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#451 Re: Not So Free Chat » Canadian politics » 2006-01-26 22:56:11

Why would traditional maritime law be thrown out the window just because a lot of ships happen to use a particular route?

If its within the 10 or so miles on the coast it Canadian Territorial waters. Lots of ships go up the Hudson River, but that doesn't make it international waters.

As long as those dirty Danes don't get Hans, right Robert? 8)

#452 Re: Not So Free Chat » Canadian politics » 2006-01-26 21:03:36

From what I've heard Harper is very pro-defense. Make human access to space a matter of national security, and you might get it.

Something I found amusing is Harpers insistance on sending military ice-breakers to claim artic waters. Now I know he was bashed during the campaign for being too friendly to Bush, but it seems silly to lash out so quickly  over a claim that isn't really threatened at the moment.

And watch yourselves with those WIDs.  wink

#453 Re: Life support systems » Echoes from the Mars Society GreenCELSSTaskFORCE » 2006-01-26 18:55:22

They want to till soil. Have these people never heard of hydroponics?

You can probably eliminate half your labor and complexity right there. Plus its easier to pull off in transit, allowing you to use much the same systems.

#454 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Beam weapons almost ready for battle. » 2006-01-26 18:15:31

City busting weapons without the long term side effects? Thats slightly disturbing.

I wonder why they haven't (at least publicly) developed a kind of deep penetrator kenetic energy weapons based from ICBMs. A MIRV ICBM could drop a many as 20 highly accurate KEWs at a much greater speed than anything dropped from an aircraft.

The only issue is people freak out when they see ICBMs go off. But targets are easy to quickly determine, an we can keep our KEWs at seperate facilities than our nukes.

#455 Re: Unmanned probes » Martian THOR - Proposed 2011 Impactor and Orbiter » 2006-01-26 17:42:07

"THOR" Mars Mission To Seek Underground Water

by Staff Writers
Tempe AZ (SPX) Jan 26, 2006
A new, low-cost mission concept to Mars would slam a projectile into the planet's surface in an attempt to look for subsurface water ice.

"I'm interested in exploring mid-latitude areas of Mars that look like they're made of snow and ice," Phil Christensen, the project's principal investigator, told SpaceDaily.com.

Christensen, of Arizona State University, and colleagues at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, are proposing a mission called THOR – for Tracing Habitability, Organics and Resources – as part of NASA's Mars Scout program.

Like last year's Deep Impact mission to comet Tempel 1, THOR aims to ram a projectile at high speed into the surface of Mars while a host spacecraft remains in orbit and observes the impact and its aftermath. If approved by NASA, the mission would launch in 2011.

Christensen said he originally had conceived of a mission to the Martian mid-latitudes, because "there are lots of gullies there that look like they are rice in ice, possibly even glaciers."

His idea was to attempt to land small probes in at least several locations to examine the surface, "but landing is difficult and expensive." After Deep Impact's success, however, "this light bulb went off. We could launch a projectile, dig a deep hole, and observe the ejected material."

Christensen estimates that a projectile of sufficient size could blow a crater at least 30 feet deep in the Martian subsurface. Along with ground water, the impact could excavate organic compounds. The mission will also look for methane in the atmosphere, which Earth-based telescopes and other Mars spacecraft already have detected.

THOR would comprise an impact projectile and an orbiting spacecraft. The projectile would aim for an impact site somewhere between 30° and 60° latitude, either north or south.

"In many areas of Mars' middle latitudes, we see tantalizing evidence of dust-covered layers of snow or ice," Christensen said. "THOR will aim for this material." The suspected ice-rich layers were deposited during the past 50,000 to 1 million years, as the Martian climate changed due to orbital variations.

Christensen said the mission should cost about $450 million, including the launch vehicle. He said NASA probably will receive about a dozen other Scout Mission proposals and should choose the winning designs sometime this summer.

"The THOR mission plans to use a straightforward, low-risk approach to reach the Martian subsurface," said JPL's David Spencer, study lead engineer for THOR. Spencer is the former mission manager for Deep Impact.

"With such a large target region on Mars, delivering THOR¹s impactor will be less challenging than the Deep Impact comet encounter," Spencer said.

This is a good opertunity to include some capability from the axed Telecommunications Orbiter. Also it'd be really cool to aim it within a safe observeable distance from the MSL so that it could take front row seat data from the impact and recovery, and sniff around ground zero.

#456 Re: Human missions » Nasa Shuttle, ISS Woes & To-Mars » 2006-01-26 17:29:22

I thought the CaLV tank was going to be significantly different anyway. Placing the payload on top is bound to change the internals significantly. Even though much of the same construction and handling equipment can likely be used.

In other news, the Russians, Japanese, and Europeans seem to see a bright future for the ISS.

ISS To Evolve Into International Space Port - Official

I for one would really like to see what they they can do with it. But I think its clear that the Shuttle can't do it all, and that needs to be made clear to them. We should work together to build something that can.

The "May" shuttle launch will be key. If the foam still flies, they might as well land at Reagan International and save themselves a flight.

#457 Re: Interplanetary transportation » J-2S vs RLX vs RS-68r+ » 2006-01-24 20:12:47

Getting a EDS-class rocket to do a couple dozen burns over the course of a year in space is far more usefull than one that can reenter.

#458 Re: Not So Free Chat » Froggy's » 2006-01-24 18:29:02

Duh... Obvious answer:
The French go on a holiday to Spain and...
wink

big_smile


but, only 10% froggies go abroad for hollydays  :cry:

Oh theres a joke there begging to be told.  lol

#459 Re: Not So Free Chat » Froggy's » 2006-01-23 18:38:05

That wouldn't have anything to do with some laws that drew the ire of the Vatican, would it?  wink

#460 Re: Human missions » Shuttle External Tank as Colonist Transport » 2006-01-22 00:05:23

The great thing about the CaLV is the maximum payload volume of 10m by 35m. Thats huge by any standard. If a rigid structure can be built to use every bit that can be and still stay within the 125ton to LEO lift, we'll finally have modules witht he combined volume to have a nearly self sustaining craft or base.

I'm still not completely sold on inflatables. The can't be used for aerobraking, so they seriously complicate a Mars transit craft. On the surface they'd be difficult to bury, which would be required for solar flares. They might work well in LEO, but the bigger they get the harder they are to fill with usefull stuff.

As for the ET, I'm not sure at what altitude its suppose to be jettisoned. With the Shuttle it was carried all but all the way up. The Shuttle-C format would be idle for this as a mid-range lifter, but the money isn't there. If it could be jettisoned and restarted once the second stage was clear, then it could be salvaged, though not without a payload penalty. They aren't of much use in orbit for all the reasons mentioned, but they can be of great use on the surface. These can be used as partially buried rover garages and workshops, or completely buried rigid structures to house any number of much smaller inflatable structures.

The biggest issue is getting them there. And it won't be easy to get something of that size down in one place either. Your going to need equal parts fuel and strategically placed retro rockets and RCC systems all added after launch. And your not going to want to risk bringing them all down next to each other either, so a meager mode of surface transportation is needed as well.

#461 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potlock I » 2006-01-21 21:53:49

I'd love to see this issue be solved through peaceful means. But I just don't think its going to happen. Diplomancy only works when both sides want the same thing. Japan wants to buy our beef, and we want to sell it. Only when both sides work together to bring down barriers will resolutions be found. Likewise with various Cold War arms reductions treaies, both side wanted to reduce the cost maintaining massive forces, and reduce the threat of war.

Iran wants at the very least unrestricted nuclear research, which leaves open the possibility for nuclear weapons and we'd never know it.. We, the EU-3, and the Russians have offered the compromise of providing the fuel and disposing of it form them, which would give them the power they want. The only safe conculsion we can come to is that they want more than electricity.

A repeat of the cold war with Iran is impossible. There is no such thing as MAD to prevent the Iranians from making a first strike. While Isreal has (in theory) its own nukes, it doesn't have the hundreds required to completely destroy Iran. Dozens would be requiered to disable just the Iranian miltary. And even then there is little point. It would take very few bombs to wipe out the vast majority of the Isreali population, and the rest would need to evacuate, or die, or be immediately overrun. The theorized "Samson Option" is little more than revenge attack against major Arab capitals. Iran could most likely shrug it off, happy to have finally slayed the Zionists no matter the cost. The rest of the world would not want to deal with the fallout, literally and figuratively, of a full scale Isreali counterattack.

The lines have already been draw. I don't think there is any question that Isreal will strike if Iran doesn't back down. And Iran knows that it can likely survive the worst Isreal can dish out, and they "know" have several dozen virgins waiting in paradise if they don't. The best outcome comes from us stepping in, because only we have the power to land cripling conventional blows.

The key is letting the UN process run its course so we can regain our offensive forces. That is why Bush let the European take the lead on this. That is why Iran is making its stand now. Any furthur delay over the next couple years and they will miss their chance.

#462 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potlock I » 2006-01-21 11:09:05

Correct it also has borders not only with Iraq but also Afghanistan and there would be a reguirement to provide sufficient forces on both sides to ensure that they would be secure.

As time goes by and Iraqi units come online US force will leave the population centers and move towards the Syrian and Iranian borders. Combined with air power, we'll have no trouble holding the line, even if Iran resorts to human wave attacks like they did in the 80's. Afganistan can not be invaded without a mechanized army because there in nothing in its western quarter. Again, something that easy for air power to thwart. There is really nothing for Iran in Afganistan anyway.

Yes but the elections where held and though it is vocal the opposition is in a minority, And generally the elections where not up to worlds standards they do not appear to have generated much discord amongst the populace. Also though there is a generally more progressive feeling in Iran that does not count towards a more pro western feeling just a trend to Iran feeling more confident in itself. And the hardline president of Iran, mr Ahmadinejad has by confronting the west actually increased his popularity in Iran. The Iranians do not like the western world and they certainly hate the USA most of all. It is impossible to control an occupied country when the majority of the population hate you, even a troublesome minority if large enough ensures defeat. Iran if it comes down to regime change must come from within.

I believe the previous parliment had a majority reformist make up, as they were able to pass many things that the hard line mullahs in the juduciary had to over turn. The current situation is most likely due to voter apathy. Its hard to be interested in an election when all the canidates are hand picked by the mullahs.

And 70% of the population was born after the revolution, and despite what the 2 minute hates you see on TV would lead you to believe, that 70% does not hate us. The hate the vice police that tell them what to and not to do all the time. They want better relations with the west. And while they do take pride in their nations ability to indipendantly produce their own nuclear fuel, I see nothing that would inicated they are willing to support a war against the west to prevent international inspections to make sure the technology isn't used for weapons.

The USA does have overwhelming firepower it just will not be allowed to act. Russia has major assets in Iran and China recieves about 50% of Irans oil this combination pretty much ensures that the USA would have to act alone.

The problem with imposing sanctions is that China and Russia will not let it pass at the UN. This is simply a matter of self interest. Russia has billions invested in invogorating the Iranian oil industry and China's economy relies on recieving 50% of the oil that Iran produces. We impose sanctions and as in Iraq not only will we be unable to stop smuggling, we will find that Iran will do the same and close to 33% of Irans oil goes to the west. That would be cut off and since the majority of the world has reached a peak of production then that means for the west increased oil prices.

If the EU-3 don't back down, then it would be a NATO operation, with or without the Russian or Chinese support. Neither have the will or power to stop us on an issue such as thisl The simple fact of the matter is if Iran doesn't back down this will end in bloodshed. The Isrealis will not stand idle. With that in mind the rest of the world has to consider how best to get the quickest and least bloody resolution. China and Russias interests are not served by war between Isreal and Iran. If it comes to blows they would support us to minimize any disruption.

To stop Iran's nuclear facilities will be a lot more difficult than those of Iraqs for a start unlike Iraq they have been spread out and hardened. EU negociators have always been concerned that unlike other countries Iran is actually able to mine its own Uranium. This in short means sanctions will be unlikely to stop a programme and negociated means have so far failed especially with Iran stating it wishes to produce electricity by nuclear means. To be able to do this it must have refined Uranium, what the problem is that theoretically they will be able to refine it to the stage it is bomb capable purity.

Ultimately it won't matter. Isreal will take its best shot, and whatever the outcome, Iran will strike back, most likely wildly, and the US will get involved, and then we will finish the facilities off.

Frances warning over Roque states nuclear plans

Less wriggle room intersting point you do recognise that this includes the UK which is currently in Iraq and Afghanistan and from whose bases the USA would need to attack Iran. Anyway when it comes down to it there is no way the UK which is overstretched could provide troops for an incursion into Iran and certainly Geramny which is constitutionally barred from foreign actions would not ever. In short only France could get involved but it does not have enough trust or public support for any such action especially with the french publics distrust of the USA.

The EU-3 is pushing this issue for a couple reasons. One is they are starving for relevence. Another is they are within range of Iranian IRBM. But perhapes most importantly, they realize after the French riots that they will lose their culture identitys if they fail to improve the situation in the Muslim world. The more it sucks there, the more people will come to Europe, and the more Europe will become Eurabia. This is a tenative first step for regime change in Iran. As Iraq improves, Britians troops will be freed up. The Basra area has always been calm anyway. German has troops in afganistan, and if its a NATO operation there is no reason to think they won't join in at least a supporting role.

#463 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potlock I » 2006-01-20 23:17:15

Iran can't be invaded and occupied like Iraq. Its several times the size with 3 times the population.

Like in Iraq, the biggest question is how connected the regime is to the day to day goverment operations. In Iraq it evaporated out from under us. Iran had before the most recent election a fairly robust opposition in its pariliment. They were powerless, but vocal. Its likely they'd be willing to fill in if they don't die first. We need to go straight to the people with various forms of electronic infromation warfare.

War is inevitable barring a sudden counter revolution. The navy and air force can tear Iranian armed forces to shreds, but they also have extremeist militias. If we are going to bring peace, were going to need to do a slow, methodical, house to house, town to town, city to city clearing and disarming campaign that denies outsiders reentry to clear areas, or at least the delievery of arms. Also we will need to secure, rebuild, fortify, and rearm on the fly. It will be a slow grinding affair, but if we are methodical we will always have overwhelming firepower to bear.

That said there is time. The whole UN charade will take at least a year. That will give us time to finish up in Iraq. Also interesting, the more indignant the EU-3 get, the less wiggle room they have to weasle out this time.

Also, apparently Syria has decided to side with Iran. They can be tied down easy enough so that they can not assist their Persian friends.

#465 Re: Unmanned probes » New Horizons - mission to Pluto and the Kupier belt » 2006-01-18 12:23:13

Launch put off again do to unexplained power outage.

Which is strange cause my power went of this morning too.

Though it was most likely unrelated. 8)

#467 Re: Not So Free Chat » What I Hate About The United States » 2006-01-17 20:18:00

That said, I also LOVE this country but HATE the obsessions of sex and money in our current society. The idealism is there, but I think that Mars could help revitalize the morals and courage of the people of Earth to explore and colonize elsewhere. It also gives us the opportunity to build the society based on science, learning, and understanding, real long-term success. It would permanently kill off our sex, money, and ego-driven society, or at least this is my hope.

I think the reason behind a lot of this is that most people live in urban or suburban areas really have no idea where the the basics of life come from. Power comes out of the wall, food comes from the supermarket, and clothing comes from the mall.

Hopefully once people see the labor required for the most basic substinance that they gain a little prospective.

#468 Re: Not So Free Chat » What I Hate About The United States » 2006-01-17 20:07:13

Actually it think Hillarys originally from Chicago.

But she is a carpetbagger. Unfortunately thanks to New York City she'd have to eat a live kitten on prime time TV to get voted out of office. :evil:

#472 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Would A "Voyage To The Planets" Type Mission Be Possible? » 2006-01-16 21:19:12

Nah, I don't think there is a need to build up bases near each body to generate worthwhile and sufficent scientific knowledge. A single mission to all the outer planets? Probably not, but multiple missions powerd by advanced fission or fusion systems (GCNR, NSWR, VCRfis+VASIMR, fusion+VASIMR) to each body seperatly are possible.

For pure science maybe not. Although theres so much ice in the moons it makes sense for return fuel.

#473 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Would A "Voyage To The Planets" Type Mission Be Possible? » 2006-01-16 18:47:11

Oh sure they cut the most intresting part out of the broadcast version.  roll

I don't think a manned grand tour is ever going to be practical. Even an unmanned tour creates more questions than answers. Plus I think the Voyager missions were launched to take advantage of rare alignment when the gas giants were all in a nice arch. Probably won't happen again for hundreds of year.

Our best bet is to develope our own Moon, then repeat the cycle on Mars. After that we aught to be good at sending the right equipment to make stuff out of local resources. Then we pick one large low rad, atmosphere free moon to develop at each gas giant. Probably Calisto, Rhea, Titania, and Triton. Once established they can provide the resources needed to carry on to the others.

#474 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » space elevators be damned; wormholes cometh! » 2006-01-14 12:34:35

How any movies and games are based on the premise that a portal was opened to a distant corner of the galaxy and the locals invaded through it?  big_smile

#475 Re: Human missions » Post central for information on CEV IV - Before thread #3 melts down » 2006-01-13 21:16:37

Hyperglocs are likely to be avoided do to toxicity and the fact that they are useless for ISRU.

But ban we can pin done just how much wiggle room we actually would have with LOX/LH engines?

Would we have 1, 2, even 3 weeks to launch the CEV before the EDS and/or LSAM boiled off too much to be useful?
Would the CEV have enough fuel after the 2/2.5 week mission to get people home?
What about 6 months docked to the ISS?
How much mass would we lose to insulation?

One way to solve the boil off problem is to preposition fuel depots with fuel condensers at each end of the trip. That way you can dock with it and you'll only lose a tiny amount of fuel during transit.

On the Luna end, decent modules can be prepositioned, launched yearly in magazines of 4-6 (depending on weight, I think the current LSAM weights in at 40-50 tons, so the DM alone should be 20-30tons) at time and propelled via and expanded EDS, at the lost of only 2 CaLV launches instead of 4-6, along with a modified CEV serving as a reusable accent module. Once docked at the Lunar Depot, the fuel in the LSAMs is off loaded into the depot tanks were it can be recirculated indefinately. The accent stage automatically intergrates with the first decent stage. When crews arrive, they dock at the depot and offload the CEV fuel to depot tanks, again to avoid boil off, which might be overkill for week long missions, but likely vital for missions of 6 months or more, and move to the LSAM, fuel it up and go on their merry way. Repeat in reverse to go home. Over the long term its a perfect place to store reuseable landers, and to deliever harvested fuel to.

On the Earth end, a simple tank with fuel condensers. And a small EDS that sends the CEV to Luna, and then returns to the depot. Fuel is provided by a single CaLV launch, with enough fuel for several missions. Later, when and if Lunar fuels are available, it can come from there.

Both are nearly identical. The only difference for the lunar version is the the mechanism intergrate the AM to the DM. Both could likely be launched tankless with a single CaLV launch, if have their own built in engines (likely for station keeping). Deployment on the lunar end would begin with the launch of the main spine, fuel condensers, and docking apperadus. The second launch would feature the main tank, full of fuel. The same would be done on the Earth end first. For the lunar depot the tank of fuel would be used to propel the depot to lunar orbit, with some extra for stationkeeping. Then the decent module magazine would be launched, docking with the Earth depot to perserve fuel and await the EDS. The landers would then fuel up, dock with the EDS, and head to luna. Once docked at this depot they defuel, and the EDS makes permenent contact with the lunar surface for salvage years down the road.

This requires a lot of fuel transfers that we have little operational experience with, especially in zero g. But all the hardware can be ported directly to the surface down the line, and we have to push the envelope somewhere. Plus by launching DMs in bulk and reusing the AM we save on CaLV launches, though at the cost of 4 flights to launch the depots, but at a landing rate of 5 per year, we pay for that in just a couple years. Not to mention it eliminates all threat of mission loss by boil off, and builds in growth options for the architecture

As far as development costs, it would all be dependant on immediate retirement of the Shuttles, and the CEV/CLV, and the CaLV, and probably the mid-range EDS envisioned in the ESAS, primarily for ISS completion, all by roughly 2012. Not impossible if we get going. Should the Shuttle launch in May and the same problem repeats itself, I don't think there will be any other choice. Following that, the high end EDS is little more than an extention of the one developed to finish the ISS. The low end one to send the CEV to lunar orbit is little more than a slightly larger SM. The use of a CM for an accent module eliminates or greatly reduces a development cycle. The depots are the greatest expense, but the hardware is the first step to setting up similar structures on the Moon and Mars later.

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