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Lander missions to Europa possible for costs at the few hundred million dollars range, comparable to the costs for the Mars Pathfinder lander:
Low cost Europa lander missions.
http://exoscientist.blogspot.com/2015/0 … sions.html
Bob Clark
Thanks for that. Let us know how it works out.
Bob Clark
I really, really dislike the inability to hover for the Falcon 9R. With the
method used now, it has to make its engine firing be precisely timed so that
it reaches zero velocity with respect to the landing spot by the time it
lands. This method does not allow fine alterations in case of changes in
conditions by the time it reaches the landing point. These could be due to
unexpected changes in winds, but in the case of a barge landing it becomes
especially concerning with the rolling, pitching surface of a ship. From the
description of this failed landing attempt, the first stage reached the
barge but landed too roughly. A hovering capability would allow you to vary
how gently you wanted the landing to be even under changing conditions.
The reason why the F9R can't hover is that even when throttled down as far
as it can go, a single Merlin 1D still produces more thrust than the weight
of the first stage when the stage is close to empty upon landing. However,
there are some relatively low cost methods to give the F9R hovering
capability:
They could replace the single central Merlin 1D with the Merlin 1A, which
has lower thrust. They could use variable sized nozzles to alter the thrust.
They could use inserts into the thrust plume that diverts the thrust
horizontally. They could use the exhaust that comes only from the preburner,
i.e., from the turbine exhaust nozzle visible to the left of the engine
here:
Others?
Bob Clark
c.f.,
Merlin 1A engine for a hovering Falcon 9 v1.1 first stage.
http://exoscientist.blogspot.com/2014/0 … con-9.html
I agree, landing the big, heavy Earth reentry capsule on the moon as part of a lander design is a stupid idea, based on what we learned from Apollo. That land-the-whole-ship idea was where NASA was with the Apollo design in 1963. It took two Saturn-5 launches per moon mission, plus cryogenic refueling from one 3rd stage to the other in Earth orbit, to make such a cluster landing possible back then.
The breakthrough idea came from outside NASA, and was resisted very strongly due to "not invented here" attitudes already in place at NASA that early. That idea was "lunar orbit rendezvous", which translates to "take only what you need to the surface, leave the rest in orbit about the moon". That got them down to one Saturn-5 per mission. By 1965 they had broken down and accepted lunar orbit rendezvous as the only way forward.
Strangely enough, using that plus LEO rendezvous and docking assembly could have gotten a moon mission down to 3 or 4 Saturn-1 launches, but they didn't need to do that , they had the Saturn-5 available.
Remember the Early Lunar Access (ELA) proposal uses all lightweight hydrolox propulsion for the in-space stages. This makes it much lighter than the Apollo approach, which used dense hypergolic propellants in space. Total mass required to LEO was ca. 50 metric tons for ELA compared to the 130 mT of Apollo.
The capsule for ELA was also only half-size of the Apollo command module. And at 3 mT dry mass it was only 1 mT heavier than the dry mass of the Apollo lunar module anyway, without needing the extra 6 mT of the command module.
Bob Clark
...
Let's see. Mass numbers in Table 1 from the article doesn't add up. If you add up the components for LEV, it adds up to 20,040 kg, but the table lists total mass of 20,140 kg. And total for the Capsule is 3,688 kg, LEV is 20140 kg, and payload adapter is 6,000 kg, but total Shuttle payload is 25,723 kg. I don't even know how they calculated that total Shuttle payload. But let's take the 20,040 kg figure for the LEV, and add the total capsule weight, and assume Isp for RS-44 engines = 481 s. A delta-V calculator says this gives 5634.09 m/s. Tried to find delta-V to directly land on the Moon; Google returned a result from another forum posted by RGClark. He linked a Wikipedia article here. That has a table, LEO-Ken to Moon is 5.93 km/s. "LEO-Ken" means Low Earth Orbit with an inclination equal to the Kennedy Space Center. But the article talks about an upgraded Centaur G stage for TLI. Ok. The Wikipedia table lists return from the Moon to LEO with aerobraking as 2.74 km/s. From lunar surface to Earth-Moon Lagrangian point 5 is 2.58 km/s, which is the gravitational mid-point, so presumably direct entry would involve falling to Earth. Hmm. These numbers aren't clear.
About those mass numbers, the payload adapter mass is a typo. It should be 2,000 kg. See for instance this Astronautix page:
Early Lunar Access.
http://www.astronautix.com/craft/earccess.htm
But then the Astronautix page has its own typo. The total fueled crew capsule mass is listed there as 6,688 kg but should be 3,688 kg.
Bob Clark
For a different reason, I had to rough out essentially the same plane circa 1985. Mine was turbojet/ramjet parallel-burn propulsion, a similar layout, and designed for M5 at 100-150 kft. I did it from all open sources.
It was so close "to reality" the FBI confiscated all my design notes, but not my sources or my slide rule, because I did not possess the clearances "to know about such a craft". I have often wondered if such a thing ever got built.
It appears in hindsight apparently not. Although it could have been. The delta-wing pulse detonation experimental craft (seen above Groom Lake) of about 1995 apparently led nowhere.
GW
December 25, 2014
NASA seed funds SR 72 hypersonic drones as other countries race for hypersonic missiles.
http://nextbigfuture.com/2014/12/nasa-s … rones.html
I like that it is using both turbojets and ramjets. But my preferred system would have the turbo/ram jets integrated into one by having a single combustion chamber as with the SR-71's engine.
You could then potentially produce a SSTO by having a rocket engine also use the same combustion chamber.
Bob Clark
The Early Lunar Access plan would follow this model in not needing a hugely expensive super heavy lift launcher, but use smaller launchers:
Lunar Base Studies in the 1990s
1993: Early Lunar Access (ELA)
by Marcus Lindroos
http://www.nss.org/settlement/moon/ELA.html
As this stems from the early 90's it uses discontinued launchers such as the shuttle and Titan IV. But currently existing launchers such as the Delta IV Heavy, the Proton, Ariane 5 would work, as well as the upcoming Falcon Heavy. These would not need to be man-rated. Any manned launcher available could be used to send the astronauts to the ISS. And they would board the lunar elements in space which were sent up to rendezvous and be combined at the ISS.
This would cost a fraction of the Apollo or Constellation plans since all the launchers and the Earth departure stage are already existing, or will be fully paid for by the developer such as the Falcon Heavy, and the only extra element that would need to be developed is the lunar lander stage.
And according to Dave Masten a reusable lunar lander could be developed for a few 10's of millions of dollars, not the $10 billion estimated for the Altair:
The future of NASA’s commercial partnerships
by Jeff Foust
Monday, May 19, 2014
http://www.thespacereview.com/article/2515/1
Bob Clark
New document for ADEPT. This is a slide presentation in .PDF format. File with NASA's technical report server on November 17 of this year.
Deployment Testing of the ADEPT Ground Test Article
Caution: they optimized it for Venus. I'm saying this technology could be used for Earth or Mars, but may have to be modified. After all, this looks exactly like the deployable heat shield for the habitat in Mars Direct. Mars Direct was developed in 1989 & 1990, but this is actual physical development. Yet another required technology has been completed; can we go now?
...
The 25% reduction in "flight mass" might be for Mars landing requirements. I don't think it's relating to Earth landing since an Apollo ablative heat shield was only 15% additional mass so if you reduced the "flight mass" by 25% you would be reducing the actual capsule mass.
This is similar to the "parashield" concept investigated by Prof. David Akin at the Univ. of Maryland's aerospace dept.:
Phoenix: A Low-Cost Commercial Approach to the Crew Exploration Vehicle.
Abstract: Since the announcement of President Bush’s Vision for Space Exploration (VSE) in early 2004, the architecture of Project Constellation has been selected. The system will be centered around the Crew Exploration Vehicle (CEV), which has been dubbed by NASA administrator Michael Griffin as “Apollo on steroids”. The CEV is to be launched on a new launch vehicle, derived from existing shuttle technology. The development of this new
spacecraft and launch vehicle is a very costly proposition. An alternate approach is proposed in this study. The Phoenix is a smaller spacecraft designed specifically to be launched on the Falcon 5 vehicle under development by SpaceX. Because the SpaceX vehicle will cost only a fraction of today’s launch costs, the Phoenix is estimated to cost less than half of the price of the CEV. This reusable three person capsule utilizes an innovative re-entry concept, which allows for a cylindrical spacecraft with greater interior volume. This extremely cost-effective spacecraft is an attractive option for fulfilling VSE requirements.
http://nia-cms.nianet.org/RASCAL/2010-W … SC-AL-2006.
From the report:
From the specifications listed it looks like the parashield would weigh about 12% of the dry capsule mass, i.e., without propellant.
Bob Clark
Well, NASA has been working on a deployable fabric heat shield. Let them do it. I thought of using Nextel 440 because that's the fabric of DurAFRSI, an advanced thermal blanket developed by Ames Research Centre. But NASA is working on a carbon fibre parasol. Current focus is for Venus. If it works, then why not use it for aerocapture at Earth. That means return from either the Moon or Mars. And my intention is reusable.
Adaptive Deployable Entry and Placement Technology (ADEPT): Progress in Payload Separation Risk Mitigation for a Deployable Venus Heat Shield
Appears to be published in 2013, in a journal of American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics. This paper is hosted by the NASA technical report server.
Thanks for that link, but I wasn't able to find the weight of this deployable heat shield there. For this to be useful it will have to beat the ablative Apollo style heat shields. These were about 15% of the landed mass. Actually the deployables would have to beat the SpaceX PICA-X heat shields estimated at half the weight of the Apollo heat shields which would put them at about 8% of the landed mass.
Bob Clark
With the recent reports of liquid water being possible on Mars as brines, I like the Noctis Labyrinthus region because of the frequent low lying fogs:
Bob Clark
Is the Nextrel 312 the material used in your proposed lightweight heat shields GW?
Bob Clark
There had been concern expressed by some scientists that for its cost the Mars Science Laboratory rover had been a disappointment:
Flagship Mars Curiosity Rover Doing Too Little with Too Much, Senior Scientists Say.
By Dan Leone | Sep. 3, 2014
http://www.spacenews.com/article/civil- … uch-senior
Scientific Review Evaluates 7 Planetary Missions, Curiosity Rover Comes in Last Place.
http://www.astrowatch.net/2014/09/scien … etary.html
But two separate discoveries relating to life on Mars may have reversed that sentiment:
‘A Great Moment’: Rover Finds Methane, a Clue That Mars May Harbor Life
By KENNETH CHANG DEC. 16, 2014
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/12/17/scien … -mars.html
Curiosity Rover Finds Life's Building Blocks on Mars.
by Mike Wall, Space.com Senior Writer | December 17, 2014 07:00am ET
http://www.space.com/28033-mars-life-bu … rover.html
This second discovery relates to the finding of organic molecules in surface samples on Mars. The Viking missions of the 70's led to the wide spread conclusion of no life on Mars because the Viking landers were unable to identify organics in the samples collected, and because it was felt liquid water could not exist under Mars surface conditions.
Now, with the realization that liquid water can exist in small quantities in supercooled form under Mars conditions:
Martian salts must touch ice to make liquid water, study shows.
Jul 02, 2014
http://ns.umich.edu/new/multimedia/vide … tudy-shows
and with the finding that organics do exist on Mars, the question of current life on Mars needs to be revisited.
Bob Clark
That sounds good Tom, but unfortunately won't work. Saturn V could lift 118 metric tonnes to LEO. SLS Block II will lift 130t.
But the Apollo CSM had a launch mass of 28,800kg in lunar configuration (full propellant tanks), plus 4,200kg for the launch escape tower. The Lunar Module 15,200kg initial (Apollo 11), and 16,400kg final (Apollo 17).
The Orion capsule mass 8,913kg, ATV-based service module 12,337kg, the launch abort system approximately 16,000 pounds = 7,250kg. That total adds up to 28,500kg. The Altair lunar module mass is 45,864kg.
Oops! The lunar module needs a serious diet. Otherwise you're looking at orbital assembly.
Impaler's idea was not to use the Altair. A LEM sized lander could be made for far less than the $10 billion Altair especially if made by the commercial space approach.
Bob Clark
It is likely to get high power density as a rocket you would want to liquefy the fuel and oxidizer anyway, so you might want to find the temperature and pressure to liquify all of CO2, CO, O2, and N2. Then use a centrifuge to separate them.
For an air-breather you don't normally need to liquidfy the air but still it might be doable on the fly.
Also, for rocket or air-breather you want the fuel and oxidizer delivered at high pressure so maybe the cenrifuge and turbopumps or compressors can be done by the same device.
Bob Clark
The Martian atmosphere contains a small percentage of oxygen:
Atmosphere of Mars.
Chemical species Mole fraction[1]
Carbon dioxide 96.0%
Argon 1.9%
Nitrogen 1.9%
Oxygen 0.145%
Carbon monoxide 0.0557%
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atmosphere_of_MarsWhile this is a low percentage, it's a much higher percentage than that of CO2 in the Earth's atmosphere on which all plant life on Earth is dependent, and therefore on which all animal life is also dependent.
Because of the presence of free O2 in Mars atmosphere, conceivably you could have unlimited spacesuit time on Mars with the oxygen drawn from the surrounding atmosphere. However, the amount of O2 on Mars is so small you would need a fan to draw in more atmosphere. How much air flow would there have to be to get the required amount of breathable oxygen for a person?
Bob Clark
Going off topic significantly - Martian air appears to contain both a combustible gas (CO) and an oxidiser (O2). Looking at the phase diagram for CO2 reveals that the triple point is about -58C and 7bar pressure. This is close to Martian daytime temperatures and significantly above nightime temps. With this is mind, it should be possible to compress Martian air, remove liquid CO2 and then burn what's left in a gas turbine. The energy needed to compress the CO2 can mostly be recovered in the expander.
No need for nuclear reactors or solar panels, Mars appears to have its own 'fossil fuel' stored within its atmosphere.
Don't we also need to know the temperatures at which CO and O2 become liquified? They might be mixed in with the liquid CO2 rather than existing as separate gases, though probably as liquids we could still separate all of them by centrifuge.
Bob Clark
According to the wiki page they are headed to Proxima Centauri so they must have some sort of fission drive. Project NERVA developed a rocket engine using nuclear fission in the 60's so it's not so far out of what was technically feasible.
Bob Clark
The Martian atmosphere contains a small percentage of oxygen:
Atmosphere of Mars.
Chemical species Mole fraction[1]
Carbon dioxide 96.0%
Argon 1.9%
Nitrogen 1.9%
Oxygen 0.145%
Carbon monoxide 0.0557%
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atmosphere_of_MarsWhile this is a low percentage, it's a much higher percentage than that of CO2 in the Earth's atmosphere on which all plant life on Earth is dependent, and therefore on which all animal life is also dependent.
Because of the presence of free O2 in Mars atmosphere, conceivably you could have unlimited spacesuit time on Mars with the oxygen drawn from the surrounding atmosphere. However, the amount of O2 on Mars is so small you would need a fan to draw in more atmosphere. How much air flow would there have to be to get the required amount of breathable oxygen for a person?
Bob Clark
Going off topic significantly - Martian air appears to contain both a combustible gas (CO) and an oxidiser (O2). Looking at the phase diagram for CO2 reveals that the triple point is about -58C and 7bar pressure. This is close to Martian daytime temperatures and significantly above nightime temps. With this is mind, it should be possible to compress Martian air, remove liquid CO2 and then burn what's left in a gas turbine. The energy needed to compress the CO2 can mostly be recovered in the expander.
No need for nuclear reactors or solar panels, Mars appears to have its own 'fossil fuel' stored within its atmosphere.
Interesting idea. Anyone know the stoichiometric ratio between CO and O2? How much energy could you get out of the reaction?
For Earth's atmosphere the combustible elements of hydrogen and methane are in much smaller proportions than is CO on Mars so you couldn't get useful amounts of energy this way on Earth:
Bob Clark
GW Johnson wrote:I'm no medical person. But I do know from my days as a scuba diver that 1 atm partial pressure of oxygen induces convulsions in about half the people exposed to it, and 2 atm partial pressure O2 is lethal to all exposed to it. I'm simply guessing that it's a partial-pressure / osmosis thing across the membranes in the lung alveoli. These data are for sea level atmospheric pressure, and some very lethal experiences trying to breathe pure oxygen when underwater, plus some really bad experiences with compressed air hard hat divers between about 170 to 300 feet down. No one has ever lived for more than a few minutes on compressed air more than 300 feet down. Convulsions and death are fairly fast at those conditions.
...
GWWeird Crystal Can Absorb All The Oxygen In A Room -- And Then Release It Later.
Popular Science
This could potentially make fuel cells, space travel, and scuba diving a lot more efficient.
http://www.popsci.com/article/science/w … m9tRRgO.30
The Martian atmosphere contains a small percentage of oxygen:
Atmosphere of Mars.
Chemical species Mole fraction[1]
Carbon dioxide 96.0%
Argon 1.9%
Nitrogen 1.9%
Oxygen 0.145%
Carbon monoxide 0.0557%
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atmosphere_of_Mars
While this is a low percentage, it's a much higher percentage than that of CO2 in the Earth's atmosphere on which all plant life on Earth is dependent, and therefore on which all animal life is also dependent.
Because of the presence of free O2 in Mars atmosphere, conceivably you could have unlimited spacesuit time on Mars with the oxygen drawn from the surrounding atmosphere. However, the amount of O2 on Mars is so small you would need a fan to draw in more atmosphere. How much air flow would there have to be to get the required amount of breathable oxygen for a person?
Bob Clark
Two completely different applications. It would hardly be relevant to discuss its use making scuba dives that last forever in this thread.
Bob Clark
Hi Bob:
One of the ramjet missiles I worked on was a low drag wingless finned "dart" that accidentally went M6 at 20 kft, setting the record for airbreathing flight. The ramjet worked fine, and the bird was still slightly accelerating when it ran out of fuel. It's skin was beginning to melt, too, especially since it was supposed to cruise at only M4, with a terminal dive speed near M5.
This was a throttle runaway incident on a first test that was supposed to fly sedately at its takeover M2.5. Getting the M6 speed depends on the vehicle drag more than anything else. That speed record stood from 1980 until NASA broke it with their X-43 in 2004.
You do not need scramjet to fly between M4 and M6. You need it to fly M7+. But, scramjet min takeover is M4! Ramjet can be in the M1.5 to 2.5 range.
...
GW
Weird Crystal Can Absorb All The Oxygen In A Room -- And Then Release It Later.
Popular Science
This could potentially make fuel cells, space travel, and scuba diving a lot more efficient.
http://www.popsci.com/article/science/w … e-it-later
Could this be used for air breathing propulsion?
Bob Clark
I'm no medical person. But I do know from my days as a scuba diver that 1 atm partial pressure of oxygen induces convulsions in about half the people exposed to it, and 2 atm partial pressure O2 is lethal to all exposed to it. I'm simply guessing that it's a partial-pressure / osmosis thing across the membranes in the lung alveoli. These data are for sea level atmospheric pressure, and some very lethal experiences trying to breathe pure oxygen when underwater, plus some really bad experiences with compressed air hard hat divers between about 170 to 300 feet down. No one has ever lived for more than a few minutes on compressed air more than 300 feet down. Convulsions and death are fairly fast at those conditions.
...
GW
Weird Crystal Can Absorb All The Oxygen In A Room -- And Then Release It Later.
Popular Science
This could potentially make fuel cells, space travel, and scuba diving a lot more efficient.
http://www.popsci.com/article/science/w … m9tRRgO.30
Bob Clark
With the higher cited thrust of the Raptor engine, SpaceX's proposed super
heavy lift launcher could lift 100+ metric tons to orbit as a SSTO.
As a two-stage vehicle it could manage 200 mT. And using three cores, it
could do over 500 mT.
A SpaceX Heavy Lift Methane Rocket, Page 2.
http://exoscientist.blogspot.com/2014/0 … -page.html
Bob Clark
Nice article that argues we should use the commercial space approach to
accomplish beyond low Earth orbit (BEO) spaceflight:
Apollo program a flameout at 45: Column
Rand Simberg 12:56 p.m. EDT July 18, 2014
http://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2 … /12734813/
Remarkably there could be profitable opportunities in BEO spaceflight that
would make it worthwhile for space companies to invest their own funds in
developing BEO spacecraft:
The Commercial Space Approach to Beyond Low Earth Orbit Spaceflight.
http://exoscientist.blogspot.com/2014/0 … -moon.html
Bob Clark
The National Research Council just released a report on how to get to Mars. It considered that NASA’s plan of getting to Mars via the asteroid return mission as a stepping-stone might work. However, actually the NRC considers it a bad idea, with plans going to the Moon first being preferred:
NASA could not deliver humans to Mars, says new strategy report.
Published time: June 05, 2014 02:39
Landing humans on Mars is unattainable for NASA if the space agency’s current strategy and level of funding are not modified in the near future, according to a new congressionally-mandated report.
…
Of the three pathways to Mars that NRC suggested, two were associated with a return to the moon. A lunar landing and habitat would hone technologies that could later be employed on a Mars mission, the report said.
The Obama administration has publicly expressed distaste for continued, expensive moon landings. In outlining US space policy in 2010, President Barack Obama said, “I just have to say pretty bluntly here: We’ve been there before.”
The third option outlined by the report includes the Asteroid Redirect Mission, a plan still in the study phase but currently endorsed by the Obama administration.
Such a mission would send robotic spacecraft to essentially grab and re-orbit an asteroid passing near Earth, allowing astronauts to take samples of the rock.
That mission, though, is not preferred by authors of the report. Safety issues and development of “dead end” technologies render the asteroid mission inferior if NASA wants to reach Mars, it said.
The asteroid option “cannot provide the flight frequency required to maintain competence and safety,” the report posits.
http://rt.com/usa/163736-mars-nasa-funding-strategy/
In point of fact the current NASA idea of dismissing any return to the Moon is making it that much harder for us to understand how to get to Mars. The only reason for the perception we can’t return to Moon is the idea developing a manned lunar lander would be too expensive. But you need a lander anyway to land on Mars, and by developing a lunar lander you can also use that as a Mars lander. And if you break your mindset out of the box that the lunar lander has to look like the $10 billion Altair lunar lander, you grasp the lander can actually be developed at over a hundred times cheaper than that. Both the Masten XEUS lander and the NASA Morpheus lander can be made into manned landers at only a few 10's of millions of dollars in development cost.
So this self-imposed limitation on their own thinking is making it that we can’t get to Mars either.
Bob Clark
The Project Morpheus lunar lander has succeeded better than NASA expected - or intended. It was supposed to be only for landing small, robotic probes on the Moon. However, by scaling it up three times or by connecting three original-sized ones together, it can serve as the descent stage of a manned lander, with a single copy of the original one serving as the ascent stage. This would be for a development cost of a few 10's of millions of dollars, orders of magnitude cheaper than the $10 billion Altair lunar lander.
The Morpheus lunar lander as manned lander for the Moon.
http://exoscientist.blogspot.com/2014/0 … anned.html
Bob Clark