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#476 Re: Human missions » Early retirement for orbiter? » 2005-07-13 15:53:56

http://www.spaceref.com/news/viewnews.h … 8]Possible proposal to retire Discovery in 2007 and Atlantis in 2009 and begin conversion of Pad39A to SDV in 2007.

ISS is either curtailed or finished with other launchers.

Haven't I have heard that idea somewhere else, before?

= = =

Sorry for the link error - - should be fixed now.

Edited By BWhite on 1121291741

#477 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri VII - The Seventh Seal? » 2005-07-13 13:23:09

What we need is good police psychological work, also called profiling

*And that'll bring up charges of "racism."

Back to square one on that issue. 

--Cindy

No, we need to employ nuance.  :;):

The really hard part will be to have the confidence to stay the course when Karl Rove types bash Democrats for wanting to use "therapy" and to mock any strategy that is deemed insufficiently macho.



Edited By BWhite on 1121282751

#478 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri VII - The Seventh Seal? » 2005-07-13 13:19:41

It seems you think that since ‘these people’ are used to being ruled forcefully, we need to mimic such roles. This of course undermines the very reason we went there in the first place, remember? We went in precisely because ‘these people; were being ruled forcefully.

Now you're being just as unrealistic as the neo-con post-war planners. There is a timeframe for these things to occur. For all the citing of Germany and Japan done from the Right they miss a crucial point. In both cases, while we did eventually build a free democratic nation, when we first went in we told people what to do with guns in our hands. Only after order was imposed did we start with all the pie-in-the-sky democracy stuff.

In Iraq we may get lucky and it'll work. But we still would have been better served not skipping that impose order phase.

I agree with Cobra on this point.

I have read that Saddam was astonished we actually invaded because he knew better than anyone how hard it was to keep all the tribes in line. Sunni / Kurd / Shia just begins to descibe the complex web of tribal relations.

Some say that only Saddam-like tactics could keep Iraq together as a single nation - - a nation created out of thin air by some Brits drawing lines on a map.

Fools rush in where angels fear to tread.

That said, whacking Saddam and giving the keys to Sistani and then leaving might have worked. But no, Bush wanted empire.

= = =

Weak Roman is very bad yet we Americans are not up to being strong Roman - - therefore we should not even attempt empire building in the Roman style.



Edited By BWhite on 1121282489

#479 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri VII - The Seventh Seal? » 2005-07-13 13:00:27

Be tough, randomly, may allow chest thumping US-ians to feel proud but it certainly doesn't help our cause.

*Who said anything about pride in this?

Felt glove and steel gauntlet. Each has its place.

Seems a balanced view to me.

"Lay back and enjoy it" randomly isn't helpful.

--Cindy

This is a false presentation of an either / or choice.

What we need is good police psychological work, also called profiling, and aggressive programs to infiltrate potential cults.

Remember that mixed up white kid from Marin County who joined al Qaeda? Being tough is worthless in cases like that. SO is being nice.

We need more choices than Cobra offers.



Edited By BWhite on 1121281278

#480 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri VII - The Seventh Seal? » 2005-07-13 12:39:11

Be tough, but against who?

If the mother of one of the British bombers had no idea her son was about to commit suicide (she called in a missing person report) how can we believe the military and the police will possibly know who to be tough against?

Be tough, randomly, may allow chest thumping US-ians to feel proud but it certainly doesn't help our cause.

= = =

http://today.reuters.co.uk/news/newsArt … AMO.xml]In other news, this stuff just makes our nation look ridiculous. Frat house antics are simply worthless as a practical tool for winning the war on terror.

#481 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri VII - The Seventh Seal? » 2005-07-13 10:26:15

Reading about today's bombing of children being given candy I was instantly reminded of Apocolypse Now and this quote:

Kurtz: I've seen horrors... horrors that you've seen. But you have no right to call me a murderer. You have a right to kill me. You have a right to do that... but you have no right to judge me. It's impossible for words to describe what is necessary to those who do not know what horror means. Horror. Horror has a face... and you must make a friend of horror. Horror and moral terror are your friends. If they are not then they are enemies to be feared. They are truly enemies. I remember when I was with Special Forces. Seems a thousand centuries ago. We went into a camp to inoculate the children. We left the camp after we had inoculated the children for Polio, and this old man came running after us and he was crying. He couldn't see. We went back there and they had come and hacked off every inoculated arm. There they were in a pile. A pile of little arms. And I remember... I... I... I cried. I wept like some grandmother. I wanted to tear my teeth out. I didn't know what I wanted to do. And I want to remember it. I never want to forget it. I never want to forget. And then I realized... like I was shot... like I was shot with a diamond... a diamond bullet right through my forehead. And I thought: My God... the genius of that. The genius. The will to do that. Perfect, genuine, complete, crystalline, pure. And then I realized they were stronger than we. Because they could stand that these were not monsters. These were men... trained cadres. These men who fought with their hearts, who had families, who had children, who were filled with love... but they had the strength... the strength... to do that. If I had ten divisions of those men our troubles here would be over very quickly. You have to have men who are moral... and at the same time who are able to utilize their primordial instincts to kill without feeling... without passion... without judgment... without judgment. Because it's judgment that defeats us.

The point of the move, of course, is that Kurtz becomes a monster himself.

#482 Re: Not So Free Chat » US Dominance of Space - the when, where, how and why » 2005-07-12 17:05:46

Some cold water from http://www.thespacereview.com/article/379/1]Dwayne Day:

The rhetorical military space program:

This has consisted of speeches and papers by a few Air Force generals advocating the development of various pie-in-the-sky plans, often involving space weaponry. The problem is that most of the programs in rhetorical military space do not abide by the laws of physics, few of them abide by the laws of bureaucratic and international affairs, and none of them abide by the laws of fiscal reality.

Generals have been advocating these kinds of projects since the beginning of the space age, usually from Air Force space outposts in places like Omaha or Cheyenne Mountain or Colorado Springs. But the proposals never survive very long when they reach Washington, DC. A former civilian Air Force Chief Scientist—whose job placed him on the senior uniformed Air Staff at the Pentagon—once remarked that one of his jobs consisted of serving as a reality check for goofy proposals from Air Force Space Command, like using lasers to blow up tanks.



Edited By BWhite on 1121209596

#483 Re: Not So Free Chat » US Dominance of Space - the when, where, how and why » 2005-07-12 17:01:38

Unless a rogue billionaire gets there first and builds an EML-1 to Luna space elevator.

For the "benefit of all humanity" of course.

Yankee Trader or Yankee Traitor?

#484 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri VII - The Seventh Seal? » 2005-07-12 11:06:57

Yeah, next he is going to admit he made all these mistakes, and then renounce God and the Fundamentalist Christian Right.  tongue

My ESP messages to nominate Mike Griffin for NASA Administrator worked well enough.

SO you admit it at long last. You and president Bush are on the same wavelength. It explains so much. It explains why you cant stand his policies they are so similar to your own thoughts.

Nah. The important messages alwasy bounce back with a BUSY signal.  :;):

#485 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri VII - The Seventh Seal? » 2005-07-12 09:43:13

It appears President BUsh also took my advice

Yeah, next he is going to admit he made all these mistakes, and then renounce God and the Fundamentalist Christian Right.  tongue

My ESP messages to nominate Mike Griffin for NASA Administrator worked well enough.

#486 Re: Not So Free Chat » I'll take malaprops for *5* Bob - Apropos of Nothing continues. . . » 2005-07-12 09:28:00

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jh … .html]This offends my libertarian sensibilities, absent evidence that the book buyers knew in advance the book shouldn't have been for sale.

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0, … html]Times Online version of the story.



Edited By BWhite on 1121182401

#487 Re: Civilization and Culture » An Ethics Exam for Mars Citizenship - If you were rejected, what would you do? » 2005-07-12 09:25:53

"Fooling" the MMPI will likely result in a "your horse is pregnant" variety of result - - besides, related to what clark writes, why bother?

#488 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri VII - The Seventh Seal? » 2005-07-12 09:21:28

Laura Bush likes http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/co … tml]Sandra Day O'Connor, maybe for Chief Justice?

Also expressing views today was First Lady Laura Bush, who said she hoped her husband would pick a woman. "I would really like him to name another woman," she said on NBC's "Today" show, in an interview from Cape Town, South Africa, where she is traveling. "I admire and respect Sandra Day O'Connor, but I know that my husband will pick somebody who has a lot of integrity and strength."

Either that or the First Lady just slapped O'Connor across the face - - I "admire and respect" O'Connor but my husband prefers people of "integrity and strength"

tongue

It appears President BUsh also took my advice about meeting with the Senators:

Key GOP and Democratic members of the Senate met this morning with President Bush for a first discussion of the upcoming nomination of a new Supreme Court justice, with Minority Leader Sen. Harry Reid (D-Nev.) declaring afterward that he was confident that a "consensus" candidate satisfactory to both parties would emerge from the process.

#492 Re: Not So Free Chat » Race and Culture - A Changing Europe - Opening a mighty can of worms... » 2005-07-09 17:07:41

*Now, now Treb...you really don't think it'd be #1?   :;):

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20050709/ap_ … ly_4]Italy arrests 142 in anti-terror sweep

Of those arrested, 84 were immigrants and authorities issued 52 expulsion orders

This prompted by the London bombings.

--Cindy

Italy is also withdrawing its soldiers from Iraq come September, 2005. France, who never sent soldiers to Iraq has recently given the US excellent cooperation with some police work to nab top terror suspects.

So, Cindy can we now agree that those who oppose the Iraq war can simultanesously be very anti-terror?

Yes, Stormrage, I'm aware that the Saudis keep the foreigners away, and don't let them in Mecca. That's why I said "Pretend". Saudi Arabia is NOT open and free like a western country; I merely wanted you to imagine it were, and think about what the Saudi reaction would be to a nonassimilating horde of foreigners living there.

I believe the true locus of Islamic terror (the nest of the queen & the primary funding source) will be found in Saudi Arabia. Until we eliminate the radical Sunni clerics who teach freely in Saudi Arabia, the "War on Terror" shall continue.

#493 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri VII - The Seventh Seal? » 2005-07-09 10:23:23

http://www.andrewsullivan.com/index.php … 537]Andrew Sullivan

My comment,

We must not allow ourselves to become evil and justify it by citing the necessity of fighting evil. Or even close our eyes to the possibility.

#494 Re: Human missions » Shuttle Derived II - last thread crashed » 2005-07-08 14:56:14

What I want and advocate is for humanity to get off this rock, the long and the short of it, and learn to live elsewhere for a variety of reasons... material wealth from scarce atoms available in space, a frontier to restimulate humanity like Bob says, insurance in the event of planetary catastrophy, whatever... But to see that it is done, then we need to be serious about the means required and available to do it, so I like to critique ideas that I believe stray practicality too far, and when insight strikes to inject my own plans & thoughts about practical human space travel. The Moon just so happens to be the best site for material wealth, and Mars the best site for a colony, using exsisting or predicted near-term technologies.

I concur, pretty much 100%

#495 Re: Not So Free Chat » Race and Culture - A Changing Europe - Opening a mighty can of worms... » 2005-07-08 13:30:29

Numerous examples have been mentioned previously in the thread if I recall correctly, but they generally center around the documented fact that the Muslim birthrate in Europe is roughly three times higher than the native birthrate. That kind of volume can't be effectively assimilated and therefore the native culture gets swamped. As that plays out, the borders become as artificial and meaningless as those in the MidEast. Lines on a map, nothing more.

If religion is a greater component in one's identity than nationality, lines on a map become meaningless.

#496 Re: Not So Free Chat » Race and Culture - A Changing Europe - Opening a mighty can of worms... » 2005-07-08 13:14:29

As an aside, on my recent trip to South Dakota numerous gift shops had t-shirts with drawings of Native Americans some holding bows/arrows and others rifles with the caption:

Department of Homeland Security - - Established 1492

#497 Re: Human missions » China The Dominant Superpower In 20 Years..... - What does this mean for US? » 2005-07-08 09:48:31

I think it's safe to say that if the United States and China were to enter into a serious state of active conflict with one another, then neither country would be much to speak of by the end of it.  The foolishness of such an endeavor would be tantamount to national suicide for any nation involved in such a conflict.

I certainly hope it never happens but as I see it the ball is in China's hands.  If they ever decide to invade Taiwan the US will have to assist them militarily. 

As far as a nuclear conflict goes I would agree with your post, unless there are some things (fully operable anti-missile defense system?) that I don't know about. 

As far as a conventional conflict goes, I think we can certainly hold our own.  People like to quote that China has a million man army.  That's great but how are they going to get them across the water to Taiwan or the US for that matter?

No country can project power anywhere near the capability of the U.S.  Six aircraft carrier battle groups has a way of ruining any invasion plus nightly B-1 and B-2 attacks from Guam and Japan.  Submarines would blockade China and cut off all seaborne supplies.  Any ship heading to Taiwan would be an easy target for our subs and become a playpen for the fish.  The electricity would go out and stay out, backup generators would suffice for a while.  All bridges would be dropped, railways, and major roads destroyed.  China would become a stone age country in two weeks.

Using Galileo and satellite recon, China could probably place H-bombs near enough to our carriers to destroy or at least disable them.

Mission kill 2 or 3 carriers and nuke Diego Garcia with NO American civilian casualties and then announce on CNN that any counter-strike on China's mainland will be responded to by nuking LA, San Franciso and Honolulu.

Guam? Matbe some modest civilian casualties.

Accept the flattening of Hainan Island as part of the attrition of war, saying that China will NOT nuke US civilians unless the US nukes Chinese civilians first. 

= = =

We are indeed the world's most powerful military power (by far) but there is some brittleness there as well.

#498 Re: Human missions » China The Dominant Superpower In 20 Years..... - What does this mean for US? » 2005-07-08 09:33:55

China has no need to fight the US militarily. Why fight a battle they clearly cannot win?

If they buy enough companies like Unocal our weapons end up rusting away and they never fire a shot. Already Nike and other conusmer goods companies direct their lobbyists to promote pro-Chinese policies on Capitol Hill.

If the Chinese wish to deploy a "nuclear" option, dumping dollars would be far more effective and less open to retaliation.

= = =

The Maginot Line actually was a tremendously effective military weapon. The French error was to rely upon it for =ALL= their security needs and to ignore the new fangled work around invented by the panzer officers.

I fear we will rely "too much" upon our superb military and the Chinese will find their own work around in the economic arena. 

= = =

If a hot war goes nuclear, China's best move would be to ignore US civilian populations and hit Guam, Diego Garcia and our carrier battle groups with H-bombs.

Let the US be the first to nuke civilian populations.

#500 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Revolution - Which side are you on? » 2005-07-07 09:48:58

Now, to apply this to Mars, I see a problem. We're looking at colonizing a planet. For various reasons - cost, complexity, travel time - it will be a long time before mass immigration to Mars will be possible. However, the hypothetical Martian colony will basically be starting off with a postindustrial economy, with its implied almost-equilibrium birthrate. How does this thing grow?

Send Mormons.

Mostly white Anglos, very Republican and very pro-natalist. And they have a tradition of making deserts bloom after a long and dangerous trek.

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