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#1 Re: Human missions » Pres. commission wants ambitious space program » 2002-08-31 20:21:54

Mark S,

I'm confused... how can there be fallout in space? There is no material to 'fall out'... no ash, air, etc. A particular reference comes to mind in the US / USSR EMP attack options of the cold war, where a nuke is detonated in the stratosphere, and since there is no material to absorb the radiation it all gets emitted as gamma rays, etc.

If Dyson was concerned he would probably know what he was on about... so what am I missing or not understanding?

#2 Re: Human missions » Interior Layout of the habitat » 2002-08-31 09:34:08

I just checked out the Artemis Project website.  They suggest using robots to cover up their lunar module in regolith, to insulate and act as a radiation shield.  This might not be a bad idea.  Question is how long it would take to do, and if holes can still be left for the windows and airlock door without compromising the shieldiness (just made that word up) of the cover.

heh, shieldiness  <!--emo&:D

Zubrin noted (briefly, as always) in The Case for Mars that the astronauts could fill sandbags with regolith upon arrival and lay them over the roof of the hab. The practicaility of this would depend on the condition of the astronauts on landing (It would be a shame if a weak astronaut fell off the roof of the Hab on M-Day 2 and broke a leg.)

Using regolith in some fashion would be appropriate and efficient, and suit the 'living off the land' theme of the exploration. The pressurised Rover could have a backhoe / shovel attachment for excavating and displacing regolith.

Gregory Benford noted in his novel The Martian Race that hab water was stored in a distributed fashion through the hull, to provide an addition layer of radiation coverage.

If water can be produced in-situ from permafrost or other sources it would be a good shielding material. The Astronauts could inflate bladders (either separable or built in) mounted on the roof or walls.  It could not be assumed however that Astronauts could be able to find and extract water on the first mission though. Water has the advantage that it can be pumped from one location to another, albeit in a heavily insulated hose.

--Merp.

#3 Re: Human missions » Should we  return to the moon  first? » 2002-08-29 06:28:13

Clearly, there is synergy between the ERV and a moon shuttle. The same can be said for hab design, spacesuit design, reactor design, rover design, etc.

I think I disagree with you here, RobS. There is a practical limit to the amount of synergy you could expect between such radically different environments.

Environment suit, rover, greenhouse, expedition logistics, construction , life support and other technology designed for the moon would be completely different than that employed on Mars.

On the moon an environment suit is a minature spaceship. It would require total life support and protection from hard radiation. It would have to withstand huge differences in temperature. All this means a fairly bulky, limited suit. This is not a huge inconvenience, since Luna has only 1/6 the gravity of Earth.

On Mars, however, its doubtful the same suit would be practical. Mars has twice the gravity of the moon. The extremes of temperature such a suit must endure are significantly less, as is the exposure to radiation. Life support need not be total - instead of scrubbing exhalation you can vent it since there is an unlimited supply of O2 at the nearest rover or base camp. Of course a Mars-designed environment suit would be even more useless on the moon.

The same can be said about every other required technology. Do you think the flimsy lunar rovers would have been any use on Mars, if they were taken there? Do you think it wise to over-engineer for Martian gravity construction techniques bound for the moon? What size aeroshield should we use for capture into lunar orbit?

Sure, its possible to design systems suitable for both environments, but not economically. You would be wasting mass and limiting functionality for no good reason. Such systems would cost more and be over-engineered. And since the differences between the systems would originate at the core concept level, its difficult to find the synergy between distinct development projects.

There are similarities in some systems (like habitats that must meet the rigorous requirements of space travel regardless of the final destination) but in terms of R&D, the intellectual benefits of going to Mars before the Moon or vice versa seem purely psychological. Where is the cost saving?

--Merp.

#4 Re: Human missions » Mars Direct Rethought - Fixing the potholes in Zubrin's plan » 2002-08-24 19:14:57

Thanks RobS

One thing I have always wondered about cyclers is how easy would it be to 'jump on' as it went past? Additionally, if the maneuver for whatever reason failed, what abort options would be available?

I'm not sure I like the idea of separating the MAV and ERV since it introduces two significant complications - the need for an orbital rendevous and the maintenance issues you mentioned, including long term storage of cryogenic fuels in orbit. The reusability of a MAV you mention is very promising but would require an integrated landing capability that would drive up the mass.

On the other hand, For both ERV and Hab missions I really get the feeling that we could do with more space. The MAV/ERV should have enough space for the reactor, a chemical plant (of greater flexibility and adaptability than Zubrins' ) and other missions supplies for both scientific and engineering experiments.

The pressurised Rover should definately arrive with the Hab, to provide the mobility required in the case the landing places the crew far away from the ERV. Apart from this I think the weights Zubrin quotes are bit optimistic.

All of which suggests we should use alternate propulsion to increase the mass delivered to the surface. This isn't as big a deal as it was when Zubrin wrote The Case for Mars.

I wonder if we could modularize certain pieces of equipment to make them common between both the ERV / Hab?  eg If both the Hab and ERV have three 'stages'.

Hab - standard Hab section(HAB), mission section (MIS), and Lander sections (LND) (Re-entry rockets and struts on the bottom, aeroshield, parachute, solar energy and communications gear on the top). 

ERV - standard Hab section(HAB), standard Lander section (LND)  and earth return section (ERN) (delivers the Hab to mars orbit or earth)

This obviously isn't a perfect concept (where does the chem plant go?), but I think investing in designs with common elements would be worthwhile,  saving money, simplifying production and allowing flexibility in mission by swapping out sections.

Just a thought smile

PS. Does anyone know where I can find out information on using the TransHAB in a Mars mission?

--Merp

#5 Re: Human missions » Mars Direct Rethought - Fixing the potholes in Zubrin's plan » 2002-08-24 05:04:04

I would very much like to hear about the inefficiencies of Mars Direct, and how they might be addressed.

Cheers!

#6 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Transfer of energy - HOW? » 2002-08-24 04:41:16

I don't know if the doom and gloom over 0.38G is justified. 0.38G is greater than 0G by a factor of... (work it out). Its a substantial difference and the truth is we don't have research on long-term low gravity exposure to say either way.

My own feeling is that any (non-zero) gravity well might stop bone decalcification, which is the real demon. As far as I know muscular deterioration is thoroughly reversable, and in 0.38G, 5psi, heavy physical activity environment would probably be negligible.

I agree with Zubrin that hosting humans in LEO just for the purpose of discovering how bad the effects of zero G are is entirely unethical, as is the lack of research into artificial gravity.

--Merp

#7 Re: Human missions » Should we  return to the moon  first? » 2002-08-24 02:47:26

I favor a Mars first approach.

One thing to consider is that current scientific interest in Mars is also very high, both as a Earth analogue and in the search for past or present life. Scientific interest has been building since the SNC meteorite controversy and is continuing to build with the discovery of large amounts of what is probably water permafrost.

Secondly, if you can only start one endeavor in the near term, it should be the technologically harder (Mars) - especially if the easier option (The moon) can make the more difficult one less so down the road. Political support being what it is, once that support is captured it is somewhat easier to ask for a little more down the track than a lot. eg. "Now that we are exploring Mars, lets use the moon to make it cheaper" is more effective than. "Thanks for setting the moon up, the next thing we want is Mars".

Sometimes we must make a backward step, and if we do so from Mars, at least we might land on Luna and not LEO.

Thirdly, having said that, although technologically harder to get off the ground, Mars has huge environmental advantages that we know about. Those advantages are not just planetary supplies of water from the permafrost and possible aquifers, and free carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, but I hope it is clear just how huge those 2 advantages are. C, H, O - this is the stuff of life.

By comparison, Luna may be resource rich, but that doesn't change the fact that walking around requires wearing a minature spacecraft, breathing requires intensive mining operations and that no one is certain what you might need to do to procure a glass of water. The moon -and we admittedly don't know enough about it - might never be self-sufficient on a month to month basis, but we already know Mars can be.

In summary, I favor going to Mars, because I fear that going to Luna will delay us getting to Mars a lot more than vice versa. Going to Mars pushes humans further than they have ever been, and this can be used to encourage development of the moon. 

--Merp

#8 Re: Human missions » No Huamans to Mars anytime soon... - Space.com article re: future of Mars » 2002-08-24 01:48:03

Hi people,
       This is my first post so please bear with me.  I'd like to add some Canadian perspective here. 
       Firstly, for the time being, there simply isn't going to be any space race.  China? Forget it.  The entire world seems only too willing to wait and see if America is going to Mars.  Canada, the Europeans, and the Russians will do studies for ever but not commit one real cent unless "America leads us".    sad And it is clear your leaders are quite comfortable with that.
      Those of us who want to see humanity moving out into the solar system had better get alot more creative.  We who want this to happen will have to devise ways to create our own constituancy in which we control the purse strings.  A muilti-national corporation of some sort that actually produces products people will invest in now, but that is owned by an organization that is commited to our goals, so that it can collect the profits.  I would like to have government programs do the work for us, but how many more years can we go on watching the date of the first manned mission recede indefinitly into the future.   ???

After doing some research on the net, I've been pleasantly surprised by 2 things

1) non-US government development in the space sector is tanglible and growing. ESA's Mars Express / Beagle 2, France's Netlander, Japan's Nozumi(sp?) and the Plantary Society's Cosmos Solar Sail project are all in the works right now.

Nasa is throwing money into a blackhole with the ISS at the moment. At the same time countries like China are developing a manned spaceflight capability while other agencies are targeting Mars with robotic science missions. The launch vehicle market is saturated at the moment, driving down prices. Russian infrastructure provides a cost-effective alternative to that in the US.

How long will it take the average US Congressman to realise that the US technical advantage is being eroded?

2) Nasa's Smaller, Faster, Cheaper approach is obviously not achieving our goals for human exploration, but it is providing an excellent scientific payoff. Does any one doubt that the confirmation of large permafrost deposits on Mars help our cause?

The highly successful Discovery and Scout class missions have introduced competitiveness into some parts of NASA operations. The New Frontiers program proposed by the administration will extend this to larger scale (<= $650m)missions. There is a problem, however, with this cheaper robotic approach to exploration of the solar system. As noted recently by the National Academy of Sciences, less money per mission means less technology development is achieved.

I'm all for NASA's scientific exploration of the Mars.

I have a question, however. If you are going to end up spending billions of dollars over 20+ years sending robotic missions to Mars, all the while NOT generating much public interest, culminating in a sample return mission,  why not just bite the bullet - Develop a manned mission architecture that not only achieves the science goals, but that also pushes technology and human endeavor forward.

It is frustrating, but perhaps in the long run the lack of US progress towards moving man out of LEO will allow other nations to start catching up, and inadvertantly reignite some vision and drive within the US government. I blame NASA for a lot of the current situation, but responsibility must be shared across all industrialised nations.

--Merp

#9 Re: Human missions » Interior Layout of the habitat » 2002-08-24 00:44:34

Looking over the previous posts, I'm confused. Briefly, what is the mission architecture you are proposing?

If you send a crew of 6 don't all the weight allowances for the Hab go out the door?

#10 Re: Human missions » Mars Direct Rethought - Fixing the potholes in Zubrin's plan » 2002-08-23 23:57:53

Hi all. This is my first post... I thought I would cut my teeth replying to Matt

Firstly, Zubrin clearly states that a tether be used to connect the hab/aeroshell combo to the spent rocket stage that pushed the whole thing on the way to Mars.
What is this tether going to be made of?
I've heard that tethers have problems with oscillations.
Can mid-course corrections be made using precision computer controlled propellant firings?

You could use carbon nanotubes as the tether material. They are mentioned in a recent Space.com article about current groups with designs on a terrestrial space elevator. I imagine the same issues would be applicable to both applications, except for scale.

On this issue of mid-course corrections... I think it would be quite possible. After all, nearly every correction must be well timed anyway. I would advocate carrying some small amounts of reserve propellent and hydrazine just in case rotation or course needs further refinement (owing to the lack of experimental data on such).

Next, the whole plan rests on in-situ production of rocket fuel for the return trip.  How effective and fail proof is the storage process for keeping the fuel for the duration of the wait for the crew as well as the duration of the proposed 500 day stay?

What risk factors do you imagine? Storage of a propellent that doesn't need cryogenic storage should be relatively simple - or at least a lot simpler than imported alternatives. In fact I think a bigger risk factor would be the transit and storage of the small amount of H2 feedstock that Zubrin specifies. 

Speaking of fuel production, the power source suggested by Zubrin is a small nuclear powerplant.  How likely is this?
And what reasonable alternatives are there?  Also, keep in mind that it also has to power the Hab reliably for the 500 day stay. (unless the Hab comes with its own power)

The hab, according to Zubrin's fitout, has an independent 5kWe Solar power source. Presumably this includes batteries and is operable on the surface (pg 94 TCFM certainly talks like it is).

On the nuclear issue, the NRC's recent SSE survey highlighted the requirement for nuclear power generation in space. Also featuring prominently is the development of advanced RTGs:

The solution to the power and propulsions problems is development of advanced nuclear power sources... Advanced radioisotope thermoelectric generators (RTGs) are required to replace the depleted inventory of first-generation RTGs. Advanced RTGs are required for both spacecraft power and for early low-power versions of in-space nuclear electric propulsion (NEP)... Finally, a compact and efficient (high thrust to mass ratio) flightqualified nuclear-fission reactor should be developed... The SSE Survey is highly supportive of NASA?s nuclear power aand in-space nuclear propulsion initiative. The committee believes that this program can produce advanced flight-qualified RTGs in the second half of this decade that could be flown on the Europa Geophysical Explorer and Jupiter Polar Orbiter with Probes, and on the Mars Smart Lander/Mobile Surface Laboratory.

Onward and upward...

Is there actually enough to do during the long 500 day stay?
I was wondering if you could pack an M-year's worth of experiments into the tunacan that is the Hab while still meeting wieght requirments.

Once again, Zubrin's weight allowance for science and field equipment is 1 tonne. I don't know how much equipment this buys, but it is probably important to remember that the astronauts can use the same equipment to do the same experiments across their entire accessible range. Boring for the astronauts, maybe, but probably very valuable science-wise. In comparison to robotic visits, 1 tonne is a huge amount, and it is leveraged by the fact that humans can use such equipment a lot more flexibly, and in different situations than a robot.

Also, remember that time will be taken up by travelling (in the rover), day to day maintainence, R&R and communications and reports to Earth. If the next Hab were deployed elsewhere on the planet, the explorers would only 500 days to explore as much as possible of it. This doesn't seem like a lot to me.

I hope we can fix these little problems.  Perhaps these are some of the reasons why NASA, ESA, or Russia hasn't picked up this obviously ingenious plan.

I know.. I keep thinking that there must be some pretty serious flaws in the design for the agencies to ignore it like they have. Does anyone know the rationale behind Nasa's Mars Semi-Direct? Perhaps if we can work out why they changed the architecture we could discern what they perceived its faults to be?

My guess is that if Mars Direct is perceived to have flaws they could be:

1) that the weight allowances might be way off
2) that maintainence issues might be under-represented - What are the consequences of dust contamination of the hab and vital machinery, etc?

Cheers.

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