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#26 Re: Life on Mars » On the Anthropic principle » 2003-05-10 16:44:46

I've heard about this before, fascinating topic. The strong anthropic principle argues that since a universe like ours (suitable for life) is extremely unlikely (because there is an indefinite number of alternatives) all these alternative universe actually exist...and of course we live in the one which allowed us to evolve in the first place.
However, I don't see how such a theory could ever be proven either right or wrong but it's fun to speculate.

#27 Re: Human missions » US & Russia Explore Mars together! - Calling for Manned Mission by 2014... » 2003-05-07 17:30:48

marsokhod5.gif

Marsokhod

Maybe O'Keefe has invited Russia to participate in the 2009 nuclear powered rover project. This thing will be really big and it will travel up to 100 kilometres on the surface. Cool!

All other Mars missions now on the drawing board at NASA (Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter in 2005, Mars Scout in 2007) are already too far along in their development as to allow for a useful russian contribution to the respective program.

#28 Re: Human missions » US & Russia Explore Mars together! - Calling for Manned Mission by 2014... » 2003-05-07 17:25:01

clark, I've finally managed to dig up some more info on this earlier Mars initiative:

"International collaboration on all Mars missions will be an important aspect of exploration in the next decade. Many space agencies around the world are considering participation in the planning stages of future missions, including those of Russia, Japan and many European countries. Scientists from the United States are consulting with international partners on the best ways to combine their efforts in Mars exploration. This may result in new proposals for cooperative missions in the first decade of the 21st century.

Among the ongoing programs taking shape is one called "Mars Together", a concept for the joint exploration of Mars by Russia and the United States. The program was initiated in the spring of 1994 and bore its first fruit in the summer of 1995. A Russian co-principal investigator and Russian hardware were incorporated into one experiment, the Pressure Modulator Infrared Radiometer, to be flown on NASA's Mars Surveyor 1998 orbiter. Vassili Moroz of the Russian Academy of Sciences Space Research Institute (IKI) in Moscow will co-lead the experiment with Dr. Daniel McCleese of NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory. The Russian institute will also provide the optical bench for the radiometer. In addition, IKI will furnish a complete science instrument, the LIDAR (Light Detection and Ranging) Atmospheric Sounder, for the 1998 Mars Surveyor lander. Dr. Sergei Pershin of IKI is the principal investigator.

Meanwhile, more extensive collaboration is under consideration for a 2001 mission. A joint U.S.-Russian Mars Together team has been formed to study a combined U.S.-Russian spacecraft launched by a Russian Molniya rocket. The exact configuration is still under study, but Russia expects to include a descent module containing a rover, called Marsokhod, in its portion of the payload.

NASA and the Russian Space Agency have agreed to start planning toward a potential sample return mission in the middle of the first decade of the 21st century. A joint science team has been charted to study this possibility."



Link  cool

#29 Re: Human missions » US & Russia Explore Mars together! - Calling for Manned Mission by 2014... » 2003-05-07 14:47:03

I'm still not convinced since I can't find anything about such a joint mission elsewhere on the net...

#30 Re: Human missions » US & Russia Explore Mars together! - Calling for Manned Mission by 2014... » 2003-05-06 18:17:31

There was once an agreement to work on a Mars probe between the two space agencies 10 years ago, but that was never completed due to a lack of funding.

Never heard about such an agreement but I'm interested. Can you give me a link?


The Russians are far more capable than you seem to be giving them credit for. Remember that right now, they are the only nation on Earth capable of safely sending and returning humans to space. They have a lot to offer besides nuclear fuel, even assuming that is what we wanted from them.

I'm fully aware of the russians' technological expertise and I admire them very much for it. It's just that they don't have any money to spend on fancy probes to Mars, they have even trouble making their government cough up enough money for Progress and Soyuz flights to the ISS. NASA wouldn't be able to get a single rocket off the ground with a budget as small as theirs...
As to the nuclear fuel: I read that  here.

#31 Re: Human missions » US & Russia Explore Mars together! - Calling for Manned Mission by 2014... » 2003-05-06 12:54:38

Again, I think the author who originally reported this got it all wrong. I can't believe NASA and the russians have secretely worked on a Mars probe for such a long time. I can see the russians working with NASA on Project Prometheus, for example supplying them with nuclear fuel but that's about it.

BTW: NASA has a very ambitious Mars exploration program on its own: I'm looking forward to the nuclear powered big rover they plan to send to Mars in 2009. Europe has stepped up is Mars exploration program as well: in 2009 the esa will launch the ExoMars Mission and a sample return mission is slated for 2011 (NASA has postponed such a mission until 2015 at the earliest).

#32 Re: Human missions » US & Russia Explore Mars together! - Calling for Manned Mission by 2014... » 2003-05-05 15:09:47

I'm highly skeptical. There is no confirmation from NASA yet and the russians are always short on money. How are they going to pay for it? And the author of this article seems to be ill informed:

"Despite the deadlock, O'Keefe and Koptev discussed a project for a US-Russian space probe, said a top Russian space official who is working on the launch of a European space probe due to be sent up on June 2 on a Russian rocket [Mars Express].

"Russian and US specialists began working on the Martian project 10 years ago," Vasily Moroz from the Russian Space Research Institute told the ITAR-TASS news agency.

The two sides had considered the possibility of sending a US space probe equipped with a Russian descent module and launched with a Russian booster rocket, but financial issues had stalled work on the project, he said."


I've *never* heard of such a mission before and it would not surprise me at all if the author of this piece (obviously a mainstream journalist) got the facts all messed up. Work on this program started ten years ago and we never heard of it until now? Please...And why use a russian booster for an unmanned Mars mission? Perhaps if it was a really *big* probe it would take an Energia HLV to launch it, but again: that's highly unlikely.

#34 Re: Not So Free Chat » Internet millionaires investing in space » 2003-04-27 07:32:36

Bezos in Space

Very interesting article from newsweek, check it out.

I think there is now a 'critical mass' of private space ventures. In the very near future (2-3 years) at least one of them will succeed, and that will kick off a new space race. It could even be like a new dot.com hype with investors pouring money into every newly founded space start-up company they can find.

#39 Re: Human missions » Economics of Buran » 2003-04-09 16:38:01

Sometimes I think it's a really sad thing that the soviet union isn't still there challenging America in space. They had great plans for Energia: a manned mission to Mars, a Moon base..

#40 Re: Human missions » NASA's RLV plans don't make any sense - Is it just me or...? » 2003-04-04 16:53:16

I have a question: NASA plans to start development of a Shuttle replacement (second generation RLV) sometime around 2010 so that it will be operational by 2020. Originally it was planned to begin development of such a vehicle in 2006 after years of technology development and paper studies (SLI) and to have it operational by 2012. Now they say the OSP will be developed first. SLI has largely been scrapped and what remains is now called the NGLT (Next Generation Launch Technology) program and it's becoming more and more of a joint NASA/DoD program. So far so good. Now my question: Contained within that NGLT program are so called "third generation RLV efforts" and NASA seems determined to have a HTHL scramjet spaceplane as its third generation RLV. There are plans to fly the X-43B in 2010. This craft will be the first one to be powered by a combined cycle engine and will pave the way, according to NASA, for a "Large-Scale Reusable Demonstrator Vehicle" (first flight in 2016) which will finally lead to an operational third generation RLV in 2025. Why then do we need a second generation RLV (probably a "conventional", i.e. rocket powered TSTO design) which would be operational just five years earlier? Surely NASA will not retire its second generation RLV, which will have cost billions to develop, after just five years of service to replace it with a new third generation RLV??? Keep in mind that the Shuttle ('first generation RLV') is currently planned to remain in service until 2022 (!) And where is the money for two multibillion dollar development programs (second and third generation RLV) going to come from???
NASA must develop a coherent longterm strategy for developing a Shuttle replacement within the next 15 years and stop making new plans (that don't make any sense) and revising the whole program again and again so that nothing gets ever build!

#41 Re: Not So Free Chat » Bill Gates To Lead New Private Mars Effort » 2003-04-01 15:43:25

Whahahahaha!!! I must admit I believed it for just over a second, how embarrassing. tongue

#42 Re: Human missions » Russia to revive MAKS! - NASA, look out! » 2003-03-26 11:12:48

Great news! The Duma Committe on Defence has urged President Putin to push for the development of a 'new' RLV: "...a system consisting of an orbital plane, which in Soviet times was under development at the Molniya research-and-production association under the direction of Academician Gleb Lozino-Lozinsky, and a carrier-aircraft. The An-124 and An-225 planes can serve as such carrier-aircraft. The system is capable of deploying a payload weighing up to 11 tonnes into orbit."

If Russia really can find the money to build this system then the US will lose its leading role in space for the foreseeable future. It is becoming increasingly clear that even the loss of the Space Shuttle Columbia was not enough to shake up congress and NASA management to make the right decisions (such as phasing out the Shuttles as soon as possible, before 2010, and building either a fully fledged Shuttle replacement or the OSP on an accelerated schedule). Instead, NASA apparently has not the slightest idea where they are going: Enhancing and Replacing NASA's Space Shuttle: Ideas? Yes. Funds? No.

If the so called experts have their way NASA will spend hundreds of millions of dollars on developing a Shuttle escape system (which will further decrease the Shuttle's payload capacity) and, to justify the expense, keep the Shuttles flying until 2022 (!). With luck we'll get the OSP by 2010 but the program is already widely criticized and I think there is a very real possibility that it will be cancelled when they have done half of the work (remember Shuttle II, NASP, X-33, SLI).
Russia on the other hand will have a modern innovative launch system which will be an order of magitude cheaper to operate than the Shuttle/OSP.

Go Russia!

#45 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Funding has been cut for NASA's BPPP! » 2003-02-20 15:00:07

"Progress on ?Gravity Shielding? hardware:  By invitation of the MSFC manager of this task, Marc Millis and Paul Raitano of GRC visited the Columbus, Ohio firm, Superconductor Components, Inc. (SCI) on September 4, 2002, to view SCI?s progress toward replicating the hardware of the heavily-publicized Podkletnov?s ?Gravity Shielding? claims.  This work is sponsored by a Phase-II SBIR through MSFC.  The specially configured large (12-inch) superconductor disks have now been successfully manufactured, and much of the supporting test hardware has been built.  During the Sept 4 tests, the disk successfully levitated and could be mechanically rotated at slow speeds. What still remains, is to replicate the means to rotate the disk at high RPM (10,000) and to pump in Radio Frequency (RF) energy into the disk.  A major unresolved issue is that there is no further support to complete the hardware and conduct the tests to finally verify or dismiss the anomalous force claims of Podkletnov.  MSFC is pursuing other funding options and also asked if GRC would be able to receive the hardware and complete the tests.  One further note, during a August 15 briefing by Millis to the NASA Chief Scientist, Dr. Shannon Lucid, Dr. Lucid stated that it would be disappointing if these provocative claims were never reliably resolved, and wished to be informed of the results."

#46 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Funding has been cut for NASA's BPPP! » 2003-02-20 14:50:08

From the Breakthrough Propulsion Physics Project's website:

In the Summer of 2002, both the Breakthrough Propulsion Physics Project and the Revolutionary Propulsion Research Project, that were part of ASTP's "Revolutionary Research Investment Area," were removed from the ASTP.   There is presently no funding available to continue the BPP Project.

It seems the decision was made sometime in january 2003. MSFC's efforts to reproduce Podkletnov's results (gravity-shielding) were funded through BPPP. Now that the funding has been cut we won't see any verfification or falsification for a long time and are left wondering if he was really on to something or not.
However, I read Podkletnov is continuing his research and perhaps Boeing and Lockheed have already begun their own research programs. There was a report in JDW last year hinting at such a possibility.
If I were a die hard conspiracy theorist I'd say the military has pressured NASA to abandon their reserach in this area since they don't want to see this out in the open yet. After all the team at MSFC came very close to actually testing the device they had built...

#47 Re: Human missions » OSP or air-launched vehicle? - Tell me what you think! » 2003-02-16 10:55:45

What do you think about NASA's plans for an orbital spaceplane launched on top of an EELV? After reading this analysis  by Markus Lindroos I think an air-launched vehicle would be a better idea.
Your input is appreciated.

maksln.jpg

#48 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » We need a new RLV - Moving beyond the shuttle » 2003-02-06 09:50:57

There will be no tower. They plan to connect the cable to an oceangoing platform (modified oil-rig).

#49 Re: Unmanned probes » NASA Set to Unveil 'Jupiter Tour' Mission - More good news » 2003-01-31 05:08:32

I think this is very good news. If the funding gets approved this will be a fantastic mission. If you're disappointed because there will be no manned mission to Mars in 2010 or an NTR development program maybe you should come back to reality.
You knew mainstream media hyped this LA Times interview and its only their fault and not O'Keefe's that expectations were so (unrealisticly) high.
I'm glad with what we've got: A multi-billion dollar effort to develop nuclear propulsion and power generation systems.

#50 Re: Unmanned probes » NASA Set to Unveil 'Jupiter Tour' Mission - More good news » 2003-01-30 17:10:32

When NASA rolls out its FY 2004 budget on Monday a large new planetary exploration mission will be revealed. The Bush Adminstration has signed off on a multi-billion-dollar-class mission dubbed "Jupiter Tour' - a mission which embodies a radical departure from the past four decades of planetary exploration.

Jupiter Tour would utilize a sophisticated spacecraft capable of multiple jumps from an orbit around one jovian moon to an orbit around another. Such a capability will allow close, detailed, and long-term studies to be made of many of the members of Jupiter's retinue of 40 (or more) moons.

The mission is slated for the 2009/2010 time frame and is expected to last more than a decade. Jupiter Tour will use an advanced nuclear-powered propulsion system developed under the umbrella of the newly-focused "Prometheus" program.

The cost of the program is projected to be at least $3 billion through Fiscal Year 2008.


From nasawatch/spaceref.com

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