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But we may be talking about very different technologies here. I'm referring to essentially 3D printers, a technology that already exists in some forms and isn't all that different from a CNC machine for practical purposes, just cheaper and cleaner to operate. But if we're talking about nanobot uber-fabbers that rebuild on a molecular level and work in an essentially magical fashion then anything goes and you're absolutely right.
Actually, those 3-D printers might amaze you after a few generations of technology; I wouldn't be surprised if large units capable of printing the majority of the car as a single unit show up reasonably soon.
As for magical uber-fabbers, I expect them to come around sometime during my lifetime. Hey, if nothing else, they'll make getting to space easier. ("Hello, police... I'd like to register a complaint against my neighbor... yeah, he's fabbing missiles or something in his backyard.") :laugh:
Then assuming you could make your own Corvette parts, how many people would actually know how to assemble them?
I was actually thinking of a larger fab unit that builds the unit complete and ready to go (just add gas), probably.
Even in the case of simple items, mugs or forks for example, mass-produced goods will still likely dominate over home-fabbed items due to cheaper per-unit costs. A set of Wal-Mart dishes will still be cheaper than making your own because they'll have big mass-fabbing machines that you can't afford
I completely disagree here. The reason isn't that Wal-Mart couldn't produce items less expensively, but that the margin would probably be lower than the cost of the gas to drive there and back - and, also, most of the 'small stuff' would be impulse-buy (impulse-build?) stuff or to fill an immediate need. If you drop a glass on the floor (whoops) you wouldn't drive out to Wal-Mart to replace the thing, you'd simply flip on the fab and spit out a new one.
I believe that you conceptually can't make the leap to a society where manufacturing is so distributed, automated, and cheap. Right now, there is a serious barrier to entry for designing a car. You have to go through lots of engineering school, get a degree, get hired by a car manufacturer, and work like a slave in a cube farm, etc. The car design must meet a reasonably broad slice of the car-driving population, because of the fixed costs involved in building a car, to ensure a reasonable profit margin.
Now, imagine the nanofab society: the barrier to entry is going to be almost completely gone. All you need is a copy of CAD and DOT rules on what the car must contain, and an idea for a car. You will have a much larger segment than you think build the cars even if they have to assemble them - look at the percentage of kit airplanes built - and if larger nanofabs that can build the whole unit are included, the 'normal' car companies are going to have to radically reinvent themselves, because you will have loads of auto lovers who will distribute their own plans for free or some nominal charge. Their main payment will be the idea that people are actually driving their vehicle.
Capitalism, as traditionally construed, requires specialization, and specialization requires barriers to entry. The barriers are starting to disintegrate, and I expect that process to continue into the future.
And who approved giving a White House press pass for this "pig" and "pervert" - - okay thats two questions.
Press passes are actually pretty easy to get a hold of - you merely need to be a writer for a regularly published whatever (newspaper, magazine, TV show...).
NECROMANCY! NECROMANCY! You revived this thread from the dead...
If I might hijack the dead topic, and steer it onto a slightly different course, imagine that nanomolecular assemblers are invented and perfected in ten years, and pretty much anything you want can be manufactured from the appropriate feedstock. What sort of piracy problems would this create for, say, General Motors if anybody with a pile of old parts can magically turn them into a copy of a brand new Chevrolet, with the design for the assemblers to follow downloaded by P2P onto a DVD? Or would all those factories just be obsolete, and GM should change from worrying about an army of factories to just designing cars?
I'm no socialist, and, in fact, I'm a pro-business Republican. But I really think that capitalist economics (any traditional economics) is going to start breaking down simply because production will become progressively more automated, distributed, and cheap. IMHO the music industry is just the first one to get run down by that steamroller - the music industry's sole purpose in the economy is to take music created by artists and then distribute it to its consumers. That entire reason for existing has basically been vaporized by technology, although what relationship will develop between music creators and consumers to replace it is unknown and at this stage unformed. It won't be P2P, because that doesn't reward content creators, but it sure as heck won't be the traditional model.
Lord Vlork and the Yu Knights.
How about "The WalMart Allstars"? They remind me of those damn smiley-face "Falling Prices" signs they have all over the stores.
What Northern Ireland is, is the West Bank a few hundred years from now, with a better climate and good beer.
Actually, I'm pretty certain that "Protector" was written *before* "The Selfish Gene" - checking on Google, it was - but Niven nailed the basic ideas put forth in "The Selfish Gene" on the head in this book.
I'm referring to the "Selfish Gene" literally here. The alien species in the book has three life stages: child (self-explanatory); breeder, where the species reproduces; and protector, which comes in their old age. The species is only intelligent in their protector stage, and as long as their family line is still around and kicking, they're pretty much ageless - they don't die of old age. The story is about first contact between humanity and this species. To say anything more would be to give away a good bit of the story.
This book IMHO is as good as Ringworld, ie, one of Niven's best books.
It's smart to simply carry a spare belt in the trunk, actually. That, your spare tire, a tire plug kit/Fix-A-Flat, two flashlights, and a bottle of pre-mixed coolant... maybe a quart of oil if your car burns oil.
And duct tape, of course. But that goes without saying.
--Edit--
The funniest advice I ever heard for an 'emergency kit' was the following:
This is my 8" barrel Colt Anaconda and a whiskey flask. Those two items and a Bible were gifts from my dad for my first communion. He told me, "Son, these will get you through most of life's troubles."
And I asked, "But what will get me through the rest of life's troubles?"
And he replied, "A credit card, but you're not old enough for one of those."
Hnn....
Recently read about eight books by Jack McDevitt. I like his style; he tells a better story than KSR, that's for sure. The one thing I disagree with him about is his aliens; they're all 'people in funny suits', even moreso than, say, Star Trek, IMHO. However, the aliens aren't generally the main focus of his stories, so...
Also read 'Protector', by Larry Niven, which I rate ahead of all the Jack McDevitt books I read. Good book, classic Niven; I reccomend it for a short, quick read - it's only 217 pages, a very short book. The basic premise is complete nonsense, but you can suspend your disbelief and have fun with it. To reveal a little without telling all: This book portrays a species with 'The Selfish Gene' running amok.
An inflatable tent might be useful for use on short trips in the unpressurized rover or for emergencies but I don't think it would be good for long term use.
This happens to be exactly the point of the inflatable 'backpack' tent. For the rover, I believe that we're talking about a pop-up trailer type setup. For instance, you could have a 'second floor' on the rover, connected by a ladder, which is a sort of loft to toss your sleeping bags, put up a folding table, etc, if you made the walls out of airtight plastic and radiation-absorbing synthetic cloth. It would fold down to a foot or two when the rover is moving, and when you stop and need the extra space, you raise and inflate.
I must note, as a founding member of the Mars Rifle Association, that although our name says "rifle", we also protect shotguns, pistols, katanas, machetes, pocketknives, large angry dogs, and blindlingly colored clothes, or any other implement that might be used in self defense and is not crew-served. :laugh:
I'm definitely with Cobra on the sunglasses. I think I'll wear Martian camo-colored pants (salmon with red and maroon blotches), a sturdy pair of boots and a nice thick warm jacket. And a Browning 9mm, since Cobra will be running around with a frickin' katana.
Oh, I certainly don't deny that people will do creative things to their utilitarian clothes. It's just that the basic shape of the clothes will be utilitarian, and the majority of clothes are going to be blandly boring. You probably won't see much interesting stuff going on.
Caveat: If rapid prototyping equipment, nanotech, and/or other technologies allow for push-button manufacturing of custom items, then this prediction will be wholly invalid, along with any other prediction - if people can basically make whatever kind of clothing they want according to their whims at the push of a button, fashion anarchy will reign supreme. Anything that doesn't violate the law will be worn by someone at sometime.
It requires a certain kind of person to settle a new, hostile land, one with a certain mindset. Fashion is not going to be high on their priorities, not with the planet trying its damnest to kill you. Both the initial base scientists and the initial colonists are unlikely to waste time and effort on fashion - at least not for a hundred years or so after the founding of the place, I'd wager. And afterwards, what's 'fashionable' will likely be knockoffs of whatever's currently fashionable on Earth.
Spanglish, Hinglish, Engrish, yeesh, it's like Latin fracturing into a bazillion languages.
Yeah, this would add utility to unpressurized rovers around the base, and it does seem to be something that can be tested 'on the cheap', as it were, right here on Earth. The only difficult bit here on Earth would be heat-build up in the tent (the opposite problem that Mars would have), but this could be eliminated by testing the device someplace cold... or even just testing in in a pool, to see if it's airtight; the water would effectively cool the tent. Tie a bunch of cinderblocks to it or something.
What we imagine people will wear on Mars: various wild and insane things.
What people will actually wear on Mars: relatively drab, utilitarian stuff. They're building a new arena for human civilization, after all. It's serious work! I predict many fines-stained white, off-white or beige clothes with lots of loops and pockets to stick stuff in, heavy boots for work and light insulated slippers for inside the base. Maybe veils/masks if fines keep getting in, or to assist in preventing disease from spreading in the closed environments. Some rust-red clothes (because they stain less easily on Mars).
Swimsuits on Mars... likely an alien concept after a generation or two. Not the idea of wearing clothes while swimming, just the concept of swimming, at least on Mars. Waste *that* much water just to paddle around in?
Woudn't an air mattress floor with multiple layers like a multi-pane window do exactly that?
Yes, however, it wouldn't look as cool. :laugh:
Or do you mean 2 locking rings like EMU suits, but made of semi-flexible material that can be looped like those self-pop-up tents?
That was what I meant by
Have you ever seen those kid's tents with the collapseable metal/plastic hoops sewn into the linings?
This idea seems reasonably doable, it seems, although the final shape of the tent might not be traditionally tent shaped. I figure even a sphere is fine, as long as you anchor it well and fill the bottom with blankets and your suits and other crap to make a floor. Or just include a small suspended floor.
Wait, I have it. Just let the pressurized component of the tent be a sphere, for simplicity's sake, but inscribe that sphere in a collapsing-rod framework (pup-tent, tepee, whatever) to prevent it from rolling. Heck, have it look like a soap film bubble in a wire cube if you want. That would also let you suspend the manned portion of the tent off the icy Martian surface.
Perhaps a Kevlar net holding the correct shape, or a different radius of curvature of the bottom like in one of Zubrin's city dome concepts?
Apollo found the zippers got fouled with fines, can anyone think of a way to hold the fabric closed that provides even tension (not ties or button)?
Have you ever seen those kid's tents with the collapseable metal/plastic hoops sewn into the linings? I'm thinking you could make a door/airhatch frame and door/airhatch from two of them, and pop them together to seal things well. I suppose you could use ties as well on the inside to provide extra strength, too, depending on the operating pressure, though it's probably going to be a flat 5 psi oxy atmosphere.
You could pull the tanks on a golf handcart-like thing, I suppose. But such a tank would weigh about 14.5 pounds on Mars.
Weight allowances on Mars are an interesting subject. The decreased weight means all sorts of interesting things. Normally, the rule of thumb is something like 20-25% of body weight for carried stuff, although soldiers tend to carry more, relative to their weight... but we'll use the lower figures here for calculations. Now, on Earth, that means a 200 pound man should carry around 40-50 pounds. On Mars, this balloons to 105-132 pounds (all pounds are on Earth, of course!)... and he also gains 326 pounds because his body is designed to support 200 pounds, but is only moving 76 ((200-76)/.38). Granted, a lot of that extra weight allowance is going to be used on his spacesuit... but even if the suit weighs 200 pounds, that is, more than an Apollo suit, he can still carry more than his body weight in stuff without a problem. Even if you say that he can only lift the 105-132 pounds where the percieved weight on Mars is the same as the 40-50 pounds on Earth, that's still a *lot* of camping gear.
All that gear will still mass the same, of course, but that's not what kills your back hiking... it's holding that stuff up that's the killer. And Mars's low gravity puts a big hole in that one.
As far as the scrubber, the crude ones used on early submarines would probably be fine for the sort of short term stuff we're talking about. They used two chemicals, both of which I forget, one to remove moisture, and the other to remove CO2. You could have a small one rigged up with a fan and a couple batteries, no problem.
Remember, we're thinking fairly short term (one, two nights or so) stuff.
Perhaps you could use electrostatic cling - like saran wrap - to form the seal? Three ply tent, ballistic nylon, an airtight polymer, and a clinging plastic. The outer two layers of the door zip, then you press the clinging plastic from the door to the inside of the tent. Presto, instant seal. Not perfect, naturally, but it's probably good enough for short term stuff.
Just don't forget your Demron sleeping bag to protect from ionizing radiation. :laugh:
For some reason, when looking for the correct folder to put this in, I read "Life on mars" and thought '... yeah, this will be about (human) life on Mars'.
You might want to move it, I guess.
Yeah, the idea is somewhat nutty, but I was thinking - is it possible to design a man-portable shelter for use on Mars, either for recreational use by colonists or, in the earlier exploration phase, to augment other trips into the extraterrestrial wilderness?
The concept I'm having is of a very lightweight airlock - basically two very lightweight aluminum and carbon fiber doors connected by an airtight polymer tube. The doors would be built as lightly as possible, and no provision for pumps, etc. would be made (lost air would be replaced by compressed gas bottles). The tent itself would also be made of an airtight polymer and sealed against one of the airlock doors. You prop the tent up (unpressurized), space the two airlock doors apart (with their own tent poles), then pressurize to 5 psi. You would probably need some sort of foam rubber insulating mat for the floor... but nothing says you can't split the load across two or three people, so it's doable.
Remember, you're in a 0.38 gravity field. Do you think it's doable? If it is, such disposable temporary bases might be useful. You could stash them on board a rover quite easily and deploy them at need, or simply hike over to a site of interest if it's near the base.