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#251 Re: Human missions » The Case Against Mars - Why Mars is not a good target! » 2004-06-09 07:29:53

I agree, history does indeed repeat itself. So why would anyone go to Mars? For the same reason they always have, to get away. Mars isn't a vacation destination, it is a world. A world with as much land surface as Earth.

We don't need a good argument to go to Mars. We need a good reason not to go. Mars can and will be home to millions of people one day. They will have plants, animals, children, dreams and tragedies. Everything that you and I take for granted as part of our lives, they will have as well.

Do we have the technology to thrive on Mars? Yes. Do we have the money? Yes. Do we have the will? No.

The only thing stopping humans from settling Mars is humans. Our concerns are wrapped up in day to day life and stories that the media tells us are important. In short, our priorities are screwed up. Most Americans believe that this war in Iraq is more important than having a second planet even though the costs are the same. We have spent more on SDI/'Star Wars' than it would cost to land several missions on Mars and yet we have no space-based protection from ballistic missiles. We spend more on the interest to our National Debt (that no one seems to think is important) every year than it would cost to maintain constant human missions to Mars.

Until we can pull our collective heads out of our asses, we aren't going to do anything worthy of this great country we in.

#252 Re: Not So Free Chat » Open Debate: Military Spending vs Space Exploratio - Is our military spending worth it? » 2004-06-06 15:53:16

A lot of arguing has been going on in other threads about how the US military budget limits what other national programs, like space exploration, can do. I want to hear justifications for spending as much as we do.

#253 Re: Human missions » Bush and Mars and Re-election - Bush and Mars and Re-election » 2004-06-06 15:36:52

deagleninja; You wrote "Truman was a weak-willed man and a poor Democrat. He let the powers that be convince him to drop two A bombs on Japanesse cities. I make no excuses for him."
I wish you hadn't done that, because but for him I wouldn't be here to dispute you. I want to know our age, name, rank and serial number, sir!

I'm assuming you intended to say 'your' instead of 'our'. I am going to try and avoid being political on this thread from now on since it is suppossed to be about human missions to Mars. If you care to have a political debate about the flaws of Truman's actions, please post your thoughts on the 'free space' thread and I will respond. Sorry if I offended you, but my opinion remains the same.

MarsDog, there is, and never will, be a need for the US military to 'control' space. The military can easily protect their assets by including avoidance ability in their next generation satellites. So there's really no need for a permanent presence in LEO (what could an USAF space station do anyway besides be another target?).

Smurf975, the sooner we go to Mars the better. I could make dozens of arguements for why it is better to go now, rather than later. Suffice it to say, the sooner we get there, the sooner we begin reaping the benefits.

Josh and Cobra, thank you. As I have said, I will try to keep politcal partisan comments to a bare minimum.

#254 Re: Human missions » Bush and Mars and Re-election - Bush and Mars and Re-election » 2004-06-05 06:40:06

"Democrats want to pour money into social programs? Is that so terrible? I mean, we only spend 1/6 of the budget, our tax dollars, on domestic programs maybe it could use a little more. "

1/6th??? BWAHAAHAAA
http://www.singmind.com/singleminded/da … getout.gif

Are you living in 1923?"

2005's budget allocates some ~380 billion out of 2.4 Trillion
Did I stutter?

Cobra- I think we agree more than we disagree. Throwing more money at programs that aren't working or are just plain out-dated does nothing to help. We can begin fixing our education system by making sure that everyone can get a college level education for free. Our public education system needs to be expanded to include an optional four additional years at college levels. Education is too valuable an asset to restict to those with wealthy or influential parents.

Truman was a weak-willed man and a poor Democrat. He let the powers that be convince him to drop two A bombs on Japanesse cities. I make no excuses for him.
Johnson should have never been president and his administration seems to show what would have happened had Bush Sr been assasinated and left Quayle to be president. I make no excuses for him either.
However, Wilson was one of our great presidents and was right to wait years for US entry into WWI and right to do it. WWI was a justifiable war. Long time allies were being invaded by a hostile force.
Same with FDR. WWII was the last justifiable war in my humble opinion. Since then we have waged wars where we have had no buisness going.
What about Bosnia and Iraq? What about people slaughtering their own kind and committing genocide? Okay, I won't lie and say I could sleep well at night know we have the power to help those that can't help themselves and are not doing it. BUT, war is not the answer. If a leader of a country is killing their own people, they should be killed themselves. We train the baddest mutha funkers in the world. Had we not opted for an all out campaign against Iraq we could have flown in our Navy Seals into Bagdad and slaughtered Saddam and his regime without angering the population. Then we could have started relief efforts immediately and any resistance fighters would have found themselves under attack by the Iraqi people instead of being habored by them.

In matters of civil war like Vietnam, it is always best to leave their fate to themselves. People must be allowed to determine their own fate. We should ONLY intervene when people have no means to win against an oppressive ruler.

When I run for president in 2020 I want you as my VP Cobra to get the conservative vote  tongue

#255 Re: Human missions » Bush and Mars and Re-election - Bush and Mars and Re-election » 2004-06-03 10:31:50

'Your examples rest on the assumption that the President can directly dictate economic policy. He can't, if the President had the power to make the economy boom or bust singlehandedly we'd almost always be booming.'

Yes, but Presidents do have a LOT of influence over the economy. As I said earlier, Bush Jr helped create a consumer confidence crisis when he and his administration went on and on about an inherited recession.

'As for the WWII/Apollo examples. If one looks at the record of the Democrats of Kennedy's day they look remarkably like today's Republicans. If one looks at the Democrats of FDR's day they look far to the right of today's Republicans. American politics have been on a steady leftward shift for at least the past century. Party labels aren't static'

Yes, party labels aren't static. However, I wouldn't say that Bush Jr., Sr., or Reagan have invested as much in infastructure as FDR or JFK for that matter. Unfortunately, today's Republicans are too deep in the pockets of defence contractors. Throughout history you don't see Democrats waging as much war as Republicans. Contrary to popular belief, war is not good for this country. Is it not a good buisness to get into as the growing ranks of terrorists demonstrate.

'You aren't seriously blaming Nixon for Vietnam are you? The dates just don't add up.'

Hmm, perhaps my history is a little fuzzy here. I know that Nixon presided over the end of Vietnam. I had thought that he ran for President under statements that he would withdraw troops and then committed even more troops to the area, but like I said, I could be wrong.

'Now we're into an issue of genuine differences of philosophy. You may think we should be spending more socially. I think less would be better.'

Actually, I believe we agree here. I don't support unemployment benefits for people who are not actively seeking a job. I do believe in a 'hand-up' not a 'hand-out'. I have never drawn unemployment in my life and don't intend to unless I should be hit by extremely hard times.

When I speak of domestic spending, I am speaking of infastructure mainly. Our highways and power grids are sorely in need of modernization. We need better water sanitizing facilities, more public transportation, etc.

Many of these needs are being provided by the private sector these days at a fee when they used to be 'free' (paid for by government dollars). I don't have a problem with this trend as long as the government takes in less tax revenue, but they aren't. My point is that your average joe and jane are paying for services that are no longer provided while at the same time paying more in taxes.

It is often quoted that we spend more on education these days than any point in history, but this is deceptive. There are more students today than any time in our history so spending more is natural. What matters is the quality of the education.

By raising the standard of living for all Americans we provide our buisnesses with quality employees that can compete in the global market.

You don't build a house from the roof down. You must have a strong foundation. This is why 'trickle-down' economics (a staple of the Republican party) hasn't and will never work. It is also called 'trickle' because a trickle of benefit is all the average person ever sees....

.....gets off soap-box

#256 Re: Human missions » Bush and Mars and Re-election - Bush and Mars and Re-election » 2004-06-03 05:59:43

I don't want to debate partisan politics here but I must say a few more things in responce to Cobra (love ya buddy really).

Historically, Republicans have proven themselves to be horrible economists. Let's take a quick look at the last century's Rep/Dem leadership.


The Great Depression began late in Hoover's administration, he was a Republican.

Reagan accumulated over 3 trillion dollars over our current National Debt (sum of deficits) in his eight years. Carter left office with the National Debt at 800+ billion.

George Herbert Walker Bush Sr. had his own personal recession that cannot be blamed on Democrats because his administration followed Reagan's.

George W. Bush Jr. had his own recession. This one is largely blamed on Clinton. However, I remember the news well because I was still in a state of shock that he was even in office. Economists all over the country were shaking their heads saying 'what recession?'. I believe that the constant claims of an inherited recession actually caused consumer confidence to drop and created it.

I don't believe that anyone will argue that this country's two greatest achievements were landing on the Moon and helping win WW2 afterrecovering from the Great Depression. Who do we have to thank for that? FDR and JFK, two Democrats.

Unless you count Vietnam a great achievement, thank you Mr. Nixon, or Watergate, again thank you sir, it is easy to see who is best for the country.

Democrats want to pour money into social programs? Is that so terrible? I mean, we only spend 1/6 of the budget, our tax dollars, on domestic programs maybe it could use a little more. I don't see my standard of living improving due to Iraq unless paying over $2 a gallon for gas is an improvement.

#257 Re: Human missions » Hubble mistake - Action needed » 2004-06-02 12:48:58

It is important to note that we arent't talking about a 'robot', meaning a machine with humanlike abilities using AI or pre-programming. We are talking about remote opperated machines that will still have a human controller. While most would prefer to use their own hands, there are advantages:

A human won't be exposed to the uncomfortable conditions of LEO environment (bulky spacesuits and gloves, temperature changes)

As I understand it, this is going to be a shake-out attempt of using remote controlled robotic hardware. No serious upgrades are planned, simply life extention. Should it be successful, I think we will see Hubble upgraded.

#258 Re: Human missions » Bush and Mars and Re-election - Bush and Mars and Re-election » 2004-06-02 12:39:51

Ah come on Cobra. I know you are pro-military (so am I if it is intelligently used) but how can you compare the Cuban Missle Crisis to Iraq? Cuba had missled aimed at US soil (60 miles or so off Floridas coast). Iraq is thousands of miles away with missles that can't fly but 100 miles. Iraq was also disarming at the time of our 'pre-emptive' strike, Cuba was not. Cuba had the best technology that the USSR could offer at the time and was a real threat. It is important to note that Kennedy did not strike first like Bush did.

Kennedy is not the great president that people think he is, I agree. However, he did issue a clear ultimatum that didn't change like Bush's.

'Saddam must disarm all weapons that violate UN resolutions'
Done
'Saddam must destroy all WMDs'
Whoa, hold on a sec, we don't have any.....
BOOM!!!

I totally agree that Democrats are losing out by taking a stand against PlanBush. I find it disapointing and disgusting that so many Democrats are against this plan simply because it came from Bush.

However, PlanBush ultimately moves us no closer to being a spacefaring race. This will only come about when the private sector is making profit and competing with one another. I believe that time has finally come now that SpaceShip One is set to claim the X prize and begin the 'bandwagon' effect that all new enterprises start. See my new topic for the link.

#259 Re: Human missions » SpaceShip One date set for final test flight! - History in the making.... » 2004-06-02 12:17:22

Here's a link to the news release from Scaled Composites. They are going to make a 100K (62 mile) test flight of SpaceShip One before competing for the X prize!

http://www.spaceref.com/news/viewpr.htm … ?pid=14315

#260 Re: Human missions » Bush and Mars and Re-election - Bush and Mars and Re-election » 2004-06-02 02:09:08

Ain't it a great country we live in when Republican administrations rack up huge deficits, give away tax breaks to get elected, then point their fingers at Democrats and call them 'tax-lovers' for balancing the budget?

Why do Republicans constantly cut education funding? Simple, it makes more Republicans. The average American is too stupid to read between the lines and see a bold-faced lie for what it is. Six out of ten Americans believe that Iraq had something to do with 9/11.

I too wanted the murderers brought to justice. I didn't sign on for imposing capitilism on a country that we defeated 12 years earlier. Let alone paying for rebuilding what our military destroyed in its sledgehammer precision attacks.

You don't kill a fly by smashing it with a 747, you use a fly-swatter. Our military created its own need to occupy Iraq by killing civilians, pissing on their religious artifacts, and abusing suspected 'terrorists' in typical military 'guilty till proven innocent' style.

You don't see terrorists attacking Canada do you? Why? Because they are smart enough to stay out of everyone's buisness.

Here's some simple facts that I'm sure will tick a lot of people off:

Bush's IQ is 86 (borderline retarded).
Bush did not get the majority of the vote. In other words, he wasn't elected and occupies the White House by the grace of our least democratic institution, the Supreme Court.

If you truly value your freedoms and love this country, then do not vote for this puppet president. His support comes from people who make their money from war and oil, both of which this country could do without.

#262 Re: Human missions » China beginning a space race? - Fallout from NASA's China Snub » 2004-05-18 17:56:40

First of all, we haven't been on the Moon since 1972, that's 32 years ago. How much is that experience worth to us now? Meaning, how many Apollo technicians, astronauts and engineers does NASA still employ? When, we speak of our beyond-LEO experience we are really talking about blueprints and glory days.

Second, it is still significant that China spent so little re-designing Soyuz to be an even better rocket while costs remained reasonable. So many of NASA's 'great ideas' become pork and scientists pork-tenders. I believe we are seeing a much more efficent space program in action. Progress will be driven by nearly a single will and not by a loose collection of senators taking turns supporting each others pet projects.

I can't state for a fact, but it seems that their public is much more supportive of their space program than ours. This means if China's government wants to flex their 'space muscle' and increase spending on space related infastructure, their population will love it. Many Chinese see Americans as overtly arrogant fat slobs. They would love to see China take the lead in any area, and let's face it, it's not going to be in military strength.

#263 Re: Human missions » China beginning a space race? - Fallout from NASA's China Snub » 2004-05-18 11:49:49

It is important to note that China has achieved a manned spaceflight program spending only 2.18 billion over 11 years. This is roughly the cost to fly just 2 shuttle missions and they built launch facilities and the rocket (not bad).

I don't worship China, but I do respect them (and am keeping a close eye on them). Many young new faces are replacing old cold-war era leaders in China. Many of those young faces are involved in their space program and they don't understand the distrust from the US (neither do I).

I don't think it is a coincidence that this station plan follows on the heels of our cold-shoulder treatment recently. They honestly expected a 'job well done' from their american conterparts and didn't get it. So why waste time repeating what the US has done? They figure we are going to say 'so what, we did that back in 1969' and they are right.

So why build a space station? It is very likely that we will not fufill our obligations to our ISS partners.

And there will be China with a space station available to everyone except the US....'sorry, your technology isn't mature enough America.'

#264 Re: Human missions » After Mars - And why we should go indirect. » 2004-05-18 11:27:47

GCNR, of coarse we will need to be talking to the ESA and/or RSA beforehand. When I mentioned a three year time frame I was talking about public not private relations. Should have clarified this, sorry.

I understand your lack of faith in international cooperation, but let's be patient, it's still in its infancy. The greatest thing 'coming out of' the ISS and Spirit/Opp - Mars Express uplinks is the testing of international cooperation. While the ESA lacks heavy lift capacity and manned flight experience, they are quite capable of building habitats for Mars. So they build em, we lift em cooperation could work quite well towards reducing our overall mission costs. It would allow NASA to focus better on the goals that Bush has set before them.

Also, my little proposal was assuming that we use an enhanced version of Mars Direct to put enough usable materials and equipment on the surface of Mars. This way our explorers can make science a primary mission instead of survival. If they find they have free time on their hands then they can dedicate it to creating a larger underground shelter.

With or without colonization, it still makes sense to use local resources as much as possible. For one thing, it makes the case for a permanent colony that much easier. Secondly, each pound of food or fuel that is produced on Mars means less material is needed from Earth, which means more equipment for our explorers.

#265 Re: Human missions » China beginning a space race? - Fallout from NASA's China Snub » 2004-05-18 07:48:13

China recently announced that they are scrapping plans to send people to the Moon. Does this mean they are gearing towards beating us in a 'space race' to Mars?

Here is a link to their space station designs, planned for the next 15 years:

http://www.spacedaily.com/2004/04051806 … 1mcrm.html

Here's a link to their first astronaut meeting the UN cheif:

http://www.spacedaily.com/2004/04051811 … ev3pa.html

#266 Re: Human missions » After Mars - And why we should go indirect. » 2004-05-18 06:39:10

Exactly my points Robs. We begin with Mars as a exploration effort. History has shown how limited human attention span is (less than 3 years for the moon, less than 1 year with Iraq) so this must always be kept in mind when we go. A vigorous exploration prgram could maintain public interest in Mars for 3 years I believe, it it more interresting than the Moon. During those three years we visit ice caps, canyons and river beds searching for life, resources, and gathering information (what exactly is the air pressure at Mars' lowest point?).

Interest in Mars is going to fade with the general public while inversly it increases with industry, scientists and enthusiasts. I believe it paramount that we switch gears after three years and begin colonization modestly by inviting the iternational community to participate in the formation of our first permanent base. In the intervening three years our explorers have tested and hopefully perfected local resource utilization.

Switching gears at that moment should temporarily increase interest in Mars for about a year. This should be just long enough for our allies to get funding passed through their legislative bodies.

After that we can begin entertaining all kinds of possibilities. We will have gone too far to turn back and public support will mean very little to the continued existance of a Mars base. As the ISS has shown, it is nearly impossible to withdraw funding from even a very bad idea when you have gone so far.

This is the approach that must be taken for a successful permanent colony.

#267 Re: Human missions » After Mars - And why we should go indirect. » 2004-05-17 09:47:33

I have to go take a drug test so I don't have the time to give your comments the rebuttle they deserve, but it is coming.

Not only is colonizing Mars possible but terraforming it is also possible. Everything must be done is steps.

Exploration
Colonization
Terraformation

#269 Re: Human missions » After Mars - And why we should go indirect. » 2004-05-17 08:40:24

So what do you suggest? Do we just plan on NASA never sending humans to Mars? Do we strive to make the sales pitch to a wealthy minority that might be willing to invest billions collectively?

I'm not being judgemental of you GCNR, you do play devil's advocate quite well. I'm being serious, what do you think is the best option for getting people to Mars in around 20 years?

People will go eventually, but I feel it important that we don;t wait for reasons I've stated in previous posts.

I believe one thing that NASA is doing right is the recent effort to reach out to teachers and schools. If we aren't going to Mars for at least 20 years then these grade school student are our future astronauts. This will help shape public opinion of NASA over the next twenty years, but I fear that the program isn't reaching far enough. Too few schools ever see a NASA spokesperson.

What can people like you and I do to make this dream a reality?

#270 Re: Human missions » Space Elevators.....How Soon? » 2004-05-17 07:49:09

Ah Trevor, thanks for the links. I was wondering myself if it wouldn't be possible to generate a magnetic field above the 'cars' to push these dangerous charged particles out of the way.

And Bill, please don't be mad, I know you are pointing out that a space elevator isn't practical (profitable) for aspiring buisnesspeople, but Trev raises a good point. We must look at how much cheaper a space elevator would be compared to conventional rockets. More importantly, today's rockets are fantastic when they don't use up their fuel escaping Earth's gravity well.

Also, assuming that the demand is there to use our SE like O'Hare, feeding and taking care of our travelers can offset the cost of the SE. Make the tickets cheap, but charge them $10 for a pack of peanuts  big_smile

#271 Re: Human missions » After Mars - And why we should go indirect. » 2004-05-17 07:27:10

So what to do? We do both exploration and colonization. NASA puts forth a plan before Congress to use a similar plan to Mars Direct (meaning that return capability is there but infastructure is left behind with each mission). Should things go better than expected, explorers then have the option of staying on Mars for an additional two years. As conditions improve more people will opt to stay. This approach gets past the chicken/egg problem.

I know that it is unreasonable to hope that seeing more of Mars will turn everyone into deagleninjas (Mars obsessed), but it can't hurt. Human attention span is short I know. What I've been saying for years is that we need an all out marketing attack over 5 years to boost public interest. NASA could help by spending a few million more for a microphone here and time-lapse camera there.

I don't like the arguement that robots are giving us better bang for our buck either. If you include the costs of each launch vehicle, the costs of each rover/lander/orbiter we have sent to Mars you reach an astonding amount of money. Spirit and Oppertunity have done great science but it takes them months to do what humans can do in days. Robots are better suited for colony automation and orbiting satellites than ground work. This is a real problem that most don't see.

Let's take a closer look at robots. The most optimistic projections for a Mars manned landing have us there in no less than 20 years. Our robots are going to be a lot better in 20 years than they are now. What does that mean? The case for robotic exploration is growing while valid reasons for manned missions are losing ground. It is important to note that a good case for sending humans is insufficent now, what about in 20 years when humans on Mars are near worthless?

Combined with fears that a human presence will invalidate any exobiological research, it is easy to see a scenario where humans get no closer to the surface of Mars than Phobos.

I'm asked many times why Mars now instead of Mars later, this is another great reason. We need to prove to ourselves that we still are pioneers and explorers. We can not be content to sit back and let machines do our exploration for us. We are turning into a race of hermits that only observes new worlds but doesn't seek them.

One historical truth that Dr. Zubrin is aware of....a society that ceases to expand, collapses. All great societies have meet their ends when they reached a point where they thought they knew and have done it all. Comments like, 'what does Mars have to offer us, its dead' show the signs of decadence and decay. People have to move past instant gratification.

#272 Re: Human missions » After Mars - And why we should go indirect. » 2004-05-16 12:17:59

Welcome to the forum Mars Maniac.

I haven't actually seen any images of a blue sunset on Mars, but I've heard thats what it would look like. It is apparently very hard to get true-color images from Mars.

Spirit clearing a runway eh? Maybe with future rovers. I don't think that Spirit is up to the task. Also, I believe that the sands of Mars are rather soft and wouldn't support a shuttle landing. Needless to say, the atmosphere of Mars is much thinner meaning that the shuttle would have problems using is for air-resistance and would probably come in too fast.

#273 Re: Human missions » After Mars - And why we should go indirect. » 2004-05-16 11:54:46

Again, GCNR, many good points.

Yes, a bigger mission is preferable to a smaller one and colonization preferable to exploration. Beyond colonization is of coarse terraforming which would get the greatest support from the general population.

About ISS, yes and no. I would disagree that it has survived solely because it is a big expensive project. It ceratinly hasn't survived as Space Station Freedom which would have been the sole property of the US. The interantional community had come to the rescue there. I know that they can do it again with Mars.

We build our initial base on MD or something derived from it. The plan is sold as a 'cheap' means for occuping Mars.....oops we went over budget...help help! In comes the international community to chip in 5 billion here, 10 billion there, in exchange for representation on Mars.

Antartica is both a good analogy and a poor one. Yes, you are right, people aren't excited about stations there, but why? Because Antartica is 'hands-off' territory. It is protected from industry. And it is important to note that research does go on regardless of a lack of public support.

Landing sites will be choosen because they are safe, but our colonists will not stay put. Mars has canyons, mountains, craters, dune fields, ice caps, blue sunsets, pink skys, two moons, frost and many features that the Moon cannot offer. It is a world with a surface area equal to Earth, not an overgrown asteroid. I would even venture that we will find lakes of liquid water as orbital images suggest.

Unfortunately, NASA hasn't done enough to paint a true picture of Mars. Where are the sounds of wind blowing? Where are the time-lapse images of moving dunes? Where are the movies of sunset on Mars? NASA must work harder to include exciting moments into their missions if they want the public to be excited. From the still images they send back, Mars looks like the Moon only red and just as dead.

How do we keep public interest in Mars? Easy, show change. Show habitats going up (or down?), plants growing in martian dirt, the base expanding. In short, bring industry to Mars or don't go at all.

#274 Re: Human missions » After Mars - And why we should go indirect. » 2004-05-16 07:07:47

Anticarrot, I wasn't really talking about technology either if you look closely. We all argree that people will go to Mars and one day it will be settled, the question is when. Will we see it in our lifetimes?

By its very nature, a manned mission to Mars won't be like Apollo. The Apollo program was very repetitious offering little new except the occasional golf swing. That is what bored the american public after the newness wore off. Apollo astronauts didn't build anything. They traveled but every destination looked the same. As Oppertunity and Spirit have begun to show us, Mars is a very varied world.

I believe that colonization is a must for holding the public's attention, and more importantly, Congress'. I know that colonization isn't on anyone's books that have a chance to go. All I can say about that is, I hope NASA gets ten year budgets instead of one in this new restructuring. Stable funding is the biggest problem for NASA.

#275 Re: Human missions » New Bush Plan Set To Coincide With June Speech - Link included....talk amongst yourselves » 2004-05-16 06:55:57

I was just kidding about anit-gravity, we won't see it in our lifetimes. A rail gun long enough, something on the sacle of the alaska pipline, wouldn' be too rough on delicate items.

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