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You must remember that the light on Mars is pure unfiltered sunlight and as such is effectively very heavy in the Ultra-voilet range. Though we do have plants with some resistance to this we will have no choice but to filter this light and that will drastically reduce light that could get into a greenhouse. Now add the need to keep air in and of course heat and you have a lot of filtering. Our plants that we consider staple diet will struggle to even sprout never mind thrive. We can create greenhouses where we redirect the light but not the ultravoilet but these will not make for a good design to feed large colonies.
You will effectively be growing plants at the equivalent of the artic circle.
Still thats the cards we have and so we have to cheat. Plants can be modified GM crops and so they can be made tougher in both resistance to cold as well as to the sterilising ultra voilet radiation. In that case maybe they can also be made to live better in the Martian nutrient poor regolith.
Still we will be unlikely to be able to eat them but that is not the point as when they die and go through the life process a while we will begin to get soil which is not so nutrient poor and with plants not so unedible though weaker we can then have something we can grow large crop yields from without constant supervision in not so complicated greenhouses.
The difficulty of Martian greenhouses is not heat but light. Mars is much further out than Earth and daylight is the equivalent of dusk here. There is also the problem of the extremely strong ultra violet radiation which strikes Mars and this will have to be countered by filtering the greenhouse glass/ceramic.
Still we can use mirrors to put more light into the greenhouse and if designed well can block the ultra violet light as well. More solar energy more heat in the greenhouse. We can use the heat to probably power small engines and gain some electricity out of the system and any worry about heat will easily be resolved by a simple heat exchange/radiator system.
The first missions to Mars will be sited close to where we have permafrost or even ice. This will allow them to then simply heat it out and use it.
Colonies are a much different prospect they could not use permafrost water as they would literally leach a large area and could well cause subsidence.
Assuming we just dont go the collect from the polar ice route there is one other place. We know Mars is volcanic and all evidence points to it still being so. This means localised heat spots will form below the ground and water will get trapped just like it does here on Earth. These Aquifers can be tapped and the water pumped to the surface. We may also find that the water is already under pressure and we may well get a power source out of having tapped the water.
Who said it would cost millions and who said it would be really deep down in the ocean? Who said it would be in the ocean anyway? You could colonise rivers and have tunnels leading to them.
Then it comes down to the simple question. Why would we want to go to that expense and effort for what is no practical purpose or gain in understanding.
The problem with growing plants on Mars is that it has as much light hitting it at Noon as we have in dusk at winter. Plants will need a lot more light and this may need mirrors to focus more to where it is needed or plants that are less light needing
There is a limit to the height you want a station the higher it is the more fuel you need to get there and the less you can carry to it. Of course there is the point that if you go too high you will end up reaching the van allen radiation belts and then you will need more shielding.
The ISS station is at the right height to avoid other hazards like satelites and the majority of space debris
I would say that as much as we look at history there is one major difference between these civilisations and ours. We have advanced to the point where we can actually do something to develop ourselves and in the process change the whole basis of the arquement.
If it comes down to it the ISS is simply in the wrong orbit for it to be useful as a spaceport for mating various components sent from the Earth. It was originally planned to have this purpose but this was removed from its configuration and even the orbit was shifted so Russian progress and Soyuz vehicles could reach it.
If we have a need for an orbital construction depot then the ISS is not it. It would be cheaper to simply create a new spacestation. This one specialised outpost could be sent up in one or two launches and it would be placed where the US launch sites could reach it easily. It would save money and since it would be a lot simpler to operate as it is nothing like as complicated it will have a much longer life.
Still this assumes that we will need to make something that takes more than one or two launches to construct.
The ISS regularily uses the supply craft sent to it to increase its orbit height as each orbit it is slowly being pulled to the ground. These craft use there engines to push the craft into a higher orbit.
I would like to start an organisation called the Atlantis Project to colonise the bottom of lakes, rivers, and the ocean. People living down there would be at a much lower risk of cancer and would live longer (less radiation to cause cancer and aging.) Underwater domes in the shallow areas to grow food. In a really deep lab experiments could be done with less risk of pollution.
One of the greatest problems is that living under water you are in an enviroment that will give the aquanaut long term medical problems. The first is that there will be no access to sunlight and this is essential for long term health. Sunlight breaks down essential vitamins so that we can use them. Damp dark conditions are not good for th lungs and lung diseases as well as colds etc are a real problem for people staying in these colonies.
Still there is no need for any underwater colony as long as land above is cheaper and there are no real economic, political or other similar reason to invest millions in building such a colony.
The main issue this in this thread I Started was the
Usuitability of the Moon for Colonization. And the
superiority of Mars for colonization. I still stand by that
analysis. So yes there will solar power on the moon, even deep space
probes sent from Luna via MagLaunchers. But the Support Bases will
be small with few human crew. There will a huge incentive to use Teleoperated machines or Well programed robots.
I can honestly say that when it comes to machines working on the Moon that they will have more in common with computer games like world of warcraft or second life than to the robots and Rovers like Endurance that we use now. People will literally be the machines and this happen through the emergent technology of VR than to actually have people being physically on the Moon. This technology will apply to all the Earth Moon area and drive the utilisation and advancement in space.
So in terms of actual numbers of people working, the Moon will be a major benefit to us and there could literally be millions of people present there.
Still this technology will drive a real colonisation effort and it may well mean that Mars gets colonised due to it.
But All equipment and Supplies sent to Mars
Never has to lift off again
That makes it useless for the future of human exploration you know. Mars is not the ultimate destination you know though an important one there are worlds and asteroids to explore. There has to be a trade off with ease of access and egress to how effective a base operating will be. Currently though Mars has all the advantages for the long term in becoming a branch of Permanent Human civilisation the Moon as an industrial base to support future exploration is winning hands down.
Human behavior on Mars is dependent on the who gets there first, and who is allowed there, and under what circumstances.
The cirumstances are that the exploration of space is open to all and access to the colonisation of Mars/Moon is the same. The first there does not get any more rights than the next or the next after that as long as they dont interfere with each other.
Another point though is that it is not who has the first bases but who actually populates the planet. If the western countries send twenty people a year and a totalitarian regime sends a thousand then eventually Mars will belonging to that regime
If the free countries get there first
Immaterial first has no more rights than the last see above.
and preserve the sovereignty of the planet for the colonists and view it's inhabitants as equal members of a greater human family, and the peoples of the planets share the lessons of the journey and ultimately work with each other with mutual respect, then we can expect relative peace despite the inherent hardships for the inhabitants of Mars, and greater prosperity by their sponsors on Earth, and by extension all of humanity.
Sovereignty is curretnly not allowed to any base or object since international law has more or less decried that they remain the property of the sender nation forever.
If totalitarian regimes manage to occupy space, you can expect them to use this ultimate high ground to wage war on free countries and free minded peoples. Any accomplishments by either will be paid for with a tremendous amount of human lives. Colonists will use their isolation as a shield, and as time goes on we risk creating generations of hatred between Martians and Earthlings, and interplanetary war.
If we have a real horse race, we can expect battles for survival in space and battles for supremacy on Earth involving the worlds superpowers and worst weapons. Colonists fed up with the conflict will seek neutrality, isolation, and we will lose all the fruits of our labors.
I wish we had universal love and peace but im doubtful if such a thing could exist. Will the Martian colonies ever become an independent nation possibly but that is a situation far in the future.
I'd say about 5 km sounds about right.
Actually 5kms is not enough room as far as I can see. Both the Moon and Mars will rely on the ability to utilise the surrounding regolith to create breathable air and to provide materials and items needed for any base. 5kms sounds a lot but it can be quickly used in any long term bases.
I dont really think we can get down to specific sizes of land that is considered occupied or being used as it will come down to what operation is currently going on.
Still it will come down to international agreement as the Outer Space treaty has to be either superseeded by another more pertinent treaty. (A difficult proposal as just about every nation will jump on to the bandwagon and most will not be willing to allow the current space powers to get a chance to dominate space) or we can try to change the OST to become more effective (again another difficult proposal but not as hard)
This is all temporary of course, because eventually humans will own Mars, it is simply a matter of arriving at who owns what without resort to violence. Actually property ownership is essential to economic development, it allows among other things the use of land as collateral for a loan for capital improvents and so forth. I think the pertenent question is whether he who colonizes Mars the most gets Mars the most. A bit of realpolitic is involved here. I think 5 km exclusion zones is reasonable, you have to expect the colonial powers to be able to enforce this and defend their territory to some degree, otherwise its point less. None of the space going powers has the capability to defend an entire planet at this time, we simply can't get enough people out there to do that job.
I do agree but that is a capatilistic proposal and unfortunatly in this type of brokerage the likes of Socialist Venezuela have just as much say as the USA.
Hello Jbest welcome to NewMars.
The point of moving to Mars and into space is that it opens to mankind resources that we consider scarce here and in the process make them available to all.
There are just under 7 billion people on this planet and the majority live in conditions which are poor and struggle to have access to basics like clean water and food. They all aspire to the dream of two cars in the driveway of there own house and simple things we take for granted like TVs and refrigerators. There are tensions between the haves and have nots and there are not enough resources available easily in the world to bring these people up to standards of living I consider reasonable.
So should we in the west cut back to the point we radically reduce our standards of living to try to bring everyones else up just a little bit. Frankly not going to happen.
So we access space and not only can we now grow but we have access to the unlimited resources of the Universe. These resources will give mankind the ability to grow and of course improve ourselves
I honestly dont think that drilling as a process will be too much of a problem on Mars. To counteract the reduced gravity it just means more tie downs for the initial drilling process. Actually with the meteoric bombardment Mars has suffered it may be possible to use a corkscrew device to gain leverage.
The problem on Mars is not drilling but regolith moving. Most dozers and shovel blades rely on gravity and there mass to give them the bite to get into the ground they are moving. On Mars not only will gravity be less so reducing effectiveness but we will not be able to compensate by using heavier dozer or spade bits.
We will just have to get inventive.
The outer space treaty was a means to an end. It stopped tensions that could have led to nuclear war as both sides had plans to make the Moon the ultimate in missile platforms. A race that neither side could really afford.
Still it is dated but not completely worthless. One point is that though a nation cannot own the body it is on it is allowed to use the materials of that body to push its space programme.
The spacecraft and base are considered territory of the nation that launched or own the vehicle. They cannot be interfered with.
So any base that is placed on Mars by the USA is USA land. It just is sitting on land it does not own. It cannot be interfered with and as such anything it makes from the materials there are also USA owned.
It will come down to how wide the area that the base will control so that it wont be interfered with. A common courtesy zone in other words.
The use of a magnetic drive has been postulated for a form of space tug.
The idea is that a craft deploys a magnetic tether that reacts against the magnetic field of the Earth or similar and will be pushed away. So a craft can lift loads up from LEO to GEO orbit or if by changing the polarity able to pull out of orbit a disused satelite.
But the process is slow and though very cheap as space drives go is not one that makes sense for manned missions.
[url=http://www.space.com/businesstechnology/technology/technovel_tether_041109.html]Electrodynamic Tethers: Getting into the Swing
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An old article but worth reading.
Intresting article from the Space Review about NASA and the economies of space.
This is about NASA's and Griffins view of what NASA is about and its future.
Intresting comment though was from Mike Griffin
Griffin extended that theme to include human exploration of the Moon. “I personally believe that China will be back on the Moon before we are,” he said. “I think when that happens, Americans will not like it, but they will just have to not like it. I think we will see, as we have seen with China’s introductory manned space flights so far, we will see again that nations look up to other nations that appear to be at the top of the technical pyramid, and they want to do deals with those nations. It’s one of the things that made us the world’s greatest economic power
One place that minerals have been found to concentrate is at the sites of what are Hydro thermal vents the so called Black Smokers. (There are also white smokers but they are a lot less mineral rich).
But these vents are abodes of very specialised life and are protected. But these black smokers eventually die and they leave soft rock formations rich in minerals and the plan is these can be mined.
Wired Magazine: Race to the bottom
This will be done by the use of telerobotic robots operating from moored barges or ships.
We need to be able to prove that not only can we survive that we can prosper.
To do this we need to prove ISRU works, that we can grow plants and food crops and that we can complete shelters for ourselves out of Martian materials. We must be able to provide power independent of a nuclear plant from Earth and finally we have to prove that long term exposure to low g is not harmful to us. This is so we can stay.
Structure foundations? the Outpost will be as light as possible and won't need them, there will probably be regolith shielding but that's not much weight. The wind shouldn't be a problem either
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Maybe they hope to find water ice just under the surface if it's not directly on the surface.
Using robots with MER capability for general survey work makes sense to locate interesting sites for astronauts to visit. They can continue to survey after the astronauts leave to prepare for the next visit. It seems the first visits will only be 1 or 2 weeks until the base is expanded.
The outpost may be of light structural weight but the Moon lander will not and it makes sense for a rover to have surveyed the landing site and to have placed beacons to aid the landers. It also makes sense that rovers which can last for long periods and dont need supplies keep surveying and finding sites that we want the more effective human explorers to investigate. And of course there is nothing to stop the rovers having the capability to actually develop the landing site for the humans to come.
It is optimistic but then again it does have the advantage of being completely reusable and this is a major advantage when it comes down to cost.
Material science has improved a lot since the creation of the Shuttle and one of its biggest problems where its large size and weight restrictions impacted on what sort of shielding it could have. Ceramics has improved and a TSTO shuttle being smaller of size than the Shuttle (No need for cargo just passengers) radically improves the chances for more robust shuttles.
Cargo would be sent directly up without consideration of returning, though it might be possible to reuse the engine system to save money.
We will likely have placed into Orbit around Mars a series of satelits to allow over the horizon communication as well as to provide a Mars Net. This will probabily also have any bases that we have on the Martian Moons as well linked in.
Another option is the development of balloons where we can bounce signals off and to provide a "cheap" alternative to a permanent satelite system.
Any long distance missions will also use the repeater station system of allowing communication between it and the home base to happen.
I agree that it will take quite a few years to happen but then the very principle of the idea of a goverment for Mars is a long term view. Certainly as far as I can see there just is not the need for any form of goverment beyond a base director and possibly a citizens council for a long long time.
Goverment will only become a pressing concern as the population on Mars increases and that is definitly a long term view of the planet.