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#3576 Re: Terraformation » Venus vs Mars vs Titan » 2007-03-10 04:30:01

Not that I'm aware of. It can be terraformed perfectly fine where it is. If you want to reduce the solar constant, a solar shade makes FAR more sense, as it is a LOT less work, than moving around a planet-size mass for 0.3 AU.

Venus is the way it is because it is too close to the Sun, that means Venus would have to be permanenly shaded if an Earthlike environment is to be maintained.

If we don't have an active civilization on Earth or Venus, we've got worse problems than maintaining Venus' temperature.

What civilization has lasted millions of years? I can't think of any. Earth had life for millions of years, and their was no intelligent civilization to help maintain it, the Earth maintained itself. A living ecosystem on Venus needs to be continously propped up by intelligent forces. History suggests that no civilization lasts forever, they all have their rise and fall, most last less than a millenium. A terraformed Venus would be the equivalent of the Egyptian pyramids, a monument that outlasts the civilization which built it. You are indeed an optimist if you expect human civilization to go on until the Sun leaves the main sequence.

#3577 Re: Terraformation » Terraforming the Moon - Your opinion, please » 2007-03-09 09:10:26

Tom Kalbfus,

Lots of heat for sure. smile

I wonder what would happen to the atmosphere of titan with wide scale files from introduced o2?

Might be a good thing that the water ice stays in frozen state on Titan.

Titan is an awesome place for a colony, with frozen water split as 02 and hydrogen, methane rain as inexhaustible fuel source and a thick atmosphere for radiation protection.
I would expect Titan to be a city like enclosed colony that is self sufficient almost immediately as its established.

Well any of the frozen satellites will have an atmosphere if heated, Europa, Callisto, Ganymede, and Titan. The first three would have atmospheres that consisted of water vapor. Some of that water vapor would leak into space only to be replaced by water vapor further evaporated from the liquid ocean below.

First thing that would happen over the airless icy Gallileans is that the icy surface would sublimate away, but the Moon's gravity would retain some of that water vapor for a time, the pressure would build up to the point where the icy surface can then melt rather than sublime. You'd have a moon with a liquid ocean under a water vapor atmosphere, probably surrounded by a perpetual layer of water clouds that are constantly raining toward the surface while water constantly evaporates from the ocean below.

In Titan's case, it has a largely nitrogen atmosphere. The nitrogen would escape to be gradually replace by water vapor and other gasses that were previously locked in the ice. What you'd have eventually is a "boiling moon". These moons can boil for quite some time, if they boil too much, the the atmosphere of water vapor would buld up and cease the ocean's boiling, if it rains too much or water escapes into space, the the pressure would drop and the oceans would begin boiling again.

#3578 Re: Terraformation » Venus vs Mars vs Titan » 2007-03-09 08:55:14

Personally I think messing around with Venus' orbit isn't something we should do...next thing we'll know, we'll have sent the Earth spiralling into the Sun...the slightest miscalculation in moving Earth's nearest planetary neighbor could have DISASTROUS results. It's a risk I'd rather not take. Venus can be terraformed without moving it anyway, so I don't see a lot of added benefit to messing around with its orbit.

You don't realize how difficult it is to send something into the Sun. NASA has plans to send a probe toward Mercury, and it requires multiple gravitational assists. Any shift in Venus's orbit will occur gradually. Rick Smith seems to think this is not worth doing because it will take a long time and eat up so many resources, I agree with the first part, but I come to a different conclusion.

Yes Venus can be terraformed right where it is, but to make the terraforming long last, the planet needs to be brought further away from the Sun. I believe a civilization should stand on its monuments, and no civilization lasts forever. Maintaining the apparatus that shields Venus from the Sun requires a perpetual civilizational attention, once that civilization goes away, Venus reverts to her former self; if we brought Venus further out, then the planet will reach a life sustaining equilibrium rather than rely on an artificial shield between itself and the Sun. The L1 point is extremely unstable by the way, and that's where the parasol will have to be stationed, the slightest push, if not corrected for will remove the shield and expose Venus to the harsh rays of the Sun. It could be as simple as a slight varience in the Solar Output. If the Sun increases in brightness for example, that Sunlight will push the parasol harder towards Venus and out of the L1 point, Venus's gravity would then pull it further away either into an elliptical orbit around Venus or into a different orbit around the Sun. The Parasol needs self-correcting mechanisms to keep it at the L1 point and those mechanism need to be maintained over time by an active civilization, or else it will fail and the Parasol will drift.

#3579 Re: Not So Free Chat » Canada / U.S. relations » 2007-03-08 14:03:50

I know I'll be sorry for bringing this up, Tom, but think of the consequences to the tourist industry of across-the-border measures such as you suggest. In the European Union now, as you must be aware, one can go from one country to another with the same freedom as you can between your states, and we our provinces and territories. Besides, with the increasing risk of "home-grown terrorists" your police-state solution along our thousands of miles of sparcely populated border would be just as impossible to maintain as the Mexican wall scheme. I wonder if you know precisely what the actual threat is that your solution-looking-for-a-problem is meant to prevent? Would it be worth the cost in human and material terms for any security (from what?) gained.

Your 76 years old, so I don't think your too young to remember the 9/11 attack in New York.

What police state solution, all I suggested is that we guard our exterior outside border in exchange for opening up our interiour border between our two countries. If you want something, you have to give something up as well, its not just all about what you want.

#3580 Re: Terraformation » Terraforming the Moon - Your opinion, please » 2007-03-08 13:55:49

Tom Kalbfus,

With a manmade magnetic field i think the moon would loose very little atmosphere.
All depends on what we make the atmosphere on the moon, does it need to be nitrogen and oxygen like earth?

Titan, hmmm not much solar energy to work with at Titan.
Another problem at Titan is when you start warming the place up, all the gasses expand the atmosphere.
That would expose it to possible atmospheric escape.
Not sure you could add 02 to titan anyway, you get methyl oxide or kaboom, or both. smile

That's one way to heat up Titan, just dump oxygen on it until all the combustible gases are combusted. This ought to melt alot of ice I think.

#3581 Re: Terraformation » Terraforming the Moon - Your opinion, please » 2007-03-07 11:02:56

That means you start with a 1 Bar atmosphere in the Moon and 100 years later its a 2/3rds Bar atmosphere. Every 100 years you'd have to replace 1/3 of the atmosphere. I wonder how much atmospheric mass that would be? A steady supply would have to be arriving at the Moon like clockwork to maintain a 1 Bar atmosphere. Probably the Moon would have a slight tail like a comet of breathable gases leaking out into space and every so often Earth would pass through that tale. A terraformed Moon would look pretty though, it would light up Earth's skies alot more than it does now, especially its reflective oceans.

I can see now why you don't like to move Venus around, its very unlikely we will be able to do so in the next 100 years.

How do you feel about Teraforming Titan though? The 300 year figure ought to work for Titan as well, and Titian already has an atmosphere, we'd mostly have to add heat and oxygen. the illumination levels wouldn't have to be the same as on Earth though. Titan's atmosphere would have a substantial greenhouse effect, its crust would melt into a global ocean surrounding a rocky core. Probably Earthlike or even Venus like levels of illumination would do for now, as it would take some time to melt that icy crust. Water vapor would saturate the atmosphere and add to the greenhouse effect, but the ice would absort alot of that excess heat and the temperature would probably hover around zero degrees centigrade nerar the surface, Water ice floats after all. As ice melted on the surface, it would probably seem into the cracks and contribute to the global ocean underneath.

So what do you think, could Titan be terraformed in 200 years?

#3582 Re: Terraformation » Worse case global warming - Hydrogen Sulfide ecologies » 2007-03-07 10:46:14

The Liberals say we have only 10 years to deal with the problem, that means we can't channel our efforts into developing Fusion power to combat the Greenhouse Effect. The liberals would like us to make immediate sacrifices and reduce our standard of living now, I say, no! I think coal has tremendous potential to replace oil, it emits more CO2 however, but it can replace oil. My immediate concern is buying oil from terrorist sponsors or providing them an oil market from which they can readily raise money for their terrorist operations. My immediate concern is to find something my car can run on that provides no revenue for Middle-Eastern countries. The US has the largest reserve of coal in the World, so naturally I'd look to that source, people concerned with the Greenhouse effect would say no and that I should ride around in crappy little put put cars that can barely make it up the hill, so I can get excellent gas milage from petroleum derived fuel, or they say I should walk, or take a bicycle or rely on mass transit and live in a densely packed city. Well I'd rather live the way I live now, in a country with open spaces. I'd rather solve the problem without altering my style of living or reducing my standard of living. We have some time with the global warming problem. If we rush to solve it in ten years, we may make some rash decisions with some negative economic consequences. If we could instead work on Fusion for 50 years and solve the problem that way, there would be less economic consequences and sacrifices to make. I don't like the new ecological "Prophets of Doom". Usually the rule for climate change is gradualism, not catastrophism, so crash programs and belt-tightening are neigther needed or wanted.

#3583 Re: Not So Free Chat » Islam In Britain » 2007-03-07 10:31:08

On the plus side it seems Britain is starting to develop a healthy debate of what Islam should be. I hope the moderates win out.

http://www.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/europe/01 … index.html

Too bad Europe has so much at stake about whether it does or it doesn't though. If you want cheap labor from the third world and the nearest source is Islamic countries that think different from westerners, that is the price you pay.

I can see women's rights backsliding and Jews being discriminated against and oppressed all over again, if the Muslim population gets high enough. If its too politically incorrect to look this problem right in the face, I'm sorry, but the problem is right there. Muslim societies are not as advanced as Western ones, and if population growth patterns persist, then by 2050, Europeans may face the lash or decapitation if they insult Islam. I say to Europeans, don't be so open minded and tollerant of foreigners that you lose your civil rights and freedoms to expanding immigrant populations with a different culture than yours.

#3584 Re: Not So Free Chat » Canada / U.S. relations » 2007-03-07 10:03:36

Yes, I saw both sides of Niagara Falls, and stayed in a Canadian Hotel once. The Canadian side was a town and the US side was a park. Canada and the US seem much alike, except for the political structures and the currency. As I said before, I'm not really worried about Canadians sneaking across the border and competing with me for my job and driving down wages. What I am worried about is the US government considering someone a threat and the Canadian government not seeing it and the US being right. I think if we can just coordinate our immigration and importation policies then we need not check the US/Canadian border, it would mean giving up soverignty on both sides though. National governments are always reluctant to cede national power. We would have to set up an agency that is answerable to both national governments with a shared power structure. I see no reason why this wouldn't work, but I want to make sure that no terrorists can get into Canada that would threaten US citizens, and I'm sure the Canadians would want to make sure of the same things for their citizens too before we open up the border for unlimited unregulated travel. I think my concerns on this matter are reasonable, and not "garbage". You want me to just wave my hands and ignore them, sorry but I can't. You want open borders between the US and Canada, then security concerns of both countries must be addressed first, that is the price, and I believe most Canadians would find that to be a reasonable request.

I think a veto system would work. You would have Canadian and US Immigration officials at every entry point into the US and Canada, each would have access to a data base from his government and each would have a veto on whether to let a prospective visitor or immigrant in. An external foreigner would need to get visa approval from both countries before he would be allowed into either. This would be a more restricive by default immigration policy. You would need Canadian officials at Kennedy Airport for example, and if the Canadian dosen't like somebidy coming through, he can send him back to his point of origin. Like wise a US agent would be stationed in Toronto, and if somebody coming into Canada looks to dangerous, he would get to refuse him entry into Canada. The FBI and the Canadian Police would also have to share databases so they can track down and apprehend wanted fugitives, and if someone commits a crime in the US that carries the Death Penalty, then Canada would have to hand him over if apprehended up there. Likewise if someone was evading Canadian taxes and is hiding out in the US, the US would hand him over to Canada, it wouldn't matter if he wasn't violating laws in the United States.

Canadians might not agree with some US laws, but if someone violates then in the US and then hides in Canada, then the Canadians would have to hand him over to face US justice, and it works the otherway too.

#3585 Re: Not So Free Chat » Canada / U.S. relations » 2007-03-07 08:52:03

I agree with Robert.

Canada is so far advanced beyond Mexico it should be apparent to most everyone.  I live 50 miles north of the Mexican border; that's close enough.

The main issue is culture.  The Canadian culture is one of cooperation.  The Mexican culture is "macho one-upmanship King of the Hill"; they work against each other.  I've seen this culture personally; it's no wonder they cannot get ahead.

Frankly I still think the Canadian border is being scrutinized and "treated equally" to that of Mexico's in order to avoid charges of racism.  roll  Of course those folks would like to see reverse-racism in full swing:  Whitey must submit.

Why is it that every disgruntled minority "gets their own race" so they can make charges of racism? A Mexican is one of three possible races or combinations thereof, either he or she is white, black, or of asian descent, Native Americans came over from Asia during the last ice age, so they count as Asians.

So a white Mexican smuggles himself across the border, he is caught and deported, so he complains bitterly of racism against the "Mexican Race".

I wonder if there is a "Canadian Race" also, or do you have to be poor to qualify as a seperate race?

There are legitimate security issues, its not just "preventing Canadians from stealing our jobs". I think if those security issues could be met upon entry into Canada, they wouldn't have to be dealt with at the US/Canadian border, we would just have to get both governments to operate from the same page. We can't have a situation where for instance, the US considers Iran to be a terrorist state and gives all people from Iran extra scrutiny and Canada does not/

#3586 Re: Human missions » Shuttle STS-117 - Atlantis » 2007-03-06 01:11:59

Now you've done it, CIclops: he's off again, and anything that you write to counter his rantings about all things political "sole for the purpose of embarrassing the President" for God's sake, will get neither you nor this thread back on track. I hope he takes the hint, because outside of politics he seems quite rational, and even imaginative....

Actually I agree that the Democrats are more interested in embarrasing the President. Some Democrats are interested in Space, John F. Kennedy was and so was Lyndon Baynes Johnson, without those two Presidents we might not have gotten to the Moon when we did. Whenever the Democrats have been out of power for some time they go on "attack mode" and try to create problems for the President and by so doing for the country as well. For some politicians, politics is just a game with winners and losers, they expend their efforts trying to create problems for their opponents so they can score points and win. The Democrats seem more moderate when they are in power than when they are not. I dare say, some of the democratic constituents have little love for the USA, and some pols will try to satisfy those interests to get elected.

It would be much simpler if the Democrats would simply provide enough funding for both programs rather than force us to cut spending on one to provide funding for another. If the Democrats want both programs, they should fund both programs, and stop with the expensive penny pinching that will only drive up costs in the long run, they did this with the Space Shuttle by the way The original design for the space shuttle by the way called for a winged lower stage and a winged orbiter, both were to land on a runway, but the Democratic cheap penny-pinching Congress cut funds for development, and the result was compromise and the Shuttle which we have today, and here we go again, cutting funds for a future program to help maintain a present program. I would be happy to have both if Congress would provide funding for both, but if they force us to make a choice, my choice would be the Constellation Program as I think that is more of a space exploration program than the ISS. What I don't want to see is the Orion Program pushed back and back to maintain a bloated Space Station. I think our return to the Moon has been delayed long enough.

#3587 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Orion (CEV / SM) - status » 2007-03-05 15:50:48

Griffin has said that flat budgetting of 2007 has had an impact of 4 to 6 months on Ares I orion developement.

Budget crunch to delay NASA's new moon ship

The craft, called the Orion, won't fly until early 2015, four to six months later than planned, NASA administrator Michael Griffin told lawmakers.

"We simply do not have the money available" to fly in 2014 as originally planned, he said.

Delaying Orion will make it cost more, because NASA will be paying some people's salaries and telling them just to sit there and do nothing until money is obtained to finish the project.

I get nothing from the space station. Its not interesting watching an astronaut in a spacesuit turning a screwdriver, and it will only operate for 4 years after completion. Duh! Why the priority on the Space Station, I just don't see it?

#3588 Re: Human missions » Shuttle STS-117 - Atlantis » 2007-03-05 13:39:21

Because they haven't agreed on a budget. The reason for the freeze is that no one can agree on next year's budget, so the fallback position is the previous years budget, and what are the Democrats doing now? A non-binding resolution condeming the War in Iraq which took 3 weeks to hammer out, sole for the purpose of embarrasing the President, three weeks that could have been more productively spend appropriating the additional funds NASA needs for next year. There were no Budget freezes until the Democrats came to power. I think if the Republicans got reelected to the majority in Congress, NASA wouldn't be having this problem. As it is, I'd gladly sacrifice the Space Station to keep the CEV program fully funded. The ISS is a white elephant, and the Shuttle is scheduled for decommisioning in 2010. If it really is necessary to keep the Shuttle going for 3 more years, NASA could always sell launch services or Shuttle tickets more controversially, it doesn't matter what NASA launches so long as it keeps the Shuttle Personel in jobs and around til when we are ready to launch the Ares. if somebody else pays for the payload, NASA can keep going with the Shuttle program until it expires in 2010. The savings from not fisnishing the Space Station can go toward keeping the Constellation vehicle program on track. If you want someone to complain too, complain to Congress for freezing the Budget and forcing this choice on us, but given my preference the Future is more important that the present of NASA as that present is unacceptable. If everybody was happy with the Shuttle program, we could have just kept on launching the thing and adding on to the Space Station ad infinitum, but since we decided to change course, lets get on with changing the course. The ISS is just a ready source of funds where money is being wasted on a space station to house astronauts doing trivial activities in low Earth orbit, it is nice to have this "fat" to cut so we don't have to cut into the "Muscle" that will actually take us to the Moon and Mars. I don't see much of anything of value that is being don on the Space Station, the Shuttle however is an employment program for those people we want to keep with NASA for when we want to employ them in launching the Aries Rockets. So we can have the Shuttle do 'whatever' while we're getting the next generation launch vehicles ready to launch as soon as we can.

#3589 Re: Human missions » Shuttle STS-117 - Atlantis » 2007-03-05 10:04:38

When it is all said and done, with shuttle retiring in 2010, there will be 12 billion dollars plus of assets doing nothing for space exploration. Just think in 2020 the ISS will be a pile of metal orbiting earth with a value in excess of 100 billion...

It's difficult to put a value on something like the STS infrastructure or the ISS. As an example of the constraints Griffin has to deal with, he recently had to request authority from Congress just to be able to lease some of the Shuttle assets.

Also note that the recent March Storm have petitioned Congress to "Prevent NASA from diverting funds from science, aeronautics and education programs to CEV" - this is very unhelpful, especially when Congress cut over $500m from NASA's current funding and all the money has to come from Exploration. NASA needs full funding and authority to decide how to allocate that money!

I told you so, I told you so! The Democratic Congress is not interested in space exploration, they are not interested in the United States succeeding and making any firsts in anything.

#3590 Re: Terraformation » Venus vs Mars vs Titan » 2007-03-05 09:56:52

Hi Tom.
  I think we have to agree to disagree.  Did you read how many Saturn V's you would have to send to the oort cloud to make this happen?  Do you want to convert all of Earth into rocket fuel in order to avoid wasting Venus?

If you assume we would use chemical rockets such as the Saturn V, but that is a ridiculous assumption. I've also heard that if we use chemical rockets to travel to the nearest stars, the stages required would outweigh all the matter in the Universe, that say to me that we won't be using chemical rockets for interstellar travel. Also the planet that's made out of rocket fuel is Jupiter, but the comets come with their own rocket fuel. Any civilization capable of moving planets, won't be using chemical rockets anymore.

If you want to move Earth too, well the Earth is heavier than Venus.

  It might be easier for you to siphon off 5% of the sun's mass.  Both worlds would automatically move into higher orbits and the sun would cool down.  That might be enough for Venus to terraformable.

That would come at the expense of Mars though. I don't think we are at the final "end of Days" stage of technology and that it will be the 20th century for the next 10,000 years, I think we'll end up with more efficient rockets than Saturn Vs, what those rockets will be is hard to say, there are several likely candidates of course. The requirements for moving planets within the solar system is in someways less strenuous than interestellar travel. High relatavistic speeds aren't required for instance. Terraforming will be more like gardening at this late stage in human history. Mars will no doubt be terraformed first, and its probably easier to build a free space colony than to terraform a planet, but people will eventually look at Venus and say, "Wouldn't it be nice if we had a second Earth? Sure there are plenty of more likely candidates in other star systems, but we live here, and also Earth is here. It is more easier to transfer life from Earth to Venus than from Earth to som eplanet orbiting some distant star. Also we can apply the resources of a Solar System spanning civilization toward moving Venus, while around some distant star we only have the resources of a star ship and its crew.

If you postulate that we have a robust He3 economy and antimatter drives, then we will be able to go to other stars in about 55 years.  (See "Entering Space: Creating a Spacefaring Civilization" by Robert Zubrin.)

  I suspect that the universe has a generous number of worlds that are easier to terraform than Venus.

Warm regards, Rick.

Yes, we will terraform plenty of Worlds, some will be terraformed because they are easy to terraform, while others will command the resources of a Type II Civilization because of its close proximity to human civilization, that's all I'm saying. People will value a second or third Earth more that the trillions of comets orbiting the Sun. There are plenty of things we might more easily do than terraform Venus, and we shall do them. I think in the Long Run, all four planets might be moved to within the habitable zone. Probably the first step would be to shade the planets since that is easier than moving them. Venus could be terraformed longe before it is moved to the proper orbit. An easier thing to do would be to spin up Venus, hitting Venus with comets on sideways trajectories in the same direction will increase its rate of spin and add volitiles.

#3591 Re: Terraformation » Venus vs Mars vs Titan » 2007-03-04 08:29:34

The Earth can be moved further out too, and Venus can be moved to where Earth is now, that way Venus would last 800 million years and the Earth perhaps a bit longer than that. Since the Sun is getting brighter, it must have been dimmer in the past, but despite that there were some warm periods in Earth's past, times when Earth was warmer than it is now.

The Sun is going to last another 5 billion years, but if nothing is done about the Earth's orbit, life will only last 800 million, that means 4.2 billion years of the Sun's light will fall on a lifeless Earth, and I think that is a waste. Something will have to be done about the Earth's orbit if we are to prolong life on this planet, and so long as we are moving planets, why not move Venus as well?

Also what would you propose doing with the planet Venus? Do you propose just pretending that its not there? I think Venus is a waste of a planet, and something ought to be done eventually to put it to good use.

#3592 Re: Terraformation » Venus vs Mars vs Titan » 2007-03-03 15:45:07

When Venus got to be 112,500,000 km from the sun it would be in a 4:3 resonance with Earth and then it would start having STRONG effects on Earth's orbit.

So every fourth orbit of Venus and every third orbit of Earth, Venus will be pulled outward and Earth inward in the same location in the Solar System with respect to the Sun. What this will do I think is deform the orbits of both Venus and Earth so that they are both more elliptical, once this happens sufficiently, they will no longer be in a 4:3 resonance with each other. So the trick it seems to me is to get Venus past this point and use more comets to recircularize each planet's orbit as we move Venus further out. I don't think 112,500,000 km is far enough out anyway as it is not much farther out than it is now. We probably want something more like 140,000,000 km, something far enough away so that the sun doesn't trigger a runaway greenhouse effect, and so that we don't have to permanently place an object between the Sun and Venus to reduce the amount of light reaching the planet. The Sun is getting brighter, so we might eventually want to move the Earth farther out anyway, though messing with a perfectly ok global climate is a dangerous thing.

Also this would require a gigantic restructuring of the solar system to move that much mass. For example, the oort cloud starts around 50,000 AU. They orbit at a speed of 0.1 km / s relative to the sun. This does not sound too bad, we only have to give them a 100 m/s delta vee and the Sun's gravity will do all the rest. However, it will take this comet 60,000 years to fall into the inner solar system from that distance (1/2 of the typical orbital period for comet thought to be coming from that part of the oort belt.)

One needs to ask, do we have a better use for the Oort cloud comets? As they are, they present a long term danger to the Earth as many of them may be perturbed by a passing star and some of them may impact the Earth. I think getting rid of them may be a good thing as there would then be nothing to perturb when next a star passes close by. Also it may take 60,000 years for the comets to fall toward's Venus, but would it take 60,000 years to alter their orbits so that they do so? How long would our civilizational attention span need to be to set this all up? Undoubtably, we'd have to rely heavily on automation to get this done.

Perhaps something could sit on each comet's surface and give mid course corrections when needed. 60,000 years is about the time it would take to reach the nearest stars with current rocket technology. Interstellar travel, it seems requires lots of patience, and so too does terraforming. I think we may terraform Venus a little quicker by interposing some object between the Sun and Venus at the L1 point, but this would have to be maintained by an active situation. Physically moving Venus could terraform the planet for a billion years, and moving Earth could extend the habitability duration of Earth to account for the increasing solar output as the Sun ages. As things stand now, the Sun has 5 billion years of main sequence life to it, but the Earth will be much like Venus is now, before the Sun goes into Red Giant Stage, if nothing is done to move it further out to compensate.

Now you may suggest that in a few hundred years we may have fusion drives and the like, but my point is that planets are big. Really big. I am sorry to say that I think your plan to move Venus is impractical.

I am not trying to make fun of you Tom. Your idea is perfectly possible in principle. However, on a realistic basic, it just won't happen. For that much energy, it is a lot cheaper to go to other solar systems and find worlds that are easier to terraform than Venus.

Sorry to be such a wet blanket.

All these projects would exceed my natural life, including interstellar travel anyway, unless major advances in medical technology or interstellar propulsion were to occur soon. The future is the future, if its 1,000 years or 60,000 years, it hardly makes any difference to me, but I can still talk about it and make pleasant coversations to pass the time

I think if we travel interstellar distances, we will have to terraform planets anyway. Even an "Earthlike" planet is not likely to be Earthlike enough for us to live on its surface unassistated. To have a truly "second" or "third Earth", we are going to have to make them, in the meantime we will live under domes or in artificial colonies made out of asteroids. Since this will be the case, it will make little difference whether we orbit this star or that star. I think a determined and long lived interstellar civilization can fill the galaxy full of Earth-like worlds, where ever one can exist with enough persistance. The best kind of planet to start out with would be one with all the gross features of Earth, the right rotation rate, the right distance from the Sun, enough water, and an atmosphere that can be easily converted to a breathable mixture due to the addition of the right kind of plant life. We should not have to move planetary masses to get this accomplished, but rather we would have to scour the galaxy to find the right type of planets to easily terraform, simply by introducing the right sort of life to it.

Venus is a special case, as it is in our own solar system, right near the center of human civilization. I think we would be willing to expend greater resources to terraform that planet than some distant extra-solar planet that is light years away. the greatest uncertainty is the longevity of human civilization or the human species. Will we last long enough to see the terraforming project through or at least set things in motion so that they no longer require our active participation to see it through to completion? I think if we dump enough water on Venus and let the comets fly so that they alter Venus's orbit, in due course Venus will cool down and life will appear on its surface.

Mars will definitely be easier to terraform, in the end though the lower gravity environment will leave a significantly alien planet with life on it. If not maintained, Mars will likely lose its atmosphere again and revert to the same state that we found it. If Venus is terraformed and moved, it could last a billion years and have a billion years of life and evolution on it.

#3593 Re: Human missions » NASA Delays Orion, for Space Station » 2007-03-03 11:25:09

Hey, I got an idea. The reason we're keeping the ISS is to keep the Shuttle Workers employed until we need them to launch the Aries rocket isn't it?

No it isn't. Like all complicated issues, there is no single reason, it's just one of many reasons. Officially it's because it's part of the VSE, and there are lots of reasons for that, see my earlier posts. Employment on Ares is another reaon yes, keeping expensively trained people with specialized skills is important. Ares will need far less people than Shuttle, so many of them won't be needed after 2010.

Then that means for the same number of workers, you can launch more.

Its not like I give a damn what the Shuttle or the ISS is doing, so as long as their doing something, they might as well take paying passengers.

#3594 Re: Human missions » NASA Delays Orion, for Space Station » 2007-03-03 09:22:41

Hey, I got an idea. The reason we're keeping the ISS is to keep the Shuttle Workers employed until we need them to launch the Aries rocket isn't it?

Here's my proposal:
What if we cancel the ISS yet keep the Shuttle program going, then we build a passenger module that fits inside the Shuttle bay. The passenger module has seats and zero gravity bunks and windows on the roof for gazing at the Earth, then NASA will sell shuttle tickets while reserving half the seats for a Shuttle lottery. NASA can then use the proceeds from the Shuttle ticket sales and the Shuttle Lottery to help pay for the Constellation program and avoid delays in the development of the Aries vehicle due to the fixed budget imposed by Congress. You have to admit, this will keep the Shuttle launch workers gainfully employed and the Shuttle Budget will stay as is, paying for the Shuttle launch costs, leaving the ticket sales as 100% profit to pay for the Constellation program or at least that additional amount Congress won't fund. Since the Shuttle Program ends in 2010, this will serve to prove the Space tourism market and stimulate private developers to develop their own vehicles to capture this market.

Well, what do you think?

#3595 Re: Human missions » NASA Delays Orion, for Space Station » 2007-03-03 08:43:53

Tom opines: "I think that by the time 2010 arrives and if the ISS is not completed, we could just halt construction on it and use it as is."
Question: What would you use it for? How would you go about it, transport-wise?

And that is the hundred billion dollar question isn't it? I don't know what the ISS would be used for even if it was completed towards its specification. The designers compromised its usefulness out of existance. To me the best thing that can be said for it is that its practice for building the real thing on the Moon. An analogy would be those grain sacrifices made in those ancient Eqyptian temples, what this annual sacrifice does is force the farmers to grow a surplus of grain, and then when times of famine arrive the temple gracieously forgoes its sacrifice requirement and this alleviates the famine. Seems to me that the ISS fulfills a similar role. With the budget freeze, NASA is undergoing a "famine" of funding, since the ISS is not doing much that is useful, its main purpose seems to be to maintain a certain budget level for NASA, and since the Constellation program is doing something useful, the funds can be diverted from the ISS to the Constellation program so that it can keep on growing without delay. Delays tend to make costs greater over time.

#3596 Re: Human missions » NASA Delays Orion, for Space Station » 2007-03-02 11:27:56

Tom, please don't insult the russians, Putin does not have absolute control over the media nor has he enroched on any liberties. I admit he's not perfect and there have been some abuses, but he's not Hitler. I also don't think it's fair to compare the problems of the US to those of Russia. The US has a huge economy, and economic growth, 3 times as many people, and little internal coruption. They won. Russian needs some serious work to turn it around. I'm not a liberal by the way.

Yes, it appears, you are not, at least not by the old definition of "liberal" when they actually gave a fig about democracy. I don't insult the Russians, I think they deserve better than what Putin has given them or more accurately, taken away. I just menioned the fact that Putin was a dictator in passing, most people understand this, you apparently don't. Dictators can typically achieve somethings more efficiently and without the debate that democracies can. Putin has turned his office into a dictatorship, that means his job is alot easier than George Bush's, he has no critical press as he controls the press in his country. Newpapers and TV shows that don't sing his praises quickly find themselves out of business, and Putin has alot of levers to pull to see that this happens.

If we had a dictator running the United States, it would be very simple to win the Iraq War for instance, criticism would not be tollerated, and people who criticised would be arrested, if a dictator ran the United States and was a space enthusiast, the money could easily be found to send one thousand people to Mars if he so desired, despite this I think resorting to dictatorship would be a bad move, I don't care what short term problems he would solve because in the long term we would pay the price just like Rome did with the decline and fall of that empire. The Strength of Rome was in its Republic, the dictators that followed simply cruised on its momentum built up during Republican times, the Caesars ultimately undermined the Roman System and laid the foundation for feudalism and a new dark ages. I believe that Putin and his ilk would do the same for future generations of Russians. I do not insult the Russians by saying they deserve better than Putin.

#3597 Re: Human missions » NASA Delays Orion, for Space Station » 2007-03-02 11:04:33

Tom, finishing ISS is a commitment not only to Russia but more importantly to US science, ESA, Japan and Canada.

ISS also has enormous value in preparing for Lunar and Mars exploration. It's the only platform available for testing the effects of long duration space flight, for developing closed loop life support, and for learning how to operate and maintain a space vehicle capable of supporting people for several years. It's no coincidence that ISS expeditions are 6 months and the crew size will be six; these are the parameters for flights to Mars.

BTW Griffin said this week that the money taken from Constellation was to cover the costs of Katrina, STS Return to flight and maintaining the science budget. As he is not allowed to transfer funds from science or operations (ISS/STS) because of instructions from Congress, he had no choice but to reduce spending on Constellation. It's not all bad news, the new chairman of the space subcommittee, former astronaut Bill Nelson, is working hard to fix the problem.

Seems to me that the Constellation program is a manned science program of lunar exploration. Wouldn't that be in the same "do not touch" category as the rovers on Mars?

Its hard to appreciate the ISS program, seems to me, that its just a big stall before going to the Moon. It takes three days to get to the Moon, Apollo didn't need any predecessor space stations, and neigther does the Constellation program. As for Mars, the interplanetary space vehicle is not going to be built in the same way the ISS is. The ISS is just a big stall. I'm not going to live forever you know, and if NASA just delays and delays, then eventually my clock is going to run out and so will everyone else's. Taking a long time to do something as simple as returning to the Moon is hardly justified. We should just get it over with. The best role, I see the ISS fulfiling is as a money holder, money is just wasted there, when fiscal times get tough, the ISS serves as a reserve of spending that can be diverted toward the Constellation Program, not the other way around. I don't see the ISS as something so vital as to justify holding up the constellation program and the return to the Moon, its been delayed long enough, we don't need some lame excuse such as finishing the ISS under a fixed budget. If the budget is fixed because of the shenanigans in congress and their political infighting with Bush, then I think money should be diverted from the ISS towards the Constellation Program to keep the project on schedule. After all the astronauts can have plenty of fun flipping around, doing summersaults, and spins in the incomplete space station as they could in one that was completed. I think that by the time 2010 arrives and if the ISS is not completed, we could just halt construction on it and use it as is. The astronauts can do plenty of spins and jumps inside under weightlessness conditions as we proceed with the construction of the Aries launch vehicles.

#3598 Re: Human missions » Shuttle STS-117 - Atlantis » 2007-03-01 13:02:36

yes hail has damaged another tank in the past. The just in time manufacturing systemare not just part of the contract issues for shuttle parts. It is away of keeping less money on the books as inventory that is unpaid for which really should not be a problem unless the payout is after full forfillment of the contract rather than by pieces.
While 4 years is the shelf life on an SRB, I sort of wonder what the ET's life is before they figure that they can not use them.

It all depends on the cost of the delay vs the cost of the ET. NASA has to pay all the shuttle workers whether the Shuttle gets launched or not. A delay in the shuttle means NASA still pays its workers, but the shuttle gets launched fewer times per year. If it costs extra to build a spare ET, and keep it ready, I think it may be worth it.

#3599 Re: Human missions » NASA Delays Orion, for Space Station » 2007-03-01 12:56:38

Don't get down on Putin, without him Russia would be in even worse shape. He has sky high popularity, unlike bush, and the russian economy is finally starting to catch up with less corruption. He's not a dictator either, since he was elected, and can only stay in for two terms. If the russains take advanage of the US in space, it's regretable, but the main thing is that america put it's self in a bad position with the ISS partners because if they want to keep their reputation, they need to honour their promisses to the partner countries. I doubt that military funding will be used to suport the space program any further, america has a few other costly military projects on the go right now, like two wars.

Russia needs Putin like Rome needed Julius Caesar. Julius Caesar reformed the corrupt old Roman Republic by abolishing it, likewise has Putin done with the Russian Republic. I don't think the short term gain you talk about is worth the long term cost in liberties and self-government. Do you really want George Bush to follow Putin's example by taking over the Press and locking opposition parties out of politics, and appointing the governors as well? I doubt it. We don't need a maximo leader to fix our country and neither does Russia. Of course the right kind of dictator would make colonizing Mars rather easy. Il Duce Zubrin anyone? If anyone doesn't like the Mars program, he can be put in jail. With full control of the press, he could ensure a rubber stamp legislature. No need to convince the public of anything as all power resides at the top as per the Putin model government. We could bend the USA's resources to send thousands of colonists to Mars, and spread tyranny there just as we'd have it here. No annoying Congress to deal with, any judges that rule it unconstitutional may meet with an untimely demise, and of course the press better give glowing coverage of the project if they want to keep the IRS off their back.

I don't really want Space to become the playground of dictators, do you? It is so dispiriting to see liberals like you so willing to throw out 230 years of republican democracy just to satisfy your immediate wants. tsk tsk tsk.

#3600 Re: Human missions » NASA Delays Orion, for Space Station » 2007-03-01 09:53:12

Just because the Democrats are in power, the Bush Administration can't get a budget passed, so its frozen instead and the ISS takes its funding from the Constellation program. Apparently the Constellation program is just a money holder for the ISS in case of budgetary distress on NASA. What I don't get is why the ISS is so damn important that it justifies delaying the Moon program? To keep the Russian Dictator Putin happy perhaps. I don't see why the ISS can't be a money holder for Constellation. The astronauts are clearly having fun onboard the ISS, it would be a shame to spoil their enjoyment of weightless conditions, wouldn't it? Maybe NASA should be rolled into the Defense Department, then it could use some other port barrel spending program as its money holder.  Probably the closing of several military bases could keep the Constellation program on schedule. Maybe NASA ought to be rolled into the Education department, that contains alot of pork money holders should budgets be frozen again.

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