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I have full confidence in his ability to keep these forums running smoothly with the same kind of hands-off attitude I try to maintain, and I'm sure that all members will listen to him.
I'll do my best!
As to that of our solar system collapsing or not. I seem to recall the "BIG BANG" theory, which I thought clearly established that at least at some point in time we will all become one.
Actually the predominant view point now seems to be that the universe will continue expanding and suffer a heat death rather than contract.
Do we then allow the monkey self determiniation? If not, why do we allow other humans the opportunity? If it is purely a matter of intelligence level, are we then justified in establishing IQ levels for people that determine wether or not they are allowed to make their own personal choices?
The same issues apply to AI.
As humans, we hold that are rights are derived becuase we are individuals imbued by god (some say) and based on our Reason- now if another "thing" exhibits signs of Reason, how can we justifiably enslave them?
The A.I. wouldn't have to be sentient to be useful anymore than rovers on Mars don't need to be sentient to be useful. With good programming and a lot of computing power, robotic assistants should be able to be programmed to do more of the mundane tasks unworthy of human attention. Taking chimps to Mars would just create a situation where you'd have to bring in massive additional cargoes of food, life support equipment, etc. Robotic assistants, at least at first, would be easier and more efficient to keep.
Should be interesting but I hope Zubrin doesn't end up damaging his credibility. He should be careful how he goes about disseminating information to the public.
One shouldn't forget the various Soviet manned Mars missions that had been on the drawing board in previous decades. They had some good ideas in my opinion, things like attaching sensors to the hull so cosmonauts know which parts of the ship have the most and least amounts of radiation levels, etc.
Of course the drawback to most of them is that they used the Battlestar Galactica philosophy of design.
*I couldn't agree with you more, especially as regards the effects of sexual liaisons on group dynamics -- especially in such a setting. Not a pretty picture. I'd like to think that the astronauts would be paragons of decorum, reserve, and self-control. Perhaps they will be; I hope so.
Are there any psychological tests useful for revealing a person's lack of hormonal control? Self-control and brains aren't always synonymous qualities you find in people. Three years is a loooooong time to go without! Even though I'd hope they have self-control, being in close, intimate quarters with someone for three years can lead to situations. I think it would be a good precaution to still pursue some kind of birth control just in case. The lack of privacy could be a good deterrent though.
I think the Antarctica model could be a stealthy way of sneaking in a settlement infrastructure which would eventually become permanent.
I hope that if we do go to Mars it's with an eye toward a continued human presence and not just a one-time shot. If we do sustain a Mars science base, I think your right that there's probably a very good chance that something like a colony could emerge that would require a dedicated effort from Earth to sustain. It's hard to imagine a colony really getting started any other way considering the expense. And if people actually started having families on Mars, it might be impossible to bring the offspring back to Earth, which could trap Earth into something of a moral obligation to support the colony. That could be an interesting dilemna. With enough drive, Mars could probably become fairly self-sufficient in a short time.
Sheesh, I had no idea people could get so freaking emotional over a stupid browser. Just calm down Dingus! It'll be ok! Perhaps Adrian actually has a life and doesn't want to spend his time 24/7 servicing people who can't upgrade to modern and sometimes free browsers! Personally, I think Adrian has a good site here regardless of what you over-emotional people who seem over-zealous about the origin of a stupid computer program think. If you don't like it here go somewhere else!
The Artemis Society designed a manned mission to Europa just as something of an intellectual exercise. They assumed that once you got close enough to the ocean beneath the ice there would be large pockets of dwellable space in the ice that would be deep enough to protect you from radiation. I don't remember how they intended to protect the people from the radiation outside of the ice even though there was a time interval that had to be observed. Anyways, it's not a mission I'd volunteer for. :0
With all of these probes NASA plans to send to Mars in upcoming years, I wonder if it would be possible for them to design the orbiters not only to do their primary science functions, but also function as GPS satellites. It might be a cheap way to go about installing a GPS system around Mars since you wouldn't need extra launches. Once the satellite completes its primary task it could just be moved into the appropriate location.
But would it be feasible for a colony to spare land to produce food for what are essentially meat-eating animals? Their dietary restraints could make them very expensive in terms of resources to maintain. It might be worth it though considering how important to morale pets could prove.
Considering that most of the more intelligent and popular pets people have on Earth are carnivores that would be hard to feed on Mars, do you think furry robotic companions might make a substitute? With advances in artificial intelligence it's probably safe to assume they could be made to act less like machines and more like the real thing with their conniving antics and need for attention. Such robotic pets could also serve as useful companions on outings as backup safety sentinels, navigators, etc. And with nueral network technology that learns like humans do instead of through strict programming, they could develop personalities all their own based on their environmental conditions. Even though you'd need a super-computer for such a pet, it's possible in the future such power will be available cheaply and small. If I were going to build a robocat and had the computing power to pull it off convincingly, I'd try to copy the skeleton and supple nature of a real cat to add to the artificial copy. You could add sensors to its body so it replies to touch also.
What would be the best ways for a long range rover to navigate about? I was thinking of maybe setting up two very tall towers some distance from each other that would have a beacon attached so the rover would be able to triangulate it's position and record with some accuracy points of interest to return to. I guess the ultimate would be to have some kind of Martian GPS system but that probably won't be in the budget for awhile. Anyways, with such navigation systems the rover could do a lot of the driving itself. When you want to go home just press a button and let the rover do all the driving. It could also store areas in it's computer bank that the crew could just bring up and have the rover automatically drive to.
Rather than thinking in terms of the chance of disaster, we should take the view that we've done our best to make the whole thing work as well as possible; we've designed it using sound procedures, we've tested it thoroughly, and we've built in lots of redundancy and contingency. It should work if all goes to plan, and should still work if some things go slightly off-plan.
You have a good way of thinking about it. If we get to bogged down in saying we have to have an X percentage of success before we even go we might never go. X can be a hard number to judge anyway. The best way, like you said, is to put in a lot of redundancy, do the research that needs to be done, test the systems out extensively, then go to Mars!
Worst case scenario: En-route to Mars with 4 crew members on board, one dies of a massive heart attack and another suffers a cerebral aneurysm and is now in a comatose condition and does not come out of it.
Unless the ship carries extremely powerful engines with enough fuel to turn the ship around and shoot it back toward Earth (which probably won't happen) the ship will probably just have to complete its flight to Mars before it can head back toward Earth. With computer guidance and control the ship should be autonomous enough to get itself back to Earth without any help from the crew, so the death of a crewmember probably won't be catastrophic in the sense that it would doom everyone else. I wonder though how you would handle a corpse in such a situation. It could be a problem if there's no airlock to eject it out of or some other storage capability built just for such a scenario.
Our air and water quality still have a ways to go, but most businesses know better than to pollute the air and water, or they will be hit with heavy fines. Ethanol additives in the gasoline will reduce air pollution in the near future, and hopefully the country will shift to a pro-nuclear energy policy that reduces our need for fossil fuels.
I wonder if the anti-nuclear crowd would be as opposed to nuclear fusion as they are with fission for energy production. Since nuclear fusion, if you use the right elements, produces no nuclear waste or other extraneous nuclear problems, it would be the ultimate in clean power. Somehow though I still see the anti-nuclear fanatics lobbying Congress to kill such technology while they continue to whine that the pollution from coal burning plants is just unacceptable. I read somewhere that the first experimental nuclear fusion powerplant that is expected to produce more energy than it consumes is under construction. I hope it pans out.
What kind of plant is Spirulina? Is it a leafy plant or is it like fungi or something else? Never heard of it, not under that name at least.
Speaking of magnetic dust particles, would super-conductive magnets be a viable technology on Mars? If we have super conductors that can work at Martian temperatures, who knows, maybe we can cruise along in land speeders.
I intend to remain a member of MS indefinitely, so long as it seems they're DOING and not just talking, certain standards are maintained, the web site is updated as frequently as it currently is, etc.
After Mark S brought up the Trans-life project and after hearing about these balloon projects the Mars Society is sending to Mars I'm half-thinking about joining the MS myself. I definately agree that an organization that is actually doing and not just "promoting" is worth supporting. Anyways, I want to go the Mars convention they hold next year. I have to go to at least one of them just to see what they're like. Hopefully it won't be held to far away.
There's no evasion to it; no delusion; faith isn't a factor in it; there is no heirarchy within it (I'm the priest, you're a peon); there are no dogmas in it; it doesn't promote or encourage unrealistic attitudes or "goals".
I like the same thing about Zen, its lack of dogmatism and its focus on the vitality of the moment, not to mention other things. Even though I think you could make an argument that Zen is anti-intellectual since it stresses feelings and experience over thinking, I still find it an emotionally satisfying philosophy with a lot of truth to it. You just have to take what you find valuable and chuck the rest. That's pretty much my philosophy toward religion.
A particular architectural style I'd really like to see over there though, is anything inspired by Frank Lloyd Wright...imagine the kind of free-floating decks and terraces you'd be able to build in the low gee...
Awesome, I'm glad someone mentioned Frank Lloyd Wright. I love his buildings, they are definately transcendent beyond mere structures. I bet he'd blow us away with his architectural designs for Mars.
I'd vote for both A and B. "A" because scientific research is very important and "B" because people need an escape valve or some hope of getting away, much like the pilgrims. I don't believe the two are mutually exclusive. If we just stick to scientific bases on Mars it will be just another glorified Antartica and will probably die because of the expense of supporting such a base. Building viable colonies will likely be a good driver of high technology development and a grower of the economy as such ventures will require a host of advanced technologies not to mention that Mars would actually become a legitimate frontier within reach of the average person.
I feel your pain. I don't understand what the big deal is about setting up lunar bases before we go to Mars. Some argue that we need to go to the Moon to learn how to colonize Mars, but the two environments are so different that going to the Moon won't make a difference anyway. The methods for making rocket fuel and extracting water on the moon are far different and less efficient than you'd use on Mars. Really though, at this point in time, I'd be surprised if we even got so far as to set up some half-baked lunar base.
So any scenario that has lots of people killing each other on mars, strikes me as unrealistic as bug eyed monsters and martian canals. I think indentured servitude, even slavery is possible. But killing people for political reasons is a waste of every precious resource we have.
I also find the prospects of war on Mars, at least in the beginning stages of colonization, a remote possibility. Mars will probably make Antartica look like Hawaii which means people will have enough logistics problems trying to survive much less getting together the equipment and supplies needed for a war. When/if Mars gets terraformed though and a relatively large population crops up, I think it's possible that wars on Mars could break out. I hope not, but human nature seems to be violent and politically passionate. It's very rare to find a society at any point in Earth's history that never went to war or glorified it in some way, so somewhere in the far future it's possible humans will be gearing up to do some thrashing on those pigdogs over the next hill.
If people can't claim land I doubt if there will be many economic reasons for going to Mars. I don't know what the difference is between a government official telling you not to go on that patch of land or an individual owner telling you the same thing. Of course if your an anarchist nothing what I just wrote applies.