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Any country in the OECD could get to the moon via a modular spacecraft launching the components in space and linkup, assemble and launch from earth orbit to the Moon.
Module 1 - Launch booster from earth orbit
Module 2 - Launch from Lunar orbit to earth
Module 3 - Lunar Lander Cargo
Module 4 - Crew Command Vehicle
Using Falcon 9 Rockets you could build the modules as cargo components or the russian rockets could do the same or Ariane 5 boosters could be used. The Chinese doesn't need their own launch vehicles to lift the mass into orbit for assembly, but just the Crew Vehicle Module to be launched from Chinese soil to have the vehicle be chinese and be their before NASA , JASA or ESA , If wanted. The other agencies could use the same model as well, don't think that NASA is the only one could get to the Lunar Surface and back.
The same could be used to go to Mars as well, with the following modules, Its not "warp or FTL" science development to get to Mars and Lunar surfaces for recon and prospecting manned missions. It requires more larger vessels for outpost or settlements for these locations.
Vehicle 1 - Launch Cargo or to Mars
Module 1 - Launch from earth orbit
Module 2 - Booster Vehcile for Journey to Mars
Module 3 - Booster Vehicle for Journey to Mars
Module 4 - Cargo / People Transfer to the Mars Surface
Vehicle 2 - Return to Earth for Crew Return Vehicle (CRV)
Module 1 - Launch from Earth
Module 2 - Booster Vehicle for Journey to Mars
Module 3 - Return Booster to Earth (link to CRV)
Module 4 - Return Booster and Supply Module for return voyage
Add-on 1 - Crew Return Vehicle from Mars Surface
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CEV Designs are a joke for Large scale manned exploration !!!!!
We need development of larger space vessels for the exploration and settlement of our solar system over the next century of work ahead. Local space ( Our Solar System ) is like the industrial revolution 1800-1900s, the exploration and settlement of our planet for the last several thousand years we noe must move ahead. The CEV Designs are good for LEO business and returning from space until we come up with better transport, but it doesn't provide the long term expansion possibilities for human exploration.
We need space entrepreneurs to think outside the norms for building a income stream from space business and expand the space economy with the necessary critical mass to become a reality in human society.
Trebuchet,
You don't understand the reasons behind warfare, with FTL Transportation nations would war for territory, resources and other reasons for conquest.
Showtime17
You have the right idea about the Galactic Governement for the Humans in space , It allows autonomy for single planets (nations) to manage their resources with a federal oversight government. The galactic police / security group would continual need expansion as new territory be created. The explorer vessels would be part military / part civilian working in groups to meet the challenges on the frontier.
But We need to start from our existing political structures by using the United Nations and developing a model for continuing member states regional management of earth territory but the creation of a planetary government called United Earth Government it would be the start for the Terran Solar System Council then Terran System Government.
I think that if china doesn't follow the methodology of Moon then Mars approach and go direct to Mars and use the Direct Plan by Zubrin as a model then the Chinese could have a base in operation a few years ahead then the American, Russians and Europeans.
That would increase the Chinese position in the World, Economically, Socially and put the world on notice of the Chinese powerhouse is here and to stay.
Many other forms of government could exist on Mars , from imperialism with a self-claimed royals (Princes / Kings ? Dukes ) to Corporate Governors that are controlled from a board of a corporation.
You need to remember that space doesn't stop people taking reseources and control over different cities / outposts / settlements / colonies by force of arms. It depends on the backup from earth or other nearby resources. What we bring to space including robotics could be used for war as well. The Justice , legal and legislative structures and the interaction with Earth all plays a part in the development and also the reduction of risks in the formation of goverment on Mars or any other body in our solar system.
We need a Space Sector that really moves forward , not just goes round and round and moves very slowly forward and the public won't stand for it much longer when things need fixing on earth by their governments.
I don't think Mars will have a single government. !!!!!
I think that Mars will have colonies from various nations from Earth. each Nation will decide what governing authority for their colony, some will provide a governor like an external territory on earth, other will provide a self-governing structure and other will state major decision from earth command.
Eventually private concerns will also open their own colonies, this could have various management structure again. The corporate board structure could be used with a CEO managing operational affairs and board of directors managing the strategic future of the colony.
I think you need to be open to alot of different colonies on the surface of Mars, with USA, Russia, Europe, China, and Japan deciding to go to Mars and they all will eventually want colonies, before we look at commerical interests. Remember all parties ( including Nations will protect their interests or other interests that provide advantage to them)
Previous Comments show the fluid responses from the government officials about the development of space for a permanent presence of humans. It shows that programs could be seriously effected when a President Changes over from the previous one that can set a vision butnot followed.
I think we need to provide the a human cornerstone is exploration of space and enshrine it into law with a GDP Percentage for Budget perpetual and growth within the Budget. If not they could decide to reduce the budget effecting current development work or existing missions.
Rxke,
Well, I see you can't read and understand because the answer has been given twice before on this topic about how the money can be generated and the maths behind the answer. Before I can provide the rest of the answer we need to have the solution infrastructure completed.
Again I told you and the other before and again you don't listen. The government budgets are not bottomless for scientific research into space and the public will eventually call for a halt into space because they won't see any earth based benefits.
You need to make plans for all possibilities including those possibilities that effect the movement for exploration (prospecting) and colonization / settlement in space.
The other part of your comments regarding Rupert --- If you mean Rupert Murdoch, Chairman of News Limited then I would love his resources to help meet our goals for the development of space, If you are talking about your cousin Rupert, then you can have him, and the comments about ISA ---- what is that ? don't know and Its not a factor in our objectives ---- But what about the Rockfellers or other resource rich families and indivdiuals of the world, they could also provide their fortunes into the long term ventures for humanity. Bigalow is using his personal fortune to expand into space with bigalow aerospace. I think its time the space community really asks and markets to the global rich community about the long term benefits for humanity and the possible asset rich resources in space.
Rxke,
No, the figures are based on a monthly activity, not yearly. I am not going to explain anymore , If you can't work out the benefits with the space budget then your lost and I am not going to help you to understand anymore.
This also goes for GCNRevenger and Dook as well.
Rxke,
I was talking about the size and complexity of the Internet ----- Example of a large customer base ----- Not taken over the Internet Providers ------ ,, the NASDAQ every years processes hundreds of millions of transactions for over 100 million clients through their brokers again another Example ----- I am telling you how misinformed you are and providing some knowledge about the internet structure and size and the continuing growth of the net.
The Target Market currently is more than 1 Billion customer Blocks and growing daily by the time we can implement the solution the market size will be four or close to five times the current size.
Forecasted Customer Market structure:
1 Block usage - 5% of market ( 30 million customers ) = 30 Million Blocks
10 Blocks average - 30% ( 18 million customers ) = 180 Million Blocks
25 Blocks average - 45% ( 10.8 Million customers ) = 270 Million Blocks
50 Blocks Average - 20 % (2.4 Million customers ) = 120 Million Blocks
Customer Base of approx = 61.2 million approximately across the whole world would provide the 600 Million customer blocks required to meet objectives or even less if the upper market is larger then forecasted.
I know you are having a hard time understanding Basic Maths and Business Planning to comprehen yje creation of a new income source for space development and then implement the development of the infrastructure required to expand into space, including the infrastructure on earth.
Rxke, you need to open your eyes, because you didn't read and understand my previous statement. So I hope you understand this message outlines potential customer base and future grow.
Rxke, GCNRevenger
I don't think you have valued the Internet correctly - some 28 million top level domains + over 20 million country domains, 270 million customers with 2.5 email accounts each, Over 3 Billion pages - double every two years and sales equalling hundreds of Billions or even trillions of dollars globally and growing about 10-20% each year. Within the next ten years we will double the current internet and have ten times the pages and audio, video streaming across the world the current backbone will grow into a 1000 terabyte highway or more.
So don't talk about how small the Internet ---- www is only 12 years old. It will grow over the next five year generating more sales then the United States GDP and continue to grow beyond that.
30 years ago people didn't think Computers would go anywhere, 20 years ago they didn't think emailing or faxing would go anywhere ( now faxes are getting phased out ), and 10 years ago people though that WWW wouldn't go anywhere and people wouldn't shop or bank online, now look at the world today.
I find your suggestions, thoughts and comments that people in the next 30 - 100 years wouldn't go to moonbases, marsbases or have large space vessels will be the same as the people how are same minded like the ones that said the world was flat in 1492 or that all the planets rotated around the earth.
I didn't say that space was a safe environment for humans but a hostile environment from limited gravity, atomsphere , radiation , including human life support supplies. I don't think its easy to go into space but that is why our group are working on the hard questions and leaving the initial prospecting to NASA and work on the settlement issues for space and the infrastructure required.
Sdc2,
I understand, the public across the world doesn't understand why we are going to space and doesn't see a benefit for space development and exploration. We need to provide that across the whole space community on earth and make the public understand we are going to stay this time and build into space, if not then we will need the courage of private enterprise to take up the slack.
If you want to put your views directly to me just message me, I only respond as I am responded too, and I find that certain members you need to hold your ideals forcefully. I hope you do get involved we need more to discuss this important issue.
GCNRevenger,
There you go again, still trapped not understanding ----- I said customer blocks means a single block per customer or multiple block to a single customer, each block is valued at $30.00 per month, I have a current market size of over 1 billion customer block with at least twice that again in coming years. I didn't mean 600 million people, please read the next time. and there is more than 30 countries are in the OECD list of industrial nations I don't know where you get 12 rich nations.
Now to your other misunderstood responses, all the funding and development are using current technologies and technologies under development at the present time, nothing is futuristic technologies used in the outlined operations. Yes, Capitalism is based not only on return of capital but market share, asset value and other responses and will not explain unless you don't understand. The development of space requires capitalist timelines to be developed over multiple decades and family generations to see the full benefits. ( No quick returns - eg. Rail in America or Standard Oil or News Limited )
I think you need to look past your feeble thoughts of prospector landings they won't help humanity get into space in the medium to long term and without tagging them towards colonization. But the infrastructure also needs to be constructed and your mind can't get around the idea of large scale development so how can it go into space because it is vast in size and complexity and you need a mind that doesn't have boundaries and your mind has very narrow boundaries.
GCNRevenger,
Well thank you for your ranting !!!!!, I will explain again to you, problems have solutions , so look at the issue to create a vast quantity of funds on a regular basis and you might come up with a similar answer ( 600 million customer blocks x $30.00 per month = $18 Billion per month over a year = $18B x 12 = $216 Billion with $86 Billion for operations and other earth based projects leaving $130 Billion for space per year ----- ALL PRIVATE ENTERPRISE ) or it might explode your little mind trying because it outside the norms for your mind to function. It was like a job I went for in a think-tank type working environment where you have to design processes for a software apps to test without have app specifications that interview lasted four interviewers for four hours and i was shortlisted, but sadly didn't get the job. You need to use the same grey matter y( your Brain) between your ears to think outside the norms when you are dealing with space, GCNRevenger.
I know exactly what happened with Apollo XIII with the fuel connection malfunction but what I was trying to illustrate that a focused laser would do the same slicing through the skin of the spacecraft and cutting the fuel containers and creating heat and combustion that could destroy the spacecraft, I was trying to explain a scenerio ----- about private ownership of moon property and the issues about all the nations going to the moon for national interests not sightseeing----- but again you didn't read back on previous messages within this topic, So I needed to explain to you again , to help you understand.
Again you don't understand using private funds to go into space when on the surface you are spending billions to build into space without any upfront returns. You need to think again longer term and strategic in nature. Here we go strategy 101 - When you build all the infrastructure in space for other space fairing enterprises to come after you build the highways and the ability to become the backbone of the expansion until other enterprises enlarge in size to become more competitors then customers. It also means the capital returns will flow back over a number of decades and human generations. I hope this doesn't hurt your mind to expand into these large and complex thoughts----- the of the word DYNASTY and you must get the strategy then not the quickfix methodology of the Western culture.
Know I have explain in brief again I will hope this is the completion of the Apollo XIII saga in your little mind.
GCNRevenger
Why ?
I and alot of other people think that we need to move forward with large scale immigration into space for the human race. Once you make that decision (Colonization) then all the problems start to come up that are so different and on a scale ( we haven't seen on earth ) that exploration solutions are useless other than for prospector phase . Yes, its a hostile envionment in space on other planetary bodies, but so are places on earth. We need to expand our horizons and space can prove the catalyst for that process to our movement upwards towards our future.
The How ?
Yes that is a valid question, but if I provide THE ANSWER because all problems have solutions ----- the means to develop on a large scale space industry and budget to match ----- by giving the answer in this forum then I will be opening myself up to another competitor completing the answer before us, also that competitor might not have the foresight to use the income for space advancement. If you don't like that answer i have given well I am sorry , but the facts are we are competing organizations in the world that doesn't provide the second placed a chance.
Examples about nations interests : ( over the last few messages)
Disregard the Apollo 13 Example because do don't understand and I am not going to expand it to you again as well explaining it to dook, again.
GCNRevenger,
I think we are talking about to different levels of Budgets and the projects involved for the space infrastructure development from these budgets. I think you are talking about a NASA Style budget limited in many ways. Where We are talking about a budget of several times that per year in the order of US$130 billion with nearly 60% going to building infrastructure (includes vessel construction) per year. ( US$78-85 Billion)
Dook,
I know you love star trek or you wouldn't keep referencing it, you must be a closet trekkie and only coming out on here. When you are look to move large qualities of resources you need a building program like Boeing or Airbus for small, medium, large, and custom vessel construction. You need the mineral resources to build and mantain these vessels ans well provide the resources for rapid development on the surface bases.
Oooo, regarding the remote laser mobile platform then you should read up on solar cell array technologies , high energy storage capacitors and effective range (up to 1000 miles ) of lasers for heating up fuel tanks of spacecrafts or look at apollo 13 incident it doesn't need a massive laser to make conbustable elements react. Anyhow I was trying to illustrate that no nation would allow someone to stop them landing on the moon period.
You both are thing in the exploration frame of mind and not in the colonization frame of mind thus you stop short of the real objects of humanity. Because you only work with the limitation and not try to improve the limits to improve the solutions.
Thank you for agreeing with me , GCNRevenger, about Mars as well, needing things to be supplied for settlements on that planet. The only true new home will be another earth planet around another yellow type star.
We need to gather resources from different location in our solar system to have the ability to expand into space in a meaningful way. We need materials / resources from the asteroid belt , the outer planets and moons to sustain the growth for humanity in space. It doen't worry me or other that all the locations are not ideal but that the movement of resources can be achieved.
We need to build custom vessels for gathering these resources and ferrying them back to the surface bases, and orbital stations. As we develop newer technologies this will improve the movement of resources thus reduce the waste. We also need larger and more complex explorer vessels that can stay out longer in deep space to explore the frontier, pushing our frontier further and further out.
I know that some or most of you have issues about the time or why we need to go to the moon or why not start to mars but we need major space based infrastucture to keep supplying people in orbit, on mars and on the moon. We need to acknowledge the costs and fund the resources required for our next step to humanity's future -----> Permanent presence in space for humanity.
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Dook,
I take offence to your statement regarding what I said , and dismissed it as a Star trek fantasy. I don't mind you believing that exploration in the solar system as long the don't try to get in the road of the colonists.
I am sick and tried of the crap that you say the moon can't be used for anything, We will taken you comments ---- then if that's true no nation wants to go there but ever nations does, its possible to land a remote laser on a droid powered by solar energy and that could be a weapons platform then stop all nations landing on the moon and have no access to the HE3 or any other minerals / elements on the moon ---- because you claimed that nations on the don't require it. ( Don't think it can't be done it can ) ---- It doesn't have to be just the Moon , the scenerio could be mars as well placed on the moons or in orbit.
With the above scenerio the moon or mars would be off limits to all nations that would start development of armed space vessels --- wouldn't allow this to happen to its space vessels and the action of the various fairing nations against the individual or grow of individuals doing this act would be swift.
They want things from the moon or mars and don't think they just want to go for scientific reasons because people don't spend 100's of Billions to play with there rockets, collect rock samples and do nothing, If going to the moon or mars is just that then get out of the way and move over because other people have different ideas / goals/ objectives and they won't stop with the sightseeing and tourist samples and go home.
Dook, When I am talking about larger vessels we are talking about those design with David Robinson website http://www.bambam131.com. We don't have any star trek technologies do you see any or do you know of any then tell us, if not then keep your crap in your head because you just get people angry and and feel insulted by your comments.
Well,
I think you are both a bit conversative in your views (RobS, GCNRevenger), of course the moon and mars are not ideal locations for humanity but the vast amounts of resources required can be justified for the greater benefit of the human race.
Yes this undertaking will be the greatest undertaking of humanity since we moved across the world and created the cultures on our little planet. We need to have the same colonist spirit to move into space. We need to tie the exploration of a planet or moon to the settlement of that planet or moon. This means we go back to the lunar surface we are going to colonize the surface, because we shouldn't " PLAY ROCKETS " to the moon and not meet medium to long term objectives of colonization in space.
To seriously going to the Moon we need to have proper plan for use of the lunar surface before building and expanding across the surface. I can see the development of several multi-building settlements specific for different sciences and activities and a few large colonies on the moon. Then we are colonizing Moon we can use the surface in a productive manner that benefits the medium or long term objectives of humanity. ( Meaning - Multi-buildings upwards to 25-50 people and colonies of 100+ people on the surface. )
Then go out to the other planets beyond :
To seriously colonize Mars we need to have a several single building outposts , several multi-building settlements and a few large colonies on the planet. Then we are colonizing Mars. ( Meaning - Single buildings - 6 people, Multi-buildings upwards to 50-75 people and Colonies of 100+ people on the surface. )
It doesn't look that NASA or any other space fairing nation has a comprehensive plan for moving into space.
On the surface of the moon it would be better with droids and thus 100 people could control upwards of 1000 droids in droid teams. Then we could build larger infrastructure on the moon and also build space vessels for expanding humans in space. The long term objects of all space fairing nations are to get to Mars and the outer planets for the resources for expansion. With the advances in dual and quad core processors and the near completion of optical processors then we will have the processing power to have droids capable of some automonous functions and act as an expansion to the human team leader.
We need to apply our technology to get there first and hold the ground in future technology advancement " National Interests " always comes first for all countries and that includes the Americans, Europeans and Russians.
The Question was Should we focus Human space society on exploration ? and the answer is NO!!!!!!!!!!! We need to focus on colonization because it changes the space vessel design, what next steps in the human movement into space but if we stay on exploration then we are just tourists in space picking up samples and returning home with our souvenirs and happy pics of our holiday on the moon or mars or beyond.
GCNRevenger,
You can stay with your little rockets ( like the falcons, atlas, delta and others ) to get low cost micro objects into orbit and when you look not at exploration and the issues of colonization of space then you will see that the movement in hundred million tonnes or more of cargo, personnel, and hardware offworld will not come from these current methods. New Methods and processes are needed then we can achieve the desired goals / objectives of human colonization of space.
GCNRevenger, answer that question are you in for exploration or colonization of our solar system and why ? I see you as a explorationist not a colonist and thus will hold the human race back for expanding into space for another 100+ years .
GCNRevenger,
I don't see the construction of a large space factory in earth orbit the size that could build / assembly / fabricate large space vessels. I can see a large station for movement of personnel into orbit for LEO Stations, Transferring to larger vessels and transferring to the Moon. I think you need to open your mind a bit, the Moon can provide more then LEO Factory.
We have differing points of view regarding the use of the moon, strategic and material use. We will continue to have these differing points until 2025 when we start using the Moon for either your idea little to nothing or my idea of alot starting small and continously building.
Time will tell what the final outcome will be regarding the Moon and Mars.
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GCNRevenger, I think you are mistaken because they have found, aluminium, iron, titanium, silica, and other minerals in quantities, and we haven't touched underneath the surface. The Moon will have materials different because of meteor impacts that will change the molecular bonds and can change the makeup of the rocks. The Initial lunar formation is similar with earth but it also have differences that will shape and change the minerals and rocks on the moon.
We will require supplies from earth for certain items that are not found on the moon but that will be the same for Mars and any other planet except a earth type planet. The creation of large scale vessels, mass production of short range vehicles, drop cargo vessels from planetary orbit and other specialist vessels for colonization will require a large external fabrication complex off-planet to build these components and store completed vessels.
We need a test location to build space components for outpost assembly for the Mars Surface and the only place to test the full scale fully functioning structure in an alien environment is on the moon. Because once we tested the structure we Pack-and-go to Mars with it and deploy on the surface.
I feel you are still in the explorer phase of space for humanity and still not wanting the human race to move off the planet. You are not alone in these feelings GCNRevenger , I have seen it from other people thinking that in 5o years we are still going to have a small scientist team only on the moon and possible a small scientist team on Mars. We will never get off the planet in 100 + years with those feelings, but if in the next fifty years we have space stations, lunar base/s including mining and fabrication we will have a outpost on Mars or possibilty two or more then we will colonization before the end of 21st Century to other planetary bodies.