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SpaceX are planning on transforming global cargo delivery. To do that and fit within Musk's environmental concerns, it'll need to be based on CH4 made from the air itself. A purely solar-powered fuel-cycle will make SpaceX's operations greener than any competitor. So there *will* be an environmental impact, just not the one usually imagined.
Hi Guys
I think we need a "hard sky" to keep useful atmospheres around small bodies. A "World House" or "Shell World". The Moon is about as small as a body can be that can hang on to atmosphere for interesting lengths of time via gravity - at least at 1 AU from the Sun.
But what sort of "hard sky" or "firmament" is required? Anything planet sized can't supply counterpressure with current strength of materials limitations. Thus the firmament will need to weigh enough to counter the outward gas pressure. Icy bodies naturally make one think of using just ice for the job, but will require careful thermal management, least they sublimate away. Perhaps deliberate "undermelting" of the surface layers, to liberate a layer of silicates as anti-sublimation blanket might be the way forward.
Further out from the Sun, even into interstellar space, and hydrogen greenhouses become stable, though managing them thermally will be challenging.
Sure you can fatten uo a co2 atmospher but you still can not breath it and since oxygen once freed up is going to leak off faster than co2 currently does. A magnetic field would create the plasma field to help retain more of it.
The loss rate is *minimal*. As in, takes aeons to be substantial. Both Venus and Mars are mostly protected from the Solar Wind by the induced ionosphere fields on both planets.
However, an artificial field might help protect people on Mars from Solar storms. That's a good thing. But nothing to do with stopping atmosphere from blowing away.
When was the transition from single celled to multi as that is the path to complex life as we know it...sort of the chicken or the egg which came first
If they're embryos. That's still being argued by the experts.
If the images are of frost from co2 its going to be -200c but if its water frosts then a -2c is more like reasonable for that event.
So which was what we have seen?
Water ice frost in the old Viking pictures. Or is there more recent pictures you guys are discussing.
TmCom seems to be smoking something pretty potent. Oxygen and plant life? What the??
The thinness of the Martian atmosphere has been known since 1964 - even before the flyby of Mariner 4. Astronomers measured it from Earth. Until that time most couldn't accept the idea the atmosphere was almost all CO2 - most assumed the CO2 was a minor component and there was a lot of N2. But once they measured the atmosphere with just about every probe since 1965, the thin atmosphere has been confirmed every time, by every probe. To imagine anything else is just *nuts*.
Guys, the loss rate in present conditions has been measured. It's even been extrapolated back to past aeons when the Sun's output was much higher. Guess what? The loss is minimal, compared to what a terraformed Mars would need, to be terraformed. And that's the cumulative losses over 4 billion years - longer than we can reasonably hope for Earth to remain habitable, let alone Mars.
If we give Mars an atmosphere then it doesn't need a magnetic field to retain it for humanly reasonable timeframes (~1 gigayear). The magnetic field to deflect the high energy Solar particle events from reaching the surface, before we terraform it, then that'd be a good idea.
But life on Earth has weathered no Magnetic Field on Earth before. Hell, the most recent magnetic reversal (lasted ~440 years) was just 41,400 years ago - the Laschamp Event. Life on Earth didn't drop dead just because the magnetic field dropped to nearly zero (~5 %) for a while. The main protection against particles from space is the atmosphere itself - all 10 tons per square metre of it.
Back in the mid 1970s, one model for Titan's atmosphere was ~21 bars of N2, with a surface temperature of ~200 K. That's about what it'd take to "greenhouse effect" the place. More methane, thanks to photolytic polymerisation, would mean a stronger anti-greenhouse effect (AGE).
Supplying more radiant energy from the Sun, via a concentrating soletta, would puff the atmosphere up. Presently the troposphere finishes where the temperature drops to about ~70 K at the ~0.1 bar level. Increasing the troposphere equilibrium temperature probably won't lead to too much extra loss from the exosphere, because the mesosphere is already a warmish ~170 K. However I don't think we can push as high as Earth-like temperatures without crazy photochemical effects making the smog even more of a problem.
qraal wrote:Calliban wrote:I am inclined to believe that terraforming Titan in not practical. [..]
The moon would appear to be uninhabitable without substantial warming. It has a cold, dense nitrogen atmosphere. At typical Titan surface temperature and pressure, nitrogen is close to liquidity point. It would instantly freeze solid any human being on its surface. Even warm clothing would not be enough to prevent this.Insulated clothes should work just fine. As for "instantly freeze solid" that's total bunkum. Nothing is that cold. Human bodies put out 100 W or so of heat, and aren't going to lose it quick enough to freeze instantly.
How does the volumetric heat capacity (?) of the Titan atmosphere compare to water near the freezing point? People manage to go diving in the latter, with appropriate clothing on.
Well it's N2 mostly and 5 kg/m^3, with a heat capacity of ~ 1 kJ/kg.K so ~ 5 kJ/m^3.K vs 4.2 MJ/m^3.K for water, so yeah, water's still going to suck up more heat. Of course the temperature differential is higher (about 210 K vs 30 K), but the conductivity of liquid water is still much higher.
People step into cryo-chambers at ~120 K or so, wearing insulated boots, but shirt-free. It's supposed to be therapeutic.
To be honest, terraforming Titan seems bit of a fool's errand, since it's liable to turn into an ammoniated swamp if the sub-surface ocean breaks through. Warming the place to ~200 K might allow some more interesting biochemistry, but that presumes there's nothing interesting there already. We'll need to check out the bubble rafts in the polar lakes to make sure we're not destroying some unique cryo-chemistry.
A nuclear powered unit will radiate heat to keep it from getting cold and on contact would change solid nitrogen to vapor and hopefully it will not sink out of sight....if it comes in contact with the ground
The surface of Titan seems to be mostly water ice - at least that's what Huygens saw on the ground it landed on. The dunes seem to be hydrocarbon dust, probably cosmic-ray processed acetylene that has formed aromatics like benzene and such like.
Maybe you mean Triton, which has N2 ice, but its surface temperature is 38 K, so that's expected.
I am inclined to believe that terraforming Titan in not practical. Providing the moon with an atmosphere containing abundant oxygen, would lead to oxidation of surface hydrocarbons. This would be especially rapid if the surface were warmer.
The moon would appear to be uninhabitable without substantial warming. It has a cold, dense nitrogen atmosphere. At typical Titan surface temperature and pressure, nitrogen is close to liquidity point. It would instantly freeze solid any human being on its surface. Even warm clothing would not be enough to prevent this.
Insulated clothes should work just fine. As for "instantly freeze solid" that's total bunkum. Nothing is that cold. Human bodies put out 100 W or so of heat, and aren't going to lose it quick enough to freeze instantly.
The MAVEN mission has measured the loss rate and extrapolated back through time it's quite substantial. There's several processes, chief of which is Jeans' loss of hydrogen to space.
Mars Atmosphere Loss Rates – Truth vs Truism
The total CO2 is ~78 millibar and the total Hydrogen about 25 metres of water equivalent. But that's assuming both the Solar Wind and Solar EUV/XUV remained constant. Both of those energy sources to the Exosphere were much, much higher in the past.
If Mars is out-gassing quicker enough to double 6 millibars in 10 million years, I suspect a counter process would be geosequestration by reactive chemistry in the regolith, maintaining the atmosphere at near water's triple point. A warmer, wetter Mars just speeds up the draw down. The trick, for terraformers, will be developing counter-cycles of bacteria or chemistry.
The atmosphere loss for all planets from the present day Solar Wind is negligible. Mars -if given an Earth normal surface pressure - would also have a much lower cosmic ray flux due to the mass of the atmospheric column being higher to have the same weight on the surface, and its gradient is much lower thus cosmic ray fragments would decay more before reaching the ground. Especially muons.
Ganymede’s intrinsic magnetic field makes its Equatorial regions even more benign in radiation terms than Callisto.
People often seem confused about radiation Belts. Earth’s are filled by captures of fragments of cosmic rays that slam into the atmosphere. Jupiter’s are made deadly because it captures the Solar Wind and accelerates those captured particles to high energy.
Nice idea Tom. One fly in the ointment is that there's nothing strong enough in existence to make it, aside from stable nuclear matter. And we don't (yet) know how to make that. Another problem is that 150 km isn't tall enough to retain air. Needs to be higher or have a magnetically retained ionosphere to provide the counter pressure at such altitudes.
Hi Tom
Giant stars pump out a lot of carbon so fusing its emissions may not be needed. Just separate out the light stuff, storing it on some suitable smaller mass, and gather the carbon for construction. Diamondoid is the material of the "far future". Unfortunately you won't be making rotating Dyson spheres out of the stuff.
Bzzt... Wrong. Compression would make it maybe 500 km deeper than the 1 bar level.
What makes that option any easier Tom?
Tom, that's a ridiculous waste of resources and energy. What's the point? Even removing the atmosphere of Venus doesn't require that much energy input. Why sequester 10,000 atmospheres of N2 & O2 in such a fashion?
Hi jumpboy11
There's a suggestion that our CO2 could be stored down there - it's only 5 C so the high-pressure should easily keep it liquid and all the water would suppress mixing.
I have a related idea. What about CO2 sequestration by burying it under the oceans (which will have to be made). Very similar idea, except
A-it's okay if it's a supercritical fluid
B- 4-5 bars atmospheric pressure is perfectly acceptable.
...super-critical CO2 mixes too easily, but there's no reason why we can't cover it with an impermeable barrier, then pressurise it underwater. Venus might need a heavy atmosphere to suppress the water-mixing ratio in the stratosphere anyway so sea level might be at high-pressure.
Hi All
Just trawlling through the archive. Found Karov's odd idea of "terraforming" Venus under a helium blanket. Liquid CO2 is all very well, but it suffers from the fact that the lowest CO2 partial pressure compatible with its liquid phase not evaporating away is ~5.2 bar. CO2's critical point is just 31 C and over 72 bar. Thus decent temperatures mean the atmosphere is full of evaporating CO2 - bad news for colonists.
I'm guessing Karov realised the mistake and dropped the idea.
Hi nickname
Steam is a very tricky reaction mass, but with so much ice it makes sense. Using a nuclear reactor to do the job is probably insufficient. The delta-v would be too low with reasonable reactor core temperatures.
Perhaps a very large Bussard fusor blasting water into plasma. About 60 km/s exhaust velocity. Jet power would be ~ 30kW per Newton. How many Newtons though? Say we want to accelerate Ceres at ~ 1.0E-6 m/s^2, thus with 9.5E+20 kg of Ceres to push we need a rocket putting out 9.5E+14 Newtons, with a total jet-power of 28.5 exaWatts. Assuming 100% efficiency we want to fuse about ~ 95 tons of Deuterium+Helium-3 per second.
Of course a very high powered solar-beam could produce the energy, though I'm not sure anyone would want a solar laser that powerful shining across so many AU of space from near the Sun. At Ceres orbit a solar power collector would need to be over 500,000 km in diameter to supply that much power.
qraal,
Hey interesting idea on how to move Ceres.
How about a steam rocket at Ceres ?.
The view from Mars would be pretty interesting as Ceres approaches.
As for that view... hair-raising!
Hi All
Firstly, the surface escape velocity of Ceres is about equal to the thermal speeds of breathable air, so its atmosphere will leak away. But a mass of air won't just explode freely into space - if its pressure is higher than ambient and its path-length is small, then the gas does work against itself and cools as it expands. So the air traps itself a bit.
Secondly the gravity declines as fast as the volume of individual layers of air increases - meaning the effective weight is constant at all altitudes in an isothermal atmosphere without rigid rotation. Factor in an adiabatic cooling profile and that means the atmosphere thins quite a bit at altitude. The maximum altitude is Ceres' Hill Sphere at 77,400 km radius. Beyond that and the gas is orbitting the Sun, not controlled by Ceres' gravity, but it should thin out to solar wind density before then.
But the solar wind wouldn't need to do much work to scrape away the outer layers. Unlike places like Earth, Venus or even Mars. I would say an atmosphere on Ceres would be marginally stable - it might stick around, or it might not. If we began with an isodense layer then let it freely expand, then it would cool significantly, perhaps creating a cold trap sufficient to keep some air down... if it wasn't for the damned Sun heating it up again *sigh*
Hi All
Reaction mass? The ice of course, which might substantially dehydrate the place to get it into a Mars orbit.
How about Ceres in a retrograde very elliptical orbit at Mars?
What a project it would be to move Ceres to Mars though and make sure it's 100% in the correct place for the correct orbit.
Would take many, many years. Imagine first dropping the periapsis of Ceres to roughly Mars' orbit, then bringing its apoapsis in closer to Mars' orbit, then probably walking its orbit around until Ceres is in Mars' Hill Sphere, then finally lowering it into the desired orbit. Could be a tough exercise indeed.
Hi All
These discussions always seem to turn into a game of "who can tell the biggest whopper"...
To get to the core we want something heavy, but abundant - the recent suggestion of 100,000 tons of molten iron was pretty good. Should melt and shove its way to the core quite well, perhaps even more so on Mars or the Moon.
As for re-energising the Core, just how much heat do we want to add? Suppose we gather a massive deuterium bomb together, wrapped in something nice and explosive - but stable until we get up to ~ 10 GPa pressure. Then set it off - the high ambient pressure would help start and sustain the deuterium fusion, and the deuterium reaction produces a neutron and helium-3, thus heating the iron core via neutron absorption.
As for energy on Venus, the average temperature is more like ~ 630 K when you integrate over the whole of the atmosphere. Carbon dioxide's heat capacity changes substantially over the temperature range of Venus' atmosphere, but roughly 500 GJ per sq. metre is stored in it. That's 2.3 x 10^26 J total, much of which is extractable if we shade the planet. Most would be released in the early phases of cooling, at higher temperatures. If we made the atmosphere over-turn rapidly the energy could be captured via a global thermovoltaic collector. Roughly 2.3 billion kg energy equivalent in extreme, half that with collection system losses.
For comparison Earth's rotational energy is 4.26 x 10^29 J (4.73 trillion kg energy), while it's orbital energy is 2.65 x 10^33 J (29.4 quadrillion kg energy.) Earth's binding energy is roughly ~ 75 MJ per kg (over 4.4 x 10^32 J) - about twice the homogeneous mass binding energy because of the dense core.
As for making antimatter, very intense lasers can cause pair-production, which could be separated via intense magnetic fields. According to one review article I read the researchers aren't far off the energy density needed for electron/positron production, though that's 3 orders of magnitude short of making proton/anti-proton mixes. Positrons would be handy for all sorts of things, including igniting big fusion bombs...