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#201 Re: Interplanetary transportation » How far off are we to conquering gravity? » 2004-12-10 15:55:49

....actually, hydrogen and helium are preferentially lost because they're light. It's the same reason hydrogen is a preferred rocket fuel: its light weight means that it gains more velocity from any given amount of energy than a heavier molecule such as oxygen.

#202 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Someone calculate this theory, » 2004-12-09 22:53:42

It would be much, much more effective to simply build a dam across the Bering Straits, and power water through one way or the other. Uses much more water, but hey, you could build a rail line on top and connect the whole world (minus Australia)...

Of course, this forgets one small thing: it's stupid and insane, just like the really long pipe. You'd be better off developing some kind of foamy goo to bomb the ocean with and increase surface albedo or lower evaporation if you wanted to harm hurricanes. And if power generation is wanted, there's plenty of other simpler ways of generating much more power.

#203 Re: Civilization and Culture » Martian Phiramids - The Center Monuments of Mars » 2004-12-07 16:26:45

Iapetus is a much more promising example of aliens mucking about in the solar system than anything else. Even if it wasn't, it gives me a good idea about how best to contact alien life and build a lasting monument to humanity.

Let's take a look at the Drake equation. One of the terms - probably the most important one, because it varies so much - is L, the lifetime of a sentient species. Now, L classically is however long the species is capable of radio communication and wants to communicate. Personally, I feel this is stupid, because it's likely that radio is an example of temporal and technological chauvinism. Aliens have a huge variety of possible communications needs and potential technologies to fulfill them, so I don't put much stock in the traditional 'radio SETI' methods. Besides, the bandwidth sucks. Laser is much better. But the fattest interstellar pipe of all is a probe crammed with DVDs and the means to read them.

Soon enough, historically speaking, the Fermi paradox will be moot. It doesn't matter why ET isn't here, because we'll be coming to him. And it's possibly more likely to stumble across pretechnological stone-age civilizations chopping hand axes out of rocks or something similar than another technological civilization, IMHO. Nuclear bombs to systems capable of elementary interstellar probes (that AIM engine) in a century (Not now, I'm giving us until 2045 to build it...), compared to untold millenia chasing elk and worrying about glaciers. It's unlikely we'll want to stick around, build a giant orbiting space station, and observe the entirety of their civilization develop over 100,000 years, although that would be pretty cool. We're just too impatient.

Instead, we should find some worthless real estate in their solar system - some junk moon nobody cares about - and make it unambigious that something is amiss. Nuke the surface in weird patterns so that the glassy craters make the moon resemble a giant disco ball, give it a funky paint job, dig Mad Grad Student's huge trenches, whatever. THEN you put a giant monolith or whatever somewhere on that moon - preferably of a size visible from orbit or someplace where probes are likely to land while checking out whatever you've done to that moon. It would take a much shorter amount of time than waiting for them to develop technology. (Of course, you could take the shortcut and land a party on the surface somewhere pretending to be gods or whatever to kickstart the process, but that probably violates some sort of galactic ethics standard. Damn bureaucrats.)

#204 Re: Unmanned probes » How Fast Could JPL Cobble Together Orbiters - and Probes For Uranus & Neptune? » 2004-12-05 13:54:30

Personally, I'd skip Uranus and head straight to Neptune. It's a more interesting planet, IMHO, and worth a look. But actually, I wouldn't send a probe there with a 'cheap throwaway' mission plan. If I were to send a Spare Parts Special to the outer solar system, I'd send it to Pluto, where even a crap probe will greatly increase out knowledge. Neptune (or Uranus for that matter) merits a well-designed big probe of the Galileo/Cassini type.

#205 Re: Civilization and Culture » Wacky contests on Mars » 2004-12-04 17:48:14

Actually, I figure that they'll require you to stay in pressurized areas until you sober up. Throwing up in your suit won't win you any awards.

#206 Re: Life on Mars » Fear mongering and life on Mars » 2004-12-03 19:36:26

I believe this is a sort of whacko extension of environmentalism that's taken hold in some palces, which thinks that everything is so fragile that if a person sneezes, he'll wipe out a hundred species. Honestly, if life were that fragile, it would have died out a long time ago. Besides, anything living on Mars would probably take one figurative whiff of oxygen and keel over dead. It would be as deadly as chlorine is to us. And on the other hand, anything that has survived Mars's harsh weather, scorching UV, extremely thin air, salty ground, etc, is hardly going to be fragile.

#207 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Antimatter - More viable than fusion? » 2004-12-03 19:32:08

No.

Problem with use in-atmosphere: the atmosphere. It does you no good to fry some innocent nitrogen and oxygen with antimatter and have the fuel spheres drop on the ground like so many hailstones.

It's purely deep space. Besides, that would be a hideous waste of antimatter.  big_smile

#208 Re: Civilization and Culture » Wacky contests on Mars » 2004-12-03 14:38:23

Now that I think of it, I wonder how many colonists will die each year because they're drunk and don't put their suit on right before going out.

Remember, friends don't let friends EVA drunk.

#209 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Antimatter - More viable than fusion? » 2004-12-03 14:36:13

Even if you solve all of the antimatter production and storage obstacles, there is still a long way to go before you have a practical engine.  I think that we will see ordinary fusion engines become successful before we get antimatter catalyzed fusion working.

Wha~? The engine is like Orion with an antimatter sparkplug. Pingpong-ball sized spheres of uranium and lithium deuteride. We've been able to manufacture fusion devices of that kind for decades - the problem for space travel is the monumentally huge size of the spacecraft you'd need to build if you're going to use normal, chemically-imploded nuclear bomb fuel. This one has no minimum size requirement, so you can use microbombs. (As an aside, the Pentagon might want to fund this NASA research, now that I think about it).

GCN Revenger:

Yes I know that the antimatter reaction itself won't cause much of a boom, but that isn't the only reaction that goes on... If the antiprotons can induce nuclear fission in Uranium, what else could it induce fission in? Would the antiprotons cause the trap to initiate limited fission? That would cause a pretty big bang or at least a thermal/radiation surge...

It could induce fission in other fissile materials. Seriously, if you ran a nanogram of material into most stuff, you might create a few more nanograms of radioactive stuff. The reason it works on uranium is because if you blow up a uranium atom into a spray of neutrons and protons, this will cause a chain reaction. The chain reaction won't go far in a subcritical mass, but that's OK - just add more antiprotons. With ordinary materials, there's more danger from the firecracker-like explosive power of that much antimatter than any radiation concerns.

As far as efficiency, the ship is basically propelled by pulsed nuclear detonations. Small ones, to be sure, but nuclear detonations. That's a rather lot of power and thust per unit mass there... yes, you will need to carry along a significant mass of propellant. But significant mass does not equal significant volume when a lot of it is uranium. If you're wondering why the fuel magazine is so smallish looking in the drawings, that's why.

#210 Re: Civilization and Culture » Wacky contests on Mars » 2004-12-03 03:45:59

Why, crappy beer, of course. Why waste the good stuff? And I imagine drunken beer-balloon races would be a popular way to kill time in Martian bars.

Actually, if I were a marketing droid in a beer company on Mars, I'd put free balloons with logos on them in every six-pack. Why pass up free advertising?

#211 Re: Civilization and Culture » Wacky contests on Mars » 2004-12-03 00:34:29

Beer balloons: take a bottle of warm beer outside, tie an empty thin plastic balloon over the neck tightly, then shake the beer up and pop the top. The pressurized warm CO2 is warmer and thus less dense than the surrounding freezing C02 atmosphere, so it will float off (assuming you used a large enough balloon, otherwise it might pop in your face).

#212 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Antimatter - More viable than fusion? » 2004-12-03 00:18:11

Um...
The catalyzed system uses NANOGRAMS of antimatter. For purposes of comparison, this is about as strong as a firecracker; the antimatter's usefulness is because it can be used in such vanishingly tiny amounts to initiate nuclear reactions controllably without a lot of dangerous hardware like.

Because it's not a destructive threat in such minute quantities, NASA can and apparently has shipped it around the country in portable traps. They had one such portable trap in a photo somewhere on the PSU page; it was, IIRC, being pushed by two guys on a floor dolley. They were talking about using the larger capacity trap NASA was developing to deliver antimatter for medical research around the nation, so apparently they're quite sure about the reliability of the traps (although the small amounts are not really a health problem, if they're considering making the stuff available for timely medical research they must have a low failure rate).

When talking about this technology - please, PLEASE remember the truly tiny amounts being talked about. The antimatter is used like the spark from an automobile spark plug. It's the nuclear fuel which provides the thrust; the antimatter just lets you use it with efficiency far higher than even gas-core NTR's, and the efficiency even beats out nuclear-electric and with a higher thrust to boot.

#213 Re: Civilization and Culture » Mars Colonists visit the ancestral homeworld » 2004-12-02 23:00:28

Probably... my personal gut feeling is that the calcium loss is a piezoelectric effect in the bones. Martian gravity would probably offer enough activity for the rest. They should be able to go to earth... it's just that Earth will be very, very tiring for a while.

#214 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Antimatter - More viable than fusion? » 2004-12-02 22:37:12

Yeah... actually, what NASA needs is a recycling ring at Fermilab (they produce lots of antiparticles for immediate use right now, and what NASA proposes is to siphon some off) and a better Penning trap capable of holding a few nanograms of material without needing a huge holding ring. The latter is the only real stumbling block. BTW, NASA estimates the cost at a few million per nanogram, there's a bit of discrepency in the prices here...

The only part that isn't currently available is the trap. And a trap of the size and weight necessary is considered feasible; there's just not been a need to move that many antiprotons around before. Current NASA/PSU research on the engine apparently revolves entirely around the trap.

I personally wouldn't be surprised if this engine ends up being the one used in the Mars missions, given the timeframe for that (2020 or threabouts)

#215 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Antimatter - More viable than fusion? » 2004-12-02 17:59:57

Yeah, however, ICAN performs as well or better even with first-generation technology, and the other design (AIM) is even better (1% lightspeed, hurrah!) in its first-generation version.

#216 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Antimatter - More viable than fusion? » 2004-12-02 14:06:58

It works sort of like a mini-Orion; small pellets of uranium wrapped around lithium deuteride are fired backwards and are detonated by antimatter. NASA refers to this as ACMF (antimatter catalyzed microfusion). The antimatter allows you to detonate very small pellets (no critical mass) this way. I believe that you can use plain uranium as well, no need for refinement.

NASA and PSU apparently also looked at two other antimatter concepts; one involved a 'solar sail' of uranium which would be hit by antiprotons to create thrust, and the other, which NASA believes is the more logical followon to ICAN, would contain a diffuse cloud of antiprotons elecromagnetically and shoot droplets of deuterium/He3 through the cloud to create what amounts to a fusion pulsejet. That engine (AIM - Antimatter Initiated Microfusion) would be capable of missions up to about ~1% the speed of light. However, it's not a near term technology, ICAN is. All ICAN needs is the ability to store the nanograms of antimatter we make long enough to make it into orbit.

Once that is accomplished, the solar system is ours - the ISP of ICAN is vastly higher than chemical propulsion, or nuclear thermal It beats out ion engines as well, at a better thrust/weight ratio.

#217 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Antimatter - More viable than fusion? » 2004-12-02 00:35:47

BTW, same engine would allow manned missions to Jupiter, with the same time scale that Mars Direct gives for chemically propelled missions to Mars.

#218 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Antimatter - More viable than fusion? » 2004-12-02 00:33:08

NASA estimated the price of antimatter, with $20 million in adjustments and enhancements to the Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory, at $6.4 million per nanogram.

on Tuesday Harold P. Gerrish Jr. of Marshall Space Flight Center's Propulsion Laboratory discussed American work in antimatter propulsion.

"Future spacecraft won't be designed around the propellant tank," Gerrish predicted, since it would take only a few billionths of a gram of antimatter to propel a 400-ton spacecraft to Mars and back in four months

Actually, some searching showed that NASA's ICAN-II design requires 140 nanograms of antimatter for its proposed mission, or  $910 million dollars per mission. The trick to the engine is that NASA discovered that antimatter can cause fission in uranium without needing any particular critical mass of uranium, meaning that instead of needing to build Orion style pulse bombs, you could use antimatter striking a uranium mass as a sort of solid rocket engine with an ISP of 13,000 or so. Not bad....

Personally, I think it's worth the cost. 400 tons with a quicker transit definitely works for me, especially as NASA thinks that the next generation of the engine might put Alpha Centauri within unmanned-probe range. Of course, that's only if the storage problem is conquered...

#219 Re: Not So Free Chat » The Dollar$ - just how low can it go » 2004-12-01 16:03:51

You know, after a few days of thinking about this, I've come to the conclusion that a 'dollar collapse' might end up transforming the US from the major world importer to a quasi-autarkic state. The probable response by the US manufacturing sector - while likely to have an uptick on employment in this portion of the economy - is going to involve automation, given US wage levels. To put it simply, it's cheaper, once initial capital costs come into play, to build a factory in the US staffed by dumb robots than it is to hire workers in some third world country. And with exchange rates messed up, it  probably will make more sense from a business standpoint. That could give economic globalization a hard knock...

#220 Re: Planetary transportation » Piston Vs Turbine Vs Jet - For ground transportation » 2004-11-27 12:06:24

Actually, we do have turbines small enough to power light vehicles. Jay Leno has a turbine-powered motorcycle, for instance. There's some motorsports guy who modifies very small turbine engines to fit into vehicles, because of the higher power-weight of the turbines. NASA would be looking at things differently, minimizing weight instead of maximizing power, but it's doable, and we already have some fairly small turbines, such as the one on a Tomahawk cruise missile. It's merely a matter of fitting them to a rover.

Oh, a problem does exist with turbines in ground vehicles, from Leno's experiences with the turbine motorcycle, which the world's worst case of turbo lag. With a piston car, when you stomp on the gas, the car accelerates more or less immediately. Small turbines take a while to kick in. This isn't a problem for, say, the pressurized rover on long trips, but for the base 'donkey' rover, it might be very annoying in regards to trying to move stuff.

#221 Re: Not So Free Chat » The Dollar$ - just how low can it go » 2004-11-27 01:58:05

The dollar's fall will be bad for American consumers but good for American workers.  The average American will end up less wealthy, but America will gain back manufacturing jobs that it has lost.

Yeah, that about sums it up, at least on the US side. Countries that have been playing games to keep artificial trade surpluses, on the other hand, will take a triple-play beating: hurt exports, lost jobs, and a major pain in their investments. In the short term, there's also likely to be a seismic but fairly short-term quake in the stock market if a devaluation occurs suddenly... however, the market should bounce back pretty quick, since the US economy has no particular systemic flaw that created the dip in the market, just foreign investors panic-selling if the dollar goes down. Good time to buy on the cheap, is my thought. ^_^

#222 Re: Not So Free Chat » The Dollar$ - just how low can it go » 2004-11-26 19:57:59

I'm uncertain if ~Eternal~ is joking or not...

The main reason the dollar was strong was because of neomercantalist nonsense from overseas, where you'd artificially keep the dollar strong so you could export like crazy. Generally speaking, you export to the US, receiving dollars, then reinvest in the US economy to get those dollars back in the US and keep the dollar strong. Otherwise, you can't maintain lopsided trade surpluses forever. Not that you can anyways; the dollar weakening now is an excellent example of what happens when too many countries start playing that game.

The US is not in bad shape economically, especially compared to the rest of the world. It's likely to be the *least* affected, overall, by a sudden collapse of the dollar. The real victims are going to be the countries which played this game for years, because their economies are going to take a bath when the dollar weakens, and the investments they made to get rid of dollars are going to take an even bigger bath. Some countries - I'm thinking of Japan - will be in serious shit...

You know what the best analogy is? You know that "The Day After Tomorrow" movie, where global warming over decades one day suddenly reverses ocean currents in the Atlantic and storms from hell rip up the globe? This is the economic equivalent of it, caused by trying to game global trade. It's going to cause major trouble, especially in the countries responsible, but also going to trash lots of innocent bystanders.

#223 Re: Human missions » Delta IV Heavy and Beyond » 2004-11-25 11:55:02

There is a point beyond which more studies to rule out marginal possibilities passes from caution to procrastination. Worrying about the environmental effects of some os the most common elements in nature definitely falls in the 'unnecessary delay' area.

#224 Re: Planetary transportation » Running on Compressed Air? » 2004-11-25 09:52:29

IIRC the 'truck' was for moving heavy stuff like the nuclear reactor around. Probably not neccessary on many Mars missions... on the other hand, a half-ton truck? That's a very, very light vehicle (~1000 pounds), for comparison the Geo Metro - not exactly a Hummer - weighs about 1800 pounds. Maybe it's build out of composites... I remember reading that one of the car manufacturers, Ford if memory serves, built a composite chassis that weighed only 100 pounds.

But it does mean we can't replace the engine in a Silverado and fire it to Mars. Nuts.  :laugh:

#225 Re: Human missions » Delta IV Heavy and Beyond » 2004-11-25 09:46:25

We don't know what effect an increase aluminium, carbon etc would have on the environment in the long term.

No, we don't. We also don't have the time or money needed to conduct such a study and delay manned flight even longer. We need to go, and we need to go *now*. You cannot keep the political will to fund vaporware for decades; the sooner hardware is orbiting the better. Besides, if the sheer amount of aluminum/carbon/etc which has been vaporized on re-entry since the 1950's hasn't caused any noticable problems, there likely aren't any.

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