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RobertDyck,
Just because you said it, does not make it reality. That's not proof, it's not data.
I'm not making personal claims here. I provided a link to findings of studies and reports compiled on illegal aliens, criminality, and reporting of crimes. By your argument, which is fallacious, a census does not count as "proof" of anything, either, because it has not been adjudicated by a trier-of-fact (court of law), except that it is, and gets used as the basis for all sorts of public services and government representation.
Your claim that criminals do not report crimes?
When someone knows they are guilty of a crime, they tend not to report other crimes against them when doing so would result in legal action taken against them as well.
That can be said for US-born citizens as well.
You are correct, sir!
People who are already criminals tend not to report crimes against them. We have criminals on tape committing crimes against other prisoners while in our prisons system, yet the victim who a crime was perpetrated against, by another criminal, refuses to acknowledge that a crime even took place, much less testify against the other criminal, even when doing so leads to a reduced sentence.
Most citizens are not criminals, but you fail to take into account crimes committed by US-born citizens.
Since we already have plenty of citizens who are criminals, can you tell me why we need to add to the total number of criminals in America by importing foreign nationals, more than a few of whom are also hardened criminals themselves, without so much as bothering to check IDs or run a background check at the border?
That was what we did under President Biden. Even when they knew the illegal alien in question was a convicted felon, they still released them into the interior of the United States. That seems utterly insane to me, but that's exactly what they did. The law is crystal clear about what should've been done, but Democrats don't seem to accept that laws apply to them as well as everyone else. They think they get to pick-and-choose which laws to enforce if they win an election. That was never how the law is supposed to work. Now we're back to enforcing the law again. That means all the known felons who were convicted of major crimes before entry, or suspected of such crimes after entry into the United States, are getting rounded up and imprisoned or deported. They never should've been allowed to roam free in America in the first place.
That was the thrust of my argument, which you ignore because you're more fixated on "being right" than "actually being compassionate".
This demonstrates simply that you are prejudiced. You assume all immigrants are illegal, and you assume all immigrants are criminals. You won't let reality sway your prejudice.
I assume that all illegal aliens are criminals, because United Sates Code says it's illegal to enter into the United States without permission granted by our federal government. This is a federal felony, and a felony is a crime. You are free to argue what you think the law should be, but my arguments relate to what the law is, rather than what I wish it was.
Again the point: I was an immigrant. Does this mean you're prejudiced against me too?
If you entered into the United States legally, then you have my support. I would hope you have the support of all Americans. Through fidelity to our laws, you have the right to expect and should receive all the protections of law afforded to any other American citizen.
If you entered the United States illegally, then you should go back to wherever you came from and submit an application to become an American citizen if you wish to live here. If your only crime was entering the United States illegally, both Democrat and Republican administrations have maintained that they will continue to impartially evaluate and grant re-entrance back into the United States and citizenship. To wit, this interpretation of immigration law and its application has not changed for a very long time.
The United States has the most generous immigration policy of any nation because we are a nation of immigrants. The desire to come to America, which we encourage and support, does not mean your first act on American soil should be breaking our immigration laws.
I've been to Canada twice in my life. In both cases I showed my passport to the Canadian authorities and waited patiently to be granted entry. At no time did I ever ignore Canadian immigration laws simply because I wanted to enter Canada and couldn't be bothered with obtaining permission from the Canadian government.
I've been to Mexico once in my life, for work. Same deal. I presented my passport, answered all of their questions about why I came to Mexico, and once they were satisfied with my answers I was sent on my way.
If Canada or Mexico refused to grant entry to me, then I would've gone back the way I came- no arguments, no threats, no attempts to "sneak in" away from a legal entry point in the dead of night. The reason for that is quite simple. I respect the people of Canada and Mexico enough to respect their government's decision about whether or not I am permitted to be in their country as an invited guest. As an American, I think I have the right to expect the same thing of people who choose to come to America. That is completely fair and in no way prejudiced against anyone.
Calliban,
Robert, the statistics you referenced are questionable to say the least. In the UK, immigrants are far more likely to commit crimes.
If you are expecting an honest intellectual interaction with leftists who use personal bias filtering logic and faulty methods to gather and evaluate data to support their beliefs about the data, then you are going to be very disappointed with them.
Leftists don't typically apply much point-vs-counter-point reasoning to what they believe, they simply look for anything which supports their beliefs whilst ignoring all other "minor details" which frequently add up to a "major disconnect" between snippets of supporting data and totality of circumstances, which always presents the clearest picture of objective reality.
I'll provide a more concrete example from my personal life:
While we lived in a house in a gated subdivision a few miles from where we currently live, someone broke into my wife's Cadillac XT5, rummaged through the car for a short while, found nothing to steal, and then hopped back over the fence. We have this person on video and the Police woman who showed up actually took fingerprints and DNA off my wife's XT5. This guy did thousands of dollars worth of damage, but ultimately took nothing because we don't keep anything of value in our vehicles.
My nextdoor neighbor found out about it when she saw the Police cruiser in our driveway, and then she asked to come over to watch the video. She was a black woman and a "proud Texas Democrat" (this is how she "self-identifies"), a first generation legal immigrant like my wife, though from our various interactions with her and her family, not a radical leftist, thankfully. Her grandson was friends with my daughter for awhile, and they played together when his mother or grandmother brought him over, but ultimately he went to a private school while we've always had our children in public schools, so they drifted apart. I counted her husband as a friend of mine, and he was previously in the military, as I was. He worked on radios and some early computer equipment, just as I did, but for the US Army, during the Viet Nam War. I don't think he actually went to Viet Nam, though. He was stationed in Germany. He's since died (not from COVID), but his widow still lives there.
Her first questions to me, before even watching the video with my wife, were:
Q1. Is he black?
Q2. You're a Republican. You have guns. Why didn't you shoot him?
A1. He did have a darker skin tone, but it ultimately turned out that he was NOT black. He wasn't even an American. His fingerprints weren't even in the system because he was an illegal alien. He was later caught while trying to steal a car more than a year after that, which I only learned when the Police woman who took his prints and filed our report relayed that update to me when she saw me working in our yard over a year later. He was tried in court and was deported, but the crime he was convicted of did NOT include his break-in of my wife's vehicle, despite the fingerprint and DNA evidence collected at the scene. That means he committed at least 2 separate felony crimes that I know of, but the crime against us did not "count" towards the total. Unfortunately for me, and possibly the second victim, that didn't mean I wasn't still required to pay for the damages he caused. It would be completely absurd to think he committed zero crimes between the time he broke into my wife's vehicle and his arrest. It would be equally absurd to think my wife's vehicle was the very first one he ever broke into.
A2. I didn't "shoot him" because this happened around 4AM in the morning while I was asleep because I had to work the next day like every other law abiding citizen, and he never tried to break into our house. He didn't do anything to put my family in danger, so he was never worth the cost of the ammo, much less the legal fees for the subsequent court case. You can legally shoot someone who is committing a major crime here in Texas, but you cannot avoid the (rightful and lawful, IMO) trier-of-fact scrutiny following the decision to do so. I don't go out looking for trouble, either, because I'm not a criminal and have no desire to interact with criminals if there's any choice in the matter. I would much prefer to have the Police do what they're tasked with doing.
What did I learn from that interaction and others with my Democrat neighbor?
She was so certain that the perpetrator belonged to a specific racial group that she ignored other possibilities.
Why did she think that?
It was her personally prejudiced beliefs, plain and simple. In a follow-on conversation with her weeks later, she admitted this to me. She was previously the victim of a home invasion, and the perpetrator was a black man. She made the logical leap to "the perpetrator of this crime must also be black because someone who was black perpetrated a crime against me" vs "let's watch the video so we know who this is if we seem him again and then let the Police and courts do their job". After the courtroom results, then we can make some semi-informed judgements about what actually happened. Leftists, and more than a few rightists, really don't like this "wait and see" method of evaluating reality. Even after my neighbor saw the video, she still insisted that he was black. I was much "less sure" that her assumption was correct, because he looked a lot like various people I've seen from South American countries. I can't remember if he was identified as being from El Salvador or Guatemala (I don't have "total recall" of all details 9 years after the fact), but I do remember that he was deported after his trial. For all I know, he came right back due to the refusal of President Biden's administration to enforce our immigration laws. I happen to think two major crimes are enough. I also think both crimes should count towards the total, not simply the one he was convicted of. I further think he would not be in America if we were enforcing our immigration laws. I can only wonder about how many crimes he actually committed because our government decided protecting their own people was not their first and most important duty.
Democrats, and leftists especially, tend to substitute their prejudiced personal beliefs and learned biases for a "totality of circumstances" view of objective reality. There are more than a few Republicans I've met who hold similar views for what I presume to be similar reasons, but I also find they are at least willing to consider alternative explanations that disagree with the assumptions they've made because most of them are still more interested in "what is true" vs "my beliefs were validated". Regardless, people who do this tend to make "big picture"-deficient assumptions and worse decisions as a result. Sometimes it works in their favor, but most of the time it leaves the person who holds such beliefs with a very contorted perception of reality. If you ever provide a perfectly valid counter-point or pertinent bit of data that doesn't support their belief system, they don't even consider altering their beliefs accordingly, they immediately try to find some way to discredit the new information presented to them. It's a "bias-based information rejection" vs "information assimilation" belief system. It's quite common, but a terrible way to both evaluate new information and make major decisions.
What does all of this "add up to" as it relates to my interactions with leftists?
Whether my interaction was in-person or through back-and-forth over the internet, the majority of leftists care more about finding ways to feel morally or intellectually superior to others by having their belief system validated than they do about whether or not they're actually helping anyone but themselves. This system of interacting with the world produces horrific results when applied to public policy.
The illiegal migrants flooding into the US are the same sort of people. How do you account for the divergence between UK statistics and the stats you referenced?
There is nothing "uniquely bad" about muslims, relative to any other immigrant population. That said, people who are perfectly willing to knowingly break the law to obtain something they want from someone else are most likely to repeat that pattern of behavior because doing so worked for them in the past. Why would they deviate from the behavior that obtained what they wanted? This sort of information may be obtained by attending Psychology 101 in college.
None of the adult muslim immigrants who enter the UK illegally are "unaware" that what they are doing is illegal, because it's also illegal in their nation of origin, as well as all other nations. There are no nations on Earth where it is "legal" to rape, rob, or murder someone, either. That means certain behaviors are universally adjudicated as "criminal behaviors", and therefore do not change merely because you entered into another nation. Similarly, there are no nations on Earth where it is legal to cross national borders without permission from their respective governments. You may be able to "get away with it" in certain places where there is little to no effective law enforcement present, but those examples are universally crimes that carry significant prison sentences, if not capital punishment as well in the case of rape and murder.
Consistent enforcement of laws that does not make allowances for any superficial physical characteristics is the only valid way to maintain a civil society. Any other policy will result in an increasingly uncivil society that denigrates its own citizens and foreigners alike. This should not be what we advocate for nor permit to continue by electing people who value consistency over appearances and emotions. There cannot be special classes of people subject to special application of the law in a civil society.
RobertDyck,
There is nothing funny about this. You hare lying. When faced with hard statistics that prove your assertions are wrong, you just lie, you claim the statistics are wrong.
Your "hard statistics" have a gaping hole in them. Crimes against illegal aliens committed by other illegal aliens ARE NOT REPORTED, more often than not, and the illegal aliens already told you why they do not report crimes against them.
If you want to counter anything I posted, then provide proof. I posted a reference, a source with hard statistics. The result demonstrates your assertion is absolute bullshit.
You demonstrated how you attempt to find data to fit your narrative, but when the the data doesn't reflect reality, you instead choose to ignore reality.
Since you decided to focus on Texas and motor vehicle crimes, specifically, let's look at Texas.
Let's examine how ridiculous your claim about Texas traffic crimes for illegals vs citizens truly is:
Dangerous and Deadly Vehicle Pursuits under Texas’ Operation Lone Star
According to media reports indicating the pursuits involved vehicles containing migrants, as well as DPS records obtained by Human Rights Watch under state public records laws, in the 29 months between the start of OLS in March 2021 and July 2023, at least 74 people were killed and another 189 injured as the result of 49 pursuits by Texas troopers or local law enforcement, or both, in Operation Lone Star counties. That is a rate of nearly 3 deaths and 7 injuries per month that OLS has been in existence, a significantly higher toll than the nearly 2 deaths per month previously reported by media and civil rights groups, and higher than the toll in other Texas counties over the same period. Of the 5,230 total vehicle pursuits that DPS troopers engaged in across Texas’ 254 counties since March 2021, 3,558 of them, or roughly 68 percent of all pursuits, occurred in the 60 Operation Lone Star counties that represent 13 percent of the state’s population. This means Operation Lone Star county residents are experiencing a disproportionate share of vehicle pursuits across the state.
Human Rights Watch is known to support and advocate for illegal immigration into the United States. This is merely them here "telling on themselves" by complaining about the uptick in criminal activity associated with the immigration policy they support when Texas law enforcement continues to do its job.
Why are there so many "deadly" motor vehicle pursuits against illegal aliens?
Illegal aliens actually commit crimes at higher rates than the Texas citizens living in those counties, and then when DPS tries to stop them, they run from DPS. 68% of all DPS motor vehicle pursuits in Texas involved illegal aliens running from the Police. That means illegals represent 2/3rds of all DPS pursuits. Running from the Police on a public roadway is a crime, a felony at that, and those are the results.
If you want to counter, then you are required to post a source to backup your assertion. If you cannot, then we will conclude that you are wrong.
I already did that. 70% of illegal aliens respondents, who were not worried about their illegal status being used against them, said they do not report crimes to the Police when queried. Crimes happen most frequently against people who know and interact with each other on a daily basis, across all people in all nations. This is a fact, not a conjecture. Illegals living in the US most frequently interact with other illegals.
If that wasn't enough, Human Rights Watch just backed up my assertion with hard data obtained from Texas DPS, and Human Rights Watch supports and advocates for illegal immigration.
Void,
So, even the average "modern" robotic woman treats men horribly?
I guess it wouldn't be a "real" female robot without exhibiting real female behavior.
If you find one that doesn't look like a beached whale and isn't more venomous than a cobra, do let us know. I always love reading about unicorns. My brain knows they aren't real, but my heart still loves a good story.
If her robot hitman boyfriend murders you, consider it a reprieve. You could've spent the rest of your life with someone, or "something", which is miserable and ugly to its core.
SpaceNut,
Ask the AI what yield strength (YS) it's using for the 304L tubing?:
A. room temperature YS
or
B. YS over the mildly cryogenic temperatures found at Korolev crater
The difference matters quite a lot.
RobertDyck,
Aw! Legal immigrants have trouble with traffic, eg speeding tickets. Violent crimes are committed by US-born citizens. So perhaps state troopers need to crack down on US-born citizens in Texas.
I'm sure you think you're being funny, but your behavior indicates how the policies of people who think the way you do encourages victimization of illegals as well. It's actually repulsive how little regard you have for the lives of the very people you think you're defending.
Most people who are victims of violent crimes are victimized by someone they know and interact with on a daily basis. Since we're talking about illegals here, that would mean other illegals living in America. Multiply your stats for the illegals by about a factor of 10 and that's pretty close to reality. Most of them simply don't report crimes because they don't want to get deported.
If you're an illegal, then you cannot legally obtain a driver's license in the states that follow federal law, and you're definitely not sticking around to file police reports if you run into someone else, so that would be why they have fewer traffic violations. The actual number should be zero because they shouldn't be able to obtain a driver's license.
Fear and Silence: 2025 Insights from Advocates for Immigrant Survivors
Precise numbers on crimes committed by undocumented immigrants against other undocumented immigrants are not officially tracked, largely because a high percentage of these crimes go unreported to law enforcement. Studies and surveys suggest that undocumented immigrants are often reluctant to report crimes due to fear of deportation, resulting in high rates of unreported victimization, particularly in domestic violence and sexual assault cases.
Based on analysis of crime surveys and reports, here is the available data regarding this issue:
Extensive Underreporting: Researchers estimate that only about 11% of crimes committed against undocumented immigrants are reported to the police.
Fear of Deportation: A 2025 survey of immigrant advocates found that 76% reported their clients feared calling the police due to potential deportation, with many choosing to drop cases.
Victimization by Known Offenders: Undocumented immigrants are more likely to be victimized by someone they know, often another undocumented person, which increases the likelihood of silence due to fear of retribution or fear of legal exposure for both parties.
Underreporting Specific Crimes: Domestic violence, sexual assault, and gang violence are consistently cited as the least reported crimes, with studies indicating that up to two-thirds of these incidents may go unreported in these communities.
Survey Findings vs. Reality: While some analyses of the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) suggest that, generally, non-citizens report crimes at rates similar to native-born citizens, this is often disputed by community-level studies showing deep mistrust of law enforcement among the undocumented population.
Key Factors for Non-Reporting:
Fear of Retaliation: 42% of unreported crime victims surveyed (general population) cited fear of reprisal.
Lack of Trust: 70% of undocumented immigrants in a 2013 study reported they were less likely to contact police, even if victims of a crime.
Fear of Discovery: 30% of undocumented immigrants identified fear of deportation as the primary reason for not reporting crimes.
clark,
@kbd512, you are a dirtbag of the first order. The willingness you demonstrate to rationalize state sanctioned murder based on political belief is appalling and damming of every single person that aligns with you.
This young lady's name was Laken Riley:
She never had the chance to become a nurse because she was raped and murdered by the sort of illegal alien criminals those ICE agents were in the process of arresting when Alex Pretti decided to attack them. Your outrage over her death was conspicuously absent.
A goddamn ICU nurse for the VA, shot unarmed, by poorly trained federal agents, is somehow his fault?
Alex Pretti was armed and he did assault federal law enforcement officers at least twice that we know about. Is your claim that they were poorly trained based upon any personal knowledge of Police Procedure, or merely anger over the result? If you repeatedly chase after law enforcement officers and assault them while carrying a gun, your chances of being shot increase exponentially. Being an ICU nurse for the VA doesn't change that. Being a Catholic Priest wearing a MAGA hat doesn't change that, either.
You've shown a glimmer of being rationale in the past, talking about your immigrant wife, and being texan in texas.
My immigrant wife couldn't believe ICE didn't shoot Pretti during his first unprovoked attack against their agents. I'm not sure how being a Texan in Texas makes me more or less "rational", but a lot of your argumentation comes off as very emotional, so I guess I shouldn't expect much logic or reasoning where there likely isn't any.
You've been pro gun on numerous occasions and here we have a card carrying gun holder shot by the government, but because he disagrees with your politics, well, sh*t, gunning him down was his fault. Seriously.
Being pro-gun doesn't mean I think repeatedly chasing after and assaulting federal agents who were sent to arrest a rapist is an acceptable way to behave.
LT Christopher Dorner was a fellow Navy man. He was quite clearly a "card-carrying pro-gunner" as well. Sadly, he also shot seven people who were not initially trying to do anything at all to him. I don't agree with or condone what he did, either.
Politics has nothing to do with how I feel about what Alex Pretti and Christopher Dorner did to other people. They ceased to behave like responsible adults when they began behaving like enraged maniacs over whatever perceived injustice they felt they were subjected to, and that's where they lost me. Both men chose to engage in "street justice" and received "street solutions" in response. Their treatment of people who did nothing to them is what matters to me, not the fact that they shared one specific value I have.
You're an embarrassment as an American.
From the few times we've interacted, you've engaged in a lot of name-calling, angry outbursts over things that were not even done to you, personally, and uncivil treatment of other forum members. I'm not embarrassed by you, but I am disappointed by how you treat others who don't share your opinions.
China's food self-sufficiency ratio dropped from 93.6% in 2000 to 65.8% in 2020, increasing reliance on foreign sources.
Does it make any sense at all that a nation as economically powerful as China can produce billions of tons of steel and concrete per year, plastics of every description, photovoltaic panels, electric power transformers, LED lights, but they still don't grow enough food to actually feed all of their people without massive food imports?
That's precisely what "globalism" has done to the people living in China- incentivized abhorrently irresponsible behavior between governments that is facially absurd, yet somehow justified to everyone on the basis of "price points". The most obvious issue is that the entire system is completely artificial because it's simply not necessary with modern technology. Prior to industrialization, no such absurdity was ever implemented, because it was unsustainably expensive in every sense of the word. Ships carried luxury goods from far off lands- tea, spices, precious metals, furs, articles of clothing, etc. This was profitable because it was something unobtainable locally and the ships carried people as well as goods. Food was provided for a ship's complement while in transit. Whenever you arrived at your destination, you ate and drank whatever was locally available. We never attempted to send the bulk of an agricultural harvest from one nation on one side of the world to another nation on the other side. Ships carried seeds so that food crops could be planted at the destination.
China imported almost 158 million metric tons of grain in 2024. At ~75,000t worth of grain for ships that can actually transit through canals and such, 2,093 ship loads had to be sent half-way around the world. 6 grain ships need to drop their cargo off in a port somewhere in China every single day, or people begin to starve to death. To maintain this sort of foodstuffs rate of delivery, I estimate that no fewer than 132 bulk carriers are required, each one burning at least a couple of tanker cars worth of bunker fuel per day. There is no possible way that makes economic sense from an energy and materials inputs perspective. It's certainly not pragmatic.
This simple example isn't even the tip of the iceberg, merely a microscopic ice crystal attached to it. We've engaged in this sort of lunacy on a grand scale. Everyone has voluntarily participated in this Chinese fire drill since WWII ended. It's why our energy consumption never goes down, regardless of how efficient we become at making and distributing things. You cannot send billions of tons of goods here, there, and everywhere without paying the unavoidable energy and transport system cost. Before large scale greenhouses existed, perhaps that was the only realistic option for certain foodstuffs, but that time has long since past. For metal ores and concrete, it makes no sense at all. Nothing is actually being "saved" by conducting business this way. The "proof" of the system's inefficiency is our ever-increasing energy consumption. That is one real reason why we, The United States of America, now want everyone to earnestly work on reestablishing their own self-sufficiency. It will be painful in the short term, as every major transition has been. In the mid to long term, domestic security and prosperity associated with living wages by owning and operating the means of production will be reestablished.
When you have your own energy supplies, foodstuffs and fresh water, mines and smelters, your own factories to make the things you need, you don't need to participate in the fire drill to nearly the same degree, except by choice. Certain nations will still need to move certain goods by ship, but there will be a lot less of that after domestic production of the essentials has been rebuilt. It's not as if all international trade will cease to exist, either. The bottle of Chanel No 5 you bought for your wife or girlfriend will still come from France. The steel in your car will come from your own nation or perhaps a closely allied nation, definitely not Russia or China, and the hands that made your car will belong to your neighbors and relatives. The food in your shopping cart will come from the next county over.
Australia has some of the largest Iron ore and coal mines in the world. Rather than build their own smelters to make steel, there's a conga line of bunker fuel burning ships that transport the ore and coal to China, followed by another conga line of ships to take the steel for another trip around the world. Australian Iron ore is perhaps 60% Iron, so 40% of the tonnage shipped to China is Oxygen and other impurities. At least 50% of the energy and transport cost is tied to shipping materials that are not even saleable products of any kind.
This is a stupid shell game that trades labor costs for materials and energy costs. Nearly all of us win stupid prizes by continuing to play the game. It's not making all of us richer, it's making a literal handful of people richer while everyone else gets poorer in real terms.
Apart from the obvious benefits associated with not shipping things here, there, and everywhere, achieving higher recycling rates for key materials would have a monumental impact on self-sufficiency:

If we recycled all major metals at 95% or better, then we'd also have almost no requirement to mine virgin metal to sustain the American economy. We'd still mine some metal to maintain a domestic supply, but there'd be no economic advantage to importing massive quantities of the stuff on bulk carriers when so much of what we consume can be provided by improved domestic recycling programs. The overriding point is that the level of energy input and materials input could be drastically lower with no drop in economic activity.
Here's a real overview of President Trump's economic policy for anyone interested in insight vs ignorant leftist rhetoric:
Hillsdale College - Can We Escape the Debt Trap? | MAGA Economics | James Rickards
Calliban,
KBD512 would like to see more goods consumed by americans made by americans.
KBD512 would also like to see more goods consumed by the british made by the british.
KBD512 would also like to see more goods consumed by canadians made by canadians.
KBD512 would also like to see more goods consumed by... if the pattern isn't already clear, then it never will be.
That sounds good in theory.
At least we won't be starting from a point of "bad theory", such as "send your manufacturing overseas and then your (already opulently wealthy) people will be a little wealthier". That is the "economic theory" we've been operating from during my entire life, which hasn't improved the lives of average workers, and never will, because it was never intended to do that.
But different parts of the manufacturing process require labour at different skill levels and price points. There are also issues with economy of scale that make it difficult for individual nations to produce complex products for a limited internal market.
It sounds like you're telling me that we must prioritize which products and services to focus our efforts on, so as to "economize" on labor and capital inputs, rather than exploiting poorer people in foreign countries so some of us can lead better lives. It also sounds like you don't really want to pay your fellow countrymen a living wage for certain products or services, so you'd have to learn to live without things you're not actually wiling to pay your own people to produce. Maybe you only have 5 different brands of tea instead of 500, but you still have tea to drink at the end of the day.
RobertDyck,
I realize you are emotionally invested in your candidate for President, but seriously it’s time toopen your eyes.
You want your emotions validated. You came to the wrong place for that. Other people are allowed to have opinions which do not reflect your own. That doesn't make them "totally wrong" and you "totally right".
President Trump is Bill Clinton 2.0. He's a 1990s Democrat who has adopted or co-opted "good for the goose, good for the gander" policies that are anathema to people who want special treatment.
Take the medicine and quit complaining about the taste.
Even the Russians laughed at America for electing Trump a second time. The woman who heads RT News (formerly Russia Today) said Americans have an attention span of a goldfish.
Do you think I care about what RT News thinks of President Trump?
You clearly do, so tell us why that is.
As for “child rapists”, the only one you need to concern yourself with is named Danald J. Trump. There are already pictures released from the Epstein files. How many times has Trump appeared in the Epstein files?
Leftists don't care about children and never have, unless they can find some way to exploit them for political gain. If there was any tangential evidence of criminality on President Trump's part, every Democrat in America would've used it against him already. To quote one of my favorite leftist FBI Agents, "There's no there there."
Yes, the woke people need to be stopped.
Nobody on the left is ever going to do that. That's a major part of why we President Trump was re-elected. Every opportunity was presented to stop doubling and tripling down on pure insanity, but they refused to stop. Once Democrats become entranced with their latest bad idea, they never let go of it until long after it's apparent to everyone else that the idea is a failure.
Yes, Obama created more regulations than any President. Obama hired academics who created regulation based on ideology, not anything practical.
The only personalities involved in left wing politics at this point are activists, community organizers, and self-loathing academics who have been lost in their luxury communism beliefs for so long that they forgot what kitchen table economics is like for the other 90% of the people living in America. The Democrats who do get elected are "give us all of your money so we can redistribute it to ourselves" shysters who never fail to make life worse for the people they don't feel they serve, because they're too busy serving themselves.
Yes, the damage must be corrected. But two wrongs do not make a right.
Damage correction means different things to different people.
Who could replace the Vice President? Choosing a Democrat is not going to happen. JD Vance is worse than Trump.
Both President Trump and Vice President Vance were Democrats who became disillusioned with the wholesale destruction of the American economy and family that Democrats inflicted upon the people they no longer serve.
Vance wants to treat the Constitution as toilet paper.
When Democrats in President Biden's administration were rolling out the red carpet for illegal alien rapists and murderers, you were completely silent on the matter. Your credibility with anyone who is not a leftist, on matters pertaining to the law, is starting at zero.
If you expect me to hear you out, then you'd best get on with the process of posting one of your typical whiny rants about all the illegal and destructive things the Democrat Party has done to Americans in pursuit of their luxury communism dystopia. I'm going to respond to it like any typical liberal, meaning I'm going to respond the way you do, so I'm going to call you every name I can think of, I'm going to make emotional bad faith non-arguments that don't address your arguments, utterly refuse to acknowledge facts the way you do, and then tell you how wrong you are.
Alternatively, make a good faith argument supported by data, rather than your personal beliefs about the data, and we'll go from there.
In the same theme as the topic I posted related to reestablishment of manufacturing competence, I think reestablishment of national defense competence is of equal importance. As strange as this concept may seem to some people, a credible national defense procurement and force structure strategy for a nation with limited defense funding does not automatically mean that their military forces are significantly less combat capable than a nation such as the United States of America, which has a functionally unlimited ability to spend money on its national defense. In many ways, unlimited budgets invite highly questionable procurement strategies because one functional knowledge domain which has consistently proven to be a weak point across virtually all military services is development and refinement of realistic Concept of Operations (CONOPS) for execution of fighting doctrine and usage of defense assets and personnel.
Bright shining examples of this include employment of autonomous systems and beyond visual range (BVR) guided missile intercepts of enemy bombers, fighters, and missiles, many decades before any technology was mostly ready to do this with a better that 50/50 chance of success when all training and operational procedures were followed. An entire fighting doctrine was built around the false belief that all air combat would be conducted at extended ranges and dogfighting was therefore irrelevant because it would never happen. At the start, appropriate training to employ this then-new fighting doctrine in a realistic manner was never provided. The problem was so acute that fighter weapon schools were established to teach employment of weapon systems to both air and ground crews. The first missiles using tube-based electronics were so delicate that normal handling caused operational issues, to the point that a pilot squeezing the trigger was not even guaranteed to see the missile leap off the launch rail, much less guide to the target, or the warhead detonate when passing within lethal distance. Initial work began in the 1940s, but until the solid state electronics and improved seekers of the 1980s, merely having a chance at a successful engagement was almost entirely a result of the pilot positioning his aircraft and only taking missile shots from a near-ideal positions for the missiles to execute the intercept.
Needless to say, all these significant limitations did not describe typical positional advantage achievable during mock fighting, much less actual combat. In real air combat, prior to the improved generation of weapons fielded in the 1980s, all BVR missile shots had less than a 10% chance of intercepting their targets. All military forces which employed BVR radar-guided missiles in air combat quickly learned that it was a very expensive luxury capability, truly fantastic when it worked, which was not very often, but in no way could it assure the outcome of air combat engagements. An aware target would generally defeat BVR missiles fired at them, whether from the ground or other aircraft. Hundreds of billions of dollars were devoted to this technology across dozens of nations using fighter jets and air defense systems using air search radars and radar-guided BVR missiles. It took 40 years of development work before the odds of a successful intercept were better than a coin toss, because the tech simply wasn't ready to meet conceptual expectations of how it would be used. Worse than that, far too little realistic training and testing was conducted to "know" that what the military wanted to achieve wasn't even possible, let alone practical, absent dramatic improvements to computers, sensors, and institutionalized knowledge from continuous training for development and refinement of air combat fighting doctrine. There was either a refusal to accept the limitations or a lack of general awareness amongst people in development and procurement regarding realistic expectations for the weapon systems they were purchasing, with the anticipation of acquiring all-weather BVR radar-guided air intercept capabilities. In other words, everyone was heavily relying upon something to "just work as intended" that was in no way ready to do so.
We see AI-enhanced combat drones showing the same technological readiness limitations today. They look brilliant for a few moments, then do something completely ridiculous that requires human operator intervention, else they crash or otherwise fail to complete their assigned missions. While everyone is breathlessly proclaiming that combat drones are "the future of all warfare", we should probably use all historical military experience with development and employment of BVR radar-guided missiles as a very pointed "warning order" related to how relevant and effectual these AI-enhanced combat drones truly would be, if any nation relies upon them to "deliver victory" in the short term. In another 10 to 20 years, they'll probably complete missions successfully more often than not. Everything I've seen indicates they're a very promising future technology, but in no way ready for combat against a peer level adversary. A shrewd national defense strategist with a budget to adhere to would continue earnest AI combat drone and weapons development while refraining from making any large purchase orders for technologies that simply are not ready for combat.
Any budget-limited nation which wants to retain competitive military capabilities must be very shrewd about when and where it chooses to purchase or outsource procurement of systems with substantial acquisition and sustainment costs. There's no faster way to handicap your military than to spend large sums of money on doctrinally-disconnected "new capabilities" that you cannot capitalize on. The US military has proven highly susceptible to this problem. Most people would view purchase of a BVR radar guided missile without airframes equipped with powerful air search radars as a pointless waste of money, for example. AI-enhanced combat drones using today's tech would be similarly encumbered.
We'll first highlight what I consider to be non-negotiable defense systems, then explain how the associated core combat capabilities represented by those systems, or functionally equivalent capabilities, can be acquired without bankrupting a modern industrialized nation.
I. Artillery
This can include anything from 105mm or 155mm gun-launched shells, to artillery rockets, to ballistic missiles, to long range loitering munitions like the Iranian Shahed-136 drones. Modern 155mm gun-based artillery systems have become so expensive to purchase and maintain that it might be cheaper to build drones to carry those 155mm artillery shell-sized warheads to their targets. The difference is in marginal cost per successful engagement, which will be higher with a drone or rocket-based artillery systems than it is with gun-based artillery systems. The support infrastructure for drones vs cannons is also different, not eliminated. Drones and rockets / missile artillery require physically larger and more expensive vehicles to deploy and maintain them.
M777 towed howitzers have an initial purchase price of about $5M. The cost to fire the unguided / unassisted shells is fairly low, at around $3K per shell. If your loitering munitions cost around $25K per weapon to mass produce, then you can procure around 200 munitions for the same cost as the howitzer itself. Howitzer crews don't materialize out of thin air, either, which means an entire training and logistics pipeline is required to continue to have trained artillery operators and serviceable guns. As of today, drones still require operators and maintainers. If the total number of required attacks is low and the chance of success is high, there will be some kind of inflection point where beyond a certain number of munitions fired off to attack the enemy, conventional artillery makes more economic sense than drones / loitering munitions or artillery rockets / guided missiles. At the same time, long range drones like Shahed can provide the range to conduct deep strikes that far more expensive missile-based artillery systems would otherwise be required to execute. Shaheds are much slower than missile-based systems, but the number of attack opportunities is much greater because per-unit cost is far lower than that of ballistic weapons.
II. Integrated Air Defense Systems
The core of any modern integrated air defense system is a networked system of surveillance / tracking / missile mid-course guidance radars. These long range / high power radars are inevitably expensive, but vital to air defense. If there is no awareness of threats posed by incoming enemy missiles and aircraft, then there is no possibility of intercepting them.
There are 4 categories of air defense interceptor missiles:
hypersonic / ballistic missile and nuclear warhead threats - THAAD / SM3
long range high capability radar guided interceptors - Patriot / SM6
medium range radar guided - ESSM / NASAMS
short range infrared guided - Sidewinder / IRIS / MICA derivatives
man portable air defense systems - Stinger / Starstreak / Mistral
There are 3 categories of air defense guns:
35-76mm autocannons (some of these now have data-linked self-guided shells as ammo options)
20-30mm caliber autocannons (close-in weapon systems used to put a "Wall of Lead" in front of missiles or drones)
12.7-15mm heavy machine guns (typically used to kill drones and helicopters)
It's unreasonable to expect most nations to have the resources to locally design and produce their own version of THAAD or Patriot. As sophisticated as medium range radar guided missiles have become, even those may be a bridge too far. If you cannot produce your own IR guided missiles and autocannons, then you need to fix that.
The inability to purchase the components to create active radar guided missiles does not mean BVR radar-directed intercepts are impossible to effect. A missile's mid-course guidance is still provided by its launching platform, which means greatly improved modern IR seekers can still be used for terminal guidance to targets without indigenous or even acquired miniaturized onboard missile radars and guidance computers. Against stealthy targets, IR seekers typically out-range onboard missile radars, often by a considerable margin. The radar and guidance computer technology items represent a disproportionate percentage of a BVR radar-guided missile's total cost. A drastically lower cost option is use of modern IR seekers, which are also nearly impossible to distract or confuse because they cannot as easily be "jammed", unlike radar-based systems.
III. Off-Road Mobile Armored Transport Vehicles
The ability to effectively transport soldiers, food, water, equipment, fuel, and weapon systems around the battlefield has been a military requirement since armies existed. While the means of transport have varied greatly over time, all modern armies use motorized vehicles. Parts of civil vehicles can be adapted to battlefield use, or at least benefit from a domestic automotive industry that nominally makes vehicles for civil on-road and off-road use. Significant procurement cost increases tend to be driven by bespoke vs off-the-shelf solutions where the technology item in question is not shared with any civil motorized vehicle.
Tank engines used to be then-common automotive engines with bespoke transmissions / gearboxes. When there was no difference at all between a tank engine and a semi truck engine, the cost of the engine development and procurement was nominal. It's not written in stone anywhere that a tank absolutely requires a bespoke engine design which is not shared with any other civil vehicle. Unsustainable weight increases created the requirement for specialized tank engines. Advanced armor materials and uncrewed turrets with autoloaders will help return armored vehicle weights to the realm of sanity, as will resisting the temptation to load up every armored vehicle with "some of everything". A tank was originally intended to provide direct fire support to infantry assaults using a large caliber highly mobile cannon. We've since added anti-tank missiles, surface-to-air missiles, anti-drone machine guns or light cannons, active protection systems, lasers, and an array of sensors that would make Cold War era fighter pilots jealous.
It's still possible to cap vehicle weights at 40t (the GVWR of a fully loaded semi-truck) by using single crew compartment tank designs (uncrewed turrets) with adequate 360 degree protection to assure crew survival while accepting vehicle losses from modern anti-tank weapons. Even if all those other systems are added to armored vehicles, increasing their weight and cost to impractical figures, losses to enemy anti-tank weapons remain inevitable. There is still no active protection system against anti-tank mines, for example. That doesn't mean we should attempt to add one to the tank, either. There's no point to "gold plating" a direct fire artillery piece which immediately becomes the target of choice for everyone else on the battlefield. Save the crew and sacrifice the vehicle. You're going to do that irrespective of how many additional expensive protection systems you burden the tank with. If losing a tank or other armored fighting vehicle was not a multi-million dollar loss involving a collection of difficult-to-replace systems-based capabilities, then your military can afford to "eat" the vehicle loss and make more replacement vehicles. If you still require those other weapons and sensors, then put them in separate specialist vehicles instead of attempting to transform every armored vehicle into the land-based equivalent of a tactical fighter jet.
Combined arms maneuver warfare provides complementary protection of disparate forces by mixing the capabilities of tanks, artillery, other armored fighting vehicles armed with autocannons and missiles, infantry, air defense systems, and aircraft to achieve outcomes not possible using any specific type of weapon system alone. As important as establishing air superiority is to successful combat operations, aircraft alone cannot take ground from the enemy and hold it. Coordination of movements and sharing of positional data is far more effective than trying to use singular assets to operate in a vacuum.
Armored off-road capable motorized vehicles is the one category with the widest possible array of affordable, practical, and survivable solutions. It's also not clear that one vehicle type provides any kind of insurmountable technological advantage over another type. There is such a thing as appropriateness to task, but that's as far as it goes.
IV. Air Forces and Air Assault Vehicles
There's a persistent yet false interpretation of what turbine engines actually permitted military aircraft to do. Achieving faster flight speeds is the colloquially stated reason for their development, and turbine powered aircraft typically fly faster than piston engine aircraft. It seems obvious, and is in fact used that way by most aircraft designers, but that explanation is wrong from an engineering perspective. Simply put, turbine engines offered aircraft designers greater payload-to-distance by reducing the engine mass to deliver a given amount of thrust. Delivering more power per unit of engine weight allowed aircraft designers to design aircraft to choose between faster flight speeds or pushing more payload through the air. For military purposes, this significant design advantage was most frequently used to make aircraft fly faster.
Unfortunately, the instant you demand that an aircraft to fly at high subsonic speeds or faster, you run into a basic flight physics challenge. There's a very steep rise in aerodynamic drag which dictates airframe shaping and minimum wing loading to minimize lift-induced drag at higher flight speeds. In turn, wing loading dictates minimum takeoff and landing speeds. There's a very narrow range of reasonably efficient cruise flight speeds for turbofan and turbojet engines, coupled with an extreme cost increase.
It would be fair to say that manufacturing and maintaining turboprop and turboshaft engines, which are the least expensive types of turbine aircraft engines, are at least ten times more costly than equivalently powerful piston engines. Turbofan and turbojet engines are significantly more costly to make and operate than equivalently powerful turboprop engines. If you're not flying at high subsonic speeds at altitudes above 20,000ft or so, then even high-bypass turbofan engines tend to be horrendously inefficient, relative to piston engines, for the power generated. Propellers are more efficient "wings" than the much smaller fan blade "wings" in a turbofan or turbojet engine, until you reach a certain speed at higher altitudes. You're not "free" to travel at higher speeds and altitudes, you're effectively limited to exclusively operating in that narrowly defined flight regime because any deviation severely affects range, speed, and acceleration performance.
A modern computer-controlled 550hp spark-ignited and liquid-cooled automotive piston engine will cost about $25,000. A 550hp PT-6A turboprop engine costs around $1M, so it's 40 times more expensive for the same power generated. The PT-6A is about half the weight of the automotive engine, but it's fuel burn rate is significantly greater than the piston engine, especially at lower altitudes. Inside of 4 hours of flight time using onboard fuel, and perhaps as little as 2 hours at lower altitudes, the turbine engine's apparent weight advantage over the piston engine is gone. It does not matter to flight physics at all whether an airframe must carry additional fuel weight or engine weight to remain airborne. However, a significant change in fuel burn rate will at least partially dictate cost per flight hour. At 33,000ft, the PT-6A is only generating roughly 1/3rd of its sea level power output because its compressor section operates on ambient atmospheric pressure and must be driven by hot gas expansion through the expansion section. An appropriately turbocharged and intercooled piston engine, on the other hand, can maintain 100% of sea level power output at altitudes up to 36,000ft, which was achieved during WWII.
Early avionics, sensors, and weapons were very large and heavy because their electronics were large and heavy. 2025 electronics have been miniaturized to the point that a smart phone has more than sufficient computing power to operate every system and sensor aboard combat aircraft. The precision of modern missiles almost entirely negates the requirement for a massive warhead to eliminate a target. Modern composite airframe materials are meaningfully lighter than Aluminum or steel for the same strength and stiffness provided. The net effect has been to dramatically reduce the mass of sensors and weapons required to find, fix, and eliminate a target, thus the airframe they're attached to. It would be fair to say that piston engine aircraft could carry most of the sensors and weapon systems in a practical manner, at greatly reduced cost relative to any turbine engine aircraft, while flying at the same speeds that are typical of "best maneuvering speeds" for fighter jets.
Whenever fighter jets slow down to turn well enough to evade incoming missiles, best maneuvering speeds range between 350 and 550mph, with most tactical fighter jets exhibiting best maneuvering characteristics between 400 and 500mph. Oddly enough, we developed piston engine aircraft that could cruise between 400 and 450mph, at the same altitudes where modern fighter jets typically operate at (25,000 to 35,000ft), during WWII. The significant increase in cruising speeds of fighter jets does not alter flight physics to enable them to turn better at high subsonic or supersonic speeds, nor "get away with" cruising at high subsonic speeds without burning fuel at a much faster rate. The closest approximation to how modern tactical fighter jets actually operate is by economically cruising at speeds functionally unattainable by piston engine fighters, only to revert back to WWII flight speeds during evasive maneuvers. Even if some fighter jets are technically or functionally capable of out-running a missile, in actual practice air intercept missiles are at least twice as fast as the fighter jets they're fired at. In simple terms, you're never out-running a rocket engine missile in either a turbine or piston engine fighter, but if you can maneuver well, then you can use their speed against them by turning inside of them with a correctly timed evasive maneuver.
If you no longer require enormous carrying capacity provided by more powerful but drastically more expensive and difficult to produce turbine engines, per unit of engine weight, and you'll always need to evade inbound missiles and occasionally dogfight with other fighter type aircraft at flight speeds functionally identical to WWII era piston engine aircraft, is there still an insurmountable advantage offered by turbine engine aircraft and higher flight speeds?
If your air force can affordably field multiple squadrons of piston engine aircraft with identical sensor and weapons capabilities as any other modern tactical fighter jet, can a military that exclusively operates far fewer numbers of turbine engine fighter jets ever win a war of attrition, or do they get to shoot down a handful of your far less costly piston engine fighters, and then still lose the war on the first day after your remaining piston engine fighters bomb all of their much fancier fighter jets on the ground?
The F-15 is a fine flying and fighting machine, clearly much more capable than the P-51s that came before it, but it's also a $100M machine that cannot physically be in 100 different places at the same time. If we pit 100 P-51s against 1 F-15, then the P-51s still win every time, even if they loose 100% of their dogfights against F-15s. The F-15 still requires weapons, which means it still has to land somewhere to rearm. Let's assert that our lone F-15 can shoot down an entire squadron of P-51s. He'll be an "ace" for every bit of a half day, because the remaining 7 squadrons of P-51s will then proceed to strafe or bomb his F-15 on the ground. It no longer matters how individually capable the F-15 is. The problem it's run into is purely a numbers game, and the F-15 loses that fight every single time.
The US Air Force ran an entire series of war games under the moniker "Project J-CATCH" during the 1970s and 1980s using F-4s / F-15s / A-7s / A-10s to intercept helicopter gunships which could fly no faster than 200mph. Using BVR missile shots, the kill ratio in favor of the F-15s was 2.9:1. F-4s attempted to merge with and dogfight the gunships, using Sidewinders and Vulcan autocannons. At that point, both the F-4s and later the F-15s were killed as often or more often than they killed the gunships. WVR dogfights managed 0.7:1 to as high as 1:1 kill ratios in some instances. More maneuverable A-10s carrying minimal air-to-ground ordnance only achieved 1.3:1. The gunships were vulnerable to BVR missile shots because they initially had no radar warning receivers to let them know when they were being attacked. The most frequent problem reported by the fighter pilots who flew against the gunships was that gunships were difficult to find on radar and EO / IR sensors due to ground clutter. They were also much smaller than fighter jets, especially Huey Cobras, therefore difficult to visually acquire. The recommendation regarding combat tactics was that fighter jets should never attempt to dogfight a slower but more maneuverable opponents, because all the thrust and speed their engines could provide was insufficient to avoid 1:1 kill ratios, and to only engage them using BVR missiles when absolutely necessary. The conclusion reached was that fighter jets should use superior speed to avoid them altogether. This only works to a point. When those same opponents resolve to attack your airfield, then what?
MiG-19s are very maneuverable as fighter jets go, and able to turn inside a F-16 in a rate-fight, which is not easy to do. Several MiG-19s were lost attempting to shoot down A-1 Skyraiders during the Viet Nam War using IR guided missiles and cannon fire. The A-1s involved were laden with ordnance for use against ground targets, but had little difficulty turning inside the MiG-19s and hosing them down with 20mm cannon fire. The Vietnamese pilots attempted both high speed passes and maneuvering for positional advantage. Neither tactic proved effective against the A-1s when they were aware that they were being attacked. If A-1s were fabricated from composites to further reduce weight and increase maneuvering limits, and equipped with modern miniaturized air search radars, radar warning receivers, plus Sidewinder or Peregrine missiles, then attacking them using F-15s or F-16s or similar tactical fighter jets would most likely result in 1:1 kill/loss ratios at best. The problem, of course, is that a single F-15 or F-16 costs more than a squadron of A-1s, and a F-15 burns about as much fuel per hour as a squadron of A-1s.
During WWII, several nations made more piston engine fighters per month than the total number of modern fighter jets in existence. Fighter jets are awesome, and the little boy inside me still loves them to pieces, but my more rational adult brain tells me that they still cannot be in more places than we have flyable physical copies of them to fight with. Most of the time half of any given fighter jet squadron is down for maintenance. We don't have 100+ maintainers who work on 4-12 jets in a squadron because they work perfectly all of the time. You fly a fighter jet, something on it inevitably breaks, and then the rest of the day is spent diagnosing and fixing it. This is understood and accepted by people who have actually served in fighter squadrons in any capacity. If the jets are on the ground, then the maintainers are fixing whatever broke the last time they flew. There's also a major difference between flyable vs fully mission capable.
Many people remain completely convinced that speed alone confers an insurmountable technical advantage to turbojet / turbofan engine aircraft, despite all evidence to the contrary from actual and mock air combat engagements. The conclusion I reached is the one supported by my personal knowledge of flight physics from actually flying piston engine aircraft, my time spent supporting a carrier based squadron and air wing that flew combat missions over Afghanistan, and all available evidence collected over the decades on air combat tactics development to evaluate the limitations of jet powered tactical fighters flown against dissimilar adversaries. Speed matters when getting to a target area. Maneuverability then determines whether or not you come home alive. There are no free lunches in aeronautical engineering, so if you design an airframe and engine combination to deliver fantastic speed then you necessarily give up some maneuverability. Balance is what we should strive for. If you already know that all real world fighting will occur at flight speeds readily achievable using piston engines, then truck loads of money can be saved on engines and airframes, then redirected towards more capable sensors and weapons. The sensors do the finding and the weapons do the killing, not the aircraft itself, unless we're talking about kamikazes.
You can spend unlimited money on faster airframes and more powerful engines, but doing so doesn't change fundamental flight physics related to economical cruise flight speeds nor the ability to maneuver well enough to evade incoming missiles or gain positional advantage. You can't engage a turbine powered aircraft in a vertical fight using a piston powered aircraft but that's about it. In the real world you still fight using the strengths of your aircraft. If you pair modern lightweight / compact sensors and weapons with modern high-output automotive piston engines and composite materials for airframes, then you'll be able to manufacture and maintain several squadrons worth of aircraft for the same cost as a single tactical fighter jet. You do not need to bankrupt your nation's air forces with bespoke turbine power plants and functionally unusable speed due to fuel burn rates.
The individual piston engine aircraft are less capable than a singular turbofan powered aircraft, but collectively they deliver vastly more usable combat capability by virtue of at least some of them being fully mission capable and by sheer numbers allowing them to overwhelm enemy air defenses.
I think we've beaten the radiation problem to death.
There's a 6 month transit period where GCR exposure will be high, for the reason GW already mentioned. The maximum exposure is on-par with the annual radiation dose experienced by residents of Ramsar, Iran, over their entire lifetime, although the doses are not precisely equivalent because GCR is more energetic, and therefore more damaging, relativistic nuclei, mostly Protons with some heavier nuclei up to the weight of Iron or so. Once we get to the surface of Mars, regolith shielded structures provide adequate mitigation of all forms of radiation exposure. The same is true of lunar regolith. SPE / CME from the Sun, as GW also noted, absolutely can be a lethal event within minutes to hours of exposure. Fortunately, SPE / CME radiation is also very easy to shield against. Water or plastic works best for SPE / CME shielding, although any material containing Hydrogen has roughly the same molecular weight as the stream of Protons from the Sun or most GCR for that matter, thus elastic collisions between the Protons and Hydrogen-rich material can absorb all or most of the radiation dose.
SPE / CME / GCR exposure on the surface of Mars is significantly reduced because the planet itself blocks half of the potential dose. The Martian atmosphere, thin as it is, also provides substantial protection unless the SPE / CME / GCR Proton stream is almost directly overhead, which is where most of a habitation structure's regolith shielding needs to be to absorb the dose. If you build a structure in a natural depression or one created through excavation, then regolith is only required for overhead shielding.
SpaceNut,
I agree that extensive site prep is a must. We are not going to send 1,000 colonists to Mars with no permanent place to live. Even after the structure is built, it must be stocked with locally grown food and locally acquired water. Furnishings, bedding, towels, toiletries, kitchenware, and clothing mills must also be present. Then and only then can we send more than a construction and maintenance crew.
In their own words, these fanatical and violent leftists view federal law enforcement agents arresting illegal alien child rapists and murderers as "literal nazi gunmen". They call their home state of Minnesota a "battlefield". They claim that they are "at war" with our federal government. At least they now believe in our Second Amendment, which is "progressive" for them, I guess, except that they still don't accept the results of the last election, which was the American electorate collectively exercising their First Amendment rights. That means they still don't believe in "our democracy".
Most of these goobers are delusional "larpers" (live-action role players) who seem to think only their beliefs are "morally correct". In actual practice, they're cannon fodder for our home-grown communist revolutionary wannabes. To be perfectly clear with my leftist Americans, I know how important "larping" is to all of you. I know that dressing up in costumes and pretending to be someone else is an important part of your core identity. As a personal entertainment practice, I take no issue with this. However, if you "play dress up" as a soldier and then engage in violence against federal law enforcement agents, I can tell you as someone who has worn our nation's uniform that you will then be treated as "the enemy", because that is how you have chosen to present yourself to the rest of society. After you publicly state that is what you are, do not whine about being treated as what you claim you are.
Since none of y'all have ever picked up a real history book to know where "your socialist movement" (your brain-bowel movements to people who have studied history or lived in communist countries), you should know that the very first groups of people that the Russian and Chinese communists imprisoned and murdered after they seized power were the artists, actors, and other assorted misfits within their societies. That means the communists convincing you to toss yourselves into a meat grinder today will make you disappear soon after they seize power, because if you were successful in your revolution, then you're a threat to their power.
The Horst Wessel effect refers to the Nazi propaganda machine’s successful transformation of SA member Horst Wessel from an obscure stormtrooper into a revered martyr and mythic hero following his death in 1930. Joseph Goebbels utilized Wessel’s killing by communists to create a cult of personality, using his lyrics—the "Horst Wessel Lied"—as a national anthem to sanitize political violence and encourage absolute devotion to the Nazi movement.
Key elements of this propagandistic effect included:
Martyrdom Myth: Wessel was portrayed as a saintly, self-sacrificing figure, despite his actual life as a pimp and SA leader, transforming his sordid death into a foundational Nazi myth.
The leftist propagandists have already used mass media extensively to portray Alex Pretti, a violent street thug, as a self-sacrificing ICU nurse. They've even used AI-manipulated videos with ICE agents who had no heads to manipulate public perception of what happened.
Iconography and Cult: His grave became a shrine, and he was honored through films (e.g., Hans Westmar), biographies, and the renaming of places, such as Friedrichshain to Horst-Wessel-Stadt.
I stopped counting after seeing 2 dozen different styles of T-shirts making references to Alex Pretti and Renee Good. My personal favorites were "Be Good - Be Pretti" by Tee Public, and "I am Good and Pretti" from a store on Etsy. All the iconography seems to be saying, "be someone who assaults law enforcement officers". The unspoken part is that you're also choosing to be someone who gets shot in the streets after larping as a communist revolutionary foot soldier who has no clue or care that they're being manipulated like "meat puppets" by their leftist politicians- essentially, cannon fodder for their communist cause.
Symbolic Anthem: The song "Die Fahne hoch" (The Flag on High), which Wessel wrote, was elevated to the status of a co-national anthem, promoting the ideals of violence and loyalty to the Führer.
NPR - Bruce Springsteen releases anti-ICE protest song 'Streets of Minneapolis'
LarryLongTroubadour - Ballad of Alex Pretti by Larry Long
Not One More - A Song for Alex Pretti | The Midnight Republic
Justification for Violence: The narrative was used to rationalize SA retaliation against communists and solidify the party's image of aggressive bravery.
The leftist mass media, leftist political office holders, and the rank and file leftists have all used the deaths of Renee Good and Alex Pretti as justification for further violence, but that justification process began long before either of those two cretins met their ends. The moment the massive fraud scheme was revealed to the public, it was necessary for Minnesota Democrats to avert attention away from their criminal enterprise by using violence against federal law enforcement.
offtherock,
its very questionable ethically to be doxing some private information here about somebody.
Only publicly released information provided by Alex Falconer in a YouTube video has been posted here:
MNHouseinfo - Informational interview with Rep.-elect Alex Falconer (DFL-Eden Prairie)
we have no way of knowing or understanding if this should really be here.
Alex Falconer publicly claims he's running a "resistance network" against ICE
I'm going to take Alex Falconer at his word. You are free to fabricate an entirely fictitious alternate reality in your mind.
its lawless
If you think it's "lawful" for members of the Minnesota state government to post real-time information about the locations of ICE agents who are in the process of executing arrest warrants for illegal alien child rapists and murderers, then there is no definition of "lawlessness" that you and I will agree upon.
clark,
Here's a video showing the behavior of your perfect little angel towards ICE a few days before he was shot:
Associated Press - New video shows Alex Pretti in scuffle with federal officers days before his death
These two goobers were caught using Signal Chat to provide real time locations of ICE agents to street thugs like Alex Pretti:
Goober #1:
Goober #2:
clark,
But “they’re trained to fight back” is not a moral blank check, and it’s not even the standard we claim to hold law enforcement to.
If people like Alex Pretti cared at all about morality, they would not assault law enforcement officers in the process of executing an arrest warrant on a child rapist.
Officers aren’t trained to win gunfights as a first principle
If you don't win your gunfights first, then you don't get to apply any other principles.
And “just fight it in court” is a nice slogan until you remember that court is slow, expensive, unevenly accessible, and doesn’t resurrect people.
If Alex Pretti was kept in jail by the State of Minnesota after he assaulted two federal law enforcement officers and vandalized their vehicle 11 days before he was shot during his final assault against federal law enforcement officers, then he'd most likely still be alive today. That means he wouldn't need to be resurrected because he'd still be sitting in a jail cell where he belongs.
Alex Pretti was released because the State of Minnesota and the City of Minneapolis are run by criminals who clearly don't care at all about the people they're supposed to protect and serve, unless Minnesota Democrats now exclusively protect and serve thieves, rapists, and murderers. They keep paying and encouraging their hooligans to fight with federal law enforcement officers, then bailing them out after they get arrested for assaulting federal law enforcement officers, so there's no other logical conclusion to reach.
The signal chat excerpts between Walz, Frey, and their street thugs indicate the violence they're perpetrating is intended to distract attention away from the fact that Walz and Frey were active participants in an organized crime ring which fraudulently disbursed about ten billion dollars worth of Medicaid funding to people who only provided care to their wallets. After having been caught stealing from the federal government, they then thought to themselves, let's add incitement to violence, funding violent organized criminal activities against federal law enforcement, and insurrection to our list of federal charges.
The legal system is exactly why we demand higher restraint from the state: because the government gets more authority, more weapons, more protection, and more second chances than the average person.
The duty to exercise restraint on the part of the state doesn't mean its citizenry are allowed to actively seek out federal law enforcement officers to assault to avert attention away from the criminal activities of their local and state government officials. Thieves like Walz and Frey will always feel entitled to what other people have, but that doesn't mean that they are.
But the state doesn’t get to respond like a rival gang
Gang members randomly attack other people who they believe are part of rival gangs. Whether they are or not is irrelevant to them. This is precisely what the left does, and why they eventually lose public support. If any law enforcement agency starts doing that, then we're in agreement that they're acting like a gang. That's not what happened here, but you are welcome to go through as many anti-logic loops in your head as are required to believe otherwise.
The whole point of professional policing is that the people with the badges are supposed to be the adults in the room—especially when someone else is acting like an idiot.
I'm disappointed that you, a leftist, refuse to support Alex Pretti's right to choose between a court battle and a gun battle. Our professional federal officers worked with Alex Pretti, a professional local street thug and idiot, to save him and the tax paying general public from a slow, expensive, and unevenly accessible criminal trial, which would most likely have resulted in a slow and expensive prison sentence.
WTF is wrong with expecting that we can complain about our government and how our government operates without the fear of being shot down dead in the street like a dog?
You don't "complain about your government" by chasing after federal law enforcement officers and assaulting them in the streets while they're in the process of arresting child rapists. The question you're really asking is, "Why isn't our federal government playing our stupid games by our stupid rules?" The answer is simple and direct. When the left refuses to interact civilly with people who were previously behaving in a civil manner towards them, they only have themselves to blame.
Looks like the leftist communists didn't need to vote; Trump boot lickers are more than happy to grab their ankles while cosplaying a day on Epstein's island.
Our leftist communists are still pretending that laws don't exist if they disagree with them. Everyone else seems to accept that this is not how the law works.
SpaceNut,
The figures I quoted for the life support equipment were provided on the basis of 4 permanent crew members. If there's something they neglected to include, then I don't know about it and would need to reassess, but my assumption is that what NASA choose to make public is "totality of testing results". Broadly speaking, each new life support system they field is a clear generational improvement upon what it replaces or augments. The CAMRAS and IWP systems tested aboard ISS were, in point of fact, sized to support 4 crew members per system, quite possibly because they were ultimately developed to be used aboard Orion, which was designed to support extended duration lunar missions with 4 crew members, and it even said that in the documentation provided by NASA.
Do they have some excess capacity built into them?
Yes, by deliberate design, but the performance margins are meager. However, they were intended to provide long duration life support to 4 physically active crew members. If there are 2 children and 1 woman per physically "more active" man, then performance margins are adequate. Women and children typically consume less oxygen and drinking water than a full grown man because their body mass is less than that of a full grown man. We would not expect them to perform dangerous and arduous EVA construction type activities as a general rule, either.
Starship V1 304L Major Component Masses
3 Bulkheads: 9939kg
19 full rings: 30799kg
1.42m tall bottom ring (77.64%): 1258.5kg
LOX Header tank: 632.6kg
Fairing: 8974kg
51,603kg - Starship V1 primary structure 304L stainless steel to work with
Starship V3 will provide modestly more metal than that, but we'll consider the excess "kerf"- lost to the fabrication processes.
37,050m of 30mm OD / 2mm wall thickness 304L tubing per Starship primary structure.
10 Starships provide 370,500m of tubing to work with.
Let's set the interior volume at 250,000m^3. I'm not going to worry about the individual housing idea for now. That was someone else's idea, so they can figure out the material and other requirements if they're truly interested in pursuing it.
The third figure / image in this Math Stack Exchange is the vessel shape I had in mind:
Why the principal curvature lines intersect in the sphere?
If you click on each image, you can see them in your browser's address bar, and the image file name I'm referring to is "rEMGS.gif".
For a "double toroid" 250,000m^3 interior volume structure, we shall approximate the structure as a pair of inflatable tori with an inner radius of 50m and an outer radius of 70.50385m, which provides an interior volume of 125,000.430m^3 and surface area of 24,385.748m^2 per torus. This is being done purely to determine, roughly speaking, how closely-space the external 304L tubular support structure can be.
Suppose we will use two layers of 300g/m^2 Vectran fabric, which we will fill with finely pulverized regolith- sort of like an enormous Hesco barrier, and the external stainless tubing will support the mass of this toroidal Hesco-type structure. We'll use the basalt tiles later after we figure out how to make those and where to source the material from. For now, this structure will be regolith scooped off the surface of the planet and poured into silicone-impregnated Vectran bags, and supported externally by stainless steel tubing to absorb the tensile loads from internal pressurization. The 304L tubing will be threaded through loops sewn into the exterior of the bags. This is a steel and regolith bag reinforced "pup tent" structure, for all intents and purposes.
48,771.496m^2 * 0.3kg/m^2 = 14,631kg of Vectran
We could bring 100,000kg of Vectran, if so required. The bottom line is that if all we need to do to obtain building materials is to scoop it off the ground, and possibly grind it up or remove the large rocks, we can manage to do that.
Martian regolith is 1,500-2,000kg/m^3.
Chris Stelter's article over at Selenian boondocks points out something that should be obvious about radiation protection on Mars, but isn't. The incident angle at which any SPE / CME / GCR radiation particles are received matters quite a lot, as it relates to how much shielding the atmosphere provides. Most of the required regolith protection is only spread across a 70 degree overhead arc for your habitat module, because the Martian atmosphere, thin as it is, dramatically reduces the required shielding thickness of the walls. The total dose per year is still substantial, in the range of 8 to 33 REM, and needs to be reduced to 5 REM per year.
If the habitat was located at the bottom of the Hellas Basin, then substantial additional shielding would be provided by both the walls of the crater and thicker atmosphere due to depth below MSL. Unfortunately, safe touchdown there is dubious at best. The radiation protection advantage is unlikely to offset the considerable danger to colonists associated with merely trying to land in terrain so rugged, plus the potential difficulties with site prep due to terrain features and the potential requirement to dig to considerable depth to reach the buried ice deposits there. It's tempting, but landing to the south of the rim of Korolev crater is likely to be much more conducive to a safe arrival, and there's an enormous ice deposit both in and surrounding that crater.
I agree with your AI that to make this colony truly productive, rather than a survival bunker, lots of additional power and equipment will be required. I'd like to keep the initial design work focused on building a habitat module for 1,000 colonists. Keeping 1,000 people alive and healthy on another planet is a monumental achievement unto itself.
Well, here are some solid numbers to work with that come from actual testing aboard ISS and in NASA's labs:
Astronaut daily CO2 production is about 1kg per person and they consume 1 gallon of water per person.
Thermally-Regenerated 4-Bed Solid Amine CO2 Removal System with Air and Water Save Features (CAMRAS):
400W 120VAC constant power draw for 1 of 4 sequentially heated amine beds.
415W average / 526W peak 28VDC power draw for fans, pumps, and control electronics.
4.71kg of maximum demonstrated CO2 removal capacity per day aboard ISS over a 1,000 day test.
The system is therefore "sized" for 4 astronauts, or 1/250th of our colony's head count.
926W * 250 = 231,500W of constant power to support CO2 scrubbing for 1,000 colonists, with a 17.75% CO2 removal performance margin for degraded system operation.
Cumulative air mass vented to space over 1,000 days of operation: 16.1lbm, so 4,025lbm over 1,000 days for 1,000 colonists, which equates to 4.025lbm of required atmospheric replenishment per day 78% N2, 21% O2, and 1% Ar. I've no idea how to source the N2 yet, but the O2 can be provided by CO2 and the Martian atmosphere also contains 2.7% Nitrogen and 1.6% Argon by mass.
Cumulative water mass vented to space over 1,000 days of operation: 67.9lbm, so 16.9775lbm / 2.04 gallons per day for 1,000 people. The water save feature of CAMRAS is crucial to life support, otherwise 80.4lbm / 9.64 gallons per day would be lost for 1,000 colonists.
Ionomwer Water Processor (IWP) Assembly peak power draw: 195W
Urine Processor Assembly (UPA) active / standby power draw: 424W / 108W
Water Recovery System (WRS; UPA + IWP) time averaged power draw: 743Wh/hr
743W * 250 = 185,750W
ISS Waste Water Recovery Per Day: 34.34 gallons / 130L per day (98% recovery rate)
This implies that total water processing for 1,000 colonists will be 2,146.25 gallons per day.
Minimal Life Support Power Draw: 417,250W
That figure does not include fan-based air circulation / ventilation, waste heat removal, or more advanced life support functions such as hot showers and cooking / cleaning, merely the minimum CO2 scrubbing and waste water recovery to keep 1,000 people alive.
It would be reasonable to assume that 417,250W of power draw is ultimately dissipated as waste heat, which needs to be rejected to space via radiators. 1,000 colonists, all working about as hard as they could sustain for 1 hour, would generate just under 98,000W of waste heat.
The fan power to deliver 15 air changes per hour to a 144,000ft^3 / 4,078m^3 auditorium filled with 1,000 people is 36,000CFM, so 36,000CFM * 0.8W/CFM = 28,800W. This structure is approximately 31X larger, so we can probably get away with as few as 4 complete air changes per hour because it's so big. The smaller the interior volume of a structure relative to the number of people inside, the more air changes per hour are required to keep the air fresh. However, that still bumps our total wattage up to 59,520W. If we really want to be completely pedantic about this, then 892,800W is required to provide 15 air changes per hour for a 125,000m^3 internal volume structure. It'll be like living inside a wind tunnel, though, so perhaps that's a bit over-the-top.
3MW worth of power for 1,000 colonists is likely more than sufficient for basic life support functions, to include hot showers and interior lights, especially if we use some of that waste heat to warm up our frosty cold fresh water supply.
However...
After we include grow lights for crops, our power requirements increase considerably. Indoor food production requires 20-50W/ft^2, up to 60W/ft^2 for tomatoes / peppers / fruits. Indoor food farming as a general practice has an energy intensity of 850–1150 kWh/m^2/year.
Crop Yields, kcal Per Square Meter Per Year
Potatoes: 4,398
Corn: 3,039
Wheat: 1,581
Soybeans: 519
38.8kWh/kg is a rough industry average power consumption for indoor vertical farming.
A family of 4 supposedly needs 2.9 million calories per year.
1 acre = 4046.86m^2
Roughly speaking, 1 acre will feed 24 colonists by using a staple crop like potatoes, which means "the farm" needs to be 168,819m^2.
2,083,333kg of potatoes * 38,800Wh/kg implies 80,833,320,400Wh/year, or 9,227,548W of constant power input.
Roughly speaking, our 1,000 colonists require a constant power input of 12MWe for air / water / food at all times. The average American citizen apparently consumes 9,334W of constant input power, time-averaged over a year. Therefore, our Martian colonists are merely well-to-do Americans "living their best life" on another planet. There will undoubtedly be much higher total input power requirements for other economic activities, but I'm still shocked at how American-like this colony is, on the basis of total power consumption.
People living in Qatar, Iceland, Singapore, and the UAE apparently all consume significantly more energy per capita than Americans do. People living in Qatar require 25,907W of constant power input, while people living in Iceland require a constant power input of 19,121W. Perhaps what our Martian colonists are really going to demonstrate to people still living on Earth is how to live efficiently when every last bit of air, water, and food has to either be recycled or made from scratch.
Current data indicates that we need to drill wells approximately 10-14km deep to access 150C temperatures for supercritical CO2 turbo-electric generators to produce 3MWe per unit. A geothermal energy company apparently has been testing 3MWe supercritical CO2 gas turbines in Texas using 150C operating temperatures and the "thermosiphon" effect of SCO2's dramatic volume increase to eliminate the need for pumping power to bring the "hot" CO2 back to the surface to drive the turbine. Since we made that work here on Earth, over the same target depth, we can obviously make it work on Mars, albeit with greater difficulty. If we manage to hit a natural gas well, then we're definitely in business.
If someone has a 10-15MWe micro nuclear reactor that doesn't require any water for cooling and electric power generation, that would be very useful to have on Mars. While such systems do exist and are in testing, to my knowledge none are currently certified for commercial electric power generation. If / when such systems do become available, we would want to take several of those with us, provided that they only require limited site prep to deploy and use. Across all the various different kinds of power systems, nuclear heat is the most reliable form of thermal power generation. However, getting your hands on any nuclear reactor implies you have extensive and recurrent training and certification to use it. That said, we could probably stipulate that anyone going to Mars has an advanced education and could be trained to use the equipment safely. The US Navy has operated nuclear reactors over the past human lifetime without a single meltdown, so whatever they're doing is obviously working. Therefore, if we do choose to operate reactors, then we're sending our reactor operators to the Navy's schools for indoctrination, training, and testing.
Personally, I'm in favor of geothermal, solar thermal, nuclear thermal, and a natural gas well. We can have our academic debate over which form of heat is "the best" at a later date.
tahanson43206,
I think we could do something like that. We may or may not need extra materials. I don't know yet. So long as we don't attempt to create something for which there are gross material requirements far in excess of what we could reasonably bring with us or source locally, we can modify or amend this idea as-required. I'm not fixated on any particular idea or plan. As long as we don't try to take this concept and transform it into something unworkable, then it can go wherever the group thinks works best. If that means some sort of central structure with separate personal living spaces for the colonists, that's fine with me.
tahanson43206,
I was in the waiting room for 8 to 10 minutes, at which point I decided I wasn't going to get in, so I disconnected from the meeting and then reconnected to see if you would receive a notification the second time around.
tahanson43206,
Is the meeting up and running? I'm in the waiting room.
Last week we set the number of colonists at 1,000 people. I'm still trying to come up with my estimates for the life support requirements, because that sets the power requirements.
Net Habitable Volume Requirements are driven by this document from NASA:
Defining the Required Net Habitable Volume for Long-Duration Exploration Missions
Their defined minimum volume for 6 crew members is 27.3m^3. For this proposed facility, I'm estimating 125m^3 of net habitable volume per person, which works out to 125,000m^3, equivalent to a "box" style building with dimensions of 50mL x 50mW x 50mH. My initial estimates still show quite a bit more tensile material to work with, though, assuming 10 Starships worth of 304L, so I think it will be significantly larger than that.
When I have my numbers for life support, power, and materials available, I can then estimate how much basalt needs to be extracted and converted into tiles.
There's no new manufacturing I'm aware of, but one single redevelopment project for the Sea Coast Landing is half a billion dollars, so it's not as if nobody is investing new money into New Hampshire in 2025. Apparently part of that project or some other "Seacoast" project will include new industrial spaces, at 100 New Hampshire Avenue in Portsmouth, which I presume will be used for local industrial projects. The businesses coming back or expanding in New Hampshire appear to be mostly retail and family oriented stuff, but a new job is still a job.
How difficult, relatively speaking, is it to move large quantities of people and materials in and out of New Hampshire?
How big is the workforce there?
SpaceNut,
I literally went to the first item on President Trump's list and found this:
Apple’s Major Investment Cements Houston as a Leading U.S. Manufacturing and Tech Hub
Houston has scored a major win in the global manufacturing and technology race. Apple announced plans to open an advanced manufacturing facility in the Houston region. Part of a $600 billion national investment, the new 250,000-square-foot facility will bring AI-driven manufacturing to Houston, reshoring critical operations from overseas.
The facility, set to open in 2026, will focus on the production of servers that support Apple Intelligence, the tech giant’s AI software system. By relocating this key manufacturing process from abroad to the U.S., Apple is making a strong statement about Houston’s role in the future of American high-tech manufacturing.
Yep, thar she be:
I found that with less than 5 seconds of searching.
If you're not finding anything, then maybe it's because the tools you're using don't want you to find anything.
Regardless, it won't change the nature of reality.
The money is real, the buildings are real, and the people going into and out of them are real, because the jobs are real.