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From a link inside this link:
Once the nation's shuttle fleet is retired in 2010, Griffin said he would like to see commercial industry take over crew rotations and supply missions.
"We want to be able to buy these services from American industry," he said. "We believe that when we engage the engine of competition, these services will be provided in a more cost-effective fashion than when the government has to do it."
The space agency plans to begin seeking proposals this fall from industries to deliver cargo to orbit.
Everything is permitted provided only that it increases beauty.
Hmmm . . .
Isn't beauty in the eye of the beholder?
IF we reduce the role of the Shuttle to merely being the instrument to attach the peices, then we can use the ISS as a means to jumpstart the VSE. Start the Heavy Lifter ASAP, and use the ISS modules as "operational guinea pigs".
Time is running out for that though.
Griffin's plan in a nutshell appears to be to use ISS support and crew transfer to jumpstart alt-space (SpaceDev & t/space) with CEV to be capable of LEO return from the Moon. (Hat tip to John Creighton for the cogent analysis).
I don’t like statements like this because the vehicles serve different roles. The CEV is a vehicle made so it can enter earths atmosphere from lunar velocity. It can service that ISS space station but that it is not the intended purpose. It just has the capability should the private sector fail to step up to the challenge.
IMHO, exactly! Succinct and very nicely put, John.
By the way, the SpaceDev HL-20 does look a little like the vessel John Creighton first flew in FarScape.
Did you go right to the source?
Link:
A predecessor to the NASA HL-20 design reached orbit and re-entered safely. The SpaceDev Dream Chaser™ uses the same outer mold line (shape) as the HL-20 Personnel Launch System, but would fly six passengers instead of the HL-20 ten passengers, thus saving weight, which may improve handling. SpaceDev personnel flew an HL-20 simulation in the Vertical Motion Simulator at NASA Ames, and found that landing the SpaceDev Dream Chaser™ may be very similar to landing the Shuttle.
The suborbital SpaceDev Dream Chaser™ is envisioned to use internal hybrid rocket motors and is designed to launch vertically from a simple launch pad at any commercial spaceport. The orbital version of SpaceDev Dream Chaser™ is proposed to launch on the side of three large hybrid boosters. Unlike the Shuttle, the orbital SpaceDev Dream Chaser™ system is not anticipated to use cryogenic propellants, thus it is anticipated that no foam insulation and no ice will hit the SpaceDev Dream Chaser™ vehicle. SpaceDev selection criteria included basing its human space transport system on existing technology, the HL-20, and on scaled-up hybrid rocket motors. SpaceDev believes this combination should save time and money, and could result in a safe and affordable vehicle.
Subject to the availability of adequate funding, sources for which have not yet been identified, the initial SpaceDev Dream Chaser™ development plan includes milestones for multiple manned sub-orbital test flights by 2008, and manned test flights to orbit by 2010. SpaceDev believes that its corporate culture and proven track record of rapidly and successfully developing innovative space technologies could provide the right environment in which SpaceDev could design and develop a complete human space flight system for a fraction of the cost of traditional Shuttle replacement programs.
Scaled up SpaceShipOne rubber rockets?
Why is this in free chat, BTW? Only old farts read free chat :twisted:
Dude, I am old.
Having children later in life than many has helped me keep a youthful spirit.
Well if the seat going rate is equitable to that of a soyuz we will only booked 2 or so for the soyuz thus far and then most likely switch over.
I wonder if this open up more space tourism business once it is online for use.
I believe Griffin would be willing to pay substantially more than the cost of Soyuz (if substantially less than the projected $400 million cost per launch for CEV+CLV).
If SpaceDev can fly its variant of the HL-20 to LEO, then I'd say the chances of them selling seats to tourists come close to 100%.
Indeed, using this HL-20 variant for suborbital tourism may happen first.
PS - - the Moon is a rock. Don't anthropomorphize.
PPS - - As for pimping, ask Abraham. Irony abounds.
As for lunar real property rights, I oppose any near term comprehensive "solution" as being politically non-viable.
Nonetheless, under current international law, a growing consensus holds than moon miners can "own" whatever they extract however they cannot own the land itself (akin to fishing in international waters).
Regulations akin to "no littering" would be sensible.
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What follows reads my argument backwards.
However, trying to achieve “transcendence” via make-a-quick-buck brand marketing is a bit akin to a priest trying to find god on a drinking binge at a German brothel. You’ll find something cheap and dirty, but it won’t be what you say you’re looking for.
Marketing can be tacky, crass and sleazy. Often is.
However, prohibiting such conduct will not allow us to achieve "transcendence" - - offer another way to fund space and I will listen. To deny any role for media and marketing revenue as being crass or "whore-ish" aspires to a form of purity, of transcendence, I find to be an illusion.
Taxing people and using that tax revenue to allow a priestly class go do science on the Moon is not a more noble route to pursue.
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The central point to Adam Smith is that large numbers of human beings, relatively equal in power, and allowed to choose freely will lead to a healthier happier society than a society where some central planner says what is permitted and what is not.
Next For SpaceDev -- Crew Shuttle To Space Station
Interesting take on how SpaceDev believes it can get a space place to the ISS...
SpaceDev said if funding is forthcoming, multiple manned suborbital test flights could launch by 2008, and manned test flights to orbit by 2010.
The orbital version of the SpaceDev Dream Chaser would launch vertically from a launch pad on the side of three large hybrid boosters.
It would use scaled-up versions of the rocket used on SpaceShipOne. SpaceDev believes this combination should save time and money, and could result in a safe and affordable vehicle.
Some would say those play toy engines....
They could even substitute other solid rocket engines possibly in this design...
The HL-20 ida might actually work.
The real prize? Selling seats to NASA for ISS cew rotation.
How does sending tourists into space further any of this?
Personally, I find the whole space tourism thing very much over-rated. However, to say that too loudly at the other places I visit tends to get me flamed.
So, being a diplomatic soul, I employ the classic "Yes, and" or "Yes, but" rather than "no"
Are we also willing to consign the heavenly bodies to nothing more than a source of raw material to feed our consumer avarice? If people are mining these places, people will want to own it. Ownership leads to vested interests, controlling bodies, and limitations.
Space becomes an area of uninhibited freedom and one of territory.
As always, such issues are rarely either / or. The phrase "nothing more" and the phrase "blatant whoring" suggests a denial of the essential human ambiguity that we are flesh and blood yet also have aspirations for trancendence all rolled into one package. (Is Platonic trolling like platonic love?)
The Moon can be a source of PGMs without being "nothing more" a source of PGMs.
Besides I believe in private property and I assert Adam Smith was the first true modern liberal. But that discussion will outlive both of us, I am sure.
Uninhibited freedom? Sounds good to me, within reason. 8)
The telescope, with untold scientific potential is evaluated against simple economic analysis based on the value of the land it will inhabit. Also, I might add, the value of the moon as a scientific research body is reduced by strip mining and increased communication on or near it.
Sensible zoning (or its celestial analouge) is called for. Yup, radio noise near a FarSide scope is a bad idea. Light pollution near a big lunar liquid telescope is a bad idea.
But there is no platonic or ideal solution even if laser links for data flows are coming on line and will partially solve such problems.
Strip mining? I oppose unregulated, unrestricted strip mining, anywhere.
Done sensibly to help re-green the Earth? A worthy trade.
By the way, I had forgotten how much fun it is to chat with you, clark.
Maybe we need a poll to ascertain whether anyone else finds this useful, or enjoyable.
Comments from others?
Do you need a catalytic convertor in a hydrogen economy?
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No. But fuel cells need platinum. The house always covers all its bases.
And direct methanol fuel cells are way cool. Imagine portable light fixtures and electronic gadgets using LED lighting and direct methanol fuel cells.
No need to wire a home. The same standard of living (or better) at a much lower cost.
All made possible by the wonders of platinum.
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Seriously, direct methanol fuel cells will do nothing for global warming but would reduce the total waste stream arising from used up batteries.
Throwing away fewer batteries allows us to live "more lightly" to use the green metaphor.
A better link for the Alex Irvine story. A while back, I purchased the hard copy (research material on this exact topic!) and I don't think the story is on-line.
Pictures from an Expedition ( by Alex Irvine)
Alex Irvine tends to take a dim view of the future, although not in the dystopian manner that, say, Russo does in this same issue.
"Pictures from an Expedition" assembles snapshots along the whole of a very plausible Mars expedition, which culminates in one member of the crew being abandoned (depending on your definition of the terms) on that planet.
Irvine skillfully crams much of the interpersonal dynamics that could fill a very long novel into this tight, taut novella. We follow the six-person crew through many ups and downs as they reach Mars, establish a year-and-a-half outpost to look for life (nicely done) and more importantly, water. We follow the expedition not only from direct views into the crew, but also from the perspective of chat-rooms and newspaper articles.
The heart of the story has very little to do with actual space exploration, and everything to do with the sensationalist frenzy of media attention: in particular its impact on the lives of people just trying to do a job.
That said, Irvine is adept both at layering in the hints of doom, and also at creating a very convincing account of what a first Mars trip might be like.
The idea of public fascination with the space heroine's "cup size" comes from this story.
Space exploitation will not work (IMHO) unless the exploiters persuade humanity in general that the species benefits from entering space. Adventure or exploitation as we normally think of it won't be enough to raise sell the billions that are needed
Space TV as a variation of "Survivor" simply will not sell at the levels needed to buy the necessary equipemnt. A sound stage is sufficient for that
This guy wrote an interesting short story about the first expedition to Mars with the viewers at home being more interested in the heroine's bra cup size than the science. IMHO that is a ludicrous scenario since that type of media cannot raise the billions needed to do the job.
Only a story that resonates more deeply than shallow sex appeal or other tacky themes can raise the billions needed to exploit space.
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By the way, if Dennis Wingo is correct about exploitable PGMs being present in lunar asteroid fragments, returning lunar platinum will materiallly increase Terran standards of living. Its a theory, but its exploitation of a resource we can all benefit from.
Cut the price of platinum in half and every new car will cost $50 - $75 less than today, because of the cost of the catalytic converter.
If we sell souvenir coins to build the infrastructure to do that, so what?
I gotta follow up. We are what we are. Deal with it.
The idea that money laundered through the US Treasury and then spent on space exploration is somehow "cleaner" or "more pure" than money acquired from giving Bill Gates an ego massage simply does not resonate with me.
Frankly, obtaining a funding grant by being a buddy of Tom Delay (or Ted Kennedy) seems more like whoring than naming a telescope after Bill Gates.
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Edit: None of this should be construed to mean I oppose the pursuit of social justice.
We must pursue social justice. But to say we cannot enter space until we achieve social justice? I refer you back to my school reunion metaphor.
A few weeks ago I spent a morning in Chicago's Art Institute. I don't go there often enough.
The art was stunning, of course, however I was also struck by the donor name plates that were plastered everywhere. Rubloff, Pritzker (sp?) and many of the other wealthy Chicago families. Oh, and Boeing. heh!
Advertising. Tasteful, Art Institute vetted advertising.
A group of us sat in an audiotorium named after a wealthy heiress. So what?
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Retired USAF General Pete Worden has said that he tells rich capitalists that they should do things like fund liquid mirror telescopes on the Moon "to atone for their sins" - - of course he wants a big telescope to play with.
Is tax revenue really "cleaner" - - that is the question, IMHO.
By the way, google liquid mirror telescopes. Waaay waaay cool.
A large lunar liquid mirror (use mercury) telescope could make Hubble look like a child's toy at a surprisingly affordable price.
Yet will lofting rich millionaires and foolish fame seekers really create the spiritual metamorphosis that underlies your willingness to accept the blatant whoring of space exploration?
Not for all, but for some. Maybe. But what is the alternative?
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For centuries the Catholic Church conducted services in Latin and printed the Bible in Latin saying that the subject matter was too precious for the common man or woman.
If we select space explorers based on "merit" who shall judge what constitutes merit?
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The phrase "blatant whoring" reminds me of the series FireFly and the movie Serenity. I just purchased the complete series on DVD and will see the movie after watching all the episodes.
Rxke, there is nothing "mere" about clark.
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When he trolls, it's usually very well done and you gotta admire a really good troll.
Will people want to raise children there if space becomes a glorified theme park?
Space is a big place. Plenty of room for theme parks AND quiet retreats.
And monasteries, whether devoted to God or Science.
PS - - Do some people waste their lives? Squander the few moments we are granted?
Yup. Film at 11.
Is that a reason for not going to the Moon?
Artists and scientists have always required the protection and support of patrons. To satisfy both the demands of the market and the artists' inner voice is a never ending struggle.
In recent times, the US federal government (due to the unprecedented wealth of the US economy and a shared liberal vision of humanity) served as benign patron, handing out grants far and wide.
Those days are ending, for better or worse. If we want space, we need to go where the money is.
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Human beings are a study in contradiction and ambiguity.
Me? I want BOTH the science and the ATVs.
I loathe the idea of running an ATV over an important study site or fossil bed (whether on the Moon or Earth) yet on terrain that has already revealed its major secrets or is otherwise not special, hey, free-wheel away!
After a week in Napa, drinking excellent wine, you sometimes just need a beer.
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Permanence in space will come when people want permanence.
Do we want to raise children there. If some answer "yes" then the millionaires and ATVs on the Moon will help give them the capability to do that.
Rxke said he liked it also, over in malaprops
Suppose a significant school reunion is coming up. You resolve to lose weight but aren't doing so well at that.
Do you skip the reunion, or go anyway?
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I would prefer that a "better" or "more morally improved" humanity (compared to the humanity we now share) lead the way out into space. But, as Rummy says, you work with the species you got, not the species you wish you had.
Anyway, going into space changes engineers into poets and makes hardened fighter jocks weep from the beauty of it all.
I say get out there. And if the cost is a few advertising logos, so be it.
I read somewhere that JIMO (or at least the nuclear propulsion portion) has been removed from the budget.
Was that my bet with clark or Josh Cryer's bet?