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My interest first is in just whether it is possible to have a craft that is integral and undertakes the whole journey there and back.
Although it may be large, I think there will be advantages from reuse and simplification of processes. It may not have been attempted before in the past because we have been looking to put up much larger payloads rather than making use of ISRU, recycling of life support materials etc.
Even if a craft cannot get all the way to the moon and back with a retro landing on both moon and earth, we should be able to set up a refuelling facility on both the Moon (and possibly in LEO) which will probably mean the size of the craft can be reduced by 40% or more.
I am sure they are. But in a small initial colony, we aren't looking for all those countless applications, especially if they involve other specialist equipment and processes, involving rare skills and highly technical working in sterile environments.
What we want to do is produce the necessities of life. We want to be able to replicate the energy producing and food production systems; we want to be able to make basic, containers, motors, tools and vehicles; we want to be able to construct and maintain habitats.
We don't want to produce a high tech industrial infrastructure in the early stages on Mars because that is too resource intensive. We need to be able to produce the simple materials: gases, metals, polymers and ceramics that will enable us to function.
Agreed. I was suggesting maybe third mission - say six years in.
Sorry - Gregori, I'm not going to trust you on this one.
Private companies are catching up with the states very quickly. Philanthropists can probably devote more finance to a single project like Mars than NASA can.
Jumpboy -
Is there any reason we can't manufacture water on the moon if there is hydrogen and oxygen there, bound up in rocks.
Regarding retrorockets, I am afraid I don't get. Can't we be specific?
How much rocket mass is required to lift a 10 tonne payload to GEO, travel to the moon, get into moon orbit, lower the craft on to the moon, launch off the moon, return to earth and land safely, using retrorockets?
Here's a new thread Terraformer...
OK - my first question:
Can we use an SSTO retrorocket lander to take 10 tonnes to the moon and bring it back to earth - and then be available for re-use.
I don't see why not especially as the gravity well for the Moon is not so deep.
Second question: do the lunar night and day present any serious problems for ISRU. My answer: no. We can have energy abundance to allow energy storage and see us through the lunar night. But I understand in any case there are South Pole locations which actually enjoy almost continuous light.
Third question are you happy with solar power as the sole power source?
Fourth - where do we get water from?
Yes - all good. But if they only produce LEDs then it is a rather restricted process.
There's a difference between energy generation and food production.
If the light goes because of a dust storm, you simply aren't producing energy. But the system is still there after the dust storm abates.
If the light goes in your greenhouse then your crops die and you starve. When the dust storm abates, the crops are gone.
Big difference. Of course, the energy system has to have built into it energy storage in various forms in order to tied you over the dust storm periods.
Zhar -
Two points:
1. Our star is relatively young. There will have been billions of older solar systems around in the cosmos, so if it's relatively easy for intelligent life to evolve, it should have evolved in millions of those solar systems.
2. Doesn't matter if our signals are only 100 light years away. We should be bathed in signals by now, from those earlier-evolving solar systems.
Gregori -
It is completely incredible that an advanced civilisation wouldn't discover radio waves! Radio waves are part of one of the four fundamental forces of the universe. Even if they are discovered say 2000 years after an industrial revolution on a planet makes little difference in terms of what we will be receiving here in terms of radio signals.
Terraformer -
A good point. But surely all sorts of alien activity would simply generate radio waves, even if they weren't being used as a means of communication.
OK - why not start a thread.
But aren't all moon missions direct?
Don't forget the nappies for chrissake!
Zhar -
Well I think an artist will be important in creating the right psychological home environment on Mars. I don't think we should ignore art for too long.
As far as I am concerned Mars is going to be a second spiritual home for humankind. Art is crucial to making it homely.
Larry,
Why does it have to be a government? Space philanthropists are disposing of hundreds of millions of dollars. Clearly Musk of Space X has a strategy of creating a space business in LEO and GEO. Combine his space philanthropy with a space business that could be generating hundreds of millions of dollars every year (which can then be used to borrow from banks) and there could be the billions available for colonisation.
"It was the Federal Reserve that caused the Great Depression in 1929 and it was the Regulation that FDR put into place and the credit that he generated to build those government projects that restarted the US Economy."
This is the received story. If you actually look at what happened, the FDR measures had little general effect in the seven years after 1933 (although they certainly helped out poor people). There was actually a further depression in the late 1930s. It was rearmament that really got the economy going, around 1940.
Can someone explain why the air pressure suit is considered a disadvantage? Is it the safety concern - a pressure leak? Or something else.
Yes, I the manufacturers are being a bit circumspect about releasing details.
I think I have seen some scientific abstracts for thin film suggesting the film has been tested at -40C (which doesn't mean it can't go any lower). Obviously this is something that needs more investigation. I'm not guaranteeing it's a solution. But a Mars landing is not going to happen next year and the technology is advancing. If necessary I would say drop thin film and go for something like the Mars Rovers panels. If necessary I would build in another ten tonne robot pre-mission to take ten tonnes of Rover-style panels to the surface of Mars. However, I am reasonably optimistic that we can solve the brittle problem.
I'll check them out.
Of course when deciding on what and how to produce things on Mars, we don't just look product by product. The great thing about a small scale glass manufacturing machine is that it will produce not just light bulb envelopes but also drinking glasses, medical and other instruments, containers for food produce and hygiene products, plates, saucers, lab equipment etc.
You have to ask whether you get the same benefit from manufacturing the parts for an LED. I don't know yet but it seems unlikely.
Yep, empty space politics since we're talking about Alaska and Greenland!
Space Nut -
It was your own quote (from the Mars analogue write up I think):
"Some NASA studies on future Mars missions have budgeted as much as eight gallons of water per day per person, but the Arctic crew got by just fine on a third that amount of water usage."
I'd like to know why hygiene water is required - for what?
Wipes could be used for armpits and down below. It's nice to have an all over clean once in a while, but no one's going to die from not having one every day. Does faces need to be washed away? I thought it was vaccuumed away? We have waterless urinals at work - Ok, no gravity on a space ship, but again is water a necessity?
I'm just wondering whether we are starting with an assumption of water use rather than starting with an assumption of minimised water use, which could greatly reduce the figure required.
If you could water recycling up to 95% efficiency on a say average two day cycle, and restricted water usage to essentially drinking water and
an occasional shower in some sort of vacuum set up, then I think you'd be looking at maybe using 3 pints a day. (TO BE CONTINUED - MUST GO!)
Sorry - what's QFT?
Anyway, I am guessing that LED involves quite advanced manufacturing techniques.
On Mars we want to start with fairly simple manufacture.
But if you can convince me LED is simpler to manufacture than the traditional light bulb then I'll put it on the list!
gaetanomarano -
I think Musk's economics rely on him cornering the commercial satellite market which he might be able to do even if the price differential is only a few hundred dollars. He needs to get the market before he can get the costs down. At the moment he is having to spend on all the development costs.
Looks to me like manufacture of light bulbs shoudl be well within the grasp of the early colony.
The various elements required for glass manufacture are present on Mars. A mini machine will be able to automatically smelt the components and then blow the glass into desired shapes.
So the glass envelope should not present a huge problem.
I presume some inert gas will be available to create the low pressure environment inside the glass bulb. Tungsten for the metal filament is available on Mars. We can manufacture the screw cap, using iron ore or aluminium. We can use aluminium for the wiring/contacts.
I've already concluded that electric motors should also be reasonably simple to manufacture.
So things are going well on the electrical front.
Larry,
I'm not sure we fundamentally disagree about anything. I'm just trying to suggest there are many other aspects to the problem of economic development. An extra terrestial world is a very strange place economically. This is a new chapter in human history. It does require some new thinking I believe.
Whilst the US government's investment programme has some relevance, it is not a defining template for how to take the Mars colony forward.
There is no doubt in my mind that rich educational institutions and individuals would be willing to pay millions of dollars to have people study on Mars.
So I think an early goal for the colony would be to establish a "Mars Academy", a small educational and research institution. Two obvious disciplines would be geology and astronomy. But there might well be interest in studying the psychology of the colonisation process.
It might be the right time to do so when the colony is able to start building small domes.
Artist in Residence.
I'd hope the colony woudl have an artist in residence from early on in the project. They shouldn't take too much in the way of artists' materials. They should use the local materials to make art. Lots can be done with slate or similar, pebbles, carbon to draw with. They might be allowed to take a sketch book or two with them. Of course they can also use their laptops to produce pictures which can be e mailed back to earth.
Maybe third mission onwards there would be someone to produce art objects for the habitat.
you mean the circular thingies or what?
Circular thingies are the hangars for the pyramid space ships.
What are these Martians eating? Dust?