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But we are only talking about running out of the fuel that is used by large power plants.
Oil though is what actually pushes our economies and its need is actually growing exponentially. Especially with the new so called tiger economies demanding more and more oil. We will find the prices for oil going up again as demand outstrips supply again this year.
But then again we have passed what is called the peak oil point 7 years ago. Bring on the Hydrogen car
75% of all asteroids visible from the earth are C type, seemingly made up of hydrocarbons. Approximately 15% are metal asteroids.
We know mars has water so why go way out to the asteroids to get it and I wouldn't expect a mars colony to have a problem finding iron since the surface is covered with iron oxide. As far as the nickel and other metals are concerned I think going out to an asteroid, drilling, storing, and returning to mars with it is inefficient. It would be easier and safer to simply ship it from the earth on unmanned spacecraft.
Nitrogen is a problem. You need it, or an acceptable substitue, as a buffer gas for the atmosphere. I don't have a solution but I hope we come up with something better than asteroid mining.
What you dont realise is that though only 15% of asteroids we know of are of a metal rich type. That is still more metal than we have ever used and is actually present if we where to mine the WHOLE planet.
If we where to use Iron as an example we could for instance make a solid covering of Iron over the planets Earth surface that would be a mile thick and still have enough left over to do it again. This is just using Neos and the Main Belt asteroids.
And for Mars to become a mining site is really a no brainer what makes it good for us to send people to actually makes it bad for supplying space industry. Gravity and atmosphere.
Its never about rocks it is what makes those rocks. And how we use them.
But with ESA being involved with Russia and its capacity to develop new engines what would the likehood of an Arianne class with a Russian engine being made.
And this is for GCN what sort of performance would they get from such a collaboration.
Commodore you certainly are.
I dont honestly know the answer to my own questions. I do know though that it is those questions and how we answer them that will either kill or enable Mars missions and Colonisation.
If we can make the commen person think that they actually have a chance to be able to go and live on Mars, And make a new exciting life where they are investing in the future for themselves and there children then they are on our side.
But to do that we have to be able to send people to stay and we have to be seen to be increasing the capacity for sending people. We have to build colony ships.
Everyone will benifit from a manned Mars exploration program, just as everyone has benifited from the current space program.
People just can't expect instant gratification.
But what you have to remember it sounds lovely that the United States economy benefitted by 7 dollars for each dollar spent on space. But the average Joe did not really see it and once the First Moon Mission landed they turned off there TVs and ignored the program in droves.
But there is never people marching down your high street claiming that the space program should be funded. There is never people on corners collecting money for the Mars Society. Space exploration is considered the domain of the super intelligent rocket scientist and space jockey. In fact it is considered airy fairy land for a common person to want to be involved. Children dream of it not adults.
So if we want to sell space and to defeat those who oppose us we need to get the commen person involved. We need to make them feel personally excited and that space is doing things which not only personally benefit them but that they can actually do things to advance it.
Now this is hard but we have to try otherwise you may see all the current space programs cut one day by a new administration that considers sorting out home problems first and space a pure waste of resources.
Great especially that knowledge of those almost permanently dark and lit places on the Moon the potential for these regions for the future of "commercial" and "scientific" uses for the Moon is exponential.
Cal didnt grow up into CobraCommander did he?
But it is an interesting thought. I wonder if the future colonists of Mars will become aggrivated with the people of Earth to the point they revolt.
Is this not how all colonies become nation states?
Failte Scnigey
Hope you enjoy new mars and learn as much as I have
Though China is more friendly with its neighbour its a simple case of economics that has caused it. Russia has resources and Oil, China needs it.
But it is also this economics that ensures China will now have to pay a lot lot more to get its hands on Rusian space expertise. And it also means with a more forceful and powerful Russia that for China to get its ability to launch using what we call heavy lift it will have to design it itself.
But saying that it can do it. And it can use the experience and mistakes of all the other space agencies to be able to get a quick boost.
...They believe manned spaceflight is a waste of finances and a venture down the wrong road. One of the most venement are what I call NeoConservationists.
I know the type. Unable to grasp the simple fact that conservation is not a solution to a shortage, it just means we run out slower in a more miserable fashion.
I suspect that's part of an ulterior motive, but that's another discussion. :;):
Agreed, Especially if you look up the club of rome or New society
So how do you sell the public on Mars Colonies?
That requires a capacity to actually send colonists. Getting this and it becomes a lot easier to sell space. But I would use a page out of Zubrins book and use the allure of a new frontier and this should encourage emigration. Especially to those people who are adventurous in the first place
When the ISS was being planned ESA had plans for its module to have been equipped with its own atmosphere and supply of power. This was stopped by NASA probably as it was thought by administrators that ESA was trying to get real experience in designing and building its own station and in sending man rated modules up in an Arianne.
Also what the ESA scientists actually then designed was a much larger Module than will now be deployed and was a lot more useful as a science station.
So though there are other nations involved in its creation what is a definite is that the ISS is an American station which would really have trouble being sold on the open market. Who would want something that costs so much and is certainly not value for money.
There is a very virulent and sustained group of opponents to Manned space flight and even to operations beyond Earth Orbit.
They believe manned spaceflight is a waste of finances and a venture down the wrong road. One of the most venement are what I call NeoConservationists.
They see the problems the world has like Oil running out, Greenhouse gases, Pollution, Overpopulation. And they see the only answer as reducing our Industrial capacity and a general reduction in the Energy that we use. What they also see is that spaceflight is a major sin and try to get it cancelled. The worse thing for us the space enthusiast is that they are linked to the respectable Eco groups and in Universities and Goverments. There has even been a vice president who could be called one. They use loose terms like Drawback, Crash and consequences. They do not believe that anything Man can do like Fusion or getting resources and energy from space are worthwhile. They only see that we should destitute ourselves to solve the problems rather than try to actually find resources to solve these problems.
The trouble is that for space advocates the general public tend to be excited about space but only as a science fiction future. The Eco activists though with the problems of Global warming and pollution have all the sound bites. Though I see these problems I honestly dont believe that making everyone into a Marx like poor community really is the way to go.
Yes but we have to use the People we send with intelligence and with that we use Telerobotic robots and Satelites to find, prepare and Guide in the Men and Women who come later.
This means we get the people to who we send to actually do what they are best at and leave the mundane technician and building jobs to Guided telerobots from Earth. But it will be started by Robots as it can be done cheaper if we use robots at first to prepare the ground. This will also allow us to use the poor financial resources we will have to the best use and allow missions to get done faster. It will also provide places for the future missions to come down and land safely. It will also help if we have a clue where we want people to start looking.
Dont appreciate it much myself. :angry:
But the space organisations are locked in by treaty to finish it and with that we will have to just deal with it. It does mean that any Moon return and future Mars missions will be just that future. Nasa will just have to get the ISS done :angry:
The worst thing is that after it is complete we will still have it about as it just cant be abandoned :angry:
The Arianne 5 is designed as a pure satelite launcher but it does not mean ESA has plans for a more capable heavy launcher. The Arianne 5 is designed to get Europe back into the satelite launching buisness with more capability by launching more than one satelite at once.
Still for ESA to go to the Moon as part of its Aurora programme needs a lot heavier launcher (see mars society Germany) or a team effort with someone like the Russians. And with the Russians recently touting Energia again though it will cost Billions of Euros to get going again.
I still think NASA will have to do a very good gutting of itself to be able to do the Bush plan and to keep the limping ISS along. I expect that next year we will see a lot more Job casualties.
Still seems a lot to do.
I wonder wether this thing will ever be built. That is a lot of modules to have to launch and integrate and with the ISS showing signs of wear and tear and actually failing in parts (oxygen generator, The denting and strange noises).
The ISS was a make up design so that certain countries would not have there modules close to other countries for pure political reasons. I wish I was joking but this is true. Anyway there will be a lot more money needed to invest in the ISS to get it complete. And this is only if it stays on track and nothing goes wrong. So it has cost 100billion $us so far. I expect that it will certainly cost about the same to make it complete. This is all money that could have been spent on the more useful Moon and Mars and CEV programme.
Some Moon quakes are likely the result of impacts from meteors but not all, we have to accept that the Moon is not geologically dead like many believe. We have seen that there are sporadic instances of gas flare outs and we may if we ever do a real deep geological survey still find heat from the time of the Moons creation.
But still it really is time we actually did go back and do some real research into all those things we did not do before. And there is a lot to learn still and the Moon can still really surprise us yet. But it means we have to go the way of rovers and geological survey satelites as this will give us what we need to actually go back to stay.
If there was to be any building of a space Hotel on the Moon take it that low wages will not be a problem the workers that build it have. Actually at first anyone willing to pay the Millions to go there will simply have to take the rather antartic type accomodation that will be present.
But for space tourism to "fly" then we will need a reasonable cost 100% reusable spaceplane wether two stage or ideally single stage. And a decent sized space infrastructure to facilitate it as well like an LEO spacestation and a lunar/LEO transport system.
But this is not needed though for a return to the Moon. We can use a heavylifter to through direct cargoes or too combine in orbit more than one launch to go there. Eventually we will send a tug up there to increase transport to the Moon and eventually we will need more humans up there so an improved people carrier will be developed (read spaceplane). But what must be done is to do one stage at a time and then simply keep adding to it so that it all leads to improved infrastructure allowing more to be done. The so called spiral design.
But what we must not do is an appollo Moon shot which cost Billions and simply cancelled any further advancement on the Moon or attempt to use materials found there to increase the length and reduce cost of the missions or to create permanent facilities.
It is not that simple. The white knight and spaceship one did not actually enter LEO they only touched the zone we call space. For them to actually enter LEO or further and to actually to have an independent access to space rather than NASA etc is a whole more powerful boardgame.
We do not have the capability to enter space in the Alt space community and we certainly dont have an independent way to put infrastructre up there.
Actually im quilty of having to use a set of womens tights as a timing belt in an old beat Nissan sunny
But it worked and got me home.
Another thing I have heard someone do was to have a flat tyre and to fill it with polyfilla a plaster replacement as he had no spare.
Not those 8 small tubes they are definitly grenade/smoke launchers but if you look to the front likely those two boxes hold LAW derivative missiles for anti armor use or something similar. They also seem to have a heavy machine gun for anti personal use.
Still it would be reasonably easy to have side launched heavier missiles. And if set lower on the frame it would increase stability.
edit Grypd 14/02/2005
Sorry Cobra really meant to say LAW not TOW but there is still likely plans to have those carried by this Robot.
http://www.spacedaily.com/news/robot-05g.html]Gladiator TUGV
Interesting though telerobotic I wonder how much it has gained from the Carnegie Mellon entry into the DARPA grand challenge. A very interesting design still though especially those missile pods probably a tow derivative.
http://www.spacedaily.com/news/laser-05c.html]Northrop Grumman new division.
And another interesting side show. A major corporation planning to develop and build a range of battlefield energy based weapons.
Still though it is an early stage of Robots coming to the battlefield it is very "terminatorish".
But it has gained a lot from the collapse of the USSR and most certainly from the experiences of those who have gone before. Add in there willingness to cooperate with other space organisations apart from NASA who refused them, and you get a very rapid learning curve.
So the Chinese may well get "advanced" faster than people who see there late entry into space can envision. And of course they can allways trade technology or simply purloin it.
Do you know when I was a child I used to look up to the stars and wonder.
I still do,
I wonder when the ISS is going to fall on me......
Frankly what made this operation go wrong, how could the USSR produce a station which was more effective than the ISS. And how could NASA design and insist on anything that relied on one means to get modules up. And how and why design and build something that prior to it being completed starts falling apart.