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Mars Direct is based entirely from the surface. It lands the Earth Return Vehicle on the surface. It can't be called risky, because propellant is produced and fuel tanks full before crew ever leaves Earth. My idea is a bit different, it parks the return vehicle in Mars orbit. However, I do not bring propellant from Earth. Instead I count on the Mars Assent Vehicle to deliver propellant to the return vehicle. But again, propellant tanks would be full before crew leaves the surface of Earth. I still argue for the Zubrin/Baker style of ISPP for the initial mission: LOX/LCH4 made from H2 from Earth and CO2 from Mars atmosphere. The atmosphere is reliable and known, ground ice will have to be proven. Rather than on-orbit propellant transfer, my design uses the MAV as the TEI stage.
But we do completely agree about building a base. The first mission will not be one way, but has to start building a permanent presence.
You park the Earth return habitat in orbit and send on Mars a lander with a little habitat and a big tank. The lander produces LOX-LCH4, using mars CO2 and imported LH2, and fills the big tank (I assume the astronauts will land in a habitat when the lander is full of propellant). When the mission is finished, the lander rendez-vous with the Earth return habitat and departs. It is correct?
Your proposal seems more logical than Zubrin's idea to land the whoole ERV, because you need to produce less propellant.
I've heared Zubrin didn't like orbital rendez-vous, because he considered it a risky operation and Apollo's lunar rendez-vous never failed only because NASA pilots were very very very very good pilots.
But now orbital rendez-vous can be performed automatically.
Does anyone know the mass numbers for the refueling station lander that will create methane for crew return (MAV) from surface to the orbiting ERV?
Do we know if we are capable of landing such mass on the mars surface and its reliablity of success?
Is the mass simular to the LSAM?
4802 kg in DRM1 and 3941 in DRM3: you can find all the data here:
Then the question becomes, how long can the MAV loiter in orbit before too much of its fuel boils off? Unfortunately I bet the answer to this question is not very long.
LOX LCH4 are soft cryogenic not so hard to cool like LH2, so no problems using a good multilayered insulation and a solar powered active cooling system.
Does anyone know what the maximum volume and mass of any mars landers that we would send to the surface can be?
Also how much of that same lander would be cargo or payload?
According to this study ( http://www.ssdl.gatech.edu/papers/confe … 9-6684.pdf ):
limits for direct entry of a blunt body: 10 m shield diameter 40 mT entry mass, 20 mT payload, supersonic retropropulsion
limits for entry from orbit of a blunt body: 15 m shield diameter 100 mT entry mass, 40 mT payload, 50 m diameter inflatable ballute
Mars first manned mission will be wisely centered on exploration and prospecion for a reliable water source for the first stable base, like buried glaciers in low latitudes. So, a couple of powerful rovers with drill equipment, large pressurized habitat ad a big reserve of consumables for a long range cruise (3000 km or more) will be a very valuable tool.
I'm not an expert. I can imagine only theese options:
1) Rechargable batteries/fuel cell and orientable solar array
2) Big deployable solar panel carpet + recargable battery/fuel cells (sun peek stay and navigation douring dawn)
3) Sterling Dinamic Isotope RTG + rechargable batteries/fuel cell
4) Fuel cell + big reserve of fuel
5) internal combustion engine + big reserve of fuel
6) 100 KW nuclear reactor towed with a 50-100 m cable
Wich may be the best option?
The Mav is a tiny capsule unfit for a six month journey to earth, it has no Earth entry heats shield as it would be heavy and not needed to be landed on mars, no parachutes for earth entry as the ones needed for mars entry have already been used. Then the stage to push the mav to Earth from mars orbit just made it not possible to land on mars. We do have size limitation of mass and diameters to work with.
You can build it as a two stage vehicle: the landing stage with thermal shield and retrorocket, and a small capsule with a couple of rocket as ascent stage. If the orbiting ship use LOX-LH2 plus aerocapture on Mars insecrction and aerocapture and/or aerobrake on Earth return, the total mission delta-V is less than 7 km/s in the worst case scenario (Erath perielium - Mars aphelium) and the propellant mass is not so prohibitve: a 20 mT ERV can perform the whoole mission with less than 80 mT of propellant. We can also save a lot of money making the ERV fully reusable.
Seriously? You think anyone would tolerate a company claiming ownership of the genetic code of Martian life? Well, I suppose the state would, which is pretty sickening...
I think the biggest Martian business will be selling stuff to Martians. As far as export goes, what is there that would make much sense? Unless you can find a unique geological process that only occurred on Mars, they can get stuff from asteroids or Terra herself.
Even if we cannot directly patent the XNA of an hypotetical alien bacteria, in studing it we can learn a lot of new synthesis paths and use this knowledge to develope new biotech devicies, that can surely be patented and sold for a lot of money.
Old argument. A few years ago Congress was beginning to realize no nuclear = no space.
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In this case, the game will change. With an affidable nuclear reactor and a reliable working ISPP machine we can produce tons of LOX-LCH4, enought to fill the tanks of an ERV of the right size to support a 4-6 crew for six month.
http://spaceref.com/nuclear-propulsion/ … otype.html
This new version utilizes sterling generators instead of termionic conversion of SP-100 and reach 500 Kw. It may be able to fill the tanks of a very comfortable ERV. But we have to start now in building a full scale prototype of ISPP machine and develop it
But I remember the protests for the RTG of Cassini...
No proven ice deposit anywhere we would send humans. Even GW Johnson says we can't rely on ice for the very first human mission. But you can rely on atmosphere. Using Zubrin's ISPP is far better than trying to bring return propellant from Earth.
There is ice at Vastitas Borealis Crater, but that's 70° north. Mars Direct has the crew stay 14 months on the surface (about 425 days), waiting for the planets to align for the return home. That's so much time that winter will fall. Mars gets very cold at night, but winter near the pole? Temperature will get so cold that you have to worry about material embrittlement. Much better to stay near the equator, where it's cold, but not that extreme. In other discussion threads we have discussed the spot on Elysium Planitia called "Frozen Sea" or "Pack Ice". It looks good, and radar from orbiters confirm layers, but have not confirmed ice. SHARAD on MRO confirms layers, but does not say what the layers are. Results from MARSIS on Mars Express do not have the dielectric expected for water ice. That could mean all the ice has evaporated/sublimated, or it could mean remaining ice is too shallow for that. They did confirm the dielectric for the south polar ice cap, but that is 3.7km thick! The "Frozen Sea" was 45 metres deep, but at least some has evaporated/sublimated. Is it all gone, or just too shallow for MARSIS? We'll have to drill to find out. Only 5° north of the equator (warm), low altitude (lots of atmosphere for radiation shielding), and flat/smooth (safe to land), so it's a really great spot; but you don't want to bet your life on ice just to find it's all gone..
First mission may land in Elysium Planetia with enough hydrogen to produce the return propellant and drill to find water: if they find they can use it to produce more fuel for the rover fuel cell and extend exploration. If they don't find, they can still came back, but they cannot build a reliable base in that place.
Supponing the worst case there are not reliable water sources in low latitudes, we will be forced to reconsider the whoole colonization program.
Without a reliable source of water in low latitudes, we are forced to put our base in higher latitude and learn how to deal with martian winter (with a 500 Kw nuclear reactor, heating the habitat would not be a big problem).
The ISS decompression time might be appropiate.
http://www.nasa.gov/pdf/686338main_AP_E … ession.pdf
http://www.nasa.gov/pdf/686339main_AP_S … ession.pdf
There must be others....
How can a MCP suit apply a contropressure against male genitals?
Many geologists think that Mars would be rich of opals, that may become the most valuable gemstones. Mars opals may be solded at Christies auctions for a lot of money.
But, what will be happen if we find an alien microbic life, based on a genetical information chain different from our DNA?
I think the fall-out of such discovery may be worth billions of dollars of biotechnology patents.
It has already been tested with a small unit at Pionerr Astronautix. This is called a "brass board" because the plumbing is brass, and it's small. It was tested with a bottle of gas that has the exact same composition as the atmosphere of Mars. It worked. The next test would be to scale it up to the size needed for Mars; as you suggest.
Zubrin's demostrator used a CO2 cilinder: before sending the ERV, we need a working, reliable and fully developed ISPP machine, able to get CO2 from a thin atmosphere like on Mars and produce almost 250 kg/day of LOX-LCH4, working continously for almost 300 days, without failure.
Mars Direct was designed to use the SP-100 nuclear reactor. This was already designed by the US military, as part of Ronald Regan's SDI program (Star Wars). A full-size prototype had already been built, it was proven. So the reactor was ready in 1989.
It would be the best solution, but how to explain it to politicians, afraid to lose the votes of ecologiests?
If we will ever go on Mars, we will realy only on solar panels.
Mars Direct had the ERV delivered unmanned to the surface of Mars. It would produce propellant, when the tanks were full it would send a radio signal to Earth. Only then, only when the ride home was secure, would astronauts leave Earth.
This is safe, but if something brokes there is nobody to fix it, even is a very stupid failure like an obstructed filter. This is the drawback. So an unmanned spaceship needs a very very reliable propellant production plant.
I'm not an expert, but why not to get LOX-LH2 from ice?
Mars Direct was an attempt to send humans to Mars on an affordable budget. The price was $20 billion for the first mission, plus $2 billion per mission there after. Or if NASA commits to 7 missions up front, $30 billion. Buy 6 missions, get one free. (Yes it really does work out that way.) One mission every 26 months because that's when orbits around the Sun bring the planets into alignment. So $1 billion per year. That was in 1990 dollars, but still that's a lot better. In fact, since technology has advanced and we now have "New Space" companies, the price may end up the same. But when NASA was finally convinced to take Mars Direct seriously, they decided to re-invent it. They bulked it up from 4 crew to 6, and brought propellant for return all the way from Earth. It only uses ISPP for the Mars Assent Vehicle, to go from Mars surface to Mars orbit. That was the NASA Design Reference Mission (DRM). It was priced at $55 billion for 7 missions. Congress noticed the price jumped from $20 billion to $55 billion already, and they haven't even finished designing the thing. That convinced them NASA would end up demanding the full 90-Day Report, with it's gigantic price tag, so they said "No".
That is the reason Congress continues to refuse to allow any humans beyond Low Earth Orbit. They're afraid that any attempt to do so would result in the full price tag of the 90-Day Report. They are not ever, ever, EVER going to authorize that much money. Not anywhere near that much money.
Go cheap or go home.
If we want to go direct, we have to realy on a working technology so we have to build a Sabatier-reverse gas shift prototipe, run it in facility replicating the atmosphere of Mars and try to reach 10 metric ton of LOX-LCH4 in 30 days, with a power supply similar of spaceship PV array.
When all the problems will be fixed and the ISPP machine will work perfectly and we are sure we can realy on it, we can send an unmanned 20 ton ERV on Mars: if the ISPP machine will be able to produce 80 ton of LOX-LCH4 almost a year, we will send the crew.
The only way to be sure ISPP machine will work is to test it on Earth in an environment similar of Mars.
An alternative may be to use a LOX-LH2 ERV, and use a well known ice pack, like Ice Lake Crater, to get the water for the ISPP. Ice melting and water electrolysis are simpler technologies, LOX-LH2 has the highest Isp and LH2 can be stored for long times with an active cooling system (if producing LH2 is too difficolut, we can bring LH2 from Earth and use alectrolysis to make only LOX).
I
The not so large MAV is not capable to go from mars to earth so we need to leave a return ship in orbit.
When ISPP will be a mature technology, NMHO it will be better to land the whoole ship on Mars, refuel she with local propellant, so she can take-off and came back, saving a lot of mass.
By now we need an almost big orbiting ERV and one or more landers: how suggest GW Johnson in the first mission it may be safer to bring all the propellant for the take-off: ISPP will be only an experiment that can be used to extend exploration via suborbital hoppings, if it will work.
If anything I would say the Jovian system is fairly amenable to this kind of inter"planetary" civilization, insofar as the bodies are fairly close to each other and don't have too high delta-Vs to get from one to the other. There's also, ya know, four of them
If in the context of a story someone wanted to terraform the four moons you'd have a pretty good basis for a rocketpunk story.
A whoole terraformed moon will have insufficient insolation, but we can imagine paraterraformed Moons with a lot of big colonies under domes, with fusion powered artificial light. It may be intriguing to know if may be better building surface colony on the moons or using the moons as mines of raw matherial to build giant orbital space habitats: an habitat with 1 gee gravity may be best suited for humans, but in a future we can imagine radiation resistant GM people that not suffer of muscular atrophy and bone mass loss in microgravity and low gravit and can quickly adapt from 0 to 2.5 gee environments.
What do you think of the fictional planet Polyphemus and satellite Pandora from the movie Avatar? How realistic is such a set up? http://james-camerons-avatar.wikia.com/wiki/Pandora
I've heard that gas giants are just about ruled out in the Alpha Centauri System, but in case there was one how realistic would that be? Polyphemus' radiation environment would probably be even more lethal than Jupiter as it sits right in the habitable zone Pandora has a gravity of about 0.8 of Earth.
http://james-camerons-avatar.wikia.com/wiki/Pandora
Avatar
Diameter 11447 km
Mass 0.72 Earths
Gravity 0.8 g
Atmospheric density 1.2 Earths
Surface pressure 0.9 atm
Very realistic: even the vortex is a phenomenon, due to interaction of ions current in the radiation belt with the magnetic field of the moon and the giant plantet, really observed between Juppiter and Io. On Pandora, the strong magnetic field of the vortex is the cause of superconductive levitation of unobteium rich rocks.
Polyphemus has a strong radiation belt like Juppiter but Pandora is protected by her own magnetic field and by her dense atmosphere, so life is possible.
Biggest problem with aerocapture/aerobraking schemes is the factor-2 variability of Mars atmospheric density profiles at high altitudes. Your design has to allow for this, so it is not as simple and lightweight as you might think at first. They had to allow for that with the probes that have used it, in the sense that the differences get partly made up at lower altitudes by lift during entry, and the rest "lost" in the uncertainties of chute deceleration.
Big items to be landed on Mars will not find chutes useful, as they penetrate to too low an altitude for a chute to deploy, much less do any deceleration good. That leaves retro-thrust rocket braking as the only practical terminal landing method.
I think for aerocapture, you will have to accept a factor-2 variable outcome, and carry the orbital maneuvering propellant to make up for it. For aerobraking, you will have to carry the extra propellant to make up the uncertainty in your retro-thrust rocket-braked terminal landing propellant.
Either way, you will be carrying extra propellants. Propellants that could do direct braking or orbit modification anyway. You won't save as much at Mars trying to use aerocapture/aerobraking as you would think at first glance. It is the density variability at high altitude that causes this dilemma.
Earth's atmosphere does not suffer this kind of variability at high altitudes, which is why we had no prior experience with it at Mars. It's why the landing ellipses were so very large on Mars, until very recently.
GW
So the SpaceX choiche to use supersonic retropropulsion to slow down the Red Dragon capsule insetead of parachute is correct.
I think LOX-LH2 is the best solution, yes. There are "cryocoolers" available already, and I think they're lighter and lower power requirement than the Brayton thing in the old NASA study. So, yes, we can prevent significant hydrogen boiloff over long times. If you add foil-and-foam layered meteor armor, it doubles as a very effective insulation and sunshade. That reduces boiloff further, and lets you use smaller cryocooler equipment.
I don't really think a 300-600 ton ship is an unaffordable "battlestar galactica", unless you choose to launch it in chunks that are too big, which forces you to develop a gigantic one-use rocket. That's really expensive. If you build it in many smaller chunks, you can use commercial rockets to launch these chunks far less expensively, and then just dock it all together in orbit. There is no reason at all that all the propellant for any one burn need be in one single tank. Just use a bunch of one single tank module design.
GW
Thanks for the lesson!
I've seen your very interesting docked module rigid baton: you used LOX-LH2 with active cryocooling system, even for your landers. For safety, in the first mission you choosed to bring all the ascent propellant and utilize ISPP only for optional extended explorations, hopping in other sites. It makes sense.
If I have correctly understood, your ISPP devicie will melt water ice and produce propellant via electrolysis: will it produce both LOX and LH2 or only LOX, bringing the LH2 from Earth?
I have read this work on a battlestar galactica 360 ton NASA NTR spaceship. To keep cool the huge amount of LH2 for almost 2 year, it proposes a Bryton cycle zero boil-off active cooling unit: it weight only 920 kg and needs almost 9 KW.
http://ntrs.nasa.gov/archive/nasa/casi. … 004085.pdf
If it's really possible to build such device, that can be easly feeded by solar panel on a chemical rocket propelled spaceship, LOX-LH2 may become the best propellant choiche for a manned Mars mission.
I like the Bigelow inflatables. I like seeing how the pressure shell is unobstructed by mounted equipment. This enables a fast patch if punctured, rather than evacuation/depressurization as with Mir. The advantage of the inflatable isn't weight, it's shroud diameter for launch. If only heat shields could really deflate and stow like that.
How much larger than laucher can be the payload diameter?
I've found this interesting article on extraction of atmospheric water ( http://www.lpi.usra.edu/publications/re … ington.pdf ).
If this technology will work, a LOX-Acetylene/CO rocket may be a very good option.
I don't think that their chances of success are very high, and the fact that you had to pay money to apply to work for them makes it seem rather scam-like. I'm not suggesting that it is a scam, I think they legitimately do hope to make it work, but I doubt that it will come to fruition.
How much money an aspirant colonist has to pay?
Every module is small enough to launch with commercial rockets we have, except the landers, which have to be built-up in LEO from smaller components. They're just too fat to ride a Falcon-Heavy, although light enough.
GW
On SpaceX's site is written they can also perform launch with custom payload fairings. It's just more expensive, but I think they can find a solution to launch your lander.
An alternative may be to adapt your design to Falcon H: a 5 meters diameter wathever you want long slender body biconic lander, with the rockets nozzle opened in the thermal protected belly and perpendicular to the long axis. This lander may have a docking port in the middle of her back to connect the propellant modules chain, forming a reverse "T".
Assuming nothing goes wrong, the only piece that reenters is the small return capsule. Having one with you enables an emergency free return if the engines both fail before arrival home. But there are two engines.
The propellant modules that come home arrive in LEO essentially empty. To be reused, they would need to be refueled on-orbit from some sort of tanker.
An alternative may be some sort of thermal protected belly modules, that reenter slender body, parachute land, be resupplied and send again to LEO. There is a mass penality for thermal protection, but some propellant may be saved performing an aerocapture and/or an aerobraking at the Earth arrival.
The habitat would need to be restocked with supplies from some sort of freighter.
In the first times technicians may live in the space-train habitat while working on maintenance. Following, we can imagine a little base in equatorial orbit, with a BA330 or similar habitat for the technicians, some tanks for propellant resupply, a docking hub and a little pressurized hangar for manutencion of modules one-by-one.
Depending upon the nature of the engine design, they might not need refurbishment before re-use. At least, that's the kind of design I would recommend.
Something like a very simple pressure feed engine?
Point is, any ship capable of taking men to and from Mars orbit, can take men to near-Earth asteroids (asteroid defense missions), or to orbits about Venus and Mercury.
Is your tank module cooling system able to keep liquid hydrogen even in Mercury orbit?
Or it can return to Mars orbit. Why not build it just once to accomplish all those things as the time becomes right for each of them? A different lander would be needed at Mercury,
For Mercury we need a lander able to came back to orbit after performing an all propulsive descend. Will it be a two stage lander or is it possible to do it in one stage?
but Venus and the asteroids need no landers at all. You will need more propellant modules, but so what?
GW
For Venus we need some sort of unmanned lander with a rover piloted by orbiting astronauts. Is it possible to send your Space-train in Jovian Satellites?
The manned vehicle in my chemical powered design was around 600 tons outbound, and a bit over 300 tons inbound to a recovery in LEO, not a free return. It was well under 200 m long, and spun at less than 4 rpm for 1 gee in the lowest deck, about 0.5 gee in the very upper (storage) deck.
Crew of 6, 3 reusable landers, 6 landings plus a Phobos visit, were the features in what amounts to a "cadillac" mission without actually going overboard into the "battlestar galactica" problem. That stuff is posted as "Mars Mission 2013" over at http://exrocketman.blogspot.com.
Sure, there are some not-absolutely-rigid dynamics issues to be resolved with a baton, but nothing anywhere as severe as a completely-nonrigid cable-connected design approach. Simple thrusters can spin it up and down. You put the hab spaces at one end, the engine cluster at the other, and a combined parallel-series stack of docked propellant modules in between.
Every module is small enough to launch with commercial rockets we have, except the landers, which have to be built-up in LEO from smaller components. They're just too fat to ride a Falcon-Heavy, although light enough.
GW
Your propellant modules, if I have understud, are not projected to reentry when the ship returns to Earth. So to be reused, every module may have some sort of docking plug to be refueled by some sort of shuttle tanker. It is correct?
If instead you want to use LOX-LH2, your site has to have lots of easy water, or your ISPP cannot work. But solar-powered electrolysis will generate hydrogen and oxygen faster, I think, as long as you can liquify them. Rapid liquifaction is the "long pole" in that tent. In part, because you must store immense volumes of uncompressed gases before running them through the liquifaction plants. "Plants" plural because the equipment to liquify hydrogen gas is quite different from the equipment to liquify oxygen.
GW
LOX-LH2 looks particulary actractive for the higher specific impulse(I've seen your modular spaceship uses this kind of propellant, even for the landers).
I've seen NASA has performed a lot of study on Brayton clicle active refrigeration devicies for LH2 (350 ton NTR spaceship Copernicus used only a 920 Kg 9 KW Brayton cooler for her enormous amount of LH2). With this kind of hardware, it may be possible to store LH2 on Mars surface for all the 500 days of the mission?
If so, land on a site like Ice Lake and use LOX-LH2 may be the best choiche for ISPP, even if we limit the in situ production to only liquind oxygen, that is almost 4/5 of the total propellant mass, and bring hydrogen from Earth.
Nope, planting a colony is premature. We need to finish the exploration (started by robot probes), and start the adaptation process (which needs that surface base/experiment station).
GW
Probably it will take 50-100 yr., starting from the landing of the first mission. For the beginning, I imagine a little base with modula habitat and a rotating crew, living of food and water imported from Earth, but making experiments on growing crops in an enflatable geenhouse and starting using local matherial, like trying to make glass melting sand, and to make briks mixing water and regolth.
Do you think ISPP may work for the first mission, or it will better to realy on an orbiting ERV and land only the habitat and a little ascender with the propellant bringed from Earth?