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Did you know that Iraq was going to use the Euro just prior to the way?
Interesting aye?
Yeah it was that fact the let me to reading articles about the pending dollar crisis.
But I thought Iraq was already using euro's and Saddam made some big money out of it as the Euro was and still is rising against the dollar. It was changed back to the dollar after GWII
American Economy most likely won't even suvive another 15 years on Earth.
I might be true if the rumors that I hear that oil producing countries want euro's instead of dollars for oil. As the value of the dollar is coupled to oil. As long people need oil they need dollars.
If the dollar then takes a plunge then all the government loans will be worthless to the holders and they will be selling them like crazy and the government can't pay its dept anymore.
Regarding hybrid cars: I've said it before, and I'll say it again--forget about better mileage since that's a given. Why don't you mention the advantages of no idling in traffic, and extrapolate the benefits of that for every big city on Earth in the short run?
Well a lot of people (if not most) think with their wallet and not their conscience.
the Second Law of Thermodynamics, which states in in its simplest terms that in any process energy out can never equal or exceed energy in; in other words, no process can ever be 100% efficient.
What about matter - antimatter? Well that is if you forget the energy it took to create the antimatter.
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And yes, conventional power plants can be clean. The only exhaust will be water vapor. However the mining and transportation of the fuel is not clean. However it’s a lot cleaner then everyone using fossil fuel based machines instead of electric ones.
And it’s easier (cheaper) to switch from one kind of fuel to another for power plant in the power grid then all the individual machines upgrading to something else from whatever they were using as fuel. The machines get their electricity be it produced by fossil fuels, nuclear, hydrogen, solar, hydro, wind or burning garbage.
Take for example hybrid cars. Build them with a small fossil fuel tank, lets say 10 liters and the engine is quiet inefficient and does 1L/30KM. So if you would drive on only petrol you still could do 300 KM (186.4 miles). If there is a breakthrough in for example hydrogen energy you could benefit from it, as electricity that charges your car would become cheaper. You don’t have to upgrade / buy a new car. And to make matters even better make the fossil fuel burning engine run on biological diesel.
So I'm for an electrical age where everything runs on electricity and power producing companies supply electricity to the grid by whatever means that is acceptable by the countries laws. Of course you would phase it in like now from normal cars to hybrids and in the time being let battery technology improve. And don’t push it, as you will get a lot of inefficient situations.
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Im sorry to say that people are stupid, who are they going to believe a man in a suit saying how great this genetically modified corn is, Or the large group of protestors shouting Frankenstien food, doom and gloom.
I can’t blame them, especially after the mad cow disease and all the hormones that are in meat or the breast milk vs powered milk cover-ups. I’m not saying anything; I will wait and see what time tells about these new products. Personally I'm for selective breeding or even crossing but messing with the genes is to much for me.
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Water now that is the problem. It is water that will be or a prime contributor to most wars that will happen in the future. It is a finite resource is pure drinking water and it is easily damaged. Ground water in most african and middle eastern states is either at a low amount or polluted.
Actually water should not be a problem. See the post about terraforming the desserts. If the nations in question would invest in water purification plants they could manage. For example if the Middle Eastern countries can build huge pipelines and refineries for oil they can also build huge pipelines and refineries for seawater. It's just a matter of looking ahead for the respective governments.
Using history there was no commercial need for England to create colonies in the americas. But they did.
Not quiet true as a lot of immigrants came to the US to escape hunger, oppression, war and mass unemployment.
So there where soci-economic resouns to move to the new world but I can't see any soci-economic reasons for living in a cave on Mars. That as long they haven't found unobtanium on the Moon or Mars.
Well its not exactly free I would say, but if there is a huge demand for it, then i'm sure that we can find a way to produce the stuff more cheaply here on Earth than hauling it from Mars.
Thats also that I think, that is that at this moment there is no commercial need for a space, moon and mars bases.
Wouldn't Phobos and Deimos be ideal space construction bases? They could provide accommodation (in tunnels) that also protects from radiation, and a supply of raw materials. Meanwhile, Mars is on their doorstep with food, etc.
Yeah but they have almost no gravity so if people are living on it they will become boneless blobs, that can't go anywhere except space.
I think there these options:
1. Von Neumann machines
2. Cheap access to space (similair cost of sending something by slow boat from Japan to the US)
3. Spend trillions of dollars.
I think its correct about Mars, Asteroids, mining and stuff.
But you need to confince people why they need to invest trillions of dollars for a Mars colony and terraforming without calling them the stupid mass.
Yes eventually the Mars and other space colonies will be self sustaining and perhaps fancy tech may come from it but before that trillions of dollars need to be invested.
Confince people that there is a need here and now for Mars and space colonies. If you can't do that there will be nothing but scienctific missions or other Apollo projects (get there and forget).
Ok there might be less water but what about metals and exotic elements?
I agree with MarsDog and ecrasez_l_infame - we want nice people on Mars. I wonder if candidates
should be screened not only for their character but for political views?
Do you think a canidate will say that he likes dictators? That he is for a single party system? That he thinks his views are better?
People can lie and they will.
Also a lot of dictators and serial killers came from normal middle class families.
The best thing is to send a lot of different people. Balkanize Mars and there will not be one strong faction. However don't make them live in there own domes. Mix em up and have a strong communications network (making the world (Mars) smaller) and make people identify with each other.
Basically people on Mars from different backgrounds, different goals, freedom of speech, freedom of culture (balkan).
I think sending astronoauts to a space station like the ISS can be hard as I can imagine that it gets boring at times. So good food is a good moral booster.
But on Mars with all the new exciting areas and features to explore and then more. I think you will need to remind the astronauts to eat at all.
I was thinking about the solar system.
The four inner planets are made of rock and the others on the outside are gas giants. So the lighter elements are further from the sun. This makes sense due to gravity and all.
But doesn't this mean that Venus may have more heavier and valueable elements then Mars?
Basically you mean what if a dictator takes over?
(well, i guess you could build a small one, anyway. I'm nitpicking, kinda, i just wanted to point out it doesn't all have to be 21st C hitech. We've been building robots since the 60's. )
Yes I agree a 1970’s era computer can control a lot of the machines and even more machines can get by with just logic that’s made out of transistors and diodes (electronic punch cards).
But I just wanted to point out that its possible. It’s not the technology stopping you but the ideas on how to implement it in space.
Soooo... Any mentioning of all this in the new space-initiative? It looks feasible, and tremendeously promising, so they'd be stupid to let the new General Dynamics report gather dust...
Yeah that’s sad, because if you have a plant like this working (even on the moon) you can have 100 space-initiatives every 6 months. But personally I think the first report was more like I imagine it. Scientists IMHO like to dabble of with building extreme stuff if given the chance.
General Dynamics report also somewhere mentions the original report and said it was greeted with great enthusiasm. But died slowly for no real reason.
The knowledge gained from actually building something like this would be already be worth the investment and then the gain from having it spit out anything you feed it would be enormous.
But then they did continue with a Shuttle program for years. I think its hard move NASA in another direction, because of all the politicians wanting their say in what happens. :angry:
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From the General Dynamics report:
Self-assembly does not use von Neumann’s “Genotype + Ribotype = Phenotype” paradigm,
which he proposed even before Watson and Crick discovered the structure of DNA. In other
words, unlike in self-replication, with self-assembly you can’t just change the instructions, keep
the same machines and input parts, and get a predictable output, much less a desired one.
I thought: “heh?”, when I read the first pages. But after reading this point I guess I was thinking correct. What they are saying is that they want nano machines to basically create anything from known blocks. And just keep them running until something useful comes out of it.
I want the self replications were you feed in known and tested designs that can be build with the parts (blocks) that you have or are able to make. And you can change those designs at anytime.
So I say no to Self Assembly but yes to Self Replication Systems (SRS) that follow the “Genotype + Ribotype = Phenotype” paradigm
I’m now at the end of chapter three and I think they are losing it. They started well with modular robots but then started talking about smart matter and programmable matter. Which I think is nice but out of scope. Its like if I would start talking about a mission to Mars and at the second paragraph I start talking about faster then light travel, which is sweet but not needed.
Well chapter 3.10 explains what they are thinking which is good and as I posted. You can’t build nano machines by hand and if you want a lot of nano-machines you will some automated process.
In general the report has a lot of information but they forget to look at what is already happening now. Now if you build a car, most parts (engine, tires, transmission, lights, radio and etc.) will work in any other model or brand. So there already exists a modular parts way of building and it is applied. And you can cut for example the transmission into even smaller parts, which I guess is also already happening. You got the nuts and bolts, wiring, gears and many other parts that make up a transmission that can be build by a third party and be build into many different types of transmissions or other devices. So at macro scale nothing new and already working except for the 100% automated part.
I saw an image of a SRS build using lego blocks. Funny thing I was also thinking of doing that to prove the concept of SRS’s. Build using lego mindstorms a SRS that is able to build it self in parts and also build mobile assembly robots, that then will assemble the parts at a different location.
(*offtopic: Smurf, when i was a kid, i met your 'spiritual father,' Peyo! My uncle knew him (he's an illustrator from the same generation) and i was totally starstruck to meet the creator of the Smurfen... )
Well to be honest there is no real reason behind this name. It’s just that I’m bad at making up names and smurf was the first that came to mind.
Does anyone know how much stronger alloys blended in microgravity would be compared with terrestrial alloys? I have heard that they could be 2-3 orders of magnitude stronger, but I am not sure if I believe that (sounds to good to be true).
I don't know much either about it and a google for metalurgy+zero+gravity doesn't show much useful links.
I did find a link to a study from nasa on the vomit comet with water here is a quote from the conclusion:
As for the results of their experiments related to bursting water filled balloons, the analysis above is certainly proof of the fact that the behavior of liquids when these become freed of enclosures under microgravity conditions is significanlty different than if the same event takes place under the influence of gravity. Not only does surface tension hold the mass together but it was observed that even after the bulk liquid moves about freely within the enclosing chamber it behaves as a very sticky, crystalline mass that does not seem to produce much "splash" when encoutenring objects in its way but that it simply wraps itself around or onto the interfering object. When the liquid mass came in contact with the chamber walls it seemd to form a bond and attached itself to it much like a very viscous substance. It was not until gravity was reestablished in the plane that the liquid would de-attach from the chamber walls and cause a familiar "splash" associated with liquid impact on a surface under gravity.
I read some where that is the way crystallization works in zero-g that makes the metals stronger in space. BTW read the article http://www.rit.edu/~andpph/ipt-zerog.html]here.
This what I found in google groups:
Besides, the entire point of the space station is that it is
at zero-G. You can do things in zero-G that you can't do at one.
A simple and trivial example is that you can mix oil and water;
they're not pulled apart by their separate weights and densities.
While that's probably not useful in and of itself, there lies the
possibility that certain alloys can be made because the metal can
be cured in an evenly distributed state. Some theoretical chemical
compounds, such as drugs, can't be made on Earth because interim
forms are so delicate they disintegrate under their own weight; in
a weightless environment their manufacture may be possible.
I couldn't find any hard numbers.
Slightly off-topic. I would go to live on Mars if given a chance - I only have one concern - what if some idiot decides to violently take power on Mars and turn everyone into slaves or similar. Even volunteers that go to Mars could be crazy, you never know. The human factor bothers me more than the natural difficulties. The police should be created in the very first steps of the colonization.
You mean if NASA would send 50 astronauts and one starts a martian cult to which 25 of the others join. Now they don't want to go back to Earth and don't take orders anymore from Earth.
Well that could be a problem . Houston we have a problem.
Hey didn't the US start this way? Didn't they show the middle finger to the British?
But you make it sound that the robots will work in the wilderness and I'm trying to build a robot nation. Which is not true.
If they can't work outside how are they going to build new factories? For growth the new factories obviously have to be outside.
You have specialized robots. Those that build, resource gatherers, miners, scouts and many more.
The scouts would be like the Mars rovers.
Well anyway using sattelite and scout information a new site will be selected for a new plant by humans (remember not a robot nation).
The bulldozers are given a path of least resistance (by sattelite information) to the new site and on the way they build a road. They equalize the terrain of the new site and then move on or go back to their HQ.
Now the terrain that other robots will work on is not a wilderness anymore. There are roads (with beacons) going from and to the new site and the site is cleared of any obstacles.
I assume you want more details but they are explained in the reports.
this just in..... robotic insects take over space. :;):
Your making fun of us. Thats ok, but please skim through the reports mentioned and you will see that all your arguments have been thought off.
If it is so simple I am going to build a CNC machine shop in the middle of the Sihara Desert and use beam bots as my work force.
No one ever said to use BEAM bots but to use the same logic that beam bots use. Thats different.
BTW. I mean putting the right tool bit on the CNC machine. One machine could use a hundred different tool bits. I guess the CNC machine could select the bits from a compartment of the machine and perhaps tighten them independently.
So you think that there would be a whole plant on the moon with just one machine thats able to do everything?
Why would a machine need to use 100's of different tools? You have specialized machines. One that screws bolts, the other welds and yet another that glues. One robots one task. Like in an assembly line be it human or robot.
No I don't think its trivial as I quoted from the NASA report in an earlier post:
If the construction of a replicating growing lunar factory was purely a matter of machine parts assembly, then the length of the replication program could be determined by the necessity to locate various required parts in the environment and then to specify and execute the proper placement of each part to construct the desired system (Heiserman, 1976). However, it is likely the reproductive process will be vastly more complicated than this, since it is not likely that all parts can be supplied "free" from Earth. If the lunar factory must begin, not with completed machines or parts, but rather with a raw lunar soil substrate, the task quickly becomes many orders more difficult - though not impossible.
If you look well then here on Earth you will already see fully automated plants. Well they still need energy, resources and repairs but if its working its working without human input.
And in politics not always do the best plans get used but the one with the biggest and best lobby. As the shuttle program has a lot of depenend companies it is hard to stop it.
But you make it sound that the robots will work in the wilderness and I'm trying to build a robot nation. Which is not true.
All, you have to do is click your heels together three times and say, I want to go to mars, I want to go to mars, I want to go to mars.
You should be reading this http://sources.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advan … tents]1980 NASA report and this http://www.newmars.com/forums/viewtopic … 053]modern NASA report before you start mocking anyone in this thread.
If you read both and still think its funny then either you are crazy or you have some really good points you neglect to share with us.
Ok but is you used chloroplast in real life? You can't send astronauts to some distance planet with untested systems.
How will they know what tool or what part to use?
They don't have to know anything. They just need to follow steps that the punch cards tell them to.
I'm not thinking of a robot nation you know, they are just automated tools.
The robots don't think about what tools to use they just follow a sequence of steps that is programmed. There might be a bug but the program is updatable.
Selecting the right tool or part from a box in a real factory environment is a much more difficult task then you may think.
They select nothing they just do as they are programmed to do.
best intelligent machines here on earth
I don't know of any intelligent machines on Earth that works in manufacturing. And intelligent is perhaps a bad way of describing. They may have a more complex program logic but they are not smarter. As far as I know there is no program at this time that is able to think. It just follows a step of instructions. It’s called IF THEN ELSE loops. The more IF THEN ELSE loops it may look smarter but it isn’t. It works for the Mars rovers to have some AI but they work in unknown territory.
How will they decide to go from point a to point b?
They don’t decide, it’s programmed for them to do so.
How will they avoid other robots coming in there direction?
Two-way roads. But then what would they do if a robot is stuck on the middle of the road?
That is logic that can be handled by a program routine that follows certain steps on how to avoid obstacles. Or much easier would be to make a two-way road but with on each lane an escape path to avoid stuck trucks. Like you have on highways when you have car troubles. This is logic that you could do on the http://www.apple-history.com/frames/bod … l=aI]first apple computer, which is from 1976. But I think you could do with less.
And its not my goal to make a human indepenent SMF but an Earth money and resources independent SMF.
It is simply a matter of cost. If the robots can’t operate somewhat autonomously this means, more labor costs to operate them and more infrastructure cost for the communication. As the number of robots grows, through hopefully self replication the problem becomes more exasperated. Maybe the first few robots could be tellaoperated but this will prove inadequate for truely exponential growth.
The Mariner and the Russian Venus explorers did just fine without Pentium chips. And so did a lot of other space explorers (they are robots at the end)
About SMF (space manufacturing facilities) which robots need to be controlled intelligently? As far as I can think of the only ones that need some kind of AI are the ones working outside the factory or all those that are mobile. And only a very, very small number of the robots need to be mobile.
All the static robots (the ones that actually build) will just follow a set of programmed steps (punch card technology), which can be updated/changed by a human from any place.
And even so a lot of the mobile robots can be dumb to. For instance the resource transporters the ones that bring in the resources to the factory. They just need to follow a path that is surrounded by beacons and a route known to be save and cleared / flattened of any unknown objects. Then a crane robot will detect if a resource robot is at its location (using sensors) and will put lunar/Martian soil into the resource/truck robot. Sensors will detect when the resource truck is full. Again this is all using punch card level technology (and sensors are as old as punch card, well even older).
I'm not saying it’s easy but its doable
Why would they need to be able to act somewhat autonomously?
I mean the enverioment they are working in is 100% explored. They have programmed tasks and thats it. They should not encouter unknown situations except for defects.
All robots intelligently controlled would have to be controlled remotely. Moreover the computers would be massive and take a long time to construct.
I don't understand why you need the robots to be able to make intelligent decisions.