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#451 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Ares I (CLV) - status » 2006-07-29 19:10:19

probably they (NASA) have not read my June 30 article... www.gaetanomarano.it/articles/010arianecev.html ...nor this thread (and my posts in other forums) but (now) NASA appears to have a "stick" alternative that looks very close to Ariane5... www.nasaspaceflight.com/content/?cid=4670

I wouldn't call it an Ariane 5 but that looks like a very intruiging concept.

It looks like a near-twin of the STS SRV/ET combo with the CEV plunked square on top.  If there's any complaints on the Ares I configuration this version would have my full support.  The only possibly difference I can visually discern would be stubbier 3 segment SRVs, and the article does mention J-2X engines being used.

This could be a good back-up alright.  Personally I'd go with using two 5-segmented boosters so they can be interchanged with the CaCLV, but if there's worries about 5-segments being recovered surely 3-segments are easier since we've been using 4 for years.

This is a good article gaetanomarano; I have to tip my hat off to you at least this once for some credit.  big_smile

#452 Re: Human missions » CEV is Bullshi... » 2006-07-29 18:56:45

CEV Designs are a joke for Large scale manned exploration !!!!!

We need development of larger space vessels for the exploration and settlement of our solar system over the next century of work ahead. Local space ( Our Solar System ) is like the industrial revolution 1800-1900s, the exploration and settlement of our planet for the last several thousand years we noe must move ahead.  The CEV Designs are good for LEO business and returning from space until we come up with better transport, but it doesn't provide the long term expansion possibilities for human exploration.

That's just it.  The governemnt is for better or worse short-term sighted for the most part.  It will be largely Earth-biased for quite some time as long as we call Earth our main home.  Don't expect magical cruiseships or solar sails until we can just establish something out there, and science alone isn't enough.  Columbus didn't set sail for cataloging indigenous peoples or ocean life - he was looking to establish a trade route, and as famous as Lewis and Clarke were the Spanish and even the Russians were established on the West coast long before their exploration set off.

The CEV for LEO buisness (to a minor extent) and returning to space is exactly what we need it for.  Just like Mercury, Gemini, Apollo, Skylab, the Space Shuttle, and MIR the CEV will become another mode of space travel phased out just like the horse was to the automobile.

#453 Re: Human missions » Is the 'VSE' getting dimmer ? » 2006-07-29 18:42:54

The Space Frontier Foundation announced Wednesday it has issued a whitepaper calling NASA's post-space shuttle plans the initial stages of complete failure.

www.space-travel.com/reports/Space_Frontier_Foundation_Slams_NASA_CEV_Plans_999.html

Again I see questionable portions...

"America is the most powerful and wealthy nation in the world because we are better at business, not because we are better at bureaucracy," said Bob Werb, the foundation's chairman.

Bureaucracy is everywhere.  Ever heard of middle management Bob?

Using the power of the private sector is our nation's best and only chance to have an affordable and sustainable human exploration program

I already explained my opinion of this in my previous post.  The private space sector is barely out of the zygote stage for crying out loud...

"Yet the agency is spending less than 1 percent of its budget on innovative commercial approaches. Just like the space station, we are watching another NASA train wreck in progress, and just like station, they are trying to hide the facts," Tumlinson added.

The FBI and CIA also withhold facts and you're not likely to get them from them either...

Given a space station to fund, a shuttle to sustain while being (somewhat) gracefully retired, a new set of rockets to develop (Ares), AND continuing educational, unmanned probe, and ground equiptment operations where would you SUGGEST this money come from?

I'm neither sympathetic or critical of NASA - it is just one agency trying to do so much at once.  I can understand why O'Keffe retired after his short term - he knew alot of pressure would be quickly put on him.  Griffen is about the only one with my sympathy trying to maintain a juggling act while the impatient members of the public audience boo and try flinging tomatoes.

#454 Re: Human missions » Is the 'VSE' getting dimmer ? » 2006-07-29 18:29:59

This portion alone of the Space Advocacy Group makes me suspect of their opinion:

The assessment calls for immediate elimination of all work on the block 1 version of NASA’s Crew Exploration Vehicle (CEV) and to delay the shuttle program-derived Crew Launch Vehicle (CLV)—a solid-rocket booster design now escalating in cost—while reconsidering the Atlas 5 and Delta 4 launchers.

Now wasn't it previously established not just in this forum but surely in papers elsewhere....INCLUDING the old Spaceplane concept that preceeded CEV, that both Atlas 5 and Delta 4 would take considerable time to man-rate?

Spotlighted in the study is a call to stop work on the CEV Block 1 which is designed for missions to the International Space Station. That function can be handed over to private space firms. NASA should focus on the CEV Block 2 that is specifically targeted for Moon and beyond exploration goals.

Ok this part makes some sense.  I agree we need to keep the main focus of the CEV on exploration otherwise it'll be a vehicle mocking its own name which I think is the main fear of these people.  To that end more emphacis ought to be on the CaLV as opposed to the CEV/CLV so we can at least start putting equiptment out there.  There is a concept of putting the horse before the wagon, eh?  And the CLV would barely be a pony...

Furthermore, the study counsels that the U.S. government should immediately transfer two-to-three billion dollars from the CEV and CLV efforts to pay for an additional round of what the group sees as a now under-funded Commercial Orbital Transportation Services (COTS) program

No doubt this is true, but every company is often trying to wring the government dry of money when it can.  I seem to recall Lockheed being given close to a billion for that scrapped X-33 on the same token and what good did that achieve?  Give them a few million of "seed money" I'd wager and if no fruit (in this case at least a working prototype) is borne then clear the dead wood.

Commercial spaceflight is still a fledgling as I stated before; not a dead-end but don't expect it to soar like the Eagle (or the Apollo 11 lander if you will  wink  ) just yet.  Someone like Bigelow is the answer for them, and servicing the ISS within this decade I say.  The Moon and Mars are a little hefty to handle...but only for the moment.

There's my educated opinion for you all.

#455 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Ares I (CLV) - status » 2006-07-23 14:35:33

.
with the new, reduced, weight, the CEV/SM will exactly MATCH the Ariane5 payload without any rocket upgrade nor further CEV mass reduction!

a very good idea may be to launch ALL ISS/orbital CEVs only with the Ariane5 (to save time and money) and upgrade the Ares-V to launch the full moon-hardware with a single rocket, like Apollo

.

No offense but didn't the Ariane V have a bad launch record from the beginning?  I know they've greatly improved upon that but I don't feel confident that with that kind of track record if you plan to man-rate the vehicle.

If ESA wants to give it a try, fine.  Most likely I'll bet ESA just builds something on its own - i.e. a modified ATV.

#456 Re: Human missions » Is the 'VSE' getting dimmer ? » 2006-07-19 17:33:54

Heresay, anonymous third-hand rumor floating around, a paraphrase of which is posted on a notoriously anti-NASA amature news page.

I agree.  Its a good 3/4s because-I-hate-Bush-and-want-to-burn-any-possible-legacy-of-his-term.

Some points I've noted, like the elimination of methane propulsion for the time being, although I am glad research is still continuing regardless of the VSE.

To make my point I'm not going to criticize until something is physically built, otherwise its all sound and no fury like what seems to be blowing around in the wake of the hurricanes in Florida.

If the same noteable patterns that damned the shuttle crop up during construction: delays, massive cost overruns (like the ISS), multiple compromises that degenerate not just the program but the safety of crew and outcome of mission, THEN we should not only criticize but take action - petition Micheal Griffen directly and Congress to let them know the minds once pushing this endeavour are now displeased.

#457 Re: Human missions » Is the 'VSE' getting dimmer ? » 2006-07-19 17:19:56

Come Now, you know you want it. A nice big space ship with huge cargo capacity costing a fortune with is long life span. Its the Holy Grail of Space Colonization.

Maybe Monty Python's Holy Grail  tongue

Bigger is not always better; don't hold your breath for vehicles larger than the Ares V in the next 60 years, even assuming commercial spaceflight flies successfully.

"Space arks" are a largely out-of-date concept.  Given the sheer time and logistics of traveling beyond say Mars I'd go with hibernation/cryogenics for these hypothetical 100 plus pilgram missions - something just slightly larger than a space shuttle could manage these "stasis pods" to borrow a phrase from Beast Wars Transformers.

#458 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Ares V (CaLV) - status » 2006-07-19 15:57:52

Note the magic words...: "Word has it"

Say this little birdie chirping in NASAWatch's ear is a liar trying to stoke the few people who care about space - us - into a furor.

Beyond NASA its always political, save perhaps private spaceflight but that is barely out of its shell as is...

Its good we're all debating about the technicalities of the Ares but try to remember to be thankful NASA is giving this serious thought instead of the years and years of mothballed Mars-quack plans since the 80s.  I'd rather not delve back into that era...

I'm not going to debate anything until we see the results of the prototype testing; engineering prints and working vehicles often prove to be two different creatures.

#459 Re: Unmanned probes » New Horizons - mission to Pluto and the Kupier belt » 2006-07-14 17:08:36

I'm also confused at how there could be a companion star.  The articles seem to accept that its plausible that a sun be on the edge of our solar system and not be visible but don't offer any sort of explanation or thoeries.

I agree there.  Even if it were a cool brown dwarf (which would be dim if it were the same 5-billion years aged like the sun) it would surely have been detected some time ago.  There's evidence the Kuiper Belt as a whole was sheered by a passing star...in such an event any small companion to our sun might have also been cast into space.

#460 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Using the shuttle's external tanks as spacecraft » 2006-07-07 16:10:23

I'm not certain about the hoop-la over ETs.  To me it sounds little better than the hoop-la expressed over the Shuttle-C or the just-as-dead X-33.

If this ET-stuff is to continue or be applied, it needs to be adapted to the Ares V now.  It will be QUITE some time before private space companies can launch something of ET-massed capacity even if you're an optimist, so this would be a major public contribution if not a traditional government-funded project.

It might have its advantages, maybe not.  If the inflatables can be made more quickly and cheapy the ET as a space module will find itself out of the picture soon; certainly until Lunar Industry is established and modules of that size can be build and launched for future space colonies.

#461 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Ares I (CLV) - status » 2006-07-07 16:03:40

Well, sounds like Ares I is on the way.  Hopefully the name will help soothe any further complaints from Robert Zubrin of the Mars Society. 

From the sound of it I can see how redesigning the SRB to handle a drop from 200 thousand feet at six times the speed of sound could be a hastle.  What can the current SRB withstand in comparison?

I find the irony of calling an engine flight-tested without an actual flight funny too.  wink   In seriousness I hope the J-2X will get real flight testing, and hopefully all the years of hypotethical testing and revisions of the J-2 will pay off.

Now let's see if they can light this candle...  8)

#462 Re: Human missions » gaetanomarano Lunar Space Station » 2006-06-18 14:13:48

Anyone else officially bored with this lunar space station idea?

#463 Re: Human missions » Near Earth Object (NEO) missions » 2006-06-15 18:15:21

More coorbitals are being discovered, they would make interesting targets for longer CEV test voyages prior to the next lunar landing as no LSAM would be required. 2003 YN107 approaches to within 3.4 million km, others may come closer. This assumes of course that the CEV SM / EDS has enough DV and life support for such a voyage. The longer voyage times would take exploration further out more quickly.  Cool huh?

Some more details about coorbitals in this thread

Are you proposing rendevousing with these coorbital asteroids then?

Its possible and would be a good intermediary between lunar and martian exploration, but what can a manned expidition do that a robotic one can't, save perhaps more substantial sample collection?

Not criticizing just wanting to know what we'd be doing out there.

#464 Re: Human missions » gaetanomarano Lunar Space Station » 2006-06-14 18:33:48

I have to admit that looks possible: modified Jules Vernse ATV, Space Station Module, and a Soyuz Return capsule.

I can see this as a European (I suppose Russia does qualify as European too  tongue  ) orbital vehicle, maybe even their equivelant of the US CEV.

However this is only an orbital ship, not a lunar lander.  Have all the headache's worth of fun with the space station but I'm sure even in Europe that phase will die out.  More to the point unless something more powerful than Ariane V is developed I doubt this could be lifted by a European rocket (Ariane X nonsense ignored).  Some equivellant of a EDS would be needed to boost this to the moon and there's still the need of a lander since a manned orbiter mission makes little sense when lunar probes/satellites can do the job already.

If this is done right, maybe this hypothetical vehicle could fit into the VSE lunar architecture.  It could be a counterpart to the CEV - if a universal docking port is used perhaps this craft could mate with a LSAM as well or the CEV - use our EDS or some future European booster and the mission could follow like VSE.

I don't see this vehicle as essential but, I suppose, encouraging for international cooperation in the VSE.  Our intetnational counterparts shouldn't focus on specified mission components (i.e. the Russionas build the booster, Europeans the Mars Lander, Americans the Orbiter...yadda yadda) but instead independently capable vehicles that just can dock with one another as the mission/situation calls for it.

#465 Re: Unmanned probes » Mars Exploration Rovers (MER) » 2006-06-07 04:17:40

For me they've become much much more than 'mechanical million-dollar wind-up toys', they've become a set of new eyes. I even feel strangely offended by your remark. You make it sound as if you don't care for the technological marvels these machines are and the wonderful effort people put into this awesome mission that made this happen.

Of course I understand your comment in the vein that humans would be much more worthwile on Mars, and I fully, utterly agree, it's just that I'm a total incurable  Mars junkie, and this is the closest we'll get for awhile, so I really value these remarkable rovers...

Don't worry - I didn't intend offense; just a quick reality check.  wink

No problem with the Mars junkie thing.  Same with be although I looking into all the space stuff.

#466 Re: Unmanned probes » Mars Exploration Rovers (MER) » 2006-06-06 17:32:09

Yeah.

I've been following its painful limping for some time, and it's heart-searing...
How hard the little rover has to fightto get to a good spot, racing on five wheels against time.

II's like watching a wounded, dying animal, hauling its own broken body to a place to rest.

:?  Space-enthusiasm aside you realize you're talking about a mechanical million-dollar wind-up toy?

Spirit and Opportunity both had a decent run and both have found some evidence of water, their objective.  I was thrilled both landed and rolled farther than any probe before and demonstrated abilities that, likely, only a human geologist will exceed.

If they conk they conk out, but at least its encouraging to know their warranties were quite good.

#467 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Europe build a Heavy lifter ( 100 tonne Euro-HLLV ) ? » 2006-06-06 14:44:25

Edit: Infact, that 80MT rocket might deliver enough fuel for only one trip, whereas delivering that fuel to the surface would enable multiple suborbital "hops."

If you can manage those "hops" then screw manned rovers.  smile   The whole moon would open up AND we'd have the benefit of a moble lab too.

#468 Re: Human missions » gaetanomarano Lunar Space Station » 2006-06-06 14:39:12

An ion engine doesn't have the kind of thrust required to correct from a signifigant orbital perturbation, and no ion engine powerful enough to move a 50MT+ vehicle has ever really been seriously contemplated, the amount of solar arrays needed would be huge.

I'm afraid I have to agree with this on ion engines.  I give a vote of confidence for their usefulness and fuel efficency, but due to the amount of time they require its not practical on a manned mission where time is critical.  As I posted on a direct post regarding ion propulsion I'd limit it to cargo missions - and even then I must admit a stronger ion engine capable of lofting 50 ton paylods to the moon needs to be developed.

#469 Re: Human missions » Reusable LSAM » 2006-06-06 14:33:18

SpaceNut's thread

why can't a tanker dock directly with the orbiting LSAM, skipping this station business altogether?

that is a poor version, without the great advantages of the LSS like... have a safe place to live (for the astronauts that will accomplish many missions per year!)


...that's the same line they fed with Space Station Freedom which has mutated into the atrophied project known as the ISS.

Given the choice I vote for the more direct tanker approach.  Maybe keeping everything either in LEO or directly on the Moon is the best option.

#470 Re: Human missions » Reusable LSAM » 2006-06-06 04:23:47

A lunar space station is a terrible idea, and offers no safety bennefits

Edit: My precience tells me that you will soon jump up and down with bold red letters and exclamation marks about the possibility of solar flares.

This is easy to address:

  • -For short term exploration missions, the chances of a solar flare are small for the two-week trip
    -For long term base missions, the Lunar base will have a radiation shelter in which case they won't need to flee to a space station.
    -The CEV's electronics won't be any more vunerable to solar flares then the space station will, unless the latter has an absurd amount of shielding
    -Acending to the station before a solar flare would hit would be unlikely anyway, better to hide behind a boulder/crater/LSAM and wait it out

Reading through all this I have to agree.  Given in particular that note on Lunar Orbit being unstable as well putting a space station there is ineed a bad thought, especially if its half the cost of the ISS or more.  If its put anywhere it would have to be one of the LaGrange points, most likely L1 since its en route or possibly L4 or L5 due to their better stability.

I can see only two legitamate, but not essential, merits to a lunar station and it needent even be manned in both cases:

  • -A place to safely stow/refurnish a reuseable LSAM
    -An LOX orbital storage facility.

Potentially helpful, but its not needed in the short-term since LOX production would take some time to establish anyway as well as the development of a R-LSAM.

#471 Re: Human missions » VISUAL "Shuttle to Capsule" comparison » 2006-06-02 15:40:38

the NASA decision to don't build a new Shuttle is ONLY a to-day's decision, then, like many other "final decisions" of the past, may change in next 5-15 years

If that's what's considered in 15 years so be it; however in 15 years there will be a commercial shuttle so the need would be moot.  tongue

#472 Re: Human missions » VISUAL "Shuttle to Capsule" comparison » 2006-06-02 11:12:51

Challenger and Columbia are two accidents that happen every year to airplanes, that was close to happen with the Apollo13, that may happen with the CEV and LSAM, that may happen with the Kliper, that may happen with a new (NASA or private) new Shuttle, that may happen with our car or a train or ship or the StarTrek's Enterprise... they are NOT a good argument against a new Shuttle


I seem to recall the Challenger also being barely 3 years old into its estimated-20 year, 100 flight lifetime so newer is not better.

*stamps into gaetanomarano's: NO NEW SHUTTLES PERIOD*

#473 Re: Human missions » VISUAL "Shuttle to Capsule" comparison » 2006-06-02 10:22:21

...As I said before, if you're going to attempt to build a winged spacraft leave it to the commercial space companies, not NASA.  Encourage NASA if anything to fund contests to promote them but not a direct program to construct one...

the private companies don't have the experience, technology and money to build a new Shuttle

...and NASA did and now we have the debris of two shuttles scattered across the Midwest and the Atlantic and a not-even-half-built X-33 in a hanger somewhere.

SpaceShipOne held together just fine for only a few million as opposed to the billions wasted on STS.  You underestimate the abilities of commercial spaceflight.

#474 Re: Human missions » VISUAL "Shuttle to Capsule" comparison » 2006-06-02 10:19:18

Sorry but there are only 2 at present aboard the ISS to off load what takes a crew of 7 on the shuttle to carry out during a 2 week period of time from a presurized cargo container which is close to max orbit time that the shuttle can stay before the fuel cells run out of fuel.

I suggest to build a parking arm to hook the new module sent in space with the crewless Shuttle (that never needs to dock to the ISS)

when all the modules/hardware will be near the ISS, one or more specialized crews will go to the ISS (with the Soyuz) to assemble the new modules with the canadarm2 and EVAs, that in many weeks or months, without rush or risks!

No offense, but why do we need a 'parking arm' when we've got CanadaArm2 already, an upcoming arm on the Columbus module, and possible a Russian arm to boot?  Gez what, you want the ISS to become a squid-module or something with more arms?

#475 Re: Human missions » Alt.space debacle (GCNRevenger 's gonna love this) » 2006-06-02 10:13:57

I mean like building climate-controlled greenhouses of course, not to actually warm/cool permafrost or desert.

If you want a greenhouse to compare with, check out BiosphereII and ask how self-sustaining it turned out to be.  Naturally, of course, a greenhouse farm won't be so complex.  Still its the point of land here on Earth innevitably getting eaten-up by human demand.  Continue this for a few centuries and I'm certain we'll whipe out just about every terrestrial species except the coachroach and rat.

If you want infinite space for a population that may never completely stabilize while preserving any NON-human life, well, look up...

If we want to prove we're self-aware and self-conscious we can't keep expanding and coating the planet like a slime-mold; otherwise if we DO encounter something intelligent out there they may regard us AS slime-mold on those grounds.

GMO foods should be widely accepted, and if you are American then you have already eaten them without a doubt. The anti-GMO hysteria is born of radical anti-human environmentalists who favor starvation over progress. The nonsense that they are "poisonous" is I am sure quite exaggerated or deliberatly misconstrued. GMO food is the only way to feed the world without going backrupt, and thats all there is to it. Its stupid, anti-scientific, and anti-human to oppose them.

...just as abortion is anti-human I'm sure.  I would certainly hope any genertically engineered food on the market has been tested.  But still, consider things like mutations - we're talking about messing with the DNA of an organism.  A caner-causing virus, gamma-rays, and cosmic-rays all do the same thing technically.

On this matter I recommend further research, not haulting it.  I'm just advising caution.  The scientists at Chernobyl forgot about that and look what happened.  I mean for crying out loud, on the radio a few days ago I heard reports of scientists trying to grow human penises (kinda like the rat with human ear on its back) on rabbits and you wonder why I'm finding G-E a little hard to take seriously?

 

Farming of fish in the sea on a massive scale would be helpful, though.

This may be the one suggestion I will endorse fully, provided by fish farming you mean promoting fish populations and not just mass-over-fishing.  Enviormentalists will need to help here: if we can get a healthy ecosystem growing that'll defientely boost populations within the ocean.  We can't think of just the tunafish or salmon anymore - we'll need to include their prey, their prey's prey, and the plankyton on top - make the food chain/pyramid grow and so will fish farming.[/i]

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