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I hope, when Smurf started this thread, that he wasn't actually expecting us all just to give up and say, "Oh yeah, your right. Mars isn't a good target after all." :laugh:
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No way, but the article posted are not my arguments. Its just that I think he has valid points that shouldn't be ignored and must be discussed. So that when you encounter a real life anti mars person you have your arguments straight and are prepared for any possible angle that person may come from. And also it help developing a business case for Mars.
The reasons for colonizing Mars aren't economic reasons, but in order to start the process we need an economic reason.
Yeah like it said in the article the people for Mars should draw up a good business plan. However you'd need to know more about Mars before you can really do that.
I just came across http://dir.salon.com/health/feature/200 … ndex.html] Ralph Brave reports in Salon: Princeton's Dyson has his own ideas on what is to be done and it reminded me of this thread.
I found http://nanodot.org/article.pl?sid=02/01/02/1651257]this post on http://nanodot.org/]nanodot.org which points to an article by K. Eric Drexler that appeared in the October 1984 issue of the L5 News. You can http://www.foresight.org/NanoRev/Mars.html]read the article here.
The author has some really good points (IMO). For instance:
From NASA's perspective, a Mars mission offers another Apollo-like project that would bump down the old, familiar tracks that once led to glory — and there would be no awkward threat of competition from private enterprise.
If you take this context of the article in which they state that Mars has no economical value. This can be correct because what happens after Mars Direct? Maybe it will be like the Moon project.
I think you are making a mistake between socialisme and communisme. In communisme everything is governement owned and ruled. In socialisme the government sets the rules to whats acceptable and not the consumer but it allows private enterprices as long as it meets the laws set. A bad side effect of this is that the socialist government basically says: "You commoners are not intelligent enough to decide whats good for you" e.g. the extreme high taxes on alcohol and tabaco and notation of personal consumption of these products in socialist governments.
In your situation, a real socialist government would allow a third party to manage the food stockpiles but it makes sure that the third party does everything well. In a capitalist government, you can say that there is a demand for food stockpiles and anyone is free to start one.
In a socialist government, energy providers can be third party but the government sets the rules to what areas they provide with energy and at what maximum and minimum cost.
However, I also believe that 50 to 60 percent of the economy of a Martian society will probably be family owned enterprises. And, as Martian societies become more mature, I would expect to see some large, investor-owned, professionally managed companies develop.
Well most multinationals on Earth started as a family business (Nintendo, Coca Cola, Ford) so that doesn't say much but still in most countries family owned businesses or small companies are really the engine of the economy.
I would propose that the Code provide that the stockholders of a corporation shall not be personally liable for the debts of the corporation if the difference in employee compensation rates is 10 to 1 or less
Were I live we have different kinds of legal ententies for companines. For example: An one man shop (family owned normally), incorparted and freely traded.
The owner of the one man shop is 100% accountable for his business. The (inc) incorparted depends on how they set it up, in freely traded no one is really accountable personnaly however you can sue. I think this works fine. If you don't like it don't invest in companies that don't act that way.
Another thing socialisme is not something of only the cold european countries. Many southern european countries had a socialist government or has one (like spain now).
But overall I agree with your political view but I think its also a lot due to common sence. If you go to the US and then in a small town you will see a lot of you mentioned in a capitalist country. Its just that small communities depend on each other no matter what the political idealogy of the federal government.
I think if you really to make more people interested in space you must build orbiting hotels in space. Where you can go for $10.000 a week.
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I don't think its funny. But I do understand that you may think so.
Its just that Mars and Moon and humans on them are age old stories. Getting people on Mars is such an old story and nothing has happened since the 50 years that people said its possible.
Its like when I see a brochure or on TV something about a holiday on a exoctic island with scuba diving and stuff. But now imagine there are no commercial airlines and only sailing ships. Do you really think people would be that interested in going to some far region? Or would think of it as something realistic?
You can argue to people that's technically possible but most humans are pretty down to earth and will then say: "Well then do it." Or "I will believe it when I see it"
I think if you really to make more people interested in space you must build orbiting hotels in space. Where you can go for $10.000 a week.
Let me add my 2 coins.
The popularity of space exploration could be boosted if we have more and better sci/fi movies, say based on K.S. Robinson's Mars trilogy, Case for Mars and others - optimistic - less war and scary aliens, nasty viruses, more achievable results, no speed light travels - new frontiers - Mars settlement, etc.
Journalists contribute to unpopularity of space exploration by talking about huge budgets needed to get something done. They need to be better educated in this.
Yeah but people don't want to see realistic movies. They want star trek, star wars with sounds in space, they want gravity, aliens like humans etc.
If you look at the http://www.imdb.com/boxoffice/alltimegr … non-us]top twenty of best all time selling movies you will see only two movies (Titanic and Forrest Gumb) that are some what realistic the rest are all fantasy based.
However you had movies like http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0199753/]Red Planet and http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0183523/]Mission to Mars I have seen both but its a long time ago. One of them was kinda of like the book Red Mars. But anyway I guess they didn't sell to well. BTW they are not bad movies but just not Star Trek, Star Wars with huge empires and wars.
I think the media has always been biased but now with more tv stations and the internet you can compare them more easily.
I don't know about how it is in the US, but most countries have and always had newspapers that were supporting some political ideology. Meaning you have newspapers that lean to the right or to the left or have a religious background.
Non Americans read this for a background on Bill O'Reilly http://www.plastic.com/article.html%3bs … mt=167]Fox News' Translates As 'Funny' In Canada?
Is it possible that if a photon hits this field that it could generate an electron? If so then I propose that this idea could also be used for energy production. Just have side of the field act as an anode and the other as a kathode. Then the electrons would flow to one side and the could be stored in a battery or consumed directly.
Also it could work as extreme lightweight solar shade.
Mmmmm thats alot of zeros and assumptions... Stop for a minute and take a step back
Thirty Billion United States Dollars? That is quadruple the size of the WorldComm fiasco, tripple the size of the UN Oil for Food debacle, and so on. This is also not accounting for inflation over those twenty years or any interest on loans.
Yes I know its a lot of money and thats why it would be an international effort. If you want another example look at the AOL/Time-Warner merger which was worth $100 Billion and at some time they had a quartely loss of $45 billion. However they are not bankrupt at this moment. That just prooves that there is a lot of money floating arround in the freemarket. And if there wasn't the government couldn't get its tax based funding for NASA.
Keep in mind that the $30Bn figure from Bob Zubrin is for NASA to head the project, which they already have lots of the stuff you would need... they have Shuttle and its support facilities & engineers to make the Ares, they have the only offices able to train astronauts or test equipment for Mars, and so on... all stuff that you would have to do from scratch if you cut Nasa out of the picture. There goes the $30Bn.
You are right about this but if you had looked at the Space Island Group's website you will see they are developing technology that makes up for the lack of Nasa support. They are even planning to have something like the Shuttle. So like I said you will or can share the development costs with such a organization. <However I do undestand that that the Space Island Group has a high vaporware ratio>
Private MarsDirect? Ain't gonna happen, especially not at 4-6 seats per flight for two shots every two years. 30,000 people? How on (or beyond) Earth would you move so many people? Where would you move them to when you got there?
Well the plan on sending 30.000 people to Mars was not my idea. As the Mars Direct plan is basically just a scouting mission. However its very important so that we know what is on that planet and whats not.
But as soon as you are sure whats on Mars and whats not and where it is. And you have fully developed technology as developed by the Space Island Group. You could start sending hordes of people like Ian proposes.
After getting a link from someone’s post to the site http://www.spaceislandgroup.com/home.html]Space Island Group and browsing through the site. It made me think about commercial spaceflight. As I think that the true space age starts with regular commercial spaceflight.
What I’m proposing is that groups of Mars Direct and the Mars Society start lobbying companies for support and not the government like now. As the Mars Direct cost estimates are about $30 billion* which is a lot of money but not if you lobby business for it. For example the introduction and development of the gaming device X-Box was also in the billions so it seems that companies have means to finance billion dollar projects. However they are not crazy and you need to make a really solid business plan.
They may be not inclined to invest, as you are not sure of the return in investment. This is why you should divide the costs over hundreds of companies some big and small ones and not only American but also any company from any country should be able to participate.
Of course you would lobby companies that may get something out of it rather then Nintendo, the Music industry etc. But companies that build machines like Caterpillar, GE, Honda, Renault, Volvo, Daimler are good targets. As they will then get the orders to build and design the machines when a permanent Martian base is established. As for the smaller companies think of for example parts makers. Also you could lobby the hotel industry, as they will benefit from developed technologies and new markets for tourists. But don’t forget the lobby banks for money they have a lot of money.
After you got enough money guarantees you can set up a company that encapsulates the Mars Direct plan and issue stocks to get more money. Every investor will get a share of the profits and or the developed technology that the Mars Direct company makes which is by selling developed technologies (to non investors), exporting Mars produced products and science.
Being an international and private endeavor you can launch from pretty much anywhere and use any technology without being burdened by such things as pride and country prestige. Just science and economics. So you could use for instance Russian technology or American or European or even a hybrid of those with self developed enhancements. Which ever is the most economic and has the best quality.
The first people on Mars goals would be to explore and see what the mineral composition is of Mars (are there any valuable materials? Is there enough material for a permanent base?) From there on there would be a new plan and is a permanent base.
A way to sell this plan would be to make a hybrid of the Mars Direct plan and what Space Island Group tries to do. That is getting a real space station in orbit of Earth and add to the Mars mission plan: Study the economic worth and possibilities of Mars.
I think the Mars Direct and Space Island Group plans compliment each other. As they will be basically using the same technology with some modifications, so there shouldn’t be a problem. The Space station costs about 3 billion dollars. And returns on investment are faster. But as I said they are almost the same technology. So you could use the same parts for the Mars project and share the development costs of the projects.
The Mars project would need a longer time before you get a return on investment but they will be much greater. And if you have a cheap Earth to LEO space plane you can send cargo and people to the space station all the time and from there on to Mars on a bigger ship.
*The $30 billion is divided over twenty years. So if you could like a hundred multinationals (companies with a lot of resources), 300 middle sized companies and some 100 smaller ones. You would have about 500 companies. The biggest have the most money so will invest more. Lets say 60%. So you could say that maybe the money of all the companies together would be like about 350 multinational investors. Divide 30 billion dollars by 350 and then by 20 years.
30000000000 / (350x20) = ~42 million dollars per company per year. Of course the big companies pay more and the smaller ones less.
Your arguments makes sence but its also something that makes me think of "The rich will get richer".
Whats wrong with improving the lifes of people here and now? I'd rather have security now then chase some wild dream. And the only way you will get cheap(er) spaceflight is by private enterprices. As the NASA and many other agencies are bloated and slow moving (however not all to their own faults). So if cheap spaceflight would be done by private companies, then the government could just step out and work on its to-do list.
I haven't heard of these phantom atoms before, GCNR. It must be quite tricky to persuade all those negatively charged electrons to cosy up to one another in familiar electron-shell format, without the electro-positive protons they usually have available in a nucleus to keep them from straying (?).
And, if you have to keep them cooped up in that 'trap' you mentioned, doesn't that mean they're just interesting curiosities? I mean you can't take them out of the trap and use them for anything practical, can you?
???
Well if you have a television or computer monitor. You might be already using such a device. However not as advanced as what a phantom particle would need (not arguing that its possible or not possible)
Your TV, Monitor has a electron canon. The cathode ray tube generates electrons and they are bombarded to the phosfor layer on your screen. However your TV, monitor uses a magnetic force to control the direction of the electron beam. So it sends the beam from left to right and from top to bottom to create an image.
Read more herehttp://entertainment.howstuffworks.com/tv3.htm]Read more here
We are all part of the Global Economy, greatly influenced by the US.
From your post I gather I have the wrong idea of the Global Economy as I don't see India, Russia and Brazil ready to pay for the US's cocky goal for being the first on Mars. Hey they are in it for the money not the ideals. So is the US but you think the rest of the world will pay its bills? I think you are dreaming.
For me Global Economy just means free trade and perhaps cultural exchange. But not paying someone elses bills.
Why not send inmates to Mars to pull the habitats by physical human force to the right place, like mentioned http://www.newmars.com/forums/viewtopic.php?t=2086]in these posts.? So instead of chaingangs we could have habitat-gangs.
No I'm just kidding
However I did a google for your idea and the
http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&ie=U … ch]results are not to promissing basically like MarsDog said. The pressure on Mars is like in the stratosphere of the Earth and the only things going there are weather balloons.
Are you talking about cyborgs like the Borg where the consignous lives in some kind of network?
If so why do you think all humans want that? I mean you have many humans fighting against cloning, genetic modification, and abortion. What makes you think they will not be around in the future?
I for one am perfectly happy with my body. Only things I would use are tools like glasses or maybe a pacemaker but not uploading myself to a network.
Hi Shaun,
I was talking about intermolecular and in the point that you got this from I was thinking of not a shield like in ST but the ships hull.
As I got from http://www.visionlearning.com/library/m … id=55]this site you got a lot of forms of chemical bonding.
But again I don't know much about chemistry nor physics. So my question is if I would base my idea on "Polar and Non-Polar Covalent Bonding" (on which H2O is based) as according to the above-mentioned site. An example on http://www.nmsea.org/Curriculum/7_12/el … s.htm]this site
You might have expected that H2O would break up into an H and an OH (the same atoms but with neutral charges) instead, but this doesn't happen because the oxygen atom more strongly attracts the electron from the H - it steals it (we say the oxygen atom is more "electronegative" than hydrogen). This theft allows the resulting hydroxide ion to have a completely filled outer shell, making it more stable.
But the H+, which is just a naked proton, is now free to pick up an electron (symbolized e-) from the cathode, which is trying hard to donate electrons, and become a regular, neutral hydrogen atom
Meanwhile, the positive anode has caused the negatively charged hydroxide ion (OH-) to travel across the container to the anode. When it gets to the anode, the anode removes the extra electron that the hydroxide stole from the hydrogen atom earlier, and the hydroxide ion then recombines with three other hydroxide molecules to form 1 molecule of oxygen and 2 molecules of water
Instead of making the oxygen molecule steal the electron and weaken the bond make the bond stronger. With a reverse electrolyses process.
For instance if the (space) ships hull is made of a metal alloy it should have some unique electromagnetic properties. So instead of using amps to destroy a molecule use a field to enhance them.
"Don't we have enough unresolved problems here?"
Yes we do but if you believe space is a thing of the rich as I pointed out in a previous post and so did ANTIcarrot its exactly like now. Where Mars could be a refugee for the rich hiding from the Earths problems. Now you have Beverly Hills and other places but eventually the rich would want more privacy and security.
And wouldn’t it be something like the rich would do and make the poor (poor being low income and middle class) pay for the development of space flight (taxes) and then make it expensive enough so that only rich people and a few selected people can use it?
Isn't tritium one of the most expensive substances in the world?
But he said the idea was to make tritium by
irradiating lithium in nuclear reactors.
which produces tritium.
Now don't ask me about how much lithium costs as I have no idea nor how the process works. As IANNS (I Am No Nuclear Scienctist)
I agree with Trebuchet, Earth famines are not caused by lack of land or even farming knowledge. Like his point a and b and I want to add to b) the lack of disaster planning e.g. stocks.
and I want to add:
c) Farmers prefer to plant coffee or even cocaine/opium as it brings in more money then feeding the local population.
d) Local farmes actually compete with the food aid programs. You got people getting food almost for nothing from Europe and the USA and local farmers producing the food at maybe twice the cost. Which one do you think people will buy? And the farmer goes bankrupt.
The US and Europe have been accuses of dumping there excess stocks on third world countries. Else it would have been destroyed. So even if they sell at a loss its better then getting nothing.
--
I also agree with the micro lending as foreign aid and IMF loans go straight to the dictators swiss bank account.
What are the chances for something even remotely similair to ST shields?
What are your ideas on implementing these?
I'm thinking stuff like:
1. Creating a cushion of plasma (like the space shuttle uses now)
2. For aircraft, ionizing air and then repel it to lower sub-sonic drag. Problem is then how those the aircraft gets its air to make the turbines turn and lift?
3. My limited knowledge of Quantum Physics tells me that all elements have some kind of magnetic properties at the right temperature, pressure and magnetic force. Hence the metallic properties of the inner core of Jupiter’s hydrogen core. Take advantage of this to create some kind of magnetic based shield. For example something that can repel hydrogen atoms.
4. Structural integrity enforcer. Something like how a microwave works except of heating hydrogen atoms it will enforce the molecular bonds. Like how each molecule has a sweet spot in the way it reacts to light absorption and rejection (giving it its unique color).
There must be a way to enforce the bonds of molecules using electromagnetism. Maybe by absorbing an EM field that changes at a certain frequency (of the molecule) and makes the electrons more determent to stay in the molecular bond as long as the EM field relatively is stronger then the external energy force. (But this is almost like the microwave theory)
5. <Insert you ideas here>
From a socialist point of view the whole space exploration is something of the rich.
1. First only the rich and highly educated get to space and eventually Mars. How many % population of the US is rich or carries the title Dr. before their names? And its that small percentage that has a chance to go to Mars.
2. Second the argument of a Mars colony paying for it self by mining and stuff by companies only works for shareholders who are rich.
Smurf975, the sooner we go to Mars the better. I could make dozens of arguements for why it is better to go now, rather than later. Suffice it to say, the sooner we get there, the sooner we begin reaping the benefits.
Yeah you are correct but wish I knew how you are going to pay for it.
There is the need for US military to control space. The trip to Mars is good public relations, allowing for for technological development while not being seen as belligerent.
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In addition, US pride would not allow second place. So Bush cannot leave Mars to the opposition and be seen as abandoning humanity's (US) future.
Well you can have all the pride that you want but who is going to pay for it? Remember the US has huge government and private debts. Also a lot of those depts are funded by other countries. In the future they may loose confidents in the US government and stop loaning money.
I say go to Mars if you can afford it without getting bigger debts. It aint going anywhere so no rush and the Chinese are not able to go there any time soon.