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So, at first glance, it doesn't look fesiable. Still, I'd like to here some further exploration. What needs to be done to make the ISS flight worthy. Is the trus strong enough? What might be done to strengthin it? Is there enough radiation shielding? How might we impove the sheilding? Can we counteract the effects of zero g on the space station? Do the solar panels generate enough power to drive an ION engine and still run all the other systems? How might we better suport the solar panels to deal with accelerations? At over 100 billion could you realy build a ship of the same size form scratch, cheaper then the cost of modifying the ISS?
Sure maybe he should of known the complete cost of the program, but how relevant is that? People add up the complete cost of a program over many years in order to make it sound much more expensive then it really is. The point of the new space initiative is sustainable investment in a forward looking space program. The moon is simply a short term goal to help focus the development of the technology and infrastructure, which with each step will further reduce the cost of future programs, and extend the current reach of mankind. Each step is its own program with its own rewards. The real strength of this program is the rewards are not cumulative, they are exponential. Each future step increases the value of previous rewards.
The space station should have been built this way. However, I don?t think it is designed to withstand the stresses.
Looks like NASA and the government have given up all hope for anything less than $10,000/kg launch costs. Aww man... This is crap. I can't help but worry if this new program is going to slow down space travel, rather than get on with it. Let's hope the private industry develops $100/kg boosters in the 25 tonne class... Remember Zubrins comments about the management at Lockheed?
Why do you say that?
I enjoyed reading the article, it gave me a good perspective of NASA attempts for a shuttle replacement and the problems faced in the past. It seems clear to me that this crew exploration vehicle is the right approach. I am curious as to if the inflatable crew modules will doc to the CEV or if they will also be carried up in the CEV. I also feel that even though the CEV should be the current plan, research money should be spent towards some of the alternative technologies that NASA had previously planned. I am not sure what the appropriate level of funding. I wonder how much is spent annually both publicly and privately in other areas of research that are not space related. Maybe finding out this level of spending might help to gauge what is reasonable for NASA to spend on advanced launch technologies. I was also curious about the scram JET. Does it need to reach Mach 25 to work?
From the pictures the crew part of the CEV looks small compared to the shuttle. Is there enough space in there for a mission to mars?
Whether or not the Hubble is saved I would hate to see such a setback to optical astronomy. How would the cost launching another optical telescope aboard an unmanned vehicle compare with the cost of saving the Hubble. If another telescope is launched what is a reasonable time frame for such a launch.
For the benefit of those not on the mars society mailing list:
A Letter from an Astronomer
Feb. 3, 2004
For further information about the Mars Society, visit our website at
[http://www.marssociety.org]www.marssociety.org.Since the start of the Mars Society's mobilization to defend Hubble,
we have been deluged with letters thanking us for our stand. With the
permission of the author, I decided to publish the one below, as it
contains important technical information that provides valuable
ammunition for those making the scientific case to save the space
telescope.A special expert panel laying out the scientific and programmatic
necessity for saving Hubble will be included in the agenda of the 7th
International Mars Society Convention, to be held Aug 19-22 2004 at
the Palmer House Hilton, Chicago IL. Registration is now open at the
Mars Society website.The letter follows.
Dear Dr. Zubrin;
I would first like to applaud the Mars Society's stance on HST. I am
one of many astronomers who first became interested in the science
through the exploration of the solar system and dreams of a human
future in space. Many of my colleagues are rabid supporters of human
spaceflight and the push to go to Mars. I myself traveled to
Hanksville , Utah with Jon Wiley and identified the area as a
candidate site for MDRS. You have many supporters in the astronomical
community who would agree with the statements in this newsletter.I would like to emphasize one point which does not seem to find its
way into any of the arguments in support of HST, even from
astronomers well versed in the relevant technical issues. Much has
been made of the gap of five or six years between he projected demise
of HST and the planned launch of JWST, and the science lost in that
period of time. The loss is actually much greater.The label "Next Generation Space Telescope" for JWST is misleading.
JWST is not a successor to HST. If anything, it is a succesor to the
recently launched Spitzer Space Telescope. It is entirely an infrared
instrument, and its capabilities overlap only slightly with those of
HST. Except for specialized, program-driven missions, the loss of HST
will mean the end of optical and UV astronomy in space for much of
the astronomical community. JWST will not be able to observe in these
regions of the spectrum.Optical astronomy is still the largest segment of the community, and
provides the majority of our information about the local universe. I
do not wish to denigrate JWST. I work closely with one of the co-
investigators on its near-IR camera and do a great deal of public
outreach in connection with it. JWST will do exciting science, but it
is not the same science that HST is capable of doing. Abandoning HST
is not a temporary inconvenience, but rather a permanent and
crippling loss to astronomy. I hope that this point enters public
debate over the fate of the servicing mission.Again, thank you for all of your efforts,
Patrick Young
Steward Observatory
Tucson, AZ"Reserve your right to think, for even to think wrongly is better
than not to think at all. To teach superstitions as truth is a most
terrible thing."
-Hypatia, Librarian of Alexandria (circa 400 AD)
_Note by RZ; Young's citation of Hypatia in conjunction with the
threat to Hubble is interesting. Hypatia was the last of the great
classical neoplatonic philosopher mathematicians. She was murdered by
a mob of religious fanatics in 415 AD, an act which closed the career
of ancient science. The destruction of the Library of Alexandria
followed.For further information about the Mars Society, visit our website at
[http://www.marssociety.org]www.marssociety.org.
I?m impressed. Have you ever considered writing?
Now that bush has announced a new space initiative what should the mars society do to help insure that it, a similar plan or a better plan is implemented? What should people outside of the US do? How many people in this board are active in such an initiative?
I recently commentary about a book and the film which I think was called the corporation. The premise of this ?work? was that by law a corporation is a person. Therefore why not consider want personality traits it has. In particular lets consider how the corporation fits the definition of a psychopath. The interviewer did not ask the one obvious question I had in mind. My question would be what would be your response if someone labeled this ?work? propaganda. What else can it be considered. The film goes from talking about the corporation as a person by law to showing footage of Godzilla. Sorry to end this thread before it starts but it kind of reminds me of Hitler comparing the Jew to a rodent. I understand that art uses metaphors, but is this good art.
With current plans for bases on the moon and mars, completion of the ISS, and a possible space elevator I can?t help but wonder the impact of this in the short term on life on this planet. What are the influences to, art television and music, and to the educational dreams of the young? Will these historical landmarks make profound differences on our life or will the impact be know bigger then a few good movies or television shows. What is the real measure of the short term value of these events?
There may soon be a vehicle that can go well beyond mars. What does this mean to the average JO. What does it mean if in 50-60 years we have people living or exploring europa and what significance does it have to us if they discover life. Try to respond not to the been counter. Try to write in a way to unlock the hart of the existentialist. I am not an existentialist but if you can unlock the hart of an existentialist you have done far more then captured my imagination.
Interesting you should say this, as it's been my impression that the reason we're finishing ISS is a political one-- we have to honor our commitments to our ISS partner nations.
Consider economics as part of the technical basis. I don't think any government wants to write off the cost of the ISS.
Funny thing though. How are they going to deorbit it now that they can't send a shuttle mission to attach a deorbiting device (see "$300 million to destroy hubble" thread from november)? Hmmm.
I was wondering about this.
I agree with Clark. Save the Hubble if it is feasible but if it?s not let it burn. The NASA engineers need to make their decisions on a technical basis and not a political basis. After all this investment the international space station must be finished. How, much risk is there of this not happening because of an extra mission to service the Hubble.
Don?t be too critical. As of yet it is the only plan put forth by anyone in a position to make such a plan happen.
I thought the people here would be more pro nuclear power.
Also if we have a nuclear power ion engine, who cares if we stop at the moon. Couldn't such a craft take us most places in the sollar system?
I suppose the first BEAM bots could assemble arrays of solar panels. They could collect them from a factory and carry them away to build beam bot gas stations. Perhaps another beam Bot could be medical in nature. It could go around looking for beam Bots that ran out of power and give them enough energy to make it to the nearest solar array.
I?v noticed a lot of papers I seen about beamBots on the net seem speculative and give little information about how these work. They also seem more interested in playing god then trying to find usefull applications. However, beamBots do seem well suited for walking. The design strategy seems to be based on evolutionary algorithims. So I guess to control these beamBots there could be several input that are activated by a remote control. The beamBots that obeys these commands the best will be selected as the parents for future designs.
I think it would be good to start with a factory that can be programed from earth to build a wide variaty of robots. The intial robots could perhaps help gather raw resources. Later robots could be built to aid in production.
What kinds of robots? Perhaps for production: Arc welders, Hypersonic Cutters, gluers, molders, robots to cover other robots with armor. Perhaps for Science: sptrocpocy, MRI, Humidity, bio detectors, photographers. For agriculture: Weeders, planters, pollinators, watering robots.
Maybe, but there are many techniques to control motion. Generalize, but give and work on specific examples.
So I was thinking of something slightly more intelligent then beam boats. I know feed forward neural networks are good for pattern classification and I know that human memory is associative. In associative memory ideas are liked together for instance the concept of a fire truck may be linked to truck and truck may be linked to dump truck, fire truck and toe truck. Each unique idea can have its own place in memory.
Attached to this place in memory could be words, sounds, images, and links, to related ideas. Some where within this associate memory there needs to be a pattern classification mechenisim, so that the robot knows which ideas corresponds to which external input (i.e. sound, image, spectrum, etc). The pattern classification can be accomplished by a feed forward neural network.
If the robot can identify simple objects, simple commands can be given to it like, find me blue rocks, don?t go over any cliffs, if upside down flip yourself back up. Maybe BEAMbots will be smart enough. Lets try both concepts.
So I didn't knwo what BEAMbots were so I found an
FAQ:. Are beam boats really smart enough? I think a varitity of robot paradigms should be considered includeing beam bots, rovers, and modular robotics
In machine learning the objective is to find a set of parameters so that for a typical set of input patterns, the corresponding output is optimal. If there is one input and one output the objective of the adaptive system may be to find the best fit line between the input patterns and the output patters. The system will learn for a given input around what to expect for the output.
In a robotic colony there are various objectives. In terms of the composition of the population, robots can be assessed upon there ability to locate resources, harvest resources, produce energy, there typical life span etc? On the scale of the robot, the objective could be to decide which rocks are interesting in terms of resources or in terms of scientific curiosity.
Various algorithms could be thought up to decide which robots are the best suited for the next generation and which rocks hold the greatest curiosity. The purpose of the simulation is to test these algorithms and the various robot designs.
P.S. For Inspiration
Rover Pictures
Okay an example:
Consider a society that lives in an Oneal Coloney, that is kind of like an ant colony. It has it's ruling class and working class. The population of both classes in controlled. All activities are monitored and decent is crushed. Children are trained to build and repair the colony as soon as possible and when a new colony is created the crew is halved and the birth rate temporally goes up. When workers are not needed they are put in to hibernation. People are genetically engineered to be the best suited in mind and body to there role in the colony.
Now consider the politics of earth, what human rights is this colony trampling. Is it acceptable for this colony to trample on these rights if it is necessary for the ultimate survival of the species. Are things ethically bad because philologically we perceive them as bad or are they inherently ethically bad. For instance is it wrong to whip someone who feels no pain. Is it wrong to kill someone who doesn't value their life.