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well, the x-38 is a human only ship, right?
Maybe the NASA guys should have two different vechiles. . .a heavy lift rocket devoted soley to large space equipment and a smaller, more efficent vehicle devoted ONLY to getting astronauts up and down. . . . .The space shuttle can't move all that much payload, and the extra mass makes moving people up and down much more expensive than a smaller vehicle like the x-38. . . .thoughts?
So, economically speaking, there is great impetus to get into space?
Poltically speaking, the establishment is probably not interested in making competition for themselves by such a economically uplifting program. . . .
Scientifically speaking, the benefits of space are limited unless they are tied to the economic and poltical arena. . .
Therefore the spearhead to get in space must be resumed by the private sector.
Sure, a poltical organization is a great way to plan a space outing. But the infamous moon treaty must be removed first, or at least debated with russia.
That in itself is something rather risky as anti nukers will not like this for they will see it as a trojan horse for the miltary.
Therefore, in repudation of this treaty, a clause must be made of some sort. And it does not have to be mentioned that in order for these events to transpire, attitudes about space exploitation and exploration will have to change a great deal. . .I am afraid it will have to be almost unaimoius consent of the USA (the voters, congressmen and the administration) to do such a thing. Even more, it would take private and public companies to show a interest in exploitation.
-Clark-
When I said
These people are unlikely to be exploited simply because there are no other people out there.
I meant this in the context that they will have to have the skills necessary to run the enterprise (not the ship, look up the meaning of the word) and it would be more difficult to exploit them. Skilled workers are usually organized (guild, unions, etc) and the employer will not be able to find replacements for them. Supply and demand will largely ensure humane treatment of workers in space enterprises.
-clark-
I would like if you gave me your thoughts (I appreciate them) on my website www.parksweb.com/nateweb
Humanity is already threatened by extinction...we just need to look a little more closely INTO THE MIRROR to see who (not what) is going to do us all in.
Sorry, I'm in a mood today.
Its gonna take more than a little (or maybe a lot) of global warming to wipe out humanity. man, with providence, has survived the black death (which was worse than aids in % of population dead) and has survived inumerable natural diasters along with famine. Anyone ever hear of the little ice age? Europe and the americas had winter for 2-3 years without break to farm. . .the world survived pretty well through that although it was pretty castatrophic. I'm sure we can survive a nuclear winter and fallout. Why? Maybe its just me, but most "experts" on the subject of nuclear warfare are rather mcuh like doomsayers and don't know what they are talking about. As I know it right now, the method to detrime the death rate in nuclear war is to use data from hirshoma and nagaski. The biggest problem is that those citys were largely wooden slums filled with hundreds of thousands of refugees from the surrounding citys. the building that is now the survivors muesuem was very close to the ground zero, but it was built using western standards in building and survived largely intact. Further, it is not the radiation that kills outright (nuetron bombs are bs, not one working model was actually built to my knowledge) but the blast that is produced by the intense heat of the nuclear reaction. So the deck was stacked against the hirshoma to begin with, with shoddy buildings and refugees crowding those buildings way beyond their respective design limits. . .Most city buildings in the western world are built with reinforced concreate and are built to withstand earthquakes. Radiation did not kill the majority of the dead at hirshoma, building collaspes did. I in no way wish to disrespect the dead, but that is the reality of nuclear war, that the bombs are designed to destroy buildings. most of the surivors got a sunburn and may or may not have gotten cancer much later in life. Even the cancer issue is problemetic, as carcogeins released during the collaspe of these buildings (abtestos, lead, coal tar) could be more problemetic then the radiation. I have never seen any article specifically refering the carcogiens but after sept 11 many articles pointed out that the ash from the wtc was rather toxic. . .maybe I sidetracked a little.
The standard warhead in use by the usa and russia is 10-20 megatons, which might sound devastationally more powerfull than the 21 kilos used in hirshoma. Truth is, given volumes of space, it is not too much more powerful or even as radioactive as the hirshoma bomb was. (russia and the usa wanted to ocupy the land that was bombed. . .why do think both nations kept large standing armys? They DID have a reason for that) Just having more explosive does not transulate into a significant increase in actual destructivness.
sorry I'm assuming rustyplanet is female. . .if you are not I sincerely apoligize.
how about the shade serve as a power array? The material could be gathered from asteroids and fashioned into photoelectric arrays. after the planet cools down enough a baterial infection could wipe out a good deal of the co2. . .I think she might be on to something here!
I am not for doing the lease thing with the planetary union.
directly prior to the days of the spainish main, the catholic church made the line of demarcation with portuagual and spain. What if, by some sort of lack of knowledge this union , league would do a simalar thing? What would happen if a vast vein of gold (hypotheical at the moment) was found right on the line of demarcation? only war would ensure. and this organization might reconize corporations first, and hinder delevolpment as the major blocs of land would already be in the hands of companies. perhaps the best compermise is to create some sort of local government, backed by some national government on earth (51st state?) or create what is known as a commonweal.
the reason people should go to space is to get rich. but those people sure as hell won't be slacking off. They must build almost everything from nothing-robotic techology does not come without a pretty exstensive infrastructure. sure, techology would help them a lot, but they will be working their butts off, especially if it is a for profit organization. Non profit organizations will probably not require anywere near as work. rich people don't get rich by slacking off, they do it by working their butts off.
These people are unlikely to be exploited simply because there are no other people out there. The colonizers of south america exploited the indians simply because they were there. . .the beauty of space is that it is almost impossible to exploit people up there. The reason why is primarly because the majority of the people will have some sort of all-important skill that is neccessary to keep the colony running. The new england colonys are a simlarity in that no local labor was around to exploit. (for whatever reason, the new englanders did not enslave the indians) The people in their communitys were respected and were given a sense of worth to the community. On the other hand the south imported slaves from africa (a continuation of the spainish sugar plantation system) and essentaily forced them to work. It is likely that humans in space will be very valuable to the comunity in the large, but it is also certian if they are there to work for profit, they are gonna work very, very hard. It is not easy to make a infrastructure at all. But it is possible. Read my website at www.parksweb.com/nateweb for a suggestion on how a infrastructure could be errected, and for what reasons.
Right now, I hate to admit it, the conditions are not very good to allivate suffering in africa and other third world nations. The dicators are not interested in improving conditions simply because they don't care. and if someone's condition did improve, they will view it as a threat. Would elimation of that dicator improve lives? Probably not. The Judeo-Christain view point is unique to europe and the usa when it concerns human worth. If you are truly interested in allivating suffering support some missionarys-they are protected by the United States government (and a few others) in the countrys they help. The dictators have little power over the missionarys in any case. It is much better than UN aid.
A governing body with powers as exstensive as clark wants is probably going to hinder and possibly even terminate exploration. perhaps something more on the lines of a department in the government (like dept. agriculture) with the power to regulate land sales and directly answerable to the people. In land sales two kinds of property ownership would become apparent-claims and actual use of the land. If a enity would be or had actually used the land then it would have full rights of property (I might be wrong here, tell me if I am so) and a claim is just that, only with the legal backing of a government.
While the Case for Space is still uncertain, the dreams of modern day romantics is less so. There is a fortune to be had in space. There is opportunity beyond which exists today, in places far from sight, but well within our reach. Or more precisely, there is opportunity for those who have the will to seek it, and the ability to reach it. Much as the great seas were a treasure trove for would be kingdoms in the Age of Sail, so to is the vast ink blackness of space a waiting treasure in the dawning of the Age of Space.
-Clark-
I do not advocate war or death but I must remind that anytime a major event like space colonization occurs it is for the benefit of mankind. Who wants a Pax Mundana?(muduane peace, trans.) I do not, for one. I want this, with all of its passions and hardships to bear. If others don't want it, thats fine, they won't recieve the benefit and be left behind with no hope of catching up for milliena to come.
-Nate-
(thats me!!)
what is true archary anyways? Even the mob has its own heirarcy. .it is only at war with another heirarchy in any case. . .what would the elimation of all heirarchy create? Someone will allways look up to someone even if offically no heirarchy exsited.
ex. children to parents. maybe the son might rebel as a teen, but they will definatly be subsurient to them untill he can think for themselves, and would probably reconize them as a superior even in their teen age years.
ex. what about people with charisma? The only way to create true archacy is to elimate them. Who would do it, and then who would elimate the one who did the elimation? It is impossible, or would result only in an even stronger heirarchy then ever.
speaking of weight reduction. . .there is an unique oppoturnity in the field of weight reduction in space! things weigh nothing in space! (sorry if I'm too startisic, make fun of my spelling if you like)
If what you really mean is mass reduction, then realize this. . .there is no gravity in space. on earth gravity produces straitificoin of all things (oil and water, heavy goes to bottem and light goes to top) and the major problem with alloys is that when the mixing time comes they do exactly that. a perfect mix (or as near to a perfect mix) can be achived in zero g. further more, the casting of steel also falls into this same realm, (steel is a very dirty product to make) and is about 300-900x stronger without this stritification. of course the natural questoins are
1.Where do we get it?
2.What are the benefits?
The asteroids are a prime canditate to gather the ores to make the metals. Go to www.parksweb.com/nateweb to read more about how I think the actual process will be done.
The benefits are pretty oboius. (spelling, sorry!) first off, with metal 300-900x stronger a lot less of it will be needed to make any ships. all the ore is ready to be processed in near earth orbit is not exceedingly difficult (NASA sent the shoemaker probe to land on a near earth asteroid) and is said to be easier to reach a asteroid than to go to the moon. Am I advocating ships to be built in orbit? maybe, after a time peroid after the resquite techology is in place. But the unfished metal could be returned to earth by casting crude saucers (lord help me . . .flying saucers) and loading the semi-finished metals to be shot to earth and processed. ballons could be attached to the saucers to deploy once they hit the ocean to float them, and ocean going ships could retrive them.
seth, thank you for pointing that out. But even though the starvation rate is not that high, I still believe it does not seriouly damage my agruement. . .I should know better than to rely on hearsay (heard it in church) for these sorts of things.
Maybe in the early years the focus could be on developing long range railroads. The advantages are enourmous.
1.large masses could be transported with a modicum of energy.
2.reliable. The techology used in railroads has been on earth for 180 yrs, enough time to work out most of the bugs!
3.adaptable. it does not take much effort to lay a railroad bed (although if a mining oparation occured, there would be a need for substaintal reinforcement of beds) and almost any source of energy could be used to propel the train. .the tracks do not limit the type of train (except electric) on the tracks!
4.Cheap. I'll grant the initial cost might seem a bit on the high side, but the tracks will last for 20-30 yrs of continuous use. Don't forget martain gravity is less, making wear and tear less, too. less wear and tear means less replacement, making it cheaper to run.
5.verstile. Anysort of cargo can be moved, including large, heavy and bulky pieces. (mining, again, would most likly involve modification of track bed.
6.fast. It would be quicker than dune buggys for sure, never having to stop or slow down on the track.
in all serroiusness I think making a mars mission like that will doom the crew to a early death.
1.A unstable crew cannot respond properly in an crisis
2.Reality TV thrives on unstable personalitys
3.A reality tv based mission will render the crew near-unable to respond to any crisis.
A crisis would tear the mission apart if the crew was inbroiled in a interpersonal fight/battle.
There is no conspiracy. . .the only thing that stops the space program is the ingorance of the american public (and french, japanese public) concerning matters in space exploration. people think space travel is for crackpots, and therefore anyone who even remotely suggests space travel should be done is a crackpot.
the public is like this:
1. space travel is BS
2. crackpots spew BS
3. therefore, anyone who mentions space travel is a crackpot.
that is not my personal thinking, but it is what I have observed-not just space travel but my religious beleifs (I am a card carrying calvinist(well, almost) and proud of it.)
Man is persuaded not by logic, but by emotional pull. If one man goes one way, and everyone else goes the other, which way do you go? Only with those whom you have an emotional investment (assuming you process emotionally) and the majority will almost absolutly win. sorry if I got a little sidetracked.
"Scientific American, May 2000"
Researchers at the Lawerence Livermore National Labatory have syntheised Metallic hydrogen (abeit for very short time spans, due to compession)
Metallic hydrogen is created by compressing liquid hydrogen so much it turns into a metal. The researchers used a very, very big gun to shoot a projectile into a small sample of liquid hydrogen.
A possible way to stabilize metallic hydrogen is to create some metallic hydrogen with a extremly heavy duty compressor, then expose it to a extremly large current of electricy and then just expose more electricy and hydrogen to the mix. (metallic hydrogen is a superconductor)
Possible uses could include being used as a fuel for a NTR (no metallic oxygen exsits for a chemical rocket) or to be used as a shield for a space ship crew (magnetic field would be produced by superconducor) and for power storage (no wasted power!)
ideas?
I agree with you. The transaltanic trip would take a month in 1820 (start of the industrial revolution) and most of the people on ships would be staying in america (or europe) for at least 1-2 yrs or settle.
I freaking love that idea. Let one of us ask zubrin what he thinks. . . . :;):
putting nanotech in humans sounds pretty dangerous, and the benefits go only to those who are directly involved in the process. what if the nano tech was damaged by radiation and its own reproduction went out of control. . .it would be worse than cancer. fortantly, if it does, the bearer would probably be killed so quickly the cancerous nanobots would die and run out of energy before finding another host. The benefit sounds questionable at best, with augementation techologys. . .purhaps an inititative would better be suited to focus on the medical possiblitys. (in the short term, not more than, say, 2 weeks, and only with terminal conditions)
Why worry about destroying any martain life? I see all focus on preserving it. . .but no rational defense of it. would the world be worse or better if all the martian life was destroyed?What happens if there is no life? (hence no ecological balance to maintain) who is it that has the power to make the rules of preservation of nonsteinent (spelling:() life? And what is their justification to preserve mars if no life does exsit? ???
We are always going to have enviromental problems. If we let things like that hold us back, we (as a human race) will never make it into mars orbit. (or anywhere for that matter)The spinoffs of a program to mars could provide some sort of enviromental benefit, too.
10,000 people in south america die of starvation every day.
Their deaths are not as dramatic and awe-inspiring as those on sept 11. They are not respected members of the establishment. Purhaps they are not as close to home as the WTC. They have no cameras thrust into their faces for all the world to see their pain.
But, they are still humans, and their deaths still hurt the world community.
But, there is virtually no press coverage for these deaths, just a small article in the back of the newspaper labeled "famine in peru" or something like that.
However, the deaths of the people in the twin towers is glorified to such a degree it is martyrism. polticians are egging this on by using it in the sentance "to prevent another 9-11. ."
The terrorists wanted to destroy democracy at all levels possible. what has happened is that the heart of america is following it's emotions and following those that most strongly pull on those emotions. unfortantly the USA is being told what the emotions they hold are, and what is occuring is that the establishment is controling what emotions are proper. As it stands, this trend will only lead to suffering and death for americans. We must have objectivity and logical thinking in our poltical life. Question the speeches of poltictians on objective grounds, and if they pass, so be it.
The true test of sept 11 is not how we felt. . .it is only how we responded, and if that response was objective and justified at the highest grounds possible. . .the homeland act, war in iraq, are not justified, I believe. Afghanistan was, but recent actions(disbanding of the standing army) show that the USA is reacting emotionally. (americans are opposed to a standing army in afghanistan?!)
lashing emotionally will only bring more suffering to those who need it not.
Responding in a objective and orderly way will restore a measure of stabilty and detente to the world.
I love my country, I respect my president, and I believe deeply in democracy, but I cannot stand by as the establishment uses a tradegy to make a even greater tradegy.
it doesn't matter how many people think he is a crackpot unless he actually is a crackpot. I know he is not based on the agruement in "The Case for Mars". most people will think with their hearts and think zubrin is crackpot if they hear him on coast to coast. If jesus (pardon my blashemy) appeared on jerry springer he would be considered to be (forgive me I pray) white trash. It is the perception of the viewer, not the agruement of the speaker that determines the outcome of such a meeting. if zubrin goes to this radio station, he will forever be smeared as a crackpot for time enternity. everyone before him thought they would be able to prove the listeners otherwise but none were able to. It would be a tragic mistake to assume that zubrin could do so.
Well I don't agree with the first three. . .the last one I agree halfway with. nuff said.
nuke space, I am in total agreement with you, other than the orion style rocket plan. I believe NTR is a better choice simply because the techology is on the shelf (its been there for 30+ yrs) and it been done. I do hold your thoughts about public activism and logical reasoning to be true. I commend you for that.
Thanks for the suggestion. I will implement it when I am able to return to school (hs senior, c/o 2004) in august.
Will doing the space exploitation actually make things worse as you have stated? Won't doing nothing bring the same result? space exploition brings the possiblity that your sceinaro might occur, however not doing it ensures that it will happen. . .doing nothing encourages stabilty. In instabilty it is possible for those who would normally not be able to escape the confines of their class (yes, I truly mean class) to excel in instabilty. Times of instabilty bring out the best (and worst) in people. "In 500 yrs of peace and brotherhood in sweden, they came up with the cuckoo clock. In 30 years of violent warfare on the italian pensuila, they came with Da Vinci, Micheleago, and many of the masters." I cannot remember who said this specifically. I do not advocate war or death but I must remind that anytime a major event like space colonization occurs it is for the benefit of mankind. Who wants a Pax Mundana?(muduane peace, trans.) I do not, for one. I want this, with all of its passions and hardships to bear. If others don't want it, thats fine, they won't recieve the benefit and be left behind with no hope of catching up for milliena to come.
I believe jobs will be created in a space colonization/exploitation scheme. When (I know, it should be if) the asteroids are mined, it will produce a major load of cheap metals. Right now the major source (50%) of all nickel comes from a site in canada where a meotrite landed. A single 1km asteroid could provide enough metal to supply earth for 5yrs. All that metal could be processed in space and most of the actual space manufactored items will be used to expand the space infrastructure. The vast majority would be dropped into the ocean for retrival (miners could shape them and supply inflatable balloons on them) by oceangoing ships. This metal would be ready for fabrication (assuming it was purified in space, where there is a load of solar/nuke energy) by earth based firms. These metals would undercut any competiors prices and probably devastate the mining, raw materials industry on earth. BUT those who actually make stuff with these metals have a extremely cheap, reliable source and they can only expand rapidly, enough to easily overcome the loss of the raw materials industry. Prices of finished goods would go down in this case, and there would be more work then ever for those working with metals. . .Those who are the poor, tired working masses would benefit as the demand for their skills would soar and the wages they would recieve would propel them into the realm of the middle class.