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Before Columbia, the shuttle had completed 88 successful missions in a row. I may be wrong, but I don’t think that any other space vehicle has ever had that many successful missions in a row. Just because of one accident is not sufficient to say that the shuttle is less safe recently.
I dare not state that the Shuttle is less safe than the Soyuz, statistically they do not differ. You can't say the shuttle is less safe, neither as you can say Shenzhou is the safest space-vehicle of all.
Also the frequent and rather comfortable flights of the shuttle are good points. The only point that remains are the costs and the fragility of the system as a whole.
Space rated silicon solar panels provide 184 W/m^2 for panels > 2.5 m^2, and with a 6 mil doped ceria coverslide (anti-static glass coating) it masses 1.33 kg/m^2. Triple junction GaInP2/GaAs/Ge solar panels provide 302 W/m^2 for panes > 2.5 m^2, and with the same coverslide mass 2.06 kg/m^2. That means silicon provides 138.3 W/kg while TJ provides 146.6 W/kg. This appears to be not much gain, but the mass doesn't include a substrate or support (backing, hinges, wires). Improved triple junction cells provide 330 W/m^2, but mass 2.36 kg/m^2 for only 139.8 W/kg. TJ cells are 5.5 mil thick, ITJ cells are 7.5 mil thick. You can get 7.5 mil thick TJ cells but they don't provide any more power and mass as much as ITJ cells.
Do you really expect polymeric solar panels to provide more power per kilogram? If so prove it, let's see the numbers.
A bit off-topic, but does this only be the case for a distance of 1 AU from the sun? Is a farther distance (eg Mars, 1.52 AU) give lower power/mass ratio´s? Can you simply calculatee this by dividing by the quadrature of the distance in AU?
UK and manned spaceflight? They contribute very low to the ESA (about 6%) and till today just one has been in space (Helen Sharman) even less tahn Holland, Belgium or Bulgary.
What I don´t understaand about the Shuttle is that problems appear that have been there during all the launches, eg revverse-monted brakes. The problems with the tiles were there from the first launches of Columbia. It´s IMO merely an organizational rpoblem than something teechnical.
OK, a resuable shuttle asks more technics than a put-away Soyuz. But then I come to the question if reusability is the right filosofy. Itt makes sense, nobody can deny, but calculating things through, the costs of extra mass, costs of recovery and technical support, far much more cost of engineering, I really ask myself if this is better.
I think a 6-person-soyuz Russia is talking about is a better idea than a type of Shuttle.
Once sombody told most of launching costss are not the rocket, but merely person-cost (launch-centr, technicians eg) and the cost of the launch-complex.
In october I had the idea they would send their taikonauts with a higher frequency above. Why in this rathr slow rate? Has anybody an idea?
What I know about von Braun, he was a technical in the first place and a Nazi in the second. Keep in mind much people were Nazi, without very explicitly have choosen for it. That he has designed rockets for destroying London is undeniable. If he had the chance, he would have made rockets that could hit New York!
However, I think he was a soldier who fought for his country, however with wrong ideologies. He was also some time stopped by Hitler, who didn't think hios rockets were very good weapons, but later a friend of von Braun made it possible to continue the project. When the Russians came near from the East, he desided to go to the Americans and work for them. He was taken to America, at first there was some reserveations, but when Vanguard failed (nov or dec 1957) he was given the task to make Juno to send Explorer 1 in orbit.
About his Mars-projects: His old project was very ambitious (70 man and 12 ships) but later he made a plan with the NERVA-engines, 12 men and 2 ships.
I have one book of him: He writes very clear, even for non-technicians.
Rxke: Dank je voor je advies om te kijken. Overigens heb ik het niet gezien, ik heb geen TV! Maar ik zie er nog wel meer dan genoeg van terug de komende dagen.
Sorry, but I had to say something in Dutch, because of Kuipers. I'll never do it again! ![]()
Doing the whole spinning spaceship thing is harder than it sounds and would add additional failure modes to the vehicle. Also, i'm not sure if putting astronauts under the Coriolis force for 4-6mo+ is a good idea.
I agree. At first glance, spinning seems the egg of Columbus, but working it out, problems arise. People moving from lower to upper parts of the ship undergo difference's in g. Course-corrections and navigation, even shielding are tough jobs with such a thing. Beside that, it should be stopped when preparing for decent.
A good part of the problems of zero-g arise at the first days of experiencing it. Vomiting, water-regulation of the body, that things. This can also have effect on the mental aspects of the astronauts.
Further, I think the zero-g problems are over-estimated. Muscle can be kept strong by excersising. The problem is more that cosmonauts refused this as much as was possible, so they came sometimes in troubles. Polyakov, a doc, who also co-designed the excersise-scheme of the cosmonauts, declared he did his two stay's without physical problems. About the decalcifying: As far as I know, their are reasons to assume this would stop after some months. One of the reasons to stay longer in space is to make data of that. Radiation has to be shielded, so there's no problem.
The only that remains are psychological aspects. A crew, together and also alone, no possibilitie to return immediately to a safe environment and no real-time communication with anybody outside the space-ship. Beside that no privacy, cramped space and, during a big part of the trip, even when they are some weeks on the martian surface, a very boring task.
This last aspect has to be researched with long-time submarine expeditions, IMO, because much of the aspects mach. Maybe a mission on the back of the Moon is an idea.
GCNRevenger: I didn't want to say staying long in space is practical or even physical not heavy. Smiling cosmonauts..... more and more becomes clear about what they went through. But all this said, long stay's are not a real problem. Much cosmonauts, and even NASA's Michael Foale do long stays for the second time.
"I need power now, Scotty!!!"
"We can't go to warp for another 30 years, sir! I'm giv'n 'er all I've got!"
"Dammit Jim, our bones will decalcify...our muscles will shrink down to nuth'n!"
"Captain, the logical conclusion, under the present circumstances would be to spin the ship to create artificial gravity while using our chemical thrusters to guide us to our destination."
"Make it so."
"Who...let...Captain Pickard...on my.........ship?"
You're great! ![]()
I think all the modifications that will take place with eg the ISS before it is possible to fly with it to Mars, advancing life-support, I think, structural modifications, it must withstand forces for delta-v, beside that the safety of ISS is yet also guaranteed by adding a soyuz to it so that flight is immediately possible. This possibility can't be considered when going to Mars.
All said, it's better to launch a new module of about 40 ton.
Well theres the trouble though... you aren't going to gain any credibility launching little 50lb suitcase sized satelites, in fact I think it might even accomplish the opposit, and prove to potential investors just how far private space companies are from any real venture...
Isn't it possible, due to electronic miniaturizing ao, that in about a decade spacecrafts of 2 kg can flyby Mars? I can imagine such a project would be sponsered by some private person and make billionairs crazy. :rant:
What about KSR's moholes?
Maybe some kind of space race can happen between NASA on the one side and a join of private and RSA on the other. Private organisations which buy cheap launch possibilities from Russia. But I think, this will cost time.
Here is another idea. OKeefe says SM4 needs a safe haven. Zubrin says its doesnt, but okay lets humor OKeefe since he is Director of NASA. :;):
Why is ISS the only potential safe haven?
Launch a Soyuz from Kouru to loiter close to Hubble. Launch SM4 as soon as possible after the Soyuz arrives at Hubble.
Service Hubble.
Use the Soyuz for a close visual fly-by of the orbiter. If no signs of damage, land orbiter and dump Soyuz in Pacific.
If unrepairable damage, transfer crew to Soyuz and dump orbiter in Pacific (or leave on orbit for study then dump in Pacific).
If repairable damage send up appropriate repair kit via Progress from Kouru. Repair orbiter. If in doubt, land crew via Soyuz and land orbiter via remote operation.
= = =
If Soyuz is incapable of automated docking then 2 crew fly up in orbiter SM4 and 1 crew flies Soyuz. Otherwise, 3 crew in SM4 and Soyuz loiters uncrewed near Hubble until SM4 arrives. 3 are sufficient to service Hubble, I am told. 4 is preferred but Soyuz can only carry 3.
Thoughts?
Sorry, I didn't know you made this point already. I made a reply on another thread (When will the shuttle fly?).
But I didn't realize the landing -site of Soyuz, which is traditionally land. I've looked on the world-map and come to some options, namely Australia, Namibia and eventually Mexico. Don't know what is best, but I think Australia. Their desert kcan be reached better than Namibia, I think, annd Mexico is maybe to dense-crowded.
In case of an abort, Soyuz has to land in the Atlantic.
What are your opinions?
I've read somewhere RSA and ESA considered to construct a Soyuz-rocket launch-pad on Kourou (for unmanned flights, of course). When this launch-pad could be made man-rated, a Hubble-repair mission could be launched by a Soyuz! One Russian and two Americans, compensation for the lost place to ISS when Russia get it's point with that. Big deal?
I don't know really much about poker, but I agree that long-stay's are one of the best things America (and the other partners as well) can do. I don't see what extra facilities are needed to support a 1-year stay when a half-year stay is yet possible. The medical or bio-scientific reasons don't sound very essential to me. I think there are a lot of astronauts hoping to make that 1-year stay. (BTW I'm nearly sure 'my' Andre will do this!!)
The only reason I can imagine is then the loose of a flight because of that space-tourist (but also a US inhabitant).
But the sound NASA makes is to much from above, not new of course. With Mir, this was also the case, just paying 400 million dollars for 7 stay's, doesn't seem much to me. This can make things worse for NASA. Keep also in mind that most of the orbiting ISS-modules are yet Russian.
When we like to go to Mars, we have to support long stays. This is in particular a subject that asks a lot of time!!
The only other prospect for producing that kind of energy is to switch to a rather esoteric reactor concept, the Vapor Core Nuclear Reactor; in the VCR the uranium fuel itself mixed with Fluorine, Potassium, and maybe Sodium are actually vaporized and placed under pressure. The reactor is simply a chaimber lined with a neutron reflector, where a large volume of the fuel/coolant vapor will collect and go critical, producing large amounts of heat. The mixture is hot enough and charged enough to pass off this energy through a MHD "generator" rather than a turbine, permitting very high coolant temperatures and corrispondingly high efficencies with low radiator mass.
Fascinating, I didn't know this type of nuclear reactor was considered. It doesn't use roating objects, so it's more reliable I think. About the use of MHD, as fa r as I know this idea is about 40 years old (at least) but never succeeded because of excessive corosion matters of the conducting walls where the electrons from the plasma were gathered/emitted. And when I read the gplasma contains fluorine, how will this work?
It's nice the current is DC, that's more useful for most applications, I think.
How do you regulate the neutron flux in such a thing? By adding/deleting some kind of moderating gas?
Isn't there an instance or two where Astronauts, particularly American ones that served time on Mir, haven't ever really recoverd from prolonged weightlessness?
Just because you can walk doesn't mean that much.
So, what's NASA's point? If there are no problems with long staying in space, I don't see why NASA doesn't go on. When they like to go to Mars, long duration is essential.
Semyonov said: "We need a program which is optimal for Russia and it's European partners." I totally agree with that. When we have to wait first for a flying Space-Shuttle this becomes a problem. NASA can't go on with putting forward their 'take it or leave it' strategy. Cooperation is more than that.
Still big enough, to me. ![]()
Interesting, this last topic. I found the Niehoff VISIT 2 scenario by calculating. I assumed some resonance and calculated the deviation with the real situation. Mars and Earth resonate in a 8:15 with a deviance of .3 %. When a cycler is placed in this system with a resonance of 10 this solution is found. It resonates with Earth as 2:3 and with Mars as 5:4. Because of the regression of the apsides the whole period is not 15 year, as could be assumed from the 15, but 14.9464 year. Then I come to a regression of 3.86 degree retrograde each Earth-flyby, close to the 4.4 mentioned by Hop.
Every 10 orbits of the cycler, there is one fast 'to' one slow 'to' one fast 'from' and one slow 'from' , the slow taking about 21 months, the fast just 9.
BTW: I didn't realize 10 resonates with 8 until I read this last reply ![]()
Here is one http://www.nola.com/news/t-p/index.ssf? … ]editorial on the subject.
NASA's new focus on space exploration means that astronauts will be spending more time in space to prepare for longer missions, such as a journey to Mars.
What's more, scientists are still working on ways to combat the health effects of longer space flights. Astronauts may be willing to risk bone and muscle loss and other ills to extend humanity's reach into the cosmos.
But they shouldn't be asked to make that sacrifice so that Russia can make a few rubles off space tourism.
What I'm surprised of is that NASA pretends to be very cautious to defend such decisions. In Mir (and Salyut 7) more than ten cosmonauts have spent more than 200 days along in space, some of them more than a year. They have done research on it. The most of the cosmonauts have spent at least once half a year in space. And NASA continues to research on half-year stays, because they consider risks.
Just learn from the Russians. You can wait as long as you want with a 1-year stay, all that time you don't measure effects on it.
Wladimir Titov, Musa Manarov and Valeri Poljakov could walk away immediately after their landing aftermore than a year in space. Muscle problems? Just do the prescribed exercises. That's the conclusion of Mir, as far as I know.
I KNEW you were going to insinuate this sort of biblical guff into your posts. You're obviously just making this up as you go along. Who needs your vapourings? For God's sake, cut the crap!
What is your problem with this? Every post is my own opinion, even as every post of you is your own opinion. I just explain what I think and defend what I believe. That's all. When somebody like it to make some comments on a web-page explaining creationism, then I just tell you what I think about it. That's a consequence of starting such topics.
BTW Maybe you where heavily surprised such Phyllis-like ghosts even were interested in Mars :laugh:
Udecided: I like space more than war, even a space-race could prevent war (as I think was partly the case during the cold war). But militarization could be necessary, then we can't wait until Mars is colonized.
IMO a space race could be a kind of Olympic Games. I'd like it.
BTW: Maybe I understand something wrong with the question, I'm from Europe, so I'm not as precise informed about american politics as you.
I'm afraid from this time, the shuttle will fly as often as Buran :laugh:
Alt2War:
God created light on the first day: Without sun. A possible explanation is that the light came from one direction. The Earth spinned, so there was the first day. Later God replaced the source of light by creating the sun. Maybe we could say a new Divine idea, even as He decided after the 6-day creation to create a woman.