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As Th indicated the season is slowly winding in with Erin.
AI Overview
2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season halfway overThe official Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st to November 30th each year, with the peak activity generally occurring from mid-August to mid-October. During this time, forecasters like those at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) issue outlooks for the number of storms, while the public is urged to prepare their families and homes for potential impacts from tropical systems.
Key Aspects of Hurricane Season:
Dates: June 1 to November 30.
Peak Activity: The most active period is typically from mid-August through mid-October.
Forecasting: Agencies like NOAA and Colorado State University provide outlooks, predicting the likelihood of above-normal, near-normal, or below-normal activity.
Factors influencing activity: Warm sea surface temperatures, neutral El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions, and weak wind shear are factors that tend to favor increased storm development and intensification.
Preparedness: Residents in hurricane-prone areas, like South Florida, are encouraged to create emergency plans and gather supplies well in advance of any storm threat.
Hurricane Erin weakens to Category 3, still poses threat to islands
current path
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(th)
Good luck to all who will be in the path of any of the storms this season.
(th)
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Hurricane forecasters track Tropical Storm Fernand in the Atlantic
Hurricane forecasters have turned their attention from Erin to other developing tropical systems in the Atlantic, including one that has developed into Tropical Storm Fernand.
That system, which is associated with showers and thunderstorms, is currently about 405 miles south-southeast of Bermuda, the National Hurricane Center said in an outlook issued at 5 p.m. ET Saturday, Aug. 23.
Fernand is expected to "move well east of Bermuda and across the open waters of the subtropical North Atlantic," according to the outlook.
Some strengthening is forecast over the next 48 hours, and Fernand could reach near hurricane strength by Monday, Aug. 25. The storm is expected to weaken on Tuesday, Aug. 26, according to the outlook.
Before becoming a tropical storm, forecasters said they did not expect any major impact on the United States mainland.
"At this time, direct wind and rain impacts are not expected in the U.S.," AccuWeather's lead hurricane expert, Alex DaSilva, said previously, "but rip currents and rough surf could impact some East Coast beaches again next week.”
The storm, which was moving north at 10 to 15 mph at the time, was thought to possibly follow a similar path to Hurricane Erin's and even come close, or directly hit, Bermuda as a hurricane, according to AccuWeather.
“This storm is expected to produce several inches of rain, wind gusts of 60-80 mph, rough seas and surf and storm surge of several feet,” AccuWeather lead hurricane expert Alex DaSilva said in the earlier forecast.
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So far so good with just extra coastal rain.
Forecasters watch tropical wave; Tropical Storm Kiko expected to become hurricane
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Starting to get wild and crazy.
Gulf on alert for hurricanes during 2nd half of September
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