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#276 Re: Terraformation » Is Global Warming real? » 2007-03-20 17:02:30

My oppinion...

C02 all BS.

Short answer (no)
Long answer ($$$)

Read the few papers you can find from people receiving little or no funding and you will be close to truth.

#277 Re: Terraformation » Venus vs Mars vs Titan » 2007-03-19 19:04:07

That is exactly what i found at many sites.
Most of them had long long arguments about the global earth temperatures.

Lots of the sites quoted best guess smile
Funny that such a simple thing as figuring out the average temperature is such a complex beast.

I will stick with the 13.9, works for me. smile

#278 Re: Terraformation » Venus vs Mars vs Titan » 2007-03-19 17:04:03

cIclops,

I got a few different results when searching for mean surface temperature of the earth.

The only site i found that combined land, ocean and ice all into one mean temperature was 5c.

Even browsing NASA it wasnt clear how they measured average temperatures and had no mention of including polar ice regions in any equation.

If 13.9 c is the mean temperature of earth, it just means Mars will need more than 1/4 bar of C02 for any hope of getting above the melt point.

C02 isn't the greatest greenhouse gas in the universe anyway, just a convenient one.
1/4 bar of C02 and a small amount of manmade super greenhouse gas might be the formula needed.

#279 Re: Terraformation » Venus vs Mars vs Titan » 2007-03-18 14:24:45

cIclops,

Found the reason for the difference in temperature.
Mean surface air temperature average 13c.
Mean surface global temperature average 5c

One measuring average ground air temperature 13c, other measuring actual combined ground, ice and ocean water surface temperatures 5c.

I'm amazed they are 8c different, cool temperature of oceans i guess.

#280 Re: Terraformation » Venus vs Mars vs Titan » 2007-03-18 13:57:01

cIclops,

Another interesting thing with adding C02 to mars is the melt point of all the frozen items on mars.
Getting Mars warm enough to melt, might mean that when it melts the release of stored frozen water and gas will make it extremely warm, maybe to warm for a long period of time.

As you say it would be a wild experiment,  with such slow transport of the 1/4 bar it wont be a real fast experiment and easy to know when to stop import. smile

It sure is technically feasible to move the co2 to mars from Venus with our technology, but the costs and length of the project and maybe the enduring will to do such a thing would all be astronomical.

I will have to do some research on that 14c earth average temp.
Seems rather high being a canadian *lol*

#281 Re: Terraformation » Venus vs Mars vs Titan » 2007-03-18 12:24:59

cIclops,

1 bar= instant result.
1/4 bar maybe result with mars ingredients. smile
Stir and wait with 1/4 bar.

I just threw out the 1 bar as a replacement for oxygen/nitrogen atmosphere.

I agree even that 1/4 bar of Venus to mars is a problem.
Not so much the transport to mars, but leaving and collecting at Venus requires Apollo size escape vehicles.

A way does exist to bounce of Venus atmosphere for little escape energies, but collection time is quite small on a bounce of the atmosphere.

Even with a 100 pretty big transports from Venus to Mars and back i would guess at a few 100 years even for 1/4 bar.

#282 Re: Terraformation » Venus vs Mars vs Titan » 2007-03-18 10:49:25

cIclops,

No doubt the atmosphere would be complicated at Mars.
Adding just 1/4 bar of C02 might be enough to release the frozen water and gasses on Mars.
Those gasses are sure to complicate the picture.

I'm not sure that Earths average surface temperature is 14c?
Most of the surface ocean water is much cooler than this, maybe land temp 14c?

I seem to remember a report that when we take into account the oceans and poles on earth the average surface temperature isn't that far from everything being frozen, just 5c or so.
I could be wrong on that though so don't quote me smile

Would be sweet if 1/4 bar of C02 could wake Mars up.
I think 1/4 bar is a thing we could do, still pretty big project though.

#283 Re: Terraformation » Venus vs Mars vs Titan » 2007-03-18 05:49:31

cIclops,

It should be 1-90th Venus temperature divided by 8 for light intensity difference.
or 7.2c average temperature for Mars, Earth is 5c if i remember correctly.

In fact about 2/3 of a bar would suffice, with a 1 bar of co2 Mars would probably be a bit warmer than earth.
Good thing about C02 likes to stay on the planet with little loss from solar activity, so once Mars had a C02 atmosphere it will stay for a long time.
C02 is also a pretty good radiation shield.

With all that C02 we would have lots of 02 available when we need it.
Would be nice to step  out on the surface of mars and breathe normally, but i don't think a mainly nitrogen/oxygen Mars atmosphere will stay warm.

#284 Re: Terraformation » Venus vs Mars vs Titan » 2007-03-18 04:20:07

SpaceNut,

1 Bar of Venus atmosphere would be perfect for mars.
The 1 bar of co2 would put Mars at similar temperatures as on Earth.

C02 separators for breathing apparatus on suits and habitat bases.
Outdoors pretty toxic to most life though, so engineering of plants for the surface a must.
Life in ponds shouldn't require much alteration or maybe none.

Now just the small problem of getting 1 bar to Mars. smile

#285 Re: Terraformation » Mars getting pounded » 2007-03-17 07:39:34

RickSmith,

I've read a bit of "A Warmer Wetter Planet".
All speculation though that Mars is really a wet place when we get below the surface layer.

I still look at the poles on a freeze dried planet and wonder how they stay as ice.
With all that radiation UV etc hitting the pole ice, it should be slowly removed from the poles.

As soon as it's in vapor form the UV should break the h20 bonds, hydrogen being such a light gas should quickly work its way off the planet leaving lots of free 02 around.

The peroxide guess/data  from Viking seems to point to that being the case, but levels of 02 should be very high if the poles have been in existence for a long period of time.

Free 02 should be much higher in the atmosphere also if the poles have been in existence for 100 million years or more.

Mars for sure is an interesting place, trying to figure the planetary mechanics out will probably give us a real picture of Mars with little speculation.

Hopefully Mars won't turn out to be an extreme desert 100s of meters deep everywhere but the poles, due to freeze drying and small impactors over millions or billions of year

#286 Re: Terraformation » Venus vs Mars vs Titan » 2007-03-12 18:35:21

Tom Kalbfus,

Interesting idea.
Couldn't we just separate the co2 on Venus into C and o2 an excellent rocket fuel.
Find a good use for the C in the project and you have a decreasing atmosphere while you are moving the planet.

Solar power for separation and power to get both o2 and C into orbit.
60 something bars of liquid oxygen would be some heavy duty thrust. smile

dicktice,

I think your idea of the floating cities will be the only way we will settle Venus.
Might also be a great long term production facility in the longer teraform terms.
I still don't like the acid clouds that are sure to make materials a problem.

#287 Re: Terraformation » Venus vs Mars vs Titan » 2007-03-12 09:05:02

samy,

Yeah just the thought of the large sloppy orbit object needed to move Venus over 10,000 years gives me shivers.
One bad impact day or very sloppy orbit day at Venus probably would be a bad day for earth later on.

Even if you could move Venus somewhat easily, i would think that the delicate balance of moon earth would be impacted if Venus was much closer than it is.
Just a tiny extra tug more on the moon than on earth with each orbit would cause some serious problems on earth.

The sunshade for Venus is such a good idea in theory, but in practice it seems near impossible.
Probably better to think of Venus as a carbon and o2 bank, then change Venus with  co2 withdrawals over many thousands of years when we need recourses.

#288 Re: Terraformation » Venus vs Mars vs Titan » 2007-03-12 07:14:42

I see lots of people with ideas for Venus involving sun shades, but the size and stability of such a structure in space with solar winds/storms so strong near Venus eludes me.

The only way i can convincingly make a sunshade at Venus is to collide small asteroids in orbit creating a debris ring.
Even that will only create about 25% shade, probably not enough to cool things enough to start doing anything useful on the surface.

The mass of carbon at Venus also has its possibilities as a smog debris ring orbiting Venus.
Problem with that is getting it to orbit.

Just my opinion, but i don't think Venus will be seeing a useful sunshade approach as a way to cool things to begin a terra form.

#289 Re: Terraformation » Terraforming the Moon - Your opinion, please » 2007-03-08 18:49:23

Tom Kalbfus,

Lots of heat for sure. smile

I wonder what would happen to the atmosphere of titan with wide scale files from introduced o2?

Might be a good thing that the water ice stays in frozen state on Titan.

Titan is an awesome place for a colony, with frozen water split as 02 and hydrogen, methane rain as inexhaustible fuel source and a thick atmosphere for radiation protection.
I would expect Titan to be a city like enclosed colony that is self sufficient almost immediately as its established.

#290 Re: Terraformation » Terraforming the Moon - Your opinion, please » 2007-03-07 18:15:39

Tom Kalbfus,

With a manmade magnetic field i think the moon would loose very little atmosphere.
All depends on what we make the atmosphere on the moon, does it need to be nitrogen and oxygen like earth?

Titan, hmmm not much solar energy to work with at Titan.
Another problem at Titan is when you start warming the place up, all the gasses expand the atmosphere.
That would expose it to possible atmospheric escape.
Not sure you could add 02 to titan anyway, you get methyl oxide or kaboom, or both. smile

#291 Re: Terraformation » Mars getting pounded » 2007-03-04 07:28:15

RickSmith,

The bar pressure on Mars is to low for water to exist as liquid, melted ice becomes gas in a semi violent reaction.
Even water that is 50% salt cant stay as liquid, even liquid co2 on mars would gas out.

Its possible for frost to reform on the surface of mars after each impact, but only in the short term.
Mars acts like a big freeze dryer, most of the frost should return to the atmosphere quite quickly.
This might be the mechanism that forms the pole water ice deposits over millions of years, simply because it's cold enough at the poles for water ice to stay in a more permanent freeze.

In my opinion not much of the frost will have a chance to sublimate to deeper levels, no real mechanism exists on mars to allow it other than dust cover.
Some of the frost might make it as deep as the dust covers is, but on Mars the constant global dust storms should expose most of that frost to the surface periodically.

Mars in my opinion will be freeze dried for the first 100ft or so, after that depth we might find frozen water reserves.
Some of the cooler latitudes on mars might be an exception, those places that have been below 0c for eons and lucky enough not to be hit with small impactors that locally heat thing up over the last billion years.

Just my thoughts though, but if i was going to mars to look for water i would settle near the poles or get a deep well dug smile

#292 Re: Terraformation » Mars getting pounded » 2007-03-03 18:09:56

RickSmith,

It's a puzzle for sure.

Those little thumps on Mars even though they only make 50 ft wide craters should vaporize water around that impact site for another 50-100ft down and surrounding the impact zone.

On Mars that water at the atmospheric pressure doesn't ice out, it contributes directly to the atmosphere in the short term.
Only icing out as it cools, impacts on Mars should turn frozen h20 directly into gas.

The mystery is where is all that ice from at least 100 million years on impacts?
It cant be below the surface, because all forms of gas should be freed to the atmosphere with the heat from each impact.

I agree Mars has ice all over the place, but in such limited quantities that it maybe only accounts for a few 100 years of impacts.

It's something interesting to think about, really makes you wonder if all that expected frozen h20 will be under the surface or not.
Or maybe just not in the first 100ft depth. smile

#293 Re: Terraformation » Mars getting pounded » 2007-03-03 05:38:16

RickSmith,

The trouble with the 12 impacts a year if mars is wet underneath, is where is the thick layer of snow covering the planet?

12x 100 million years or 1 billion years.
Even with a small release of h20 from each impact, if the h20 doesn't migrate to the poles then mars should be covered in snow?

Either mars is so dry under its surface that impacts release near nothing in h20,or all the h20 has migrated already.

If we guess at mars being like it is for 1 billion years, that is 12 billion small impacts.
More than enough to vaporize all the h20 everywhere on the planet a few hundred feet down.
That is not even accounting for the larger rarer impacts.

No snow on the surface probably = no water under the surface.

#294 Re: Terraformation » Venus vs Mars vs Titan » 2007-02-20 11:33:40

Tom Kalbfus,

That is an interesting idea.
Any guess at how long it would take to move Venus?
And how close to earths orbit before we start tugging on each other?

On the same sort of thought, couldn't we park a large asteroid or KB in a sloppy orbit of Mars to heat its core up?
Maybe mine the asteroid or KB at the same time its in orbit for super greenhouse gasses/water/co2/hydrogen/nitrogen etc for Mars.

Similar to the Io internal heating from its gravitational tugs in the outer solar system.

#295 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Earth's first planetary engineering project. » 2007-02-19 14:03:16

We are ok with warmer temperatures in Canada.
In Canada we are thinking about a machine that makes co2 24/7  *lol*

#296 Re: Terraformation » Methane/Ozone manufacture on Mars » 2007-02-18 14:44:18

dreammaker,

I'm not sure the pressure issue is a main one on mars, just heating up Mars takes care of the severe low pressure once we get to the melt point of water.

I think bacteria would do a nice job of converting Martian elements into useful greenhouse gasses and other useful items for colonists.

All we need for anaerobic bacteria is liquid h20, heat, food and a simple home such as vast plastic bags on the surface.

Select the bacteria on earth that produces the most waste products useful for greenhouse gas.   

A similar system with algae and clear plastic could produce a simple food chain and o2 for the colonists and as fuel.

Probably no need for huge nuclear reactors as all we need is heat and small pressure pumps, solar cells and batteries would probably do the job.

With the production of methane and o2 we have fuel to power everything.

#297 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Gamma ray bursts point to dark matter source? » 2007-01-11 13:55:36

C M Edwards,

I wonder how many hidden black holes in each galaxy would account for the signus of any given galaxy?

If we can make a realistic guess of black hole creation with gamma events over 15 billion years per galaxy.
If that guess gets us close to the signus signatures of a galaxy it is probably pointless to look for dark matter.

Dark matter isn't my favorite theory anyway, easier to explain the properties of dark matter with external gravity sources (exterior universes)  than it is with impossible to detect matter. smile

So much possible math is useable for the Gamma bursts Vs black hole creation that it would be very difficult to get any real number.

quantity per day we detect X focal point of earth X quantity per day that make no burst X 365 X 15 billion etc etc.

I wouldn't be shocked at all if we only detected 1 in a million black hole events.
I wouldn't be shocked either if it was 1 in 100.
Lots of room for very variable quantities.

Good point about the 1/20000, i was trying to make sense of why that number was so high.
Seems about right for a max 2 degree focus on an entire black hole sphere.

Wish we had a bit more input here for very educated guesses and could define numbers a bit better.
Even if its just  5% though, it shows that the dark matter idea probably isn't right.

#298 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Gamma ray bursts point to dark matter source? » 2007-01-11 06:56:03

C M Edwards,

Your welcome.

I had the same thought when the calculation came to me, very cool. smile
The numbers of black holes are mind boggling.

In pretty short work we can account for maybe 50% of the dark matter, with a little creativity I'm sure most of the rest isn't to hard to find now that we might have the culprit.

Black holes that are undetectable, galactic core black holes that accumulate mass.
Both of them are good candidates for more %.

More remaining unaccounted mass, failed stars to small to shine.
I wonder how many of those are created for every burning star?

Quote "I still have doubts about the ability of this to explain gravitational deviations on the intergalactic scale, though"

This sort of touches on a personal theory of mine so i will take a stab at it and see what you think smile

If our universe is just one of an infinite number of them (not parallel universes).
Something like bath bubbles that go on forever in every direction.

If our universe is one membrane that nothing can escape, except for gravity being a negative force, wouldn't our universe be pulled from all other surrounding universes in different amounts?

Each universe around ours could be in any state from giant black hole to near fully expanded universe.

When we actually collide with another universe one part of our universe halts its expansion, then our internal gravity is stronger than the external gravity.

That would explain the weird gravitational deviations in our universe, how our universe gets started each time, how it collapses and why it appears that our universe is speeding up it's acceleration.
It could even explain why a universe needs not be a particular size (mass) to repeat itself, it just needs to wait for the inevitable collisions to happen to start the big crunch.



John Creighton,

Good point.
I'm not sure of the data of black holes starting gamma ray bursts then stopping, then starting up again.
I bet that a small % of then do exactly that.

If we looked at size of black hole VS frequency or size of bursts i also bet a correlation exists for that.

Although i bet that all the gamma ray event we see are all very similar.
If they are to big they don't create them, or to small they don't focus them well.
The ones that make it to earth and are detectable are probable very very few of the true number of black hole creation events.

The daily number is just the number detected each day, or best guess of new ones each day.

#299 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Gamma ray bursts point to dark matter source? » 2007-01-10 12:29:15

C M Edwards,

Tough to say what the numbers should be for gamma ray bursts.
If we select a number more closely to the observed and between what they guessed at we might select 2-5 a day.

That is probably a realistic number.
Maybe 3 a day would be easily detected with a full 24/7 search.

We can also be a bit more realistic on the 1/20,000 focus guess.

If we choose the somewhere in the middle point of 1/5,000 it should be closer to the reality.

3 X 5000 X 365 X 15 Billion puts us near the dark matter mass requirements.

The focal point of gamma ray bursts pointing at earth is the real math changer, the 1 or 10 a day gamma burst detected won't make a signifigant change in numbers.

#300 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Gamma ray bursts point to dark matter source? » 2007-01-10 12:13:45

C M Edwards,

10 gamma ray evens a day was the best guess they had on the show, only about 1/5 or less of the possible events are actually detected.
That was the reason for the 10 a day.

Gamma ray bursts are like nothing else detected, they require gamma rays to be focused from a black hole in two exact very focused opposite directions to traverse the distances to arrive at earth.

If they are not well focused they never traverse the distance. (that is another mass of possible black holes we simple might never know about)

For each one we see at least 1,000, and more like one in 20,000 happen that one of the two focal points simply don't point toward earth.

Like one man standing on the moon with a laser, another man on earth with a laser detector.

The man on the moon randomly starts up the laser in a random direction, the man on earth begins to detect for laser light.
After many thousands of attempts the man on earth detects one laser light.
Probably simple random angles could give a better % here, but i think they are probably close to right about 1 in 20,000.

Even if we are pretty conservative about the math and use the 1/1000 it  puts us at
5,400.8 trillion black holes.
Likely as much as 210,600 trillion black holes, not including poorly focused black holes or black holes that have passed the gamma ray production phase or black holes that never produce gamma ray bursts.

Those numbers would surely fill the needed quantity of dark matter.
I couldn't believe none of the scientists put this math together on the show about the inescapable quantity of black holes due to the detection rate.

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