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#1101 Re: Human missions » The need for a Moon direct *2* - ...continue here. » 2005-03-31 17:29:59

The world probably can aford both. t has a lot to do with how we do tem; as we have seen from Shuttle and ISS, there are expensive, wrong (and easy?) ways to do things.

A report by an international astronatics body--I can't remember its name--about the time of the Columbia disaster estimated that a moon + Mars program would cost 50% more than either one separately, because of some common systems.

        -- RobS

Which is exactly why we should maximize the common systems.

#1103 Re: Human missions » The need for a Moon direct *2* - ...continue here. » 2005-03-30 19:55:51

More Bush Bashing, Bill?

VSE entails the transformation of NASA by nessesity, that in itself speaks much more then you give credit for.

I support the Bush vision announced in January 2004. Very little has happened since.

= = =

PS - - Once January 2009 arrives, George Bush becomes irrelevant.

First a note about Michael's statement: "Your blind ignorance surpasses that of Mr Bush himself. And I am astonished."

Here we go again... now ask yourself, if John Kerry were to have been elected back in November (*shivver*) and he proposed going back to the Moon and eventually Mars, would you think that was the greatest thing ever? Label him a neo-JFK (even sharing the same initials, convienant)? ...Of course though, Bush bad! VSE bad! LM/Boeing = space Haliburton! Bush lied!  Abu Ga-... etc etc

If not, do realize what we will get out of a Lunar program... we'll probobly get a heavy lifter (Griffin is dead-set on SDV probobly), we'll get our nuclear reactor, cryocooler/compressor (ISRU), lander engines, improved LSS tech, and other goodies that we'll need for Mars.

As far as your statement Bill:

Your expectations for huge changes and sweeping plans are farfeched and unfair to NASA, especially with the fairly sudden departure of O'Keefe. It takes the majority of NASA's manned spaceflight reasources to operate Shuttle/ISS, and until it is done there really isn't much left over to "Vision" with. NASA is a buracratic battleship, ingrained with the unspoken purpose to maintain maximum engineer employment for the last thirty years... Forcing it to change much at all, which they seem to at least be trying to, IS a huge change.

What we need are efforts to build bi-partisan support for openly discussed objectives. "Why" are we going to the Moon, and on to Mars? It needs to be a shared vision to be sustainable.

The selection of Michael Griffin cheers me greatly because he can give succinct cogent answers to such questions.

#1104 Re: Human missions » The need for a Moon direct *2* - ...continue here. » 2005-03-30 10:41:32

More Bush Bashing, Bill?

VSE entails the transformation of NASA by nessesity, that in itself speaks much more then you give credit for.

I support the Bush vision announced in January 2004. Very little has happened since.

= = =

PS - - Once January 2009 arrives, George Bush becomes irrelevant.


Edited By BWhite on 1112200957

#1105 Re: Human missions » The need for a Moon direct *2* - ...continue here. » 2005-03-30 08:19:14

But in order to use these fuels or build a mine, we'll need some kind of base... and to have that, we'll need to be able to send crews for short stays on the surface with little/no Lunar support... Just like VSE aims to do.

Actually, the VSE has very little form or substance at this point. It consists of

Comments made by President Bush in January 2004; and
Aldridge Commission Report (which has been widely ignored).

Almost everything about the VSE remains open for discussion, right? Even shuttle retirement after 2010 (31 December 2010?) is being questioned by influential Seantors of the President's own party.

As of today, the VSE is essentially a statement of intent and encouragement with the substance remaining "to be determined" - - and that is what we are all arguing about. And about whether the substance will intend meet the promise.

= = =

Is it fair to say that the January 2004 comments from President Bush constitute the only portion of the VSE that can be considered as "settled" ground?

Edited By BWhite on 1112192467

#1106 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri III - The next round. » 2005-03-29 10:38:01

Dog, meet http://billmon.org/archives/001785.html]tail.

The truth is that the Bush administration is now captive to the Shia coalition, not the other way around – just as earlier administrations became captive to a series of South Vietnamese presidents, from Diem to Thieu, who stubbornly refused to sacrifice their own narrow interests to serve an American-made strategy for winning the war (or, in the end, for losing it gracefully.)

As in Vietnam, the United States now has absolutely no choice but to continue financing and supporting its Iraqi clients, even if they behave in ways that are contrary to U.S. interests or desires – by imposing Sharia law, for example, or moving closer to Iran, or purging the Iraqi security forces of Iyad Allawi’s paleo-Baathist allies, or even double crossing the Kurds as soon as the ink is dry on any power-sharing deal. In the end, there is literally no place else for the Americans to go.

Cindy, the Army and the Marines are distinct branches of the military with unique customs. A Marine is a Marine, hence more than just a soldier.



Edited By BWhite on 1112114342

#1107 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri III - The next round. » 2005-03-26 12:27:07

Bennett seems to be showing alarming signs of irony. I have always found that irony among the lower orders is the first sign of an awakening social consciousness. -- Henry Carr in Travesties

I learned three things in Zurich during the war. I wrote them down. Firstly, you're either a revolutionary or you're not, and if you're not you might as well be an artist as anything else. Secondly, if you can't be an artist, you might as well be a revolutionary... I forget the third thing. -- Henry Carr

http://www.courttheatre.org/home/plays/ … shtml]Link



Edited By BWhite on 1111862916

#1108 Re: Not So Free Chat » Battlestar Galactica - SO what do you think about the new show? » 2005-03-25 22:01:26

At the close of the mini-series we asked, "Was Earth was a lie?"

Tonight we got my favorite answer: "Yes, and no"

#1109 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri III - The next round. » 2005-03-25 20:05:54

http://www.baynews9.com/content/36/2005 … l]Contract on Michael Schiavo - - Tom Delay and Bill Frist - - by saying Terri Schiavo is lucid - - share responsibility for this.

#1110 Re: Not So Free Chat » David Brin on - Pax Americana » 2005-03-25 20:00:28

Brazilian rain forest logging? I agree, that is a very bad thing. But how do we get them to stop?

I agree with Shaun 100% on the Three Gorges dam and the Aral Sea disaster. IIRC, the USSR wiped out entire villages (of people!) with radiation accidents.

If I am harsh on the West, it is because "those who are given much, owe much" or in other words, if "we" do not solve global ecological issues, who will? Also, having such excellent comfortable lives, we have farther to fall if it all goes "Ka-boom!"

Fusion is much to be desired. Lunar platinum (see Wingo's book Moonrush) offers another option and is the theme of my 2nd novel in progress. The "Mormons on Mars" novel is in editing and I am seeking publication options. But in the meantime, novel #2.

Lunar platinum for fuel cells and globalization issues and humanity returns to the Moon. I would prefer Mars, but GWB did win and called for "Moon First"

Ah well, water under the bridge.

#1111 Re: Not So Free Chat » David Brin on - Pax Americana » 2005-03-25 19:50:43

Post 66666, I think.  cool

= = =

Yup. Confirmed!   big_smile



Edited By BWhite on 1111801938

#1112 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri III - The next round. » 2005-03-25 18:38:12

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/7295706/]Iranian arms spree

Think maybe they are making preparations, for something?

My fear is that Russia (lesser extent China) will smuggle some high-tech weaponry. Bagging a B-2 or two would be a PR coup in the 3rd World.

Again, my concern arises from US leaders who intend to rush in recklessly without prudence.

#1114 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Who Governs Mars? - Corporate Warlords vs. Commonwealth » 2005-03-25 12:50:50

1. Colonist Selection Criteria

The UN would require that this new Commonwealth reflect earth population ratios. Because the city would have a one million population limit the final figures would be:

Total Mars Imigration Population Limit=1,000,000
American (USA) Population intake=50,000
Chinese Population intake=166,666
Australian Population intake=3,333
Other Earth Population intake=790,000

"Fifty thousand crowded into the only Shopping mall on Mars just to stand in the cue at McDonalds."

The United Nations? Are you serious?

#1115 Re: Not So Free Chat » David Brin on - Pax Americana » 2005-03-25 10:59:08

IMHO, all political questions pale in comparison to this one:

How do we help a billion Chinese (and a billion Indians) attain a decent standard of living without burning gadzillions of tons of coal to do it, which might very well kill us all?

Solve this and humanity might survive long enough to actually colonize space. Successfully become a genuine multi-planet species and human extinction becomes a very, very unlikely prospect.



Edited By BWhite on 1111770034

#1116 Re: Not So Free Chat » David Brin on - Pax Americana » 2005-03-25 10:04:02

Bill:-

So, Shaun Barrett, the next time you bash "the Left" you are empowering a French way of thinking. Cool.

    Huh?!!  Oh the shame of it all!  :bars:
    All these years I thought I was thinking for myself and now it turns out I've been no more than a puppet of the French.  yikes

:laugh:

You're okay in my books, Shaun.  :up:  And how ironic:  You've only visited this nation once, as a tourist from your native homeland of Australia, and more often than not *you're* called upon to defend American policies -- and at least twice have been mistaken for an American by political opponents. 

--Cindy

Very funny! big_smile

Of course, I love America as would a parent watching his/her child take up relations with an abusive partner.

#1117 Re: Not So Free Chat » David Brin on - Pax Americana » 2005-03-25 09:14:34

On the upside, I still have a great deal of faith in 'Gaia'. My gut feeling is that Earth and its ecosystem, in concert, are very good at regulating the environment - probably within well constrained limits.

I agree with this.

On the other hand "Gaia" don't give a bleep about the species homo sapiens. It's not malice, its just the same as asking a hurricane, tsunami or earthquake "to care"

Gaia will balance. DNA will not go extinct. We might.

= = =

And yes, the traditional "leftie answer" to all this is totally bull$hit. "Lets join hands, sign Kumbaya and love our planet"

Crap!

We need an enginnering fix.  But first we need to understand the science better (cutting funding for NOAA satellites collecting climate data is a bad idea) and also accept that we are messing with the climate even if we are not quite sure how. And even if "we" are not doing it, climate change threatens our future.

One good first step? Accept and teach good science which means "evolution" cannot be a swear word.

But we might well need a massive engineering fix.

google "methane burp" if you wish to become very afraid.

Staggering amounts of methane clathrates are frozeon in the Arctic. Thaw those materials and a terribly powerful greenhouse gas is released. Runaway greenhouse.

One possible solution would be to increase particulate pollution on purpose to diminish insolation. Ugly but it might work.

= = =

Next, how can we do planetary enginering without first accepting that all humans are legitimate stakeholders in the decision making process? China and India have nukes.

Can we tell them you must remain 2nd world nations while we remain 1st world nations until the climate issues are resolved? Will they accept subservience without lashing out?

China's potential for coal burning will threaten humanity as much  or more as anything.

So its not the "evil West" - - not at all.

How do we give the Chinese a decent standard of living without burning a gadzillion tons of coal which might kill us all?

#1118 Re: Not So Free Chat » David Brin on - Pax Americana » 2005-03-25 08:57:15

Lets stop arguing about "http://www.davidbrin.com/lrdogmas.html]Left v. Right" - - Brin asserts the French invented the idea of "left versus right" anyway.

*So, Bill, are you going to stop bringing up the Blue State vs Red State thing (which is another way of saying Left vs Right)?  And if you don't, are you empowering a French way of thinking?   :;):

--Cindy

Can we agree that being anti-George Bush and his policies does not automatically make one a LEFTIE?

Framing all opposition to GWB as "more leftie nonsense" or "mere politics" is a large part of why the "Left v Right" and "Red v Blue" develops.

Lets just say I love America the same way I would love a daughter to took up with an abusive man. The man of course says that by opposing my daughter's choice in men I really "hate" her but that is all part of the abuse, IMHO.

By Gennaro's definition I am very much not a "leftie" but I still think George W. Bush is driving America's bus off a cliff.

Anything in here to agree upon?

#1119 Re: Not So Free Chat » David Brin on - Pax Americana » 2005-03-24 23:01:13

David Brin on the American consumer:

In fact, the percentage of human beings who live in some degree of comfort and safety, with secure hope that their increasingly educated children will do better, has been rising spectacularly for two generations. And the principal driver of this change has been the U.S. consumer, purchasing the output of tens of thousands of foreign factories, wherein the same pattern gets repeated from one country to the next. Workers systematically move from exploited peons to hard-pressed semi-skilled assemblers, to unionized skilled labor... while roads and infrastructure get built all around them and their kids go to school, graduating into the bourgeoisie.

Let me reiterate this point. Far outweighing all "aid" the world ever saw, the greatest force for good in the world has consisted of Americans purchasing megatons of crap we never had to buy in the first place, under trade rules designed to favor those thousand of foreign factories.

Alas, we'll never get a scintilla of credit for this vast beneficence. Because it did not blossom out of motivations like guilt or generosity. To a large part, it flowed out of a childishly spendthrift love of shopping.

Actually, I do love America. Just not its foolish leaders. big_smile

http://davidbrin.blogspot.com/2005/03/a … .html]Link - the whole essay is great!



Edited By BWhite on 1111727021

#1120 Re: Not So Free Chat » David Brin on - Pax Americana » 2005-03-24 22:32:06

More David Brin, not Iraq:

Is this cuckoo? Or is our worst failing one of creativity and will? Let's experiment. I'll offer two true statements. You may, by political reflex, nod in sad agreement with one of them and seethe at the other.

The Right spent decades ignoring human-generated Climate Change. Conservatives sneer at the leading role that conservation must play in resolving this peril. Refusing to let efficiency and sustainability become Urgent Projects, they pray instead to the "problem-solving magic of markets," the way natives of Rapa Nui beseeched big statues to restore their ravaged isle.

The Left rejects any role for nuclear power, which helped lift millions out of poverty worldwide without adding appreciably to greenhouse emissions. Three generations have seen high benefit-to-harm ratios from fission reactors. Despite Chernobyl. Despite pollution that -- while frightening -- is intrinsically containable. (This outcomes-ratio stands, astonishingly, even if you include Hiroshima and Nagasaki.) Yet, liberals won't even debate adding carefully designed, next-generation nuclear plants to our toolset for crossing the Gap.

Did you fume at one paragraph while nodding at the other? Step back. Can you see a common reflex? To ignore contrary evidence and automatically say no? These "opposite" party lines share an underlying trait -- loathing distrust for the can-do spirit of modernity and science.

I agree with this as well.

When "liberals" oppose all nuclear power they overlook the ravages of excessive coal burning which is far far worse, like cranes with their necks stuck deep in the sand.

When Dick Cheney says conservation is a voluntary virtue, he is an idiot.

A plague on both houses. tongue



Edited By BWhite on 1111725151

#1121 Re: Not So Free Chat » David Brin on - Pax Americana » 2005-03-24 22:25:50

The other main problem is his spurious assertion that an obviously pre-existing and already expanding militant Islamic movement was somehow brought into existence, or at least exacerbated, by the invasion and liberation of Afghanistan and Iraq. The build-up in the frequency and audacity of Islamofascist attacks on the West, leading up to the Twin Towers attack in 2001, was evident to everyone except Brin, apparently. There's absolutely no proof at all that Islamic terrorist attacks on Western interests since Afghanistan/Iraq are any worse than they would have been - in fact, the reverse is just as possible and there's no way of knowing. Yet Brin's assumptions become 'facts'

http://www.davidbrin.com/afghanistan.html]The need to get al Qaeda was very clear to the US government before 2000.

Of course, had Clinton invaded Afghanistan in 1999 everyone would have screamed "its a distraction from Moncia-gate"

Note that Brin (and myself) view the pre-Iraqi effort in Afghanistan as having been well done. Had we consolidated that victory and not let bin Laden escape at Tora Bora (which is now being confirmed as true after years of denial) we would be very much further ahead in the war on Islamo-fascism.

(The heart and main funding for al Qaeda is still in Saudi Arabia)

Saddam is/was an evil MF - - but he was not an Islamicist and was deeply hated by bin Laden.

Ah well, been there done that.  big_smile

= = =

We broke Iraq - - we own Iraq.

= = =

And yes, I believe our FUBAR in Iraq is helping the terrorists recruit new terrorists faster than we are killing or capturing them.

But time will be the best judge of that and I would be very happy to be wrong.

#1122 Re: Interplanetary transportation » A new HLLV essay » 2005-03-24 17:38:05

publishr is correct that with EELV a portion of the payload will be needed for station keeping and docking while awaiting the next EELV, which IIRC must come from the same pad 37.

I began to fully comprehend this looking at Progress launched from Kouru payload totals. Progress will be about $2000 per pound to LEO including delivery by a fully functioning spacecraft.

Perhaps Delta IV will throw 27MT? 25MT? except how much parasitic weight will be required to keep the module in station keeping mode long enough to prepare Pad 37 for a 2nd launch of CEV? IF we have the 45-50MT super-plus needed for a two shot lunar mission.

= = =

I will not recant.

Guarantee that a 50MT Delta IV can be purchased in bulk for $200 million and can be deployed on Pad 37 in time for our first return to the Moon, and EELV starts to look attractive.

Even to a true-blue shuttle derived guy like me.  :;):

#1123 Re: Not So Free Chat » David Brin on - Pax Americana » 2005-03-24 17:16:09

Wow, I like http://www.davidbrin.com/neocons.html]this guy.

He makes the case for a "smart, agile and decent Pax Americana" Yup, I can go for that.

Lets stop arguing about "http://www.davidbrin.com/lrdogmas.html]Left v. Right" - - Brin asserts the French invented the idea of "left versus right" anyway.

So, Shaun Barrett, the next time you bash "the Left" you are empowering a French way of thinking. Cool.  :;):

= = =

Even if you generally approve of Pax Americana -- especially if you do -- this kind of behavior (goading foreigners for their impotence) should seem immature at best. At worst positively moronic

Well said.  smile

= = =

David Brin on http://www.davidbrin.com/bullies.html]tipping over Saddam.

Well said, again.

On any playground, it is the duty of any big, good-hearted boy or girl to stop bullies from terrorizing the little kids. Americans know this in their hearts and feel no shame over knocking down a horror like Saddam. That's the good part. The part that resembles our role in the Balkans.

Liberals who ignore this -- criticizing the goal and accomplishment of toppling Saddam -- are cluelessly and needlessly shooting themselves.



Edited By BWhite on 1111706563

#1124 Re: Not So Free Chat » Empire vs Rebel Alliance » 2005-03-24 16:57:02

On these issues, I can only read David Brin's http://www.davidbrin.com/starwarsarticl … commentary and say "I agree, dude. Well said."

Of COURSE I saw that Palpatine was using the invasion of Naboo to engineer his accession as Chancellor, by getting his cousin, the Queen, to denouce the old (good) Chancellor. I just couldn't credit that the whole thing could be so stupid.

Consider these questions:

#  If the queen's so influential, able to topple the head of a galaxy, why was she earlier unable to get any help from all these political allies she's calling upon?

#  Um, so what's to keep the shamed-defeated Trade Federation guys from later on screaming "It was Palpatine! He MADE us doo eet!" The fact that the Sith Lord's eyes were in shadow? They really know nothing about a guy they've sworn fealty to and staked everything on? Some savvy traders!

#  Palpatine is clearly concerned about being hunted down by the Jedi, right? Yet he draws their newly-roused attention right to his own home planet? He couldn't have used another?

#  Oh, and why does he send Maul to kill Amidala and her escorts on Tatooine, when they are bringing her to the Senate to do exactly what he wants her to do? Does that make even marginal sense? (In fact, he'd send a space yacht to pick her up and escort her to the Senate in style, while keeping Darth Maul secret a while longer.) Now that we get right down to it, Palpatine WANTS Amidala to escape from Naboo. Or he should. If Lucas bothered to plot at all.

Oh, the scheme is dumb about forty other ways. But above all, the "success" of Palpatine's plan makes this film vastly darker than the dark but inspiring Empire Strikes Back. For even the rebel "victory" was part of Palpatine's plan! Therefore, none of Annakin's or Obiwan's heroic efforts matter in the slightest, since, as the new Chancellor, Palpatine has to be seen riding to the rescue, in order to enhance his prestige. He was planning to smash the seige anyway, to become a public savior and reinforce his rule.

So, all the dead Gungas died for nothing. They might as well have waited a week for the Chancellor to arrive and "save" the day! Their heroism's wasted.

Think about that. The Gungas, the brave pilots, the hapless traders, the futility Of Qui-Gon's death. Not one heroic action mattered an iota, even as tragic irony! It's an unalloyed bummer. Like Oedipus. Jeepers.

George Lucas, you've been swatted down, hard.

= = =

This is good, also:

Some people expressed deep affinity for the PERSONAL redemption of the relationship between father & son, in Return of the Jedi. This is separate from the matter of the Galaxy at large, which owes Vader nothing for his deathbed conversion. I confess, in my focus on the latter, I may have given the former short shrift. After all, Luke Skywalker is a genuine hero. I never had any complaints about him at all... except for bad acting. His need for this fatherly reconciliation/redemption is a legitimate topic.

= = =

"Oh no! There's an unstoppable robot army! Of course all we have to do is pull a master switch and they'll all shut off!"

Leading to this coffee spewing passage:

This recalls blowing up the shield projector in "Return of the Jedi" (which is achieved entirely thanks to the wookie -- neither Luke nor Leia makes any real difference in achieving the Rebel victory. Think about it!). Or a computer virus shutting down all alien shields in "Independence Day." Or Obi-Wan dialing down the tractor beam. Or the hero in "Logan's Run" shooting one computer console and blowing up a city. And so on. Yeesh! Are villain equipment-designers really that bad in every off-Earth empire? In fairness, this cliché is endemic. Ever notice how, in "Star Trek," Kirk talked five different super-computers into self-destructing? If the universe really is like this, we Earthlings are gonna kick butt when we get out there!



Edited By BWhite on 1111707867

#1125 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri III - The next round. » 2005-03-24 16:31:22

I think we need to fund more http://www.timesargus.com/apps/pbcs.dll … ES07]brain injury research.

A http://www.neuroskills.com/index.shtml? … ml]further resource.

http://www.neuroskills.com/index.shtml? … html]Based on this I would like to know whether these types of tests were done on Terri Schivao.

Should the state be responsible for paying for tests like these for all brain injury patients?

= = =

PS - - It appears these tests use MRI technology which is problematic for Terri Schiavo as there are metallic based implants in her brain. An MRI machine can cause these implants to move around causing even more damage and I recall some evidence that the implants can damage the MRI machine itself.



Edited By BWhite on 1111704129

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