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China doesn't have a coastal space center like JAXA, NASA and ESA. and a landlock space center would limit the size of the rocket to the size of the rail or cargo planes.
i believe, the Hainan site is neccessary before china can deploy a heavylifter. so i think the speed of which it is being completed would be a good indicator to when china will have a HLV capability.
the only landlock HLV are the energia which required it's factory to be at the space center, and the proton which uses an unconventional design, of surrounding a center tank with 6 other tank, so each tank would still be within the size which can be rail transported. but the CZ5 is an conventional single tank design; so they either have to build onsite or choose a coastal site.
past article about the future space center:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wenchang_S … nch_Center
http://www.spacetoday.org/Rockets/Spaceports/China.html
http://www.spacedaily.com/reports/China … n_999.html
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