Vincent Weather, US

Vincent · 2012-10-25 09:38:05

She has curved to the NNW, a little early.

Visible Sat link. Will update with infrared (IR) latter today.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater … -long.html

Vincent · 2012-10-25 10:02:25

This is sort of cool as we watch the modified arctic air move about. How can you tell snow on the ground from clouds? Clouds move, snow don't.

Visible loop of High Plains snow....Crank up animation speed.....

http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/d … duration=3

Vincent

Vincent · 2012-10-25 10:07:29

12Z GFS, still has storm heading to Nantucket.

Last edited by Vincent (2012-10-25 12:04:55)

Vincent · 2012-10-25 12:04:35

Models are coming in agreement with the GFS an outlier. Residents of long Island New York are under the gun with 960 MB storm center on shore in 108 hrs.

Thank God it appears to go just north of Baltimore. We don't need no power outages. That's my little town... Our prayers with those in its path.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1jg8jf9o … re=related

Vincent · 2012-10-25 12:13:51

SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.5N 75.4W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM E OF GREAT EXUMA ISLAND
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SE OF ELEUTHERA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES

Vincent · 2012-10-25 12:19:03

Hurricane Statement
HURRICANE SANDY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1233 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...INCREASING WINDS AND RAIN AS SANDY MOVES OVER BAHAMAS...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED SITUATION OVERVIEW AND PROBABILITY AND WIND SECTIONS IN
THE SEGMENTS.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL BROWARD AND COASTAL MIAMI DADE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE PALM BEACH TO MIAMI DADE COASTAL WATERS INCLUDING BISCAYNE BAY
AND ALSO FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND PALM
BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...COASTAL COLLIER...INLAND COLLIER...
INLAND BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...INLAND MIAMI DADE...METRO MIAMI
DADE...MAINLAND MONROE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE...POSSIBLE
IMPACTS FROM RELATED HAZARDS ARE STILL A CONCERN.

IN FACT...A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR METRO PALM BEACH...METRO
BROWARD...AND METRO MIAMI DADE COUNTIES FOR FREQUENT GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF 35 MPH THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING AS SANDY PASSES TO THE EAST
OF SOUTH FLORIDA

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.4N...LONGITUDE 75.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT 410 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF WEST PALM BEACH FL...OR ABOUT 390 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
FORT LAUDERDALE FL...OR ABOUT 380 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FL.
STORM MOTION WAS N OR 360 DEGREES AT 16 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS
105 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE LATEST NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST SHOWS SANDY MOVING
THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST BAHAMAS AS A HURRICANE THROUGH
FRIDAY, WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN EXPECTED IMPACTS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA.

DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK, AS WINDS WILL INCREASE
THROUGH FRIDAY AS BANDS OF SHOWERS MOVE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL APPROACH THE
EAST COAST PARTICULARLY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING BEFORE THEY
BEGIN TO PULL AWAY FROM THE AREA. AS THEY DO SO THEY COULD
POTENTIALLY BRUSH THE COAST. EVEN IF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS DO NOT REACH THE COAST, OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT GUSTS
OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA COAST. THIS WILL LEAD TO POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS CONDITIONS
FOR OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES AND THEREFORE THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT.

IN ADDITION, DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND BEACH EROSION ARE EXPECTED
ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE
ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST ACROSS TRADITIONALLY COASTAL FLOOD PRONE
AREAS. THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF BISCAYNE BAY ARE PARTICULARLY MOST
VULNERABLE TO MINOR COASTAL FLOODING DUE TO PROLONGED ALONG SHORE
NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS THE BAY. THE GREATEST RISK OF THIS MINOR
FLOODING IS THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF FRIDAY BEFORE WINDS BEGIN TO
TURN OFFSHORE. OVERWASH OF BEACH ROADS IS POSSIBLE PARTICULARLY NEAR
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE WHICH ARE SHORTLY BEFORE SUNRISE.

SCATTERED AND FAST MOVING HEAVY SHOWERS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF SOUTH
FLORIDA TODAY, WITH RAIN BANDS FROM THE OUTER EDGE OF SANDY
POSSIBLY AFFECTING SOUTHEAST FLORIDA THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING IS A
POSSIBILITY IF BANDS PERSIST. HOWEVER, CHANGES IN THE FORECAST
COULD STILL RESULT IN A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN THE FLOODING
POTENTIAL...SO RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION AS CONDITIONS EVOLVE THROUGH THE REMINDER OF THE WEEK.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD COMPLETE
PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE
FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW AND SECURE YOUR VESSEL BEFORE LEAVING. BE
SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO
YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU
CAN ALSO GO TO READY.GOV, READYSOUTHFLORIDA.ORG,
FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE AMERICAN RED CROSS AT REDCROSS.ORG
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND 6 PM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FLZ063-066>075-174-260045-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.S.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
1233 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...GUSTY WINDS AND INCREASING SHOWERS...

...WINDS...
WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY WITH GUSTS TO 30 TO
40 MPH, HIGHEST OVER METRO AREAS OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA AS SHOWERS
MOVE RAPIDLY THROUGH THE AREA. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE EVEN
MORE LATE TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY ON FRIDAY AS HURRICANE SANDY
MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO SOUTH FLORIDA. GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED ON FRIDAY, HIGHEST OVER THE METRO AREAS OF SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR METRO MIAMI-DADE,
BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES.

THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW
TROPICAL STORM FORCE. AT THIS TIME...REMAIN CALM AND STAY INFORMED.

$$

Vincent · 2012-10-25 14:58:42

Infrared(IR) loop for the night.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater … -long.html

Vincent · 2012-10-25 15:05:30

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
500 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM AND SAVANNAH GA TO
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 60 NM...INCLUDING CHARLESTON HARBOR AND GRAYS
REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY

AMZ352-261200-
WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM-
500 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY THIS EVENING.
.FRI...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT...BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. N WINDS 25 TO 30 KT
WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL EARLY
MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE.
.SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT
WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL LATE
AFTERNOON...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT...SUBSIDING TO 10 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT...SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT...
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING NW 10 TO 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

Vincent · 2012-10-25 16:24:33

18Z GFS is now in-line with land fall on Long Island NY. I suggest if you live there start storm preperations....

Aint going to be no picnic in Baltimore...

Vincent

Last edited by Vincent (2012-10-25 16:26:16)

Vincent · 2012-10-27 09:01:07

Storm up-date

12Z data is begining to arrive. Will up-date on the land fall and warm sector rains and winds throughout the afternoon. This will be an epic storm as tropical air clashes with modified arctic air over central New Jersey around 8PM EDT Monday night.

Would like to bring to light the potential for 1-2 feet of snow for the high country of NW North Carolina, Virginia, and West Virginia beginning after dust Sunday night. Snow levels will start above 3500 feet and will drop to 1500 feet on Monday. Winds will increase to 30-40 mph with Hurricane force gust above 3000 feet.

Rain could mix with or change to snow in the low-lands of Virginia and Maryland, including Washington DC and Baltimore late Monday night with SW winds gusting to 30 mph and temperatures falling into the mid 30's.

Vincent

Last edited by Vincent (2012-10-27 09:03:20)

Vincent · 2012-10-27 09:38:22

Central pressure at 11:00 AM EDT or 15Z 958 MBs. Pressures fallin Rapidly at Cape Hatteras NC. Winds gusting to 35 mph on shore. Bouy data winds 40-50 mph 30 miles off shore.

Vincent

LOCATION...29.0N 76.0W
ABOUT 190 MI...310 KM NNE OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
ABOUT 355 MI...570 KM SE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES

Last edited by Vincent (2012-10-27 09:46:58)

Vincent · 2012-10-27 10:09:36

Well, here it is folks .

Seas 10 feet above normal with waves 10 feet on top in New York City. Long Island looks to be ground zero. Winds gusting to 90 mph as 948 MB storm makes landfall in Central New Jersey. Winds gust to 80 mph from DC north.. This Sucks.
If that not enough, 10-15 inches of rain. Widespread flooding no doubt.

Let us all pray for the well-being of our brothers. Abide by all evacuation orders.

Vincent

Last edited by Vincent (2012-10-27 10:53:29)

Vincent · 2012-10-27 11:16:35

Squalls move into the outer banks of NC and Norfolk Va. This link will up-date. If not, hit refresh. Wind gust to 30 mph.

An old sailor, must high-light Norfolk Va.

Vincent

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= … 1&loop=yes

Five hr visible sat loop. Will up date to infrared late today.

http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/d … duration=5

Last edited by Vincent (2012-10-27 11:22:37)

Vincent · 2012-10-27 11:43:44

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1032 AM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON...

.THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE SANDY WILL LIKELY MOVE INTO NORTHERN
WEST VIRGINIA...TO INTERACT WITH A STALLING COLD FRONT...AND ITS
ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.

WVZ038-046-047-272245-
/O.CON.KRLX.WS.A.0004.121029T0600Z-121031T0000Z/
WEBSTER-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COWEN...MARLINTON...ELKINS
1032 AM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...POCAHONTAS...RANDOLPH...WEBSTER COUNTIES.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...10 TO 14 INCHES.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

* TIMING...RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. THE
HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

* IMPACTS...THE HEAVY WET SNOW MAY BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS...
CAUSING POWER OUTAGES OR FLUCTUATIONS. UNTREATED ROADS MAY
BECOME VERY SLICK ACROSS THE HIGHER WINDWARD TERRAIN. THE
COMBINATION OF SNOW AND WIND MAY LEAD TO REDUCED VISIBILITY IN
BLOWING SNOW ALONG WITH DRIFTING OF SNOW ACROSS ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

Vincent · 2012-10-27 12:08:20

Polar monitoring.... Arctic intrusion evident with snow in NW US.

Vincent · 2012-10-27 12:30:49

Gust to 50 mph in Hanover County NC. 12Z European model in agreement with 945-950MB storm with landfall in central NJ. Highest winds and storm surge along Long Island NY.

As storm transitions to extra-tropical, convective clusters could develop with frequent lightning and unfortunately tornadoes North and East of center. Monitor NOAA weather radio broadcast.

Heaviest rain in the SW quad.

Vincent

Last edited by Vincent (2012-10-27 12:40:16)

Vincent · 2012-10-27 15:09:18

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
420 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...FIRST HEAVY SNOW OF THE SEASON POSSIBLE...

.THE COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM THAT WILL DEVELOP AS TROPICAL SYSTEM
SANDY EVOLVES AND TRACKS THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC REGION WILL
BRING COLDER AIR...SNOW AND STRONG WINDS TO THE REGION.

WVZ043-045-280430-
/O.NEW.KRNK.WS.A.0004.121030T0000Z-121031T0000Z/
SUMMERS-GREENBRIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIX...QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE
420 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING ABOVE 2500 FEET...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH ABOVE 2500 FEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY
EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN SLOPES AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHEAST
WEST VIRGINIA

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY WET SNOW AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

* TIMING...RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW ON MONDAY EVENING. MODERATE TO
HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY WET SNOW COMBINED WITH GUSTY WINDS MAY TOPPLE
TREES AND POWER LINES.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 30S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

Vincent · 2012-10-27 15:51:05

Infrared five hour loop.....

http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/d … duration=5

Vincent · 2012-10-27 17:56:58

Er....They are catching up....

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
450 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON FOR THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS...

.THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE SANDY WILL INTERACT AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
AND A STALLED COLD FRONT TO PRODUCE HEAVY SNOW IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS.

WVZ038-046-047-280500-
/O.CON.KRLX.WS.A.0004.121029T0600Z-121031T0000Z/
WEBSTER-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COWEN...MARLINTON...ELKINS
450 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...BEST CHANCES IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE
MOUNTAINS...BUT CAN NOT BE RULED OUT IN THE VALLEYS.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY WET SNOW...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE 2500FT....DOWN TO 1 TO 6
INCHES IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...RANGING FROM THE MID 20S TO MID 30S DEPENDING ON
ELEVATION.

* TIMING...RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW LATE SUNDAY NIGHT IN THE
HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. LOWER ELEVATIONS MAY STRUGGLE TO CHANGE
OVER TO SNOW. BEST CHANCES FOR CHANGING TO SNOW IN THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS WILL BE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...THE HEAVY WET SNOW MAY BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS...
CAUSING POWER OUTAGES OR FLUCTUATIONS. UNTREATED ROADS MAY
BECOME VERY SLICK. THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND WIND MAY LEAD
TO REDUCED VISIBILITY IN BLOWING SNOW ALONG WITH DRIFTING OF
SNOW ACROSS ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
HEAVY SNOW THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

Last edited by Vincent (2012-10-27 17:57:31)

Vincent · 2012-10-29 02:47:53

It sort of feels like a deep dread as Sandy makes her transition to "super storm" and she's heading toward me, sardines and flashlights at the ready. Yikes!

SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.2N 70.5W
ABOUT 280 MI...455 KM E OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM SSE OF NEW YORK CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.05 INCHES

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
439 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

ANZ530>534-537>543-291645-
/O.CON.KLWX.HF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-121031T0000Z/
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR-
CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD-EASTERN BAY-
CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER-
PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD-
TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH
ISLAND-
439 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

A HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY.

* WINDS...64 KNOTS OR GREATER WITHIN THE HURRICANE FORCE WIND
WARNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 64 KNOTS OR GREATER
ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR
TAKE SHELTER AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
327 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL AND HIGH WIND EXPECTED FOR THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS...

.POST TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY WILL INTERACT WITH A COLD UPPER LOW
AND RESULT IN HEAVY SNOW AND HIGH WIND OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

VAZ503-504-WVZ501-503-505-506-291530-
/O.CON.KLWX.BZ.W.0001.121029T2000Z-121031T1200Z/
WESTERN HIGHLAND-EASTERN HIGHLAND-WESTERN GRANT-WESTERN MINERAL-
WESTERN PENDLETON-EASTERN PENDLETON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIGHTOWN...MONTEREY...BAYARD...
MOUNT STORM...ELK GARDEN...CIRCLEVILLE...FRANKLIN
327 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

* PRECIPITATION TYPE...HEAVY WET SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 12 INCHES THROUGH TUESDAY. AMOUNTS WILL BE
ELEVATION DEPENDENT - WITH THE HIGHER TOTALS OCCURRING ABOVE 2000
FEET. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT.

* TIMING...RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN CONTINUING
UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURES...AROUND FREEZING.

* WINDS...WEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS...IT IS LIKELY THAT THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WIND AND
HEAVY WET SNOW WILL DOWN TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. EXPECT NEAR
ZERO VISIBILITIES IN PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS
AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF
YOU MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET
STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

Vincent · 2012-10-29 10:35:00

12Z data shows the center of the storm passing over my house (20 miles north of Baltimore) at about 1:30 or 1:45AM local time. I have charged everything you can charge. Got a big quilt for the recliner. Temperatures fall into the 30'sF or 3C by 9AM local with 40-50mph winds. That's cold man, that's cold.....

Sandy has set a new record low pressure for above 36 degrees north latitude, 943 mbs.

This link should bring her home.....

Good luck to me.....

Vincent

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod … X&loop=yes

Vincent · 2012-10-30 04:00:40

Power is on!!! The lights do however, still flicker. Rainfall totals so far 8.75 inches. Current wind gust 32mph, temperature 39F and falling. 272,835 souls still in the dark in Baltimore, 7,000,000 in the NE. Peak wind 58mph during storm at BWI.

Vincent lives.....

Last edited by Vincent (2012-10-30 04:02:10)

Vincent · 2012-10-30 06:07:00

Was thinking for awhile all was well, but my residence is "taking on water." The carpet is slushy, dang. Light rain and ice pellets at 12Z, temp 38F.

Vincent · 2012-10-30 08:47:05

Water intrusion has abated, so we are holding our own. Occasional rain showers and a few sleet pellets continue with winds SW at 15 Gust to 25. Wind chills -1C. That's Gale Crater weather....

Storm center 90 miles west of Philadelphia drifting west at 15 mph. Winds gusting to 40 mph in NY City at 10AM local, with gust to 50 mph off shore.

Blizzard and Winter Storm warnings continue from Western Maryland to the high country of NC. Gale warnings out for all the great lakes except Lake Michigan that has up-graded to Storm Warnings for winds above 50 mph.

For those that want to watch the snow fall in North Carolina, try this link.

Vincent

http://www.appskimtn.com/asm-right-now/slopecam/

Last edited by Vincent (2012-10-30 08:47:24)

Vincent · 2012-10-30 09:01:12

This is a infrared(IR) Sat Loop. This shows that Sandy has transitioned to a cold core Winter Storm.....You can adjust animation speed

http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/d … duration=5

Visible loop

http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/d … duration=5

Last edited by Vincent (2012-10-30 09:10:29)

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