their cargo ships between ports until Star Trek teleporters become real.  Military ships are going to patrol the sea lanes until real world starships make ocean conveyance an anachronism.  Since neither of those things are likely to happen in humanity's near future, fundamentally more efficient tech is still better, but only when you get to market with a practical product that real customers can afford to pay for.

That is how I view superconducting electric motors- a measurable and practical improvement for marine propulsion and power plants, but still firmly in the realm of fantasy for aviation.  If we implement superconducting electric motors in ships, then the impetus exists to continue to refine them, so perhaps one day when fuel cell power-to-weight doubles, they can then be applied to aircraft as well.  Until that day arrives, we need to quit entertaining nonsense propositions that ignore the inconvenient parts of technological reality related to power generation, and perhaps devote a lot more money to fuel cells, which can be and frequently are measurably more efficient than the alternatives.

#78 Re: Not So Free Chat » Cancel SLS Question in early 2025 » 2025-06-29 14:17:34

NASA Space Flight YouTube Channel:
World's Largest SRB Fails During Testing

Apparently, Starship is not the only giant moon rocket experiencing failures right now.  3 years ago, these new boosters were projected to cost $290M per copy.  Adjusting for inflation, they now cost over $300M per copy.

Raptor engines presently cost $200K per copy, so each Starship carries $7.8M worth of Raptor engines aboard, which likely represent the single greatest cost center for Starship Super Heavy, apart from the vehicle fabrication, launch facilities, and support personnel.  All 10 Starship Super Heavy test flight failures therefore "liberated" (NSF's terminology for the explosion that destroyed the SRB's nozzle) $78M worth of engine hardware, ignoring the fact that one Starship Super Heavy booster was flown twice.

After the 10th test flight, SpaceX will have flown 390 Raptor engines.  All of those engines combined do not equal one third of the cost of a single SLS SRB.  All of the booster engines seem to function successfully now, and the booster represents at least half of the cost of an entire Starship Super Heavy vehicle.

Since all test flights involving both Starship Super Heavy and SLS have ultimately resulted in destruction of the launch vehicle, we can readily evaluate which flight test program has been both drastically cheaper and faster to achieve from cocktail napkin sketch to flying hardware.  If we spend a long time in development, spend a lot of money with well-established aerospace engineering firms, and conduct very few tests, we get catastrophic failures.  If we constantly test to destruction until we resolve all problems and only spend a small fraction of the amount of money we send to the established rocket engineering companies, we still get catastrophic failures.  Either way, our "flight test experience" seems to be about the same.  The only measurable differences seem to involve time and money, which are both things that don't get replaced.  After the money is spent, it's gone for good, and time has never once been replaced, to my knowledge.

The moral of the story seems to be that gigantic rocket development is not easy, likely never will be, Murphy's Law (anything that can happen, will eventually happen) applies with full force at all times, and people get way too fixated on test program failures, rather than treating them as learning opportunities.

I would rather we discover all the potential problems (all the failure modes that will eventually happen) during a protracted test program where we're routinely firing off entire launch vehicles on orbital flight trajectories, tweaking the bits and pieces that inevitably fail, and gaining real world flight test experience during that process, rather than learning very little from conducting very few tests, successful or not.

#79 Re: Planetary transportation » Airplane for Mars » 2025-06-25 15:09:15

tahanson43206,

What I'm looking for is the flow rate of mass (molecules of air) that are available for a flying machine ( a helicopter to be specific) if we consider the pressure of the atmosphere at the location of the machine and the area swept by the machine.

Generating lift in a bulk fluid is a matter of generating a pressure gradient through relative motion of a lifting device moving through that fluid.  The fluid's density, viscosity, compressibility, the shape of the lifting device, angle-of-attack relative to the oncoming flow, and its relative velocity all affect the magnitude of the generated pressure gradients.  For any reasonably well-designed lifting device, velocity has an outsized effect on the lifting force being generated.

Asking someone to "just throw out a number" for a given fluid density, without specifying all of those parameters, is simply not possible, because the magnitude of the lifting force depends on all of them.  If we further bound the answer to this question by specifying that the lifting device only works when the fluid flows over or through it at subsonic velocities, then we're more constrained in what our answer will be.  However, there are in fact examples of wings that, at least at reduced velocities relative to much faster cruise flight, will generate substantially more lift than prototypical airfoil shapes (slats, fowler flaps, flaps on the top of the wing rather than only hinged to the trailing edge to enable lift generation at much higher AoA before significant flow separation occurs, vortex generators, blown lifting surfaces, and shape morphing surfaces that use aeroelastic materials):

Wing_lift_flaps.png

Wings that will ordinarily only achieve Cl between 1 and 2 in cruise flight can use those various aforementioned lift-enhancing devices to increase Cl to as much as 4 or even 5 without a corresponding increase in Cd.

#80 Re: Planetary transportation » Airplane for Mars » 2025-06-24 10:09:42

tahanson43206,

Magic notwithstanding, airfoils are used to create pressure differentials in real world aircraft and engines.  The compressor and expansion stages of a gas turbine immediately come to mind.  The mass flow rate for this theoretical device is going to correlate back to air density (the pressure differential), inlet area, volume, local speed of sound, and compressibility effects, which differ for CO2 vs "air".  Gravity, at least over the range of acceleration rates for planetary bodies such as Mars and Earth, doesn't really have much effect here.

Google is your friend:

Q: How fast does air fill a vacuum?

A: Air rushes into a vacuum at a speed related to the speed of sound, approximately 343 meters per second (767 mph) at 20°C. However, the actual time it takes to fill a vacuum depends on the size of the space and the pressure difference. In a small volume, like a 1cm³ cube, the air would fill the space in microseconds.

How fast does air fill a vacuum? If on atmospheric pressure at sea level there is a imaginary vacuum sphere and then the sphere suddenly disappears, how fast will air fill that space?

This response from Physics Professor (since 1977) Jess H. Brewer, to a similar question, is even more in-line with your question about this magical device:
What would happen if a sphere of air 2 meters in diameter were to somehow disappear, roughly instantly creating a perfect vacuum?

Atmospheric pressure is 101 kPa (p=1.01×105 kg⋅m−1⋅s−2) and the density of air is about ρ=1.225 kg/m3. The volume of a 2 m sphere is V=33.5 m3, so the work done to push the air out of such a volume would be W=pV=3.385×10^6J. About the same as required to lift a 34.5 metric ton block 10 m high. Now, whatever is at the center of that initially empty space is going to receive roughly that amount of energy in the form of a pressure front moving in at the speed of sound. It probably wouldn’t be as bad as having a 34.5 metric ton block dropped on you from 10 m, but I suspect the difference would be academic.

If two identical volumes or air where suddenly superimposed, the outcome would depend entirely on how instantaneous the superposition was. If it were absolutely instantaneous, some of the nuclei (probably not many, but it wouldn’t take many) would overlap, causing at least fission and (if really absolutely instantaneous) some quark-gluon plasma generation. In that case the explosion due to the overpressure would be the least of your worries.

Fortunately this is just a fantasy scenario.

Note how no mention of gravity is made in the response, because this is mostly about the effects of a pressure differential.

#81 Re: Single Stage To Orbit » SSTO Engine Technology » 2025-06-24 09:45:32

Dr Clark,

How would you go about building an engine nozzle capable of changing its shape in 3 dimensions to match that 1D theoretically ideal expansion vs altitude graph, even now that we have lightweight materials able to withstand exhaust heat without regenerative cooling?

This is because the engine designer also wants good performance in vacuum, so they select some intermediate expansion value.

To the extent feasible, I would imagine that engine designers bias the nozzle expansion ratio toward the lower bound of the altitude range where the engine spends most of its firing time.  If you spend far less time below 30,000ft than you do above 30,000ft, then it makes a lot more sense to optimize the nozzle's expansion ratio for 1/3rd of sea level pressure, however much you can get away with before significant flow separation occurs at sea level.

#82 Re: Planetary transportation » Airplane for Mars » 2025-06-24 08:51:16

tahanson43206,

This post is about the hypothesis that the lift available on Mars (or any planet with an atmosphere) is knowable.

Atmospheric density is knowable, therefore atmospheric buoyancy for something like an airship to rise off the surface is also knowable.  The aerodynamic lifting force generated by a wing (a conventional fixed wing, a helicopter's main rotor blade, or an aircraft propeller) is not readily knowable because the Coefficient-of-lift (Cl) and Coefficient-of-drag (Cd) are empirically determined values which are produced through the use of wind tunnels and numerical integration done by CFD programs.  More to the point, Clmax, which is the maximum lifting force any particular wing design can generate before it stalls, is not simply and easily "knowable" without a modern CFD program using appropriate codes and backed by empirical testing.  This applies to Earth as well as Mars.

As the presentation from Dr Raymer indicates, at Mars Sea Level, the amount of lifting force that an appropriate airfoil can generate, relative to the same airfoil at Earth Sea Level, is approxiamately 23.13X LESS.  Mars local Mach 1 is 240m/s or 788fps.  You're not going to drag a wing / rotor blade / aircraft propeller through the Martian "air" as fast as you can at Earth Sea Level as a result.

My thesis in a nutshell is that the maximum lift obtainable in any atmosphere is a function of the mass that can be obtained from the atmosphere in a given area, such as a square meter.

Lift Coefficient | Glenn Research Center | NASA

The lift coefficient is determined by dividing the lift force by the dynamic pressure of the airflow multiplied by the reference area of the lifting body, such as a wing. This coefficient is a dimensionless value that allows for comparison of lift-generating capabilities of different objects, regardless of their size or speed.
...
Dynamic pressure (q) is calculated using the air density (ρ) and the velocity (V) of the airflow: q = 0.5 * ρ * V^2.
...
The lift coefficient (Cl) is then calculated using the formula: Cl = L / (qS)

That quaint explanation may make it seem as if there's a simple equation for determining Cl and Clmax.  However, that is very misleading.  There isn't one single simple value for an actual real world wing shape moving through a real fluid.  For a 2D shape, you can express Cl using an equation which provides Cl for a given air density, velocity, and angle-of-attack.  For a 3D wing shape, which is the only kind of "shape" that real world wings come in, the only way you can arrive at the Cl for the wing as a whole is to integrate, and the easiest way to do that is to use an appropriate CFD program and a wind tunnel.  Notice the word "and" between the words "CFD program" and "wind tunnel".  You need both.  I'll let GW explain why you need both.

GW is going to reply with a very similar answer if you ask him the right question.  He's going to tell you about the basics and the theory first, because most people don't even know that much, which means they have no basis for greater understanding until he teaches people the fundamentals.

#83 Re: Planetary transportation » Airplane for Mars » 2025-06-24 03:17:39

This topic comes up again and again...

The ultimate answer is that it's possible to create a practical crewed aircraft on Mars, but far from easy.

The Raymer Manned Mars Airplane: A Conceptual Design and Feasibility Study

Concept Aircraft Presentation Slide Deck:
AIAA Aerospace Sciences Meeting, January 2021

A large collection of beautifully rendered concept artwork showcasing the Raymer Manned Mars Plane Concept:
The Raymer Manned Mars Plane (RMMP)

My personal opinion on this matter is that we require the strongest composites money can buy, an energy-dense monopropellant, such as Hydrazine, fed through a gas turbine to maximize energy extraction while minimizing engine / propellant / propellant tank mass, and a multi-wing design to prevent the wings from becoming impractically large to transport to Mars or mandating risky VTOL maneuvers.  My variation on his original concept uses 6 foldable / stowable wings instead of 1 giant wing, similar to dragonfly wings, in order to transport the aircraft to Mars.

Dr Raymer's concept plane has a wingspan of 105.136m, tip-to-tip, which is longer than a football field.  Simply put, that's an impractically large wing which is driving airframe mass, at 848.8kg.  If we had 6 stowable wings, then each wing is about 17.523m long, and therefore fits inside the payload bay of a Starship.  This should also result in iighter / stiffer wings that don't weigh as much.  His design used IM7 fiber, but I think we need T1200 fiber, which is roughly 50% stronger and about as stiff.  These are still very long wings, each one about 4.725m longer those of the Perlan II high altitude glider.  However, fabricating such wings is not outlandish since Perlan II's total wing length is 25.55m and I believe it was fabricated as a single piece design.

His design used 8X CO/O2 rockets for vertical takeoff and landing, plus 2X horizontally mounted rockets for acceleration to flying speed.  I think that's a kluge, which is what I think about all VTOL aircraft that are not helicopters.  Stall speed for his concept was 115 knots.  C-130 approach speed is 130 knots and landing speed is around 110 knots.  C-130s are proven capable of performing rough field landings, and their minimum rotation speed is around 97 knots.  Most of the time you're going to rotate closer to 110 knots when fully loaded.  Therefore, a 120kt to 130kt rotation speed is not outlandish.  Takeoff and landing at that speed is fine, provided you have very large / low-pressure tires that can roll over large rocks.

His design uses 500Wh/kg Lithium-ion batteries, which we actually have now (yay!), but even future projected battery technologies are pitiful when compared to Hydrazine's gravimetric energy density.

500Wh/kg Lithium-ion batteries: 1.8MJ/kg
1,000Wh/kg Lithium-O2 batteries: 3.6MJ/kg
CO combustion with O2: 10.1MJ/kg
Hydrazine decomposition over a catalyst: 19.5MJ/kg

HAN or AF-M315E monopropellant is considerably denser than Hydrazine, with much lower toxicity and no concern over it freezing in the tank.

Dr Raymer's design requires 200hp, provided by 4X 50hp electric motors, 2 inboard and 2 outboard, presumably with 2-bladed props for maximum efficiency.  Motors are fantastic when it comes to power-to-weight, better than anything except a rocket engine, but their battery power source is pathetic.

Space Shuttle Hydrazine-fueled APUs weighed about 40kg each, less gearbox, and produced 135hp. RCC vs superalloy components would reduce mass by a factor of about 4, so only 10kg per APU.  At 80,000rpm, the gearbox would need to provide a 110:1 reduction to swing a 4m diameter prop, since local Mach 1 is only 788fps.  Max prop rpm is therefore ~725rpm.  The Shuttle APUs could generate up to 150hp for short periods of time.  Regardless, fuel flow was 3lbs/min, so 810lbs for 4.5hrs, meaning less than the battery mass for the same 4.5hrs of flight.  Deleting the electric motors, power conditioning equipment, photovoltaics, rocket engines, and CO/O2 propellants and tanks will save quite a bit of mass.  HAN provides a healthy energy density increase over Hydrazine, plus 45% less volume than Hydrazine for the same total energy storage.  This is starting to look doable with a more or less "conventional" design.  95 gallons of Hydrazine buys us 4.5 hours of flight time.  Since we deleted so much mass elsewhere, all the rest of our components can become smaller and lighter- a virtuous circle.

#84 Re: Not So Free Chat » China Starts Cutting Edge Space Science Projects » 2025-06-22 17:44:13

tahanson43206,

It says right in this "newsy" article that this supposedly "new" Chinese OS was a derivative of HarmonyOS.  HarmonyOS was a fork of the Android 10 software.  They haven't created anything new.  They took a piece of western-sourced software and built a fork of the software (Harmony OS), and then created a deterministic / reduced functionality fork of Harmony OS.  Recompiling a version of Harmony OS to work on another chip architecture, that are also derivatives of western-designed chips, is nothing new, either.

The new OS is reported to be superior to the Western open source software used previously.

Their derivative OS is superior to what competitive product, under what circumstances, and in what ways?

FreeRTOS is considered to be a minimally functional RTOS, despite widespread adoption.  If that's the basis of their comparison, then it's not much of a comparison.

#85 Re: Meta New Mars » kbd512 Postings » 2025-06-20 13:50:24

tahanson43206,

I will generally agree with your premise that it shouldn't take weeks to discover the cause of an explosion within a rocket sitting on the test stand with no engines running, provided that Starship 36 had sufficient instrumentation attached to it for testing purposes.  Something capable of instantly releasing tremendous energy, which at least did not superficially appear to involve combustion, occurred while the rocket was loading propellants.  The force generated was sufficient to split the entire upper hull open like a busted pinata.  Since this same failure mode has happened before to other launch vehicles, a COPV rupture is the most probable explanation.

Space Shuttles, Falcon 9s, and now Starships have all suffered casualties as a result of COPV ruptures.  Once the COPV ruptures and throws high velocity tank fragments through paper thin propellant tanks, it's only a matter of moments before those highly volatile cryogenic fuels like LCH4 or LH2 find an ignition source and rapidly combust.

If it seems like we experience these failures more frequently than other space programs do, that might be because we fly more often than anyone else does, except for the Russians, who don't typically use COPVs in their launch vehicles.  I've no idea how many other launch vehicles use COPVs, but this same sort of failure happened to Falcon 9s when frozen LOX became trapped between the CFRP overwrap and the tank liner, causing the COPV to explode and destroy those vehicles.

#86 Re: Meta New Mars » kbd512 Postings » 2025-06-20 13:09:59

tahanson43206,

Essentially, this "very very black" hull coating will cause thermal heating of the satellite or vehicle it's applied to.  At the same time, there will also be enhanced re-radiation of photons in the thermal vs visible spectrum.  If the energy imparted by a photon impact isn't reflected off into space, then it's absorbed.  All that energy has to go somewhere, meaning it won't simply "disappear".  This implies that said photonic energy is absorbed by whatever matter it strikes, which further implies thermal heating of said matter (hull of the spacecraft in this case).  It will then be re-radiated by the spacecraft hull, back into space.  The reason thermal runaway does not occur from the absorbed photons is that there is also re-radiation of the energy from the absorbed photons, in the form of outgoing photons, until a thermal equilibrium is achieved.  In that regard, it's less of a "photon trap" than it is a method by which to "convert" photons from one energy level to another, after that energy is absorbed and re-radiated by atoms to maintain a given energy level / state.  UV spectrum photons, in turn, are more energetic than visible spectrum photons.  X-ray spectrum photons are more energetic than UV rays, and Gamma rays are more energetic than X-rays.

Q (posed to Google AI): Are visible spectrum photons more energetic than thermal spectrum photons?

A: Yes, visible spectrum photons are generally more energetic than thermal spectrum photons. Photons in the visible light range (which includes the colors we see) have higher frequencies and therefore higher energies compared to photons in the infrared (IR) range, which is part of the thermal spectrum, according to physics resources.

Q (me asking and answering your question): What is this "Vantablack" coating actually doing?

A: It's "down-converting" the energy of the photons.

A real life application of photon down-conversion to generate energy:

In solar cell technology, downconversion or downshifting refers to using materials that convert high-energy UV or visible light into lower-energy infrared light that can be used by solar panels. This process aims to increase solar cell efficiency by using a wider portion of the solar spectrum.

Is what that Vantablack coating actually doing any clearer to you now, or did I still do a bad job of explaining this?

#87 Re: Human missions » Starship is Go... » 2025-06-20 11:28:07

GW,

If getting accurate reports on a giant moon rocket that blew up on live television here in America is more difficult than it ought to be, imagine how difficult it might be to get accurate reports on far more complex geopolitical topics.

Most of the video you're watching, whether on TV or online, is actually slow-motion footage of what happened, which is why there appears to be a brief delay between the initial and primary / major explosion.  The clip on Scott Manley's YouTube channel that came directly from the NASA Space Flight TV channel shows the explosion in real time at least once, and that happened in almost the blink of an eye.

Start watching this video from Scott Manley at the 1:05 (one minute, five seconds into the video) time marker:
SpaceX's Latest Starship Explodes During Ground Test

The two NSF Channel narrators are casually talking with each other about the particulars of the test, the screen goes white in less than a second, and then one of them screams, "Whoa!  Whoa!  What!?  No!".

You're correct when you state that this was NOT an engine failure.  No engines were running at the time of the explosion, because propellant was being loaded into Starship 36 (a V2 variant of Starship) on a test stand.  No Super Heavy booster or Raptor engine was involved in this explosion.

The source of the initial explosion was either the header tanks or the COPVs sitting right next to the header tanks inside the Starship, which Scott Manley has detailed footage of, later on in the same video I linked to above.  Whatever initially "let go" inside of Starship 36 was powerful enough to open up the top half of the vehicle like an empty beer can, followed almost immediately by an explosion of the LOX and LCH4 in the primary propellant tanks.  Those troublesome COPVs are under something like 400 to 500 bars of pressure, so I'm thinking that was sufficient overpressure, most likely accompanied by COPV shrapnel, to rupture the propellant tanks inside Starship and ignite the LOX/LCH4 vapors.

#88 Re: Not So Free Chat » Politics » 2025-06-20 09:46:37

Let's consider the obverse of RobertDyck's remarks and observations about the Russia-Ukraine War.

Russia, the nation, also ceases to exist if it's overrun by the Europeans and/or Chinese.  They, as in the majority of the Russian people, view what we've been doing in Europe as a thinly disguised threat to their sovereignty as a nation.  Pointing missiles at them from their doorstep will be viewed by Russia the same way America viewed the Russians putting ICBMs in Cuba.  Whether we view it that way, or not, is utterly irrelevant to how they choose to respond.  Basically, "the enemy gets a vote".  People who have actually served overseas in the American military instinctively know this.  That's how I "know this".  I don't need to read or listen to anyone else's talking points to know it, either.  I would just call a spade a spade, but that's silly old me.

As much as the Ukrainians don't consider allowing Russians to squat on their territory as an acceptable state of affairs, the Russians don't consider NATO nations encircling Russia to be an acceptable option for their nation, either.  You can believe that, not believe it, or anything in between, but that's how they view what NATO has done and is doing now.  I don't have to agree with their beliefs, nor any part of what they have done in the past or are doing now, to understand and accept that this is how they perceive NATO.

Let's assert that Ukraine somehow manages to completely wipe out the bulk of Russia's conventional military forces.

At that point, Russia can either:
A. Capitulate and unconditionally surrender to Ukrainian, American / European, and/or Chinese military forces
or...
B. Russia starts lobbing whatever remaining functional nukes they have at their enemies

If the Russians are as bad as you and RobertDyck claim they are, which option seems more plausible to you?

Maybe your read of Russian history is different from my own, but no part of what I've read about what they've done to their own people makes me think "Option A" is even a point worthy of their consideration.  I could be totally wrong and they might fold like a wet newspaper tomorrow morning, but I sincerely doubt that will ever happen.  The Russians are not the French.  They don't view the world the way you or I do, and they probably never will.  I, for my part, am not willing to bet the lives of tens of millions of Europeans or my fellow Americans on a fool's errand to take Moscow from those little commie bastards.

At this point, I would much rather we either:
A. Sent American troops into Ukraine to separate the Ukrainians from the Russians
or...
B. Stayed the hell out of Europe and let the Europeans decide what's what in Europe

I have a very strong preference for the latter option, seeing as how most Europeans tell Americans how dumb we are and how wrong we are about everything.  That sounds a lot like another group of people we have here in America, who also cannot manage their own affairs without the adult supervision they're incapable of providing for themselves.  I prefer to leave the ungrateful to their own devices.  My response to the Europeans is that them fighting their own wars sounds great to me, so solve your own internal security problems and stop blaming America for your government's infantile behavior.  Our military power dynamic may be uneven because America spent the last human lifetime bankrupting itself as a global security guarantor, but everybody at the table is a big boy / big girl, so act like it.  Every American President from Bush Jr onward has politely asked the Europeans to start handling their own security affairs.  Even President Trump has been far more diplomatic about it than I would've been.

If someone can and will articulate to the American people, regardless of personal political cost, why it's necessary to send American troops into Ukraine, then do it.  Anyone making this argument should either be sending their son or daughter, or volunteering themselves to go fight the Russians, if that's what it takes.  Until then, stop making false accusations and start attempting to come up with coherent arguments about why continuing to pour billions of dollars into Ukraine is in America's national security interests.  RobertDyck touched on the sunk cost fallacy.  Collectively, America and the European Union have poured about a half trillion dollars into Ukraine, but the war hasn't ended.  The Russians haven't given up their territorial expansion ambitions.  I really wish they would go back to Russia, but as Tommy Norris said to the drug cartel dude who kidnapped him in Landman, "Wish in one hand, shit in the other, see which one fills up first."  If anyone thinks that's likely to occur in the near future, I think they're delusional.  Someone with a bit of introspection might reflect on this point.

Am I suitably amazed and even pleased with what the Ukrainians were able to achieve?

Yes.  Absolutely.

Do I think they have a prayer of actually winning a war with Russia without foreign troops?

No.  None.

That means America or the European Union is going to intervene militarily on their behalf, or ultimately Ukraine is going to lose, however long and brutal that process has to be.  That will happen, and for the reasons I stated.  The inevitable conclusion of WWII should've been an obvious foregone conclusion for all involved parties, yet somehow their unchecked emotions overrode their ability to count or apply basic logic and reasoning to their course of action.  That's why so many people died.  If you care at all for the Ukrainian people, then stop using your heart and start using your head.

I'm not telling you that Ukraine's military capitulation is a foregone conclusion.  I'm telling you the only realistic way that the Russians will be ejected from Ukrainian territory.  We have a hard decision to make with real consequences.  Many lives will be lost, regardless of how we choose to handle this.  We can either pay now or pay later, but pay we will because there's no other option on offer.  This is facts over feelings speaking here.  Ukraine simply doesn't have enough people, or enough weapons, possibly not even the right kinds of weapons, to win a protracted war of attrition with a much larger country which has access to a much deeper pool of raw materials, manufacturing capacity, and human labor resources to draw from.

As far as what the Russians actually did to the Ukrainian people, it's evil and I've already plainly stated that more than once.  Your emotions over what the Russians did won't change what will ultimately happen to the Ukrainian people one iota.  Giving them a false sense of security was profoundly wrong.  There was one and only one opportunity to prevent this pointless slaughter of Ukrainians and Russians.  That would have been for President Biden to put American troops between the Ukrainians and Russians, after articulating to the American people why it was necessary to do so.  It was very simple to do, but never done, because it would've been politically unpopular.  Many wise and correct but wildly unpopular decisions are destructive to political careers, but that comes with the job description of "Leader of the Free World".  President Biden blew that opportunity completely, because whomever was actually leading America (since I know it was never him) was incompetent to lead.  Americans would've protested sending American troops to Ukraine, the Europeans would've protested, and the Russians would've protested.  At the end of the day, the correct decision would've been made, which would've resulted in no war, or a very brief and very one-sided slaughter, same as what happened to the Iraqi Army in 1991.

#89 Re: Not So Free Chat » Politics » 2025-06-20 04:33:53

GW,

I think you may actually be the one in the echo chamber.

The Democrats lost on all accounts- House, Senate, Presidency, popular vote, and Electoral College.  Republicans not winning the popular vote has been a favorite Democrat talking point over the last decade or so.  Your attempt to move the goal post is very predictable, but still falls flat.

And what it means is that there is no wide mandate for all the MAGA nonsense being imposed on the rest of us.

By that metric, there was never a mandate for all the nonsense imposed on us by the Democrats, either.

Off the top of my head:
1. Creating a pathogen in a Chinese lab, spreading knowingly false lies about COVID's origins and vaccines, lockdowns and resultant economic destruction
2. Allowing biological men pretending to be women into women's bathrooms, locker rooms, and sports
3. Spending hundreds of billions of dollars on "green energy", that ultimately produced a lot of nothing
4. Blatant racism against white and Asian people in hiring practices, recently overturned by SCOTUS in a 9-0 decision
5. Attempts at de-facto firearms bans which were repeatedly struck down by SCOTUS
6. Using the FBI, IRS, CIA, and NSA against political opponents using political smears as "evidence"
7. Attempts to convict a President of a crime where no codified law was ever broken, nor injured party
8. Abandoning our allies in Afghanistan to the Taliban, in order to start the next pointless war in Ukraine
9. Defending anti-semitic violence perpetrated on Jewish students in our universities
10. Purposefully lying to the American people about the mental faculties of President Biden

Democrats never had a mandate from anyone to do any of that idiotic nonsense.  If they ever thought they did, I hope President Trump being elected to a second term in office by the majority of the electorate disabused them of that notion.

And the country seems headed down the very same road taken by Germany in the 1930's with its would-be dictator who quickly became one.  Fact.

That's your personal opinion, stated as if it was a fact, but you've lost objectivity so you cannot tell the difference.

I honestly see no difference in the behavior of ICE and the behavior of Hitler's Gestapo.  Opinion.

Do you make any distinction between arrests of organized foreign criminal gang members and drug cartel members, who claim to be members of said organization, and "ordinary" illegals?

Do you remember "Maryland man"?

That narrative was Democrat media knowingly falsely portraying a foreign criminal gang member as a local family man who just happened to be an illegal, after he'd already told our federal agents exactly who and what he was, because he didn't think it would have any effect on where he ended up.  He was wrong, and so were all the Democrats who were lied to by their own media.  They were convinced that little cretin was some kind of saint who was unjustly targeted because he was an immigrant.  He was a human trafficker, someone who was involved with selling children and young women into sexual slavery, who beat his wife so badly that she called the Police asking for a restraining order, before figuring out that they felt no obligation to protect her from her abuser.  That's the kind of filth our Democrats and their propagandists carry water for.  I never was the least bit confused over who / what he was.  Democrat media is just repulsive filth.  That's all.

US Immigration and Customs Enforcement Administrative Arrest Statistics

When more than 10 times as many arrests were being made between 2020 and 2024, under President Biden's administration, because his ICE appointees weren't actually removing said criminals from our country or incarcerating them, is your assertion that all those arrests were completely above board because President Biden was in office, but now that we're actually getting rid of real criminals under President Trump, and we require fewer and fewer arrests as a result, you think that's indicative of Gestapo-like malfeasance?

Anybody equipped with a pair of functional eyeballs can look at those real facts and figures provided by ICE, but I don't think you ever have.

I understand why the agents want to wear masks and no ID badges.  They know they are doing evil,  and they fear for the safety of their families because of what they are doing.  Opinion,  but likely true.

How many interactions have you ever had with multinational gang members and drug cartel members?

I'll bet that number is zero.

That and the rest of the MAGA nonsense is exactly why some 11 million rose up in loud public protest a few days ago.  Fact.  Most of it was quite peaceful,  despite the ballyhooing of the very few violent events.  Fact.  (Reporting bad news makes more profit --  fact).

Speaking of nobody being entitled to their own facts, you, sir, are not entitled to call a riot a "loud public protest", nor any kind of a protest, when there are literally thousands of pictures and videos of people dancing on burning cars in the streets that don't even belong to the government they're supposedly protesting against, throwing Molotov cocktails at the Police and assaulting them, looting stores, and preventing hundreds of thousands of people from getting to work.  Words have meanings, so let's start honoring the meaning and intent of the words.

A protest is a public demonstration expressing disapproval of something, often advocating for change through peaceful means. A riot, on the other hand, is a form of civil unrest characterized by violence, destruction of property, and a disturbance of the public peace. While protests can sometimes escalate into riots, the key distinction lies in the use of violence and the intent behind the gathering.

That is a real fact, not my opinion.

Just another unsurprisingly typical image of the aftermath of your fellow leftist's riots, falsely labeled as "mostly peaceful protests" by yourself and your fellow leftists:
l-protests.webp

Nothing says "proud to be an American" like burning someone else's car in the street, looting, and waving Mexican flags:
99169725-14792969-image-a-1_1749452204154.jpg

More "mostly peaceful" arson:
060725-ICE-Protests-Day-2-JW-CM-21.jpg

Mostly destroyed Police vehicles that the tax payers get to dig into their pockets to replace:
060825_ICE-Protest-DTLA_JWBH_CM_18.jpg

Just look at how peacefully that building is burning to the ground:
AP25161589525170.jpg

Those Waymo cars must really be threatening to your fellow leftists:
image.jpg

Oh, look, they even respect law enforcement:
Z3SJCVDW3NPOTCAGZ5SFBBAXB4.jpg?auth=a06eaad642ee88fc835d1d1018484c91d588d359b13f8ef46611274ad883e85f&width=1080&quality=80

Those are real "facts", captured in photos and on video tape, for the entire world to see.  I can and will keep posting more, endlessly if required, until you get the point.  Those are all images of R-I-O-T-S, taken over the past week, from places like Los Angeles, New York, and Chicago.  There's nothing peaceful about them.  I can tell you for a fact that I value the lives and property of leftists, which is why I never treat their communities the way they treat them- like trash.

And getting "flamed" for not being a right-wing extremist,  is why I so rarely ever visit this thread.  Fact.

What you are receiving here are images of all your "mostly violent riots", where there does in fact seem to be a rather unhealthy obsession, amongst those on the left, with actual "flaming" of the property of others.  Those images are not right-wing or left-wing in nature.  However, they are entirely the work product of real left-wing extremists.  You'll have to pardon me if it's a bit hard to hear the actual "protest" over the Police, Fire, and EMS sirens responding to all the looted stores, burnt cars and buildings, and broken or dead bodies those riots leave in their wake.

If you don't like America's immigration policies, then petition Congress to change the laws.  The Democrats have held the Presidency, Senate, and Congress during periods of time when all their fake whining and crying over our immigration laws took places, yet your Democrat politicians, who you voted for, quite clearly refused to simply change the law to say that anyone is allowed to come into the United States for any reason.

BTW, join the crowd, bubba.  My wife's sister has been patiently waiting her turn to immigrate while all these criminals bum rushed our border.  I stopped counting how much money we've paid to the US government and the Vietnamese government for paperwork processing fees and background checks, and how many years we've patiently waited our turn.  Oddly enough, she's already learned to speak English, she has a college degree- a science degree rather than a lesbian interpretive dance degree, she's been employed for her entire adult life, and she'll be waving an American flag, not a Vietnamese flag, if/when she finally enters our country- LEGALLY!

I'm married to a LEGAL first generation immigrant, who treats both her American citizenship and our flag as priceless personal treasure, worth any amount of sacrifice.  The only time I've ever seen her with a Vietnamese flag was to place one at the war memorial for her father and uncle, along with an American flag.

The only reason I did this time,  was to see what Rob had to say about Ukraine and Russia.  I thought he did a good job trying to relate it all,  rather factually.

I don't take any issue with him relaying his opinions about Ukraine and Russia.  He's entitled to express them like everyone else is.  The only issue I take is over all the half-court tennis games you guys like to play.

#90 Re: Meta New Mars » kbd512 Postings » 2025-06-19 20:20:31

tahanson43206,

Your point about nanotubes absorbing or re-radiating photons is something of a misunderstanding that most people have.  For example, ordinary Carbon Fiber, which is also typically "very black", can be truly excellent at absorbing and re-radiating heat into space, in the plane that the fibers run along.  In directions perpendicular to that plane, their radiative abilities are typically very pedestrian to quite poor.

This image is small, but notice how the Vertically-Aligned CNT fiber on the left affects radiative properties for the substrate vs the substrate on the right, which has fibers that are both vertically aligned as well as other fibers running parallel to the surface of the substrate:
1-s2.0-S0008622318301763-fx1.jpg

The CNT surface coating on the left is going to be a very good thermal conductor and emitter.  The one on the right, much less so.  That said, it's more about what specific thing you want to do with CNTs than it is about whether or not the material is capable.  CNT can either be an effective conductor or insulator, dependent upon how it's used.

#91 Re: Meta New Mars » kbd512 Postings » 2025-06-19 18:36:10

tahanson43206,

I was thinking truly superlative spacecraft radiator panels are the most obvious first application for the "blackest of black pigments".  Near-perfect black bodies are superb at both absorbing incoming radiation and re-radiation, though not necessarily at the same wavelength as the incoming photons.  I guess that's a roundabout way of saying that while black pigments readily absorb visible spectrum photons, they also tend to be really good at both absorbing and re-radiating infrared photons.  If said panel was held in shadow, then it would very efficiently radiate heat into space.  If the panel was exposed to sunlight, then that same black pigmentation property would work against you, unless you actually wanted it to absorb heat from the Sun.  Ordinarily, rejecting excess heat is the primary environmental control problem for a spacecraft, even in deep space far from a star or other warm planetary body.

I don't know how "ultimate black" pigments will help or hurt stealthiness because almost nothing in nature is black.  I would think that it would make visual observation exceptionally difficult at night, but that same optical property draws the eye during daylight hours.  Modern stealth aircraft significantly reduce their IR signatures by rejecting heat through fuel-air heat exchangers that use their fuel as a heat sink to absorb and concentrate heat from aerodynamic heating, onboard electronics, and the portion of the airframe surrounding the engine(s).  A very black pigment could make said heat exchangers more efficient at thermal power transfer into the fuel or incoming airstream.  Automotive radiators are painted black for this reason.  If we had "super black" radiators, then they'd be more efficient.

#92 Re: Not So Free Chat » Politics » 2025-06-19 16:28:20

GW,

You and RobertDyck want to live in an echo chamber where your personal beliefs, however much they diverge from observable reality, are only parroted back at you, rather than challenged.  You don't know how to merely consider the possibility that someone else can hold views that are different from your own, yet still "not wrong" by any broader definition than self-similarity.  The majority of the country repudiated those personal beliefs during the last election cycle, yet you seem very determined to avoid any self-reflection.  Everyone who voted for President Trump is either stupid, a nazi, a Russian sympathizer, or someone who has been duped by Russian propaganda.  Gotcha.  That's a very trite and convenient way to ignore all other possibilities.  It's yet another neat, simple, and wrong explanation.

#93 Re: Human missions » Starship is Go... » 2025-06-19 13:08:18

GW,

There was no booster underneath the Starship that exploded.  It was a Starship sitting on a test stand by itself, not the Super Heavy booster, loading propellant into its tanks.  The explosion appeared to start near the nose of the Starship where the header tanks are located, and it happened live on-air, on the NASA Space Flight channel.  If whatever you watched showed a booster stage underneath it, then that was AI-generated nonsense.

#94 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Light Absorbing Material Space Applications » 2025-06-19 12:59:09

tahanson43206,

These "sciency" articles from Yahoo seem an awful lot like thinly disguised adverts for companies and shameless self-promotion.

MIT creates blackest black that is darker than Vantablack

Yes, there are materials that are blacker than Vantablack. Specifically, MIT engineers developed a material made from carbon nanotubes that absorbs 99.995% of incoming light, making it about 10 times blacker than Vantablack, which absorbs 99.965%. This new material, also made from carbon nanotubes, is the result of research aimed at boosting electrical conductance in aluminum.

Our boys and girls at MIT didn't even care about the color of the material, because what they were really after was electrical conductivity.  The material's pigmentation was an afterthought.

The linked article warning us about the "dangers of megaconstellations", is really a self-interested Canadian astronomy professor who put a giant photo of her face in the article, rather than links to her research.  If I was PhD, I would want to be known as a competent researcher and teacher above all else.  Science is not a vanity project.  Whether or not someone knows what I look like, or not, is irrelevant to anything that I would actually care about.

#95 Re: Meta New Mars » kbd512 Postings » 2025-06-18 07:25:41

tahanson43206,

The M10 Booker was always a bad idea, one previously killed by the Army decades ago when it appeared in the form of the M8 Buford, which was arguably a better light tank that met more program targets, since the M8 was at least C-130 transportable, mounted the same 105mm main gun used by the earlier versions of our Abrams at that time, had excellent cross-country mobility on account of its light weight / low ground pressure, and could cross most bridges in Europe without damaging them.  The M10 is neither a weight-optimized light tank like the M551 Sheridan, which is what our airborne forces requested, nor does it mount a modern 120mm caliber gun more suitable for taking out the latest generation of main battle tanks.  The Sheridan's 152mm main gun was optimized for supporting infantry assaults by busting field fortifications and keeping heads down with highly effective HE shells, with a secondary capability to fire gun-launched ATGMs at enemy tanks.  In contrast, the M10 was never optimized for any specific target set that our airborne infantry wants to take out.  It's more expensive than the Abrams main battle tank, lacks both the 120mm-class main gun armament and heavy composite armor of an Abrams, and its HE shells are much smaller than they could be if it was optimized to fire 155mm caliber shells over short distances from a compact and light direct-fire howitzer type gun.

After seeing what our new 50mm Bushmaster chain gun can do to armored vehicles and drones, and watching Ukrainian Bradley IFVs smoke Russian T-72s using their far less powerful 25mm chain guns in Ukraine, merely by flanking the Russians to take shots at their weaker side and rear turret armor, my argument would be for a light semi-autonomous uncrewed mobile gun system, similar in concept to Russia's SPRUT 125mm anti-tank field gun.  SPRUT is nominally a towed variant of the T-72's main gun, but with its own onboard engine to move itself about the battlefield without a separate prime mover vehicle, except for long distance travel.  Our take on their idea would be even more mobile, so able to go most places infantry can go on account of its small size and low weight.  Our miniaturized version of Russia's self-mobile direct-fire anti-tank field gun concept would minimize its mass and physical size by not attaching a giant attention-getting vehicle to the gun.  We'd use the same tricycle wheel arrangement of the SPRUT with a small onboard engine providing running pace motive power.  If the gun can move itself at 10mph over rough terrain, basically as fast as a man can sprint, that's all we really need it to do.  The gun moves with the infantry, not ahead of them.  Short of a mountain top or house, such a small gun can go pretty much anywhere else that our soldiers can go, so they always have a medium caliber cannon nearby that can fire programmable airburst HE shells at field fortifications or helicopters and APFSDS at armored targets.

Russian SPRUT 125mm Self-Mobile Anti-Tank Gun
Sprut.gif

It's not a perfect solution, but a C-130 could easily carry multiple air-droppable guns onboard, something not remotely feasible with a light tank, which is far too heavy to parachute deploy.  The UH-60 can easily sling-load such a light gun as well.  Each self-mobile gun system would weigh 550-600kg.  That's about 50-100kg lighter than the old but still useful 1927 vintage 653kg 75mm M116 pack howitzers that were man-handled through mountains during WWII, and remain in service to this day.  The entire weapon would be 4.5-5m in length, with a width of about 1.5m across the outside of the main wheels.  A small tire would be locking collar-mated to the muzzle for transport.  Onboard ammo supply would be limited, no more than 20 rounds or so, but that's sufficient.  The gun would be operated in single shot mode, rather than fully automatic, to minimize stabilization weight.  Every soldier in an airborne unit would carry 3 to 5 additional rounds of ammo in their pack to feed their unit's cannon.  In the same way that WWII Wehrmacht units were organized around their machine gunner or light wheeled autocannon or pack howitzer, American units would be centered around their autocannon.

In our coming fight with the Chinese over Taiwan, we would "mix-and-match" units equipped with 30mm (a belt-fed version of the Apache's autocannon), 25mm (Bradley), 50mm (Bradley replacement), heavy machine guns or grenade launchers (normally used to equip jeep-like vehicles), and Javelin (anti-tank) or Stinger (anti-drone / helicopter) launchers.  Heck, we can probably make a version that mounts a few Peregrine missiles to pop any enemy fighters that venture too close.

M242 25mm Chain Gun
M242-2.png

XM913 50mm Chain Gun
Screen-Shot-2024-10-13-at-5-56-18-PM.png

Cannon Size Comparison
EsplgRNXIAAe1FT.jpg

Note:
The 35mm and 50mm chain guns are almost identical in size.  IIRC, the 35mm and 50mm caliber units only need to be " barrel swapped" to change calibers.  The 35mm cartridge's base diameter and overall length is the same size as the 50mm cartridge, merely "necked down" to 35mm.  The Germans use 35mm caliber for short range air defense, but we don't.  We prefer IR-guided missiles.

34 Round On-Gun Linkless Dual Feeder Example 35mm Oerlikon KDE Cannon
otr_gun_kda_p05.jpg

By trading absurdly conspicuous / expensive / fuel-thirsty vehicles, we'll save money on destroyed vehicles and fuel and destroyed ships that must supply the fuel and munitions.  Some weapons will inevitably be lost to enemy action, but we're about to fight another island-to-island campaign in closed terrain.  We don't need any more ponderous land vehicle units for the enemy to attrit.  We need more firepower that moves with and protects our infantry in close quarters.  Protection takes many forms.  One of the most underrated forms of protection is a reduced target signature and physical size, which is what this proposal would provide.  Any land that is not directly "taken" from the enemy by a man with a rifle in his hands is not something we actually control, and many of these places are simply too small to drag a critical mass of heavy mechanized units ashore to dominate the battlefield.  I've already been to some of these islands.  They're the size of postage stamps.  You can walk across them in an hour or two, and I have.  Even roaming around in a tank is akin to waving around a giant "Shoot Here!" sign.  The armored "thunder runs" to places like Baghdad were only possible due to the vast open spaces of Middle Eastern deserts.  We won't be fighting that kind of war.  WWII island hopping campaigns were all about bringing men and supplies ashore, using radios and offshore naval gunfire for heavy fire support, and traveling light and fast for shock effect.

#96 Re: Meta New Mars » kbd512 Postings » 2025-06-16 08:38:53

I watched a YouTube video last night on how the RB545 engine actually works:
HOTOL - Anatomy of a spaceplane engine

Apparently, HOTOL's RB545 engine would dump 1/2 to 2/3 of its entire LH2 load directly overboard (never combusted in any engine) after using it as a heat sink to help "almost liquefy" the incoming airstream to reduce the compression work required to supply atmospheric air to the engine for the first phase of the flight from takeoff to Mach 5 or so.  That aptly explains how a vehicle with an average Isp of over 700s needed so much LH2 onboard.

Using a rampressor, sCO2 gas turbine, and a heat sink, we can dramatically improve upon that without dumping any fuel overboard.

#97 Re: Meta New Mars » kbd512 Postings » 2025-06-15 23:14:30

Buran, Space Shuttle, HOTOL Size Comparison:
3-spaceplanesx.jpg

Gross Liftoff Mass; Orbiter Vehicle Mass; Max Payload Capability
Buran: 2,524,000kg; 75,000kg; 30,000kg (presumably 251km circular orbit)
Space Shuttle: 2,029,633kg; 78,000kg; 24,400kg (204km circular orbit) or 12,500kg (407km circular orbit)
HOTOL: 250,000kg; 50,000kg; 8,000kg (300km circular orbit)

HOTOL LH2 vs RP1 Mass and Volume Comparison for Equal Stored Energy
1. HOTOL had sufficient internal volume to store 995m^3 (70,495.75kg; 10,080,892.25MJ) of LH2 fuel, at most, ignoring the fact that some void space must be present to vent boil-off.
2. 10,080,892.25MJ / 43MJ/kg = 234,439.35kg (285.902m^3) of RP1
3. HOTOL also had up to 140m^3 (159,740kg) of LOX onboard, at most, which implies that 26,623.33kg (3,807,136.67MJ) of LH2 was consumed using pure rocket propulsion (presuming the typical 6:1 O/F ratio).  88,538.06kg of RP1 provides equivalent energy, which implies that 230,198.96kg (201.752m^3) of LOX (presuming the typical 2.6:1 O/F ratio for RP1 fueled engines) must be carried aboard an RP1 powered HOTOL variant for pure rocket propulsion.
4. That means total onboard propellant volume for a RP1 powered HOTOL equivalent is 487.654m^3, so 230,198.96kg LOX + 234,439.35kg RP1 = 464,638.31kg of total propellant mass.
5. The LOX/RP1 propellant mass is slightly more than double that of HOTOL's stated LOX/LH2 propellant load, but the total propellant volume in the vehicle is less than half of the LH2 volume alone.  The TWR of RP1 fueled engines is more than double that of LH2, so engine mass would be significantly reduced, which directly translates into greater payload mass since HOTOL is a SSTO.

The most obvious "better option" associated with choosing RP1 power is the ability to carry significantly more useful payload mass to orbit in a vehicle with the same internal volume as an equivalently-sized LH2 powered vehicle.

#98 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Rotating Detonation Engine » 2025-06-15 17:25:07

Theoretical total quantity of energy output available from 1m^3 of LH2 and RP1 fuel:
LH2 at 70.85kg/m^3 and 143MJ/kg: 10,131.55MJ/m^3
RP1 at 820kg/m^3 and 43MJ/kg: 35,260MJ/m^3

That means 235.632kg of RP1 (when combusted with 612.643kg of LOX) stores about as much energy as 70.85kg of LH2 (when combusted with 425.1kg of LOX), understanding that neither of the Oxidizer / Fuel ratios for LOX/LH2 (6:1) or LOX/RP1 (2.6:1) are precisely stoichiometric, even though both seem to produce the best combination Isp (propellant economy) and thrust (raw power to accelerate the vehicle) for each type of rocket engine.  It may also be the case that precisely stoichiometric O/F ratios start melting engine components due to excessive heating.  It's probably a combination of economy, power, reaction kinetics in chemical combustion, and material limits.

That also means 495.95kg (1.373m^3) of LOX/LH2 is about equal to 848.275kg (0.824m^3) of LOX/RP1.  This appears to be a very clear point of advantage in favor of LH2, until we recall that we also get approximately half as much thrust per unit of engine mass by using LH2 and require significantly more total propellant tank volume for equal Total Impulse, at which point it looks more like a great way to increase the vehicle's volume and thus dry mass.

To make Total Impulse / energy output completely equal, we need 3.48X greater fuel tank volume for the LH2, so 246.558kg of LH2 (35,260MJ / 10,131.55MJ) = ~3.48m^3 and 3.48 * 70.85kg of LH2 = 246.558kg.  That means 246.558 * 6 (O/F Ratio for LH2) = 1,479.348kg.  The LOX/RP1 equivalent is 2,952kg, so 820kg * 2.6 (O/F ratio for RP1) = 2,132kg.  Therefore, 2.869m^3 of LOX/RP1 stores the same energy as 4.251m^3 of LOX/LH2.  If getting to orbit using a single stage was merely a matter of propellant mass, then case closed.  Hydrogen wins the argument handily.  If only it was that simple...

For any SSTO propellant tank, which accounts for the great majority of the vehicle's internal volume, the limiting factor on propellant tank mass and stiffness, in order to resist progressive deformation to structural failure, appears to be the propellant tank's internal pressurization load required to feed the propellant, rather than structural failure associated with the mass of the propellant itself when applied acceleration loads are factored in.  The very low density of LH2 requires significantly higher internal pressurization loads to force-feed very low density Hydrogen into the turbopump inlets.  The internal pressurization load is so great for LH2 that for vehicle acceleration loads up to 3g, propellant tank mass to support the propellant mass need not increase at all, even when it contains very dense LOX (1,141kg/m^3) vs LH2 (70.85kg/m^3) or RP1 (820kg/m^3).  Essentially, any propellant tank built to withstand LH2 internal pressurization loads is de-facto sufficiently strong and stiff to withstand acceleration loads applied while carrying LOX or any lighter propellant, such as RP1.

The real measurable difference is that any vehicle requiring 48% less internal volume will be both stronger and stiffer because it's made from materials with fixed / unchanging tensile strength and stiffness values, regardless of size.  Those two material properties don't change one iota as the vehicle's physical size increases, so the vehicle either has to become stronger and stiffer, which increases its dry mass fraction, or else it becomes weaker and less able to withstand repeated stresses, which is not tolerable past a certain point.  On top of that structural issue, a vehicle with 48% greater internal volume will also have more surface area, which must be covered with additional thermal protection materials if the vehicle is to be reusable.

Something has to give here.  If you insist on using LH2 because it provides a significant wet mass and Isp advantage, then you're designing a vehicle with meaningfully reduced structural margins by default.  This is what ultimately doomed Lockheed-Martin's VentureStar SSTO which was being developed to replace the Space Shuttle.  VentureStar's structural mass margins were so razor-thin that the LH2 tanks burst, cracked, or otherwise failed pressurization tests.  Reducing its propellant tank volume by 48% and doubling the engine thrust surely would've helped its viability as a fully and rapidly reusable SSTO Space Shuttle analog vehicle, but everyone was fixated on using LH2, so the project failed because Lockheed-Martin was unwilling to pay for fabricating additional copies of stronger yet heavier propellant tanks that would've blown their mass budget and resulted in a vehicle that failed to meet payload performance requirements.

A vehicle operator pays for the propellant and the vehicle, but the vehicle manufacturer pays for the materials and labor required to construct the vehicle.  If you can make the vehicle 48% smaller while providing the same payload performance, most of the time that's going to work in the favor of both the manufacturer and the operator.  To this day, despite all our technological advances related to handling cryogens, there are precisely zero airline transport services using LH2 to fuel their fleet of aircraft.  Many experiments with both LH2 and LCH4 fuels have been conducted by governments and airline transport services, but the value proposition was never there, and there's zero infrastructure to use these new fuels.  To this day, Hydrogen with energy-equivalence to a given mass of kerosene still costs more money than kerosene.  Until we can achieve cost parity, we may as well stick with cheaper and easier to use fuels.

For a SSTO, we should be fixating on vehicle dry mass, rather than vehicle wet mass, because that's dictating the vehicle's useful payload.  What' I'm hoping for is that air-breathing RDEs substantially reduce the onboard LOX mass fraction.  The energy density advantage of kerosene, and the smaller / lighter vehicle it allows for, will make up for its gravimetric energy density deficiency, when compared to LH2.

#99 Re: Meta New Mars » kbd512 Postings » 2025-06-15 02:50:05

For clarity, in the first illustration above you will see a different variant of the HOTOL vehicle with 995m^3 of tank volume allocated to LH2 (70,496kg at most), plus 114m^3 (130,074kg) of LOX tank capacity, and possibly up to 140m^3 of LOX, although the actual capacity of the aft LOX tank near the engine cluster is not provided.  LH2 fuel mass for HOTOL is listed as 48t, but there were multiple variants of the vehicle and I don't have definitive data to know which propellant capacities applied to which specific variant.  What ought to be readily apparent is how much internal vehicle volume LH2 fuel requires.

Engine Type Specific Impulse with Hydrogen vs Hydrocarbon Fuels:
IspvsM.jpg

University of Texas at Arlington - Aerodynamics Research Center - Pulsed Detonation Engines

PDE = Pulsed Detonation Engine (RDE is a type of PDE)

Presumably, what the chart actually means is that a RDE being fed atmospheric Oxygen can achieve that kind of Isp, because pure rocket propulsion Isp is shown at the bottom of the chart, and ranges between about 360s (RP1) and 470s (H2).  Detonation engines don't achieve substantially greater Isp (thrust generating efficiency) than conventional deflagration-based chemical rocket engines when all of the oxidizer and fuel must be carried onboard the vehicle.  I think the term applicable here is "Effective Isp".  When the atmosphere can be used as reaction mass and to provide the oxidizer consumed to generate thrust, the Effective Isp for turbojets, turbofans, and pulsed engines greatly exceeds that of pure rocket engines, to include PDEs / RDEs.

Anyway...

In my proposed SSTO vehicle design using vertical launch and pure rocket propulsion, propellant mass was 2,185,289kg to deliver about 100t to orbit.

SSTO Engine Technology Post #29

1,875.496m^3 of LOX/RP1 propellant was required.

SSTO Propellant Masses and Volumes for a STS Orbiter Equivalent Payload to Orbit:
LOX: 1,597,846kg (1,192.422m^3)
RP1: 587,443kg (683.074m^3)
Total: 2,185,289kg (1,875.496m^3)

Saturn V S-IC Stage Propellant Masses and Volumes:
LOX: 1,444,506kg (1,266m^3)
RP1: 647,800kg (790m^3)
Total: 2,092,306kg (2,056m^3)

This was intended to deliver the same total dry mass to orbit as the historical Space Shuttle, inclusive of its nominal max payload.  Effective Isp over the entire flight regime (sea level to orbit) was 90% of the RD-180's Vacuum Isp.  Engine mass was derived from Raptor 3's 200:1 engine TWR and from the requirement for a 1.5:1 vehicle TWR at ignition, in accordance with GW's admonishment to ensure that liftoff thrust is sufficient to get the vehicle "smartly moving downrange".  This was presumed to be feasible on the basis of Raptor 3's 200:1 TWR while burning LCH4 fuel, which is only about half as dense as RP1, and consequently requires larger and heavier turbopumps than a RP1 burning Raptor 3 thrust-equivalent.  Essentially, if a 200:1 engine TWR is achievable with LCH4, then it's also achievable with RP1.  If anything, the engine should get lighter and provide a higher TWR because the fuel pump requires less mass / volume / input shaft power to deliver the same flow volume to the combustion chamber.  There's nothing too outlandish about these assumptions.

When we talk about a pure rocket powered SSTO designed to deliver 500 passengers to orbit, we're discussing a vehicle with roughly double the Space Shuttle orbiter's total internal volume, on-par with the S-IC stage of the Saturn V, but using much lighter and stronger structural materials, modern thermal protection materials, and thrust equivalent to the 5X F-1 engines attached to the S-IC stage, albeit using much lighter / more powerful engines.  If we're able to substitute the onboard oxidizer mass and volume by using air-breathing engines up to normal booster burnout velocity, then our vehicle's total internal volume becomes more similar to that of the Space Shuttle orbiter or HOTOL design, and we can say with a fair degree of confidence that such a vehicle will be able to attain orbit and return to a runway on Earth, just as the Space Shuttle did.

Now back to the "big idea" behind using RDEs:

Thrust-equivalent RDE should require half as much input shaft power, thus much smaller / lighter pumps, and consequently, a bump in engine TWR from 200:1 to 400:1 ought to be possible using the same materials (high grade stainless steels and Nickel-Copper alloys.  RCC is only 2g/cm^3 vs 8g/cm^3 for stainless and Nickel-Copper alloys, so a 800:1 to 1,600:1 engine TWR becomes feasible.  Since NASA has already tested scale RDEs and RCC engine components (the combustion chamber and nozzle), I think the material and engine tech are "ready to apply", even though more development is still required.  RCC turbopump components were fabricated and tested for Project Timberwind, many moons ago.  It's not outlandish to think that all the major components can be fabricated from RCC and that regenerative cooling is largely optional.  We may still choose to extract heat from the combustion chamber and nozzle to reduce pumping power, not because the engine would melt if we did not.  At 800:1 TWR or higher, even when Saturn V thrust levels are demanded, engine mass becomes a minor fraction of total vehicle mass, so propellant tank mass and TPS mass will become the focus of development work.

All together now, we're using supersonic air compressors to extract atmospheric Oxygen and atmospheric Nitrogen to use as reaction mass, possibly driven by sCO2 gas turbines that transfer heat from the compressed air into the fuel, to force feed gobs of air and vaporized fuel into rotating detonation wave engines, so that our sea level to orbit propulsion system can generate the thrust required for a mass that a SSTO vehicle can tolerate.

#100 Re: Meta New Mars » kbd512 Postings » 2025-06-14 15:35:10

tahanson43206,

With respect to your question about RDE Isp, I think GW already explained how detonation vs deflagration delivers more thrust for the same propellant mass flow rate.

Expander cycle conventional deflagration-based chemical rocket engines use waste heat from the engine nozzle and combustion chamber to drive the pumps, up to output levels of about 300kN or so, which implies 600kN output levels for a RDE.  For RDEs with thrust levels much beyond 600kN, my assumption is that you still require turbopumps, but those pumps will only need to deliver half of the work output which would otherwise be required to feed propellant into conventional deflagration engines.

For a "main engine" using rotating detonation, my assumption is that the engine must still be pump-fed, but the shaft power consumed by the oxidizer and fuel pumps is approximately half that of a thrust-equivalent deflagration-based engine.  Let us assert that a particular deflagration-based rocket engine requires 10MW of shaft power.  The equivalent RDE should require about 5MW.  One would therefore expect that the pump mass for the RDE is about half that of the deflagration engine.  This assumption may not be 100%-true-to-reality accurate, but it will be a reasonably close approximation.

As far as air-breathing RDEs are concerned, I think Dresser-Rand's "rampressor" (supersonic ram-air compressor), which was originally designed to compress CO2 exhaust gas from coal-fired power plants for storage, can deliver compressed air to the engine with a supersonic inlet velocity.  Unlike a conventional gas turbine engine, there's no need to slow the incoming airstream to subsonic velocities before feeding it into the compressor stages of the gas turbine.  The rampressor uses a special inlet ramp geometry to permit shockwave-assisted gas compression, rather than massive wave drag, which is what you get when the tips of prototypical "fan blades" used by conventional gas turbine engine compressor stages approach or exceed the speed of sound.  Conventional blade-based compressor stages could deliver 2:1 CO2 compression ratio per stage.  The rampressor designed by Dresser-Rand delivered 10:1 compression per stage, with the ability to recuperate some of the waste heat to reduce the power required to drive the compressor.

The thrust that a rampressor based turbojet engine can deliver is roughly double that of a conventional turbojet.  Another way of saying that is a gas turbine engine using rampressor technology to feed air into the engine has double the thrust-to-weight ratio of a conventional blade-based subsonic air compression gas turbine engine, because it needs fewer compressor stages and is far more compact than a conventional turbojet engine as a result.

A "RamGen" Engine with Dual Supersonic Inlet and Dual Supersonic Expander Stages:
energies-15-09353-g037-550.jpg

The air going into the engine inlet is supersonic, combustion happens at supersonic velocities, and gas expansion happens at supersonic velocities.  This would destroy or severely damage a conventional turbojet engine.  However, the "rampressors" are deliberately designed to compress and expand supersonic air.  The supercomputer-designed inlet ramp geometry uses the "trapped" shockwave to actually assist with compressing the incoming air stream, which is how the test models achieved 10:1 to 12:1 compression per stage, vs the 2:1 compression achievable with "normal" fan blades.  A conventional turbojet or turbofan engine would use complex inlet geometry to trap the shockwaves from the supersonic flow and also slow the incoming flow to subsonic speeds, loosing kinetic energy and generating heating in the process.

The most advanced models of GE's GEn-9X turbofan (an advanced GE-90 derivative engine design) that power jets like the Boeing 787 use, IIRC, 14 stages of compression, and achieve an overall pressure ratio (OPR) of about 58:1 during certain phases of flight, with 42:1 at takeoff.  OPR is a figure of merit that describes the overall efficiency of a jet engine.  A 2 stage Rampressor achieves a 100:1 OPR.

In gas turbine engines, the overall pressure ratio (OPR) is a crucial parameter that significantly impacts engine performance, efficiency, and thrust output. It represents the ratio of the total pressure at the exit of the compressor to the total pressure at the inlet. A higher OPR generally leads to increased thermal efficiency, more thrust, and improved fuel consumption.

A Review of Shock Wave Compression Rotary Engine Projects, Investigations and Prospects

British Aerospace HOTOL:
large_smg00011247.jpg

hotol-cutaway.jpg

North American-Rockwell's STS orbiter delivered 12,500kg to a 400km (ISS-like) circular orbit.
BAE's HOTOL was intended to deliver 7,000kg to 8,000kg to a 300km circular orbit.

HOTOL would carry about 205,000kg of LOX/LH2 propellant, with the fuselage containing 48,000kg (677.488m^3) of LH2 and 157,000kg (137.599m^3) of LOX.  Isp was said to be about 700s overall, and around 2,000s at sea level when consuming atmospheric Oxygen to power the engines.  Total burn time to achieve orbit was to be about 730s.  HOTOL would transition to using pure rocket propulsion between Mach 5 and Mach 6, which correlates well with prototypical booster burnout velocity for a TSTO.

I envision a SSTO somewhat similar to BAE's HOTOL concept, meaning a HTHL vehicle that takes off and lands on a conventional runway, but powered by rampressors to do away with those large and heavy variable geometry inlets, ultimately force-feeding atmospheric Oxygen into RDEs.  Rather than including all the machinery to convert atmospheric air into a liquid, we instead use hot high pressure gas from the rampressors, and use some of the waste heat to convert RP1 into a vapor to feed into the RDEs.  RP1 was selected over LH2 to both reduce the volume of the vehicle for a given payload mass, and to avoid the complexities of handling LH2 on the ground.  The vehicle will be heavier as a result, but we can get more payload to orbit using higher thrust from RP1 and greatly reduced turbopump size / mass / volume.

This vehicle would use advanced materials for structure and thermal protection that simply did not exist when the HOTOL concept was being developed in the 1980s, along with and an advanced combined cycle propulsion system that uses RamGen and RDE engine tech that also did not exist.

The purpose of this vehicle, once again, is purely passenger transport to orbit to either a space station or awaiting interplanetary transport vehicle.  We already have Starship, New Glenn, and perhaps Vulcan to do the heavy lifting.  If we apply pure RDE power, meaning no air-breathing, and the same materials tech to a VTVL TSTO, it's still likely to deliver more payload for less money.  Even our miraculously powerful new engines and advanced materials cannot compensate for discarding 2/3rds of a vehicle's dry mass on its way to orbit.

Something similar to HOTOL will deliver 1t of payload per 31.25t of vehicle and propellant mass.  I'm sure we can improve on that using modern materials, but only to a point.  HOTOL would've used bleeding edge engine and materials tech when it was developed.  The only real night-and-day performance improvement is related to the engines.

Starship 3 will deliver 1t per 25t of vehicle and propellant mass with full reusability, or 1t per 12.5t to 16.7t fully expended.  No SSTO is ever going to compete with an expendable TSTO on payload performance, and it's pointless to try.  We are never going to beat basic flight physics, even if we manage to devise a SSTO that is only marginally worse than TSTO.

The only real "game changer" that might be possible in another 30 years or so is using fusion to superheat a monopropellant like LH2 or LCH4.  That kind of SSTO may make using TSTOs for heavy cargo delivery a thing of the past, but only because fusion rather than chemical energy supplies the heat input, and it will probably need to be aneutronic fusion to minimize shielding requirements, which implies He3, which implies lunar mining.  That makes fusion-powered SSTOs a far future technology that requires greenfield development work, and lots of it.

Until then, we really need to have mass-competitive air-breathing SSTOs for minimal risk passenger delivery to orbit, to allow airline transport services to take shape.  We'll continue to use advanced TSTOs for heavy cargo until something like aneutronic fusion heat engines (~7,000s of Isp with H2) makes chemically powered SSTOs and TSTOs superfluous.  On top of that, we really must have a propellantless launcher, either a rotary slingshot type machine or electromagnetic gun, for cost-effective delivery of bulk delivery of metals and liquids.

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