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#876 Re: Not So Free Chat » (US) Empire of the Solar System - The real vision is a military one ? » 2005-01-11 00:48:51

The current US healthcare system is incredibly inefficient, to the point where even a government program should be able to do better.  With government funded health care it would be necessary to raise taxes, but it should still result in a net savings for most people.

Should being the key word. After all the horror stories of Canadians aiting 3 weeks for a simple X-ray, I think most Americans are willing to pay more for health care that they'll get while their still alive.

That said, we probably have a much better infrastrudture built up. And if you take out the whole doctor/insurance company/supplier exec scam, costs will plummit.

But that leaves the research which is funded all that. New drugs don't just grow on trees (well, they might, but we don't know how to use it), so there would have to be so goverment contract to develope those things, with and extensive trial period were the companies sell it to recoup there losses, then it hits the public for free.

I think that an itemized deduction form everyones paycheck would make everyone happy. Then we could have weekly reminder of were our money goes.

#877 Re: Human missions » Long Duration Lunar Mission "Dry Run" - for Mars Direct » 2005-01-09 20:57:29

I wonder if it is possible to engineer a plant that will go dormant or use stored chemicals for two solid weeks without light or much heat, and then grow and replenish these stocks in the extra-bright Lunar day and (some) of its heat...

Why bother when we can use lamps?

#878 Re: Not So Free Chat » (US) Empire of the Solar System - The real vision is a military one ? » 2005-01-09 20:03:17

Social Security was designed from the beginning to work there were more people to pay into it than are recieving payment.

In the 1930's that was easy because because few were expected to live that long.

Thats no longer the case. The only solution I see now is an income limit. Those below it get there payment as ussual. Those above it get some other benefit, like being excempt for paying any for any kind of taxes.

#879 Re: Human missions » Scientists vs. Engineers - Why can't we get along? » 2005-01-09 19:23:50

The scientists don't seem to realize that one of the main reasons why people want to learn about space is that so people can eventually live there.

What person would want to leave the earth to live in space?  Oh yeah, everyone would instantly trade the earth to spend out their lives trapped in a container surrounded by incredible temperature swings, almost absolute zero in the shade and 400+ in direct sunlight.  Constantly bombarded with radiation and energetic particles.  Stale air.  Little privacy.  No nature.  The same old faces and people day after day, year after year.  Your best friend a computer screen that shows once familiar faces. 

I'll never understand that kind of thinking.

Thats not the goal at all. The goal is to recreate all the wonderful things on Earth someplace else, because they can not be infinately sustained here.

#880 Re: Not So Free Chat » (US) Empire of the Solar System - The real vision is a military one ? » 2005-01-08 21:39:13

Would you all rather have a Communist Chinese Empire of the Solar System?

Seriously, you could do a hell of a lot worst.

But by the time you can talk about interplanetary settlements as an empire, I'm sure that our govermental differences on Earth will be largely sorted out.

#881 Re: Human missions » Long Duration Lunar Mission "Dry Run" - for Mars Direct » 2005-01-08 20:21:38

Long term colonization of the solar system is depenant on the mining of heavy metals on the moon.

Why wait?

#882 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Just Cancel The Shuttle Program - Not in five years, do it right now. » 2005-01-08 20:11:39

The trouble is no work will be done on completing a new rocket design during the shuttles continued use and will need a 4 to 5 years to even if all money is promised for the working design. Raising the grand total to replacement of close to 10 years before first launch of a non man rated vehicle. That sounds just like the rest of the time line that was given in the presidential plan.

Odds are that the CEV will be launched on existing EELVs. Given the number of flights they've already had, man rating can't be all that difficult.

#883 Re: Not So Free Chat » Give Sistani the keys to Iraq; - and just come home! » 2005-01-05 21:01:51

The mullahs barely have a leg to stand on in there own country, and that leg is the army, and if they use it, the shiite will really hit the fan.

If we get the Iraqi army and burocracy trained, we can leave with the faith that the vast majority of the Iraqi "insurgents" have what they want, an Iraq free of foriegn occupiers.

The hard core terrorists will find that their funding, support and fighters will dry up, and the situation will be little different than, say, Turkey.

#884 Re: Human missions » 2005 budget year effects - How it will effect Nasa's Future » 2005-01-04 18:45:04

What are you people talking about? NASA got its biggest budget increase in years (5,6% or more than $800 million) and a new vision and you're still complaining? ???

We tend to think of it as constructive criticism.  :;):

#885 Re: Human missions » Long Duration Lunar Mission "Dry Run" - for Mars Direct » 2005-01-03 22:35:52

Creating a semi-self-sufficient environment, at least in terms of food production, air quality, and water recycling should be tested first on earth, then in orbit.

Couple that with varitable gravity research, and nuclear power system testing, thats more than enough to justify a Space Station Beta.

#886 Re: Human missions » ESA - Aurora Program » 2005-01-03 22:17:55

INteresting figures, but growth in Europe has been on a decreasing trend, you wold find that if you did the last ten years instead (94-04) Europe's, especially Germany's would have decreased, while the US, ans UKs increased.

The Trend continue as the rate of increased in the working age populations slows, until it declines.

It should be noted that the US will have the same problem as the Baby Boom generation retires.

#887 Re: Human missions » New Space Shuttle » 2005-01-03 22:02:22

Aren’t the F-119s used to power either the F-22 or F-35?

Point being, if it takes two to power each of those, its going to take a lot more than 4 to propel this monster.

I honestly can't see a need for "shuttle"-like craft for some time.

In the short term satellites can be launched relatively economically on rockets. In the medium to long term they'll be either be partially or fully assembled and launched from the moon.

Likewise, people in the short term can be cheaply launched via the CEV (assuming its a reusable capsule supporting 6-8 people). There’s also no reason a pair of CEVs can't be launched in tandem if the rocket can support it, and there’s a will at NASA to put all their eggs (and sperm big_smile ) in one basket.

In the long term, a passenger shuttle will be needed, but only when we need to send up 30+ people at once. At that point scramjets will probably make that realitively simple.

#888 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Just Cancel The Shuttle Program - Not in five years, do it right now. » 2005-01-01 18:35:01

Because, thats SEVEN launches within a probable one month time frame at most in order to get everything in orbit for the window to open for a trajectory to Mars.

Unless you want six separate pieces of ONE mission orbiting the Earth for months until you decided tro start connecting them.

Bottom line.  More launches.  More risks.  More costs.

I don't think its fesable to ripple fire everything on a direct line to Mars in a single window, at least without for than one launch pad. Your going to use up too much of your payload in transit propulsion.

Its better to launch larger pieces to LEO, and then send them all out at once on some sort of reuseable nuclear transit stage.

#889 Re: Human missions » Ordinary people...? » 2005-01-01 13:37:39

The only way to get a company in a free market economy to reduce cost of access to space is to increase flight volume. We need more frequent flights. How do you pay for a high flight frequency? More government programs will reduce the per flight cost somewhat, but not to the point it becomes affordable for average people. Many here are already complaining about the cost of worth of the International Space Station, so another such NASA project to increase flight rate would get even greater criticism. We need a hotel in LEO, asteroid mining, and other commercially profitable destinations.

That’s what I think were going to have to do to get any more than flag planting missions off the ground, mass production. Of rockets, of habs, ect.

I think what we need to do is get contractors and governments together to develop a "kit" consisting of the surface, orbital, and transit habs, surface operations equipment(rovers, mini-refineries, ect) and the transit craft with the LEO facilities to support it, and all the launchers to send it up. In other words, everything needed to send 12-18 people to the surface (be it Luna or Mars) and once there use local resources to build a permanent, self-sufficient base, and then swap out the crews every couple years (for a Mars mission anyways).

Now that first mission might cost $50b to develop, and another $50b to build and launch, but when the mission is accomplished, you've got a proven "system of systems" that can then be mass produced, with interchangeable parts that can operate from mission to mission and support one and other. And as more of these kits are built, construction methods will be refined and cost will go down because of both that, and simple volume. The first kit might cost $50b, but the third might cost $30b, the sixth $20b, and so on, until even the smaller countries of Europe might be able to swing it. To the point were a group of large companies could get together and buy one.

By that time hundreds of launchers, rovers, and habs will have been constructed, and the cost of each one individually will plummet, making missions outside of main effort, missions as mundane as simple communications satellite launch, very cheap. Relatively speaking.

#890 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Just Cancel The Shuttle Program - Not in five years, do it right now. » 2005-01-01 12:22:42

Yes GCN, I DO DISAGREE with NASA.

I'm in agreement with the guy who wrote "Lost In Space:The Rise and Fall of NASA"  that after Dr. Robert Zubrin presented Mars Direct to Nasa that NASA DELIEBERATELY set out to make the mission architecture far more complicated to avoid encouraging a manned Mars mission from becoming their primary mission.

I believe NASA officials are terrified of being ordered to undertake a manned Mars mission because it would probably be the end of the station and shuttle programs.

The Nasa staff is old.  They don't want to rock the bot just a few years before retirement.

GCN, your mission architecture makes alot of sense.

From the MARS end of it.

From the Earth, Kennedy Space Center end of it though. It makes NO sense whatsoever.

You're talking about, for a mars mission SEVEN thats SEVEN launches from Earth.  Thats SEVEN assemblies in the VAB.

Thats SEVEN trips by Hans or Franz to the launch pad.

SEvEN on pad fuelings, checkouts, countdowns, and launchings.

FOUR in space rendevous.

No way.

Three launches from KSC for each Mars mission.

Or none at all.

Thats the way it goes.

Why not?

At the height of the Shuttle program there were roughly 6 launches a year.

#891 Re: Not So Free Chat » 2004 MN4 » 2004-12-27 19:37:49

We could still capture it if is made of carbon

We could capture it no matter what its made of.

But we just lost any chance to fund such operation.

#892 Re: Not So Free Chat » 2004 MN4 » 2004-12-27 19:03:41

It would seem were out of the woods.

http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news148.html]Possibility of an Earth impact in 2029 Ruled out

Frankly, I'm disappointed.  :;):

#893 Re: Human missions » ESA - Aurora Program » 2004-12-21 17:14:45

Immigration is a whole nother problem that Europe will have to deal with. A lot of them don't come out of love for there new home.

Internal security costs will skyrocket.

#894 Re: Life support systems » Gourmet Cooking en route to Mars » 2004-12-20 23:19:16

I'm not sure I could go without some sort of fresh meat.

Theres got to be an animal that can provide a fair amount of meat without a huge amount of logistics.

Rabits maybe.

#895 Re: Human missions » Going to Mars To stay - How Much Mass To LEO » 2004-12-20 23:07:32

I think that "capital" should be measured by the things we no longer have to send. If they have some extra iron that they've shiffed out of the soil, and melt it down and decide they can mill out key components, such as the frame, out of next bulldozer due to be launched. That will save tons off the next launch leaving room for other stuff.

#896 Re: Human missions » We Should Not Plan For Permanent Presence on Mars - It Will hurt congressional approval » 2004-12-20 22:39:53

On one hand, I would expect Congress to balk at long term, open ended commitments.

On the other, the mass production required would really cut the price of individual units, making them feel like there getting there monies worth. Put it would be a great source of jobs.

#897 Re: Human missions » Going to Mars To stay - How Much Mass To LEO » 2004-12-20 22:26:33

The idea is that the combination of whatever we send will be able to produce bigger and better copies of them themselves out of local materials.

So basically once we send up a core kit of bus-sized single purpose plants, there first goal after production of maintainance and replacement parts will be reproduction. Granted some things won't be possible for a good long while, like a chip fab plant, stuff like that can be set in kit from earth.

#898 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » The Moon Treaty of 1979 - Turning Curse into a Blessing » 2004-12-20 21:10:13

What kind of an international body should have oversight over the Moon? And would that not be dangerous, considering the possibility of the Moon becoming the powerhouse of the far future, a single lunar wide city (like Coruscant in Star Wars) with billions of people, having a strategic position to launch every single country in our world.

If your thinking that far ahead, I must say that politically were headed towards a Star Trek like "Federation". Nations of Earth will eventually unite under a world goverment, and that will solve the territorial issues. Land and property ownership with operate exactly like it does now.

Hopefully we will spread across the cosmos as a species.

#899 Re: Human missions » Hubble Mistake **2** - Action still Needed » 2004-12-19 12:32:33

Would the astronomy community be happier if we had a Hubble 2 program in the works?

Its not like they don't still have piles of data from Hubble they haven't worked through yet. So even if there is a couple years between Hubbles death and Hubble 2s launch, there will still be things to do. If you ask me thats a fair trade when theres a new, far more advanced platform waiting in the wings.

#900 Re: Human missions » Going to Mars To stay - How Much Mass To LEO » 2004-12-19 00:41:58

How do we build a permanent base on Mars?

I didn't say that we could not get to Mars with the present technology we have today. But, I did say that we could not build a permanent colony on Mars with the present technology or infrastructure that we have in place right now.

Do you want me to quote my whole paper "Aluminum from Feldspar" that I presented at the Mars Society conference last August? I went through the chemical process to extract aluminum from Bytownite, a form a fledspar that MGS found to be 21-26% of average Mars surface. You can't extract aluminum from just any form of feldspar, it needs to have a high aluminum content or it doesn't work at all, but it does work with Anorthite or Bytownite. Since Mars has Bytownite, it works fine.

A byproduct of producing aluminum from bytownite is silica gel. Calcinate that to remove all water, then melt it and you have high purity silica. Add feldspar to form glass. Do you want me to get into more details to make fibreglass?

The iron minerals can be smelted to form steel, carbon introduced as carbon monoxide from Mars air.

You can also make portland cement for concrete or mortar. Bricks, all forms of plastic. I could give you step-by-step chemical processes to make every plastic except fluoropolymers from Mars resources. Fluoropolymers require fluorine; it does exist but we haven't found a concentrated deposit yet.

Remember I was the ISRU guy for the Mars Homestead project? I do know how to make construction materials from Mars resources.

The question is, just how much hardware do we need to make all that stuff in reasonable quanities?

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