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#2176 Re: Not So Free Chat » War:  When Necessary/When Not - ? » 2004-09-24 07:05:44

If we focus on the racial component of Nazi-ism (blond, blue-eyed asserted as being superior) then perhaps its another example of tribal or cultural or civilizational identity trumping the nation-state.

#2177 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Role of Religion in the Martian frontier » 2004-09-23 18:39:55

Something that popped up in my mind...

The Roman Catholic Church is pretty wealthy, AND has a history of actively going out and converting the masses of 'heathens,' so i think it will not be too far-fetched, once there's a permanent settlement of a fair size on Luna or Mars, there will be sent up a priest one day... Ticket paid by the Vatican...

Don't change that channel, sports fans. . .

big_smile  big_smile

#2178 Re: Human missions » Where exactly is Mars Direct with NASA? - Are they going to do it or not? » 2004-09-23 18:27:01

Ah yes, the tired old "Nasa = Stupid" straw man excuses... Did you know that Bush-I's Space Exploration Initiative was not just a Mars mission? In fact, the SEI was a grand scheme: new infrastructure on Earth, new orbital shipyard/fuel depot, a return to the Moon perhaps for good... and finally about half that $400Bn pricetag for the 8-12 man mega Mars ship, propulsive both ways with no Martian fuel production, no staging, and no aerobraking, topped off with a high-energy Opposition trajectory... But, you get the ship back when you return to Earth, so it could be reused to start developing Mars, not exploring, as soon as possible, which is congruent with the rest of the SEI plan.

Why do you want cargo ships to come back?

Liberty ships were a success if they survived one voyage.

Sending cargo in a multi-billion dollar nuclear ship is simply daft. Using nuclear propulsion to accelerate cargo is an excellent idea, but cut the stuff loose and let it coast, cruise to Mars, aerobrake and pop the airbags.

Goof up once or twice and call the mistake Spam Crater.

Logistics, logistics, logistics. One BIG nuclear tug able to navigate cislunar space can throw payloads to Mars as fast as we can get them to LEO.

= = =

Like I said, crew needs another road. Send crew via Mars Direct =AND= have mountains of cargo waiting for them.

#2179 Re: Not So Free Chat » (Methane) Peril of "Tooting" Sheep - ...and Cows  :D » 2004-09-23 10:49:49

Emissions standards for livestock!  :laugh:

Hmmm. . .

Can you fill a soapbox with methane? tongue

#2180 Re: Not So Free Chat » The reason for 9/11 - Thoughts? » 2004-09-23 10:35:30

One more point - - if they hate us because they hate us - - then why do we seek elections?

That may represent the biggest flaw in our present approach, disbanding the Iraqi army and going soft on Sadr were grievous mistakes, but planning for a rapid conversion to democracy is a fundamental error.

Occupy and force democracy over decades, then guide for decades more and it will work. Germany, Japan for example. Try to set it up in a year and you get a farce, then chaos, then dictatorship. Try a hands-off advising and aid approach and you end up with Russia, where democracy is dying a slow, pitiful and highly popular death.

A democratic Iraq is a worthwhile goal on many levels, but it's a long-term goal. For the moment we would do well to ensure security over all else. We're dealing with people who've spent decades under a brutal dictator after all, they won't feel the least bit "disenfranchised" if we don't let them vote for awhile as long as order is maintained. It's time to start acting like an occupying power, not a civics tutor.

On a theoretical level I have much sympathy for this position.

But remember, rapid elections were the consideration paid al-Sistani for his willingness to denounce violent opposition to the occupation. And even President Allawi readily bowed to Sistani's call not to eradicate Sadr in the Najaf standoff. (Edit: After Sistani conveniently went to London to make it easier for us to eradicate Sadr.)

A massive Shia uprising much larger than anything we have yet faced is the threat if we do not have prompt elections.

All of which goes back to the initial formulation of strategy for the post-Saddam aspects of the campaign. And why our listening to Chalabi has played right into Iranian hands.

= = =

Did President Bush trade long term success in Iraq for the short term illusion of calm? The promise of January elections is conveniently after November.

= = =

“We just have to hold firm, stand strong and quit bad-mouthing what's going on over there so that our young men and women who are serving don't lose their faith and heart,” Hatch said.
   When asked if he believes that Kerry's challenge of the Bush administration's policy in Iraq amounted to not supporting soldiers, Hatch responded: “That's exactly what's happening here.

Hmmm. . .

Maybe its treasonous to even have an election in 2004.

#2181 Re: Not So Free Chat » The reason for 9/11 - Thoughts? » 2004-09-23 09:53:03

One more point - - if they hate us because they hate us - - then why do we seek elections?

=IF= we are widely hated, then pushing for elections is stupid, unless Diebold has already rigged the results.

=IF= we are not widely hated and if in reality most Iraqis share Allawi's assertion that we Americans deserve gratuitude, then kicking in doors is stupid.

#2182 Re: Not So Free Chat » The reason for 9/11 - Thoughts? » 2004-09-23 09:36:03

Now that cartoon has possibility Bill.  :;):

Substitute sects and its my plot in a nutshell. Why go to Mars when the Rapture is imminent?

Therefore, those who do go to Mars will own the future.

#2183 Re: Not So Free Chat » The reason for 9/11 - Thoughts? » 2004-09-23 09:32:19

and then leave the house in shambles after finding nothing and then be surprised he hates you afterwards?

*They hate us regardless.  They're indoctrinated with hatred; any non-believer is "the infidel" to be crushed, killed, destroyed.  Theirs isn't the first religion to promote such a mind-set, of course.  And it won't be the last.

But of course that doesn't excuse our behaviors, which should be human-rights oriented at all times.  If we aren't consistently holding ourselves to a higher standard of decency and fair treatment, we're only hurting ourselves in the end.

And no matter how fair, kind, humane anyone is (consistently), there will always be the haters who would still want to attack, rend and kill whatever disagrees with their worldview. 

--Cindy

Do you really believe most suicide bombers are motivated by an abstract ideology or theology?

I think its rage and shame.

Also, I also think al Qaeda preys upon the Iraqi unemployed. Visualize a 16 year old Iraqi kid with a hungry mother and grandmother and hungry siblings.

Two choices - - seek charity (male pride again) or accept $100 dollars in US currency from al Qaeda =IF= he plants a roadside bomb.

= = =

Its not about us being "nice" - - its about not being stupid and creating enemies faster than we can kill them.

Henry Ford did not pay his workers $5 a day because he was "nice" - - it was a selfish move.

Not being macho isn't about being nice or moral, its about being prudent.

#2184 Re: Not So Free Chat » The reason for 9/11 - Thoughts? » 2004-09-23 09:12:14

Remember, Cindy, that the British officers have complained from the beginning that the American occupatipn tactics were too macho to be effective.

That runs head-on into the pride of the Islamic male.

Kick down a man's door, rummage through his bedroom, terrify his wife and daughters, prove that he cannot protect them from strange foreigners (which destroys his pride, false pride perhaps but pride nonetheless) and then leave the house in shambles after finding nothing and then be surprised he hates you afterwards?

#2185 Re: Not So Free Chat » The reason for 9/11 - Thoughts? » 2004-09-23 09:01:04

Name one female pope.  tongue  big_smile

Catholic preists wear dresses.

#2186 Re: Not So Free Chat » The reason for 9/11 - Thoughts? » 2004-09-23 08:54:51

In my opinion, much of the rage that fuels radical Islam is the erosion of a patriarchal society. We are fighting male pride

*I disagree.

Christianity and Judaism both have had their "raging against their neighbors" episodes.  Christian Europe 500 years ago isn't a place I would have wanted to live, although most of my ancestors did.  Anyway, there was no erosion of patriarchy then prompting their rage...at least based on my reading (which no, isn't exhaustive and no -- I'm certainly not a scholar).

Judaism's rage of the past (Old Testament) seemed directed towards idolatry.  I'm not sure all non-Judaic religions/tribes of the time included goddesses in their worship (the feminine principle). 

I think the current hostility of the Islamofascists against us is a combination of mistakes we've made in the past regarding policies abroad and ENVY. 

We are wealthy and strong, they are not.  Age-old resentment. 

Their mentality equates success and enjoyment with evil, and poverty and deprivation with good because they haven't figured out the wherewithal to secure/get success and enjoyment.  Roundly and completely denouncing us as evil and bad is a salve for their jealous self-righteousness. 

--Cindy

Islam believed itself the "one religion" and eventual master of the world. In a world, global dominance.

Now, we require that they submit to western secular or Christian values, including the equality of women.

When men believe its their duty to submit only to God, asking them to submit to us (an immoral people who drink, do drugs, openly condone homosexuality and free sex) its a head to head conflict.

Think its not a macho thing? Name a dozen prominent Islamic female leaders.

= = =

One reporter claims the whole Najaf fiasco started when a mid-level Marine officer decided to buck an informal agreement (forged by the "wimpy" Army guys) and drove a Hum-vee convoy past the front of Sadr's house.

Sadr got pissed and kidnapped a few Iraqi policemen as payback.

The mayor of Najaf got pissed and asked the Marines to "get tough"

Weeks later Najaf is in ruins and Sistani steps in to end the fighting.

#2187 Re: Human missions » Where exactly is Mars Direct with NASA? - Are they going to do it or not? » 2004-09-23 08:45:54

As for sending cargo to Mars, meaning logistical support for a base, I have a hard time envisioning anything cheaper than deploying a nuclear thermal tug in cislunar space and using it to collect paylaods in LEO, travel to L1 and then do a lunar - Earth gravitational assist fly-by, cutting the payload loose for a slow coast to Mars.

After the tug rounds the Moon, it separates from the payload and slows down for return to LEO.

This minimizes the time your high value nuclear tug isn't pushing something hard. Do some fancy trajectory calculations to minimize the burns needed to achieve Mars insertion and recover the tug to LEO. 

'Dem durn banks always want their interest payments and the airlines have learned that letting airliners sit idle (or fly empty) is a great way to bleed money.

Crew? Or at least high value crew? Okay, the nuke thermal tug burns all the way to Mars and flies back more or less empty.

= = =

Using the tug for direct Mars insertion of cargo is wasteful since you need to get it back to LEO ASAP. 

Time = Money in the freight forwarding business.

#2188 Re: Not So Free Chat » The reason for 9/11 - Thoughts? » 2004-09-23 08:03:42

For our enemies this is a religious war. We cannot let it become so for us, but at the same time we must understand that the reasons they fight are not mundane earthly reasons on which we can reach a compromise.  The Right will make us more like them while the left will in many ways submit to them. Neither can win this war alone if left to do as they wish.

*Bravo!!!  EXACTLY; you nailed it right on the head, Cobra.

--Cindy

Yes, I agree with Cobra. Yet my agreement is why I also believe our military power will not prove sufficient for victory.

When someone owns the world's best hammer, they tend to see lots of nails, even when they are screws. Driving a screw with a hammer is counter-productive.

In other words, the Right is fighting the wrong fight.

In my opinion, much of the rage that fuels radical Islam is the erosion of a patriarchal society. We are fighting male pride and we seek to use tanks and guns to coerce submission to us.  (Its the same rage that fuels the popularity of Rush Limbaugh's phrase "femi-nazi" - an unwillingness to accept the radical equality of all humans.)

Good luck using guns to suppress male pride. ???

= = =

And yes, many on the traditional Left are blame-America first while many on the Right believe they are the Earthly incarnation of God's Will.

As Abe Lincoln said, "A House divided cannot stand" and if we are to prevail the "West" must seek out and emphasize what we all share in common rather than what divides us.

#2189 Re: Not So Free Chat » The reason for 9/11 - Thoughts? » 2004-09-23 07:31:50

The West could hardly be more different. Church and state are separated. Our laws are no longer directly connected with any religion and are constantly evolving. Men and women are equal under the law and their sexual behaviour and preferences are no business of the state. Nudity and sexual activities are regularly displayed in movies and on television. Tobacco and alcohol are used openly and many other drugs are used covertly.
    Within broad limits, you can do almost anything you want to do. There's a price for it but we call it freedom and we love it.

Don't forget, Shaun, one of President Bush's most treasured domestic initiatives is to cut back on funding secular social services and then give that funding to "faith based" social service providers who openly seek to convert the recepients.

If I could ask one question to President Bush and force him to give an honest and extended answer on broadcast television it would be:

"How do you reconcile your religious faith with the scientific evidence for evolution?"

IMHO we will win the War on Terror unless those elements within America who favor an anti-science interpretation of Christianity prevail in our ongoing cultural divide. Forward looking will always beat backwards looking, yet too many of the Bush voters believe evolution is a false and evil doctrine.

#2190 Re: Not So Free Chat » The reason for 9/11 - Thoughts? » 2004-09-22 21:15:08

http://www.juancole.com/2004_09_01_juan … 62124]Juan Cole offers a persuasive rationale (IMHO) as to "why" al Qaeda launched the 9/11 attacks.

Bottom line? al Qaeda seeks to replace the current nation-state system with a system where all Muslims exist under a single religious government.

The world comes later, but Jordan, Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Turkey come first.

Al-Qaeda wanted to build enthusiasm for the Islamic superstate among the Muslim populace, to convince ordinary Muslims that the US could be defeated and they did not have to accept the small, largely secular, and powerless Middle Eastern states erected in the wake of colonialism. Jordan's population, e.g. is 5.6 million. Tunisia, a former French colony, is 10 million, less than Michigan. Most Muslims have been convinced of the naturalness of the nation-state model and are proud of their new nations, however small and weak. Bin Laden had to do a big demonstration project to convince them that another model is possible.

Bin Laden hoped the US would timidly withdraw from the Middle East. But he appears to have been aware that an aggressive US response to 9/11 was entirely possible. In that case, he had a Plan B: al-Qaeda hoped to draw the US into a debilitating guerrilla war in Afghanistan and do to the US military what they had earlier done to the Soviets. Al-Zawahiri's recent message shows that he still has faith in that strategy.

The US cleverly outfoxed al-Qaeda in Afghanistan, using air power and local Afghan allies (the Northern Alliance) to destroy the Taliban without many American boots on the ground.

Ironically, however, the Bush administration then went on to invade Iraq for no good reason, where Americans faced the kind of wearing guerrilla war they had avoided in Afghanistan.

Comments?

#2191 Re: Not So Free Chat » Iran rejects UN nuclear demands - yep - they're on the run now.... » 2004-09-22 19:47:49

The editorial cartoon in the Times of London on Wednesday was derisive: the first panel has President George W. Bush telling the United Nations General Assembly, "Friends, our policy in Iraq is directed solely toward a successful election."

The second panel has him saying: "Mine."

#2192 Re: Not So Free Chat » Iran rejects UN nuclear demands - yep - they're on the run now.... » 2004-09-22 10:20:09

I can't recall anyone making this assertion. Such practices are certainly part of the modern business climate, but no one in their right mind claims that they represent the principles of free markets.

Not you, Cobra, only 90% of the right wing talking heads on cable TV.  big_smile

Larry Kudlow is the guy that pulls my chain the hardest. ???

#2193 Re: Not So Free Chat » Iran rejects UN nuclear demands - yep - they're on the run now.... » 2004-09-22 09:50:04

And to Shaun's question re. the "cultural civil war" and Bill's answer of:

PS - - the culture war is between evangelical Christians (who also are creationists) and the secular humanists who believe in such evil doctrines as evolution and public schools.

That's a bit of an oversimplification, focusing on one aspect of it. Essentially it's a growing rift between those who hold conservative views on everything from religion to the Constitution and those who are, essentially, socialists. Class conflict is also a factor, stirred by primarily one side (not sayin' which roll )  as a tool to tip the balance. Neither side is a monolithic block, but most Americans identify more with one than the other and the divide is getting sharper.

As a Roman Catholic, I can proudly proclaim there is a world of difference between socialism and social justice.

Being for social justice does not make me a socialist.

:;):

Of course, the evangelicals are usually quick to point out that they do not consider Catholics to really be Christian, a point I refuse to concede.

IMHO, Adam Smith is spinning in his grave at those on the Right who assert that the interlocking perks and competitive advantages given to large corporate donors is properly called "free market" economics.

I assert the current GOP misreads and distorts Adam Smith's theories of political economy beyond recognition. Thus, I am really the true conservative.

big_smile

#2194 Re: Not So Free Chat » Iran rejects UN nuclear demands - yep - they're on the run now.... » 2004-09-22 09:27:04

Back on topic. Without the UN how do we stop the Iranian bomb? Are the Iranians meddling in Iraq today? How much more so after we support special ops to destroy their nucelar facilities?

clark asks why we need to occupy Iran. What if we destroy Iran's nuclear facilities and the Iranians then send thousands or tens of thousands of fighters into Iraq, openly?

How do we counter that without turning Iran into rubble?

Weakening the UN and the EU weakens our leverage against Tehran. The UN may be ineffectual but what other choice is there?

By the way, what if Iran does withdraw from the IAEA or the non-proliferation treaties? Then its no longer illegal for them to build a bomb.

George Bush showed the way by withdrawing from the ABM Treaty and Kyoto negotiations.

#2195 Re: Not So Free Chat » Iran rejects UN nuclear demands - yep - they're on the run now.... » 2004-09-22 06:43:53

On a similar note, you mention the fear of the Iranian bomb, well, it should come as no surprise that we have quietly deployed 3 tactical wings to the area, Special forces have been practicing training for a strike, and the Iranian's are reporting that their have been overflights of their airspace by other militaries planes (testing air defense and reaction times).

What does that tell you?

It shows me that a high stakes game of poker is being played.

#2196 Re: Not So Free Chat » Iran rejects UN nuclear demands - yep - they're on the run now.... » 2004-09-21 20:26:08

Bill:-

... people like Shaun ..

    Uh-oh, looks like I've been snarling at the Left too much lately. I feel as though Bill's faith in me may be wavering.  big_smile
    (Room for one more 'heartless bastard', CC?  :;):  )

Bill:-

... a tool in the American cultural civil war ..

    Gosh .. I didn't even realise such a war existed!
    I know the Australian Communist Party (the source of many leading lights in the Australian Labor Party over the years) has cultivated the idea of a two-tier society here in my country - 'the rich' and 'the battlers' - and encouraged the concept of a class struggle between them.
    Is the cultural civil war you mention the American version of that?
    I'm only superficially curious, Bill, and certainly don't want a lengthy analysis of any perceived class warfare in the U.S., but if you have a moment just to elucidate briefly .. ?
                                                smile

Shaun, here in America its obvious George W. Bush has been spreading pious platitudes about "staying the course" without any intelligent discourse as to what course he is staying.

During the whole "Mission Accomplished" episode, Karl Rove was crowing about how the Iraq war would be a club to pummel the Democrats with in 2004.

My problem with Bush, Condi Rice, etc. . . is that they woefully UNDERESTIMATE the threat al Qaeda poses and insist on playing chess while bin Laden plays GO.

Thus the GOP gleefully bashed the French and the United Nations and now when we need to reign in Iran, Bush is like the boy who cried "wolf" and the UN credibility is significantly deteriorated from already its low level two years ago.

= = =

PS - - the culture war is between evangelical Christians (who also are creationists) and the secular humanists who believe in such evil doctrines as evolution and public schools.

#2197 Re: Not So Free Chat » Iran rejects UN nuclear demands - yep - they're on the run now.... » 2004-09-21 20:20:43

Military action? Maybe there will be NO Iranian or Iraqi oil for years.

Interesting.

The idea of an Iranian nuclear bomb fills me with terror. Seriously. But what do we do about it?

= IF =  Israel or Israel and the US can accomplish a surgical strike or special forces operation, frankly, I would breathe a sigh of relief. But can we? What if a special ops mission or a JDAM strike misses the target?

Don't you think the Iranians have been studying what happened to Iraq when Israel struck at their bomb facility?

My biggest complaint about Condi Rice and George Bush is their apparent belief that the bad guys are simple minded and stupid.

We CANNOT occupy Iran and Iraq both. Not without more infantry, which we do not have and GWB says we do not need.

On the oil question, IMHO the insurgents have NOT been hitting the oil infrastructure hard with sabotage because they believe they are winning. If we convince them they are losing, oil sabotage will increase substantially and the price of oil will skyrocket from its current level.

= = =

Here is a black question.

If al Qaeda had ONE nuke (Pakistani or whatever) where would be the most effective place to detonate it? 

My answer?

Either (1) as close to or insde the "Green Zone" in Baghdad as possible or (2) the Saudi Kharg Island oil terminal.

(1) Would kill thousands of Americans and disrupt command and control over all of Iraq; and

(2) Would likely cause the fall of the House of Saud (no more oil revenue for those princes) and a major depression in the West.

Frankly, I believe al Qaeda using a nuke in the US or UK etc. . . would be a wasteful use of a powerful weapon.

#2198 Re: Not So Free Chat » Blair 'was warned of Iraq chaos' - words cant describe how im feeling..... » 2004-09-21 10:23:00

I'll just do my stint in the Alabama National Guard. I don't think I'll be missed...

One weekend a month, two weeks a year, three years extended tour in Iraq.  Ain't the National Guard grand!

I read last year that some Hum-vees in Iraq had a bumper-sticker that read: "One weekend a month, my a$$"

#2199 Re: Not So Free Chat » Iran rejects UN nuclear demands - yep - they're on the run now.... » 2004-09-21 09:40:38

Here in Australia, the Australian Labor Party (the opposition to the governing Liberal/National Party Coalition, and the broad equivalent of the American Democratic Party) are on record as saying there was no doubt Iraq had stockpiles of WMD, contrary to U.N. Resolution requirements. Since then, of course, they have accused the Prime Minister, John Howard, of taking Australia to war under false pretences!
                                   

   But still, that's politics; what can you expect? It's in each party's interests to discredit the other side.

*Yes.  But unfortunately (as you know, and might agree) the public gets caught in the middle...then get fed up with the constant backstabbing and bickering, tune out, and then the politicians have the nerve to act outraged and incensed when people don't turn out in large numbers to vote. 

Pettiness is the main problem in most human affairs, IMO.

--Cindy

Here is America, Karl Rove made it perfectly clear he intended to USE the Iraq war and the attending patriotic fervor to hammer the liberal elements of American society.

George Bush did not invade Iraq for the best interests of America, he made his decision based on what was best for GWB and the GOP.

The Iraq war was undertaken as a tool in the American cultural civil war and when we who are more to the left protest, then people like Shaun call us unpatriotic.

= = =

PS - Back to Iran:

Britain, France, and Germany have already criticized Iran's nuclear program as unacceptable, and were leaders in having the IAEA demand further inspections. But they are aware that a confrontation "could backfire and that incentives as well as punishments need to be presented to Tehran" reports the New York Times.

Threatening sanctions - a cutoff in oil purchases, for example - is not viewed as credible or likely to get much support.

The US cannot afford to dismiss European views, especially after the discord over Iraq, administration officals are quoted by the Times as saying.

From this http://www.csmonitor.com/2004/0921/dail … =ent2]link.

Sanctions? What sanctions can we impose?

Stop buying Iranian oil? Where would that drive the price per barrel? Military action? Maybe there will be NO Iranian or Iraqi oil for years. Once again, where is the price per barrel then?

How do we occupy Iraq and Iran?

That leaves carrots. What carrots might Iran want? Any suggestions?

#2200 Re: Not So Free Chat » Iran rejects UN nuclear demands - yep - they're on the run now.... » 2004-09-21 09:22:48

I don't believe that we can militarily go into Iran.  World opinion is too far against us as it is.  I think we are stuck with them and have to hope that the people there are soon able to remove their religious leaders and instill a real democracy.

Setting world opinion aside, the United States does not have any soldiers (infantry) to go into Iran with.

Especially if the Iraqi Shia choose that moment to rise up.

Sadr has caused plenty of trouble even with Sistani encouraging the Shia to stay calm. If an Iranian invasion caused Sadr to gain popularity the consequence will be chaos in Iraq and Iran, an inability to occupy either country and a major reduction in world oil supplies when Iran and Iraq both stop exporting oil.

Can we get special forces in Tehran? Sure. But then what?

= = =

PS - - the Iraq domino theory was to create a stable Iraq and then use those same soldiers to go into Iran. But until Iraq is stable, going into Iran is beyond foolhardy unless we are ready to draft 500,000 new US soldiers.

= = =

PPS - - Actually John Kerry has articulated the ONLY long term strategy that will allow us to win the War on Terror.

End the dependence of the Western economys on petroleum.

Then we can risk extended chaos in Iran and Iraq and we do not need to kow-tow to the Saudi royal family.

A gas tax where all the money goes to either more soldiers or accelerating the hydrogen economy would be one avenue to explore.

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