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Excuse my ignorance...
How does the SSME match up with the Falcon series? Is there anything there which could get you to Mars that quickly?
If it were the shuttle ET, then it would require 14 launches of the Falcon Heavy to deliver the ca. 720 mT propellant load to LEO. That's in the range of $1.4 billion. The plan is to keep the launch costs in the few hundred million dollars range.
Remember though this was for delivering a 100,000 lb. payload to Mars. I believe you can get a workable system that would only take 1 to 2 Falcon Heavy launches for the propellant, which would cost perhaps $200 million to bring the propellant to LEO. But perhaps you are asking about using a kerosene fueled engine?
Keep in mind the vehicle has to be refueled at Mars. Probably it could work using methane in the engine. But for first experimental missions it would be much easier to use LH2/LOX, because of the water ice proven to be wide spread on Mars.
For a small crew size say 2 to 3 and for transit times only about 70 days with 12 day stay on Mars, we might be able to get a crew hab at only ca. 5 mT mass. I'll write about this in a following post.
For Centaur-style stages, we may suppose at least 10 to 1 propellant to dry mass ratios. So let one stage have a 30 mT propellant at 3 mT dry mass and one be at 20 mT with a 2 mT dry mass. Take the Isp of the RL-10B2 engines used on the Centaurs as 465.5 s, which has already been achieved using nozzle extensions. Then with a 6 mT payload you could reach the 8.8 m/s delta-v needed to reach Mars in 70 days:
465.5*9.81(ln(1 + 30/(3 + 22 + 6)) + ln(1 + 20/(2 + 6))) = 8,800 m/s.
Then you could launch the 33 mT propellant load plus dry mass of the larger Centaur, plus the 20 mT propellant load of the smaller Centaur on a single Falcon Heavy. Then you could launch the 6 mT hab and 2 mT smaller Centaur dry mass on a Falcon 9.
Then the launch cost would only be in the range of $150 million. Of course this doesn't solve the problem of how you get the ca. 18 m/s delta-v needed for the return trip to only have a 70 day transit time.
Bob Clark
I really do not like the 6 to 8 month transit times proposed for manned Mars missions. So I wanted to explore generating high delta-v's to get approximately straight-line trajectories to reduce travel time. But I needed to know how high the speed needs to be to get this.
Found this reference after a web search for short Mars transit times:
Entry Velocities at Mars and Earth for Short Transit Times.
Abstract : Propulsion systems composed of a Shuttle External Tank, appropriately modified for the purpose, with a rocket engine that is either an SSME or a NERVA could inject a gross personnel payload of 100,000 lb on a trans-Mars trajectory from Space Station Freedom with aerobraking at Mars with transit times of less that 70 days. Such transit times reflect a significant reduction from the 200- plus days generally considered. The 100,000-lb payload would include the mass of a hypothetical aerobrake for aerocapture at Mars. The entry velocities at Mars compatible with such transit times are greater that 21 km/sec, to be compared with previously stated constraints of 8.5 to 9.5 km/sec for nominal Mars entry velocity. Limits of current aerobrake technology are not well enough defined to determine the feasibility of an aerobrake to handle Mars-entry velocities for short-transit-time trajectories. Return from Mars to Earth on a mirror image of 70-days outbound trajectory (consistent with a stay time of about 12 days) would require a Mars-departure velocity increment more than twice as great as that at Earth departure and would require a correspondingly more capable propulsion system. The return propulsion system would preferably be predeployed at Mars by one or more separate minimum-energy, 0.5-to-1.1-Mlb-gross-payload cargo flights with the same outbound propulsion systems as the personnel flight, before commitment of the personnel flight. Aerobraking entry velocity at Earth after such a transit time would be about 16 km/sec, to be compared with constraints set at 12.5 to 16 km/sec.
www.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/a272591.pdf
It gives the equations for the conic section flight paths you would get for high speed departures. For a departure from Earth orbit using an additional delta-v of ca. 8.8 km/s, the transit time to Mars would be about 70 days. See page 14, by the internal page numbering. However, the paper notes after a short stay of 12 days, to make a comparable short transit time of ca. 70 days back to Earth from Mars orbit would require a delta-v twice as large, ca. 18 km/s.
The paper gives both chemical and nuclear propulsion options. For the chemical propulsion it uses the SSME engine, and for the nuclear, NERVA. For the Earth departure, the chemical propulsion version uses a ET style tank at 1,600,000 lb. propellant load, 86,700 lb. vehicle dry mass, and 100,000 lb. payload.
Unfortunately, the paper does not give the structure that would allow a return trip to Earth at a 18 km/s delta-v. Presumably it would be refueled at Mars or Phobos, but it does not give the make-up of such a vehicle. For a delta-v this high it would have to be staged.
Some possibilities for the architecture:
First of all, we'll assume that there are propellant depots in Earth orbit and the vehicles carry along their own propellant production equipment to generate their own propellant on Mars or perhaps Phobos.
Then,
1.) The vehicle carries along an empty propellant tank to be refilled at Mars or Phobos for the return trip.
2.) The vehicle leaves Earth with two fully fueled stages. Only one stage is burned on the way to Mars. At Mars, this depleted stage is used to land on Mars. The unburned stage is left in Mars orbit to link up with the landing stage for the return trip.
3.)Two fully fueled stages leave Earth orbit, and again only one is burned but the vehicle lands now on Phobos. The depleted stage refuels on Phobos. The unburned stage lands on Mars. The two stages link up in space fully fueled for the return trip.
Bob Clark
(Edited for clarity.)
Thanks guys - looks like the Sunday Times took a "could" and made it a "will".
Are you sure that was a manned mission they were talking about in the Sunday Times article? Musk has spoken about getting a manned mission to Mars in the 10 to 20 year time frame.
BTW, another very important use of the Falcon Heavy would be for a Mars Sample Return mission. This has long been considered the Holy Grail of planetary missions by NASA:
SPACEX FALCON HEAVY ROCKET: SHORTCUT TO MARS?
Scheduled for a 2013 maiden flight, the new rocket could make a Mars sample return mission a reality.
By Irene Klotz
Tue Apr 5, 2011 04:52 PM ET
http://news.discovery.com/space/spacex- … 10405.html
The problem was NASA had previously estimated the costs would be in the $10 billion range. But with the Falcon Heavy costing only in the range of $100 million, and using a couple of Centaur upper stages at a cost in the range of $30 million each, it could probably could be done as a low-cost "Discovery class" mission.
I'll write about it in the next couple of days on my blog.
Bob Clark
NASA gets two military spy telescopes for astronomy.
By Joel Achenbach, Published: June 4
The announcement Monday raised the obvious question of why the
intelligence agency would no longer want, or need, two Hubble-class
telescopes. A spokeswoman, Loretta DeSio, provided information
sparingly.
“They no longer possessed intelligence-collection uses,” she said of
the telescopes.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/national/ … story.html
Blog post on using the new telescopes for planetary defense, asteroid prospecting, and Mars orbiter satellites:
Low cost development and applications of the new NRO donated telescopes.
http://exoscientist.blogspot.com/2012/0 … tions.html
Bob Clark
I've alwayus reckoned on getting something like 200 tonnes to orbit, so 4 Falcon Heavies, so you get 44 tonnes to the surface. There might be a requirement for smaller supply missions, landing robotic craft. So we might have more than four launchs. But 200 tonnes to LEO is "only" $1billion at $5000 per kg - and will likely be far less in 10 years' time. That's a very reasonable "platform" on which to build a mission costing somewhere between $10billion and $20 billion over ten years - max. $2 billion per annum.
SpaceX has said they expect to charge in the range of $100 million per launch for the Falcon Heavy, so around $400 million for four, and the first test launch is supposed to take place next year.
Bob Clark
...
I like your idea of using a Moon flyby to get an extra 500 m/s delta-V for a Mars mission. On the "Mars Semi-Direct with Falcon" thread you mentioned that a shorter outbound transit time is made possible with a 4.3 km/s delta-V, rather than the Hohmann trajectory delta-V of 3.8 km/s. Then you could use the lunar flyby to get the extra 500 m/s for the shorter transit time.
I wonder if it may be possible to also use the Oberth effect with respect to the Moon at the same time as the lunar gravitational slingshot since they are distinct effects. With a lunar escape velocity of 2.4 km/s, you could get an extra delta-V close to this with the Oberth effect.
The Moon's velocity around the Earth is 1 km/s. Then since you could add twice the body's speed to the spacecraft you could conceivably get 2 km/s extra delta-v this way:
Gravitational Slingshot.
http://www.mathpages.com/home/kmath114/kmath114.htm
So is there some reason why this wouldn't work?
Bob Clark
3.8 km/sec and 6.4 km/sec are the numbers for Hohmann (minimum energy) transfers, which take 8-9 months each way and are not free return trajectories. If you go a bit faster (4.3 km/sec outbound and about 7 km/sec inbound) you make the trip in 6 months instead and you put yourself into a 24-month solar orbit, so if you miss Mars on the way out (say, because of damage to the craft) you come back to Earth anyway. You also cut down on consumables.
How much delta-v would you need for the outbound trip if you don't use full aerobraking, as I was assuming, for the arrival at Mars, but instead reserved some amount of propellant for powered landing and/or capture?
Bob Clark
We had a lot more on this before the Great Crash...
According to Atomic Rockets, Solar Moth would get 900s, 4000N @ 100kg. If we use Ammonia, we could perhaps get higher thrust for lower Isp, and using an oxygen after burner, we could increase the thrust further, though again at the expense of Isp.
One of it's main attractions for me is the possibility of using a storable propellent such as Ammonia while still achieving high Isp, as well as obiviating the need for a heat shield. I think we need to take a good look at the varius components of rockets and see how we can minimise their masses or even do away with them entirely.
Do you have a link for that, Terraformer?
BTW, per your sig file, Sierra Nevada is reviving the HL-20 via their Dream Chaser spacecraft.
Bob Clark
Congrats to SpaceX.
Bob Clark
The main driver of Platinum high price is automotive Catalytic Converter usage which is something like 30% of consumption if I recall correctly.
That still leaves 70% of the market.
Bob Clark
Planetary Resources co-founder Eric Anderson talks to Science Friday here:
APR. 27, 2012
Mining Quarries Millions of Miles from Earth.
http://www.sciencefriday.com/segment/04 … earth.html
Interestingly he says at present world usage growth rates, several of the important metals for high technology such as platinum will run out within decades.
This article also says the platinum group metals will run out on short time scales:
Go Beyond Gold and Look at Silver and Platinum.
by ARI CHARNEY on MARCH 12, 2012
http://www.investingdaily.com/14823/go- … d-platinum
Bob Clark
A completely separate team has now announced plans to do mining from
the Moon:Renowned scientists join tech visionaries at Moon Express to mine the
Moon for planetary resources.
“MOUNTAIN VIEW, Calif., April 24, 2012 /PRNewswire/ -- Moon Express, a
Google Lunar X PRIZE contender, announced today that some of the
world's leading planetary scientists have joined its Science Advisory
Board (SAB) to assist the company in its plans to explore and
ultimately mine the Moon for precious planetary resources.”
http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases … 32035.htmlBob Clark
I happen to think off-world mining will be the "killer app" that makes space flight routine. For it, we will need low cost heavy lift and low cost manned flight.
Some people have advised that I should open up a blog for these technical discussions - sometimes meant as a constructive criticism, sometimes not. In any case I have decided to do so. On the blog so far are posts discussing creating a super heavy lift vehicle at the few hundred million per launch range, compared to NASA's SLS at ca. $10 billion per launch(!), and of manned lunar missions also at the few hundred million per launch range, compared to NASA's Constellation program at $100 billion total.
Low cost HLV.
http://exoscientist.blogspot.com/2012/0 … t-hlv.html
SpaceX Dragon spacecraft for low cost trips to the Moon.
http://exoscientist.blogspot.com/2012/0 … -cost.html
Comments on the blog posts and on improving the blog are invited.
Bob Clark
A completely separate team has now announced plans to do mining from
the Moon:
Renowned scientists join tech visionaries at Moon Express to mine the
Moon for planetary resources.
“MOUNTAIN VIEW, Calif., April 24, 2012 /PRNewswire/ -- Moon Express, a
Google Lunar X PRIZE contender, announced today that some of the
world's leading planetary scientists have joined its Science Advisory
Board (SAB) to assist the company in its plans to explore and
ultimately mine the Moon for precious planetary resources.”
http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases … 32035.html
A propos of that would be Bill White's novel Platinum Moon:
Platinum Moon [Paperback]
Bill White (Author)
"International intrigue, action, adventure and suspense wrapped around
a moon landing.
"Power abhors a vacuum. After NASA abandons its plans to return to the
Moon, New Hampshire native and global entrepreneur Harold Hewitt steps
in to fill the void. Rejecting the notion that the exploration of
space must be reserved to government, Hewitt establishes Lunar
Materials LLC to prospect for lunar platinum – platinum needed for
fuel cells that will help mitigate global warming. Hewitt sees himself
as an old fashioned Yankee trader, touting his lunar ambitions as an
altruistic endeavor undertaken in harmonious collaboration with global
partners. His opponents view Hewitt as a Yankee traitor selling out
his country in pursuit of profit."
http://www.amazon.com/Platinum-Moon-Bil … 0984405801
Bob Clark
In regards to the reason for this endeavor, several studies have shown many of the important metals for high technology such as platinum at present global growth rates, especially in the emerging economies such as China, will be depleted within decades:
Earth's natural wealth: an audit.
23 May 2007
NewScientist.com news service
David Cohen
http://www.science.org.au/nova/newscien … ns_005.htmIf these reports are true, and there is some uncertainty in the estimates, then such asteroid mining missions, might turn out to be not amusing topics of discussion, but actual necessities.
In that New Scientist article the author seems to be implying the uncertainties in the estimates of impending scarcity come from how the producers are reporting their stocks and available mine-able ore. That is, they may be underreporting them to artificially keep prices high. But with some of these key minerals predicted to run out within two decades clearly this is something that needs to be determined definitively. Maybe we need to send in UN inspectors into their accounting departments and into their actual mines like we send in inspectors for rogue nuclear states.
In any case, here are some peer-reviewed papers that discuss this issue:
Metal stocks and sustainability.
R. B. Gordon*,
M. Bertram†,‡, and
T. E. Graedel†,§
PNAS January 31, 2006 vol. 103 no. 5 1209-1214.
Abstract
The relative proportions of metal residing in ore in the lithosphere, in use in products providing services, and in waste deposits measure our progress from exclusive use of virgin ore toward full dependence on sustained use of recycled metal. In the U.S. at present, the copper contents of these three repositories are roughly equivalent, but metal in service continues to increase. Providing today's developed-country level of services for copper worldwide (as well as for zinc and, perhaps, platinum) would appear to require conversion of essentially all of the ore in the lithosphere to stock-in-use plus near-complete recycling of the metals from that point forward.
http://www.pnas.org/content/103/5/1209
An impending platinum crisis and its implications for the future of the automobile.
Chi-Jen Yang
Energy Policy.
Volume 37, Issue 5, May 2009, Pages 1805-1808.
Abstract
The global demand for platinum has consistently outgrown supply in the past decade. This trend likely will continue and the imbalance may possibly escalate into a crisis. Platinum plays pivotal roles in both conventional automobile emissions control and the envisioned hydrogen economy. A platinum crisis would have profound implications on energy and environment. On the one hand, inadequate platinum supply will prevent widespread commercialization of hydrogen fuel-cell vehicles. On the other hand, expensive platinum may enhance the competitiveness of hybrid, plug-in hybrid, and battery-powered electric cars. Policymakers should weigh the potential impacts of a platinum crisis in energy policy.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/ar … 1509000457
And of course also if such scarcity estimates are valid this would have a major impact on the question of the profitability of the space mining ventures.
Bob Clark
Google billionaires, James Cameron backing space resource venture.
By Alan BoyleToday's media alert says the new company "will overlay two critical sectors — space exploration and natural resources — to add trillions of dollars to the global GDP. This innovative start-up will create a new industry and a new definition of 'natural resources.'"
"That sounds like asteroid mining," Christopher Mims writes on MIT Technology Review's "Mims' Bits" blog. "Because what else is there in space that we need here on earth? Certainly not a livable climate or a replacement for our dwindling supplies of oil."
Parabolic Arc's Doug Messier, meanwhile, writes that the venture will be an "extraterrestrial mining company."
Diamandis has said on more than one occasion that he's intrigued by the idea of digging into asteroids, for materials ranging from water (for fuel as well as for astronauts) to precious metals such as platinum. The Verge points to a TED talk in 2005 where Diamandis discusses his dream, while Forbes magazine has brought up the subject with him more than once in the past few months.
In regards to the reason for this endeavor, several studies have shown many of the important metals for high technology such as platinum at present global growth rates, especially in the emerging economies such as China, will be depleted within decades:
Earth's natural wealth: an audit.
23 May 2007
NewScientist.com news service
David Cohen
http://www.science.org.au/nova/newscien … ns_005.htm
If these reports are true, and there is some uncertainty in the estimates, then such asteroid mining missions, might turn out to be not amusing topics of discussion, but actual necessities.
Bob Clark
...
Again because the delta-V requirements to a NEO are less than those to the Moon, this lander/rover could also serve as a prospector for asteroid missions. There was a recent article discussing the idea that a loophole in the Outer Space Treaty might allow private land claims on outer space bodies:Loophole Could Allow Private Land Claims on Other Worlds.
By Adam Mann | April 5, 2012 | 6:30 am | Categories: Space
http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2012/ … -property/Then the intriguing question arises: could landing of such a low cost rover on a NEO allow the Astrobotic backers to claim full mineral exploitation rights on potentially a $20 trillion asteroid?
There is debate among legal scholars about the Outer Space Treaty. While it does ban national ownership, there is debate on whether it bans private ownership. This article on The Space Review site discusses the issue in more detail:
Staking a claim on the Moon.
by Jeff Foust
Monday, April 9, 2012
http://www.thespacereview.com/article/2058/1
The opposing view to Simberg's is expressed here:
How the U.S. Can Lead the Way to Extraterrestrial Land Deals.
By Berin Szoka and James Dunstan April 9, 2012 | 1:58 pm | Categories: Space, Wired Opinion
http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2012/ … ty-rights/
I don't agree with the argument that Szoka and Dunstan give that Article VI of the treaty bans private use of outer space bodies. This article in the treaty states:
Article VI
States Parties to the Treaty shall bear international responsibility for national activities in outer space, including the moon and other celestial bodies, whether such activities are carried on by governmental agencies or by non-governmental entities, and for assuring that national activities are carried out in conformity with the provisions set forth in the present Treaty. The activities of non-governmental entities in outer space, including the moon and other celestial bodies, shall require authorization and continuing supervision by the appropriate State Party to the Treaty. When activities are carried on in outer space, including the moon and other celestial bodies, by an international organization, responsibility for compliance with this Treaty shall be borne both by the international organization and by the States Parties to the Treaty participating in such organization.
This article only seems to be talking about that the uses shall only be for peaceful purposes and that rescue operations need to be undertaken for other nations manned missions if needed, etc.
However, another part of the Szoka/Dunstan argument I do find compelling: that different countries would grant overlapping land claims. Then it would appear such claims would have to be granted by an international organization.
It is important to note the treaty most certainly does not ban private, financial use of space resources. The big debate has been about ownership, but you don't even need ownership for private, financial use! The situation would be quite analogous to mining rights granted on public lands. The mining companies have the right to extract even valuable minerals from the ground but they still do not own the land.
Bob Clark
Thanks for that. I didn't know they were changing the plans for their Google Lunar X Prize entry essentially to turn it into a prospector mission.
Bob Clark
The Astrobotic rover is built by the same Carnegie Mellon robotics lab that built the Scarab lunar polar rover. The Astrobotic rover will be launched on just a Falcon 9 so this is a smaller and cheaper lander/rover than one that would require the heaviest 20 mT capacity launchers. Though it will not be sample return, it can certainly confirm the large amounts of water suggested by the orbital studies. It may also be able to confirm the tentative detections of precious metals such as gold and silver found by LCROSS.
Again because the delta-V requirements to a NEO are less than those to the Moon, this lander/rover could also serve as a prospector for asteroid missions. There was a recent article discussing the idea that a loophole in the Outer Space Treaty might allow private land claims on outer space bodies:
Loophole Could Allow Private Land Claims on Other Worlds.
By Adam Mann | April 5, 2012 | 6:30 am | Categories: Space
http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2012/ … -property/
Then the intriguing question arises: could landing of such a low cost rover on a NEO allow the Astrobotic backers to claim full mineral exploitation rights on potentially a $20 trillion asteroid?
Bob Clark
Mating of unrelated payloads to carrier does take time and is usually part of a 6 year mission design to reality that most satelites and even Nasa uses for its landers, orbiters ect....with selected launcher. I think this is too long for a developement time but its also the item of payload that takes all the work....launcher build time is less than 2 years of it.
The robots discription is interesting...
the robot will operate for 10 to 12 days of constant sunlight, then hibernate during the equal period of polar nighttime.
Astrobotic Technology, one of 26 teams competing for a $30 million Google Lunar X Prize, has altered its October 2015 mission to the moon in dramatic fashion.
http://lunarnetworks.blogspot.com/2012/ … -high.html
http://lunarnetworks.blogspot.com/2012/ … s-for.html
http://www.lunarrover.org/
http://www.googlelunarxprize.org/teams/astrobotic
Thanks for that. I didn't know they were changing the plans for their Google Lunar X Prize entry essentially to turn it into a prospector mission.
Bob Clark
Google billionaires, James Cameron backing space resource venture.
By Alan Boyle
Today's media alert says the new company "will overlay two critical sectors — space exploration and natural resources — to add trillions of dollars to the global GDP. This innovative start-up will create a new industry and a new definition of 'natural resources.'"
"That sounds like asteroid mining," Christopher Mims writes on MIT Technology Review's "Mims' Bits" blog. "Because what else is there in space that we need here on earth? Certainly not a livable climate or a replacement for our dwindling supplies of oil."
Parabolic Arc's Doug Messier, meanwhile, writes that the venture will be an "extraterrestrial mining company."
Diamandis has said on more than one occasion that he's intrigued by the idea of digging into asteroids, for materials ranging from water (for fuel as well as for astronauts) to precious metals such as platinum. The Verge points to a TED talk in 2005 where Diamandis discusses his dream, while Forbes magazine has brought up the subject with him more than once in the past few months.
http://cosmiclog.msnbc.msn.com/_news/20 … ce-venture
Bob Clark
...
The three decks of the capsule-shaped vehicle together have a volume of 52 cubic meters; the Space Shuttle provided 68, if I recall, so it's similar in size to the shuttle. The mass includes 1.5 tonnes for an inflatable and furniture (Zubrin used 200 kg for a two-person inflatable). I am assuming a crew of up to 7. If the inflatable fails en route they'd have to retreat into the Gryphon and the space would be very tight, but presumably people would survive. The 10 metric tonnes of cargo would be the 4 metric tonnes of consumables needed on the trip out plus 6 metric tonnes of various things the crew of 6 needs on the surface (some essential equipment, some consumables). The rest of the consumables and equipment arrives by Hohmann trajectory 2 months after the crew arrives. Ideally, the hab can be retracted, deorbited to the Martian surface, and used there as well.
The delta-v of 4.4 km/sec is carefully chosen; that's what you need to go from low Earth orbit to Mars in 6 months (4.3 plus 0.1 for mid course corrections). You need 4.1 km/sec to go from the Martian surface to low Mars orbit; very similar. The idea is to refuel the vehicle in low Earth orbit, launch to Mars, aerobrake, refuel in low Mars orbit sufficiently to land, refuel on the surface, return to low Mars orbit, refuel there sufficient for TEI, and head for Earth. The fuel in Mars orbit could be made on Phobos, Deimos, or the Martian surface and delivered. A round trip would require 55 tonnes out, maybe 5-10 tonnes to land, 55 tonnes to return to Mars orbit, and about 15-20 tonnes for TEI.
I like the idea of having refueling stations in orbit at Earth and Mars, and the reusable shuttle between the two planets. These two concepts might indeed make possible Elon Musk's concept of a Mars ticket for a few hundred thousand dollars.
Bob Clark
SpaceNut wrote:The solar may be easier than we think by time we get to go with these types of advances.
Spray-on solar may be future for green energy
Mitsubishi Chemical is the first company to create prototype spray-on solar cells, which at present have a practical conversion level of 10.1 percent of light energy into electricity.
The new solar cells utilize carbon compounds which, when dried and solidified, act as semiconductors and generate electricity in reaction to being exposed to light.Thanks for that, Space. Given that they expect to reach the same efficiency level as usual solar cells, this will mean that the mass of the solar cells needed for a certain power level will be about 1/10th of that currently needed. Since current cells are about 100W to 200W per kilo, we might get up to the 2,000 W per kilo range.
This page suggests a lunar base might only need 100 kW to 1 MW power and a Mars base 1 MW:Lunar Production of Solar Cells.
http://www.asi.org/adb/02/08/solar-cell-production.htmlThen this might be only 50 kg to 500 kg that needed to be transported to the Moon or Mars for the power for the base. It would also be easy to transport since it could be sent in liquid form.
Also, in regards to the VASIMR plasma propulsion system Robert Zubrin has raised some points to question its feasibility since it requires high power at lightweight, which was proposed to be nuclear. Zubrin argued nuclear plants at the power level required, in the range of 1,000 watts per kilo, were not likely to be achieved in the near future:VASIMR and a new war of the currents.
by Chuck Black
Monday, August 1, 2011
http://www.thespacereview.com/article/1896/1But these new solar cells might be able to provide the power at the lightweight required.
Just saw this discussed on NasaSpaceFlight.com:
Scientists develop spider-silk solar batteries.
By Charlie Osborne | April 4, 2012, 4:22 AM PDT
"One gram of the solar battery produces 10 watts of energy. The efficiency of conversion from solar power to electricity is 4.2 percent, substantially lower than typical solar panels. However, the new battery can function without conversion rate drops when folded or bent. According to the team, the spider-silk soar batteries can also be made cheaply."
http://www.smartplanet.com/blog/smart-t … ries/25079
For the free, full text, research article:
Nature Communications | Article Open
Ultrathin and lightweight organic solar cells with high flexibility.
Martin Kaltenbrunner, Matthew S. White, Eric D. Głowacki, Tsuyoshi Sekitani, Takao Someya, Niyazi Serdar Sariciftci & Siegfried Bauer
Nature Communications 3, Article number: 770, Published: 03 April 2012
http://www.nature.com/ncomms/journal/v3 … s1772.html
A specific power of 10 watts per gram is 10,000 watts per kg. This is about a hundred times better than current space solar cells(!) If they do get the conversion efficiency up to that of current cells at about 20%, then the specific power would be 50,000 watts per kg.
Bob Clark
"Bamboos are some of the fastest growing plants in the world,[2] as some species have been recorded as growing up to 100 cm (39 in) within a 24 hour period due to a unique rhizome-dependent system."
100cms in 24 hour sounds the sort of plant we want and need on Mars.
Yeah, I was amazed when I read that. Apparently it is true. Here's a BBC time lapse video showing the growth over a 24 hour period:
Bamboo Time Lapse Growth 24hrs c/o BBC World.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FfDOMwFX5Hg
Bob Clark
Bob Clark: I don't think you can do 100% aerobraking. That article for which I sent the link, about the difficulty of landing large cargos on Mars, said that a large human craft would need a parachute 100 meters across, and no one knows how to make something that big that's reliable. The problem isn't just that the atmosphere is thin, but that the zone where a chute will work isn't very tall, so the chute doesn't have enough time to work.
Which article is this? I've read some articles on solutions to this such as ballutes, retro-propulsion, etc.
Bob Clark
The issue of the "depth" of the gravity well needs to be remembered, though. Basically, the way the "gravity slingshot" works is that the object you are passing changes the direction of your flight. Relative to that object, though, the momentum does not change and you leave the object with the same relative speed you approached it. If you fly by Phobos, it doesn't have the gravity to bend your path significantly. Maybe each encounter can give you a couple meters per second and after a few years your spacecraft is in a highly elliptical orbit. Maybe Phobos can fling you to a few meters per second more than Martian escape velocity, eventually. But that won't get you to Earth, and it may take a looong time. I doubt Luna can bend one's trajectory much, either; otherwise, they would have used it already.
Can you use the gravity slingshot and the Oberth effect? I'm sure you can. The Earth just knows your direction and speed and pulls on you based on your distance.
Actually, the Moon can because that's what happens with a lunar free return trajectory. But you're right about Phobos. It's escape velocity is too low, only 11 m/s, not km/s, according to the wikipage.
Bob Clark
Dear Bob: You'll need to find some equations somewhere to determine how big the slingshot effect is. If you are moving fast already, you enter and leave a gravity well quickly and that gives the planet less time to bend your trajectory. A weak gravitational field can't bend your path practically at all.
To send Messenger to Mercury, NASA had to use an Earth flyby and two Venus flybys. To send Cassini to Saturn they used a Venus flyby and an Earth flyby, if I recall. And in The Promise of Space, Arthur Clarke once commented that the only way to drop a space probe into the sun was to send it to Jupiter, because it was big enough to cancel out the probe's circular motion around the sun.
I have often wondered why NASA didn't use a gravitational slingshot past the moon to send a spacecraft to Mars. The moon has a gravitational well and you'd think it could give a space probe the extra half kilometer or so per second needed to send a spacecraft to Mars. But apparently not.
Thanks for that. You couldn't use the gravitational slingshot effect directly with respect to Earth when launching from Earth's vicinity, such as from the Moon or Lagrange points, but your examples suggest you might be able to use it if you first get to Venus or Mars. Then the idea of repeatedly using such flyby's to get to very high speeds might indeed work for a Mars cycler. This possibility was also raised on this page:
Gravitational Slingshot.
http://www.mathpages.com/home/kmath114/kmath114.htm
I like your idea of using a Moon flyby to get an extra 500 m/s delta-V for a Mars mission. On the "Mars Semi-Direct with Falcon" thread you mentioned that a shorter outbound transit time is made possible with a 4.3 km/s delta-V, rather than the Hohmann trajectory delta-V of 3.8 km/s. Then you could use the lunar flyby to get the extra 500 m/s for the shorter transit time.
I wonder if it may be possible to also use the Oberth effect with respect to the Moon at the same time as the lunar gravitational slingshot since they are distinct effects. With a lunar escape velocity of 2.4 km/s, you could get an extra delta-V close to this with the Oberth effect.
I also wonder if these effects can be used also for the return trip with respect to Mars' moons. For instance Phobos has a orbital speed of 2.1 km/s around Mars. Then that could subtract off from the 6.4 km/s to 7 km/s delta-V of the return trip.
Bob Clark