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So, how concerned are you, DonPanic, about cordial relations between our two countries? Apparently, me voicing my opinion about getting tough with our mutual enemy, Islamofascism, is enough to endanger our relationship but your government actually violating the South Pacific environment (my home) with plutonium contamination is what ... not really relevant?
Excellent point.
Hmmm. . .
Seems to me the shoe belongs on the other foot, Shaun.
Who refuses to simply "agree to disagree" about the wisdom of Iraq?
Can you accept that the French (and 50%+ of Americans) have a legitimate moral right to disagree about the prudence of invading Iraq without that being deemed weakness in the face of terror?
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The opinion of http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/arti … 20.cms]Mrs. Tony Blair.
USA versus the entire world? We lose that fight. ???
Fantasy time.
Go highly exotic composites and make the SRB 100% disposable. Achieve a 95/5 mass fraction and your shuttle C can add 256,000 pounds IN ADDITION to the base payload to LEO.
Thats extra mass added to the rest of the stack, not to the final payload mass, which will be a signifigantly smaller gain.
I don't think that it will be easy to so radically change the boosters, making such a large composit structure which must resist high mechanical (stresses and internal pressure) and thermal loading, metals may actually be preferable, and I bet that you really really don't want to know how much an all-composit SRB would cost. The vast majority of the empty weight of the SRB doesn't have a "low stress" area, since its being used to hold back the insane forces from the world's biggest rocket engine.
I'm not thinking about adding a liquid upper stage to the Shuttle-C design at all, instead putting one on the payload inside the payload faring, and only firing it in orbit for a TLI/TMI burn. If you are going to do a big second stage, you might as well put the payload faring on top in line with the tank, which will cost big bucks to modify.
All I am saying is that these questions deserve to be carefully investigated before final decisions are made.
A single SRB plus LH2/LOX upper would benefit nicely from changing the mass fractions. Whether its feasible seems worth the cost of some studies. IMHO an affordable (which is a big IF) expendable with a very high mass fraction, 95/5?, would seem a far better option for cargo.
Put crew in the Rolls Royce space-plane and launch cargo on top of fuel held in place by as little structure as can be engineered.
I think that it is a tossup if Shuttle-C (~80-90, maybe 100MT each) would cost less then a pair of Delta-IV Superheavies (40-45MT each), Shuttle-C will probobly cost more to develop and NASA would have a difficult time bringing itself to part with enough of the Shuttle Army to get launch costs down to under $500M each. The Delta is probobly the safer bet, though it would be slightly less capable.
As for the loss of payload issues, Lunar mission "stacks" would only have two launches each, one for the payload and one for the Earth-Moon rocket stage. Smaller payloads could perhaps be launched directly to the Moon in a single shot if the 2nd stage tanks were enlarged.
I agree there are competing factors. I am a big SDV guy yet that does not mean there are not at least 2 sides to the question. Probably many more than that.
Okay, add a liquid upper stage to Shuttle C and the payload increases substantially.
Also, improve 85/15 mass fractions on the RSRMs and that turns into payload. No incentive to do that with orbiter, the extra mass couldn't be lifted anyway.
But, with shuttle C or Ares, alter that 85/15 mass fraction to 90/10 and that adds 128,000 pounds! (yup) to your second stage. Use composites or carbon fiber or even fiberglass in low stress locations. (Remember there are 2 SRBs)
RSRM = SRB, the first R means resuseable.
The 15% weighs it at 192,000 per RSRM. Change that to 10% and you can add 1/3 of 192,000 onto your 2nd stage payload per SRB. If you can go to 92.5%/7.5% maybe just give up on recovery and let the SRBs be 100% disposable.
2000's materials technology can surely do better than 1970's aluminum technology and if we add 100,000 pounds to a standard shuttle C payload, well it would seem to blow Delta IV away.
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Fantasy time.
Go highly exotic composites and make the SRB 100% disposable. Achieve a 95/5 mass fraction and your shuttle C can add 256,000 pounds IN ADDITION to the base payload to LEO.
I wonder if it will push the EU in space closer to Russia and China.
It already has.
Imagine its 1974 not 2004 and Russia is planning to launch spacecraft from a FRENCH facility in South America and help the South Koreans build launch facilities.
You can destroy an ant nest only when you can eliminate the queens. You can measure the "war at terror" inefficiency when OBL still runs years after Aghanistan invasion.
Worth saying again. . .
All that is at stake, here at NewMars, will be the difference between
"Atta-boy" or "Atta-girl"
and
"Told 'ya so!
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Two prizes, one for popular vote nationwide and the other for electoral votes.
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Here is my non-scientific prediction:
Kerry wins with 51.7% of popular vote and 305 electoral votes.
If I am wrong, you all can laugh at me. :;):
:band: :band: :band:
The Democracy Corps has a new poll, conducted Friday night and Saturday morning. While the full survey will be completed on Sunday, the half-sample of 500 interviews conducted after the release of the Bin Laden tape, show the race unchanged compared to a survey completed Thursday night. The partial survey shows Kerry at 48 percent and Bush at 47 percent. Like the survey conducted before, it shows the two parties with equal numbers of party identifiers.
The Saturday respondents (250 interviews) were asked the following question: "I'm going to read you a pair of statements about the release of Bin Laden's videotape. Please tell me which one comes closer to your view.
-- It makes me think that George Bush took his eye off the ball in Afghanistan and diverted resources to Iraq.
-- It underscores the importance of George Bush's approach to the war on terrorism.
By 10 points (46 to 36 percent), voters were more likely to think that Bush took his eye off the ball. (These results will be updated when the full survey is completed on Sunday.)
http://releases.usnewswire.com/GetRelea … 39219]Link
What do you think, people? Eye off the ball or stay the course?
The question will reamin open no matter who wins Tuesday.
If Europe and USA truly joined forces with a spirit of mutual respect and equality towards each other, I believe we could eradicate Islamic-fascism rather easily.
*How can forces be joined against a threat with people who deny the threat exists?
Or who believe the threat is all your fault?
Or who think you're over-reacting and they're not as bothered by it?
If both parties don't SEE/ACKNOWLEDGE the threat equally...
--Cindy ???
Cindy, NATO sent plenty of forces to Afghanistan. The whole world was 100% behind us when we whacked the Taliban.
If the 140,000 soldiers now in Iraq had instead been sent to Afghanistan, we could have captured bin Laden and the rest of the world would have cheered and helped us turn Afghanistan into the most prosperous Islamic nation on Earth, even without any oil revenues.
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At the United Nations, Colin Powell showed satellite photos and said these PROVE Saddam had WMD. France and Germany said, "we don't think so"
They were CORRECT and the USA was WRONG.
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France and Spain recently cracked an al Qaeda ring with good POLICE WORK.
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"How can forces be joined against a threat with people who deny the threat exists?*
This is simply WRONG! Europe never denied Islamo-fascism is a threat. They (and I) deny that Saddam has anything to do with that threat, even though Saddam is a brutal MF who deserves whatever happens to him.
PS - NATO offered an Article 5 resolution to wage war on the Taliban and bin Laden and al Qaeda.
First of all, we have reached agreement on the character of the new threats and on the best way that NATO and its members should respond to them. Terrorism and the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction are two of the defining challenges of the 21st century. The NATO Allies acknowledged this by invoking Article 5 in response to the 9/11 attacks. And they did so again by sending forces to Afghanistan to fight al Qaida and the Taliban. As a result, in 2002, we effectively buried the perennial debate on whether NATO could or should go "out-of-area".
http://www.nato.int/docu/review/2003/is … .html]NATO link
Bush said "No thanks - - this is our fight not yours. . ."
Why? Because many in the Bush adminstration wanted to re-structure our relationship with NATO. Put the US in a greater position of dominance - more dominance over EUROPE!
Bush neglected the threat of Islamo-fascism in order to play power politics and improve our position against Europe.
http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/featur … .html]Link:
NATO offers to help within the existing NATO framework. We say "No" - - that process does not give the US sufficient dominance over the process.
Then, we blast the Europeans for not being submisive to our plans.
DomPanic, is that about right?
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LO
I think it's time to take off the gloves and I just hope the Europeans will abandon their extraordinary anti-Americanism and wake up to who the real enemy is. If they imagine they can somehow curry favour with Islamofascists by opposing the U.S., I'm afraid they will have a very much ruder awakening to look forward to. The terrorists have stated they're not looking for concessions from the West, their aim is to destroy us - simple.]
C'mon Shaun ! Engage yourself, join the army and lead the fight ! Nuke them all ! :band:
The more you post these merry go war bills, the less we want to be ally of yours, and friends, less again.
You're so reprentative of that bunch of Dr Folamours which spread oil on fire in order to extinguish it !
If Europe and USA truly joined forces with a spirit of mutual respect and equality towards each other, I believe we could eradicate Islamic-fascism rather easily.
Problem is Bush wants to be the senior partner with Europe as the junior partner. Or Bush the Promise-Keeper husband and the EU as the obedient wife.
I say, EU and USA as equal partners. If we did that, bin Laden will soon be discarded into history and fundi-Islam terror would be the stuff of bad dreams, not reality.
My wife and I, we are equals. I wouldn't want it any other way.
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PS - - After 24 hours my opinion on the OBL video tape is this:
All OBL is attempting to do is waggle his tongue at Bush and gloat: "I am not dead, yet. . ."
GWB: Maybe you can run, but you can't hide?
OBL: Actually, I am hiding quite nicely and am enjoying life. What was that book anyway, "My Pet Goat?"
N'ah N'ah Na'h
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So I ask - - we can send a man to the Moon. Why can't we find this OBL guy?
Oh yeah, Bush took a detour . . .
Andrew Card said http://www.boston.com/news/nation/artic … rent/]this:
NEW YORK -- White House Chief of Staff Andrew Card said yesterday that President Bush views America as a ''10-year-old child" in need of the sort of protection provided by a parent.
* * *
''It struck me as I was speaking to people in Bangor, Maine, that this president sees America as we think about a 10-year-old child," Card said. ''I know as a parent I would sacrifice all for my children."
Actually this is = EXACTLY WHY = I cannot vote for Bush.
He won't listen to us because he's the daddy!
And for how long will bin Laden and ilk like him consider us fit for punishment?
Until we KILL him!
And here is why I say Cobra's just trolling:
He and I openly disagree on the morality of "going Roman" and imposing US will by blatant use of military power. No problem, its a free country, thus far. . .
But he and I agree it is very unlikely the American people have the stomach to "go Roman" to the extent needed to win the "War on Terror" with military firepower.
We will invade Fallajuh, again. Kill lots of people and still fail to eradicate the insurgency. Why?
Because we will be "too tough" while at the same time not being tough enough. We Americans haven't got the stomach to be sufficiently Roman.
Therefore we need a different strategery.
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George W. Bush is a "weak Roman" strategerist. Worst possible option we have.
I saw another article that Russia was talking to Seoul about building a launch facility for their new Soyuz-2 in South Korea.
Wow!
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http://en.rian.ru/rian/index.cfm?prd_id … ert=0]Edit, the Soyuz-2 reference was in error. But they are cooperating.
Who are we Americans cooperating with?
But really, you know what my evil solution to the Palestinian problem? Just offer to fly them off to Mecca somewhere, get them the freak out of there. Most would leave, I am absolutely sure of this, if provided with the assistance. It wouldn't cost that much either (I guarantee it would cost less than our military budget to Israel), people aren't that expensive to maintain, and can be self supporting once they're moved about. But this is diverging from the topic at hand.
Too many politicians both in the Arab world and the West benefit from "endless war" - - that is why the Palestinians do not have a secure homeland.
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Guys, its not about WHETHER we fight the terrorists like bin Laden is about HOW we fight the terrorists.
Bush's heart is in the right place (maybe) but his strategery is a recipe for disaster.
Now it's up to US citizens to decide either to be again the best of world community of nations or to be regarded as among the the roguest ones.
USA versus the world? We LOSE that battle.
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Cindy, Shaun. You are both too tired to THINK or read what I am saying.
bin Laden is acting SMARTER and being MORE CLEVER than Bush. Therefore being "resolute" is a recipe for disaster.
Hang tough, be strong, close you minds, AND LOSE THE WAR ON TERROR!!!
Example:
Just today, in Iraq, "they" blew up an Arabic language TV station because the station was broadcasting "lies" in the Arabic language.
Evil? Yes. Clever? Profoundly Clever.
Killing translators is an ingenious evil strategy we have yet to find a solution for. Bush merely pounds his chest and says "Be Strong!"
Nothing we say will ever be heard by the average Iraqi UNTIL we learn to speak Arabic. AND unless we talk to the avergae Iraqi our only other choice is to kill them.
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Cobra knows better. He's just trolling. :;):
*Yes, you are a collectivist. The worst sort. Maybe you're not aware that many of your own "fellow Muslims" deride and denounce you, and claim you DON'T represent true Islam in any manner? Your own family disowns you. Looks like you don't speak for Muslims any more than I do.
100,000 dead Iraqi civilians would tend to reduce Islamic hatred for bin Laden.
*Many Muslims I've read about and heard speaking denounce him. He has been disowned by his family, etc.
As for the Muslims who can't or won't admit/acknowledge that U.S. forces in Iraq try to keep civilian causalities to a MINIMUM...what can I say?
Well, we have two choices.
Either figure out WHAT to say to the fathers and mothers of a-political Iraqi parents who have had young children killed by JDAMS (and dismissed by us as acceptable collateral damage), or
we just accept that we need to kill them all.
If we follow your advice, and merely shrug (Too bad, so sad, we really are doing the best we can), well, we better start making more bullets and bombs, really fast.
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Fair is irrelevant.
Did you see how politically astute bin Laden was?
Leave us alone and we will leave you alone
First, he is lying. Second, if you are an Iraqi civilian, bin Laden's message will be damn tempting. And since we only speak English (too few translators) there is no one to counter bin Laden's propaganda.
Only one question matters: Why isn't OBL dead?
*Yes, you are a collectivist. The worst sort. Maybe you're not aware that many of your own "fellow Muslims" deride and denounce you, and claim you DON'T represent true Islam in any manner? Your own family disowns you. Looks like you don't speak for Muslims any more than I do.
100,000 dead Iraqi civilians would tend to reduce Islamic hatred for bin Laden.
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Saw this comment elsewhere. I also saw both video clips and I agree:
But Bush looked awful--like he did in the first debate, only scared. He really doesn't do well under pressure. Kerry was in command as always. If body language means anything, I know which person I want to lead...
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A CNN analyst just offered this:
All bin Laden is really saying is "I'm tanned, rested and ready"
So what the bleep has GWB been doing these last few years? Just kill the SOB already.
Gosh darn it Cobra, why did you have to turn reasonable?
But since we cannot unscramble eggs, part of fixing things is admitting the FUBARs and then resolving that we cannot leave until an acceptable end state is defined and accomplished.
But unless we admit the orignal FUBAR, how can define an end-state that is both desirable for the US and credible to the Iraqis (and thus feasible)?
In all honesty, I believe Bush is more likely to cut and run from Iraq (with some BS excuse as cover) than Kerry. Especially since Kerry can whine "Bush broke it and now I have to fix it" - - that buys Kerry credibility (and money?) from others.
Give the damn French and Russians cellphone and oil contracts and promise we will help the new Iraq honor old debt IF AND ONLY IF a stable secular Iraq emerges. Chirac can send 50,000 soldiers on January 15th and smirk as he sticks a finger in GWB's eye.
America does a Thomas Beckett (google for the history) throw GWB to the wolves of the French press and return to the plan Cobra has often described for winning the entire Middle East.
From the Oregonian report:
A Pentagon official Thursday acknowledged that the United States had been forced to leave many ammunition dumps in Iraq unguarded. The official, who declined to be identified, said the U.S. military had identified about 900 sensitive weapons sites in Iraq but had assigned only "a brigade-sized force" to deal with them. A brigade typically has about 3,500 soldiers.
"The country was made into a major ammo dump by the Hussein regime as they prepared to fight, and have left cleanup to us," the official said by e-mail. "If that were our only job we could devote more troops to the task, but the majority of our troops are fighting the enemy. When bullets are flying you've got to decide on your priorities, and sending a bullet back is the preferred alternative."
The official said he could not speak to how Sanchez had handled the report about Ukhaider.
Maybe that is why General Shineski said we needed 300,000 soldiers.
Wow!
http://oregonlive.com/news/oregonian/in … ml]Another unguarded ammo dump.
Take home point? We went in too light. Check the NewMars logs. BEFORE we invaded I posted my concern that we would not send enough forces to win "Round Two" because Bush underestimated the complexity of building a stable Iraq after Saddam was gone.
General Shineski said we needed 300,000 men and Bush fired him. Can't let facts conflict with the theory.
The aid workers say they informed Lt. Gen. Ricardo S. Sanchez, the highest ranking Army officer in Iraq in October 2003 but were told that the United States did not have enough troops to seal off the facility, which included more than 60 bunkers packed with munitions.
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http://www.salon.com/news/feature/2004/ … .html]Ammo dump #3?
US soldiers are dying to roadside bombs because we failed to send enogh soldiers to post guards at Saddam's many bunkers filled with explosives. Explosives that were looted and turned into IEDs.
If its not the fault of Bush, then who?
The looting of Iraq's arsenal
The same month Al Qaqaa was being stripped of high explosives, I warned my military intelligence unit of another weapons facility that was being cleaned out. But nothing was done.- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
By David DeBattoOct. 29, 2004 |
When I read last Sunday's New York Times story of the missing explosives from the Iraqi weapons storage facility south of Baghdad at Al Qaqaa, it brought back memories from my time with the Army National Guard's 223rd Military Intelligence Battalion in Iraq last year. Bad memories. In the Times story, Iraqi scientists who worked at Al Qaqaa described how the facility was looted of almost 400 tons of high explosives right after the American troops swept through the area in April 2003 and failed to secure the site.
But Al Qaqaa is not the whole story. The same month it was being looted, I learned of another major weapons and ammunition storage facility, near my battalion's base at Camp Anaconda, that was unguarded and targeted by looters. But despite my repeated warnings -- and those of other U.S. intelligence agents -- nothing was done to secure this facility, as it was systematically stripped of enough weapons and explosives to equip anti-U.S. insurgents with enough roadside improvised explosive devices, or IEDs, for years to come.
So the shuttle will remain soaking NASA funds like a giant sponge. If the Shuttle is to remain flying then funds must be found to keep it going and yes this means cutbacks to the CEV etc. And with the cost of the ISS rising it seems it will be a long time before any return to the Moon or a mission to Mars will come.
Of course Europe and China may well get there first and stay, it will be a bit embarassing that. Only the retirement of the Shuttle and a decent replacement will ever give space advancement a chance.
Finish ISS (if we must) with shuttle C or other new booster.
Kill two birds with one stone.
Cobra, had Bush partitioned Iraq 14 months ago (as I called for right here at this site!) I believe his re-election would now be a cake-walk.
Perhaps, though the rabid donkeys would have attacked for that. No one but the President himself is disputing that mistakes were made, and he has political reasons for not giving up that soundbite.
Sure. Rabid donkeys would be attacking, without traction.
We DO NOT have enough soldiers in Iraq to crush these insurgencies. We DO NOT have enough soldiers to guard critical components needed to build atomic weapons.
We do if we let a civil war happen. Divide and conquer.
If I were Roman. :;):
Components to build atomic weapons eh?
Yup, dual use stuff. Under IAEA seal.
Cobra, had Bush partitioned Iraq 14 months ago (as I called for right here at this site!) I believe his re-election would now be a cake-walk.