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#1 Re: Terraformation » Crustal and Atmospheric Shell Worlds » 2026-08-24 16:50:56

A certain level of gravity does help with plumbing. Maybe we can use diamagnetism to control water instead. Have actual baths and showers and ponds.

Trees could get pretty tall. And evolving to tree is carcinisation for plants. We could have dwarf planets covered in forests with human cities on the inside. In an inversion they may be lit from below.

#2 Re: Terraformation » Electrostatic atmospheric confinement » 2026-08-20 14:29:00

It does make sense, 40K is a *very* low temperature. Even 90K is going to be 3.5x as dense as sea level.

New Horizons found far lower atmospheric loss rates for Pluto than previously estimated. Terraforming discourse may not have caught up yet.

#3 Re: Terraformation » Electrostatic atmospheric confinement » 2026-08-20 12:11:37

Calliban,

The scale height decrease is compensated for by the greater area. On small bodies atmospheres need to be modeled with wedges rather than columns; it is no longer a thin layer over a sphere, but a sphere surrounding a smaller sphere.

As talked about before, a few microbars of oxygen should be enough for handling micrometeoroids. If a magnetic field can get us that far, it could prove a pretty useful pre paraterraforming step. At the least, we're going to want to avoid clathrates where we build, so some level of volatilisation will be necessary. Hopefully we can retain it.

#4 Re: Terraformation » Electrostatic atmospheric confinement » 2026-08-19 12:02:38

Oxygen is paramagnetic. Perhaps strong enough magnetic fields would help to retain it? Otoh, they could have the opposite effect, accelerating oxygen molecules...

It occurs to me that bending the path of the oxygen enough is the key thing here. It doesnt matter if they're moving at escape velocity if they're moving downwards.

Water vapour, being paramagnetic, might be lost. But these worlds are cold, maybe it will freeze out long before reaching the exosphere.

#5 Re: Terraformation » Crustal and Atmospheric Shell Worlds » 2026-08-17 17:41:35

Calliban wrote:

By my estimates, melting through a cubic metre of ice dominated crust, with a starting temperature of 100K, would take about 600MJ of heat.  A 1000MWth nuclear heat source could melt a 1km length, 100m wide circular tunnel every 54 days.  So I think we could create a lot of habitable volume very quickly in this way.  Such a device need not be very heavy.  There would need to be some arrangement for pumping the water to the surface of the moon and dispersing it.

There are advantages to constructing centrifuges inside asteroids and dwarf planets. A centrifuge inside that tunnel would give us 30 hectares on the outermost level, with plenty of rad shielding and without the risk of destabilising wobble. Ideally it would be aligned with the axis of rotation of the body itself of course, otherwise we'll be losing energy constantly, though that may not be a major cost. Rotating at 4.2 RPM for 1g on the outer level. Could extend it throughout the entire body as energy allows, giving a very long, narrow city.

#6 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Permenance Movement » 2026-07-29 18:20:55

We don't need to give up reinforced concrete, yet. Basalt fibre mesh is commercially available. Not quite as good as steel in some applications, but a lot more durable and more similar to the concrete in expansion contraction etc. A basalt reinforced concrete road could last quite a long time.

(Been thinking recently on this for a bit of worldbuilding where the magic comes back in 2014. Has mage bred asphalt eating bacteria that force us to have either concrete or gravel roads. Among other things.)

#7 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Personal Aviation Small Aircraft including Lighter than Air » 2026-07-29 18:16:53

Ammonia and ethane are under discussed. Not as lifting gases, but as means to alter buoyancy. A ballonet filled with ammonia is lighter than air; compress and condense that ammonia into a tank to collapse it, and it becomes heavier than air. Ethane is slightly heavier than air, so the range of possible lift would be less. Methane would I think be too tricky to condense to be viable.

#8 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Permenance Movement » 2026-07-25 19:03:34

In a way, concrete is simply taking the use of mortar to the extreme, where the mortar is mixed with tiny pieces of stone and then poured into shape. Less extreme than modern concrete is the Roman style, which uses bigger pieces of stone -- more rubble than gravel -- and is laid rather than poured. I definitely think the Roman style of construction is due a comeback, given that the labour and complexity should actually be lower than modern bricklaying if forms are used.

Would like to see more stone hexagonal pavers being cut. Hexagons are easier to lay than squares or rectangles due to the way they tessellate, and I like stone more than asphalt so if we can replace a lot of asphalt that'd be great.

#9 Re: Not So Free Chat » Peak oil » 2026-07-16 07:49:48

There's a good argument for hybrid vehicles, or rather, for electric transmission, even without plugging them in. The efficiency losses are AFAIK outweighed by the ability to optimise the engine for power generation. Certainly at the least it would allow for trucks to use petrol, spreading the impact of fuel shortages instead of having a mad scramble for diesel.

#10 Re: Terraformation » The Moon » 2026-06-20 12:36:52

NH4? Ammonium minerals? Not just water? Ooh that will be *very* useful.

#11 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Kuiper Belt Objects - Generic Topic » 2026-05-22 10:44:11

Hmm. What implications does this have for CO2 atmospheres closer in? The triple point of co2 is around 300K. Perhaps areoforming minor worlds like the smaller moons (and Ceres) is more viable than we thought?

#12 Re: Terraformation » Creating a (small) Lunar atmosphere » 2026-02-14 18:23:41

Such an atmosphere may also protect against micrometeorites, which would otherwise scuff up any lunar greenhouses we build. A useful tool for paraterraforming. Doable with a very thin atmosphere iirc. Like 0.1mb would do, or even less.

#13 Re: Life support systems » Phosphorus and Elements to Support Life » 2026-02-14 17:32:07

See also lunar KREEP. There's Potassium and Phosphate up there. Tbh I'd expect lunar rocks to have what we need, since it's made of the same stuff as Earth's crust and what would have boiled away. Iodine remains a potential difficulty; on Earth it is concentrated by various means. Mars and the ocean worlds might have it.

Worth considering that plants could accumulate elements that are at very low concentrations. Maybe we plant forests explicitly for this purpose.

#14 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Creating the Cis-Lunar economy » 2026-02-13 12:57:24

Now that SpaceX is pivoting towards Luna first, and have proven rockets with more on the way, and a network of comm sats, and can launch humans into space and bring them back alive, this is a topic worth revisiting. How much *now* to set up a base? How much to start industrialising? What launch options for getting off Luna?

#15 Re: Human missions » space x going to the moon instead of mars » 2026-02-13 07:54:22

Mars may end up being the cheapest place to get elements such as copper and tin and silver for in space manufacturing. Ores only form on planets with hydrogeological processes that can concentrate them. That means Earth and maybe/likely Mars.

In the meantime, we'll have to haul them up from Earth, but fortunately Luna can provide nearly all the mass we need. Maybe even meteoric nickel-iron. And unlike Mars, it has a possible business case for mining, tourism, research, and orbital support services. Which are the reasons humans live in inhospitable Terran environments today. Though, given his haste, Musk may have a Fallen Angels scenario on his mind, where the bulk of humanity turn against space travel and there are only the people up there already to carry the flame to other worlds. A few thousand people should be viable genetically at least, especially given how highly selected they'd be. He may also have an Elysium scenario in mind too, given the talk of using orbital datacentres for the next great economic leap...

Once we have manufacturing on Luna we can start sending sollettas and iron nanorods to Mars, warm the place up somewhat before we get there.

#16 Re: Human missions » space x going to the moon instead of mars » 2026-02-10 09:55:21

Luna has a potential business case, with mining, tourism, research, support services and goods for orbit.  Mars, does not. Luna also has plentiful solar power without an atmosphere to interfere.

With lunar railguns and refining, we can construct hulls for the big ships from space resources, and fuel them up with lunar oxygen. Also have the possibility of tethers with lunar rock for counterweights, maybe made of lunar basalt.

Shackleton City should be laid out on a hexagonal plan. Tesselated domes.

#17 Re: Not So Free Chat » Politics » 2026-02-07 12:32:09

The private rape gang inquiry, organised and ran by Rupert Lowe MP (Great Yarmouth), is turning up and gathering quite a bit on the atrocities committed against native British girls - not just grooming and rape, trafficking also - by organised Pakistani community networks. It's... quite a lot. Not just the fact that so many in that community knew and facilitated it -- if we were to imprison or deport everyone who bears some responsibility, we'd almost certainly be accused of ethnic cleansing. But perhaps worse for the state is that it wasn't merely neglecting its duty to protect these girls, but actively assisting the rape networks and ensuring the girls could not be removed from their grasp. It's existential; the state is rapidly losing legitimacy and will have to rely solely on raw force if they don't pivot and root this rot out (they will not pivot and root this rot out).

#18 Re: Not So Free Chat » Cost-Effective Credible National Defense » 2026-02-04 06:02:17

Sounds like piston aircraft work for defense, turbines for attack from a distance (need the speed)?

Another area where piston aircraft should be viable is close air support / counter insurgency. Jet powered aircraft are used currently, but the speeds aren't above what you say piston engines can do.

#19 Re: Not So Free Chat » Copper, Silver, and other Metals » 2026-02-04 05:45:49

Maybe half of copper use can be substituted with aluminium. Cabling appears to be doable, motors and transformers not really. That still leaves a massive shortfall if the entirety of humanity is to be brought up to a western standard of living, quite apart from any additional electrification... there are resources, but the grade is really low, so I won't be surprised if it ends up overtaking nickel in value.

Silver has settled somewhat, or at least is creeping upwards *relatively* slowly compared to its spike; I expect it will end up around $2.80-3.00 per gram. Quite a bit more than the $0.8-0.9 I paid for 54g back in 2013 that I need to sort out my access to (BullionVault).

FWIW the copper prices mean the pre 92 british copper coins (actual copper) are worth 2.5-3x their face value. Of course, meddling with the coinage is illegal in Britain. Key part there being "in Britain".

#20 Re: Not So Free Chat » Peter Zeihan again: and also other thinkers: » 2026-02-01 12:52:40

Silver! The price still hasn't caught up to the end of the gold standard. Historical silver:gold price ratios were 10-15, until countries moved off silver and on to gold alone for their currency. Still a ways to go for it to correct back to such ratios, but I expect it will, particularly since it has useful industrial properties.

#21 Re: Not So Free Chat » Politics » 2026-01-31 17:16:23

Looking over at Iran, wondering when the panic buying starts. Filled up my tank just in case. There were people there with containers to fill, petrol not diesel, so you're capped at 30L unless you notify the fire service. Diesel has no such limits because a spark won't cause an inferno.

In domestic news, looking forward to the Manchester by-election. Not unlikely Reform take it, causing much wailing and gnashing of teeth. Fun times, though St George's Day could be funner. Depends on how many more girls get raped by dinghymen between now and then, perhaps.

#22 Not So Free Chat » Copper, Silver, and other Metals » 2026-01-30 13:14:57

Terraformer
Replies: 4

Easing off now, but copper price has spiked quite high.Pre 92 two/pennies are worth far more than their face value, like 2.5-3x. Silver peaked at $3.80 per gram -- https://goldtrack.io/silver. Copper hit $13.53/kg.

It's starting to sink in I think that electrifying everything requires metals, which requires mining, which requires ores high grade enough to be worth mining. Ores we uh don't have. Copper is useful enough I think that we'd still mine it if the only source cost $100/kg, but we couldn't use it liberally. Aluminum is going up too, naturally.

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#23 Re: Not So Free Chat » Politics » 2026-01-29 13:41:21

So any competant nation could build a workable car of good quality.  Just maybe without all of the superfluous electronics.

Britain, the country of the Henry Hoover and creator of The Best Plug In The World, should be all over this. Amongst other ruggedised simple equipment.

#25 Re: Exploration to Settlement Creation » Pedestrian Martian Cities » 2025-11-08 07:41:11

I have suggested before that hexagonal blocks would be a good design for a Lunar city. Can fit a circular pressure wall sandwiched between two layers of radiation shielding, and the blocks tesselate so the city can be expanded without creating expanses of empty space between blocks. Some blocks allocated as parks. Can be different heights -- imagine a central block being redeveloped with a tower.

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