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I think it will happen far sooner than that. For better or for worse, we might currently have some moral wrangling with this 'new' idea of tweaking our genes, but we'll soon get comfortable with fundamental and sweeping genetic intervention over just a few short generations, and by that time well have space elevators and colonies on mars and vast (hopefully beneficial) socioeconomic changes here on earth from its effects.
People living in space and on mars and asteroids willl have different appreciations towards the challenges of living and evolving, and ultimately toward what it means to be 'human', and will manipulate the genes of themselves and their offspring towards the "optimal", for whatever that might mean in its particular niche. For instance, one of the first major pressures will be low gravity living, a baby born into a low gravity life will develop having vastly different influences on the physio/psycho/cellular systems, and even leaving our genes alone, our natural inborn gene expression will probably progress slightly differently due to the different challenges posed during the devopment stages from fetus to adulthood, this alone probably wont do more than maybe alter bone structur, muscle tone, circulatory balances etc, but to solve the fundamental physiological problems and dilemas of low gravity life, well probably artificially alter our gene expression to adapt and thrive, in small digestable and morally acceptable steps but trending onwards towards the 'optimal'.
As these things progress, its only a matter of time before we blur the species barrier, and soon after, the human species will be an amalgamation of basically 'human' ideas, nothing at first too far of a step from what came before, but far outstripping any change posible with natural selection processes. Im really thinking this will come about in just a couple hundred years, some of us might even live that long, or even indefinately if the curve of scientific progress keeps its steep arc.
Once weve made it that far, well not so much classify oureselves as 'human beings' but more as 'sentient beings' with a common ancestry, splaying out across the cosmos, and eventually after millions of years and then billions of years, if we find that we cannot ever travel backwards through time, we might find a way to go 'someplace else' where we can sit in the Restaurant at the End of the Universe and watch the Big Crunch or the Big Rip (or whatever its going to be) from a safe distance...
A mission-killer if you hit some rocks on the way down, but if you make it, the MERs are so slow compared to how much there is to see here, even a yearlong tour could only scratch the surface. Now that weve learned the vulnerabilities of the MER platform, fix the wheels, slap in an RTG and crank up the motor speed!
I've always wondered about those dark areas so prevalent in many images, such as near the lower part of this image. I'm guessing the dark areas are basalt sand, and of larger particle size than the lighter dusty finer stuff so it tends to stay in the same area. I think this situation is similar to Meridiani, but here the chaotic terrain allows more of it to erode and inundate most of the dark area, whereas at Meridiani, theres not much terrain left to erode so its more localized around the exposed sedimentary deposits. The older basalts are below the lighter and newer sedimentary layers so these dark areas reveal lower elevations imitating water pooling up.
But still, its odd that there are these little isolated oasises of dark sand when you can look to other areas that look similar terrain but for some reason dont have any dark sand. I would expect the lighter stuff to pretty much cover over eveything by now given the wind is the only real disperser of soils, or at least for the dark areas to be more evenly peppered in or mixed according to the terrain features, but there seems to be a large contrast of these areas that is quite puzzling. Are they just covered over? or does some wind process tend to actively separate them in certain areas?
Hi SpaceNut.
Your point is well taken. At the risk of boring you and others who have heard me spout this stuff before, Earth's climatic history is much more varied than most people give it credit for. Technically, we're in an ice-age, which is broadly defined as any period during which a permanent ice cap exists at either pole.
Ice-ages are relatively transient things, in geological time frames. For most of Earth's history, there have been no ice caps at the poles. So, to have one polar cap is relatively rare; to have ice caps at both poles at the same time is even rarer!
They've found the remains of dinosaurs in polar regions which today are frozen barren places, subjected to long dark polar nights. While these finds reflect a degree of physiological diversity and adaptability in dinosaurs we hadn't suspected up until quite recently, that and other evidence tells us Earth's poles were once far less forbidding than they are today.
hi shaun,
i had assumed antarctica was warm because it was at a different latitude due either to tectonics continent drift or physical (as opposed to magnetic) pole drift. thats amazing if it was that warm, im probably wrong on that as ive not studied it. paints a new picture of earth for me, as i hadnt considered the poles to ever have been ice-free, i guess that would change weather patters quite a bit without those cold-reservoirs up there, we might end up with a more uniform global temperature if the currents were different in certain ways, kind of like on venus, the heat transport makes the poles and the months-long darkness on the dark side still have similarly hot temperature, when you would think there would be this huge long-lived absolute heat-sink and the winds would be tremendous rushing in to fill that gradient.
I notice that all the dark sand/dust which appears in these hollows and chasms is always exactly where intuition tells you you might expect to find water if these low areas were on Earth. The shape and elevation of the dark patches is uncannily like what you would expect if the dark sand were in fact water. You never see it on raised ground or on slopes - always at the lowest points in the topography.
Interesting ... ???
I wonder if these dark patches were actually associated with former lakes and ponds in some way. Could they be somehow associated with water even today? Why doesn't the ubiquitous red dust, found everywhere on Mars, settle in these low areas and obscure the dark sand? Could it be that the areas are dark because of a still extant water table keeping the soil wetter and darker?
I really have no idea what I'm talking about - just airing a few rambling thoughts.
The elevation seems quite exaggerated in these "reconstructions". note that the captions on http://www.esa.int/export/SPECIALS/Mars … bhead6]all those images say "This close-up perspective view was calculated from the digital terrain model derived from the stereo channels." anyone know if the rendering represents the "true" elevation, or if its exaggerated for illustrative/aesthetic purposes?
Shaun, about the wet mud and red dust. I tend to think that the dark stuff is actually the red dust, or maybe just dark dust like the images of the dark stuff that gets blown out of cracks and craters linked in other posts recently, but its so hard to tell true colors on Mars anyway, these mars express image colors seem sort of "rendered", it just seems too "normalized" or something(!). i tend to think its not "wet" since there isnt much "recent" terrain modifcation and erosion that would seem to imply, since the geological conditions would remain the same for so long and water, being the most volatile element on mars would impart a relatively huge influence in modifying the terrain if it were there by freezing/sublimation/melting/expaning/contracting/dissolving/depositing/flowing/aggregating... well, wind action would do a lot of shaping also, and maybe would cover up or modify any such water affects, but then i get thinking cold brine tables might not actually have much effect on the terrain in the first place if they dont act like fresh water... i tend to have second thought about everything when it comes to figuring out mars, since i dont really know what im talking about either!
and the flow]http://www.universetoday.com/am/publish/dust_obscured_martian_landscape.html?12102004]"flow" in the crater in the next post, yep, those have always mystified me, nasa likes to explain them away without further inquiry as "dust avalanches" hmmm, it seems a sensible explanation, but you raise an interesting point, that would seem to suggest nasa would say that the dark floor is either "ruffled dust" like an avalanche or is different material than the "flow" feature itself that somehow end up looking the same color... neither of these explanation seems right. mystery remains.
...
Whereas - the lander leg issue was found to be not only likely - but almost certain to have caused a failure before landing
...
Doug
As i recall, the http://mpfwww.jpl.nasa.gov/2001/lander/ … .html]2001 lander mission team fixed the problem with their duplicate platform so the same problem would not occur.
This made me wonder why NASA completely cancelled it when it seemed that the problem was fixed and the general lander platform design itself had a chance to be exonerated and science to go forward at http://www.msss.com/2001/ms01_2/index.htm]one of the propposed landing sites. but they cancelled it and it seemed like such a waste, after while i forgave NASA for the twin MPL/MCO fiascos but this just looked like NASA trying to just cover its butt. i remember signing an ineffective petition to try to convince NASA to launch it in 2003. it cast NASA as sort of hypocritical not being bold enough to go forward with the mission... :rant:
at least it sort of reincarnated as http://phoenix.lpl.arizona.edu/summary.php]Phoenix, but i digress, im still waiting for a Mars Microphone...
Doug-
yep, it often seems to take failure to insure success, the MPL failure gave NASA the excuse to really put a lot of care (money) for the design and testing into making sure the MERs would work since they couldnt afford another PR fiasco. I believe thats the main empetus behind NASA's descision to fund two MERs, for redundancy, otherwise we'd have only one poking around there now.
Ad Astra-
Im assuming NASA never looked again after getting the NIMA report that they had ostensibly found the MPL. Apparently, they do hope to eventually check again using the MRO. Here's a http://www.space.com/missionlaunches/ma … rprisingly recent article on the matter although i still havent found any of those NIMA-processed images even though they are apparently "unclassified".
CProto ends up giving you pixels that are more like this
[ ]
tha[n] this
[ ]
| |
[ ]You can sort of see it in some images if you zoom in.
Doug
FYI, found an interesting little http://www.msss.com/mars_images/moc/2004/01/04/]blurb on this technique for increasing the resolution. It says it gets a down-track resolution of about 50 cm/pixel (~20 inches/pixel), although the cross-track resolution remains ~1.5 m/pixel (5 ft/pixel).
Not to get too far off-thread, but MRO is supposed to obtain 30cm pixels nominally. similarly, they might be able to get down-track resolution down to 10cm, at which point we might be able to discern some individual components on the landers...!
Beagle was cheap like Mars Polar Lander, and probably wasnt able to send data during touchdown.? Similarly, MPL was never found and neither were the two impactor probes it flew with, even though they searched and it should be showing up about as clear as the MERs do. If we only knew exactly where to look, then we might be able to see all the other failed mars missions over the last several decades lying in shiny heaps at the bottom of small impact craters. They did find http://www.msss.com/mars_images/moc/2004/01/04/]Viking1 and pathfinder since they had some good data on where to look.
It could also have landed softly but had some other fatal problem, so there might not be any large sitzmark and its just sitting there without any power or <enter your BeagleII failure scenario here>.
It could take many many targeting cycles for MOC to chance upon the precise spot it might be, and we just havent combed enough square mileage to find it yet. http://www.msss.com/mars_images/moc/2004/01/04/]The article describes the method for finding landers from orbit and says it would take about 60 years to comb the entire landing ellipse to find MPL... ug, now that tries my patience...! One can only wonder how long it would take to find BeagleII, though i assume we have better data on its location than we had with MPL...
Looking at thathttp://www.msss.com/moc_gallery/r10_r15/full_jpg_non_map/R14/R1400021.jpg] beautiful full size hi-rez image showing Victoria and Endurance. Endurance crater is a bit less than halfway down, to the left you can see the lander base as a white speck sitting in Eagle crater, the backshell, etc. truly an eagle's-eye view!
the caption on the http://www.msss.com/moc_gallery/r10_r15 … .html]main page shows it was released 9/27/04 but the phot was acquired on 2/1/04 so this is probably the same image as was used in the old release showing the rover several feet away from the lander at the first bedrock site in Eagle. I was hoping for something newer showing Oppy's tracks much like was done for Spirit recently. guess well have to wait.
theres a pretty good and relatively recent (2000) pdf paper by John McGowan on http://www.jmcgowan.com/oilmars.pdf]oil and natural gas on Mars
he also talks about the need for a trace gas sensor
if you dont like the slide format, http://www.jmcgowan.com/mars_reprint.PDF]you might find this one a bit more readable
i googled a couple old pages about Kaolinite, http://marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov/fido/sol … .html]clay
and this about http://speclab.cr.usgs.gov/PLANETARY.ab … html]where is Mars' clay?
Can't help wondering if the sand is lightly packed inside it. I'm recalling depressions in the ground back home in the Midwest being only *lightly* covered with snow (and your foot going crashing down unexpectedly even if the snow around is hard packed). There's a difference between snow and sand of course, but I wonder if the principle is the same.
and i remember hearing about how they thought the lunar lander and the astronauts would sink into the moon'd dust like quicksand. but that didnt happen, even though there is very little gravity to pack the lunar dust. i also remember reading Clarke's 'A Fall of Moondust' about a lunar tour ship that sinks below the lunar surface after a subsurface bubble pops and swallows it up...
but i still dont know why the moon dust soil is packed as well as it is in the low gravity, you'd expect the grains to be precariously perched atop each other due to friction and irregular grain size much like a house of cards just waiting for some weight to crush it down. its probably much looser packed than earth soil but the fact that the astronauts didnt sink could be due to just the low gravity making them so lightweight coudl it? maybe it has to do more with the immense amount of time available for grain packing due to moonquakes and impact vibrations settling the grains into packed state... ?
= IF = the remnants of that life has been compressed under layers of rock that was later deposited on top of the remnants of past life. . .
then guess what!
Mars will have coal and oil.
As KArov noted, its not that life is absolutely necessary a pre-condition for the genesis of "fossil fuels", actually it might be the other way around and life might spring from the chemical energy gradient and compounds made possible by the oil and other hydrocarbons, and theres actually quite a good argument that most of the petroleum resereves on Earth were formed inorganically via chemical reactions in the mantle... http://www.usatoday.com/tech/science/di … x.htm]more about oil on Mars
So oil reserves could theoretically still exist on a sterile Mars, and I would suspect that small amounts of it would have bubbled to the surface in certain places at some time in Mars' history, and if so, would it leave some detectable sign observable from orbit?
im thinking that any oil at the surface is likely to be buried or altered in some way, but it also might eventually get eroded by blowing sand but im wondering whether or not it could in any way get altered and reduced in particle size and 'mixed in' with the dust so that very sensitive instruments might detect its trace amounts?
Doug, the "bad guide" doeth much good!
thanks, but you know how answers just raise questions..!
Seems similar to a desktop computer scanner... however, this has me wondering about the lens system... and lo and behold http://www.msss.com/camera_info/moc.html]heres a breathtaking shot of still another example of Shaun's "dark pools of liquid water" on the MOC camera page no doubt, the one that i browsed to in trying to answer this very question... and indeed, not to get too off topic but we certainly need to send a rover to Schiaparelli country, if not for the science then certainly for the vistas we'd get! but anyway now, back to the scan-cam, i cant find whether the lens is spheroid or columnar, i'd supspect that a linear CCD pickup would require a linear rod-like lens system but all i see is a normal round camera nozzle on MOC, so im hoping to find an MOC exploded-view diagram but so far no luck.
Also, about the CPROTO method for increasing the image data in the scan direction, it seems apparent that the normal integration time per line "exposure" is very carefully timed to create square pixels while not overlapping or omitting terrain, so for example with the 700 meters vs. 2.1 km pushbroom aquisition, you end up with a 3:1 aspect ratio per pixel, not that thats bad, you merely process the image by squishing it for display on square-pixeled monitors, so really, when we look at the MOC images across the small 2048 pixel dimension that cant benefit of the CPROTO method, theres much less data there than one might assume given that were accustomed to seeing images aquired in square pixels, i tend to think that (at least at the pixel limit) this might distort the appearance of tiny features somewhat. although the problem is small, after all, you could always 'throw out' 2/3 of those pixels and end up with a 'normalized' image 'true-square' image to compare perceptions with... or maybe im just offtrack in my own perceptual thinking...
- Side note: the MRO apparently has 2048x128 CCDs according to http://marsoweb.nas.nasa.gov/HiRISE/ins … onents]the HiRISE site im guessing its a similar scan method, with somewhat similar 'exposure', er um, "integration" methods.
that weird terrain in hellas looks like the cumulative result of muddy glop thats been, i forget what the word is, 'modified' by relentless perennial freeze thaw cycles, like what happens in permafrost making circles and sorting pebble sizes and so forth...
the http://www.msss.com/moc_gallery/r03_r09 … .jpg]other image shows a lot of, as Phil Christenson might say "pasted-on terrain", thats is, look at the top most crater feature and youll see a small are where there is a gully forming, then youll see that the area around it looks like basically dust-covered snow covering the ground and crater wall to a signifficant depth, thus the "pasted-on terrain" that the gullies are postulated to form beneath. Near the bottom of the image there is a crater that looks to be filled with, er, that is, "pasted-on" with a dust covered lake inside...
in fact, the swirly glop areas in both these images really look similar to glacier flow lines, as if the dust covered ice or permafrost or mud (i would guess that the soil is extremely saturated here as one would expect at such a low elevation and likely the best place to find a water table) ice could flow under the influence of gravity as it flows in to fill areas of uneven sublimation over the millions of years.
thats why we need armies of mass-produced MER derivitive clones crawling all over places like this
djellison,
Thanks for the great map, i guess opp will be going slower because of the dusty solar panels as well, so your probably right about MArch, even into June i think might be the case if theres a lot (hopefully!) to check out along the way...
Were you the one who initially gave that link (that i cant find) to the searchable image database? if so can you repost it? You probably have a far better method of finding the right images than i do (i just hunt and get frustrated). I want to find more context of the map you just made for us to see 'further back'. im interested in its proximity to the aformentioned Meridianna 'etched terrain'... thx!
No big moons except for Jupiter's. its just too expensive to go that route. moving it and then braking it into a stable orbit around MArs would take enormous energy. more easily you could just steer a big asteroid or comet into Mars, the shock and heat would release a heck of a lot of water that should bolster the atmosphere with enough water vapor to hold onto some daytime heat and even transport heat around MArs. But you might need dozens or more comets to do anything signifficant. any gearheads out there with the calcs?
If MArs turns out to have lots of uranium, then we could set up robot nuke factories and core drilling operations to plant thousands of nuclear bombs under the crust and blow the subsurface open, that shoudl also release a heck of a lot of water, and, er um, Radioactive Hell as well...
Yes, mars does have http://marsprogram.jpl.nasa.gov/newsroo … 06a.html]a molten core, MArs radioactive decay shoudl be slowing down much like Earth's since there is no resupply of these elements...
Yep, doesnt look very good for keeping an atmosphere around without any method to resupply it. but 35 meters, although huge, still amounts to just a drop in the proverbial bucket, -er shotglass you might say. I tend to asume that Mars had similar amounts of water as the Earth when it formed.
Thats pretty much the clincher, Mars doesnt seem to have any way to resupply the gasses to the atmosphere by itself: no plate tectonics, little volcanism, its too cold to get much water vapor build-up. And no (prolific at least) life processes to alter chemicals into gasses en masse . So it just cools off and dries up like leftovers in the freezer, but theres still plenty of ice there, slowly being liberated from under the surface as it is eroded over the eons.
If we mechanically and biogenetically provide the means, I'd assume that theres plenty of raw materials and water abundant enough to keep the atmosphere as thick as necessary for the forseeable future.
yeah, genetically engineered sulfur-fixing bacteria swarm Venus' atmosphere and with a little luck, might even the overall energy balance. I dont know if all the CO2 is signifficant or not.?
Regardless, you would still have to worry about that year-long day in the punishing sunlight heating things up much more than any deep-desert scenario imaginable on Earth. Unless we can make machines to survive in this, well still need some sort of way to intercept all that incoming sunlight, whether it be reflective clouds or a huge shade structure.
not to beat a dead horse, but i just noticed this http://www.msss.com/mars_images/moc/200 … x.html]The MGS MOC Search for Beagle 2
Note that this picture is NOT the "Beagle impact crater":
then why did i link it? i dont know, it had me fooled until i read the story!
They're going for victoria crater - thats a HUGE 700m+ crater some miles away - THAT - will be a panorama worth waiting for
Doug
*A 3-mile trip...how long (in Sols) should it take Oppy to reach it? I can't remember how far (in general) the MERs can travel in a day...
--Cindy
Spirit's one-sol distance record: 123.7 meters (405.8 feet). even on that tricky Gusev terrain.
Opportunity's one-sol driving record: 140 meters (459.3 feet).
im not sure if these still stand. this data is from April 5th. i'm Googled...
At a 'cruising' speed of 400 feet/day, 3 miles could be crossed in 40 days, although we all know how long it took to go about a mile to get to the hills... im sure theyll crank it up a notch but i think there will be plenty of very worthwhile "distractions" along the way...
Engineers hope to put Spirit atop Husband Hill so it can get a view all the way to the edge of vast Gusev Crater, in which it landed. Opportunity will soon leave Endurance Crater, visiting its discarded heat shield along the way(thank you!), and make a 3-mile journey to Victoria Crater. in other good news: Opportunity's mini-thermal emission spectrometer, which identifies the composition of rocks, so far has survived the cold.
Now, does anybody know where to find an orbiter image of Victoria crater to get context of where we are in relation to where we want to get to? im looking at http://marsoweb.nas.nasa.gov/landingsit … e.html]the marsoweb site and http://marsoweb.nas.nasa.gov/landingsit … .html]this part too and i cant find a view to find which crater is Victoria... could be anywhere... i couldnt find that link to the mars image database thing mentioned in some thread in the last few weeks and noticed that you could seek by feature name but i forgot to bookmark it
those two "gullies" one of them almost looks like its forked near the bottom, but if you look close its not connected, im thinking these arent gullies carved by geyser or springs, since they seem to be too high on the ridge, not water table coudl exist that high. maybe these are just faults due to subsidence of the soil here. but who knows why just in this one spot? or perhaps most likely they are gullies like the ones in the craters weve seen so far, formed underneath an insulating icepack by melting snow that has long since dwindled away. the "forked" one might reveal a place where the water tunneled under the ground and reemerged. mysterious...
oh how i wish our species would stop throwing so much money away at fruitless wars and the paranoia-industrial complex, and just pass a tiny fraction of that to take space exploration more seriously, we could send a dozen or more MER clones at every launch window to new and challenging hold-your-breath-and-hope-we-make-it kinds of places rather than the flat plains were relegated to, just for the slim chance of actually getting one though to check out some very good stuff close up, i bet we'd make it more often than not... okay ill step down from my soap box now
thaks Doug for your excellent research on the MPL dust devil "eyeball" image. i love these forums... Its also interesting to note that the ~35 second gap between the first and last RGB exposures woudl appear to reveal the speed and motion of the dust devil, so it might not be a true profile of its cylinder (do we have any windspeed data from that sol?).
But now im confused:
From looking at the PDS data, it looks like you used these images:
http://pdsimg.jpl.nasa.gov/data/mpfl-m- … 5r.htm]RED http://pdsimg.jpl.nasa.gov/data/mpfl-m- … .htm]GREEN http://pdsimg.jpl.nasa.gov/data/mpfl-m- … r.htm]BLUE
In all of these images you can see a small smudge exactly where the dust devil is (as well as one above it near the middle of the image), apparently (read below) this smudge is NOT ACTUALLY PART OF THE DUST DEVIL! just coincidence?
The same exact smudge appears in the same exact place but in different views which suggests its actually just an out-of-focus dust speck on the camera lens. If you go along in any of these pages and select the next inage (hit the right nav arrow) youll see the same smudge, the dust devil couldnt be in exactly the same area of the photo, although the successive exposures here are about 6 minutes apart, thats just too much coincidence...
it could be that the darkest thing in the dust devil photo isnt the dust devil but is just a dust speck, notice that the dust devil appears to have a wide base to it, this base is just the lens speck, and only the column just to the left of the dark speck is the dust devil but it doesnt show up much at all in the sol 11 MPL images referenced except for the http://pdsimg.jpl.nasa.gov/data/mpfl-m- … r.htm]BLUE one (which also happens to be the noisiest image of the lot), you can see it there very very very dim...
OK, this revises my understanding of just what details of this image are the actual dust devil, and if theyre this hard to see in the MER images then there might be dozens of them waiting to be fished out of the data we already have accrued... i guess well want to keep a keener eye on the blue part of the spectrum!
as far as I know, opportunity is still just sittin there waiting for conjunction to pass, the panos they released i think are are old data from before it went into the crater, i guess theyre just putting *something* out there to keep us entertained whiel we wait...?
http://realserver1.jpl.nasa.gov:8080/ra … ompact]the latest video "update" said Opprtunity rebooted because it "overflew!" a buffer
Cindy and Doug, Thanks for reprising the dust devil search question again, i have also kept my eye open for tell-tale dust devil signatures in the MER images, and i think im sure i have at least glanced at every MER image that has crossed lyle.org's servers from landings to present. i think one of the horizon shots must have caught one on camera by now... i wonder if the MER team has been parsing these images in search of dust devils or if they merely did the simple scenarios as Doug mentions and then went on to other more productive things... there was also some discussion in http://www.newmars.com/forums/viewtopic.php?t=1438]last spring's dust devil thread about the MER rover team's efforts to find them. Here's that striking picture of the pathfinder dust devil.
however, i never did see any "normal color" image of it (anyone know where to find one?), perhaps the problem in trying to find these dust devils by visually parsing through all the mars images is that it might be so dim and unoticeable without the aid of false color differentiating that it would be routinely overlooked as mere noise on the horizon...?
Ultimately, they woudl have shown us one if they found it, and since they were apparently looking for them, they would probably have found it if there were one to find, although actually they probably havent devoted very much time given all the activities the rovers have undertaken, i guess the difference with the pathfinder was that it stayed there for so long without much else to do but take pictures of sojourner. but with MER theres always something new at your feet to spend your time on. it makes me think that the Vikings must have had the greatest chance to catch dust devils on camera since they pretty much stayed in the same place for 4 or 5 years time to finally catch one by accident, so why no viking dust devils?? hmm...