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I no longer have the time or energy to participate in the forums anymore. If my account can be deactivated or deleted I'd appreciate it.
There's been the recent hullabaloo about MAVEN data suggesting that terraforming Mars is now an impossibility.
There were two posts on Crowlspace that suggest otherwise, in addition to one "out-there" concept I'll post about as well. I'll post a few bits from the Crowlspace posts first
The newer post: Mars Atmosphere Loss Rates – Truth vs Truism names MAVEN upfront early on in the post:
Collectively several metres of water and perhaps 80 millibars of Carbon Dioxide would be lost over 4.2 billion years – at current rates of loss. As the bare minimum for terraforming is about ~300 millibars of carbon dioxide (equivalent to about 250 millibars of Oxygen) this doesn’t seem like a show stopper for terraforming. If we can supply modern day Mars with ~300 millibars in a few hundred years, then replacing 80 millibars in 4 billion doesn’t seem excessive.
Of course the Sun has changed since its exuberant early days and the total actual loss from Mars is probably somewhere between 2 – 0.5 bars worth of atmosphere and maybe several hundred metres equivalent of water. However the Sun’s output was between 20 – 100 times higher in the very early days of its Main Sequence. This matches the apparent desiccation of Mars about ~3 billion years ago.
The older post: On the (Im)Possibility of Terraforming Mars addresses the "current technology can't terraform Mars" cycle from last year, but might still be of import:
Rather than CO2 to warm the planet indirectly – and not very efficiently – what if we increase the available sunlight?
Present day Mars has about 6 millibars of CO2 in its atmosphere ... if Mars received as much sunlight as Earth, it’d be *too hot* from its CO2 greenhouse effect. If we increased the available sunlight by ~50%, then it should be about right. If we imagine an annular mirror suspended above Mars, directing light down onto the surface ... annular needs at least a Mars sized hole – if it’s close to Mars – and then sufficient width to match 50% the area of Mars. Or about 900 kilometres wide and an average radius of about 4,500 km. Immense, but it doesn’t have to be very heavy.
A “mirror-lens” could be parked at the Mars-Sun L-1 point and use solar radiation pressure to help keep itself in place, directing extra sunlight towards the planet ... the Soletta as such mirrors are called, can be closer to the planet and focus its light into an intense pyrolysis beam to separate oxygen from the metal oxides in the crust directly. No mucking about with plants for millennia required.
a 50 petawatt (i.e. 50,000 trillion watt) beam is sufficient to give Mars an oxygen atmosphere in about 6 years. Mars receives 30 petawatts from the Sun, so our “50% Soletta” gives us 15 petawatts to blast oxygen out of the crust with, taking about 20 years.
Regarding mirrors, an old NextBigFuture post mentioned "tessellation foams" of reflective bubbles that could be "in between the size of Neptune or Saturn" in deep space. So the pyrolysis beam lens wouldn't have an annular mirror at L-1, but could have a much larger tessellation mirror at a different Lagrange point. So a constant beam to the surface might not be viable, but you could still get a lot of oxygen out of the soil.
Of course this assumes that we must solely use space-based infrastructure to achieve successful terraformation. But what if we looked in the opposite direction... underground?
There was a bit in the novel Manifold: Space by Stephen Baxter with a device called a "Paulis mine" used to terraform Earth's Moon - rather than Mars.
The idea is that there's a large amount of volatiles including -not just water- but also nitrogen, various hydrocarbons, etc. But there's a catch: these materials are buried within the mantle, so a very deep hole must be bored out to get to them.
Is this at all realistic? While we can't say for Mars, it's certainly true for Earth. The discovery of naturally occurring ringwoodite from the Earth's mantle suggests that there could be at least as much water in Earth's mantle as there is in its oceans, if not more.
Could something similar hold true for Mars? I'm not an expert at this, but I don't see why not.
So there are still a few cards we might be able to play in regards to terraforming Mars. They might be way out-there, or require a deep dive, but they're plausible nonetheless!
Wasn't expecting that this morning. O.o
I imagine those good people in Texas feeding off the NASA trough are worried Space X are going to make NASA irrelevant. Are we going to end up with a situation where Space X have a couple of hundred people on the ground on Mars while NASA is pressing ahead with its Robot Rovers to Mars programme? Just to ask the question is to answer it. Even the US taxpayer is going to wake up at that point.
Uh... NASA is SpaceX's biggest customer last I heard. Hell, SpaceX probably wouldn't be where it is today if NASA wasn't a customer.
Also, NASA -being a Federal agency- has its contractors chosen by congress. It's not their fault that a bunch of Texans over on Capital Hill mandate their main contractor be the same one responsible for the white elephant that is the F-35.
Kind of off-topic, but since when was the administrator a spambot?
You don't ned to do grinding for the purpose of making soil. Just dig up some dune sand and wash it. Add composted organic waste and then you may have a tolerable soil. You might want to add some clay, but we know that occurs on Mars. As you say, Louis, we need to go and do some digging!
I'll reiterate what the article said:
The advantages of our proposed architecture over current approaches, such as washing out perchlorate to cleanse soil or using hydroponics to grow plants, include a low initialization mass of microbial cells, on- demand cell growth with in situ resources, and the elimination of toxic wastewater.
In other words: less mass to launch, finer control over the processes and no perchlorate-tainted water at the end. The last one is particularly important as in a semi-closed loop system you do NOT want to waste water!*
*Yes yes, ice and water vapor are on Mars too. But you need a backup supply in case the area you're at doesn't have enough, or your collection systems break down.
NIAC: A Synthetic Biology Architecture to Detoxify and Enrich Mars Soil for Agriculture
Although the theoretical case for space biological engineering is convincing, since recent studies on the use of biology in space showed substantial payload minimization over abiotic approaches even before any engineering, the functioning of these biological technologies has yet to be proven in a space-like environment. We will study such functioning for a synthetic biology architecture that can detoxify the perchlorate in Mars soil and also enrich it with ammonia.
Our work will inform a prime deliverable of a comparative assessment with alternate chemical approaches postulated or scoped by NASA, and will clarify the feasibility of utilizing our proposed biotechnology to support manned Mars missions. The two system processes of perchlorate reduction and nitrogen fixation individually exist in biology and, when combined, will potentiate soil-based agriculture (by plants or microbes) on Mars. Our concept architecture is a single model organism that will eventually have both systems that are now separate in different strains of the same species.
The advantages of our proposed architecture over current approaches, such as washing out perchlorate to cleanse soil or using hydroponics to grow plants, include a low initialization mass of microbial cells, on- demand cell growth with in situ resources, and the elimination of toxic wastewater. To accomplish our proposed concept architecture, we will investigate two strains of a diverse clade of organisms, Pseudomonas, which includes relevant extremophiles.
As a person who's been infected with Pseudomonas before (swimmer's ear, yay!) it feels ironic that I support a project like this.
U235 (which is the uranium isotope that is able to undergo the kind of fission necessary) is really rare. That's why it takes a lot of effort to produce nuclear fuel, you have to get tons of naturally occurring uranium ore then separate out the tiny fraction of it that consists of U235 isotopes.
I'm pretty skeptical to be honest.
Scientists have found bacteria in the frozen wastes of Antarctica that can survive on air alone without the sunlight or geothermal energy that powers all other known ecosystems. The discovery may change our ideas when pondering the forms extra-terrestrial life might take.
A team of scientists led by Belinda Ferrari of UNSW in Sydney, Australia, report the stunning finding in a paper in Nature.
The cold and remote Antarctic has desert regions that are hostile to the few living things that survive on the rest of the continent. Plummeting temperatures, limited water, carbon and nitrogen, months of darkness, searing UV radiation, and persistent cycles of freezing and thawing that can rot the very stones, all make it an unlikely home for diverse ecosystems.
A pretty amazing discovery!
It's probably best to trust what the United States Geological Survey says about Yellowstone: https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/vhp/updates.html#yvo
In short: carry on with your day lasses and chaps, nothing worth worrying about here.
Wasn't there research done that berries can counteract the effects of radiation? Maybe that could cut down on the shielding needed.
Utilizing solar energy is an interesting idea. Though it might be unwieldy considering that the moon is rotating.
No. Gimme a link, pls.
Did you see the post I made a few months ago about Baxter mines?
I believe this is pertinent to our interests.
This is probably relevant: Ionizing Radiation Changes the Electronic Properties of Melanin and Enhances the Growth of Melanized Fungi
Interesting. So melanized fungi could be quite tolerant of radiation. But since fungi require oxygen to survive, they might not be able to be used in an early stage of terraforming. But maybe latter they could be used to create soil and help stabilize parts of a nascent biosphere...
I looked at a recent article published by Discover Magazine called "How Mushrooms Can Save the World". It talked about a variety of potential applications for mushrooms, including bioremediation uses.
One diagram in the article showed a type of symbiosis between mushrooms and trees. What happens is that a mushroom can give a tree nitrogen and mineral salts in exchange for sugars from the tree.
I also looked at a book talked about in the article called "Mycelium Running" which goes into depth about how mushrooms can do very important things such as filter water through their mycelia (the fungal equivalent of roots) which leads to a removal of fecal bacteria from wastewater.
I don't remember the full article very well, but there was talk about how the uses of mushrooms, combined with their radiation resistance, could be used to help terraform other planets. I think this is something that should be looked at. Your guys' thoughts?
I found this piece of news today.
Magnetoshell doesn’t deflect gas like an aeroshell or plasma like a magnetic decelerator. It captures the hypersonic neutral gas through collisional processes. The momentum of the charge-exchanged gas is absorbed by the magnetic structure.
Considering that there are some potential problems with decelerating something with the mass needed to sustain human life on Mars, this could be a needed breakthrough.
There's been some recent news about DARPA (a United States military research and development organization for those of you who don't know) looking into mitigating the effects of ionizing radiation on people.
http://nextbigfuture.com/2013/02/darpa- … t-and.html
From the link:
Darpa has three main research areas for enhancing nuclear radiation survival.
1) i“prophylactic” and “post-exposure” treatments that can neutralize ionizing radiation before it starts to cause serious cellular damage.
2) Another looks at how to survive and/or mitigate the long-term effects of radiation exposure, to include cancers — effectively meaning Darpa wants to push the boundaries of surviving radiation-induced cancer.
3) Get a better understanding and model of the effects of radiation on the human body, from a molecular up to a systemic level, with an eye to “mitigation and repair of genetic and cellular damage.”
I have no doubts that such research would be very valuable to a future manned Mars mission. Your thoughts?
There has been some recent news about a superconducting material that can work at temperatures as high as 35 degrees Celsius (95 degrees Fahrenheit).
http://www.superconductors.org/35C_sil.htm
Why is this important for Martian terraforming? Consider Mars' lack of a magnetic field, now imagine superconducting cables powered by solar or Areothermal energy which are buried under the surface and oriented like lines of latitude. When powered up, they could form a magnetic field that could keep a Martian atmosphere in place.
A more technical description can be found here (PDF warning).
I take it many of the people here are skeptical of the low energy nuclear reaction based designs (which may or may not work).
Here's a promising piece of news about conventional fusion.
http://nextbigfuture.com/2013/02/new-go … kheed.html
Much smaller than tokamak reactors and a projected commercialization date of 2023.
However, given an energy source nuclear or non nuclear, does it make sense that a "Mix" could be useful as a propellant?
Something like this?
LOX-augmented Nuclear Thermal Rocket. This concept involves the use of a "conventional" hydrogen (H2) NTR with oxygen (O2) injected into the nozzle. The injected O2 acts like an "afterburner" and operates in a "reverse scramjet" mode. This makes it possible to augment (and vary) the thrust (from what would otherwise be a relatively small NTR engine) at the expense of reduced Isp
I also wanted a variant that would produce sugar instead of starch. Could these guys do that?
I'm not sure if they could. I don't know them (or their research) personally.
Many closed cycle life support system designed for Mars use plants to produce food for astronauts. One problem I forsee is that the amount of biomass required for such a mission would be prohibitively large.
Or would it be?
Here's an article from Science News about synthetic biology and its applications. One particular fact to note is this:
In the April 2012 Applied and Environmental Microbiology, Silver and colleagues reported engineering a bacterium to churn out up to 200 percent of its initial cellular mass as sugar. The work could be used to develop plants that produce more food per harvest.
If we could improve crop yields by a significant amount, then the biomass needed could be reduced greatly.
Any thoughts?