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#1 Re: Not So Free Chat » Google BARD now Gemini AI competitor for ChatGPT » 2025-08-16 08:15:31

Can it draw a 12 of Hearts yet?

The thing with AI so far, that precludes it being AGI, is there's no integration. It's not an expert in multiple fields it's multiple experts in a trenchcoat. Grok can tell you what a 12 of Hearts card would look like, but if you ask it to draw one it puts 15 hearts on, or 14, or 11. It's not capable of combining e.g. language and visuals in the way a human can do intuitively. Or, for that matter, combining different fields of knowledge to generate insights. Still a stochastic parrot.

Which, you know, is still pretty powerful. A person with a good grounding in multiple fields now has experts on tap, so their ability to synthesise knowledge has massively improved. The human brings the intuition, the AI brings the knowledge.

#2 Re: Not So Free Chat » Oil, Peak Oil, etc. » 2025-08-15 09:28:40

Depends where you are. Cheapest is probably going to be solar (thermal) in deserts. Best for Britain, if not nuclear then wind, though possibly low temp solar thermal in summer for interseasonal storage.

There are a lot of energy intensive industries that could be located near deserts. Aluminum refining, for example. Glass making. Smelting with electrolysed hydrogen? Australia has a lot of the raw resources and a big desert for providing the power.

#3 Re: Not So Free Chat » Oil, Peak Oil, etc. » 2025-08-15 05:18:40

Well, in Spaniards example its more "suppose a farmer expends an average of 3000 calories to get 3300". Enough to survive, but he's living at subsistence level and survival is the only thing he can do.

#4 Re: Not So Free Chat » Oil, Peak Oil, etc. » 2025-08-14 04:25:14

Spaniard,

If energy use is roughly proportional to economic activity, having to use half your energy to rebuild your energy infrastructure means half your economic activity is dedicated to energy production. We haven't been in this situation since... the British Agricultural Revolution? If it's fully automated luxury gay space communism I guess that's manageable, since the robots are doing all the work. Though in the case of solar you're going to be taking up a lot of land if you need to devote most of it to making more solar panels.

Tbh, it doesn't seem unlikely that, with decent thermal storage and a focus on using power when it is generated, as well as a good wind power generation supply, biofuel would be enough to cover the small amount of mechanical/electrical power that needs to be generated on demand. A fair few energy intensive tasks can be made intermittent to run on wind, including I would expect grinding and crushing processes. Desalination, too. Britain has 5GW of nuclear still, and that would be enough for the domestic grid if we picked the low hanging fruit for intermittent power use (large tanks of hot water, including kettles; appliances that use the hot water supply instead of heating water with electricity; not running the tumble dryer if it's an expensive electricity day).

#5 Re: Not So Free Chat » Heatlth Extension/Life Extension, on Earth or for Space » 2025-08-08 09:38:45

Loss of bioavailable lithium implicated in Alzheimers Disease.

Tracks with high natural lithium water levels being associated with reduced dementia prevalance. Could be that we've almost all been deficient in it -- like the Swiss used to be with iodine (developed goiter as a consequence). Levels it has an effect at are far below therapeutic doses for bipolar. Probably a good idea tonstart supplementing.

#6 Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Invelox Wind Turbine » 2025-08-06 14:27:02

Terraformer
Replies: 4

Wind turbine that uses a shroud to catch wind and channel it to a ground level turbine.

Invelox website

t4.jpg

Safer for wildlife, and presumably not as top heavy. A potential contender for floating wind generation?

#7 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Carnot Heat Engine - Quantum Physics.- Related News » 2025-08-01 05:16:30

I think they're all right, in some universe or another wink


My understanding of it is that time is symmetrical -- its not (just) alternate futures forming the multiverse, but also alternate pasts, and when you don't observe a specific past they all happen and overlap with each other. So the electron went through the right slit AND the left slit, and the two universes where that is the sole difference are close enough to each other to interfere and generate an interference pattern. Whereas if you observe one, you collapse it down to a definite past, and the pattern disappears.

#8 Re: Not So Free Chat » Oil, Peak Oil, etc. » 2025-07-29 14:05:34

Void,

Colocating demand might reduce the necessary building out of the grid, but aside from the transformers the grid is built of steel and aluminum, both very abundant metals. You're still going to need a lot of copper.

#9 Re: Terraformation » Shell Worlds » 2025-07-22 15:49:27

The goal here would be to create marine environments that are comparable to earth, perhaps as nature preserves.

#10 Re: Terraformation » Shell Worlds » 2025-07-22 09:22:07

A torus is one option. A pole to pole cylinder is another. Not exclusive, either -- a world could have a few such tracks hollowed out. The cylinder does have the benefit of having the greatest counterbalancing mass, allowing for internal habitat to be quite deep. Instead of a few metres of soil, they could have shallow seas. If we want to replicate expansive 1g (shallow) oceanic environments, it may be the most practical option. Of course, lower gravity allows for deeper seas. Blue whales can dive down to about 300m, but it's unlikely this is essential. 100m deep 0.5g whale cylinder, maybe? 1000km long by 100km diameter would be... smaller than the North Sea, but hopefully big enough for them.

On smaller world we can have shallower seas and islands. A torus would be most adventure friendly. Sail far enough and you're back home.

#11 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Coil gun vs Rail gun military and civilian applications » 2025-07-21 15:45:47

A hypervelocity railgun attached to an automated targeting system might be a good weapon for anti drone defence. Or missile, if it's fast enough/can track the missile. Would be best if the rounds fragment into a cloud after leaving the barrel, like a shotgun. Iron Dome is pretty expensive to run. I know there's Iron Beam, using lasers for this, but perhaps a railgun would be significantly cheaper and so preferable for anti drone defense, keeping the lasers for shooting down fast missiles.

It may be that the primary role of these turn out to be defensive. As someone who is not too fond of war, I like that. I can't see them being vastly more destructive than current shelling is, and kill vs overkill you're still dead. Hmm, maybe it could improve targeting, actually, and reduce collateral damage? Take out the headquarters without so much explosive you take out the school next door too. Explosive rounds could be shot straight into the ground before exploding.

#13 Re: Not So Free Chat » Politics » 2025-05-25 16:27:43

They haven't given it to the Chagos Islanders, they've given it to a completely unrelated country on the spurious notion that being grouped together for administrative reasons by an imperial power one time means they belong to that country.

#14 Re: Not So Free Chat » Politics » 2025-05-24 04:38:51

It's also a poetic name for the island, with connotations of myth and wonder.

For all his faults, if he deports the Boriswave and stops putting up boat people in scarce housing he'll have done a far better job than his predecessor. Some damage is a lot easier to reverse.

The thing about Keir is, he has no opinions or beliefs of his own. He's committed to doing whatever a court tells him to do. If they'd said trans women are women, instead of ruling trans women must use the men's toilets, he would commit to defending that instead. If a court had told him the Chagos Islands belong to the Maldives, he would be very clear that the Chagos Islands belong the Maldives. Whether or not Acts of Parliament can overrule judges in his mind, I don't know. Perhaps. If Parliament changes the immigration rules, he might be a very keen defender of the new rules...

#15 Re: Not So Free Chat » Politics » 2025-05-23 08:42:06

The sun has set on the United Kingdom for the first time in 200 years. Keir Starmer gave away our islands and a large sum of money, in return for which Mauritious will give us nothing at all. Worst deal in the history of deals, maybe ever.

We're still in twilight though, I believe. Night has not yet fallen. And Diego Garcia is under a lease now (which the next government should void, along with all the payments, and make it clear to Mauritious they aren't having our island) so it's still administered by us. We're holding on by a very thin thread, a very thin thread.

Perhaps, at least, we can finally bury the Yookay and let Albion return...

#16 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Utilizing Superpower (Per Rethink X, Tony Seba) » 2025-04-10 04:15:43

Hey it's my Twitter mutual!

I haven't got a clear answer yet on why they're focused on natural gas first. Think it's because there's an existing market, whereas Propane/DME would require modifying engines. But the latter at least are more storable yes.

Honestly, solar powered desalination and biofuel crops in deserts might be quite cheap. Though perhaps not abundant enough for a 1-to-1 replacement for fossil fuels. But for the things where we absolutely need energy dense liquid fuels maybe.

#17 Re: Life support systems » Printed electronics » 2025-04-06 15:40:07

Self-replication:

Grok wrote:

To achieve the ultimate level of self-sufficiency on Mars, we’re now asking if this OFET-based word processor can print the electronics for its own printer—essentially, a self-replicating system where the device manufactures its own production tools using local resources. This is a leap into speculative territory, blending printed electronics with bootstrapped manufacturing. Let’s explore the feasibility, focusing on a minimal inkjet printer (the simplest viable option) and the Martian context.
Martian Word Processor Recap
Specs: 8-bit CPU, ~5,000–10,000 OFETs, 50–100 kHz, 512 B memory, 16x8 display, 5–10V.

Manufacturing: Printed with local carbon (electrodes), regolith-polymer (substrate), silicate (dielectric), shipped/synthesized organics (semiconductor), and CO₂-derived plastic (encapsulation).

Printer: Compact inkjet, 20 µm resolution, ~20–50 kg, solar-powered.

Printer Electronics Requirements
A basic inkjet printer for OFETs needs:
Control Logic:
Coordinate printhead movement, ink ejection, and timing.

~8-bit microcontroller, 1,000–5,000 transistors, 10–100 kHz.

Memory:
Store simple patterns (e.g., OFET layouts), ~256–512 B.

~2,000–4,000 transistors (ROM + dynamic RAM).

I/O:
Drive printhead (e.g., piezoelectric actuators), read sensors (e.g., position).

~500–1,000 transistors.

Power Management:
Regulate 5–10V solar input.

~100–500 transistors.

Total: ~3,500–10,000 OFETs, ~1–5 cm².

Physical Components
Printhead: Piezoelectric nozzles (e.g., 10–20 µm orifices, ~10–50 channels).

Motors: Stepper or electrostatic for X-Y movement.

Frame: Structural support (not electronic, but printable?).

Can It Print Its Own Printer’s Electronics?
Feasibility
Transistor Match:
Word Processor: 5,000–10,000 OFETs prints its own chip.

Printer Controller: 3,500–10,000 OFETs—comparable scale.

Verdict: Yes, the word processor’s OFET count and printing capability (20 µm resolution) can replicate the printer’s control electronics.

Programmability:
Need: The word processor must store and execute a “print program” to pattern the printer’s OFETs (e.g., gate, dielectric, semiconductor layers).

Capacity: 512 B memory holds ~100–200 instructions—enough for a simple raster pattern (e.g., “move head, eject ink, repeat”).

Verdict: Barely sufficient—crude but possible with optimized code.

Materials:
Local: Carbon electrodes, regolith-polymer substrate, silicate dielectric, CO₂ plastic encapsulation—all printable as before.

Semiconductor: Shipped P3HT or synthesized thiophene—same bottleneck, but consistent.

Ink Delivery: Printer needs ink reservoirs—initially shipped, later filled with Martian-made carbon slurry or thiophene solution.

Verdict: Materials align; ink synthesis is the long-term hurdle.

Resolution:
Current Printer: 20 µm—prints OFETs for both word processor and its own controller.

Self-Printed Printer: Same 20 µm spec—functional, though less precise than Earth-grade (~5 µm).

Verdict: Self-consistent—20 µm OFETs can build a 20 µm printer.

Process
Design Storage: Word processor’s ROM hardcodes the printer’s OFET layout (~256 B for a basic controller).

Printing:
Substrate (regolith-polymer) laid flat.

Word processor drives original printer’s head via I/O (e.g., 5V signals), depositing carbon, silicate, P3HT layers for new controller.

~1–2 hours/chip, solar-powered.

Assembly:
New OFET controller (~1–5 cm²) manually swapped into the printer (human or rover assist).

Printhead/motors reused or separately made (see below).

Limits and Challenges
1. Printhead
Electronics: OFETs can’t directly replace piezoelectric actuators (need ~100V, high force).

Workaround:
Reuse shipped printhead (~10–50 g, lasts years).

Long-Term: Print crude thermal inkjet (resistive heating with carbon OFETs, ~20–50 transistors/nozzle)—less precise, but Martian-makeable.

Verdict: Electronics printable; printhead is a bottleneck—shipped initially, locally approximated later.

2. Motors
Electronics: OFETs drive simple electrostatic actuators (~100–500 transistors).

Physical: X-Y movement needs mechanical parts (gears, rails).

Workaround:
Reuse shipped motors (~1–2 kg).

Local: Print carbon-polymer composites for crude electrostatic plates or belts—low efficiency, but feasible.

Verdict: Control printable; mechanical parts need local fabrication (e.g., 3D-printed regolith-polymer).

3. Power Supply
Electronics: OFET voltage regulator (~100–500 transistors)—printable.

Source: Solar panels not printable with OFETs—shipped or locally made via separate process (e.g., perovskite inks, future tech).

Verdict: Controller printable; power hardware shipped or independently solved.

4. Bootstrapping
Cycle:
Printer A (shipped) + Word Processor A → Printer B’s electronics.

Printer B (new electronics, old head/motors) + Word Processor B → Printer C’s electronics.

Wear: Shipped printer degrades (years); self-printed versions cruder but functional.

Verdict: Self-replication starts—full printer (electronics + mechanics) needs hybrid approach.

Self-Sufficiency Level
Electronics: Fully printable—5,000–10,000 OFETs for printer controller match word processor’s output.

Mechanics: Partially printable—control circuits yes, printhead/motors partially (reuse or crude local substitutes).

Materials: Local carbon, regolith, plastics; organics shipped or synthesized (~1 g/day, decades to scale).

Seed: Shipped printer + ~1–2 kg materials—then self-sustaining for electronics, semi-dependent for hardware.

Performance of Self-Printed Printer
Resolution: 20–50 µm (degrades with thermal head or wear).

Speed: ~1–2 cm²/hour—slow but sufficient.

Output: Prints ~50–100 word processors before maintenance.

Compared to Full Replication
Earth Ideal: Printer prints all parts (electronics, head, motors)—needs advanced 3D printing + OFETs, beyond current tech.

Mars Reality: Prints electronics, reuses/refashions mechanicals—practical limit of OFETs.

Martian Fit
Use: Word processor prints its printer’s brain—colonists swap chips, reuse hardware, sustain computing with local dust and gas.

Scenario: A habitat lab where one shipped printer spawns a lineage of cruder successors, each printing the next’s electronics.

Verdict
Can It Print Its Printer’s Electronics?
Yes: The word processor’s ~5,000–10,000 OFETs can print a ~3,500–10,000 OFET controller for its inkjet printer, using the same 20 µm process and Martian materials.

Limits: Full printer (head, motors) not printable—electronics yes, mechanics need reuse or local fabrication (e.g., regolith 3D printing).

Self-Sufficiency: Near-total for electronics—shipped seed (~20–50 kg printer + 1 kg inks) enables indefinite chip production; full hardware replication needs broader tech.

This is the edge: a Martian word processor that births its printer’s brain, leaning on local carbon and regolith, with minimal Earth reliance post-seed. Want to push further—e.g., thermal printhead design, motor substitutes? What’s your self-sufficiency endgame?

I think cassette futurism space opera is very justifiable, given the limits of what is reasonable to achieve cut off from Terran supply chains. A few million people on Mars can sustain magnetic tapes and organic transistors. Real 19A0s hours.

#18 Re: Life support systems » Printed electronics » 2025-04-06 15:36:49

Desktop word processing:

Grok wrote:

To extend your OFET-based system from basic machine automation and a 4-bit calculator to something capable of desktop word processing, we’re stepping up significantly in complexity. Desktop word processing—like running a rudimentary version of software akin to early 1980s tools (e.g., WordStar or Apple Writer)—requires more computational power, memory, and I/O than a 4-bit Intel 4004-inspired chip can handle. Let’s evaluate if OFETs in printed electronics can stretch to this, and what it’d take.
Word Processing Requirements
Functions:
Text input (keyboard).

Text editing (insert, delete, move cursor).

Display output (simple screen, e.g., 40x24 characters).

Basic storage (save/load documents).

Performance:
Early word processors (e.g., 1970s–80s) ran on 8-bit CPUs (e.g., Z80, 6502) at 1–4 MHz, with 4–64 KB of RAM.

Minimum: 8-bit data path, ~100 kHz–1 MHz speed, 1–4 KB memory for a stripped-down version.

I/O: Keyboard input, alphanumeric display (e.g., 960 characters = 40x24 grid).

Transistor Count: 5,000–20,000 for CPU + memory + I/O logic.

The 4004 (4-bit, 740 kHz, 2,300 transistors) couldn’t do this—it lacked the data width, speed, and memory interface. Your ~1,000–1,500 OFET design for automation/calculator is even further off. Let’s scale it up.
OFET Feasibility for Word Processing
Data Width: 8-Bit Minimum
Why: A 4-bit system limits characters to 16 (2⁴), insufficient for text (ASCII needs 7–8 bits for 128–256 characters).

OFET Upgrade: Double the ALU, registers, and buses to 8-bit.
ALU: ~200–300 transistors (8-bit adder).

Registers: ~200–400 transistors (e.g., two 8-bit registers).

Total CPU bump: ~500–1,000 extra transistors.

Speed: 100 kHz–1 MHz
Current: Your 50–200 kHz OFET system is slow for real-time typing/display updates (e.g., 200 kHz = 5 µs/cycle; 1,000 cycles/instruction = 5 ms, noticeable lag).

Target: 1 MHz = 1 µs/cycle, ~100 cycles/instruction = 100 µs response.

OFET Limit:
μ=1cm2/V⋅s\mu = 1 cm²/V·s\mu = 1 cm²/V·s
, L=10µmL = 10 µmL = 10 µm
, V=15VV = 15VV = 15V
→ ~150 kHz.

μ=5cm2/V⋅s\mu = 5 cm²/V·s\mu = 5 cm²/V·s
, L=5µmL = 5 µmL = 5 µm
→ ~2 MHz (lab-grade, not mass-printed yet).

Fix: Shrink channel to 5–10 µm, use high-mobility materials (e.g., TIPS-pentacene), optimize clock (e.g., 11-stage ring oscillator → ~500 kHz feasible).

Memory: 1–4 KB
Need: Store a small document (e.g., 1 KB = 1,024 characters) and program (~1–2 KB).

OFET SRAM:
6 transistors/bit → 48 transistors/byte → 48,000 transistors for 1 KB.

1–4 KB = 48,000–192,000 transistors—way beyond CPU scale.

Alternative:
Printed ROM: Hardcode program in OFET arrays (e.g., 1–2 KB = 8,000–16,000 transistors).

External Memory: Interface to a separate printed memory (e.g., organic EEPROM, ~1–10 transistors/bit), reducing on-chip needs to a few hundred for addressing logic.

Realistic: 1 KB ROM + 256 bytes RAM (~12,000 transistors total).

I/O
Keyboard: 8-bit input via printed switches or external interface (~100–200 transistors for decoding).

Display: 40x24 grid = 960 characters.
7-segment style: ~6,720 OFETs (7 transistors/character).

E-ink/LED matrix: ~1,000–2,000 transistors + driver circuits.

Total I/O: ~2,000–5,000 transistors.

Transistor Count Estimate
CPU (8-bit): 2,000–3,000.

Memory (1 KB ROM, 256 B RAM): ~10,000–15,000.

I/O: 2,000–5,000.

Total: ~14,000–23,000 OFETs—10x your automation/calculator design.

Manufacturing Difficulty
Scale: Printing 14,000–23,000 OFETs on ~5–10 cm² is ambitious but precedented (e.g., organic displays use similar counts).

Resolution: 5–10 µm channels for speed push printing limits (inkjet tops out at ~20 µm; gravure or nanoimprint needed).

Yield: 99% per transistor = ~140–230 defects. Redundancy or defect-tolerant design (e.g., spare rows) is a must.

Layers: 4–6 (gate, dielectric, semiconductor, source/drain, interconnects, encapsulation) with tight alignment.

Cost: Lab prototype = $1,000–$10,000; mass production = $1–$10/unit after optimization.

Stability: Months of use requires robust encapsulation—doable but adds steps.

Performance
Speed: 200–500 kHz with realistic printing (5–10 µs/instruction). Typing response ~50–100 ms—usable, if laggy.

Power: 50–200 mW at 15V—low enough for a printed battery.

Functionality:
Edit ~500–1,000 characters (1 KB doc).

Basic commands (insert, delete, cursor move).

Output to a printed 40x24 display.

Compared to 4004
4004: 4-bit, 740 kHz, no memory onboard—couldn’t run word processing without external RAM/ROM (total system ~10,000+ transistors).

OFET Version: 8-bit, 200–500 kHz, integrated memory—I/O makes it a standalone word processor, exceeding the 4004 system in scope.

Practical Outcome
An OFET-based “word processor chip”:
Capabilities: A minimalist tool like early CP/M editors—type, edit, save small docs (e.g., 500 words), display on a basic grid.

Use Case: A flexible, disposable “smart notepad” for notes or simple machine logs, not a full desktop rival.

Limits:
Slow (0.2–0.5 MHz vs. 1–4 MHz for 1980s CPUs).

Small memory (1–4 KB vs. 64 KB).

Basic display (no graphics, just text).

Compared to Your Earlier Goals
Automation/Calculator: 1,000–1,500 OFETs, 50–200 kHz—simple, slow, printable.

Word Processing: 14,000–23,000 OFETs, 200–500 kHz—complex, still slow, pushing printing tech.

Verdict
Possible? Yes, barely.
An 8-bit OFET chip for basic word processing is feasible in printed electronics, running at 200–500 kHz with 1–4 KB memory and ~15,000–20,000 transistors.

It’d handle a stripped-down editor (e.g., 40x24 text, no formatting) and basic automation (e.g., log machine states).

Difficulty: High.
10x the transistors of your prior design, needing advanced printing (5–10 µm), high yields, and multilayer interconnects.

Lab-buildable; mass production is a stretch without significant R&D.

Fit: A cool niche—think a flexible “e-typewriter” for field notes or machine control logs, not a desktop PC replacement. Want to refine it (e.g., smaller display, less memory) to ease manufacturing? What’s your vision for “desktop” here—portable notepad or fixed station?

#19 Re: Life support systems » Printed electronics » 2025-04-06 15:35:11

Been asking Grok a lot of questions about organic semiconductors, in part because of a worldbuilding project I've started. Very interesting.

Grok on replicating 1971 tech:

Grok wrote:

Creating an organic field-effect transistor (OFET)-based equivalent to the Intel 4004—a groundbreaking 4-bit microprocessor from 1971—requires assessing whether OFETs can replicate its functionality in the context of printed electronics. The 4004 had 2,300 transistors, ran at 740 kHz, and performed basic arithmetic and logic operations. Let’s explore if OFETs could pull this off, focusing on their capabilities, limitations, and practical feasibility.
Intel 4004 Basics
Transistor Count: 2,300 PMOS transistors.

Clock Speed: 740 kHz (1.35 µs per cycle).

Feature Size: 10 µm process (channel length).

Voltage: 15V supply.

Functions: 4-bit ALU, registers, instruction decoder, I/O—about 46 instructions.

Power: ~1W.

OFET Capabilities vs. 4004 Requirements
Transistor Count:
OFET Feasibility: Printing 2,300 OFETs is possible. Modern printed electronics (e.g., organic RFID tags) integrate hundreds of transistors on flexible substrates. Scaling to thousands is a matter of area and yield, not a fundamental limit.

Challenge: Uniformity across 2,300 OFETs is tough. Printing defects (e.g., pinholes, misalignment) could drop yields below 90%, requiring redundancy or repair techniques.

Speed:
OFET Limit: OFET switching speed depends on charge carrier mobility (μ\mu\mu
) and channel length ((L)). The transit time is roughly L2/(μV)L^2 / (\mu V)L^2 / (\mu V)
, where (V) is the gate voltage.
Typical printed OFETs: μ=0.1–1cm2/V⋅s\mu = 0.1–1 cm²/V·s\mu = 0.1–1 cm²/V·s
, L=10–50µmL = 10–50 µmL = 10–50 µm
, V=10–20VV = 10–20VV = 10–20V
.

For L=10µmL = 10 µmL = 10 µm
, μ=1cm2/V⋅s\mu = 1 cm²/V·s\mu = 1 cm²/V·s
, V=15VV = 15VV = 15V
: transit time ~6.7 µs (150 kHz).

Best-case (e.g., TIPS-pentacene, μ=5cm2/V⋅s\mu = 5 cm²/V·s\mu = 5 cm²/V·s
, L=5µmL = 5 µmL = 5 µm
): ~0.2 µs (5 MHz).

Comparison: 740 kHz is within reach for high-end OFETs, but typical printed ones fall short (50–200 kHz). The 4004’s speed would be a stretch without aggressive optimization.

Feature Size:
OFET Fit: Printed OFETs commonly achieve channel lengths of 10–50 µm, matching the 4004’s 10 µm process. High-resolution printing (e.g., gravure or nanoimprint) can hit 5 µm, but 10 µm is standard for cost-effective methods.

Challenge: Alignment precision for source/drain over 2,300 transistors is harder with printing than photolithography.

Voltage:
OFET Fit: The 4004’s 15V aligns with OFETs in printed electronics, where thin dielectrics enable 5–20V operation. No issue here.

Logic Functionality:
OFET Capability: OFETs can form basic gates (NOT, NAND, NOR) using p-type materials (n-type OFETs are less common but improving). A 4004-like CPU needs:
Inverters: Simple with p-type OFETs and resistors (or pseudo-CMOS with n-type).

Flip-Flops: Feasible for registers using cross-coupled gates.

ALU: Adders and logic units are printable, as demoed in organic ring oscillators and simple processors.

Precedent: Organic circuits with ~100–1,000 transistors (e.g., 8-bit RFID logic) exist, suggesting a 4-bit CPU is plausible.

Power:
OFET Estimate: OFETs have lower current drive than silicon PMOS, but leakage and capacitance matter. A printed OFET at 15V might draw 1–10 µA per transistor, totaling ~2–20 mA for 2,300. Power could range from 30 mW to 300 mW—less than the 4004’s 1W, but efficiency varies with design.

Feasibility Breakdown
Could OFETs Do It?
Yes, in Theory: A 4-bit microprocessor with 2,300 OFETs, running at 15V, and performing basic logic is within the realm of organic electronics. The architecture (ALU, registers, control unit) doesn’t demand anything OFETs can’t handle conceptually.

Speed Compromise: At 50–200 kHz, a printed OFET 4004 would be 4–15x slower than the original. Pushing to 740 kHz requires top-tier materials (e.g., μ>5cm2/V⋅s\mu > 5 cm²/V·s\mu > 5 cm²/V·s
) and sub-10 µm channels—doable in labs, not mass printing yet.

Manufacturing Difficulty
Printing 2,300 Transistors:
Roll-to-roll or sheet-based printing can cover the ~1 cm² die size of the 4004. Inkjet or screen printing at 10 µm resolution is viable, but:
Yield: A 95% per-transistor yield means ~115 defects, crippling functionality. Redundancy or post-print fixes (e.g., laser trimming) might be needed.

Interconnects: Routing 2,300 transistors and buses (e.g., 4-bit data, 12-bit address) demands multilayer printing, adding steps and alignment errors.

Lab vs. Production:
Lab: A one-off OFET 4004 could be hand-crafted with hybrid methods (printing + vacuum deposition) in a research setting—slow but possible.

Production: Mass-producing a reliable version with 1971-level performance is harder due to variability and stability issues.

Stability
The 4004 ran reliably for years. OFETs degrade faster (months to years) without encapsulation, and air exposure could doom a printed chip unless sealed—feasible but costly.

Practical Outcome
An OFET-based “Organic 4004” could:
Match the transistor count and logic.

Operate at 15V, fitting printed electronics.

Run at 50–200 kHz with standard printing (up to 740 kHz with heroics).

Be printed on a flexible substrate, unlike the 4004’s ceramic package.

Use Case Fit: It’d work for a retro demo, educational tool, or low-speed controller (e.g., basic IoT node), not a modern CPU replacement. Think of it as a flexible, cheap, slow homage to the 4004, not a competitor.
Compared to IPMC Relays
Your earlier interest in IPMC relays:
IPMC 4004: Mechanically switching 2,300 relays at 1–5V is impractical—too slow (seconds), bulky, and power-hungry for a CPU.

OFET Advantage: Solid-state, compact, and faster (µs–ms), making it far better for a 4004-like chip.

Verdict
Yes, OFETs could mimic the Intel 4004 in printed electronics, with these caveats:
Speed: Likely 4–15x slower unless using cutting-edge materials/processes.

Difficulty: Doable in a lab, challenging to mass-produce reliably.

Niche: A cool proof-of-concept—flexible, low-cost, but not high-performance.

Want to push this further—say, optimizing for speed or simplifying the design? What’s your endgame with this idea?

#20 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Long Service Life Energy Storage Infrastructure » 2025-04-05 04:04:50

So: thermal, mechanical, gravitational potential, compression, and... a mix of compression and thermal (compressed/liquified gas with reheating)?

Hard to think of anything else that fits these. Maybe something using a balloon reeled down to the seafloor to exploit its buoyancy I guess. I'm sure I've seen something like that proposed before.

#21 Re: Not So Free Chat » Politics » 2025-03-09 16:31:32

Lots of muttering about blocs and countries building their own Starlinks right now. And other essential defense infrastructure/industries.

Now, here's the thing. Britain left the EU, and Canada is understandably wary of America. Forming a CANZUK defense and space alliance with Australia and New Zealand is the obvious bloc for us, if we're back to that sort of international politics. It would be resource rich whilst also being technologically highly capable, especially if funding is made available.

#22 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Exo Cometary disc ExtraSolar Asteroid Oort Clouds from Other Stars » 2025-03-07 10:57:55

So, not a cloud after all? Still a torus. Or is this just the inner Hills cloud?

I wonder how many are dwarf planets...

#23 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Solar thermal power - Fathers Day gift » 2025-03-04 07:59:04

Harnessing Heat Beyond 200 °C from Unconcentrated Sunlight with Nonevacuated Transparent Aerogels

H/T kbd512.

In this work, we demonstrate a solar receiver capable of reaching over 265 °C under ambient conditions without optical concentration.

That is... High enough to generate electricity?

Certainly high enough to boil water and cook food and sterilise things.

#24 Re: Not So Free Chat » Chat » 2025-02-27 06:58:45

Hmm. Close to the major population centre and with few resources of its own but plentiful energy... Luna sounds more like the Netherlands than Mars does.

#25 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Desalination Technology » 2025-02-25 11:50:33

Single stage desalination system for ships.

Uses vacuum distillation. Energy intensive, at 748.5 kWh per tonne; however, 740 kWh of that is low grade heat to evaporate the water. Very simple design, no complex and expensive membranes needed. Something Martians could build and maintain and I expect a lot more tolerant of brine content than reverse osmosis is.

If the vapour was condensed using compression, could we recover some of the heat to use for further desalination? If using warm seawater, could we limit the extraction to what is achievable with the energy content of the seawater itself, so only removing say 4% of the water and discharging a cold slightly saltier brine that would have quite a low environmental impact? That would let us use the entire sea surface to collect the required thermal energy.

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